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Suppose that we took random samples of 30players from this population and calculated the
sample mean success rate x̅ of the players in each sample. Which graph shows the most
reasonable approximation of the sampling distribution of x̅?
4. The national average NAT score (for Verbal and Math) is 1028. If we assume
a normal distribution with sd = 92, what is the probability that a randomly
selected score exceeds 1200?
A. 0.0257
B. 0.0307
C. 0.4693
D. 0.5678
A. 0.0257
B. 0.0307
C. 0.4693
D. 0.5678
5. An exclusive college desires to accept only the top 10% of all graduating
seniors based on the results of a national placement test. This test has a
mean of 500 and a standard deviation of 100. Find the cut off score for the
exam. Assume the variable is normally distributed.
A. 500
B. 528
C. 628
D. 728
A. 500
B. 528
C. 628
D. 728
Central Limit Theorem
State the Central Limit Theorem. (M11/12SP–IIIe–2)
152 152
152
Sample Mean Sample Mean Sample Mean Sample Mean
152 152
152
152 154
156
Sample Mean Sample Mean Sample Mean Sample Mean
152 152
152
152 154
156
152 156
160
Sample Mean Sample Mean Sample Mean Sample Mean
152 152
152
152 154
156
152 156
160
152 158
164
Sample Mean Sample Mean Sample Mean Sample Mean
152 154
156
152 156
160
152 158
164
Sample Mean Sample Mean Sample Mean Sample Mean
152 156
160
152 158
164
Sample Mean Sample Mean Sample Mean Sample Mean
152 158
164
Sample Mean Sample Mean Sample Mean Sample Mean
𝒙 152
𝑃(𝑥)
1
16
Probability Distribution Table
𝒙 152 154
𝑃(𝑥)
1 2
16 16
Probability Distribution Table
𝒙 152 154 156
𝑃(𝑥)
1 2 3
16 16 16
Probability Distribution Table
𝒙 152 154 156 158
𝑃(𝑥)
1 2 3 4
16 16 16 16
Probability Distribution Table
𝒙 152 154 156 158 160
𝑃(𝑥)
1 2 3 4 3
16 16 16 16 16
Probability Distribution Table
𝒙 152 154 156 158 160 162
𝑃(𝑥)
1 2 3 4 3 2
16 16 16 16 16 16
Probability Distribution Table
𝒙 152 154 156 158 160 162 164
𝑃(𝑥)
1 2 3 4 3 2 1
16 16 16 16 16 16 16
Mean of the sample means (𝜇𝑋ത )
𝜇𝑋ത
1 2 3 4 3
= 152 + 154 + 156 + 158 + 160
16 16 16 16 16
2 1
+ 162 + 164 = 158
16 16
Standard deviation of the sample mean (𝜎𝑋ത )
𝜎
𝜎𝑋ത =
𝑛
Standard deviation of the sample mean (𝜎𝑋ത )
𝜎𝑋ത = 𝑥 2 𝑃(𝑥)
− 𝜇𝑋ത 2
Standard deviation of the sample mean (𝜎𝑋ത )
𝜎𝑋ത
1 2 3 4 3 2 1
= 1522 + 1542 + 1562 + 1582 + 1602 + 1622 + 1642 − 1582
16 16 16 16 16 16 16
𝜎𝑋ത = 10
Standard deviation of the sample mean (𝜎𝑋ത )
𝜎𝑋ത = 10
Sampling Distribution
Bell-shaped
Central Limit Theorem
“the sampling
distribution of the mean will become
normally distributed, even if the data
within each
sample are not normally distributed”
Central Limit Theorem
If a random samples of size n are
drawn from a population (finite or
infinite), then as n becomes larger, the
sampling distribution of the mean
approaches the normal distribution,
regardless of the form of the population
distribution.
𝜎
𝜎𝑋ത =
𝑛
Z values
ത
𝑋−𝜇
𝑧 = 𝜎
𝑛
A.C. Neilsen reported that children
between the ages of 2 and 5 watch an
average of 25 hours of TV per week.
Assume the variable is normally
distributed and the standard deviation
is 3 hours. If 20 children between the
ages of 2 and 5 are randomly selected,
find the probability that the mean of
the number of hours they watch TV is
greater than 26.3 hours.
Z values
ത
𝑋−𝜇
𝑧 = 𝜎
𝑛
Z values
26.3−𝜇
𝑧 = 𝜎
𝑛
Z values
26.3−25
𝑧 = 𝜎
𝑛
Z values
26.3−25
𝑧 = 3
𝑛
Z values
26.3−25
𝑧 = 3
20
Z values
𝑧 = 1.94
Z values
𝑧= 1.94
𝑃(𝑧 > 1.94)
Z values
𝑃 𝑧 > 1.94
= 0.5 − 0.4738
Z values
𝑃 𝑧 > 1.94
= 0.0262
Try it out!!!
CLT?
Answer the following problems:
3. The average fuel efficiency of U.S. light vehicles (cars, SUVs, minivans,
vans, and light
trucks) for 2005 was 21 mpg. If the standard deviation of the population was
2.9 and the gas
ratings were normally distributed, what is the probability that the mean mpg
for a random
sample of 25 light vehicles is under 20?