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Thomas Malthus
ENGLISH ECONOMIST AND DEMOGRAPHER
WRITTEN BY:
Donald Gunn MacRae
See Article History
Alternative Title: Thomas Robert Malthus
In 1819 Malthus was elected a fellow of the Royal Society; in 1821 he joined
the Political Economy Club, whose members included Ricardo and James
Mill; and in 1824 he was elected one of the 10 royal associates of the Royal
Society of Literature. In 1833 he was elected to the French Académie des
Sciences Morales et Politiques and to the Royal Academy of Berlin. Malthus
was one of the cofounders, in 1834, of the Statistical Society of London.
Malthusian Theory
In 1798 Malthus published anonymously the first edition of An Essay on the
Principle of Population as It Affects the Future Improvement of Society, with
Remarks on the Speculations of Mr. Godwin, M. Condorcet, and Other
Writers.The work received wide notice. Briefly, crudely, yet strikingly, Malthus
argued that infinite human hopes for social happiness must be vain, for
population will always tend to outrun the growth of production. The increase of
population will take place, if unchecked, in a geometric progression, while the
means of subsistence will increase in only an arithmetic progression.
Population will always expand to the limit of subsistence and will be held there
by famine, war, and ill health. “Vice” (which included, for Malthus,
contraception), “misery,” and “self-restraint” alone could check this excessive
growth.
Title page of an 1806 edition of Thomas Malthus's An Essay on the Principle of Population.©
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https://www.britannica.com/biography/Thomas-Malthus
Thomas Robert Malthus was the first economist to propose a systematic theory of
population. He articulated his views regarding population in his famous
book, Essay on the Principle of Population (1798), for which he collected empirical
data to support his thesis. Malthus had the second edition of his book published in
1803, in which he modified some of his views from the first edition, but essentially
his original thesis did not change.
On the basis of a hypothetical world population of one billion in the early nineteenth
century and an adequate means of subsistence at that time, Malthus suggested that
there was a potential for a population increase to 256 billion within 200 years but
that the means of subsistence were only capable of being increased enough for nine
billion to be fed at the level prevailing at the beginning of the period. He therefore
considered that the population increase should be kept down to the level at which it
could be supported by the operation of various checks on population growth, which
he categorized as "preventive" and "positive" checks.
The chief preventive check envisaged by Malthus was that of "moral restraint",
which was seen as a deliberate decision by men to refrain "from pursuing the
dictate of nature in an early attachment to one woman", i.e. to marry later in life
than had been usual and only at a stage when fully capable of supporting a family.
This, it was anticipated, would give rise to smaller families and probably to fewer
families, but Malthus was strongly opposed to birth control within marriage and did
not suggest that parents should try to restrict the number of children born to them
after their marriage. Malthus was clearly aware that problems might arise from the
postponement of marriage to a later date, such as an increase in the number of
illegitimate births, but considered that these problems were likely to be less serious
than those caused by a continuation of rapid population increase.
He saw positive checks to population growth as being any causes that contributed
to the shortening of human lifespans. He included in this category poor living and
working conditions which might give rise to low resistance to disease, as well as
more obvious factors such as disease itself, war, and famine. Some of the
conclusions that can be drawn from Malthus's ideas thus have obvious political
connotations and this partly accounts for the interest in his writings and possibly
also the misrepresentation of some of his ideas by authors such as Cobbett, the
famous early English radical. Some later writers modified his ideas, suggesting, for
example, strong government action to ensure later marriages. Others did not
accept the view that birth control should be forbidden after marriage, and one
group in particular, called the Malthusian League, strongly argued the case for birth
control, though this was contrary to the principles of conduct which Malthus himself
advocated.
http://cgge.aag.org/PopulationandNaturalResources1e/CF_PopNatRes_Jan10/
CF_PopNatRes_Jan108.html
Instructor: Robin Harley
Robin has a PhD in health psychology. She has taught undergraduate and graduate psychology, health science,
and health education.
Known for his work on population growth, Thomas Robert Malthus argued that if left unchecked, a
population will outgrow its resources, leading to a host of problems. In this lesson, we will define and
discuss the Malthusian theory of population growth.
In his 1798 work, An Essay on the Principle of Population, Malthus examined the
relationship between population growth and resources. From this, he developed
the Malthusian theory of population growth in which he wrote that population
growth occurs exponentially, so it increases according to birth rate.
For example, if every member of a family tree reproduces, the tree will continue
to grow with each generation. On the other hand, food production increases
arithmetically, so it only increases at given points in time. Malthus wrote that,
left unchecked, populations can outgrow their resources.
According to Malthus, there are two types of 'checks' that can reduce a
population's growth rate. Preventive checks are voluntary actions people can
take to avoid contributing to the population. Because of his religious beliefs, he
supported a concept he called moral restraint, in which people resist the urge to
marry and reproduce until they are capable of supporting a family. This often
means waiting until a later age to marry. He also wrote that there are 'immoral'
ways to check a population, such as vices, adultery, prostitution, and birth
control. Due to his beliefs, he favored moral restraint and didn't support the
latter practices.
Positive checks to population growth are things that may shorten the average
lifespan, such as disease, warfare, famine, and poor living and working
environments. According to Malthus, eventually these positive checks would
result in a Malthusian catastrophe (also sometimes called a Malthusian crisis),
which is a forced return of a population to basic survival.
The Irish potato famine of the 19th century has been considered a classic
example of a Malthusian catastrophe. In addition to dealing with political and
economic relations with England and fragmentation of their land, the rapidly
growing Irish population was running out of food.
There are often other factors involved in events that could be labeled as
Malthusian catastrophes, so many scholars take caution when providing modern
examples.
A graph illustrating the Malthusian theory of population growth
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