ecological analysis Outline • Background information • Analysing three articles Food system • All elements and activities that relate to production, processing, distribution, preparation, and consumption of food.
• Food systems are comprised of all the elements
(eg, environment, people, inputs, processes, infra structures, and institutions) and activities that relate to the production, processing, distribution, preparation and consumption of food. 1Sustainable food systems • Sustainable food systems are defined as those that produce nutrient-rich foods that are affordable, socially and culturally acceptable, and sparing of both natural and human resources. • Sustainable diets are defined as those that were healthy, affordable, appealing, and environmentally friendly. The four principal domains of sustainable diets are health, economics, society, and the environment (FAO, 2010). Current status of diets • Between the mid-1960s and the early 2000s, food availability improved globally, and global per capita exports of agricultural products almost doubled, but food self-sufficiency did not change significantly. • The global population increased 2.5 times between 1961 and 2016, while calorie production increased by more than 4 times by 2013. • The researchers mentioned that current food systems are currently threatening both human health and environmental sustainability. • Providing a growing global population with healthy diets from sustainable food systems is an immediate challenge. • more than 820 million people have insufficient food and many more consume low- quality diets that cause micronutrient deficiencies and contribute to a substantial rise in the incidence of diet-related obesity and diet-related non-communicable diseases, including coronary heart disease, stroke, and diabetes. • Lose-lose diets (unhealthy and environmentally unsustainable) are often characterised as being high in calories, added sugars, saturated fats, processed foods, and red meats. In addition, environmental degradation resulting from these lose-lose diets might further exacerbate poor health. Western diet • The global transition toward a “Western diet”, characterized by high intake of refined carbohydrates, added sugar, sodium, and animal products, and low intake of fruits, vegetables, and whole grains, has presented simultaneous challenges for population health and environmental sustainability. • Key elements of the Western diet are among the most prominent risk factors for morbidity and mortality worldwide, and are major contributors to key environmental burdens such as greenhouse gas emissions and land use. Healthy reference diet A healthy diet should optimise health, being a state of complete physical, mental, and social wellbeing, and not just absence of disease.
• Healthy reference diet largely consists of vegetables, fruits,
whole grains, legumes, nuts, and unsaturated oils, includes a low to moderate amount of seafood and poultry, and includes no or a low quantity of red meat, processed meat, added sugar, refined grains, and starchy vegetables. The plates below are examples of a planetary health diet. This is a flexitarian diet, which is largely plant-based but can optionally include modest amounts of fish, meat and dairy foods. Scientific targets for a planetary health diet, with possible ranges, for an intake of 2500 kcal/day Dietary patterns of promoting low risk of chronic diseases and overall wellbeing (1) protein sources primarily from plants, legumes, nuts, fish or alternative sources of omega-3 fatty acids several times per week with optional modest consumption of poultry and eggs, and low intakes of red meat, if any, especially processed meat; (2) Fat mostly from unsaturated plant sources, with low intakes of saturated fats, and no partly hydrogenated oils; (3) Carbohydrates from whole grains with low intake of refined grains and less than 5% of energy from sugar; (4) At least five servings of fruits and vegetables per day, not including potatoes; and (5) Moderate dairy consumption as an option. Food, planet, and health • Globally, more than 820 million people remain undernourished, 151 million children are stunted, 51 million children are wasted, and more than 2 billion people are micro nutrient deficient, 2·1 billion adults overweight or obese and the global prevalence of diabetes almost doubling in the past 30 years. • Because much of the global population is inadequately nourished (ie, undernutrition, overnutrition, and malnutrition) due to low dietary quality, the world’s diets urgently need to be transformed. • Food production is the largest cause of global environmental change. Agriculture occupies about 40% of global land, and food production is responsible for up to 30% of global GHG emission and 70% of freshwater use. Two major global agendas focus on human health and environmental sustainability.
• The UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) seek to end
poverty, protect the planet, ensure prosperity for all, and eradicate hunger and malnourishment.
• The Paris Agreement (195 nations), also addresses the
effects of climate change on human health. Furthermore, reaching the Paris Agreement of limiting global warming to well 1·5° - 2°C, is not possible by only decarbonising the global energy system.
• A revolutionary change in food systems to support human
health and environmental sustainability is essential to the Paris Agreement. Multiple health and environmental impacts of foods Michael A Clark a,b,c,1, Marco Springmann a,b, Jason Hilld, and David Tilman e,f,1 aOxford Martin Programme on the Future of Food, University of Oxford, OX3 7LF Oxford, United Kingdom; bNuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, OX3 7LF Oxford, United Kingdom; cNatural Resources Science and Management, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN 55108; dDepartment of Bioproducts and Biosystems Engineering, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN 55108; eDepartment of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN 55108; and fBren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 • They analyses how consuming an additional serving per day of each of 15 foods is associated with 5 health outcomes in adults and 5 aspects of agriculturally driven environmental degradation. • Foods: chicken, dairy, eggs, fish, fruits, legumes, nuts, olive oil, potatoes, processed red meat, refined grain cereals, sugar- sweetened beverages (SSBs), unprocessed red meat, vegetables, and whole grain cereals. • 5 health outcomes: mortality, coronary heart disease (CHD), type II diabetes, stroke, and colorectal cancers • 5 environmental outcomes—GHG emissions, land use, water use, acidification and eutrophication. • They first consider the health and environmental impacts of these foods separately, and then explore them jointly. Method followed: • Health and environmental impacts of these foods have been well documented through meta analyses of life cycle assessments (LCAs). • The health outcomes reported here are the relative risks (RRs) of disease resulting from consuming an additional serving of a food per day. • If RR > 1, consumption of an additional serving is associated with increased disease risk compared to the average risk of that disease, and if RR < 1, this consumption is associated with decreased disease risk. Health Impact • As to individual food groups, nuts, minimally processed whole grains, fruits, vegetables, legumes, olive oil, and fish are associated with significantly reduced health risk. • The health benefit of consuming a second additional serving per day is often smaller than the health benefit of consuming the first additional serving per day. • Daily consumption of an additional serving of dairy, egg, and chicken is not significantly associated with disease incidence. • However, if chicken consumption increases when reduced consumption of red meat - likely to increase disease risk (Message: red meat is not substitute for chicken) • Consuming larger amounts of refined grain cereals has been associated with increased risk of diabetes. Substituting whole grain cereals for refined cereals has been associated with reductions in disease incidence. • Sugar-sweetened beverage consumption is associated with a significant increase in CHD, type II diabetes, and stroke, but not total mortality or colorectal cancer. • Consumption of unprocessed and processed red meat is associated with significant increases in disease risk for all 5 health outcomes. Environmental impacts • They reported all environmental impacts relative to the impact of producing a serving of vegetables*. • Minimally processed plant source foods, olive oil, and sugar-sweetened beverages have the lowest environmental impacts for all indicators (<5). • Dairy, eggs, fish, and chicken have relatively higher environmental impacts that range from (3 -40). • Producing a serving of unprocessed red meat has the highest impact for all 5 environmental indicators (16 – 230). • processed red meat has the second highest mean impact. • Foods with the lowest environmental impacts often have the largest health benefits. • Consumption of leafy green vegetables has been associated with a significant reduction in type II diabetes risk, whereas some other vegetables have not. Associations between Health and Environmental Outcomes • The foods with the largest environmental impacts—unprocessed and processed red meat has 10 to 100 times larger environmental impacts — often have the largest negative impacts on human health. • The health and environmental impacts can be varied within each food group, food preparation, or production methodology. For instance, • Rice production emits more GHGs than other cereals because methane is produced when rice paddies are flooded. • For red meats, ruminant meat (beef, sheep, and goat) has higher environmental impacts than pork because ruminant meat production uses more agricultural inputs and emit methane when digesting food. • For health but not for environmental impacts: For instance, frying fish can negate its potential health benefits. • Production location or methodology can be also an environmental factor: For instance, the GHG emissions of fish production are highly variable, recirculating aquaculture systems emit more GHG per amount of fish produced than do other fish production system because of greater energy use. Association between a food group’s impact on mortality and its AREI Foods associated with significant reductions in mortality consistently have a low averaged relative environmental impact . Whole grain cereals, fruits, vegetables, nuts, and olive oil have an AREI of 4 or less per serving.
Fish, significantly reduce
mortality, AREI =14 per serving.
Unprocessed red meats (AREI =
73) and processed red meats (AREI = 37), sugar-sweetened beverages (AREI = 0.95) have the lowest AREIs of all foods in this analysis. Conrad Z, Niles MT, Neher DA, Roy ED, Tichenor NE, Jahns L (2018) Relationship between food waste, diet quality, and environmental sustainability. PLoS ONE 13(4): e0195405. https:// doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0195405
Editor: Benedetto Marelli,
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, UNITEDSTATES • They examined the relationship between consumer-level food waste, diet quality, nutrient waste, and multiple measures of sustainability: use of cropland, irrigation water, pesticides, and fertilizers. • Method: Diet quality was assessed using the Healthy Eating Index-2015. A biophysical simulation model was used to estimate the amount of cropland associated with wasted food. • Food loss represents the portion of food that is not consumed for any reason, including spoilage, cooking loss, and plate waste. • Analyses linking diet quality and environmental sustainability have typically focused on a limited suite of sustainability indicators, and have not typically included food waste, despite a growing focus on understanding where and how food is wasted in the food system.
• Food waste is an important indicator of sustainability because it
embodies the sum of resources used to produce uneaten food, including cropland, agricultural chemicals like fertilizers and pesticides, and irrigation water; in other words, these inputs are used to grow food that is ultimately wasted by consumers.
• Globally, enough food is wasted every year to feed nearly 2 billion
people a 2,100 kcal/day diet, which amplifies the negative environmental externalities associated with agriculture and increases resource scarcity. Food waste by US consumers Foods or dish items Grams % (Average) Total 421.5 100.00 Fruits and vegetables and mixed fruit and 164 39% vegetable dishes dairy 72.3 17% meat and mixed meat dishes 56.8 14% grains and grain mixed dishes 50.8 12% other foods and dishes (candy, soft drinks, etc) 24.5 5.8 salty snacks 15.6 3.7 soup 11.8 2.8 potatoes and mixed potato dishes 8.6 2.0 nuts and seeds 5.8 1.4 Mexican dishes 5.4 1.3 eggs and mixed egg dishes 2.8 0.7 table oils and salad dressing 2.2 0.5 This analysis finds that • US consumers wasted 422g of food per person daily, with 30 million acres of cropland used to produce this food every year. This accounts for 30% of daily calories available for consumption, one-quarter of daily food (by weight) available for consumption, and 7% of annual cropland acreage. • Nearly 4.2 trillion gallons of irrigation water, 780 million pounds of pesticides, approximately 1.8 billion pounds of nitrogen fertilizer, 1.5 billion pounds of phosphorus and 2.3 billion pounds of potash fertilizer - wasted. • Higher quality diets were associated with greater amounts of food waste, greater amounts of wasted irrigation water and pesticides, but less cropland waste, as fruits and vegetables are health-promoting and require small amounts of cropland, but require substantial amounts of agricultural inputs. • These results suggest that simultaneous efforts to improve diet quality and reduce food waste are necessary. • Consumers should increase their consumption of fruits and vegetables and simultaneously waste less of them. • Increasing consumers’ knowledge about how to prepare and store fruits and vegetables will be one of the practical solutions to reducing food waste. A social–ecological analysis of the global agri-food system Elisa Oteros-Rozas a,b,1,2, Adriana Ruiz-Almeida c,1, Mateo Aguado d, José A. González d, and Marta G. Rivera-Ferre a,e aAgroecology and Food Systems, Research Group Inclusive Societies, Policies and Communities, University of Vic–Central University of Catalonia, 08500 Vic, Spain; bFRACTAL Collective, 28022 Madrid, Spain; cSustainability Measurement and Modeling Lab, Research Institute for Sustainability Science and Technology, Polytechnic University of Catalonia, 08034 Barcelona, Spain; dSocial–Ecological Systems Laboratory, Department of Ecology, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, 28049 Cantoblanco, Spain; and eCenter Agroecology, Water and Resilience, University of Coventry, CV8 3LG Coventry, United Kingdom Edited by B. L. Turner II, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, and approved November 7, 2019 (received for review July 23, 2019) • A social–ecological systems perspective contributes to systematically and quantitatively assessing environmental, social, and economic relationships between countries within a globalized world.
• The researchers applied a holistic approach to depicting the
global food panorama through a quantitative multivariate assessment of 43 indicators of food sovereignty and 28 indicators of sociodemographic, social being, and environmental sustainability in 150 countries.
• The results identify 5 world regions and indicate the
existence of disequilibria between regions in the natural resources consumed, the environmental impacts produced, and the social wellbeing attained by populations that play different roles within the globalized agri-food system). 1. Landgrabbed and Undernourished: Agricultural Exporters but Food Importers: • 45 countries, mostly from eastern, middle, and western Africa • lowest gross domestic product (GDP) per capita and very low income • the smallest cultivated area per farmer, • the largest total economically active population in agriculture, • a limited use of fertilizers • a low production of meat • Agriculture is responsible for a high share of the GDP of these countries, • Export huge amounts of agricultural products while failing to feed large shares of their population. • The largest importers of food, the most severe food deficits; and significant vulnerability, which is consistent with the lowest protein supply and adequacy of the dietary energy supply among the groups • The lowest levels of access to resources, such as electricity, sanitation, and drinking water; These countries also show the lowest degree of economic, social, and political globalization, despite some of them being among the biggest exporters of luxury commodities, like coffee and cocoa. • shortest life expectancy and worse life satisfaction 2. Diverse Intensive Producers of Crops • 49 countries, mostly from Asia and the Americas. • These countries have the largest population densities and low–medium income. • characterized by intensive production models based on a large use of fertilizers and agricultural water withdrawal (for wheat, maize, and/or rice production) • They are large food exporters and also, characterized by the second highest food deficit, low energy and protein intake, and overall intermediate levels of social wellbeing. 3. Least Ecologically Wealthy and Land grabbers • 18 countries • Medium population densities and GDP per capita • a limited proportion of agricultural area and forests as well as overall very little cereal, meat, and fruit production but the greatest use of fertilizers per hectare • Little of the population lives in rural areas or is dedicated to agriculture, • the population in these countries seems to have good access to all resources • have limited exports of agricultural products, and they are net food importers, with limited value added to agriculture • the largest area of land grabbed • Overall, they seem to have a good situation in terms of social wellbeing 4. Intensive Food Producers and Exporters • 8 vast countries from Oceania and the Americas • Exhibits high income and the largest GDP per capita alongside the smallest population densities • Access to resources is high in these countries, • the agrifood system is focused of intensive production of cereals, fruit, meat, and biofuels dependent on large inputs of pesticides • Organic agriculture scores high • Countries in this group seem to be the “bread basket of the world”: a large share of food and agricultural exports while indicating limited food imports • In fact, some of them, such as Australia, Argentina, Canada, the United States, and most recently, Brazil dominate global food exports. • This group also shows the largest financial support for agriculture. • Protein supply is high, consistent with the high level of energy adequacy. • Large ecological footprints and agricultural CO2 emissions as well as a large biocapacity that sustains their large biocapacity reserves • They have the best records for all social wellbeing indexes 5. Overnourished Agricultural Importers • 30 countries, mostly in Europe, the largest population densities, the second largest GDP per capita, and high income. • Access to resources is satisfactory. • Agriculture is quite intensive, with little rural and agricultural populations, little presence of women who are economically active in agriculture, and a large use of fertilizers • These are the largest importers of agricultural products. • People in these countries are overall food secure but have a diet mostly based on a large consumption of proteins. • These countries are in a biocapacity deficit because of the ecological footprint of the built-up land and the croplands, instead showing the lowest grazing footprint and agricultural water withdrawal but large CO2 agricultural emissions. • These are the countries with the largest degree of globalization and net contribution of official development assistance for food and agriculture as well as overall high levels of social wellbeing. They analysed and described: • Certain countries, like Australia, Brazil, Argentina, and those in Europe and North America, hold a critical stake and should reduce overconsumption, while African countries, would benefit from improving their self-sufficiency. • Material flows in global agrifood systems result in interregional social inequities in the distribution of both costs and benefits of producing, trading, and consuming food, hence affecting social wellbeing, unevenly distributing environmental impacts, and challenging environmental sustainability. • A substantial proportion of the world’s 815 million people who are unable to meet daily food needs are small-scalefood producers. • Globalization poses complex tradeoffs for food system resilience across scales due to high social, economic, and ecological interconnectedness, tradeoffs, and, hence, vulnerability • An unbalanced food system features a contrast between high rates of undernutrition (group 1) vs. overnutrition (in groups 4 and 5), leading to increasing overweight and obesity, which highlights the need to promote dietary changes in many countries of the Global North. • Divergences in diets are reflected by the differences in carbon footprints : mean dietary carbon footprints 0.7 kgCO2 eq. per capita per day for countries of group 1 while it is 4for New Zealand, Australia, the United States, France, Austria, Argentina, and Brazil (all in groups 4 and 5). • If current crop production used for animal feed and other nonfood uses, such as biofuels (particularly in the United States, China, Western Europe, and Brazil), were used for direct human consumption, ca. 70% more calories would be available, potentially satisfying the basic needs of 4 billion people. • Most countries with high nutritional quality show high ecological footprints, and therefore, changes in the diets in North America (group 4) and Europe (group 5) would entail the largest reductions in environmental impacts of the global agrifood system. • Therefore, “doubling the agricultural productivity of small- scale food producers,” as stated by SDG2, is per se not the way to eradicate hunger in a context where the world is already producing food to feed 12 billion people. • On the contrary, only increasing agricultural productivity has led to reduced prices (ultimately harming farmers) and created health problems and the associated costs. International Agrifood Trade, Food Security, and Environmental Sustainability • The global agrifood trade entails tradeoffs in terms of social equity and environmental sustainability • In fact, securing the food supply through imports occurs only in strong enough economies. • In a globalized and financialized system, food tends to flow toward money and power, not toward hunger, and therefore, international agrifood trade can contribute to increase social inequality in the form of food insecurity by facilitating food being exported/traded away from the hungry • More than one-fifth of global calorie production is exported, mostly from countries in group 4 (the United States, Canada, Brazil, and Argentina). • Industrialized countries with high GDP per capita tend to be major net importers of biodiversity, while tropical countries, such as Argentina and Brazil, suffer habitat degradation and biodiversity loss as a result of producing crops for exports. • Land use for export production is responsible for 25% of the projected global biodiversity loss, ∼20% of global harvested cropland area is devoted to export production, and most of the new cropland expansion is globally attributed to the production of crops for export. • International food trade has been related to a virtual transfer of water, carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus, while the environmental impacts of agricultural production tend to remain in the producing countries. Virtual water flows Virtual water flows • Virtual water trade is an alternative to real water transfers • Countries with large water stock can profit from their abundance by producing water-intensive products for export. • But water-scarce countries should achieve water security by importing water-intensive products instead of producing them domestically which puts more pressure on the water supply. • Strikingly, water-rich European countries belong to the net- water-importer category. These countries import many products that are much cheaper when produced somewhere else or can be cultivated in their own land. • In addition water-scarce countries, like China and India, export a lot of their virtual water. • Nowadays, water is, not yet, a dominant factor in international trade, rather low wage and low transport costs. Solutions? making the usage of water more efficient • For instance, rice which has been produced in the US costs 2344 liter water per kilo and in Thailand the same amount needs 3592 liters. • Taking into account your ‘water friendliness’, you would prefer the rice coming from the US. However, this rice is cultivated on fields that are irrigated using a lot of water from rivers and aquifers. • On the other hand, in Thailand, rice is mainly cultivated during the wet monsoon season. The load of rainwater is absorbed by the rice fields instead of leading to floods. • Finally, countries also need to pay attention to becoming more neutral towards the import and export of virtual water. Role of the commercial food system play in promoting health through better diet • Populations across the globe are highly dependent on commercial food systems for daily nourishment • Commercial food systems rely heavily on high volume sales of foods high in unhealthy ingredients to generate profits and value for shareholders • The system does not adequately take account of the high costs of its activities for societies, health, or the environment, which are associated with increases in non- communicable diseases. • Processed foods have some advantages—for example, their longer shelf life and convenience—and they may not inherently need to be unhealthy. Nevertheless, how to achieve healthier processed foods remains unclear. • Highly processed foods satisfy human taste for salty and sweet foods. • Despite their convenience, palatability, longer shelf life, improved food safety, endless choice, and affordability for consumers, highly processed foods are widely criticised for not contributing to a healthy diet. • Aggressive marketing of such foods, often accompanied by health and nutrition claims (for example, “high in vitamins”) that can obscure potential harms, drives and distorts consumer demand. • Processed foods thus present a dilemma for public health, food policy, and consumer choice • In this case, governments will need to do more to limit the influence of companies on health policy through —for example, trade agreements, regulation of advertising, fiscal policies, mandating nutrition labelling and transparency on food ingredients, and, possibly, use of competition laws. • Commercial food companies can voluntarily shift their focus towards expanding the market for healthier and more sustainable foods, while reducing the availability of less healthy foods. This shift would require a significant will to change as well as technical and business model innovations within commercial food systems. • Small but growing movements are emerging, such as impact investing and alternative “social” business models. 10 • The COVID-19 pandemic makes the importance of health and wellbeing clear. The pandemic’s implications for societies require action beyond the health sector. • For example, tobacco and alcohol use, unhealthy diets, air pollution, and insufficient physical exercise contribute to most non-communicable diseases (NCDs), which account for 72% of all global deaths. High NCD prevalence is contributing to the impact of COVID-19. 10 • Meeting on ‘Healthier societies for healthy populations’ - Feb 10–12, 2020, in the UK - political economy lens - • The discussants mentioned that policies to promote more sustainable dietary choices, zero carbon energy, and transport systems can improve health and mitigate climate change. It is clear that leadership and public demand for improved health are fundamental to motivate meaningful change. • Our first priority must be to evolve our societies to enable people to stay and remain healthy- not only important for people’s health, but also for sustainable development. Five Strategies for a Great Food Transformation (LANCET commission) • Seek international and national commitment to shift toward healthy diets • Reorient agricultural priorities from producing high quantities of food to producing healthy food • Sustainably intensify food production to increase high-quality output • Strong and coordinated governance of land and oceans • Reducing food losses and waste, in line with UN Sustainable Development Goals. 2-2 • This Commission concludes that global food systems can provide win-win diets to everyone by 2050 and beyond. However, achieving this goal will require rapid adoption of numerous changes and unprecedented global collaboration and commitment: nothing less than a Great Food Transformation. Thank you so much for your kind attention