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d. describe how legal, regulatory, and tax considerations affect the issuance
and trading of fixed-income securities;
Basic Features/
1/ Issuer
Supranational organizations (World Bank)
gov’t. Governments sovereign (national)
sector non-sovereign (state, provincial, municipal)
quasi-government (government owned or
corporate sponsored agencies)
sector Companies (corporate, either financial or non-financial)
Page 2
Basic Features/
LOS a
2/ Maturity - maturity date principal due - describe
- tenor time remaining to maturity date
- range from overnight to 30 years (or longer)
Page 3
Basic Features/
LOS a
4/ Coupon Rate & Frequency - describe
coupon annual amount of interest payments made
(coupon rate × par value)
e.g./ 6%, $1000 bond $60 annually typically gov’t., corporate
$30 semi-annually
QUIBS - quarterly interest
$15 quarterly
QUIDS bonds
$5 monthly quarterly interest
MBS
debt securities
plain vanilla or conventional bond – fixed coupon
floating rate notes (FRNs, floaters) - a reference rate + a spread
London pays pays pays fluctuates constant
Interbank 4.75% 4.65% 4.50% (e.g. Libor) (in bps)
offered Dec June Dec June
e.g. Libor + 150 bps
rate (Libor)
3.25 3.15 3.00 2.95
Page 4
Basic Features/ LOS a
4/ Coupon Rate & Frequency - describe
no coupon payments - sold at a discount
zero-coupon bond
all income = interest
most money market securities = zero coupon
5/ Currency Denomination - can be issued in any currency
EM countries typically opt to issue either USD or EUR
- makes it easier to place the bond denominated bonds
Page 5
Yield Measures/ current or running yield LOS a
- describe
Page 6
Bond Indenture LOS b
- trust deed legal contract form of the bond - describe
obligations of the issuer
guided by
rights of the bondholder
Page 7
Bond Indenture LOS b
2/ Sources of repayment proceeds - describe
Supranational repayment of previous loans
paid-in capital from its members
tax revenues
Government Sovereign full ‘faith and credit’
print money
Non-sovereign taxes
project cash flows
special taxes/fees specific to the
Corporate CFO funding
Securitized periodic payments of principle + interest
from securities held
3/ Asset or Collateral Backing
A/ Senior Ranking secured bond backed by assets (less risky)
unsecured bond general pledge
senior
junior
Debenture - can be secured or unsecured
Page 8
Bond Indenture
LOS b
3/ Asset or Collateral Backing - describe
B/ Types of Collateral Backing
Collateral Trust Bond - backed by other financial assets (held by a
Equipment Trust Certificate - backed by specific equipment trustee)
- typically used to engineer a lease
pays issues
Airline Trustee Certificate
leases $
buys
assets
MBS - backed by a pool of mortgages
Covered bonds - backed by a segregated pool of assets
that are not transferred to a SPE
- if the assets become non-performing, must be
replaced by other assets
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Page 9
Bond Indenture LOS b
4/ Credit Enhancements - reduce the credit risk of a bond - describe
a) Internal subordination or credit tranching junior – last
overcollateralization paid
senior 2
- posting more collateral senior 1
than is needed ‘waterfall structure’
reserve accounts or reserve funds
• cash reserve fund➁ - a deposit of cash that can
be used to absorb losses
• excess spread account e.g. 8% in, 6.5% out
b) External Bank guarantee and surety bonds up to some %’age
(Bank) (Insurance Co.)
called the
Letter of credit - a credit line to ‘penal sum’
reimburse any cash flow shortfalls from
the assets backing the issue
Page 10
LOS b, c
Bond Indenture - describe
4/ Credit Enhancements - compare
b) External cash collateral account - does not rely on 3rd party
creditworthiness
5/ Covenants - legally enforceable rules
Affirmative - typically administrative in nature
- what issuers are required to do
➁
e.g./ What the issuer will do with the proceeds, promise to comply
with all laws and regulations, maintain its current line of
business, insure/maintain its assets, pay taxes
Page 11
Bond Indenture LOS b, c
5/ Covenants · Negative - describe
· Restrictions on prior claims (for unsecured bonds) - cannot use - compare
Page 12
Legal/Regulatory Considerations/ LOS d
- describe
· Domestic bonds - issued in issuer’s home country in the currency
of that country (e.g. Can. Co. issues in Canada in CAD)
· Foreign bonds - issuing entity not of the target country
(e.g. U.S. Co. issues in Canada in CAD)
Page 13
Legal/Regulatory Considerations/ LOS d
- global bonds bonds issued simultaneously in the Eurobond - describe
market and in at least one domestic market
- ensures sufficient demand for large bond issues
- domestic, foreign, Eurobond & global bonds are subject to different
legal, regulatory & tax requirements
- the market rate that affects a bond’s price is the currency
in which the bond is denominated ➁
Tax Considerations/
· Interest - typically taxed as ordinary income (unless tax-exempt)
· Capital gains/losses - long-term vs. short-term
Page 14
Bullet, Fully-amortizing, Partially amortizing bonds
LOS e
- describe
- most common
- almost all gov’t.
& corporate bonds
➁
(N = 5, PV = -1000, FV = 0, I/Y = 6) CPT PMT 237.3964
Page 15
Bullet, Fully-amortizing, Partially amortizing bonds LOS e
- describe
N = 5, I/Y = 6, PV = -1000,
FV = 200
CPT PMT = 201.917
Page 16
Sinking fund arrangement/ LOS e
issuer trustee redeems bonds in open - describe
$
market or serial #
- also may involve redeeming some lottery
increasing %’age each year
- lowers default (i.e. credit) risk, but raises re-investment risk or
call risk (called at par but trading at a premium)
Page 17
Coupon payment structure/ LOS e
- describe
cap - maximum rate
· Floating rate notes - may have if both, called
floor - minimum rate
a collared FRN
· inverse or reverse FRN (inverse floater) - if the
reference rate ↓, coupon ↑ instead
· Step-up coupons - may be fixed or floating
- coupon increases by specified margins at specified dates
- offer bondholders some➁ protection against rising rates
· Credit-linked coupon bonds - coupon changes when bond’s credit
rating changes (↓/↑ by some margin with every ↑/↓
in credit rating)
· PIK (payment-in-kind) bonds - interest paid with more amounts
of the bond (or with common shares)
PIK toggle issuer has the option to pay coupon
in cash or in kind (or some mix)
· usually tied to a cash flow trigger
Page 18
LOS e
Coupon payment structure/ - describe
· Deferred coupon bonds (split coupon bonds) - no coupon payments
for the first few years followed by higher coupon
than otherwise
- common in project financing (delay payments until the project
is complete)
· Index-Linked bonds - coupons are linked to some index
(e.g. inflation-linked
➁ bonds tied to CPI)
with
without Inf.
Inf.
Inf.
real real real
real rate nominal nominal rate
decreases rate increases
Page 19
Coupon payment structure/ LOS e
· Index-Linked bonds - describe
· zero-coupon indexed bond inflation adjustment via principal only
e.g./ $1000 face value principal payment = $1,050
5% inflation
· interest-indexed bonds fixed nominal principal + index-linked coupon
$1000 face value, 4% semi-annual coupon, 5% inflation
Page 20
Bonds with contingency provisions/ LOS f
- describe
some future event or circumstance that is possible
but not certain
- contingency provision gives issuer or bondholder a right to some
action
1/ Callable Bonds - issuer has the right to embedded
redeem all or part of the bond before maturity ‘option’
- issuer is protected from a decline
➁ in interest rates
- can re-issue at lower rates
- call option has value to the issuer higher coupon or lower price
- detailed in the bond indenture: compensates for higher
· call price · call dates reinvestment risk
· call premium (shrinks as time passes)
· call protection period (lockout period) cannot be called until
some future date
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Page 21
Bonds with contingency provisions/ LOS f
1/ Callable bonds - describe
- results in a
- make whole call PV of
call price > current
market price
- calls can be: American - continuously callable
European - only on call date (1 date)
Bermuda - only on call
➁ dates after the lockout period
- usually on coupon dates
2/ Putable bonds - bondholder can put bond back to issuer on
certain dates @ specific prices (value for bondholder)
- lower yield or higher prices
- protects against a rise in rates
one-time put bonds - European
multiple put bonds - Bermuda
Page 22
Bonds with contingency provisions/
LOS f
3/ Convertible bonds - hybrid security, 5-10 yr. maturities - describe
- bondholder has the right to exchange the bond for a
specified number of shares
- if share price ↓, get bond principal (downside protection)
- if share price ↑, get share price (upside participation)
- lower yield or higher price (yield higher than dividend yield however)
- issuer pays lower interest, plus may➁avoid principal repayment
· Key Terms e.g.
· Conversion Price - price/share $20
· Conversion Ratio # of shares/bond 50
· Conversion Value P0 conv. ratio P0 = 19 , CV = 950
· Conversion Premium $Bond - Con. Value $1000 - 950 = 50
· Conversion Parity $Bond = Con. Value below par
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Page 23
Bonds with contingency provisions/ LOS f
3/ Convertible bonds - describe
- typically also have call provisions to force conversations
- avoids ‘overhanging convertibles’ when above parity
j. describe repurchase agreements (repos) and the risks associated with them.
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Page 2
Classification of Fixed-Income Markets/
LOS a, b
5/ by coupon – floating rate = reference rate + spread - describe
· resets · typically constant
periodically · set at issuance
Libor – reflects the rate at
· typically Libor · f(credit risk)
which unsecured loans can
be obtained between banks in the
Interbank Money Market is actually a collection of rates
ranging from overnight up to one year
Process/ 8-16 banks submit daily rates they believe they could
borrow at for 5 currencies and 7 time periods (35 rates)
USD, EUR, JPY, GBP, CHF 1 day, 1 wk., 1-2-3-6-12 months
Page 3
Classification of Fixed-Income Markets/ LOS a
6/ by Geography · Domestic legal, regulatory and tax - describe
Page 4
Primary bond markets/ LOS c
· Public Offerings a) underwritten offerings - describe
3. Investment bank structures the offering
· bond terms · regulatory filings · circulars/prospectus
· selects trustee
4. Announcement date to end of subscription period
- underwriter gauges demand + price
- marketing efforts
- anchors (large inst. investors)
- grey market (forward mkt.)
· pricing date
- last day to commit
- final terms solidified
· next day = offering
5. Issuing phase money changes hands
6. Closing date about 14 days from issue date
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Page 5
Primary bond markets/ LOS c
· Public Offerings a) underwritten offerings - describe
· shelf registration certain issuers can offer additional bonds
to the public without having to prepare a new
and separate offering
- may be used to cover multiple bond issues
b) best-efforts offering – investment bank/syndicate serve
only as a broker for a commission
c) auction – single price auction all the winning bidders pay
the same price and receive the same coupon
rate (U.S. Treasuries)
- competitive + non-competitive bids
Page 6
Primary bond markets/ LOS c, d
· Public Offerings - describe
d) Private Placements · non-underwritten
· unregistered
· one/few investors (pension fund, insurance)
- typically no active secondary markets · low need for liquidity
· higher yield
Secondary bond markets/
investor investor Central Banks & large
investor dealer investor institutional investors
· exchange-listed very limited - very small retail
· OTC (over-the-counter) vast majority of bonds presence
- dealers act as market makers
· post bid - offer
< 5 bps – very liquid
spread lower = more liquid 10-12 – reasonable
> 50 - illiquid
- no bid/offer = completely illiquid
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Page 7
Secondary bond markets/ LOS c, d
· Settlement – bonds passed to buyer and payment made - describe
· gov’t./quasi-gov’t. cash or T + 1
· corporate T + 2 or T + 3, maybe even T + 7
(some jurisdictions)
Page 8
Sovereign bonds/ LOS e
· Credit Quality typically unsecured obligations - describe
paid out of budget surplus
deficits require ‘rolling over’ the principal + interest
- risk-free (theoretically) AAA or Aaa (only a few)
· local currency higher credit rating than foreign currency
- strong domestic savings base solid domestic demand
- liquid and freely traded currency strong international demand
Page 9
Non-Sovereign/Quasi-government/Supranational/ LOS f
· Non-Sovereign: state, province, municipality - describe
- not guaranteed by the national government
schools
- typically issued to finance public projects roads
hospitals
- ranging tax treatment depending on type & jurisdiction
- credit ratings differ widely, but generally high
- higher yield/lower price than comparable sovereigns
Page 10
Corporate Debt/ LOS g
- companies have a choice: Debt or Equity - describe
public private
· Private debt: 1/ Bi-lateral loans – single lender to single borrower
floating-rate usually bank typically
2/ Syndicated loans – a group of lenders to a single
borrower
can be packaged not all will be banks
and securitized
Page 11
Corporate Debt/ LOS g
· Public debt: 1/ Commercial paper Credit quality - describe
prime paper IG
illiquidity
Page 13
Corporate Debt/
LOS g
· Public debt: 2/ Corporate Notes and Bonds - describe
quarterly
· Coupon payment structures fixed or inflation
semi-annual
floating market
annual
credit
- also zero coupon, deferred coupon, PIK bonds quality
· Principal repayment structures
- serial maturity – maturity dates are spread out over the bond’s life
- a stated # of bonds mature each year
- term maturity – principal all paid on one date (more credit risk)
· Asset or collateral backing – seniority ranking, secured vs.
unsecured
· Contingency provisions – calls, puts, conversions
· Issuance, Trading, Settlement
underwritten T + 2 or T + 3, longer for new issues
OTC
best efforts
Page 14
Structured Financial Instruments/ LOS h
1/ Capital protected Instruments - describe
buy a zero coupon bond + call options
equity
discount security on an index
commodity
pays principal + option payoff
Page 15
Structured Financial Instruments/ LOS h
3/ Participation instruments – participate in the return of - describe
an underlying asset
- offer exposure to a particular index or asset price
Page 16
Short-term funding alternatives for banks
LOS i
1/ Retail Deposits – individual and commercial depositors - describe
· demand deposits pay no interest
· savings accounts pay interest but lack service levels of
demand deposits
· money market accounts money market rates of return
Page 17
Short-term funding alternatives for banks LOS i
2/ Short-term wholesale funds - describe
b) Interbank funds loans/deposits between banks (unsecured)
term: overnight to one year
rate interbank offered rate bank will typically quote 2 rates
fixed rate rate at which it will lend
rate at which it will accept a
deposit
c) Large denomination negotiable CDs
allows depositor to sell CD in open market
before maturity
· usually issued in denominations of $1M or more (U.S.)
· typically traded among institutional investors
· have maturities < 1 yr., pay interest at maturity
· yields are driven primarily by the credit risk of the issuing bank
Page 18
Short-term funding alternatives for banks
LOS j
3/ Repurchase and reverse repurchase agreements - describe
· repo the sale of a security with
funds
an agreement to buy it back at an Bank Bank
agreed on price at some future date A security B
repurchase price repurchase date
- basically a collateralized
- term = one day called an overnight repo loan
= longer term repo
Page 19
Short-term funding alternatives for banks LOS j
3/ Repurchase and reverse repurchase agreements - describe
· interest is paid at the end of the repo term
· if the collateral pays interest, belongs to the borrower
b. identify the relationships among a bond’s price, coupon rate, maturity, and
market discount rate (yield-to-maturity);
c. define spot rates and calculate the price of a bond using spot rates;
d. describe and calculate the flat price, accrued interest, and the full price of a
bond;
g. calculate and interpret yield measures for fixed-rate bonds and floating-rate
notes;
i. define and compare the spot curve, yield curve on coupon bonds, par curve,
and forward curve;
j. define forward rates and calculate spot rates from forward rates, forward
rates from spot rates, and the price of a bond using forward rates;
Page 2
Bond Prices/ LOS a, b
a) using a single ‘market discount factor’ - calculate
- semi-annual: 5 yr., 4% semi-annual bond, r = 6% - identify
(N = 10, I/Y = 3, PMT = 2, FV = 100) CPT PV = 91.46979
(vs. 91.575 for annual)
5 yr., 8% semi-annual bond, r = 6%
(N = 10, I/Y = 3, PMT = 4, FV = 100) CPT PV = 108.5302
(vs. 108.425 for annual)
- quarterly: (N = 20, I/Y = 1.5, PMT = 1, FV = 100) CPT PV = 91.4156
(N = 20, I/Y = 1.5, PMT = 2, FV = 100) CPT PV = 108.5843
Note: discount bonds PV ↓ as periodicity ↑
premium bonds PV ↑ as periodicity ↑
- if semi-annual
N = 8, PMT = 2.5, PV = -105, FV = 100
CPT I/Y = 1.82265 /semi-annual period 2 = 3.645315%
- if quarterly the greater the
N = 16, PMT = 1.25, PV = -105, FV = 100 periodicity, the
CPT I/Y = .912705 x 4 = 3.6508 higher the YTM
- if monthly
N = 48, PMT = , PV = -105, FV = 100
x 12 = 3.6545
CPT I/Y = .30454
Page 4
LOS a, b
Bond Prices/
- calculate
· 4 relationships 1/ PV inversely related to I/Y
- identify
- bond price is inversely related to the market
discount rate
2/ given the same coupon & time to maturity: (inverse effect)
%’age price when market rates increase is less than
price - called a ‘convexity effect’ when rates decrease
4.95% ↑ as r ↓ 1%
4.60% ↓ as r ↑ 1%
convexity effect
all rise all drop
coupon effect
longer term bonds = higher price vol. lower coupon = higher note: maturity effect
price vol. does not hold for low
coupon, LT-bonds @
maturity effect a discount
Page 6
Bond Prices/ LOS a, b
- calculate
- identify
Page 7
Bond Prices/ LOS c
b) using multiple discount rates - define
- spot rates rates that correspond to a bond’s cash flow - calculate
dates
rather than using the same discount rate, each cash flow
is discounted by its associated spot rate
PV referred to as the bond’s yields-to-maturity on zero-
‘no arbitrage value’ coupon bonds maturing at
the date of each cash flow
e.g./
PV = ( . ) ( . ) ( . )
3 yr., 5% annual bond
r(1) = 2% r(2) = 3% r(3) = 4%
(N = 3, PMT = 5, PV = -102.96, FV = 100) CPT I/Y = 3.935% (YTM)
Page 8
Prices and Yields/ LOS d
- when a bond is between coupon dates, its price has - calculate
2 parts the flat price - PVflat sum = PVfull
accrued interest - AI
dirty price
Page 9
Prices and Yields/ LOS d
- calculate
-
+ 30 + 31 + 15 = 181
= + + + =
N = 18 Aug. 15 - Feb. 15
= .
PMT = 2.5 16 + 30 + 31 + 30
= ×( . )
I/Y = 2.4 + 31 + 31 + 15 = 184
= .
= × . FV = 100 = .
= . CPT PV = 101.4479 - 1.21547
= 101.408853
Page 10
Prices and Yields/
LOS d
e.g./ 6% corporate semi, settles Jun 18/2015 - calculate
coupon dates Mar./Sept. 19 June 18
matures Sept. 19/2026 Mar 19 Sept 19 Mar 19
r = 6.2% *
-
Page 11
Prices and Yields/ LOS e
· Matrix Pricing - for fixed rate bonds without an active - describe
market, or not yet issued no market price to calculate
YTM
- estimate PV and r based on prices of more frequently
traded comparable bonds (i.e. similar tenor, coupons, credit quality)
Page 12
Prices and Yields/ LOS e
e.g./ 3 yr., 4% semi corporate - describe
2% 3% 4% 5% Coupon
2 98.50 102.25
3.786% 3.821% 3.8035%
3
3 yrs. . + ( . %−
4 . %)
= . ̇
5 90.25 99.125
4.1885%
4.181% 4.196% Step #5: Find PV
Note: if the bond were floating instead: (N = 6, I/Y = .
̇
, = ,
spread = 3.93183 - YTM on gov’t. 3 yr.-semi = )
if gov’t. YTM = 2.75% CPT PV = 100.191
spread = 118.183 bps
usually a different yield spread for each maturity & credit rating
Page 13
Yield Measures/
LOS f, g, h
1/ Fixed rate bonds - yield measures typically are - calculate
annualized and compounded (if > 1 yr.) - interpret
e.g./ 5-yr. zero @ 80 Periodicity
annual 80 = 1 r = 0.04564
semi-annual 80 = 2 r = 0.022565 2 = 0.04513
quarterly 80 = 4 r = 0.011220 4 = 0.04488
monthly 80 = 12 r = 0.003726 12 = 0.044712
Note: 4.564% = 2.2565 compounded semi-annually
= 1.1220 compounded quarterly
= .3726 compounded monthly
the effective annual rate
· Semi-annual bond basis yield or semi-annual bond equivalent yield
= yield/semi-annual period 2
2.2565 2 = 4.513%
Page 14
Yield Measures/
LOS f, g, h
1/ Fixed rate bonds - calculate
periodicity conversions: - interpret
monthly equivalent
Page 15
Yield Measures/ e.g./ 5 yr., 4.5% semi @ 98 LOS f, g, h
1/ Fixed rate bonds - calculate
annual YTM ? (N = 10, PMT = 2.25, PV = -98, FV = 100) - interpret
CPT I/Y = .0247826 2 = 4.95652%
(semi-annual bond basis)
convert to quarterly
convert to annual
- effective
annual
yield
· Street convention YTM that ignores the possibility that
a PMT date could be a weekend or holiday
· True yield takes any delayed PMT into consideration
Page 16
Yield Measures/ LOS f, g, h
1/ Fixed rate bonds - calculate
· government equivalent yield quoted for a corporate bond - interpret
restates to
results in a more accurate ‘spread over
benchmark’ measure
· simple yield =
Page 17
Yield Measures/ LOS f, g, h
1/ Fixed rate bonds - calculate
Embedded options/ - pricing involves an option pricing - interpret
model + assumption about future interest rate volatility
Option-adjusted price = Option free bond - value of call option
or/ (+ value of put option)
used to calculate the
option-adjusted yield
2/ Floating rate bonds
- reference rate is usually a short-term money market
rate (i.e. Libor)
- determined at the beginning of the period, paid at the end
(in arrears)
Fixed-Coupon price
Page 18
Yield Measures/ LOS f, g, h
2/ Floating rate bonds - common day count conventions - calculate
- interpret
· yield spread over the reference rate quoted margin credit related
· required margin spread required by investors to may even be
reflect changes in credit quality negative (sub-Libor
- changes usually come from changes in the issuer’s credit
FRN with quoted margin = 50 bps with no changes in risk
credit risk, required margin = 50bps
between PMT dates for a
premium
PMT PMT change in the reference
PV
rate but PV pulled to
-
Page 19
Yield Measures/ LOS f, g, h
2/ Floating rate bonds - calculate
- interpret
( + )× ( + )× ( + )×
+
= + + ⋯+
+ + +
+ + +
e.g./ 2 yr. FRN, pays 6-mos. Libor + 50 bps, required spread = 40 bps
1.25%
Index = .0125
N = 4
QM = .005
DM = .004 PMT = ( + )×
=
(. +. )×
=
.
=.
+ . +. .
I/Y = = = =. %
FV = 100
Page 20
Yield Measures/ LOS f, g, h
2/ Floating rate bonds - calculate
e.g./ 5 yr. FRN, pays 3-mos. Libor, QM = 75 bps, PV = 95.50 - interpret
(DM = ?)
1.10%
N = 20, FV = 100, PV = -95.50, PMT =
N = 16 2% (. )
PMT =
+ +.
× = × =.
FV = 100
CPT I/Y = .009478
PMT = .8125 (.009478 4) - Index = DM
PV = -98 = .017912
or/ 179.12 bps
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Page 21
Yield Measures/ LOS f, g, h
3/ Money market instruments - calculate
· annualized, but not compounded instead - interpret
rates of return are stated on a simple interest basis
Page 22
LOS f, g, h
Yield Measures/
- calculate
3/ Money market instruments - interpret
· Add-on rates
− .
D - AOR = 4.45, 365d = = . %
.
ok!
C. = × − ×. = .
. −
= = . %
Page 24
Maturity structure of interest rates/
LOS i
yield
- define
maturity structure
for bonds with the - compare
or
same · currency · credit risk
yield term structure
· liquidity · tax status
curve
· same coupon (reinvestment
time to risk held constant)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
maturity
· government bond spot curve YTMs for zero-coupon bonds for a
(a.k.a. zero or strip curve) full range of maturities
upward sloping normal longer maturities have higher YTMs
downward sloping inverted
- no coupon no reinvestment risk, but/ most bonds have coupons
need a term structure for coupon paying bonds, but/ older bonds
may have different tax/liquidity status use on-the-run bonds,
but/ there is limited data for the full range of maturities
interpolate between dates
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Page 25
Maturity structure of interest rates/ LOS i
- typically stated on - define
a semi-annual bond basis - compare
= + +
. ( . ) ( . )
PMT = 6.306
4 yr. - 7.008%
etc…
Page 26
Maturity structure of interest rates/
LOS j
· Forward curve based on forward rates - define
agreed on today, received/paid in the future - calculate
quoted as ‘when, what’
e.g./ 2y5y an agreement on a rate, when in 2 years
f(2,5) more common what a 5 yr. rate
- implied forward rates are calculated from spot rates
spots f(3,1) 3.65% f(3,1)
3 yr. = 3.615%
-
4 yr. = 4.18%
4.18%
semi-annual
bond basis
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Page 27
Maturity structure of interest rates/
LOS j
forward - define
spot - calculate
par par
spot
forward
Page 28
Yield Spreads/ LOS k
- compare
microeconomic - calculate
factors - interpret
Page 29
Yield Spreads/ LOS k
· U.S., UK, Japan spread over the benchmark for fixed - compare
rate securities is the G-spread (risk free) - calculate
· EUR benchmark is EUR interest swap rates I-spread - interpret
Page 30
Yield Spreads/ LOS k
e.g./ 6% annual corporate, 2 yrs. to maturity @ 100.125 - compare
2 yr., 4% annual gov’t. bond @ 100.750 - calculate
r(1) = 2.10% r(2) = 3.635% - interpret
b. describe securitization, including the parties involved in the process and the
roles they play;
i. describe collateralized debt obligations, including their cash flows and risks;
j. describe characteristics and risks of covered bonds and how they differ from
other asset-backed securities.
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Benefits of Securitization
Securitization
Page 1
Physical
Bond
asset
Investors
General
Debenture
claim
Auto
pool Asset-Backed
Home Investors
of Security
assets
Credit Card
Receivables
Student Loans
credit sensitive
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Page 2
buy a
Customer product Consumer Co. originator
may also be
makes a flow, through
credit criteria (- fee) servicer
loan
(underwriting standards) cash · collecting
sells
· repossessing
loans
sell
· liquidating
securities Consumer Asset
Investor (ABS) special
Trust (SPV)
interest purpose
+ cash vehicle
principal
Page 3
Seller originator of the loans (Consumer Co.)
Issuer/Trust SPV (Consumer Asset Trust)
Servicer Collections, etc. (Consumer Co.)
Others Lawyers, Underwriters, Accountants, Rating Agencies,
Trustees
Documents
Prospectus ‘waterfall’ – priority and amounts of
payments
· service fees · admin. fees
· principal · interest
Purchase Agreement (Seller SPV)
Waterfall Structure
Servicing Agreement (Servicer & SPV)
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Bonds Issued
Page 1
Asset1 Senior tranche
Asset2 $80M
Libor + 60 bps
Asset3
SPV
Assetn Mezzanine tranche
$15M credit
Principal Libor + 250 bps tranching
$100M
Equity tranche
$5M
Libor + 1000 bps
Page 2
Assets Senior tranche (80%) – easy to sell
an ABS of an ABS
Mezzanine tranche (15%)
Senior tranche (65%)
- hard to sell
‘AAA’
Equity tranche (5%)
Mezzanine tranche (25%)
‘BB’
retained by originator
Equity tranche (10%)
or sold to hedge fund
‘C’
Page 3
e.g./
Bond Class Par Value
A1 $ 40M
A2 30M each would have different
A3 20M terms to maturity and yields
A4 10M
Sequential – pay
- each bond class receives periodic interest
- However: principal is repaid as follows:
- all principal to A1 until paid in full
- next is A2 until paid in full
etc…
· Redistributes prepayment risk Called ‘Time Trancing’
or
‘Prepayment Trancing’
e.g./ Page 4
Bond Class Par Value
A1 $ 35M
A2 28M
AAA time
A3 15M
+ credit tranching
A4 12M
BB B (subordinate) 7M
C C (subordinate) 3M
$100M
Balance Sheet
·
Versus
Originator Co.
SPV sells securities
Balance Sheet Loans lower
Cash … higher rating
·
·
·
- loans leave Originator Co’s
Loans
Balance Sheet (legally segregated)
Conventional
Lender
Credit of Mortgage
Borrower + morg. insurance
perhaps Loan-to-Value (LTV)
payments to Ratio =
lender · principal
· interest
May include prepayments:
Page 2
· Prepayments amount & timing of cash flows is not known
with certainty (prepayment risk)
t= 0 t = 30
5 yrs.
-
-
· if repaid in full or if
· lockout period prepayment > some certain amt.
· penalty period = penalty
(usually X months interest)
· Interest Rate Determination
· Fixed Rate, Level Payment, Fully Amortizing
ceiling
· Adjustable Rate Mortgages (ARMs)
floor
· Others: Initial Period Fixed Rate, then floating
: Teaser + Reset
: Convertible (Fixed Floating) or reverse
Principal Page 4
Interest-service fee
recourse non-recourse
- borrowers walk away
· all assets of the
borrower can be used
to make the lender
whole
Residential MBS
Not all mortgages have the same rate or time left Page 2
e.g.
Beg. Bal33 = $358,326,766
Sched. Prin.33 297,825
Prepay33 1,841,347
or 100 PSA
Public
Securities
Association
6%
t=0 30
0 PSA = no prepayments
100 PSA = prepayments at the same speed as the benchmark
less than 100 = slower more than 100 = faster
Page 6
Cash Flow Construction
if t < 30, then CPR = 6%
t ≥ 30, then CPR = 6%
Page 7
e.g. $400M, 7.5% Pass-through, WAC of 8.125%, WAM = 357 months
Months
from Months Beg.
now Seasoned Balance SMM PMT Principal
1 4 $400,000,000 .000669 2,975,868 2.5M 267,535
2 5 399,464,995 .001106 N = 357
399,390,077 PV = 400M
FV = 0
I/Y = .
Page 8
Weighted Average Life
- assumptions of an
upper & lower PSA Month @90 PSA @300 PSA Min. Pr. PMT
1 508,169 1,075,391 508,169
lower PSA – 90 2 569,843 1,279,412 569,843
3 631,377 1,482,194 631,377
initial PAC collar/bond
· · · ·
· · · ·
· · · ·
· · · ·
· · · ·
Page 4
Floating-rate tranches - collateral pays a fixed rate
Solution: the CMO still gets a fixed -$ interest amount
split into a floating & inverse floating portion
Page 5
Which tranche in a CMO structure is most suitable for:
Commercial MBS
· apt. buildings
· office prop. non-recourse loans
· malls credit analysis involves
· industrial parks analysis of cash flows
etc…
on a loan-by-loan basis
higher = better
can be
‘gamed’
Page 2
Page 3
Call Protection – con’t.
3) Prepayment penalty points i.e. 5-4-3-2-1
if borrower wishes to prepay in Year 1, must pay 105%
2 104%
etc…
4) Yield maintenance charges
a.k.a. – make whole charge if refinanced to get lower rate,
borrower must make ‘yield’ whole
at structure level Credit Tranching
Page 2
all ALB Securities have some form of credit
enhancement
A - senior
Credit tranching B - mezzanine
C - equity (subordinate)
Page 1
Visa/MC/Amex
SPV Securities
Sears/Target
= 0 *
Page 2
Payment Structure:
Pass-through principal paid to security holders on a
pro-rata basis
Controlled Amortization PAC structure
Bullet payment entire amount of FV
Page 2
fixed-rate
bonds
SPV floating rate payments
some floating (one or more tranches)
rate loans interest rate
swaps (fixed-for floating)
e.g. $100M CDO, fixed @ 11%, mgmt. fee = $640k
Page 3
ramp-up period – mgr. buys assets
t = 0 t = 1 yr. 5 yr. …. n
-
assets sold
reinvestment period securities retired
(revolving) – proceeds are reinvested
capture
CDO
spread
cash CDO remove assets synthetic CDO
from sponsor BS.
Arbitrage* Balance* Arbitrage* Balance*
Driven Sheet Driven Driven Sheet Driven
Covered Bonds
Page 1
- senior debt obligations issued by a financial institution and
backed by a segregated pool of assets
(commercial or residential mortgages)
asset pool (remains on issuer’s balance sheet)
- offer dual recourse
financial institution
- one bond class per cover pool
- issuer must replace any prepaid or non-performing asset until
maturity of the covered bonds
- usually carry lower risk and lower yields than ABS
Page 2
3 major redemption regimes
2/ soft bullet covered bonds - pmts. must also be made according
to the covered bond’s original schedule
- if not, does not trigger default - extension period of
typically 12 months granted, creates a new
Final Maturity Date (FMD)
- if not paid then, investors gain access to the cover pool
a. calculate and interpret the sources of return from investing in a fixed-rate bond;
c. explain why effective duration is the most appropriate measure of interest rate
risk for bonds with embedded options;
d. define key rate duration and describe the use of key rate durations in measuring
the sensitivity of bonds to changes in the shape of benchmark yield curve;
e. explain how a bond’s maturity, coupon, and yield level affect its interest rate
risk;
g. calculate and interpret the money duration of a bond and price value of a basis
point (PVBP);
i. calcuate the percentage price change of a bond for a specified change in yield,
given the bond’s approximate duration and convexity;
j. describe how the term structure of yield volatility affects the interest rate risk of
a bond;
k. describe the relationships among a bond’s holding period return, its duration,
and the investment horizon;
Reinvestment of coupon
Capital gain/loss
(PV) r = 0.104
Page 2
YTM assumes 1) held to maturity
2) No default
3) Coupons re-invested at same rate of interest
Now assume same bond But sold after 4-years
Page 3
100 -
carrying value purchase price + amortized amt.
Capital gain
of the bond (85.503075) of the discount
Capital loss OR
“ “
89.668770
“ “ premium
80 -
-
5 10
Now: Assume interest rates rise 100 bps (10.40% 11.40%)
9 yrs.
8 11.4%
.
-
-
t = 0 t = 1 t = 10 .
.
(85.503075)
.
.
.
136.380195
100
r = 10.7%
Now: Assume interest rates rise 100 bps (10.40% 11.40%) Page 4
Sold after 4 years FV of coupons at t = 4 37.899724 (+)
PV of 6-yr. bond at t = 4 85.780408 (-)
r = 10.10% r = 0.1117
closed-form/ c = coupon
Page 4
annualized
modified duration/ e.g./ (AnnModDur)
Page 5
So… if MacDur is known,
PV
Price-Yield Curve for small yield
PV- ➞
ApproxModDur
PV0 =
AnnModDur
PVt -
ApproxMacDur
line tangent to
Price-Yield Curve = ApproxModDur
YTM
r + (1+r)
Page 6
e.g./ 10-year, 8% annual @ 85.503075, YTM = 10.4%
if rates ↑ 50bps
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
PV0
(thus, Macaulay &
Non-Callable Bond
PVt modified duration are
useless)
Callable Bond
- r +
credit
decreases credit duration
spread
or ➞
benchmark decreases curve duration
yield
homeowner’s have a
call option
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
curve is
ModDur vs. EffDur
based on
6.3492 6.0046
spot curve par curve
Maturity
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
r Page 2
LOS d
- define
- describe
r-
Key Rate Duration
r-
➞
yield
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Maturity
curve
11 maturities
Page 3
+ + + [ − ( − )]
( ) = − − Dmac = f (c, r, N, t)
× [( + ) − ] +
c, r, N - constant
D zero coupon
bond
Discount
(N – 1) each date Perpetuity
Premium
➞
45°
time – to time – to
-
-
coupon
-
-
-
maturity maturity
payment
=
dates D↑
low coupon bond higher D
more interest rate risk
low YTM = higher D
larger weights
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Example/ Page 4
C PV YTM
A 10 yr. 58.075279
annual
-
B 20 yr. 10% 51.304203 20%
C 30 yr. 50.210636
-
-
+/- 1 bps
A B C
PV0 = 58.075279 PV0 = 51.304203 5.063
PVt = N = 10 PMT = 10 ➞ PVt = N = 20 PMT = 10
FV = 100 I/Y = 20.01 FV = 100 I/Y = 20.01
CPT PV = 58.047598 CPT PV = 51.277694
PV_ = N = 10 PMT = 10 PV_ = N = 20 PMT = 10
FV = 100 I/Y = 19.99 FV = 100 I/Y = 19.99
CPT PV = 58.102981 CPT PV = 51.330739
Approx.Mod.Dur. = 5.169
Page 5
PV
PV_ option-pricing
model
PV_
PV ➞
Non-Callable Bond
r Benchmark
Yield
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
such that
Page 2
e.g. A B C
$25M $25M $50M
Coupon 9% 11% 8%
TTM 6yrs. 8yrs. 12yrs.
YTM 9.1% 9.38% 9.62%
MV $24,886,343 $27,243,887 $44,306,787
MacDur 4.761 5.633 7.652
Bp = $96,437,017 Avg.ModDur➞=
semi-annual coupons
MacDur – annualized
or 1.21% decline
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Page 3
Money Duration measure of price change in
currency terms
Money Dur. = Ann.ModDur PVfull
per 100 of versus actual
PVfull ≈ - MoneyDur yield par value face value
e.g. PVfull = 100.940243
if YTM ↑ 100 bps
Ann.ModDur = 6.1268
PVfull = - (618.44178 0.01)
MoneyDur. = 6.1268 (100.940243)
➞ = 6.184417 ≈ 6.1268%
= 618.44178
Page 4
e.g. FV = $10M 1. Calculate money duration
coupon = 4.5%
Money Dur. = Ann.ModDur PVfull
PVfull = 99.65
= .
YTM = 5.2617% × . = .
.
MacDur = 2.4988 +
➞
2. Calculate PVfull for 1bp ↑ in YTM
BPV = MoneyDur. 0.0001
Page 5
Price PV due to duration – primary effect
PV due to convexity – secondary effect for
large bps
Convexity
∆ ∆
YTM Adjustment
Page 6
e.g. 7.25% annual, YTM = 7.44% Recall: pg. 410, R54, Eq. (6)
Maturity Apr. 4/2029
Settles Jun. 27/2014
Page 7
4. Compare est. % PVfull with actual % PVfull if YTM 8.44%
Actual - 8.1794%
Est. - 8.155% 2.44 bps. off
Page 8
Recall: MoneyDur. =
➞
when bond’s cash
flows do not change
YTM
% ≈ (− . × )+ . × ( )
≈ Duration + Convexity
25 bps
impact/basis point change
Benchmark
+ Spread
rate
➞
Inflation Real Rate Credit Liquidity
Duration Duration Duration Duration
Empirical Duration
Page 1
Analytical duration arrived at by mathematical formulas
- assume yields and spreads are uncorrelated
d. compare and contrast corporate issuer credit ratings and issue credit ratings
and describe the rating agency practice of “notching”;
h. evaluate the credit quality of a corporate bond issuer and a bond of that
issuer, given key financial ratios of the issuer and the industry;
2 1 Page 1
credit risk risk of loss from non-payment LOS a, b
- describe
1 default risk (default probability - POD) - risk of non-payment
- issuer fails to make full and timely payments of
principal + interest
($ or %)
∴ ( )= ×
% or $ (1 - Recovery Rate)
% of principal recovered
Page 2
Credit-related risks:
LOS a, b
1) Spread risk spread above risk-free rate - describe
credit
2) Credit migration risk (downgrade risk)
spread
lower credit rating = wider spread = lower price illiquidity
premium
higher POD = higher ( )
Page 3
mortgage (first, second…) LOS c
Secured Senior Secured - pledge of specific property - describe
- explain
liens (first, second, etc…)
- pledge of specific assets
even low ranking debt may be cheaper than issuing equity, prevents
dilution of existing shareholders, less restrictive than issuing
senior debt, and may be adequate market demand
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Page 4
Recovery Rates all creditors at the same level of the
LOS c
capital structure are treated as one class - describe
30yr - explain
i.e. senior unsecured all equal in claim
10yr
(pari passu - on equal footing)
3yr
Page 5
Rating agencies: Moody’s, S&P, Fitch
LOS d
- compare
- contrast
all public debt is rated - describe
underwriters won’t issue, and
investors won’t buy, debt that is
not rated
ratings provide comparability of the
relative credit riskiness of all
bond issuers and issues
Page 6
Issuer vs. Issue Ratings:
LOS d
- compare
corporate family rating addresses an issuer’s overall - contrast
corporate credit rating creditworthiness - describe
issuer credit rating - typically applies to senior unsecured
SnP clause sub. 1 sub. 1 cash flows service this debt first
debt debt before 2 flowing to the parent
Page 7
1/ Credit ratings can change over time LOS e
upgrades/downgrades credit migration - explain
2/ Credit ratings tend to lag the market’s pricing of credit risk
bond investors must anticipate changes rather than
wait for a credit rating change
HY credit rating assesses POD, but LGD may indicate other pricing
3/ Rating agencies may make mistakes (MBS, CDOs in 2007/08)
4/ Some risks are too difficult to capture in credit ratings
- environmental, social risks
LOS f
4 Cs of credit analysis/ - explain
- assessment of an issuer’s ability to pay sources, predictability
credit quality of the company and sustainability of cash flows
fundamentals of the industry
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Page 8
LOS f
1/ Capacity - ability to make debt payments on time - explain
begin with industry structure ananlysis Porter’s 5 forces model
an industry is more profitable and thus has lower
credit risk when the following are in place:
i/ threat of entry higher entry barriers
ii/ power of suppliers multiple suppliers
iii) power of buyers many buyers
iv) threat of substitutes no good or cost competitive substitutes
v) rivalry among competitors few competitors, high industry growth
low barriers to exit
Industry fundamentals
i) cyclical or non-cyclical - cyclical is more economically sensitive
- more volatile revenues and cash flows
Page 9
1/ Capacity Industry fundamentals LOS f
i) cyclical inherently risker (e.g. auto, steel, cons. discret.) - explain
cyclical companies should carry lower debt than non-cyclicals
Company fundamentals
a) competitive position - market share, cost structure
b) track record/operating history
c) management’s strategy and execution
Page 10
LOS f
2/ Collateral - when POD rises to a sufficient level, asset - explain
values are considered
- financial statement signals mix of tangible vs. intangible
Dep. vs. CAPEX
- market-based signals MVequity vs. BVequity
3/ Covenants - terms and conditions of the debt issue
- what mgmt. must do and is limited from doing
Page 11
LOS g, h
Profitability and cash flow measures/ - calculate
(operating profit) - interpret
EBITDA op. income + Dep./Amort. - evaluate
FFO NI from cont. ops. + Dep./Amort. + Deferred taxes + NCC
FCF before dividends NI + NCC - WCInv - CAPEX
FCF after dividends
Leverage measures/
Debt = interest bearing liabilities + underfunded PO (has an implied
+ operating leases interest cost)
Page 12
Leverage measures/
LOS g, h
FFO/Debt higher = better ability to pay debt - calculate
(FCF after dividends)/Debt higher = better - interpret
- evaluate
Coverage measures/ - measures ability to cover interest payments
EBITDA/Interest expense
EBIT/Interest expense or payments
Page 13
LOS i
Yields and Spreads/ - describe
macro
level and
market volatility
of spreads
issuer
Spreads ↑ 50 bps %∆ = (− . × . )× . (. ) =− . %
Special considerations/
1/ Issuer liquidity - far more critical for HY
- may not have the ability to roll over debt when it comes
due
- may not be able to issue equity if a private company
2/ financial projections - forecasts under multiple scenarios
- use of stress testing
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Page 16
High Yield/ Special considerations LOS j
3/ Debt Structure - secured down to junior subordinated - explain
Page 18
High Yield/ Special considerations LOS j
5/ Covenant analysis - explain
maintenance covenants - typical of bank credit agreements
e.g. debt/EBITDA < x times
- defaults do occur
Page 19
Sovereign Debt/ should assess:
LOS j
1) ability to pay - explain
2) willingness to pay - sovereign immunity generally cannot force
a sovereign to pay since immunity prevents them from being sued
Institutional assessment
Economic assessment - growth prospects
Fiscal soundness
Monetary policy - mandates, credibility, flexibility
Defining Elements
Review - 1
Features/ Issuer · supranational orgs.
sovereign
· government non-sov.
state
· corporate prov.
quasi
GSEs
Review - 2
Features/ coupon in one
Currency - dual currency bonds
- principal in another
- currency option bonds
- bondholder chooses currency of each
coupon PMT
Credit Enhancement
subordination (senior 85%, junior 15%)
Internal
over-collateralization
excess spread
Review - 3
Bond - legally binding contract form of bond
- need Bond Indenture (a.k.a. trust deed) obligation of
- trustee - fiduciary for Bondholders issuer
- legal identity of issuer, legal form rights of
bondholders
Source of repayment proceeds/
· supranational - repayment of previous loans
· government - full faith & credit (taxes usually)
· corporate - cash flows (CFO)
· securitized - principal + interest PMTs of
securities held
Asset/Collateral Backing/
secured (bonds)
· Senior ranking
unsecured (debentures)
Review - 4
Asset/Collateral Backing/ collateral trust bond
· collateral quality equipment trust certificate
MBS/ABS
like
covered bonds securitization
Legal/Regulatory/Tax/
· Domestic - issuer, country, currency all match
· Foreign - country & currency match, issuer does not
· Eurobond - issued outside jurisdiction of any
country
Review - 5
Legal/Regulatory/Tax/
Tax · Interest normal income
· Capital gain long-term - cap. gains tax rate
short-term - usually income
· Zero-coupon - all interest (implied each yr.)
Review - 6
Structure of Cash Flows/
· Sinking Fund - some %’age of bond put aside each yr.
annual
· Fixed rate semi-annual · Floating rate
quarterly - reference + spread
· Step-up coupon variable (margin)
- coupon increases over time
· Credit-linked coupons · may have · cap - no higher
↓↑ with credit quality · floor - no lower
· PIK bonds - payment in kind
(w/toggle) (e.g. shares) · may be inverse floater
· Deferred Coupons - no PMTs for first - if Libor ↑, coupon ↓
few years, higher PMT after
· Index-Linked Bonds
e.g. equity index/inflation
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Review - 7
Structure of Cash Flows/ coupon
· inflation adjustments or
principal (zeros)
Contingency Provisions/ PMT ↑ as principal increases
- embedded options (capital indexed bonds)
call risk
Callable bond - benefits issuer, holder
reinvestment risk
(higher coupon/lower price)
· Make whole call = PV of
Putable bond - benefits holder
Review - 8
Contingency Provisions/
Convertible Bonds/ into common shares (call option)
- benefits holder
e.g./ $20/sh.
conversion price = $/share
ratio = FV/conv. pr. = = shares
value = Pt ratio
if Pt < $20
premium = Bt - (Pt ratio)
- below parity
parity Bt = (Pt ratio)
if Pt > $20 - above
- forced conversion - if Pt > $20 for a parity
specified # of days, company calls bonds
at a lower price
Warrants
- not an embedded option
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Review - 1
Markets/
gov’t./gov’t. related supranational
Issuer
financials sov./non-sov.
corporate quasi.
non-financials largest
structured products
(securitized) smallest
investment grade (Baa3 or BBB – or higher)
Credit Quality
non-investment grade – high yield, speculative
(more risk)
Maturity < 1 yr. – money market
at issuance
> 1 yr. - capital market
Currency – determines what county’s interest rate determines price
Domestic
legal, regulatory, tax regime of ‘issued-in’
Geography Foreign
country
Eurobond
Review - 2
Markets/ emerging
Geography developed 5 currencies
fixed 35 rates 7 time
Coupon
floating LIBOR - London Interbank Offered Rate periods
- unsecured loans between banks
for up to 1 yr.
Primary Market (first time issuance)
Public Offering - underwritten offering (firm commitment)
- buys whole issue, assumes inventory risk
· issuer determines funding - typically Investment Bank or syndicate
needs
· selects underwriter
· structures the offering marketing
· announcement date end of subscription obtain ‘anchors’
period grey market (forward mkt.
· gauge demand for upcoming issues)
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Review - 3
· Pricing Day - last day to commit
· Issuing Phase - sales made, money transfers
· Closing Date - about 14 days later
Review - 4
Primary Market (Con’t.) (first time issuance)
non-underwritten one/few
Private Placement
unregistered buyers
Secondary Market/ (already issued)
- dealer market - can act as principal/agent
(OTC)
- dealer acts as market maker · very
- exchange listed: very limited little retail
trading
Settlement/
T + 1 - gov’t/quasi gov’t. (capital market)
T + 3 - corporate
same day - all money market
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Review - 5
Sovereign Bonds/ Treasuries Bill - money market (pure
Note < 10 yr. discount)
coupon
Bond > 10 yr.
bearing
- most recently issued - on the run
- most actively traded
- unsecured - full faith and credit only
- risk-free AAA (Fitch, S&P) Aaa (Moody’s)
(local currency)
- fixed rate (most common) - some floating (country
- may be inflation-linked (Linkers) specific)
Review - 6
Supranational Bonds/ typically plain vanilla
- must act as benchmark for countries w/
non-liquid bond markets
Review - 7
Commercial Paper
- retired by rolling over - issuer usually maintains
backup LOC
U.S. CP/ EuroCP/ (issued internationally)
· discount basis (par) · interest bearing (par + interest)
· settles same day · settles T + 2
Review - 8
Short-Term Funding/ demand
Deposits
Retail savings
Banks
Wholesale money market savings
(short-term)
· Central Bank Funds
- overnight lending/borrowing
· Interbank Market
overnight funds
- banks lending to each other
term funds
+25 bps
target
central bank
funds rate
-25 bps
non-negotiable
· Certificates of Deposit
negotiable
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Review - 9
Repurchase Agreement/
- sale of a security w/agreement to buy back
$ repurchase
A B A B $ < value of
securities term security
$(1 + repo rate)
· 1 day repo margin
- overnight repo
· more - term repo
· to maturity - repo to maturity (of the security)
for the same TTM, the lower coupon bond will be more
price volatile than a higher coupon bond
Review - 2
Spot Rates/ rather than using one r for all PMTs
(Zn)
- also called
zero rates
will be the period 1 period 2 period n
no-arbitrage price spot spot spot
Flat, Accrued & Full Price/ pricing bonds between coupon dates
n = # of PMTs
× PMT PMT PMT
x
− PV
− .
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Review - 3
Matrix Pricing/ for fixed rate bonds w/ no/little
secondary market (or not yet issued)
Review - 4
Yield Measures/ periodicity - # of coupon payments/yr.
e.g./ 6% coupons/yr.
60 1 annual - effective annual rate
2 30 2 semi - semi-annual bond basis yield
4 15 4 quarterly (bond equivalent yield)
12 5 12 monthly
APR4 = 3.566%
Review - 5
Yield Measures/
· street convention – yield measure that neglects
weekends/holidays
· true yield – accounts for delays in PMTs caused by
weekends/holidays
· government equivalent yield – restates a YTM to an
YTM
· current yield –
· simple yield
Embedded Options
Callable · yield to first (second, third) call
· yield to worst
· YTM
Review - 6
Embedded Options/ typically require an options pricing
model (Level2)
on a PMT
date
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
PMT Review - 7
Review - 8
Money Market Securities/ =
= × − . + .×
rearrange/
− = + .×
=
(1 + r)
hence DR is understated = ×
−
Review - 9
Term Structures/
b) gov’t. bond yield curve – coupon paying
Note: short end of curve 1 mos., 3 mos., 1 yr. …
money mkt.
c) Par Curve – obtained from the - converted to BEY
spot curve
- each maturity is priced to par
d) Forward Curve 1y1y – 1 yr. from now, one yr. rate
2y1y – 2 yrs. from now, one yr. rate
-
= (1 + r 2)2 a forward curve can be
2 yr. rate
derived
taxation Review - 10
Yield Spreads/ Benchmark + Spread liquidity
macro factors credit risk
Asset-Backed Securities
Mortgages
Pool
Auto Loans
of ABS/MBS Investors
CC Receivables
Student Loans Assets
have a claim
has a claim
originator
Customer Consumer Co.
sells loans
Investor SPV - separate legal entity
AAA Review - 2
senior tranche
mortgages SPV $80M
BB
$100M mezzanine tranche credit
15M tranching
C
equity tranche
losses occur from 5M
the bottom up - all principal goes to senior tranche
first, then mezzanine, then equity
· equity tranche
- usually retained by originator senior 65%
· mezzanine tranche pooled with other
mezzanine 25%
mezzanine tranches
(an ABS of ABS) equity 10%
Review - 3
Rating
A1 C absorbs all losses
AAA A2 time tranching first
A3 credit
“first piece loss”
B B tranching
C C
5 yrs. 30 yrs.
Interest Rate/ · fixed rate, level payment, fully amortizing
ceiling
e.g./ · adjustable rate mortgage (ARM)
floor
30-yr., 200K, 6%
N = 360 FV = 0 PV = 200,000 I/Y = .5
CPT PMT = -1199.10
(P) Principal
Amortization PMT 1 1199.10 199.10 1000 199,800.90
schedule PMT 2 1199.10 200.10 999 199,600.80
· prepayments/month
based on historical
PrepayAmt.t = SMMt (Beg. Bal.t – Sched. PMTs) observations
Conditional Prepayment Rate: CPR = 1 – (1 – SMM)12 – annualized SMM
Review - 6
0 no prepayments
PSA Prepayment Rate
100 same speed as benchmark
e.g./ month 5 CPR = 1% · CPR of .2%/month up to 6%
(PSA = 100) · 6%, month 30 onwards
& = −( − )
= −( − )
Review - 7
CMO/Collateralized Mortgage Obligation/
Bond Class 1
pool of
Bond Class 2 time tranching
MBS
· different maturities
· does not eliminate etc… · different yields
prepayment risk
protection from
extension risk ‘waterfall’
protection from (principal distribution)
contraction risk
Review - 8
Non-Agency Credit Risk/
external credit enhancement – Guarantee - Ins. Co.
(wrapped)
Commercial MBS (CMBS)/ income producing assets pool of
CMBS
credit analysis of cash
flows of each loan non-recourse
Auto Loan Backed Securities/ - short-term, pr. + + prepayments
- all have some form of credit enhancement
Credit Card Receivable Backed Securities/
- finance charges + interest + Principal
Principal
-
Review - 9
Collateralized Debt Securities/
asset mgr.
selects senior
asset
mezzanine
Debt pool
equity
Securities
-
0 1 yr. Principal
revolving
repayment
period
Review - 10
Call Protection/ results in CMBS trading more like a
corporate bond
1) prepayment lockout 2-5 yrs.
Review - 2
Duration/ measures the sensitivity of the bond’s full
price to changes in r
r
Macauley
· yield duration modified
YTM
money
PVBP
gov’t. yield curve used with
· curve duration - effective benchmark spot yield curve complex
yield forward curve bonds
par yield curve · financial
assets/liab.
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Review - 3
Duration/
- linear estimate
if r ↓ PV ↑ (requires a convexity
r↑ PV ↓ adjustment)
Approx.MacDur = Approx.ModDur (1 + r)
Review - 4
Duration/ assumes a parallel shift in yield curve
· EffDur - for a callable bond, may be called if
· credit spread decreases (credit duration)
also used for · benchmark yield decreases (curve duration)
FRNs, MBS, DBPP
· yield is based on spot curve
· curve is based on par curve, so…
- flatter the par curve
- shorter the bond EffDur ≈ ModDur
- closer the price is to par
Key Rate Duration/
Review - 5
Key Rate Duration/ - each key
rate may
have a
different rate
11 of
these
maturities
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
11 maturities
Properties of Duration/
D
D c, r, N constant zero coupon bond (D=TTM)
discount bond
perpetuity
premium bond
TTM
PMT PMT
Review - 6
Properties of Duration/
D - as TTM ↑, Duration ↑
- as coupon ↓, Duration ↑ more interest
- as YTM ↓, Duration ↑ rate risk
TTM
Duration of a Bond Portfolio/
1) weighted average of time to receipt of the
aggregate cash flows (requires CF yield
– not practical)
2) weighted average on individual
bond Durations
&
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Review - 7
Money Duration/ MoneyDur. = Ann.ModDur PVfull
PVfull = -MoneyDur. yield
Review - 8
Money Convexity/
25 bps -
TTM
Last Revised: 05/06/2021
Credit Analysis
Review - 1
Default Risk E(loss) = P(default)
Credit Risk
loss severity
(1 - Recovery Rate)
- spread credit quality
liquidity = x
+ size of debt
benchmark default (credit migration risk) i.e. downgrades
Review - 2
high quality AAA to AA-
Ratings/ · investment grade
upper medium A+ to A-
(default premium & low medium BBB+ to BBB-
liquidity premium small)
estimates of MV of assets
③ Covenants/ affirmative
negative
④ Character/ mgmt. track record, soundness of strategy
spread + benchmark
affected by/ · credit cycle
· economic conditions
· market performance
· supply and demand
Review - 5
Special Considerations in Credit Analysis/
1) High Yield – more interested in loss severity
(1 - Recovery Rate)
- greater focus on liquidity
- ‘top-heavy’ cap. structure loss given
= high % of debt as secured default
parent - debt
structural
debt
sub sub sub subordination Hold Co.
restricted
unres. vs.
debt debt debt res. res.
sub sub sub unrestricted
debt debt debt subsidiaries
restricted by
debt agreement at Hold Co. level
- covenant analysis
· restricted PMTs to shareholders, restrictions
on liens, etc…
Review - 6
Special Considerations in Credit Analysis/
2) Sovereign Debt - ability to pay
- willingness to pay (sovereign
immunity – investors can’t force PMT)