Political Economy of the World during Inter-War Period Economists hold several reasons for the cause of the great depression. The predominant view of neo-liberal economists claimed that a totally manageable financial crisis was turned into the great depression because of the collapse in the world trade, caused by trade wars amongst the countries. The situation was prompted by the adoption of protectionism by the US through the 1930 Smoot Hawley Tariffs. The Smoot-Hawley Tariffs Act imposed punitive protectionist tariffs on foreign goods being imported to the US. The Act was a result of the lobbying efforts by the U.S. agricultural interest’s groups in order to gain protection against agricultural imports The Smoot Hawley Act in-turn led to several retaliatory protectionist policies by the European Market. Illustratively, countries such as Italy and Spain showed increased protectionism, all of which worsened the prevailing economic situation. Other economists however hold that it was not protectionism but the downward spiral in international demand, caused by adherence of the governments to the doctrine of balanced budget, which aggravated the situation, leading to the great depression. The great depression created a spiral of unpaid debts, falling tax revenues and discouraged private funding. The government was the only economic actor left in the economy, which thereby faced a budget deficit, while it attempted to control the situation of low demand in the economy. The economic situation was further worsened due to the prevailing Gold Standard model. Under this model, each national currency was backed by the quantity of gold held by country’s central bank. Due to this standard, the central banks of the capitalist nation states could not increase the money supply for fear of compromising the value of their currencies. Thus, with restricted money supply, credit became scarce and it further reduced the demand. Amidst this economic background, two other points are note-worthy. First, a large part of economics during the high noon of capitalism era was governed by Adam Smith’s laissez faire theory. According to this theory markets are self-correcting and hence do not require state intervention. However, in the after-math of great depression and the economic situation torn by the two world wars, this view started changing. Keynesian economics which advocated for government regulation became a more predominant view, which was further endorsed during the Bretton Woods Conference. The second vital factor noteworthy in the Bretton Woods background was the prevalent situation of the former USSR countries. Whilst Western Europe and North America were waging in economic turmoil, Soviet industrialisation under the socialist principles of a completely planned economy was proving a big success. Reasons behind the Bretton Woods Conference The world wars were pyrrhic victories indeed with both sides losing heavily. The lessons drawn from the inter-war period thus informed the approach of global policy makers towards reconstruction and development of the post war economy. President Franklin D. Roosevelt of the US and officials such as Secretary of State Cordell Hull became pioneers for the Bretton Woods Conference. These officials were adherents of the Wilsonian belief that free trade promoted not just prosperity, but also peace. To combat the great depression, several protectionist policies were adopted by the countries. These policies included: 1. Beggar Thy Neighbour An international trading policy that utilizes currency devaluations and protective barriers to alleviate a nation’s economic difficulties at the expense of other countries. While the policy may help repair an economic hardship in the nation, it will harm the country’s trading partners, worsening its economic status. 2. Competitive currency devaluations an abrupt national currency devaluation by one nation is matched by a currency devaluation of another, especially if they both have managed exchange-rate regimes rather than floating exchange rates determined by market forces. Competitive devaluation is considered a “beggar-thy-neighbor” type of economic policy, since it amounts to a nation trying to gain an economic advantage without consideration for the ill-effects it may have on other countries. 3. High tariffs Examples of the prevailing high tariffs include the Smoot-Hawley Act of the US and other retaliatory tariff measures imposed by European countries such as Italy and Spain, 4. Discriminatory trading blocs The prevailing imperial preferences involved in tariff setting and trade such as the policy of Britain and France towards their colonies discriminated against preferences allotted to non- colonies. Each of these policies further culminated in the destabilisation of international environment without improving the economic situation. This experience led world leaders to conclude that economic cooperation was the only way to achieve both peace and prosperity, at home and abroad. Similarly, in the Brettonwoods discourse, the world was described in terms of free market of sovereign autonomous states enjoying equal opportunity in an „open international system. How did the Bretton Woods operationalize? The vision of economic cooperation was first articulated in the Atlantic Charter, issued by the US president Roosevelt and British Prime Minister Winston Churchill at the conclusion of the August 1941 Atlantic Conference. The Charters fourth point committed the United States and the United Kingdom “to further the enjoyment by all States, great or small, victor or vanquished, of access, on equal terms, to the trade and to the raw materials of the world which are needed for their economic prosperity,” while its fifth point expressed their commitment to “the fullest collaboration between all nations in the economic field with the object of securing, for all, improved labour standards, economic advancement and social security.” The two countries further elaborated upon these principles in Article VII of their February 1942 agreement on lend-lease aid. In that article, the United Kingdom agreed that in return for U.S. lend-lease assistance, it would cooperate with the United States in devising measures to expand “production, employment, and the exchange and consumption of goods,” to eliminate “all forms of discriminatory treatment in international commerce,” to reduce barriers to trade, and generally to achieve the goals laid out in the Atlantic Charter. By early 1942, U.S. and British officials began preparing proposals that would foster economic stability and prosperity in the post-war world. Harry Dexter White, Special Assistant to the U.S. Secretary of the Treasury, and John Maynard Keynes, an advisor to the British Treasury, each drafted plan. The plans aimed at creating organizations that would provide financial assistance to countries experiencing short-term balance of payments deficits. Financial assistance would safeguard countries and thereby prevent them from protectionist or predatory economic policies adopted to improve their balance of payments position. While both plans envisioned a world of fixed exchange rates, and believed to be more conducive to the expansion of international trade than floating exchange rates, they differed in several significant respects. An Agreement was finally reached at the July 1944 United Nations Monetary and Financial Conference. This gathering hosted delegates from 44 nations that met in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, famously known as the Bretton Woods Conference. Results of the Conference The conference resulted in the formation of a monetary regime joining an unchanged gold exchange standard (prevalent in the preceding era), supplemented by a centralized pool of gold and national currencies, with an entirely new exchange rate system of adjustable pegs. The IMF was charged with the following functions: Regulatory- administering the rules governing currency values and convertibility and overseeing a system of fixed exchange rates centred on the U.S. dollar and gold. Financial- Supplying supplementary liquidity by providing short-term financial assistance to countries experiencing temporary deficits in their balance of payments; Consultative- serving as a forum for consultation and cooperation among governments; The IBRD was responsible for providing financial assistance for the reconstruction of war- ravaged nations and the economic development of less developed countries. In July 1945, the US Congress passed the Bretton Woods Agreements Act, which authorised the US to officially join IMF and the World Bank. The two organizations officially came into existence five months later. The fixed exchange rate system established at the Bretton Woods prevailed only for three decades. Post the exchange crises of August 1971, the US President Richard M. Nixon suspended the dollars convertibility into gold. Further, during February/March 1973 floating exchange rates become the norm for the major industrialized democracies, which continues to persist till date. Footprints of Bretton Woods in previous regulatory institutions It must be noted that the era of global regulation through institutions began as early as early 1920s. Political organisations such as the League of Nations maintained regulatory institutions, for example- the Economic and Financial Organisation. Similarly, an international bank to aid post war reconstruction was first discussed in Brussels in 1920. Another proposal to restore the gold standard, stabilised via central bank cooperation and managed by an international convention was discussed in Genoa in 1922. League of Nations also helped organise loans for the countries in the 1927 period. Similarly, world leaders including members of the League, the US and Soviet members met in Geneva and Hague subsequently to discuss issues of balancing budget, removing control on movement of goods and services etc. Thus, the success of the Bretton Woods can be seen as cumulation of previously initiated efforts of nation states during the inter-war period. 2. Formation of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) Evolution One of the most contentious issues was the system of discriminatory preferential tariffs. Such tariffs were established and continued among the members of the British Commonwealth in 1932, whereby trade within the Commonwealth was subject to lower tariffs than trade between the Commonwealth nations and the rest of the world. The U.S. officials such as Cordell Hull opposed such imperial preferences on both ideological and practical grounds. Similarly, countries such as Canada that were members of the preferential system were also the United States largest trading partners and hence called for its abolition. However, many Commonwealth officials favored keeping the preferences. They similarly asserted that imperial preferences would continue until at-least the US agreed to reduce the high Smoot-Hawley tariffs, it set in 1930. Thus, an evident dead-lock continued on these issues. Post Bretton Woods, 15 countries re-began talks in December 1945 to reduce and bind customs tariffs. With the second-world war only recently ended, they wanted to give an early boost to trade liberalization. Thus, they began to correct the legacy of protectionist measures which remained in place from the early 1930s. This first round of negotiations resulted in a package of trade rules and 45,000 tariff concessions affecting $10 billion of trade, which was about one fifth of the then worlds total. It further led to the elimination of several imperial preferences. The group had expanded to 23 by the time the deal was signed on 30 October 1947. The tariff concessions came into effect by 30 June 1948 through a “Protocol of Provisional Application”. This signified the birth of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, with 23 founding members (officially known as the “contracting parties” to the GATT). It is vital to note that the 23 were also part of the larger group negotiating a separate Charter for creating International Trade Organisation- a formal regulatory institution for international trade. One of the provisions of the GATT said that they should accept some of the trade rules of the ITO draft. This, the members believed, should be done swiftly and “provisionally” in order to protect the value of the tariff concessions they had negotiated during GATT formation. They spelt out how they envisaged the relationship between GATT and the ITO Charter. GATT was designed not only to implement the agreed tariff cuts but to also serve as an interim codification of the rules governing commercial relations among its signatories until the ITO was created. It must be noted that members also allowed for the possibility that the ITO might not be created. The proposed ITO charter and reasons for its failure Less than a month after GATT was signed, the Havana conference discussing the ITO began on 21 November 1947. The Charter provided for the establishment of the ITO, and set out the basic rules for international trade and other international economic matters. It was proposed that ITO would be accorded the status of a specialised UN agency. According to the WTO website, the draft ITO Charter was ambitious. It extended beyond world trade disciplines, to include rules on employment, commodity agreements, restrictive business practices, international investment, and services. After four months of negotiations, the representatives of 53 countries signed the finished charter in March 1948. Thus, the ITO Charter was finally agreed in Havana in March 1948. However, ratification in some national legislatures proved impossible. The most serious opposition was in the US Congress, even though the US government had been one of the driving forces. An argument of the US against the new organization was that it would be involved into internal economic issues. Subsequently, on December 6, 1950, President Truman announced that he would no longer seek Congressional approval of the ITO Charter. Without the support of the US, the ITO could never come into existence. Upon ITO’s failure, the GATT gradually became the focus for international governmental cooperation on trade matters. The GATT was superseded by the World Trade Organization in 1995, the first formal trade regulatory institution, after the failure of ITO. The GATT principles and agreements were thereafter adopted by the WTO, which was charged with administering and extending them. GATT’s principles & it’s provisional application GATT was provisional with a limited field of action, but its success over 47 years in promoting and securing the liberalization of much of world trade remains incontestable. Continual reductions in tariffs alone helped spur very high rates of world trade growth during the 1950s and 1960s, around 8% a year on average. The momentum of trade liberalization further helped ensure that trade growth consistently out-paced production growth throughout the GATT era, a measure of countries‟ increasing ability to trade with each other and to reap the benefits of trade. The rush of new members during the Uruguay Round demonstrated that the multilateral trading system was recognized as an anchor for development and an instrument of economic and trade reform. 3. Evaluation of Bretton Woods’s Efforts: Its contemporary relevance Despite dating back to six decades, Bretton Woods contemporary significance remains monumental. Similarly, Bretton Woods conclusion does not go without its critique. At the time of its conclusion, Bretton Woods core foundational principle was that mutual dependence, reciprocity and relative equality in economic and political-military capacity amongst nation-states would prevent further wars. However, in reality one must note that Bretton Woods was conceived in an era of extreme inequality amongst nation states and lack of dependence (as East was separating from the West). The prevailing situation at the time of the Bretton Woods Conference can serve as a useful comparative exercise with the modern trade rounds such as the Doha rounds of trade negotiation. Further, Bretton woods was characterised by several economic theories. On one hand there were aggressive capitalist forces that wanted to expand globally beyond the domestic boundaries of the western world. On the other hand, the Kenyesian influence became more prominent, as the Bretton Woods leaders emphasised on regulation alongside market control. Similar debates are being raised even today, in the after-math of the economic crisis of 2008, where world leaders are brainstorming for solutions to combat world recession. Furthermore, the modern-day relationship between the WTO and BWIs such as the World Bank and IMF remain highly complex. In order to understand the nature of trade and finance regulation, Bretton Woods and its debates remain highly useful. 4. Summary Beginning with the early inter-war period, nation states had shown desire to regulate their international trade and finance through institutional efforts. The period between 1914-45 which witnessed severe economic turmoil, further promoted their efforts to cooperate in regulation of trade and finance, in-order to further prevent wars. The inter-war period was characterised by several discriminatory policies adopted by the states, for example- beggar thy neighbour, imperial preferences in regulating tariffs, imposing high tariffs and indulging in competitive devaluation. These practices along with the prevailing macro-economic conditions characterised by the great depression (1929) and the destruction caused by the two world wars, finally led members of the US, UK and allied powers to convene the Bretton Woods conference. The conference (1944) successfully created two institutions for financial regulation and economic development- IMF and IBRD. However, a similar organisation to regulate trade- ITO could not be finalised. The reasons for the failure of ITO‟s birth were its ambitious charter, which member states especially the US found too intrusive to domestic regulation. Instead GATT which was initiated by 23 member states in 1947 continued to gain strength in the period that followed. Despite its provisional application, it created an initial trade package deal, tariff concession and subsequent trade liberalisation, before being finally succeeded by the modern institution of the WTO. Though historical, Bretton Woods and its efforts hold contemporary relevance. It provides an insight into the political economy of the inter-war period. It further emphasises the role of regulation in economic liberalisation, a debate which has resurfaced in the light of the on-going global economic crisis.