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Research Article
Department of Emergency Aid and Disaster Management, Munzur University, Tunceli, 62000, Türkiye
2
3
School of Transportation and Logistics, Istanbul University, Istanbul, 34134, Türkiye
4
Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Department of Industrial Engineering, Yıldız Technical University, İstanbul, 34349, Türkiye
ARTICLE INFO
ABSTRACT
Article history
Received: 19 November 2021 Thermal comfort is related to the stability of the ambient temperature. Constant changes in
Revised: 28 June 2022 ambient temperature appear as a situation that negatively affects comfort. The selected build-
Accepted: 01 July 2022 ing systems must be arranged to maintain this stability for the continuity of thermal comfort.
In this study, issues affecting thermal comfort in water system underfloor heating applications
Keywords: of buildings are handled and analyzed using the Bayesian Network modeling methodology.
Bayesian Network; Thermal Visual examples of the problems encountered in field applications are also given. Three dif-
Comfort; Water System ferent scenarios are tested with the constructed Bayesian Network model. In the first scenario,
Underfloor Heating assumed that mechanical project failures were prevented. In this case, it was observed that the
failure rate decreased by about 5%. In the second scenario, assumed that mechanical applica-
tion failures are prevented along with mechanical project failures. The failure rate decreased
by 11% compared to the first situation. The third scenario assumed that the mechanical proj-
ect preparation phase was concluded without any problems, the mechanical project was im-
plemented without any failures, and the mechanical system was commissioned without any
problems. In the last scenario, the failure rate decreased by 14% compared to the first case, and
the probability of not providing thermal comfort remained at 2%. As a result of these three
scenarios, the possibility of not providing thermal comfort in the underfloor heating system
is detailed and interpreted.
Cite this article as: Erkol S, Yücesan M, Gül M, Güneri AF. Investigation of issues affecting
thermal comfort in water system underfloor heating applications of buildings with Bayesian
networks. J Ther Eng 2023;9(4):968−978.
*Corresponding author.
*E-mail address: melihyucesan@munzur.edu.tr
This paper was recommended for publication in revised form by Editor
in Chief Ahmet Selim Dalkilic
heated fluid and heat conductors to transfer heat to the Khaleel et al. [12] conducted numerical and experimen-
ambient air. In central systems, the circulation pumps that tal studies using parameters such as indoor air movement
pump the heated fluid into the system are not coupled to and temperature distribution to increase the building
the heater device as in individual systems. Since central occupants’ thermal comfort. It has been found that there
heating systems are high-capacity, high-flow systems, the is a close relationship between thermal comfort and the
pumps are montaged on a separate system supply group. opening position of the exhaust. Alam and Salve [13] The
The purpose of circulation pumps; is to ensure that the parameters that will affect the thermal comfort of the peo-
closed-circuit loop is made. In heating systems, the heated ple in the kitchen have been examined in detail by dividing
fluid must be circulated within the system. Circulation them into two groups environmental and personal factors.
pumps realize this cycle. Since heaters such as combi boil- Auffenberg et al. [15] presented a personalized thermal
ers do not require high capacities, they contain a circulation comfort model using a BN. Also They analyze the causal
pump and hot water storage. It does not need a separate relationships between thermal comfort and the related fac-
circulation pump grouping as in central systems [1]. tors, Aoki et al. [16] proposed a BN model. In [17], time-de-
The system has a circulation pump that circulates the pendent variations in personal thermal comfort are studied
heating water. It is applied in many areas such as hotels, via a dynamic BN. Similarly, evaluation of building design
wedding halls, factories, public buildings, schools, hospi- and its consequences for employee performance and opera-
tals, airports, health centers, fair halls, high-rise buildings, tional costs is handled under a BN approach in [18]. When
and shopping centers. If the end-users meet their heating the studies dealing with thermal comfort are examined, it is
needs individually, not from a central system, it is called an seen that most of the studies examine the parameters affect-
individual heating system. The difference between individ- ing thermal comfort. Although the studies that deal with
ual heating systems from central heating systems; Each flat thermal comfort and Bayesian networks (BN) are quite lim-
or region uses its own devices, such as combi boilers as heat- ited, the study presents different scenario analyses for dif-
ers. These devices have a lower capacity than large-capacity ferent situations that deal with the mechanical application,
devices such as boilers. In addition, circulation pumps are automation system, construction system, start-up defects,
usually on the device. It is used in areas with lower capac- and mechanical project failure affect thermal comfort
ity needs, such as residences, villas, and small workplaces. together in detail. In this respect, the study will enrich the
Underfloor heating systems are widely preferred in build- literature. This paper investigates thermal comfort in the
ings today to ensure uniform heat distribution in the envi- water system underfloor heating applications of buildings
ronment. Heated air tends to rise, according to the laws of using a BN model. Modeling and scenario analysis were
thermodynamics. In the light of this information, designing performed in GeNle 2.4, a software for building graphical
the heating systems from the area close to the ground is one decision-theoretic BN models.
of the important criteria for providing thermal comfort.
Solving the heating system as a floor heating application is
THEORY
one of the ideal methods to achieve thermal comfort. The
problems to be experienced in the processes leading to the BN is a causal inference model that aims to express
underfloor heating application can be encountered as the uncertainties using a set of conditional events, similar to
inability to provide the desired thermal comfort to the end human cognitive thinking [19]. Bayesian networks are
users [2,3]. one type of graphical models containing probability dis-
In the study, the issues that effect the thermal com- tributions. This graph consists of nodes and arcs. Nodes
fort to be not provided in the water system floor heating represent random variables, while arcs represent causal
applications were examined, and BN model compared the relationships between nodes [20].
factors affecting the thermal comfort. Problems in thermal BN is used extensively for causal inference and discrim-
comfort cause people to be affected physically and men- ination and to support decision-making systems. the joint
tally. Providing thermal comfort in working environments probability can be expressed as Eq. (1) [19]
will increase the employees’ productivity and lead to better
quality work results.
The literature handles thermal comfort from different (1)
perspectives [4-12]. While in [4], the individual difference
in thermal comfort is reviewed, [6] investigates thermal
comfort in hospitals. The relationship between thermal Where Xi represent parent nodes. The marginal prob-
comfort and building control research is comprehensively ability of Xi
handled [9]. Studies of [7-9, 11-12] focus on building
thermal comfort in general with state-of-the art literature (2)
reviews. In [10], the thermal comfort of educational build-
ings is analyzed. The literature also highlights the usage
and application of BNs regarding thermal comfort topics. Assuming the known evidence α, then Eq. (3)
970 J Ther Eng, Vol. 9, No. 4, pp. 968−978, July, 2023
Figure 6. The constructed BN regarding the issues affecting thermal comfort in water system underfloor heating applica-
tions of buildings.
J Ther Eng, Vol. 9, No. 4, pp. 968−978, July, 2023 973
Also, three different scenario analyses are performed to The commissioning of the mechanical system (B5) has
determine which parameters should be improved to ensure been carried out without any problems. In this case, it will
thermal comfort. be concluded that thermal comfort will be provided in 98
In the first scenario (Figure 7), it was assumed that of 100 projects.
mechanical project failures (B4) were prevented. Even if all As shown in Figure 10, the risk of not providing ther-
system equipment is assembled on site by standards, selec- mal comfort in underfloor heating systems at the con-
tion failures due to system design will affect thermal com- struction site is around 16%, according to experience.
fort conditions. The scenario assumes that such failures are The scenarios have been investigated which factors can
prevented. Thus, it has been seen that it is possible to reduce be avoided by eliminating this risk. When the assump-
the rate of possible problems in providing the thermal com- tion that mechanical project failures (B4) is prevented in
fort of the underfloor heating system after the application. scenario one is carried out, it was seen that the risk of not
In this case, thermal comfort will not be provided in 11 of reaching thermal comfort decreased by 5% and reached
every 100 projects. the order of 11%. As a result of the controls to be made
In the second scenario (Figure 8), it is assumed that at the project stage before starting the application in the
mechanical application failures (B1) are prevented along field, it has been seen that the project, whose calculations
with mechanical project failures(B4). It has been observed and technical drawings are correct, has a significant con-
that the risk to be experienced in thermal comfort has tribution to thermal comfort. The impeccable mechanical
been significantly reduced with the precautions to be taken project prevents the wrong selections arising from the proj-
during the design of the mechanical project by the need of ect from being applied incorrectly in the field. It prevents
underfloor heating and the perfect implementation of the negative effects on thermal comfort. Therefore, the 5%
mechanical project on the site. In this case, 5 out of 100 decrease in the error rate seems reasonable. In scenario 2,
projects will not provide thermal comfort. it is assumed that mechanical application failures (B1) are
In the third scenario (Figure 9), it is assumed that the prevented and mechanical project failures(B4). In this case,
mechanical project preparation phase (B4), which is the the risk of not reaching thermal comfort has decreased to
first stage of the mechanical works process, has been con- 5%. We can see that the right system design and the proper
cluded without any problems, the mechanical project has mechanical application are essential in heating systems and
been implemented without any failures in the field (B1). thermal comfort. The mechanical project, which is one of
Figure 7. Failure probabilities for the first scenario (B4 is set as No).
J Ther Eng, Vol. 9, No. 4, pp. 968−978, July, 2023 975
Figure 8. Failure probabilities for the second scenario. (B1 and B4 are set as No).
Figure 9. Failure probabilities for the third scenario. (B1, B4 and B5 are set as No).
976 J Ther Eng, Vol. 9, No. 4, pp. 968−978, July, 2023
BN was created with these errors (considering the effect of [4] Wang Z, de Dear R, Luo M, Lin B, He Y, Ghahramani
each other). The probability of the main event, “Failure to A, Zhu Y. Individual difference in thermal comfort: A
provide thermal comfort in the underfloor heating system,” literature review. Build Environ 2018;138:181−193.
was determined by injecting the independent and condi- [CrossRef]
tional probability into the bayesian network. Thanks to the [5] Khodakarami J, Nasrollahi N. Thermal comfort
BN, the probabilities of each error occurring one by one in hospitals - A literature review. Renew Sustain
were determined. Thus, it was determined which error Energy Rev 2012;16:4071−4077. [CrossRef]
affected the main event and how much. However, as men- [6] Park JY, Nagy Z. Comprehensive analysis of the
tioned in the study, thermal comfort is important for any relationship between thermal comfort and building
building. It is planned that this study will set an example control research - A data-driven literature review.
for more extensive studies to be carried out for thermal Renew Sustain Energy Rev 2018;82:2664−2679.
comfort in the future. In future studies, Considering large [CrossRef]
buildings such as hotels, shopping centers, hospitals, and [7] Karmann C, Schiavon S, Bauman F. Thermal
business centers, incoming data can be stored by follow- comfort in buildings using radiant vs. all-air sys-
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AUTHORSHIP CONTRIBUTIONS
[9] Rupp RF, Vásquez NG, Lamberts R. A review of
Authors equally contributed to this work. human thermal comfort in the built environment.
Energy Build 2015;105:178−205. [CrossRef]
[10] Zomorodian ZS, Tahsildoost M, Hafezi M. Thermal
DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT
comfort in educational buildings: A review arti-
The authors confirm that the data that supports the cle. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 2016;59:895−906.
findings of this study are available within the article. Raw [CrossRef]
data that support the finding of this study are available from [11] Taleghani M, Tenpierik M, Kurvers S, van den
the corresponding author, upon reasonable request. Dobbelsteen A. A review into thermal com-
fort in buildings. Renew Sustain Energy Rev
2013;26:201−215. [CrossRef]
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
[12] Khaleel A, Ahmed A, Dakkama H, Al-Shohani W.
The author declared no potential conflicts of interest Effect of exhaust layout on the indoor thermal com-
with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication fort under harsh weather conditions. J Therm Eng
of this article. 2020;7:148−160. [CrossRef]
[13] Alam MS, Salve UR. Factors affecting on human ther-
mal comfort inside the kitchen area of railway pan-
ETHICS
try car - a review. J Therm Eng 2021;14:2093−2106.
There are no ethical issues with the publication of this [CrossRef]
manuscript. [14] Enescu D. A review of thermal comfort models and
indicators for indoor environments. Renew Sustain
Energy Rev 2017;79:1353−1379. [CrossRef]
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