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Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Mar-08
Last Close Avg Daily Vol 52-Week High Trailing PE Annual Div ROE LTG Forecast 1-Mo Return
409.14 (USD) 21.1M 420.82 37.0 3.00 39.2% 16.3% -1.2%
2024 March 07 Market Cap 52-Week Low Forward PE Dividend Yield Annual Rev Inst Own 3-Mo Return
NASDAQ Exchange
3.1T 245.73 33.6 0.7% 227.6B 73.8% 10.3%
AVERAGE SCORE
POSITIVE OUTLOOK: MSFT's current score of Score Averages
8 places it among the top quartile of stocks Software & IT Services Group: 5.2 Mega Market Cap: 6.8
scored. Software & IT Services Sector: 5.2 S&P 500 Index: 6.8
Average Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive MSFT 6 9 9 8 8
SNPS 7 10 9 9 8
Neutral CDNS 7 8 7 6 6
PLTR 5 5 5 5 6
Negative
TTD 6 4 5 6 6
2021-03 2022-03 2023-03 2024-03
BUSINESS SUMMARY
Microsoft Corporation is a technology company. The Company develops and supports software, services, devices, and solutions. The Company's
segments include Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes
segment consists of products and services in its portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services. This segment primarily comprises:
Office Commercial, Office Consumer, LinkedIn, and Dynamics business solutions. The Intelligent Cloud segment consists of server products and cloud
services, including Azure and other cloud services, SQL Server, Windows Server, Visual Studio, System Center, and related Client Access Licenses
(CALs), and Nuance and GitHub; and Enterprise Services, including enterprise support services, industry solutions and Nuance professional services.
The More Personal Computing segment primarily comprises Windows, devices, gaming, and search and news advertising.
Page 1 of 12
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MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT-O)
Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Mar-08
INDICATOR COMPONENTS
The AVERAGE SCORE combines the quantitative analysis of six widely-used investment decision making tools: Earnings,
Fundamental, Relative Valuation, Risk, Price Momentum and Insider Trading. A simple average of the underlying component ratings is
normally distributed to rank stocks on a 1-10 scale (10 being awarded to the most favorable). These factors may be evaluated differently
using alternative methodologies and the importance of individual factors varies across industries, market capitalization and investment
styles. Additional criteria should always be used to evaluate a stock.
OPTIMIZED SCORE
As an alternative approach to equally weighting each of the six factors, independent
Historically, companies with an Optimized Score research firm, Verus Analytics, conducted a backtest to empirically determine an
of 8 have tended to moderately outperform the optimal factor blend. Results and weighting vary across four different market
market over the following 12-month period. capitalization categories. For large/mid cap stocks, Fundamental and Earnings
historically provided the most explanatory power among the factors and are weighted
heavily in the Optimized Score. Among the small/micro cap universe, Insider Trading
joined Fundamental and Earnings as the most significant factors to explain returns.
PEER ANALYSIS Currency in USD
8 SNPS 583.35 5.2% 9.2% 61.5% 90.2B 64.3 42.8 -- 23.0% 18.8% Buy 14
6 CDNS 318.04 5.8% 22.6% 62.8% 85.8B 83.3 53.7 -- 25.5% 17.1% Buy 15
6 PLTR 26.46 12.1% 53.7% 220% 52.6B 294.0 79.2 -- 9.4% 85.2% Hold 17
6 TTD 81.83 17.6% 19.0% 42.0% 37.3B 227.3 56.1 -- 9.2% -- Buy 33
6 SPLK 156.34 1.9% 3.5% 54.6% 26.3B 124.0 29.2 -- 6.3% -- Hold 32
8 ZM 67.03 4.9% -6.8% -3.8% 21.6B 32.9 13.6 -- 14.1% 1.5% Hold 32
6.3 Average 189.97 5.0% 15.1% 46.1% 319.3B 114.3 59.3 0.73% 4.6% 27.8% Buy 28.8
PEER COMPANIES
CDNS Cadence Design Systems Inc SPLK Splunk Inc
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc TEAM Atlassian Corp
RBLX Roblox Corp TTD Trade Desk Inc
SE Sea TTWO Take-Two Interactive Software
SNPS Synopsys Inc ZM Zoom Video Communications Inc
Page 2 of 12
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MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT-O)
Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Mar-08
Earnings Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive MSFT 6 10 10 10 10
PLTR 6 10 8 10 10
Neutral TTD 10 6 8 10 10
SNPS 9 9 8 9 9
Negative
CDNS 10 9 10 6 6
2021-03 2022-03 2023-03 2024-03
EARNINGS INDICATORS
Earnings Surprises Estimate Revisions Recommendation Changes
(33.3% weight) (33.3% weight) (33.3% weight)
CDNS PLTR
SNPS SNPS PLTR
MSFT TTD
PLTR MSFT
MSFT
TTD CDNS
CDNS SNPS
TTD
Page 3 of 12
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MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT-O)
Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Mar-08
8.00
2022 2023 2024 2025
EARNINGS SURPRISES
Comparing a company's actual earnings to the mean expectation of Surprise Detail (Last 6 Periods)
analysts results in a difference referred to as a 'positive' or 'negative'
surprise. Research has shown that when a company reports a Surprise Announce Period End Actual Mean Surprise
surprise, it is often followed by more of the same surprise type. Type Date Date EPS EPS (%)
Surprise Summary (Last 12 Quarters) Positive 2024-01-30 2023-12-31 2.930 2.782 5.3%
Positive 2023-10-24 2023-09-30 2.990 2.653 12.7%
Surprise Type Amount Percent
Positive 2023-07-25 2023-06-30 2.690 2.550 5.5%
Positive Quarters (> 2%) 9 75.0%
Positive 2023-04-25 2023-03-31 2.450 2.231 9.8%
Negative Quarters (< -2%) 1 8.3%
In-Line 2023-01-24 2022-12-31 2.320 2.295 1.1%
In-Line Quarters (within 2%) 2 16.7%
Positive 2022-10-25 2022-09-30 2.350 2.303 2.0%
ANNUAL REVENUE
A pattern of increasing sales in Actuals Estimates
conjunction with a rising EPS may
influence a buy recommendation, while 330B
2024 2025
flat or falling sales and faltering 300B
earnings may explain a sell HIGH Mean 244.3B 279.3B
MEAN
recommendation. A rising EPS with flat 270B LOW High 248.5B 291.8B
or falling sales may result from
increased cost efficiency and margins, 240B
Low 241.4B 273.3B
rather than market expansion. This 211.9B Forecasted Growth 15.3% 31.8%
198.3B
chart shows the sales forecast trend of 210B
# of Analysts 44 45
all analysts and the highest and lowest
projections for the current and next 180B
2022 2023 2024 2025
fiscal year.
Page 4 of 12
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MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT-O)
Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Mar-08
FUNDAMENTAL
NEUTRAL OUTLOOK: Fundamentals relatively Fundamental Score Averages
in-line with the market. Software & IT Services Group: 5.6 Mega Market Cap: 6.1
Software & IT Services Sector: 5.6 S&P 500 Index: 6.0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Fundamental Score Trend Peers 2023 2023 2023 2023 Current 3Y Trend
PLTR 10 10 10 10 10
Positive
TTD 10 10 10 10 10
Neutral SNPS 10 10 10 10 9
Negative CDNS 7 7 7 1 8
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 MSFT 9 8 8 10 7
2021 2022 2023
FUNDAMENTAL INDICATORS
Profitability Debt Earnings Quality Dividend
(25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight)
CDNS
MSFT
PLTR PLTR
PLTR
SNPS TTD
SNPS
TTD
CDNS
MSFT MSFT MSFT
TTD
CDNS
SNPS
CDNS
PLTR
SNPS
TTD
Revenue Growth 11.5% Current Ratio 1.2 Oper. Cash Yield 24.4% Dividend Growth 10.0%
For year over year For interim period For latest 12 months For year over year
ending 2023-12 ending 2023-12 ending -- ending 2023-12
Gross Margin 69.7% Debt-to-Capital 21.9% Accruals 5.2% Dividend Payout 25.9%
For latest 12 months For annual period For latest 12 months For latest 12 months
ending 2023-12 ending 2023-06 ending 2023-06 ending 2023-12
Return On Equity 39.2% Interest Funding 3.1% Days Sales In Inv. 21.9 Dividend Coverage 4.5
For interim period For interim period For annual period For annual period
ending 2023-12 ending 2023-12 ending 2023-06 ending 2023-06
Net Margin 36.3% Interest Coverage 30.2 Days Sales In Rec. 80.0 Current Div. Yield 0.7%
For latest 12 months For interim period For annual period For latest 12 months
ending 2023-12 ending 2023-12 ending 2023-06 ending 2024-03
HIGHLIGHTS
- Microsoft Corp currently has a Fundamental Rating of 7. The average - The company's days sales in receivables has been higher than its
Fundamental Rating for its Software industry is 5.8 and the S&P 500 industry average for each of the past five years.
index average is 6.0. - Of the 288 firms within the Software industry, Microsoft Corp is among
- The company's gross margin has been higher than its industry average 23 companies that pay a dividend. The stock's dividend yield is
for each of the past five years. currently 0.75%.
- The company's debt-to-capital has been higher than its industry
average for each of the past five years.
Page 5 of 12
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MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT-O)
Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Mar-08
RELATIVE VALUATION
NEGATIVE OUTLOOK: Multiples significantly Relative Valuation Score Averages
above the market or the stock's historic norms. Software & IT Services Group: 5.1 Mega Market Cap: 3.9
Software & IT Services Sector: 5.1 S&P 500 Index: 4.6
Relative Valuation Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive MSFT 2 2 2 2 2
CDNS 1 1 1 1 1
Neutral PLTR 2 1 1 1 1
SNPS 2 1 1 2 1
Negative
TTD 1 1 2 1 1
2021-03 2022-03 2023-03 2024-03
HIGHLIGHTS
- Microsoft Corp currently has a Relative Valuation Rating of 2 which is - MSFT's Trailing P/E of 37.0 represents a 15% Premium to its 5-year
significantly below the S&P 500 index average rating of 4.6. average of 32.1.
- MSFT's Forward PEG of 2.1 represents a 3% Premium to its 5-year - MSFT's Forward P/E of 33.6 represents a 13% Premium to its 5-year
average of 2.0. average of 29.8.
Page 6 of 12
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MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT-O)
Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Mar-08
Page 7 of 12
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MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT-O)
Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Mar-08
RISK
POSITIVE OUTLOOK: Consistent return Risk Score Averages
patterns (low volatility). Software & IT Services Group: 4.7 Mega Market Cap: 9.0
Software & IT Services Sector: 4.7 S&P 500 Index: 8.9
Risk Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive MSFT 9 10 10 10 10
CDNS 10 10 10 9 9
Neutral SNPS 9 10 9 8 8
TTD 6 6 5 4 4
Negative
PLTR 4 4 5 3 3
2021-03 2022-03 2023-03 2024-03
RISK INDICATORS
Magnitude of Returns Volatility Beta (1-year) Correlation
(25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight)
TTD PLTR
TTD
PLTR TTD
PLTR
SNPS
PLTR CDNS
MSFT
TTD
Daily Returns (Last 90 Days) Standard Deviation Beta vs. S&P 500 1.11 Correlation vs. S&P 500
Best 2.4% Last 90 Days 1.12 Positive Days Only 1.26 Last 90 Days 74%
Worst -3.0% Last 60 Months 6.35 Negative Days Only 0.83 Last 60 Months 73%
Monthly Returns (Last 60 Months) Intra-Day Swing (Last 90 Days) Beta vs. Group 0.39 Correlation vs. Group
Best 15.6% Average 1.5% Positive Days Only 0.18 Last 90 Days 35%
Worst -12.0% Largest 4.6% Negative Days Only 0.57 Last 60 Months 56%
Page 8 of 12
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MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT-O)
Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Mar-08
Price Momentum Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive CDNS 8 10 10 10 10
MSFT 8 9 10 10 10
Neutral PLTR 8 7 6 7 10
SNPS 7 10 10 10 10
Negative
TTD 8 8 8 9 9
2021-03 2022-03 2023-03 2024-03
CDNS CDNS
PLTR MSFT
MSFT SNPS
SNPS PLTR
TTD TTD
Relative Strength Indicator (Scale from 1 to 100) Average Monthly Return (Last 10 Years)
MSFT Industry Avg Mar Apr May
Last 10 Days 52 53 Company Avg 3.1% 4.8% 1.2%
Last 50 Days 58 51 Industry Avg -2.6% 1.5% 2.0%
Last 200 Days 55 50 Industry Rank 84 of 128 64 of 128 14 of 128
PRICE PERFORMANCE
Daily close prices are used to calculate the MSFT MSFT DJIA
performance of the stock as compared to a
DJIA Close Price (2024-03-07) 409.14 38,790
relevant index over five time periods.
52-Week High 420.82 39,132
-1.1%
1-Week 52-Week Low 245.73 31,819
-0.5%
1-Month
-1.2% - The Price Momentum Rating for Microsoft Corp is at its 3-year
0.3% high of 10.
- On 2024-03-07, MSFT closed at 409.14, 2.8% below its 52-
10.3% week high and 66.5% above its 52-week low.
3-Month
7.4%
- MSFT shares are currently trading 2.6% above their 50-day
8.8% moving average of 398.94, and 14.8% above their 200-day
YTD moving average of 356.35.
2.9%
61%
1-Year
18.1%
Page 9 of 12
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MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT-O)
Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Mar-08
Insider Trading Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive SNPS 2 6 4 4 4
CDNS 1 1 1 1 1
Neutral MSFT 2 3 3 1 1
PLTR 1 1 2 1 1
Negative
TTD 1 1 1 1 1
2021-03 2022-03 2023-03 2024-03
PLTR
SNPS SNPS
MSFT
CDNS
CDNS
MSFT
PLTR
TTD
TTD
Most Recent Buys and Sells (Last 90 Days) Insider Summary (Last 6 Months)
Insider Name Role Tran Date Tran Type Shares Total Shares Acquired --
Nadella, Satya CEO 2024-03-01 S 1,276 Total Shares Disposed 96,246
Smith, Bradford L. P 2024-02-02 - 2024-02-05 S 48,303 Net Shares -96,246
Sector Average -1,081,384
Page 10 of 12
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MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT-O)
Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Mar-08
● Earnings Surprises - The number of positive and negative surprises within the last
DETAILED STOCK REPORT TIPS 4 quarters.
● Estimate Revisions - The number of up and down revisions and the average
The Stock Report from LSEG is a comprehensive, company-specific analysis that percentage change of those revisions within a 4 week period.
includes a proprietary Stock Rating along with underlying component indicators and ● Recommendation Changes - The number of broker upgrades and downgrades in
supportive data elements. The report is updated daily, although some of the data the last 120 days.
elements and the ratings are updated weekly. Price Target
Average Score The price target is based on the predictions of analysts covering the stock and
The Stock Reports Plus Average Score combines a quantitative analysis of six shows the high, low and mean price expected within the next 12 months.
widely-used investment decision making tools - Earnings, Fundamental, Relative Earnings Per Share
Valuation, Risk, Price Momentum, and Insider Trading. First, a simple average of
the six underlying component ratings is calculated. Then, a normal distribution is The quarterly and annual earnings per share are presented when available, along
used to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being most with the mean, high and low. Quarterly data is displayed for the past 4 quarters
favorable. A score of 8 to 10 is considered positive, 4 to 7 is neutral, and 1 to 3 is (actual) and the next 2 quarters (estimated). Annual data is displayed for the past 2
negative. These six factors may be evaluated differently using alternative years (actual) and the next 2 years (estimated).
methodologies, and the importance of individual factors varies across groups, Mean Estimate Trend
market capitalization and investment styles. Additional criteria should always be The mean estimates show how the consensus has changed over the past 30 days
used to evaluate a stock. and 90 days for the upcoming two quarters and two years. The percentage change
A company must have sufficient data available for at least four of the six component is calculated for the company as a means for comparison by measuring the
indicators in order to receive an overall Average Score. Approximately 85% of the difference between the current consensus estimate and that of 90 days ago.
stocks within the coverage universe meet the criteria to generate a score. Analyst Recommendations
Optimized Score The I/B/E/S Mean is the average recommendation of all analysts covering the stock,
As an alternative to the Average Score, the Stock Report includes an Optimized as provided by I/B/E/S, the Institutional Brokers Estimate System, from LSEG. The
Score generated by independent research firm Verus Analytics. It uses the same six recommendations are presented on a five-point standardized scale: strong buy, buy,
component ratings, but rather than equally weighting each of the factors, the hold, sell, and strong sell.
weighting varies by market capitalization of the underlying security based on Earnings Surprises
backtesting research. These scores are also updated weekly and distributed ● The surprise summary includes the total number of quarters (and percentage) in
normally on a 1 to 10 scale, with 10 being best. The variable size is assigned the past 12 quarters in which earnings surprises were positive, negative, or in-
monthly by ranking the market capitalization and assigning the appropriate category line. In order to be recognized as a positive or negative surprise, the percent must
as follows: be greater than 2% above or 2% below the consensus, respectively.
● The surprise detail section includes a listing of the company's quarterly earnings
Large - Top 5.55% reported for the most recent 6 quarters. The consensus analyst estimate is
Mid - Next 13.87% provided to determine if the actual earnings report represented a positive surprise,
Small - Next 34.68% negative surprise, or in-line result.
Micro - Remaining 45.9% Fundamental
Indicator Components The Fundamental Rating is based on a combination of four factors: profitability,
debt, earnings quality, and dividend. Companies that do not pay a dividend are not
The six indicators that comprise the stock rating are displayed. Like the stock rating,
penalized. Each factor is equally weighted. Then, equal deciles are used to rank
the component rating scale is 1 to 10, with 10 being best. A company will receive an
each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being most favorable. A
'NR' for No Rating if the required data elements or criteria are not met. A detailed
stock needs to have at least two of the four fundamental factors present for a given
section for each component is included in the report.
fiscal quarter in order to receive a score.
Indicator Trends
Profitability
Within each component section, historical score trends are displayed, typically using
● Revenue Growth: (Net Sales - Previous Net Sales) / Previous Net Sales
a 4-week moving average over a timeframe of the past three years. The dotted
● Gross Margin: Gross Profit / Net Sales
orange line indicates the average of the scores over those three years. The most
● Return on Equity: Net Income / Total Equity
recent occurrences of the best and worst scores are also displayed on the chart in
● Net Margin: Net Profit / Net Sales
grey boxes to put the current score into historical context.
Debt
Next to the trend chart for the company, current score averages are included, along
● Current Ratio: Current Assets / Current Liabilities
with peer company comparisons of values from 6 months ago, 3 months ago, 1
● Debt-to-Capital: Total Debt / Total Capital
month ago, the most recent value from 1 week ago, and the current score. The four
● Interest Funding: (Interest Expense on Debt + Preferred Cash Dividends) / Funds
closest industry peers are presented based on similar market capitalization.
from Operations
Peer Analysis ● Interest Coverage: Earnings before Interest and Taxes / (Interest Expense on
● The Refinitiv Business Classification (TRBC) schema is used for industry Debt + Preferred Cash Dividends)
comparisons. It is designed to track and display the primary business of a Earnings Quality
corporation by grouping together correlated companies that offer products and
services into similar end markets. The system includes 10 Economic Sectors, 28 ● Operating Cash Yield: (Operating Cash Flow - Net Income) / Net Income
Business Sectors, 54 Industry Groups, and 136 Industries. ● Accruals: (Net Income - Operating Cash Flow - Investing Cash Flow) / Average
● The Peer Analysis section of the report compares the company to its ten closest Net Operating Assets
peers. The peers are selected from the industry based on similar market ● Days Sales in Inventory: 365 / (Cost of Goods Sold / Inventory)
capitalization. The peer listing may have fewer than ten companies if there are ● Days Sales in Receivables: 365 / (Net Sales / Receivables)
fewer than ten companies classified within that industry.
Dividend
Highlights
The company must have a current dividend yield.
The automated text-generation system from LSEG creates highlights summarizing
● Dividend Growth Rate: (Dividends per Share - Previous Dividends per Share) /
the most noteworthy data. The bullets will vary by company and will change from
Previous Dividends per Share
week to week as different criteria are met. ● Dividend Funding: Dividends / Operating Cash Flow
Earnings ● Dividend Coverage: (Pre-Tax Income + Interest Expense) / (Interest Expense +
The Earnings Rating is based on a combination of three factors: earnings surprises, Dividends)
● Dividend Yield: Annual Dividends per Share / Current Market Price per Share
estimate revisions, and recommendation changes. Each factor is equally weighted.
Then, equal deciles are used to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to Indicator Trend
10, with 10 being most favorable. A stock needs to have at least two of the three The fundamental indicator trend displays quarterly scores over the past three years.
earnings factors in order to receive a score. The best and worst scores over that timeframe can be easily determined from the
values shown on the chart for each quarter.
Page 11 of 12
© 2024 Refinitiv, an LSEG business. All rights reserved.
MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT-O)
Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Mar-08
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