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Management Science
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MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
Articles in Advance, pp. 1–21
http://pubsonline.informs.org/journal/mnsc/ ISSN 0025-1909 (print), ISSN 1526-5501 (online)
Received: December 5, 2014 Abstract. We study platform design in online markets in which buying involves a (non-
Accepted: July 5, 2016 monetary) cost for consumers caused by privacy and security concerns. Firms decide
Published Online in Articles in Advance: whether to require registration at their website before consumers learn relevant product
January 5, 2017 information. We derive conditions under which a monopoly seller benefits from ex ante
https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2016.2595 registration requirements and demonstrate that the profitability of registration require-
ments is increased when taking into account the prospect of future purchases or an
Copyright: © 2017 The Author(s) informational value of consumer registration to the firm. Moreover, we consider the effec-
tiveness of discounts (store credit) as a means to influence the consumers’ registration
decision. Finally, we confirm the profitability of ex ante registration requirements in the
presence of price competition.
Keywords: e-commerce • privacy concerns • security concerns • registration cost • platform design • monopoly • price competition •
information • digital transformation
Other online stores offer certain features of their web- firms, except possibly one, require ex ante registra-
site only after registration and for users signed in to tion. Intuitively, ex ante registration requirements are
the website.4 Sometimes, detailed delivery information a means to avoid fierce price competition and yield
and services and total costs (including shipping fees higher profits at least from selling to the loyal con-
and/or credit card fees) are only disclosed after sign- sumers (due to the same “sunk cost” advantage as in
ing in and at the very end of the checkout process.5 the benchmark model).
The nonmonetary registration costs may deter con-
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but the logic differs in subtle respects because our Initially, consumers do not know their valuation;
result also requires the presence of an arbitrarily small they can inspect the product and learn their θ prior to
mass of loyal customers (see Section B of the online the purchase decision. In order to purchase the prod-
appendix).12 uct, a buyer needs to provide personal information
Moreover, in our baseline model, ex ante registration such as payment and address details, which causes a
requirements can be seen as a light form of “bait-and- nonmonetary cost k > 0. This cost comprises the oppor-
switch” strategies that are used to increase the share tunity cost of the time needed to set up an account
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of consumers who visit the store and who, once they and the disutility due to privacy and security concerns;
are there, are more willing to buy (Gerstner and Hess it depends on the firm’s registration requirements, as
1990, Lazear 1995). Anderson and Renault (2006, 2013) explained next.
analyze a related effect in a search cost model in which The firm makes a platform choice consisting of a
a monopoly firm can advertise price and/or match decision r ∈ {ExA, ExP, G} on the registration require-
information before the consumer decides whether to ment and chooses a price p (per unit of the product).14
visit the store. Koessler and Renault (2012) derive If the firm requires ex ante registration (r ExA), then
conditions for full disclosure of product and match in order to learn his valuation and to observe the price,
information for the case of a monopoly firm that can a consumer has to register and incur a registration cost
commit to an observable price. Moreover, a recent
k R > 0. If the firm requires registration only ex post
literature considers firms’ incentives to use “obfusca-
(r ExP), then consumers learn their valuation and the
tion strategies” to make it more difficult to compare
price without having to register. Consumers who want
products and prices (Ellison and Ellison 2009, Carlin
to buy have to set up an account at the firm; hence, the
2009, Wilson 2010, Ellison and Wolitzky 2012). Such
cost k R is incurred if and only if a consumer decides to
obfuscation may be particularly relevant in online mar-
buy. As an additional option, the firm can allow guest
kets where search costs are low and the price elas-
ticity of demand is high. The literature on switching checkout: if r G, consumers learn their valuation and
costs as another prominent type of purchase-related the price without having to register. If a consumer
costs has been surveyed by Chen and Hitt (2006) and wants to buy, he can either set up an account (at cost
Farrell and Klemperer (2007). Although the effect of k R ) or use the option of guest checkout, which causes a
registration requirements in our baseline model shares nonmonetary cost k G , where 0 < k G < k R . The nonmon-
some similarities with effects identified in the literature etary cost k G of using guest checkout is strictly lower
on purchase-related costs, there are also fundamental than the registration cost k R because consumers have to
differences from other types of purchase-related costs provide less information and privacy concerns are less
that become most visible when we extend the base- important. But k G is strictly positive: Even the use of
line model as to analyze the interactions of registration guest checkout requires the provision of some personal
requirements with specific features of online markets.13 information such as shipping and payment details as
well as an e-mail address and does not completely
3. The Logic of Ex Ante Registration eliminate all security concerns. We will see that since
k G < k R , offering guest checkout dominates requiring
Requirements
ex post registration in the benchmark model of this
In this section we demonstrate why firms can bene-
section. Ex post registration requirements can become
fit from making their customers register early: Ex ante
optimal, however, when considering dynamic aspects
registration requirements detach any (nonmonetary)
cost of registration/buying from the actual buying (Section 4) or an informational value of consumer reg-
decision; this increases a firm’s profit whenever some istration (Section 5), and interesting trade-offs between
information about product characteristics and prices is allowing guest checkout and requiring registration ex
only revealed during the process of shopping. We first post arise in these settings.
show this “sunk cost” effect in a baseline one-period The timing of the game is as follows. At the begin-
model in which any other motivations for requiring ex ning of stage 1, nature draws each consumer’s valua-
ante registration are absent. tion θ independently from the distribution F (neither
Suppose there is one firm and a mass of consumers consumers nor the firm observe these draws of θ).
of size one. The firm offers a product to the consumers; Next, the firm decides on the registration requirement
without loss of generality we assume the marginal pro- and this platform choice becomes common knowledge.
duction cost to be zero. Each consumer has single unit In stage 2, the firm chooses a price p ≥ 0. The sequence
demand. Denote a consumer’s valuation of the good by of events in stage 3 depends on whether or not the firm
θ. It is commonly known that the valuations are inde- has chosen to require ex ante registration. If r ExA,
pendent draws from a cumulative distribution func- then in stage 3 each buyer decides whether to regis-
tion F with support [0, ∞); we assume that F is twice ter at cost k R > 0. Registered consumers can observe
differentiable. the price p and their valuation θ and decide if they
Morath and Münster: Online Shopping and Platform Design
4 Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–21, © 2017 The Author(s)
want to buy one unit of the good; nonregistered con- nonmonetary cost of buying k (where k ∈ {k G , k R }), the
sumers cannot buy. If r , ExA, all consumers observe share of consumers who buy is equal to
p and their θ and then decide whether or not to buy. If
r ExP, a consumer who wants to buy has to set up an Pr(θ ≥ p + k) 1 − F(p + k).
account at cost k R > 0; if r G, consumers can choose
In stage 2, the firm anticipates the consumers’ buying
between setting up an account (at cost k R ) and buying
decisions and chooses a price p as the solution to
as a guest (at cost k G ).
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The firm’s profit is equal to the share of consumers max(1 − F(p + k))p.
who buy, multiplied by the price p. A buyer’s utility p
defined in (1) and (2), respectively). Anticipating this a higher price and still sell to a larger share of con-
price, a buyer registers if and only if k R ≤ ū(0), where sumers. If, however, the consumers’ registration costs
∫ ∞ are high relative to the expected consumer surplus, no
ū(0) (θ − p(0)) dF(θ). (5) one would be willing to register ex ante; therefore, the
p(0) firm does not require it. In the latter case, the firm
prefers r G over r ExP since, for any given price,
Therefore, if k R ≤ ū(0), the continuation game has an
more consumers buy if less personal information is
equilibrium in which the firm chooses p p(0); all buy-
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outweighs the first, positive effect). But there are also A related issue is the credibility of the informa-
examples for distributions F for which welfare is higher tion provided by the firm. For experience qualities, the
with than without ex ante registration.20 main uncertainty is about the match between the prod-
To conclude this section we discuss the informa- uct and the consumer’s idiosyncratic tastes; the firm
tional assumptions of the model, effects of price com- may be unable to directly communicate anything about
petition, and a possible heterogeneity in consumers’ the match but needs to let the consumers inspect or try
privacy concerns. out the product, for instance, through book previews,
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registration choice is r ExA in the case with price Heterogeneity in Registration Costs. Although the
commitment, but it is r G in the case without ex ante profitability of ex ante registration requirements is
observability of prices. Another way of enlarging the most visible in the case where all consumers face the
range of registration costs for which consumers regis- same registration cost k R , it carries over to situations in
ter is the use of discounts (store credit); in Section 6 we which there is heterogeneity in the consumers’ regis-
demonstrate the effectiveness of such discounts when tration costs. We briefly discuss how the main proposi-
commitment on prices is not possible. tion of this section changes if consumers differ in their
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Competition. The benchmark model above assumed a cost of registration, for instance, because some con-
monopoly seller, and this naturally raises the question sumers care more about privacy than others. For this
of how robust the results are with respect to competi- purpose, suppose that a consumer’s costs of registra-
tion. Indeed, under Assumption 1 consumer surplus is tion k R and k G are drawn from two probability distri-
lowest in case of an ex ante registration requirement; butions HR (k R ) and HG (k G ), respectively, with support
hence, the consumers may prefer to shop at a firm that [0, ∞). The cost parameters k R and k G can be corre-
does not require ex ante registration. Therefore, we also lated (HR and HG should be interpreted as the marginal
study price competition between N ≥ 2 firms (see Sec- distributions of the joint distribution of (k R , k G )). We
tion B of the online appendix), assuming that each firm assume that k R ≥ k G for each consumer, with strict
may have a share β ≥ 0 of “loyal” consumers who only inequality for a positive mass of consumers. Moreover,
consider buying at this particular firm, whereas the we assume k R and k G to be independent of the valu-
remaining share 1 − βN of “noncommitted” consumers ation θ so that under r ExA a consumer’s choice to
can buy at any firm.22 We show that ex ante registra- register does not convey information about his valua-
tion requirements are prevalent: whenever β > 0, all tion θ. Each consumer privately knows his registration
firms, except possibly one, will require ex ante registra- costs k R and k G .
tion and charge prices equal to p(0), in any equilibrium
Remark 2. If the consumers’ costs of registration k R
where firms do not randomize their platform choices.
Even though a firm i with ri , ExA attracts the non- and k G are distributed according to HR (k R ) and HG (k G ),
committed consumers, the threat of price competition respectively, the firm requires ex ante registration if
prevents a second firm j from choosing r j , ExA. In and only if
the latter case j may get (some of) the noncommitted π̃G
consumers but realizes a lower profit from selling to HR ( ū(0)) ≥ ∈ (0, 1), (7)
π(0)
its loyal consumers; such a deviation turns out to be
never profitable, even for arbitrarily small β. By a sim- where
ilar argument, if the share of loyal consumers is suf- ∫ ∞
ficiently high, all firms require ex ante registration in π̃G : max (1 − F(p + k G ))p dHG (k G ).
p 0
equilibrium and charge prices equal to the monopoly
price. Otherwise, the firm offers the option of guest checkout
The high prices chosen in equilibrium are remi- (r G).
niscent of the Diamond (1971) paradox that arbitrar-
ily small search costs can yield prices equal to the If the consumers differ in their costs of registration,
monopoly price. Our assumption that prices are unob- the firm faces a trade-off when choosing its registration
servable contributes to a related finding: if all firms policy: in case of r ExA, only the consumers with low
choose ri ExA, the noncommitted consumers expect k R will register and possibly buy, whereas under r
all firms to choose p p(0); thus, with arbitrarily G demand may be increased. But the profit extracted
small registration costs k R , they register at one ran- from those consumers who register under r ExA is
dom firm. In turn, the firms have no incentive to lower higher than under r , ExA (as shown in Proposition 1).
their prices. If, instead, the firms can commit to prices Therefore, if a sufficiently high share of consumers
ex ante (compare the discussion above), this leads to have registration costs k R below ū(0) and are willing to
prices below the monopoly price even in case all firms register, the firm requires ex ante registration, accept-
choose ri ExA. However, the result that all firms, ing that it will not sell to some consumers who have a
except possibly one, require ex ante registration in high cost of registration. Here, the additional gain from
equilibrium continues to hold in case of observable selling to consumers who register (those with low k R )
prices (details are in Section D of the online appendix). outweighs the loss from not selling at all to some other
The sunk cost advantage of ex ante registration require- consumers (those with high k R ). If, however, the share
ments is sufficiently strong to make ri ExA attractive of consumers with high k R is increased, then the firm
even in the absence of “price obfuscation.” Moreover, is better off by not requiring ex ante registration and
just as in the monopoly case, the ability to commit to offering the option of guest checkout.
prices enlarges the range of registration costs k R for Formally, the left-hand side of (7) determines the
which ex ante registration requirements are profitable. share of consumers who register under r ExA, and
Morath and Münster: Online Shopping and Platform Design
8 Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–21, © 2017 The Author(s)
the right-hand side of (7) relates the profits per reg- precisely, the firm can condition its price offer in period
istered consumer under r ExA (which still is π(0)) t + 1 on a consumer’s registration decision in period t.
to the profit per consumer under r G (which now This assumption simplifies the analysis considerably;
is π̃G < π(0)). In case of identical registration costs k R it implies that a consumer’s expected future gain from
(as assumed in our baseline model), the left-hand side being registered does not depend on the other con-
of (7) is equal to one if k R ≤ ū(0) and zero otherwise; in sumers’ registration choices.27 The assumption is also
this case, (7) holds if and only if k R ≤ ū(0) (compare the reasonable since the consumers identify themselves
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condition in Proposition 1). when visiting the website and deciding to sign in; thus,
in order to pursue such a strategy, the firm does not
4. A Dynamic Perspective need to know more about the consumers than they
This section analyzes how the monopoly firm’s choice reveal themselves. Moreover, charging different prices
of its registration policy is affected by aspects of future for “existing” and “new” consumers is a widely estab-
purchases. We first show that consumers expect a lished strategy in practice (Caillaud and De Nijs 2014).
higher future surplus in case they already have an Finally, we assume in what follows that Assumption 1
account at the firm and do not need to register again holds (F has a monotone hazard rate).
when buying; this increases the range of registra- Proposition 2. In the two-period model, the firm requires
tion costs for which ex ante registration requirements ex ante registration in period t if and only if
are optimal. Second, we consider the firm’s decision
whether to offer the option of guest checkout in situ- k R ≤ 2ū(0) − ū(k G ). (8)
ations in which ex ante registration requirements are
not feasible, either because the consumers’ cost of reg- Proposition 2 confirms that if the firm has the option
istration is high or because the consumers can learn of using ex ante registration requirements, it prefers to
their valuation through other channels at comparably do so as long as the consumers’ costs of registration
low cost (compare the discussion in Section 3). Here, are sufficiently low. Moreover, the sunk cost effect of
we show that the firm may prefer to require registra- ex ante registration benefits the firm not only in the
tion ex post (instead of offering guest checkout). This current period but also in future periods, even though
result is again due to a sunk cost advantage when sell- registered consumers can observe their valuation and
ing in future periods to consumers who are already the price in future periods without having to incur any
registered.23 cost.
Suppose there are two periods, t and t + 1. Each Including the option of multiple purchases also
consumer has unit demand in each period; his valu- increases the consumers’ value of registering: if a con-
ations in the two periods are denoted by θt and θt+1 sumer already has an account, he realizes a higher
and are independent draws from the probability dis- expected surplus since he does not have to incur
tribution F.24 The sequence of actions within period again the cost of setting up an account. This holds
τ ∈ {t, t + 1} is as in the baseline model. At the begin- even though the consumer (correctly) anticipates a
ning of each period τ ∈ {t, t + 1}, the firm chooses its higher price if he is registered. Therefore, the range of
registration requirement rτ as well as its price policy. registration costs for which ex ante registration require-
The choice rτ determines whether the consumers need ments are profitable for the firm is enlarged com-
a user account in order to observe θτ and the price in pared to the baseline model (Assumption 1 implies that
period τ. ū(0) > ū(k G )).
As above, registration involves a cost k R . Moreover, For high registration costs k R such that (8) is vio-
for each purchase using guest checkout, consumers lated, no consumer would register under rt ExA. In
incur a cost k G .25 Consumers who have, in t, set up an this case, the firm is strictly better off by not requir-
account at the firm (at cost k R ) can, in t + 1, use their ing ex ante registration, and it has to decide whether
existing account to inform themselves about the prod- or not to offer the option of guest checkout. To solve
uct and its price and can also buy, without incurring for the firm’s optimal platform choice, we first com-
additional registration costs. Registered consumers can pare the firm’s per-period expected profits conditional
also set up a new account in t + 1 (again at cost k R ) on its platform choice in period t. If the firm chooses
or use guest checkout if offered (at cost k G ) instead of rt G, the consumers may nevertheless prefer to set
buying with their existing account, but as we will see, up an account when deciding to buy; they prefer buy-
they have no incentive to do this since in equilibrium ing with an account over buying as a guest if and
the total costs of buying (the price plus the costs of reg- only if their additional expected future surplus from
istration or guest checkout) turn out to be higher than already having an account (ū(0) − ū(k G )) is larger than
when using the existing account. the additional cost of registration (k R − k G ). We show
We assume that the firm can charge different prices in the appendix (see the proof of Lemma 1) that there
to registered and to nonregistered consumers.26 More exists a critical value ǩ G ∈ (0, k R ) such that, in period t,
Morath and Münster: Online Shopping and Platform Design
Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–21, © 2017 The Author(s) 9
consumers prefer guest checkout over setting up an Figure 1. (Color online) Optimal Registration Requirements
account if and only if k G < ǩ G . If k G ≥ ǩ G , the option of in the Two-Period Model (Example for Uniformly
guest checkout becomes irrelevant (since no consumer Distributed Valuations)
uses it) and the firm’s profits are the same under rt G kR kG = kG kG = kG
and rt ExP.28
Consumers prefer guest checkout Consumers
Lemma 1. Suppose that (8) is violated and k G < ǩ G . Denote prefer account
kR = kG
by π τ (rt r) the firm’s expected profit in period τ ∈ {t, t + 1}
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provide when they register (for instance, when target- any positive price (or even subsidizes the nonmone-
ing certain types of consumers) or because it sells this tary registration costs) but lets the consumers “pay”
information to other firms. We show that the value of through their information provision.32 The following
user information to the firm adds to, and interacts with, proposition characterizes the equilibrium registration
the benefit from ex ante registration requirements iden- policy.
tified in the previous sections. Moreover, informational
Proposition 4. (i) Suppose that
benefits from user registration can provide a rationale
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for why firms may prefer not to offer the option of guest ∫ ∞
checkout even when aspects of future purchases are kR ≤ (θ − p(0, v B )) dF(θ); (11)
p(0, v B )
absent.
Consider the baseline model of Section 3 but sup- then the firm requires ex ante registration (r ExA) in equi-
pose that in addition to the profit from selling its prod- librium.
uct, the firm values the information that the consumers (ii) Suppose that (11) is violated; then in equilibrium the
provide when registering and/or buying. Specifically, firm requires ex post registration (r ExP) if and only if
we assume that the firm gets an additional value v R ≥ 0 v R + v B − k R ≥ v G − k G and offers the option of guest checkout
from each consumer who sets up an account (indepen- (r G) otherwise.
dently of the buying decision). In addition, the firm
derives an informational value v B ≥ 0 from each con- Proposition 4 confirms the firm’s incentive to make
sumer who buys with an account. Finally, the firm gets use of ex ante registration requirements and offers
an informational value v G ≥ 0 from each consumer who insights into how the informational value of consumer
buys as a guest (if this option is offered).30 We assume registration interacts with the “sunk cost” advantage of
that v R + v B ≥ v G ; that is, the informational gain for the ex ante registration requirements. First, the threshold
firm is higher if consumers set up an account and buy for k R below which the firm requires ex ante registra-
with their account than if consumers buy using guest tion (the right-hand side of the inequality in (11)) is
checkout since in the former case the firm learns more increasing in the value of consumer information v B . A
about the consumers’ preferences together with their higher value of consumer information leads to a lower
personal characteristics.31 price and, thus, makes consumers more willing to reg-
Taking into account an additional benefit from con- ister ex ante due to the higher surplus they expect
sumer information changes the firm’s pricing deci- (Proposition 4(i)). Second, although ex post registra-
sion. Define by p(k, v) the solution to the optimization tion requirements are never profitable in the baseline
problem model, this changes when the firm values the infor-
max(1 − F(p + k))(p + v). (9) mation that consumers provide when registering. If
p the consumers are not willing to register ex ante but
In case of an interior solution, p(k, v) is given by the informational benefit from consumer registration is
sufficiently strong (v R and v B are large relative to v G ),
1 − F(p(k, v) + k) then the firm is strictly better off when requiring con-
p(k, v) − v. (10) sumers to set up an account ex post, in case they want
F0 (p(k, v) + k)
to buy (Proposition 4(ii)).
The solution p(k, v) is the price that the firm sets if the With a positive value of user information, ex ante
consumers’ nonmonetary cost of buying is k and the registration requirements become relatively more prof-
firm gets an informational benefit v in case a consumer itable for the firm.
buys. Hence, if the firm requires ex ante registration,
Remark 3. The firm’s advantage from requiring ex
the optimal price is p(0, v B ); the costs of registration
ante registration as opposed to requiring registration
k R and the value v R from user registration are already
only ex post, or to allowing guest checkout, is larger
“sunk” in this case and not relevant for the firm’s pric-
when the firm derives a value from consumer infor-
ing decision. If instead the firm requires registration
mation (that is, when v B > 0 or v R > 0 or both, and
only ex post, it sets a price p(k R , v R + v B ), taking into
0 ≤ v G ≤ v R + v B ) than in the baseline model (where
account both the registration cost k R and the informa-
v B v R v G 0).
tional benefit v R + v B per purchase with an account.
With Assumption 1 on the probability distribution The higher profitability of ex ante registration
F, p(k, v) as given in (10) is strictly decreasing in k and requirements (r ExA) is due to two effects. First,
in v. The informational benefit v generated if a con- more consumer register in case of r ExA (provided
sumer buys (with an account or as guest) leads to a that (11) holds); thus, the advantage of ex ante reg-
lower equilibrium price since the firm derives an addi- istration requirements (that is, the difference in prof-
tional value from increased demand. If the value of its under r ExA and under r ExP and r G,
user information is very large, the firm does not charge respectively) is increasing in v R . Second, since ex ante
Morath and Münster: Online Shopping and Platform Design
Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–21, © 2017 The Author(s) 11
is indifferent between ex ante and ex post registration show that discounts can be used to make even those
requirements for all v B ≥ 0. If k R > 0, however, the firm consumers who have high costs of registration regis-
is strictly better off by choosing r ExA, for all v B ≥ 0, ter and can, thus, be part of a successful registration
and the advantage of using ex ante registration require- policy.
ments becomes stronger the higher v B since more con- If the firm requires ex ante registration but offers
sumers buy under r ExA. An equivalent argument price discounts to consumers who register, this affects
applies to the comparison of r ExA and r G.33 the firm’s equilibrium posted price and the consumers’
We now evaluate the equilibrium registration re- beliefs about the price. In particular, if all consumers
quirement from a welfare perspective. As above, we who register are offered a discount, then the firm will
take welfare to be the sum of consumer surplus and the simply increase its posted price by the amount of the
firm’s profit. The firm’s choice between r ExP and discount.36 Therefore, in the baseline model of Sec-
r G is fully aligned with consumers’ preferences. To
tion 3 with homogeneous registration costs, discounts
see this, note that problem (9) is formally identical to
have no net effect on the profitability of ex ante registra-
a standard monopoly problem where a per-unit sales
tion requirements since all of the consumers who reg-
tax k is levied from the consumer and a subsidy v is
ister (or none of them) will have obtained a discount.37
granted to the firm per unit sold. As in the standard
But discounts have an effect when consumers differ in
tax incidence result on the irrelevance of statutory inci-
their concerns about registration, which is a reasonable
dence for economic incidence, the equilibrium price
assumption and which we make in the remainder of
depends only on the net subsidy, i.e., on the difference
between the subsidy and the tax, v − k. Moreover, given this section.
a pass-through rate between 0 and 100%, the seller’s The simplest case to make this point is the one where
profit and consumer surplus are both increasing in there are two types of consumers: a share 1 − q of con-
the net subsidy. Under r ExP, the “net subsidy” is sumers with registration costs of k RH ; and a share q of
v R + v B − k R ; under r G, it is v G − k G . Therefore, both consumers with registration costs of k RL where k G ≤
the firm (compare Proposition 4(ii)) and the consumers k RL < k RH . An interpretation of this setup is that a share
prefer ExP over G if and only if v R + v B − k R is larger q of the consumers has only an opportunity cost k RL of
than v G − k G . registration and the remaining share 1 − q has higher
Under the assumptions of Proposition 4(ii), if r costs k RH of registration due to privacy and security
ExA, no one registers, and welfare is zero. In contrast, concerns.
both r ExP and r G lead to strictly positive wel- Consider the modified game in which the firm
fare. Together with the considerations of the last para- offers a discount d ≥ 0 (store credit) to a share δ ≥ 0
graph, this implies that the firm’s registration policy of consumers. The discount policy (d, δ) is chosen
is welfare-maximizing when (11) is violated, that is, and announced in stage 1, together with the platform
the firm’s platform choice is either r ExP or r G. choice. In stage 2, the consumers observe the regis-
On the other hand, when (11) holds, the firm chooses tration requirement and learn if they are offered a
r ExA by Proposition 4(i). The consumers, however, discount d. The discount d is offered conditional on
always prefer r ExP over r ExA since under r ExP buying. Hence, for consumers who have obtained a
the price is lower (p(k R , v R + v B ) < p(0, v B )) and, more- discount, the price to be paid is reduced from p to p − d.
over, the registration costs are only incurred in case a But as explained above the discount policy also affects
consumer finally buys. Here, each of the three options the equilibrium price p charged by the firm. If the
ExA, ExP, and G can be welfare-maximizing under firm requires ex ante registration and the share of con-
some parameter constellations.34 sumers who register consists both of consumers with
Summarizing, the only possible inefficiency in the discount and consumers without discount, the optimal
firm’s equilibrium registration requirements can arise price p d is a function of d (and of δ) and fulfills
when the firm requires ex ante registration; an equi-
librium choice of an ex post registration requirement p d − d < p(0) < p d ;
is always efficient. A legal ban on ex ante registra-
tion requirements, however, does not unambiguously that is, the optimal price net of discount p d − d is
raise welfare since there are parameter constellations smaller than the price p(0) without discounts, but the
for which ExA is indeed welfare-maximizing. posted price p d is increased.38 In other words, discounts
Morath and Münster: Online Shopping and Platform Design
12 Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–21, © 2017 The Author(s)
are added to the price but to less than 100%. This leads who have not received a discount, and the price dis-
to a price distortion: instead of selling at the optimal tortion effect is small. Therefore, the profit of the
price p(0) to registered consumers, the firm sells at firm is almost equal to π(0) (where π(0) is given in
effective prices p d − d < p(0) and p d > p(0) to consumers (2)). The proof of Proposition 5 shows that for any
with discount and without discount, respectively. fixed δ ∈ (0, 1), the firm’s profit converges to qπ(0) +
The most interesting case emerges when k RL < ū(0) < δ(1 − q)π(0) if k RH → ū(0) (since all low-cost types and
k RH (where consumer surplus ū(0) is given in (5)). In a share δ of the high-cost types register). Thus the firm
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this case, if the firm requires ex ante registration and can achieve a profit that is close to π(0) when k RH is
no discounts are offered (δ 0), then only consumers close to ū(0).
with low registration costs are willing to register. In The case of purely random discounts is the most
the candidate equilibrium in which the firm offers dis- unfavorable case for the profitability of discounts. The
counts as incentive for high-cost consumers to register, better the firm is able to target the discounts to con-
consumers correctly anticipate the price p d for a given sumers with high registration costs, the less costly
policy (d, δ). Therefore, high-cost consumers with dis- becomes the use of discounts, and the more attractive
count register if and only if becomes the ex ante registration policy with discounts.
∫ ∞ We model targeting such that it reduces the probability
(θ − (p d − d)) dF(θ) ≥ k RH , (12) that a low-cost type receives a discount to q 0 < q and
p d −d increases the probability that a high-cost type receives
whereas low-cost consumers without a discount regis- a discount to 1 − q 0 > 1 − q. Of course, the share of dis-
ter if and only if counts received by high-cost types cannot be higher
than the share of high-cost consumers in the popula-
∞
tion. Formally, in order that a discount policy (d, δ) is
∫
(θ − p d ) dF(θ) ≥ k RL . (13)
pd feasible with targeting technology q 0 , it must satisfy
(1 − q 0 )δ ≤ 1 − q.
The firm’s incentive to offer discounts depends on
the degree to which it is able to target the discount Proposition 6. The firm’s profit in case of ex ante regis-
to consumers who would not register without dis- tration requirements with discounts is strictly increasing in
count. In the worst case for the firm, discounts are allo- the ability to target the discounts to consumers with high
cated purely randomly to the consumers such that the registration costs.
probability that a consumer with registration cost k RH
In the extreme case in which discounts can be per-
receives a discount is equal to 1 − q (that is, equal to
fectly targeted to high-cost consumers, each additional
the probability that k k RH ), and the probability that
discount offered attracts an additional consumer who
a consumer with low registration cost k RL receives a
discount is equal to q. We first show that offering dis- registers, whereas in the case of purely random dis-
counts can be profitable for the firm even when the counts the probability of an additional consumer is
firm offers the discounts on a purely random basis. only 1 − q (the probability that a high-cost consumer
gets the discount). Moreover, keeping the number of
Proposition 5. Consider the case of random discounts and discounts δ fixed, improved targeting (a decrease in
suppose that k RL < ū(0) < k RH where ū(0) is defined as q 0 ) leads to a smaller price distortion since there will
in (5). If k RH is sufficiently close to ū(0), the firm achieves be more consumers without discount among the regis-
strictly higher profits if it requires ex ante registration and tered consumers. Both effects increase the profitability
offers a discount to a random share of consumers than (i) if of using discounts. If the cost of making use of target-
it requires ex ante registration and offers no discounts and ing is increasing in the “targeting quality” q − q 0 , there
(ii) if it does not require ex ante registration. exists an optimal targeting technology that takes some
Discounts distort the firm’s pricing decision. More- interior value if the first unit of targeting is sufficiently
over, if the firm cannot target the discounts to con- cheap but perfect targeting is prohibitively costly.
sumers with high registration costs, they are also paid In reality, targeting will be typically imperfect, even
to consumers who would register even without dis- though firms do certainly better than just randomly
count. Nevertheless, even randomly offered discounts offering discounts. To improve the targeting, firms
can increase the firm’s expected profit. The intuition can use similar instruments as in the context of tar-
for Proposition 5 is as follows. When k RH is close to geted advertising and attach discounts to certain con-
ū(0), only a small discount is needed in order that sumer characteristics they can observe and expect to
high-cost consumers with discount register.39 The firm be correlated with the registration costs. This includes
can give such a small discount to almost all con- socioeconomic information but also information about
sumers. Moreover, the price p d is close to p(0); thus, consumer attitudes and interests and about previous
all low-cost consumers will register, including those purchases at this or other firms obtained, e.g., through
Morath and Münster: Online Shopping and Platform Design
Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–21, © 2017 The Author(s) 13
cookies. For instance, the firm may attach the dis- decide whether to buy makes the consumers more will-
count to the purchase of another product. Moreover, ing to buy, for instance, when credit card information
firms sometimes offer discounts to consumers who is already entered and stored in the consumer’s user
started but then canceled the registration process but account. This leads to higher demand and higher prof-
already provided an e-mail address, for instance, or its for the firm.
offer a price reduction to buyers in case they set up Next, we incorporate important additional features
an account. Similarly, the use of a mobile device or of online markets into the baseline model and ana-
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a certain web browser typically allows to conclude lyze their interaction with ex ante registration require-
on some consumer characteristics (such as age cohort ments. First, we consider a multiperiod model with
or income group). Thus, improved information about the possibility of repeat purchases. If consumers con-
the consumers can also be valuable in that it makes sider purchasing repeatedly at a given firm, they expect
it cheaper to target certain groups of consumers and a higher surplus from setting up an account at the
increase their willingness to register ex ante by offering firm. Therefore, the higher the likelihood that a con-
discounts. sumer returns, the larger becomes the range in which
To conclude this section, we note that the incentive the firm can profitably implement ex ante registra-
for using discounts to attract additional consumers is tion requirements. This holds even though registered
stronger if the firm also values the information that consumers can observe price and product informa-
consumers provide when they register (as in Section 5).
tion without any additional registration costs in future
Moreover, the incentive to use discounts carries over to
periods. Put differently, the logic of ex ante registra-
the dynamic model: offering discounts at the beginning
tion requirements established in the baseline model
of period t can increase the firm’s profits and enlarge
based on “within-period” uncertainty about the prod-
the range in which ex ante registration requirements
uct characteristics also applies vis-à-vis future transac-
are optimal. In the dynamic model, if ex ante regis-
tions, which become more likely, and therefore more
tration requirements are not feasible, the firm has an
profitable for the firm, if consumers are already reg-
incentive to offer discounts to consumers in case they
register when buying in period t. As long as not all istered. The multiperiod setup also derives conditions
consumers are offered such a discount (valid in period under which the firm prefers to offer the option of
t + 1), such discounts make consumers more willing to guest checkout (letting consumers buy without a user
set up an account (compared to buying with a guest account).
checkout). The higher demand with ex ante registration is par-
ticularly profitable for firms if they also care about the
information that consumers provide when they regis-
7. Conclusion ter. In addition, firms may value user information from
Buying at online shops usually requires the disclosure
consumers who register but do not buy. Both aspects
of personal information such as address and payment
make ex ante registration requirements relatively more
details and can, therefore, cause a nonmonetary “reg-
profitable and, hence, interact with the “sunk cost”
istration cost” if the consumers have privacy and secu-
advantage of ex ante registration, as we show in Sec-
rity concerns. We show that firms have an incentive to
tion 5. Because of the value of consumer registration,
shift this registration cost to an earlier stage of the shop-
firms may want to give consumers additional incen-
ping process and to detach it from the actual buying
decision, which has implications for the firms’ platform tives to register if their privacy concerns distract them
design. from setting up an account. Section 6 shows that dis-
In our baseline model, consumers are ex ante uncer- counts (store credit) offered conditional on buying can
tain about the price and their product valuation. This increase the share of consumers who are willing to reg-
information can, however, be released by the firm at ister even though discount policies distort the firm’s
zero cost; hence, we assume that search costs do not to pricing decision and even when the firm’s ability to
play a role in this market. Firms decide when to release target these discounts to the marginal consumers is
this information: before or after the consumer has low. Therefore, the optimal platform choice can involve
signed in to the website. Our model can also be inter- both ex ante registration requirements and discounts
preted such that some information is already released offered to a share of consumers. Since discount poli-
ex ante (an option incorporated in the probability dis- cies become more profitable if the firm is able to target
tribution of consumer valuations) and the firm decides these discounts to consumers with strong privacy con-
when to release the residual information. We first show cerns who would not register without a discount, firms
that a monopoly firm should require registration at may want to invest in improved targeting by offering
an early stage, unless privacy and security concerns the discounts based on observable consumer charac-
are very important for consumer behavior. Making the teristics which they expect to be correlated with their
registration costs “sunk” at the point when consumers registration costs.
Morath and Münster: Online Shopping and Platform Design
14 Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–21, © 2017 The Author(s)
Finally, in the online appendix we show that the The profit of the firm from r ExA with price commitment
firms’ incentives to require ex ante registration carry is
over to the case of competition between firms by miti- ∫ ∞
gating price competition. In particular, firms with loyal πC (k R ) : max(1 − F(p))p s.t. (θ − p) dF(p) ≥ k R
p p
consumers (incumbent firms) may choose ex ante reg-
istration requirements as part of their business strat- whenever k R ≤ E(θ). The constraint ensures that consumers
are willing to register. When k R increases toward E(θ), the
egy; given that a sufficiently high share of consumers
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price, and thus the profit, must approach zero since other-
registers, they benefit from an increase in turnover as wise consumers are not willing to register. For k R > E(θ),
well as in the price they can charge. In contrast, ex profit is zero since consumers are not willing to register ex
ante registration requirements are less advisable for ante at any positive price. On the other hand, if k R ≤ ū(0) then
firms with no loyal consumers. They compete for the the constraint on consumer registration does not bind in the
noncommitted consumers and achieve higher profits optimum so that πC (k R ) π(0). Moreover, πC (k R ) is decreas-
when reducing the amount of personal information to ing in k R and continuous. Since π(0) > π(k G ) (by Proposi-
be revealed by consumers ex ante. tion 1), there exists a threshold k̂ R ∈ (ū(0), E(θ)) such that the
The degree to which firms may want to influence firm chooses r ExA if k R ≤ k̂ R and chooses r G otherwise.
the consumers’ cost of registration depends on the
A.2. Proof of Remark 2
trade-off between changes in demand and changes in Under r ExA, the firm’s optimal price is independent of k R
the benefits from increased information revelation of and equal to p(0). Anticipating this price, all consumers with
the consumers, although it will hardly be possible to k R ≤ ū(0) register, which leads to a profit of HR ( ū(0))π(0)
completely remove all consumers’ privacy and security because HR (ū(0)) is the share of consumers who register and
concerns. In particular, the “registration cost” is at least π(0) is the firm’s expected profit per consumer. If r , ExA, the
partly independent of the firm a consumer considers firm prefers r G over r ExP because k G ≤ k R (and k G < k R
buying from since privacy concerns are also caused with strictly positive probability), just as in Proposition 1.
by data collection and the use and abuse of personal Since for a given k G a consumer buys with probability 1 −
F(p + k G ), the firm’s expected profit under r G is
information by third parties.
∫ ∞
The profitability of the different registration policies
π̃G max (1 − F(p + k G ))p dHG (k G ).
can also interact with aspects of consumer decision p 0
making that go beyond what we have considered in Thus, the firm prefers r ExA over r G if and only if
the present paper. On the one hand, consumers may HR (ū(0)) ≥ π̃G /π(0). Obviously, π̃G /π(0) > 0. It remains to
strongly dislike certain types of registration require- show that π̃G /π(0) < 1. As in the proof of Proposition 1, with
ments and “boycott” such online shops, an aspect p̃ denoting the optimal price in case of r G, it holds that
which may be reflected in high rates of shopping ∫ ∞
cart abandonment. On the other hand, the well- π(0) (1 − F(p(0)))p(0) dHG (k G )
documented “sunk-cost fallacy” could make ex ante ∫0 ∞
registration requirements even more profitable when ≥ (1 − F( p̃ + k G ))(p̃ + k G ) dHG (k G )
the feeling of having already incurred some costs ∫0 ∞
makes consumers more willing to buy once they have > (1 − F( p̃ + k G )) p̃ dHG (k G ) π̃G .
gone through the process of registration. 0
would not register. Therefore, the firm chooses rt+1 G (it (i) In period t + 1, the firm makes a profit of π(0) per
does not gain anything from forcing the consumers to regis- registered consumer and a profit of π(k G ) < π(0) per nonreg-
ter ex post in the last period; compare the proof of Proposi- istered consumer; hence, its total period t + 1 profit is strictly
tion 1) and charges a price p(0) to consumers who buy with increasing in the share of consumers who are already reg-
an existing account and a price p(k G ) to consumers who buy istered. Under rt G, no consumer registers in t in case of
as a guest.40 All consumers can observe their valuation at no k G < ǩ G . In contrast, if r t ExP, consumers with a sufficiently
cost. Registered consumers buy using their accounts at price high θt register/buy in t. To be precise, those consumers
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p(0) because under Assumption 1, p(0) < p(k G ) + k G (where register for whom the total expected surplus in (14) is larger
the latter is a consumer’s total cost of buying with a guest than the expected total surplus from not buying in t (which
account). Consumers who are not yet registered in period is 0 + ū(k G )); that is, under r t ExP, the share of consumers
t + 1 buy using guest checkout (since p(k G ) + k G < p(0) + k R ). who register in t is equal to
Therefore, registered consumers expect a period t + 1 utility
of ū(0), whereas nonregistered consumers expect a period 1 − F(p t + k R − (ū(0) − ū(k G ))) > 0.
t + 1 utility of ū(k G ) < ū(0). In period t, if the firm sets r t
ExA, the total expected utility of consumers who register in Together with π(k G ) < π(0) this shows that π t+1 (r t ExP) >
t is equal to 2ū(0) − k R , and the total expected utility of con- π t+1 (r t G) if k G < ǩ G .
sumers who do not register in t is equal to 0 + ū(k G ). Hence, (ii) Suppose first that r t ExP. The firm’s total expected
if (8) holds, all consumers register in t and the firm realizes profits π t + π t+1 when choosing a price p t are
its maximum profit of 2π(0).
If (8) is violated, no consumer registers in t and the firm’s
[1 − F(p t + k R − (ū(0) − ū(k G )))](p t + π(0))
total profits under r t ExA are 0 + π(k G ) (since all consumers
use the guest checkout offered in period t + 1); the firm can + F(p t + k R − (ū(0) − ū(k G )))π(k G ) (17)
get, however, a total profit of (at least) 2π(k G ) if r t G. There-
fore, the firm will require ex ante registration in t if and only since the firm expects total profits of p t + π(0) from con-
if (8) holds. sumers who register/buy in period t and expects total profits
of 0 + π(k G ) from the remaining consumers who do not reg-
A.4. Proof of Lemma 1 ister/buy in t. The optimal choice of p t is the solution to the
Consider first period t + 1. Since r t ExA is not feasible, first order condition
there will be a strictly positive mass of consumers who are
1 − F(p t + k R − (ū(0) − ū(k G )))
not yet registered in period t + 1 (those consumers with low pt − (π(0) − π(k G )). (18)
F0 (p t + k R − (ū(0) − ū(k G )))
θt ). The firm sets r t+1 G (which, because π(k G ) > π(k R ),
yields higher profits than r t+1 ExP); charges a price p(k G )
Ignoring the term π(0) − π(k G ), the optimal choice p t would
to consumers without an account; and charges a price p(0)
be the price that takes into account a consumer’s adjusted
to consumers who buy with an existing account. Consumers
registration costs k R − (ū(0) − ū(k G )) (adjusted by the expected
with an account (from period t) prefer to sign in with their
future surplus from registration). The term π(0) − π(k G )
account and buy at p(0) < p(k G ) + k G ; consumers without an
in (18), however, causes the firm’s optimal price in t to be
account buy using guest checkout.
lower: A lower price in period t increases the probability
Now consider period t. A consumer with valuation θt who
that consumers register, in which case the firm’s future prof-
sets up an account and buys in period t gets a total expected
its increase; π(0) − π(k G ) represents the relative increase in
utility of
future profits if the share of registered consumers goes up.
θt − p t − k R + ū(0) (14)
Denoting the solution to (18) by p ∗t, ExP , the period t profit of
since he expects a surplus of ū(0) in period t + 1 where he is the firm is
already registered. A consumer with valuation θt who buys
in t using guest checkout gets a total expected utility of π t (rt ExP) [1 − F(p ∗t, ExP + k R − (ū(0) − ū(k G )))]p ∗t, ExP .
k R − k G > ū(0) − ū(k G ). (16) ≥ [1 − F(p ∗t, ExP + k R − (ū(0) − ū(k G )))]
· (p ∗t, ExP + k R − (ū(0) − ū(k G )) − k G )
If k G → 0, the right-hand side of (16) approaches zero and (16)
holds. Moreover, the right-hand side of (16) strictly increases > [1 − F(p ∗t, ExP + k R − (ū(0) − ū(k G )))]p ∗t, ExP
in k G and the left-hand side of (16) strictly decreases in k G . π t (r t ExP).
If k G → k R , then (16) is violated. Thus, there exists a unique
ǩ G ∈ (0, k R ) such that (16) holds if and only if k G < ǩ G . The strict inequality follows from k G < ǩ G (i.e., (16) holds).
Morath and Münster: Online Shopping and Platform Design
16 Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–21, © 2017 The Author(s)
max{[1 − F(p + k G )](p + π(0)) + F(p + k G )π(k G )} where the latter is the firm’s profit when choosing r G.
p
(ii) Suppose that inequality (11) is violated; then the firm’s
≥ [1 − F(p(k G ) + k G )](p(k G ) + π(0)) + F(p(k G ) + k G )π(k G )
profit under r ExA is zero since no consumer registers. The
> [1 − F(p(k G ) + k G )](p(k G ) + π(k G )) + F(p(k G ) + k G )π(k G ) profit under r ExP is equal to
2π(k G ),
(1 − F(p(k R , v R + v B ) + k R ))(p(k R , v R + v B ) + v B + v R ). (21)
where the latter is equal to total profits under r t G (the
second inequality follows from π(0) > π(k G )). Therefore, ∆ > Note that (21) is strictly increasing in the value of consumer
0 if k G → ǩ G . information v R + v B .41 Under r G, the firm gets a profit
Finally, differentiate (19), denote the profit maximizing equal to
price in period t under r t ExP by p ∗t, ExP , and use the enve-
lope theorem, to obtain (1 − F(p(k G , v G ) + k G ))(p(k G , v G ) + v G ). (22)
Step 1. Suppose that v R 0. Using the envelope theorem, of consumers with discount, d can be expressed as a contin-
we get uous function of δ.42 Note that the discount d(δ) necessary
to induce high-cost types to register is increasing in δ since
∂∆(0, v B )
(1 − F(p(0, v B ))) − (1 − F(p(k R , 0 + v B ) + k R )) ≥ 0, the price p d also increases in δ: The more consumers get a
∂v B discount, the stronger is the price increase, and the higher
with strict inequality whenever v B is sufficiently small such must be the discount to make a high-cost consumer willing
that p(k R , v B ) + k R > p(0, v B ). (The latter is true by Assump- to register.43
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tion 1 as long as p(k R , v B ) > −k R . Note also that p(k R , v B ) −k R Fix any δ ∈ (0, 1) and let k RH → ū(0), holding δ constant.
implies that p(0, v B ) 0, in which case we get ∂∆(0, v B )/∂v B Suppose the firm chooses the discount d such that (12) holds
0. Hence, if only nonnegative prices are possible then with equality. (If k RH is close to ū(0), such a discount clearly
Assumption 1 implies that ∂∆(0, v B )/∂v B > 0.) exists.) By (12), (p d − d) → p(0). By definition of p(0), it follows
Step 2. For any v B ≥ 0, using again the envelope theorem, that
[−F0 (p d − d)(p d − d) + 1 − F(p d − d)] → 0.
∂∆(v R , v B )
1 − (1 − F(p(k R , v B + v R ) + k R )) ≥ 0,
∂v R By (25) this implies that
the profit-maximizing discount policy. The total share of con- induce consumers to reveal personal information (compare Shapiro
sumers who register is equal to δ0 + q − q 0 δ0 (where q − q 0 δ0 and Varian 1999 and Office of Fair Trading 2010).
9
is the share of low-cost consumers without discount). For As argued by Smith and Brynjolfsson (2001) for online shopping,
targeting technology q 00 , suppose that the firm chooses δ00 “brand is an important determinant of consumer choice” (p. 541),
δ0 (1 − q 0 )/(1 − q 00 ).44 The total share of consumers who register possibly out of concerns for noncontractible service quality such
under q 00 is equal to as shipping reliability or cognitive lock in. In the context of music
streaming services, brand loyalty to the recently launched Apple
δ00 + q − q 00 δ00 δ0 (1 − q 0 ) + q Music, for instance, need not be a pure preference of consumers for
a certain brand but can also emerge because of complementarities
and is, hence, the same as under targeting q 0 . However, with other products (iPhones) that consumers already own.
10
because 1 − q 00 > 1 − q 0 , we get δ00 < δ0 ; that is, the share Around 90% of the respondents have taken steps at least once
of consumers with discount is strictly lower under (q 00 , δ00 ) to keep anonymity online and to avoid being tracked (for fur-
than under (q 0 , δ0 ). Consequently, more consumers must reg- ther details, see Rainie et al. 2013, Madden 2014). According to
the surveys conducted by Milne et al. (2004), around two-thirds of
ister/buy without discount under q 00 . This leads to a weaker
respondents had decided not to purchase at a website because of
price distortion under q 00 than under q 0 ; that is, p(q 00 , δ00 ) <
uncertainty about the use of personal information.
p(q 0 , δ0 ). Thus, the discount necessary to make consumers 11
See also the survey by Anderson et al. (2008) on costs and implica-
with high registration costs willing to register is lower under
tions of identity theft.
q 00 (with δ00 < δ0 ) than under q 0 (with δ0 ). These effects (weaker 12
price distortion, lower discount, higher share of consumers When consumers are aware of the quality (their valuation) of a
product but have to incur a cost to learn its price, a hold-up prob-
who register without discount) cause the firm’s profit to be
lem emerges that may even result in a complete market breakdown
strictly higher under q 00 when choosing δ00 δ0 (1 − q 0 )/(1 − q 00 )
(Stiglitz 1989, Section 2). The literature on informative advertising
than under q 0 (with the optimal δ0 ). If under technology q 00 (surveyed by Bagwell 2007 and Renault 2016) has studied several
the optimal δ , δ00 , profits must be even higher. ways to deal with this hold-up problem. In our setting, there is no
market breakdown unless registration costs are prohibitively high
Endnotes since consumers are unaware of some product characteristics of the
1
Privacy concerns include concerns about the collection and use of good prior to registration and need to “inspect” the product in order
personal information not only by firms and advertisers but also by to learn their valuation.
13
governments. They are often closely related to security concerns such For instance, registration costs also apply in situations in which
as the fear of the misuse of information (personal information as well consumers know all product and price details, whereas search costs
as password and credit card information, for instance) and concerns are irrelevant in this case. Moreover, in the multiperiod model, con-
about the security of communication channels. In their survey on sumers can buy repeatedly with the same account and, hence, only
identity theft, Anderson et al. (2008, p. 181) state: “Concern about need to incur the registration costs once, but incurring transportation
maintaining the security of personal data may lead consumers to or search costs once does not typically lower the transportation or
avoid online transactions, make them less willing to shop around for search costs for future purchases.
credit, or otherwise cause them to spend resources to protect their 14
We do not consider upfront payments made upon registration and
personal records.” For a review on the collection and use of personal independent of eventual purchase, such as up-front subsidies or reg-
information by companies and data brokers, see also Marwick (2014). istration fees. These may be misused and are rarely found in practice
2
In older versions of iTunes, setting up a user account also required at online shops. A feasible and profitable form of subsidies are dis-
the provision of credit card or other valid payment information. counts or store credits that can be cashed in upon purchase, which
3 we discuss in Section 6.
According to Suich (2014, p. 7), “Ads that encourage people
to download apps account for a large proportion of mobile-ad 15
To simplify the notation, we assume here that there is a unique
spending.” solution to the firm’s maximization problem given by the first-order
4 condition, which can be guaranteed under additional assumptions
For instance, the “search inside books” at amazon.com is only avail-
able to registered customers. on F. For example, Assumption 1 introduced below is sufficient for
5
In addition, online shops often keep uncertainty about the “regis- the profit-maximizing price to be unique and given by (1).
16
tration cost” by not making transparent ex ante which information There is an additional set of equilibria in which the firm sets a
is required when setting up an account. High registration costs and (high) price at which (4) is violated and all buyers believe that the
privacy and security concerns are also considered reasons for why firm sets this high price and hence do not register. In the following,
consumers may not complete an online transaction but abandon their we ignore these equilibria, which can be eliminated by an appropri-
shopping cart before the final purchase stage (see, e.g., Cho et al. ate equilibrium refinement.
2006). 17
Since buyers do not know their valuation when registering and
6 are symmetric ex ante, the distribution of types that the firm faces
On repeat purchases and customer loyalty as determinants of the
success of online sellers, see Reichheld and Schefter (2000) for semi- in stage 3 is still described by the distribution F, leading to a price
nal insights and Toufaily et al. (2013) for a review of the literature. choice that is independent of µ (as long as µ > 0).
Morath and Münster: Online Shopping and Platform Design
Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–21, © 2017 The Author(s) 19
18
Assumption 1 guarantees that the pass-through rate of the reg- consumers who already have an account. But a higher price in t + 1
istration costs takes an interior value between 0% and 100%; com- reduces the consumers’ incentive to register in period t since they
pare also Bulow and Pfleiderer (1983) and Weyl and Fabinger (2013). expect a lower future benefit from already having an account. There-
Related questions on pass-through rates arise in the literature on tax fore, the price in t affects the price in t + 1 and the share of consumers
incidence (for a survey, see Fullerton and Metcalf 2002). who register, and vice versa, and an individual consumer’s period t
19 choice depends on all other consumers’ choices in t. This generates
Since marginal production costs are assumed to be zero, all con-
sumers with θ > k G should buy in the welfare optimum, but in case considerable technical complexities in the analysis without affecting
of r G, for instance, consumers buy only if θ > p(k G ) + k G . the main economic insights.
Downloaded from informs.org by [134.95.219.144] on 06 January 2017, at 08:22 . For personal use only, all rights reserved.
20 28
This can most easily be shown by using discrete distribution func- In this case consumer surplus and total welfare would be lower if
tions F; however, smooth examples can also be constructed. Details user registration is not possible or allowed.
are available upon request. 29
The critical value k̄ G below which the firm offers the option of guest
21
For instance, consumers can find a list of movies available on Net- checkout is increasing in k R since the firm’s profit under r ExP is
flix and other competing sellers on www.justwatch.com (accessed on decreasing in k R , while its profit under r G does not depend on k R .
June 11, 2016). It is doubtful, however, how much scrolling through 30
A firm may also obtain information from consumers (for exam-
such a list will improve the accuracy of a consumer’s estimate of his ple, with cookies) who visit their websites but neither register nor
valuation of a subscription because viewing the complete list is likely buy. For ease of notation, we normalize the firm’s benefit from this
to be prohibitively time consuming; moreover, the catalog will typi- information to zero. Thus the parameters v R , v B , and v G should be
cally change within the period of subscription. Nevertheless, in the interpreted as the value of the additional information obtained from
presence of such information the firms would need to keep the costs registration and purchase with account or as a guest.
of registration sufficiently low in order not to deter consumers from 31
In what follows, we take the registration cost k R and the distribu-
registering and may want to provide services such as personalized tion F of consumer valuations as given and analyze the impact of
recommendation systems that are difficult for consumers to judge ex changes in v R , v B , and v G . In general, there might also be a (positive
ante and without inspecting the product. or negative) correlation between v R and/or v B on the one hand and
22
For early papers on price competition with brand loyalty see k R and/or θ on the other hand. For instance, privacy concerns may
Rosenthal (1980) and Narasimhan (1988). A similar structure be strengthened when consumers anticipate that the firm sells their
emerges when a share of consumers is uninformed about the exis- personal information at high prices to third parties, which would
tence of other firms (Varian 1980, Baye et al. 1992). Brand loyalty can lead to a higher k R . If v R represents the firm’s benefit from targeted
be explained by switching cost, more specifically, for instance, by advertising, θ may be increasing and/or k R may be decreasing in
costly learning how to use new products, complementarities to other v R . In addition, consumers may also be not fully aware of the con-
purchased products and network effects; for an overview of reasons sequences of the use of their information; in this context, see also
for brand loyalty, see Klemperer (1995). In Baye and Morgan (2001) Norberg et al. (2007) on divergences of consumers’ opinions and
loyalty emerges from local segregation of markets and can be broken behavior and the survey by Acquisti et al. (2015) on privacy concerns
down by creating a virtual marketplace on the Internet. See also Baye and consumer behavior.
and Morgan (2009) for a model of price competition when consumer 32
To be precise, allowing for negative prices and denoting the price
loyalty is endogenous and affected by advertising.
solving (10) by p̂(k, v), the optimal price is given by max{ p̂(k, v), −k}.
23
Note that this section does not rely on a “switching cost” argu- In case of r ExA, for instance, the firm sets a price equal to
ment since we consider a monopoly firm. Effects of registration max{ p̂(0, v B ), 0}, whereas in case of r ExP the optimal price is
requirements in competitive environments are analyzed in the online max{ p̂(k R , v R + v B ), −k R } (at a price p −k R all consumers regis-
appendix. ter/buy; hence, the optimal price will never be lower).
24
To save on notation, we assume the valuations in the two periods 33
The additional incentive to require ex ante registration due to the
to be identically distributed, but the results easily extend to the case value of consumer information carries over to the dynamic model of
where θt and θt+1 are drawn independently from distribution func- Section 4; moreover, when ex ante registration requirements are not
tions Ft and Ft+1 , respectively. For the same reason we also abstract feasible, the firm’s incentive to require ex post registration in period
from discounting of future profits/surplus. The assumption of inde- t of the two-period model is strengthened if the firm also values the
pendence of θt and θt+1 rules out some forms of price discrimination; information consumers provide when registering. More precisely,
we discuss this issue further below. the larger v R and v B (relative to v G ), the smaller becomes the range in
25
As in the baseline model, k R and k G are assumed to be identical Proposition 3 in which the firm offers the option of guest checkout;
across consumers, and 0 < k G < k R . for sufficiently high v R + v B , this interval becomes empty and the
26 firm always requires consumers to set up an account in period t.
Since θt and θt+1 are independent, the firm cannot gain from dis-
34
criminating between registered costumers based on their purchase It is straightforward to show this by example, assuming that θ
behavior in t. This allows us to focus on the choice of registra- is distributed uniformly. To understand this indeterminacy, con-
tion policies and to abstract from many additional aspects discussed sider the difference in welfare ∫under r ExA and under r
p(k R , v R +v B )+k R
in the literature on behavior-based price discrimination; see, for ExP. This difference is equal to p(0, v ) (θ + v B ) dF(θ) + (1 −
B
instance, Hart and Tirole (1988) and Villas-Boas (2004) for the case F(p(k R , v R + v B ) + k R ))(v R − k R ). The first term captures the differ-
of a monopoly seller, Villas-Boas (1999) and Fudenberg and Tirole ence in the surplus from trade caused by the difference in equilib-
(2000) for oligopolistic competition, and the surveys by Fudenberg rium prices under ExA and ExP. As argued above, p(k, v) + k is
and Villas-Boas (2006) and Stole (2007). Aspects of e-commerce and strictly decreasing in v − k; thus, this first term is positive (p(0, v B ) <
improved information technologies in this context are discussed, for p(k R , v R + v B ) + k R ) if and only if v R − k R < 0. The second term reflects
instance, by Taylor (2004) and Acquisti and Varian (2005) and in the the difference in direct registration costs and informational benefits
survey by Fudenberg and Villas-Boas (2012). In our model, the use caused by only a share of consumers registering under r ExP. This
of behavior-based price discrimination would also be complicated second term is positive if and only if v R − k R > 0. Hence, there are two
by the possibility for consumers to set up new accounts or use guest countervailing effects on welfare. If v R is small compared to k R , there
checkout. is more trade under ExA than under ExP, but too many consumers
27
If the firm charges the same price to all consumers, the price in register under ExA from a welfare perspective; this is the trade-off
period t + 1 turns out to be an increasing function of the share of already identified in the benchmark model. If v R is large compared
Morath and Münster: Online Shopping and Platform Design
20 Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–21, © 2017 The Author(s)
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