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The next queries are about Rickard’s data.

Although Seeking Legitimacy: Why Arab Autocracies Adopt


studying subsidies provides a useful means to test a Women’s Rights. By Aili Mari Tripp. Cambridge: Cambridge Univer-
complex problem, the level of aggregation and limited sity Press, 2019. 334p. $99.99 cloth, $29.99 paper.
comparisons bound the confidence of the tests. The first doi:10.1017/S1537592720001577
set of regressions looks at subsidies to manufacturing as a — Lihi Ben Shitrit , University of Georgia
whole at the country level, contingent on their level of lben@uga.edu
concentration. As a result, it does not allow a test among
more or less concentrated industries. Intra-country and The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region has
cross-sectoral tests would provide that type of analysis, but long had a reputation of being particularly bad when it
the Norway tests (chap. 6) cover just three sectors over five comes to women’s rights. Of course, such a broad gener-
years (n = 15). The discussion of the wine industry in alization is inevitably reductive. What do we mean by
France and Austria (chap. 5) is another step in the right women’s rights? How do we measure women’s equality?
direction, given that it compares the concentrated growers And what about significant internal variation on different
in France with the diffuse markets in Austria. The case measures of women’s rights within the region? Aili Mari
study, however, does not complete the implied 2  2 Tripp tackles these and other questions in unpacking the
matrix that would increase confidence in the findings by subject of women’s rights in the Arab world. She starts
showing that diffuse sections in France and concentrated from an important puzzle: Why have the countries of the
sectors in Austria failed to win subsidies. Chapter 7 also Maghreb—Tunisia, Morocco, and Algeria—undertaken
leans toward the necessary intra-test by considering extensive constitutional and legislative reforms in support
whether spending on manufacturing subsidies is correlated of women’s rights in a way that has substantially set them
with regional vote margins. The dependent variable, how- apart from the rest of the Arab world? Today, the Maghreb
ever, has changed, and the test still does not differentiate countries boast the most progressive constitutions and
among sectors. In addition, the data are annual for a variable legislation in the region, with significant provisions on
(subsidies) that probably does not change much and only gender equality, more equitable family law, guaranteed
includes a period with a consistent coalition government. As parity in political representation, protection of reproduct-
such, the tests overstate the statistical power, and we do not ive rights, and legislation on violence against women.
know whether another government would reset the subsid- Tripp aims to exploit this difference between the Maghreb
ies to fit their electoral priorities as the hypothesis suggests. and the other countries of the MENA to answer a theor-
A final concern relating to the data is simply that there etically important question: Why do some authoritarian
needs to be more descriptive information about the fas- regimes adopt women’s rights, even in the absence of a
cinating dependent variable. The book lacks much infor- popular demand for such reforms, while others do not?
mation about the distribution of the variable (and there is Tracing the evolution of constitutional and legislative
no online appendix), and it is therefore hard to grasp the reform in each of the Maghreb countries, Tripp offers a
substantive implications and to match findings with con- nuanced answer that emphasizes the strategic choices of
crete cases. In chapter 4, Rickard explains that industry key political actors in particular historical junctures.
concentrations are generally quite low, with two-thirds of The three major players in this strategic interaction are
cases having a concentration level, measured with an the authoritarian regime, the Islamist opposition, and
entropy index, of less than 0.033. In the regression women’s rights organizations. The most influential of
analysis, she finds that PR and SMD systems differ when these is the regime, which monopolizes much of the power
the concentration rates are below that value, but not when to steer constitutional and legislative changes. In each of
they are between that level and 0.054. It is unclear without the three countries, although in different historical
more understanding of these values why a party or a moments and to different degrees, authoritarian regimes
legislature would care about differences of this level. The have been challenged by the growing popularity and
book also fails to give details on the cases in the regression assertiveness of Islamist opposition. On the other side of
analysis. There is mention that the data include two the ideological spectrum, women’s movements, which
decades of data and 14 countries, so perhaps the n in the were not as strong on the grassroots level as the Islamists
analysis is 20 years of observations for each of 14 countries but nevertheless knew how to make demands, mobilize
(which are not detailed), thus approximating the reported resources, and collaborate with other transnational and
n in the analysis (between 169 and 227). regional Maghrebi women’s groups, were tireless in their
In sum, Spending to Win provides a very useful approach advocacy with the regime to advance women’s rights. The
to empirically demonstrating the relation of electoral strategic interaction between these three actors resulted in
institutions and political strategies. By providing a novel unprecedented advancements in women’s rights in the
and useful approach to operationalizing political spending Maghreb.
strategies through the analysis of subsidies, the study will The convergence on women’s rights in the Maghreb
surely encourage future expansions and refinements. was not inevitable; at independence, each country started

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https://doi.org/10.1017/S1537592720001577 Published online by Cambridge University Press


Book Reviews | Comparative Politics

off from a very different point. What the three did have in the relative progressiveness in the Maghreb in comparison
common were a legacy of French colonialism and a unified to the rest of the Arab world. For many observers, cultural
legal system, which was not bifurcated between civil courts differences would be a default assumption. The Maghreb
and religious, or sharia, courts. But politically the coun- is sometimes romantically imagined as more secular, as
tries could not have been more different. Morocco was a more pluralist, or as having a softer or more tolerant
monarchy in which the king drew on religious and cultural Muslim culture. The French secular legacy, Sufism and
traditions to legitimate his rule and accommodated at “moderate” religiosity, and the presence of a significant,
various points some limited degree of political pluralism. non-Arab Amazigh ethnic minority could all lead one to
Tunisia was ruled by a secular regime that used women’s believe that the people of the Maghreb simply have more
rights as a cornerstone of its modernizing image, while progressive attitudes. This is far from being the case. Tripp
being significantly more repressive of political pluralism shows us that, when surveyed on their attitudes, Maghre-
than Morocco. Finally, Algeria had a secular authoritarian bis are often as conservative as their MENA counterparts,
regime that made significant concessions to Islamists in the and Amazigh minorities are often as conservative as their
area of women’s rights since the 1960s, but which later, in Arab counterparts. As Tripp explains, “the way in which
the 1990s, waged a bloody civil war against them, in the women’s rights reforms have been implemented [in the
process engaging in brutal repression of all opposition, not Maghreb], often in a top-down fashion, makes popular
just of Islamists. attitudes less relevant” (p. 93). Structural explanations are
Where the story of convergence begins, according to also rejected. For example, Tripp shows that, in terms of
Tripp, is in the early 2000s. In all three countries, the the gender gap in economic participation and educational
regimes came to see women’s rights as an increasingly attainment, the Maghreb countries do worse than several
useful tool that could help on two fronts. Internationally, of their MENA neighbors and better than some others
promoting women’s rights could improve the regime’s (p. 121).
image abroad. Domestically, adopting women’s rights Another tremendously important contribution is the
would marginalize Islamist extremists. Seizing on this book’s extensive interviews with protagonists involved in
new regime calculus, women’s organizations in the Magh- the strategic contestations that have led to constitutional
reb exploited various moments of crisis—from Islamist and legislative reform. Tripp draws on conversations with
terrorist attacks to the Arab uprisings—to push for more “leaders and members of a variety of Islamist, feminist, and
progressive reform. Being more organized and more linked Amazigh women’s rights organizations; human rights
across the Maghreb in comparison to their counterparts in organizations; members of parliament; leaders of the
the rest of the Arab world, they were in a better position to women’s legislative caucuses; women’s ministry represen-
take advantage of political opportunities. tatives; party leaders; lawyers; religious leaders; academics;
Perhaps the most fascinating part of this story is the journalists; and representatives of donor and UN agencies”
reaction of the Islamist opposition. At least in Morocco (p. 25). However, perhaps one shortcoming in this regard
and Tunisia, there has been a profound shift within the is the preponderance of feminist voices quoted in the book
leading Islamist parties on the matter of women’s rights. As and the dearth of regime and Islamist voices. This leaves
political liberalization allowed them to move from the some questions regarding the factors underlying these
opposition to forming or being a part of the government, latter actors’ evolving calculus. Most importantly, was
the Islamist Justice and Development Party (PJD) in the monumental transformation in Islamists’ positions
Morocco and Enahda in Tunisia went from being among on women’s rights only a result of pressure from the
the main voices of opposition to reforms that enhanced regime and of strategic calculations, or did deeper internal
women’s equality to accepting them or, in some cases, currents within Islamist movements also contribute to this
presenting themselves as their champions. In Algeria, evolution? In addition to interviews, Tripp also compiles
Islamists have been so marginalized politically that they an original database of legislation and constitutional
have had little say on recent reform, but there is some reforms pertaining to women’s rights in the entire MENA
indication that Algerian moderate Islamists are taking region since independence, an invaluable resource for
their cues from the experience of their counterparts in scholars interested in this subject.
the two other countries and changing their positions on Finally, the book addresses symbolic aspects of women’s
women’s rights. rights: visibility, bodies, presence and representation, and
Tripp’s study has many strengths that are too numerous the interpretive stakes that all the key players invested in
to fully list here. Three highlights provide a sample of some them. This helps explain why women’s rights are such a
of the many contributions the book offers, which make it central arena of contestation in the Maghreb and also more
required reading for anyone concerned with women’s broadly in the MENA. In addition, and crucially, Tripp
rights in the MENA region specifically and, more broadly, cautions us not to take the Maghreb’s experience as a
in the context of authoritarianism. First, the book makes a simple tale of the triumph of women’s rights. The dilem-
very convincing case for rejecting go-to explanations for mas of feminist bargaining with autocrats haunt Tripp’s

970 Perspectives on Politics

https://doi.org/10.1017/S1537592720001577 Published online by Cambridge University Press


narrative. Given how much reform has been implemented separated by geography, language, and often religion. This
from the top down in the region, and how tainted the has made it much harder for poor indigenous communities
subject of women’s rights is by its association with authori- in settler states to successfully mobilize the resources
tarian regimes’ strategizing, the advancements women necessary for armed violence, particularly as the coercive
have achieved in the Maghreb may not be as enduring as capabilities of the state rest firmly in the hands of elites of
we might hope. European descent. By contrast, equally matched seg-
mented groups in Africa are more likely to be caught in
Mobilization and Conflict in Multiethnic States. By a bitter struggle over dominance of state institutions.
Manuel Vogt. New York: Oxford University Press, 2019. 300p. Therefore, Vogt hypothesizes that civil war is more
$74.00 cloth. likely in decolonized states, whereas peaceful activism will
doi:10.1017/S1537592720001541 be more prevalent in settler states. Although this aspect of
the theory is a macro-historical, structural argument, he
— Idean Salehyan, University of North Texas
Idean.Salehyan@unt.edu also offers a micro theory of how these conditions shape
the strategies of ethnopolitical organizations and the out-
comes of mobilization. Ethnic organizations are more
Why do some ethnic movements choose to resort to armed likely to fight armed contests for political dominance in
violence, whereas others focus on nonviolent means of segmented, unranked societies, whereas they are more
resistance? Why did disadvantaged ethnic groups in Côte likely to mobilize for emancipation and political inclusion
d’Ivoire fight a bloody civil war, while indigenous com- in highly stratified societies. Although it is commendable
munities in Ecuador peacefully campaigned for greater that Vogt attempts to offer some micro-foundations to his
rights and recognition? Much of the existing literature theory, this argument still seems to suggest that macro-
examines civil war and nonviolent protest separately, level patterns of ethnic relations play a determining role in
although there is a growing body of work that addresses shaping organizational strategies.
various forms of contention and the choice between the Perhaps the most impressive aspect of this book is its
two. This fantastic book by Manuel Vogt adds to this empirical analysis. Vogt combines large-N statistical tech-
literature by offering a compelling theory and careful niques using a variety of data sources with several months
empirical analyses to develop a comprehensive study of of fieldwork in Latin America and Africa. The first empir-
violent and nonviolent ethnic mobilization. ical chapter (chap. 4) offers a global analysis of armed
The core of the argument is that patterns of European conflict onset, armed conflict intensity, and group protest.
colonialism significantly affect ethnic relations to this day. Although the core of the theory focuses on patterns of
In colonial settler states, large numbers of European decolonization, the book also offers insights for other
migrants and their descendants created an ethnic hierarchy multiethnic states, such as the titular nation-states of
with white settlers at the top and with the indigenous Eurasia. He argues that their systems of ethnic relations
community politically marginalized and economically dis- should most resemble the decolonized (i.e., nonsettler)
advantaged. Many Latin American countries are “settler states. The analysis offers convincing evidence that armed
states,” in which a European and mestizo elite controlled conflict is most likely (and more severe) in decolonized
post-independence institutions, but so are South Africa states, followed by other multiethnic states, with the settler
and Zimbabwe (Rhodesia). By contrast, in “decolonized countries being least likely to experience civil war. Instead,
states,” which are mostly in Africa, relatively equal ethnic this last set of countries is marked by more frequent
communities vied for power and influence following the protest. Vogt also successfully rules out alternative explan-
retreat of European powers. In countries without signifi- ations, such as years since independence. Finally, he delves
cant European settlement, no single group could claim into the mechanisms behind the theory by incorporating
absolute control of the state after independence. data on years of ethnic dominance and the degree of
A purely grievance-based explanation would predict linguistic segmentation between groups to directly test
that indigenous communities in Latin America would be his argument regarding ethnic hierarchies and group
most likely to resort to armed conflict given generations of integration.
economic, political, and social discrimination. Yet, Vogt The subsequent empirical chapters focus on Africa and
adds insights from resource mobilization and political Latin America through a combination of statistical and
opportunity theories of contentious politics to argue the case-study analyses, backed by months of field research
opposite. Settler colonialism led to stable between-group and elite interviews. Chapter 5 examines the role of
hierarchies and to considerable social integration through political parties in Africa in attaining and preserving ethnic
assimilation into the dominant linguistic and religious dominance. Vogt observes that ethnic parties in Africa are
tradition. In contrast, decolonized states in Africa largely often connected to military mobilization efforts and that
consist of segmented ethnic groups, who live in zones groups with strong parties are more likely included in

September 2020 | Vol. 18/No. 3 971

https://doi.org/10.1017/S1537592720001577 Published online by Cambridge University Press

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