Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Outlook on Agriculture
2017, Vol. 46(3) 178–184
Importance of variety choice: ª The Author(s) 2017
Reprints and permission:
Abstract
The objective of this study was to examine the importance of farmers’ variety choice in organic and conventional cereal
production and to understand which particular crop varieties are required by farmers for climate change adaptation. A
broad-based survey was conducted which included data from 119 organic and 305 conventional farmers in Germany. Most
of the farmers surveyed recognized the existence of climatic changes and their negative impacts on cereal production.
Given this context, the choice of climate-adapted varieties was very important to the majority of respondents. The
farmers ranked eco-stability, grain yield performance and steadiness as the most crucial varietal requirements. For cereals,
farmers perceived that a higher eco-stability was most important compared to other variety types. The selection of
varieties with high and eco-stable yields levels should be given increased consideration, with their use likely to improve
overall cereal yields and reduced plant production risks due to climate change.
Keywords
Questionnaire, cereal, variety capacity, variety type, hybrid variety
In a recent study (Macholdt and Honermeier, 2016), the results (Atteslander, 2010). The target region was nation-
variety choice of farmers in terms of climate change adap- wide and farmers from nearly all federal states in Germany
tation was evaluated, but this study did not fully consider included. The target group consisted of farmers with prac-
variety choice in accordance with the farming type. This is tical experience in cereal production. Organic and conven-
despite the fact that farming type, organic or conventional, tional farmers were encouraged to take part in the survey
has a significant influence on agronomic practices and pre- via emails distributed by cooperative regional farmers’
sumably also on variety choice. Organic farming is defined associations, regional agricultural authorities and personal
as a farming system without the use of pesticides, mineral invitations. In addition, farmers were alerted to the study
fertilizers or genetically modified (GM) varieties in plant using adverts in digital newsletters, agronomic magazines
production – as well as the assumption of responsibility for (German: Bauernblatt, Agrarmagazin, Hessischer Land-
the cycle of nature and agricultural sustainability bote), on agronomic information websites (www.proplan
(Mzoughi, 2014). Thus, organic farming places greater and ta.de; www.agrarheute.com; www.pflanzenbau-giessen.de)
more complex demands on farmers for successful agron- as well as via posts on social media groups (German: Land-
omy compared to conventional farming systems. For exam- treff, Landlive, Moderne Landwirtschaft). All these media
ple, plant production without reliance on chemical plant channels issued an invitation to participate in the study and
protection or mineral fertilization requires focussing on provided a link to the online survey.
favourable crop rotations and adequate applications of The questionnaire was initially tested several times with
straw and green manure. But do differences between farm- 10 sample farmers. Their feedback regarding the format,
ing systems have consequences for variety choice, and if formulation of questions and clarity was considered in the
so, what are they? In order to answer this question, this final questionnaire. The survey was launched in December
study focussed on a comparison between organic and con- 2015 and open for 3 months. A sample of 424 completed
ventional farms. The three hypotheses above were vali- and verified questionnaires formed the database for the
dated in accordance with the farming type and its study. With regard to the farming systems used, a total of
corresponding influence on farmer attitudes towards cli- 119 farmers were practising organic farmers and 305 were
mate change adaptation and variety choice evaluated. The engaged in conventional farming. The average area under
purpose of the study was not only to gather information cereal cultivation was 73 ha per farm (range 10–461 ha),
regarding perceptions of climate change among farmers but with a total area of 64,000 ha included in the survey. This
also to examine farms in organic and conventional cereal equates to approximately 1% of the total cereal production
production with respect to major climate change–related area in Germany (6.5 m ha; German Farmers’ Association,
adapted variety choice and requirements for special varietal 2016). Two-thirds (67%) of the participants involved in
capacities – in particular, eco-stability. The study findings organic farming systems were cultivating cereals with less
serve as a basis for developing supportive strategies for than 100 ha (33% of the farmers cultivated >100 ha), while
practical farming and may also provide insights for consid- nearly three quarters (72%) of all farmers with conven-
eration in agricultural advisory services and research. The tional farming systems were cultivating cereals on less than
aim was to reduce the negative consequences of predicted 100 ha (28% cultivating >100 ha). The quality of farmed
climatic changes for current and future cereal production. soils had a median value of 50 (German ‘Ackerzahl’ ¼
AZ), with the full sample ranging from poor (AZ 21) to
very good (AZ 90) soil quality. With regard to farming
Materials and methods
systems, 24% of organic farming was practiced on poor
Study area sandy soil (<35 AZ), 50% on medium soil (36–55 AZ) and
In the European Union, approximately 10 million hectares 26% on loamy or silk soil (>56 AZ), while 17% of conven-
are now farmed organically. Austria has the largest propor- tional farming was practiced on poor soil (<35 AZ), 45% on
tion with 20% of its total agricultural area, followed by medium soil and 38% on soil characterized by high a soil
Spain and Italy, Germany and France (German Farmers’ value (>56 AZ). Overall, the participants had between 5
Association, 2016). As such, the study area of Germany is a years and 51 years experience in cereal production, with an
major centre of organic production in the European Union. average of 21 years.
A total of 8.2% of German farmers practice organic farm- The online survey was designed as follows: The ques-
ing on 1.05 million hectares – equivalent to 6.3% of its total tionnaire initially focussed on the general characteristics of
agricultural area. In contrast, 81.8% of the nation’s farms the farmers (work experience) and their farms (system, site
(287,000) employ conventional farming systems. These are conditions, area, soil quality). The next section asked farm-
mostly focussed on cultivating cereals, such as barley, ers about their perceptions of climate change and its impact
wheat, rye and triticale (German Farmers’ Association, on their farming practices. In this way, their awareness of
2016). adapted variety choice was evaluated. In the third section,
farmers were asked about their varietal requirements and
preferred variety types. At the end of the form, one question
Data collection and analysis asked farmers’ about their desire for further information
The broad-based study was conducted online (via www.q- on the ‘eco-stability of varieties’. The respondents’ per-
set.de) with a standardized computer-based questionnaire ceptions were derived using a total of nine questions in
that allowed comparative and statistical analysis of the the form of closed multiple-choice, dichotomous and
180 Outlook on Agriculture 46(3)
Table 1. Farmer perceptions of climate change with effects on Table 2. Farmer perceptions of arising climatic variations in
cereal production. farming practices.
Table 4. Farmer adaptation by variety choice to climate change showed a willingness to forego potentially higher yields
according to farming system. to achieve a more eco-stable variety performance (Asrat
et al., 2010). Finally, farmers’ high demand for varieties
Farming system Frequency Yes (%) No (%) w2
with resistance to lodging might be associated with the
Organic farming 119 80 20 0.378 (ns) increase in severe weather and torrential rain as the two
Conventional farming 305 83 17 main effects of climate change – but in this study, no sig-
ns: T-test non-significant at the 5% level.
nificant correlation between these variable could be
ascertained.
Rank Response option Farming system Frequency 1a (%) 2 (%) 3 (%) 4 (%) 5b (%) U-Test
Table 6. Farmer perceptions if they would grow legal GM Table 8. Farmer demand for official appraisal of eco-stability of
varieties if advantages in improved climatic stress tolerance could varieties.
be expected.
Organic Conventional
Farming system Frequency Yes (%) No (%) w2 Response farminga farmingb
Rank Cereal option (%) (%) w2
Organic farming 119 0 100 32.712 (a)
Conventional farming 305 30 70 1 Wheat Yes 76 78 0.120 (ns)
No 24 22
GM: genetically modified. 2 Barley Yes 80 75 0.935 (ns)
a
Significant at the 5% level. No 20 25
3 Rye Yes 87 78 3.427 (c)
No 13 22
Table 7. Farmer assessment if hybrid varieties provide better
4 Triticale Yes 82 80 0.227 (ns)
eco-stability in comparison to line or population varieties.
No 18 20
Organic Conventional 5 Oat Yes 82 79 0.595 (ns)
Response farminga farmingb No 18 21
Rank Cereal option (%) (%) w2 6 Spelt Yes 85 80 1.513 (ns)
No 15 20
1 Wheat Yes 66 62 0.724 (ns)
ns: non-significant at the 5% level.
No 34 38 a
c n ¼ 119.
2 Barley Yes 53 64 5.893 ( ) b
n ¼ 305.
No 47 36 c
Significant at the 5% level.
3 Rye Yes 64 73 3.761 (ns)
No 36 27
4 Triticale Yes 51 61 6.896 (c)
No 49 39 Consequently, farmers should consider cultivating a greater
proportion of hybrids with expected higher eco-stability as
ns: non-significant at the 5% level. part of their variety choice strategy.
a
n ¼ 119.
b
n ¼ 305. At present, there is only very limited public information
c
Significant at the 5% level. regarding the eco-stability of varieties provided by German
authorities. However, more than 75% of farmers inter-
viewed in this study confirmed a high interest in such vari-
reported in other research. For wheat, barley and triticale, a ety assessments of eco-stability (Table 8). The requests of
significantly higher eco-stability of hybrids has been organic and conventional farmers were very similar; only
observed compared to lines (Mühleisen et al., 2014), as for rye was there a significantly lower interest among
well as for hybrid rye varieties on sandy sites in northeast- respondents with conventional farming practices (78%)
ern Germany (Macholdt et al., 2013). Hybrids often show compared to organic farming (87%). This demand for an
an enhanced eco-stability in comparison to other variety official appraisal of eco-stable varieties should be taken
types, which offers a significant breeding advance in vari- into account, especially by relevant authorities, agricultural
ety selection with regard to climate change adaptation. consulting institutions and breeding companies, such as the
Macholdt and Honermeier 183
initial approaches demonstrated by Macholdt et al. (2013) statistical certainty of web-based surveys (representative-
and Michel and Zenk (2010). However, the evaluation of ness: 1% of the total cereal production area in Germany).
eco-stabilities for crop varieties requires substantial effort Broader implications are therefore difficult to derive and
and represents a challenge. Despite the fact that there are must be interpreted with caution. One reason for the rela-
various biometric methods available for analysing eco- tively low representation could be that the study was con-
stability, precise calculation using a secure orthogonal ducted online and farmers were mostly invited using digital
database with results from multi-environmental variety methods (email, internet) – this excluded farmers who do
field trials is necessary. The practical implementation of not routinely work with computers, internet and email.
various variety field trials would be resource intensive and Unfortunately, a survey based on additional postal delivery
costly. If the resulting database was limited and/or showed was not possible, because the postal address lists for farm-
a high experimental error, it could lead to flawed conclu- ers are not disclosed to third parties by federal offices and
sions, and the estimation of the eco-stability of varieties farmers’ associations due to legal and data protection
might not be sufficiently robust (Mühleisen et al., 2014). restrictions. Direct face-to-face interviews might be a use-
ful alternative, but conducting 400 interviews with farmers
is not feasible in a short timeframe, and the usage of dif-
Broader implications ferent methods might have a distorting effect on the results
This and comparable studies highlight that cereal producers (Atteslander, 2010). However, contacting farmers via
are already being directly affected by climatic changes email and internet was possible and a significant number
(Menapace et al., 2015), underlining the importance of of completed questionnaires was attained. The benefits of
improved variety adaptation strategies. Although official web-based designs, for example, a high response rate and
variety assessments contain detailed information on yield reaching a wide target group, have to be offset against their
potential and resistance to lodging, they contain limited disadvantages, such as non-transparent testing environ-
information on eco-stability and drought tolerance. The ments and increased termination rates (Gosling et al.,
existing nationwide ‘planning, information and evaluation 2004).
system for field research’ (PIAF) provides data differen-
tiated according to cropped areas on variety performance
and locations from variety trials of the integrated test sys- Conclusions
tem for the areas of breeding, approval and regional coun-
selling (German Federal Plant Variety Office, 2000). One The hypotheses in this study – the awareness of farmers
way to complement the variety assessment would be the regarding climatic variation, its potentially negative effect
extension of the PIAF system to include parameters for on growing cereals and, against this background, adapted
eco-stability and drought tolerance, as shown in the con- variety choice – were all confirmed. With regard to climate
cepts by Macholdt et al. (2013) and Michel and Zenk change adaptation, the farmers surveyed attached great
(2010). These should be developed further and incorpo- importance to special varietal capacities – above all, eco-
rated into regional official variety recommendations in stability, grain yield performance, drought tolerance and
order to provide a sound basis for informing practical deci- steadiness. Furthermore, the respondents showed that they
sions on variety choice. The creation of a database combin- require variety types with high eco-stability, such as
ing weather data, site information and variety results from hybrids, to reduce climate change risks. Overall, very sim-
breeders, official value evaluations, state plant variety eva- ilar assessments were made by both organic and conven-
luations and other institutions would be desirable. This tional farmers. Crop improvement through variety breeding
would enable a comprehensive and regional evaluation of offers immense value relative to investment and brings an
eco-stability and drought tolerance at the variety level. effective approach to improving sustainable cereal produc-
Since exchanges between colleagues and the recommen- tion. Through the breeding and clear designation of eco-
dations of State Plant Varieties Offices are both of high stable and drought tolerant cereal varieties, the variety
significance to farmers (in addition to their personal experi- choice of farmers practising organic or conventional farm-
ence), an appropriate approach to the collection of data and ing could be considerably improved. This could make a
its publication should be considered. One approach that significant contribution to securing crop yields within the
could be beneficial is regional cooperation among institu- framework of sustainable agriculture, thereby reducing the
tional partnerships and special farmer networks with a focus negative effects of climatic changes on cereal production.
on developing locally adapted breeding programmes.
Thereby, relevant approaches for applied research could be Acknowledgement
provided due to an improved transfer of knowledge and data
We extend our sincere gratitude to the farmers who offered their
between farmers, plant breeders, authorities and advisors. time and knowledge for this research.