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Article

Outlook on Agriculture
2017, Vol. 46(3) 178–184
Importance of variety choice: ª The Author(s) 2017
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DOI: 10.1177/0030727017722420
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organic and conventional farming
systems in Germany

Janna Macholdt and Bernd Honermeier

Abstract
The objective of this study was to examine the importance of farmers’ variety choice in organic and conventional cereal
production and to understand which particular crop varieties are required by farmers for climate change adaptation. A
broad-based survey was conducted which included data from 119 organic and 305 conventional farmers in Germany. Most
of the farmers surveyed recognized the existence of climatic changes and their negative impacts on cereal production.
Given this context, the choice of climate-adapted varieties was very important to the majority of respondents. The
farmers ranked eco-stability, grain yield performance and steadiness as the most crucial varietal requirements. For cereals,
farmers perceived that a higher eco-stability was most important compared to other variety types. The selection of
varieties with high and eco-stable yields levels should be given increased consideration, with their use likely to improve
overall cereal yields and reduced plant production risks due to climate change.

Keywords
Questionnaire, cereal, variety capacity, variety type, hybrid variety

Introduction Germany or which examine the factors that influence varie-


tal choice. However, variety choice is an important strategy
Climate change plays a major role in shaping future cereal
with great adaptation potential due to the possibility for
production (Wheeler and Kay, 2010). Farmers must increas-
specific and rapid implementation in cereal production. This
ingly make appropriate management decisions with respect to
study therefore examined how organic and conventional
these changing climatic conditions, particularly at vulnerable
farmers are adapting to current climatic variations, concen-
locations such as those with sandy soils and early summer
trating on varietal choice. The main objective was to under-
drought risk. Sustainable cereal production with high and
stand which special varietal requirements farmers have with
stable yields under a changing climate presents a major chal- respect to climate change. The study focussed on the follow-
lenge in the 21st century. Climatic variation and its potential
ing hypotheses:
for negative consequences on cereal production cause con-
cern among farmers (Dinar and Mendelsohn, 2011). For
1. Farmers are aware of the effects of climatic changes
example, a shift in precipitation distribution, rising average
on their cereal production and use variety choice to
air temperatures and increased biotic stress factors can nega-
adapt to these changes.
tively influence grain yield and yield stability (Wiebe et al.,
2. Farmers attach differing levels of importance to
2015). Hence, examining agricultural risk perception is
various special varietal capacities relevant to
essential for understanding how farmers might adapt to a
climate change adaptation.
changing climate. Gathering information about risk percep-
3. Farmers show great demand for eco-stable varieties
tion among farmers can also be useful to support decision-
and eco-stable variety types to reduce the risks asso-
making by policymakers, plant breeders, advisors and local
ciated with climate change.
authorities. Farmers can adapt their cereal production to cli-
mate change in a number of ways, for example, by changing
planting and harvesting times, increasing use of irrigation, Institute of Agronomy and Plant Breeding I, Biomedical Research Center
reducing soil tillage or no-till systems and especially by Seltersberg, Justus Liebig University Giessen, Giessen, Germany
choosing stress-tolerant cultivars (Eitzinger et al., 2009).
Numerous studies have focussed on analysing farmers’ Corresponding author:
Janna Macholdt, Institute of Agronomy and Plant Breeding I, Biomedical
views of climate change adaptation (Menapace et al., 2015), Research Center Seltersberg, Justus Liebig University Giessen,
but there remain very few empirical studies which investi- Schuberstraße 81, D-35392 Giessen, Germany.
gate farmer adaptation strategies for cereal production in Email: janna.c.macholdt@agrar.uni-giessen.de
Macholdt and Honermeier 179

In a recent study (Macholdt and Honermeier, 2016), the results (Atteslander, 2010). The target region was nation-
variety choice of farmers in terms of climate change adap- wide and farmers from nearly all federal states in Germany
tation was evaluated, but this study did not fully consider included. The target group consisted of farmers with prac-
variety choice in accordance with the farming type. This is tical experience in cereal production. Organic and conven-
despite the fact that farming type, organic or conventional, tional farmers were encouraged to take part in the survey
has a significant influence on agronomic practices and pre- via emails distributed by cooperative regional farmers’
sumably also on variety choice. Organic farming is defined associations, regional agricultural authorities and personal
as a farming system without the use of pesticides, mineral invitations. In addition, farmers were alerted to the study
fertilizers or genetically modified (GM) varieties in plant using adverts in digital newsletters, agronomic magazines
production – as well as the assumption of responsibility for (German: Bauernblatt, Agrarmagazin, Hessischer Land-
the cycle of nature and agricultural sustainability bote), on agronomic information websites (www.proplan
(Mzoughi, 2014). Thus, organic farming places greater and ta.de; www.agrarheute.com; www.pflanzenbau-giessen.de)
more complex demands on farmers for successful agron- as well as via posts on social media groups (German: Land-
omy compared to conventional farming systems. For exam- treff, Landlive, Moderne Landwirtschaft). All these media
ple, plant production without reliance on chemical plant channels issued an invitation to participate in the study and
protection or mineral fertilization requires focussing on provided a link to the online survey.
favourable crop rotations and adequate applications of The questionnaire was initially tested several times with
straw and green manure. But do differences between farm- 10 sample farmers. Their feedback regarding the format,
ing systems have consequences for variety choice, and if formulation of questions and clarity was considered in the
so, what are they? In order to answer this question, this final questionnaire. The survey was launched in December
study focussed on a comparison between organic and con- 2015 and open for 3 months. A sample of 424 completed
ventional farms. The three hypotheses above were vali- and verified questionnaires formed the database for the
dated in accordance with the farming type and its study. With regard to the farming systems used, a total of
corresponding influence on farmer attitudes towards cli- 119 farmers were practising organic farmers and 305 were
mate change adaptation and variety choice evaluated. The engaged in conventional farming. The average area under
purpose of the study was not only to gather information cereal cultivation was 73 ha per farm (range 10–461 ha),
regarding perceptions of climate change among farmers but with a total area of 64,000 ha included in the survey. This
also to examine farms in organic and conventional cereal equates to approximately 1% of the total cereal production
production with respect to major climate change–related area in Germany (6.5 m ha; German Farmers’ Association,
adapted variety choice and requirements for special varietal 2016). Two-thirds (67%) of the participants involved in
capacities – in particular, eco-stability. The study findings organic farming systems were cultivating cereals with less
serve as a basis for developing supportive strategies for than 100 ha (33% of the farmers cultivated >100 ha), while
practical farming and may also provide insights for consid- nearly three quarters (72%) of all farmers with conven-
eration in agricultural advisory services and research. The tional farming systems were cultivating cereals on less than
aim was to reduce the negative consequences of predicted 100 ha (28% cultivating >100 ha). The quality of farmed
climatic changes for current and future cereal production. soils had a median value of 50 (German ‘Ackerzahl’ ¼
AZ), with the full sample ranging from poor (AZ 21) to
very good (AZ 90) soil quality. With regard to farming
Materials and methods
systems, 24% of organic farming was practiced on poor
Study area sandy soil (<35 AZ), 50% on medium soil (36–55 AZ) and
In the European Union, approximately 10 million hectares 26% on loamy or silk soil (>56 AZ), while 17% of conven-
are now farmed organically. Austria has the largest propor- tional farming was practiced on poor soil (<35 AZ), 45% on
tion with 20% of its total agricultural area, followed by medium soil and 38% on soil characterized by high a soil
Spain and Italy, Germany and France (German Farmers’ value (>56 AZ). Overall, the participants had between 5
Association, 2016). As such, the study area of Germany is a years and 51 years experience in cereal production, with an
major centre of organic production in the European Union. average of 21 years.
A total of 8.2% of German farmers practice organic farm- The online survey was designed as follows: The ques-
ing on 1.05 million hectares – equivalent to 6.3% of its total tionnaire initially focussed on the general characteristics of
agricultural area. In contrast, 81.8% of the nation’s farms the farmers (work experience) and their farms (system, site
(287,000) employ conventional farming systems. These are conditions, area, soil quality). The next section asked farm-
mostly focussed on cultivating cereals, such as barley, ers about their perceptions of climate change and its impact
wheat, rye and triticale (German Farmers’ Association, on their farming practices. In this way, their awareness of
2016). adapted variety choice was evaluated. In the third section,
farmers were asked about their varietal requirements and
preferred variety types. At the end of the form, one question
Data collection and analysis asked farmers’ about their desire for further information
The broad-based study was conducted online (via www.q- on the ‘eco-stability of varieties’. The respondents’ per-
set.de) with a standardized computer-based questionnaire ceptions were derived using a total of nine questions in
that allowed comparative and statistical analysis of the the form of closed multiple-choice, dichotomous and
180 Outlook on Agriculture 46(3)

Table 1. Farmer perceptions of climate change with effects on Table 2. Farmer perceptions of arising climatic variations in
cereal production. farming practices.

Farming system Frequency Yes (%) No (%) w2 Organic Conventional


Rank Response option farminga (%) farmingb (%) w2
Organic farming 119 83 17 0.632 (ns)
Conventional farming 305 86 14 1 Mild winter 88 92 1.592 (ns)
2 Drought 88 90 0.231 (ns)
ns: non-significant at the 5% level. 3 Torrential rain 76 70 2.035 (ns)
4 Hot spells 68 73 1.075 (ns)
open-ended questions. A Likert scale was used for expres- 5 Thunderstorm 51 42 2.782 (ns)
6 UV stress 38 38 0.011 (ns)
sing the degree of agreement with statements.
7 Growing season 34 31 1.217 (ns)
The software IBM SPSS Statistics 23 was used for sta- (prolonged)
tistical analysis. Quantitative data were analysed using 8 Late frost 29 24 0.837 (ns)
descriptive statistics such as medians, frequency distribu- 9 Soil erosion 26 22 0.944 (ns)
tions and percentages. The differences between groups were
ns: ¼ T-test non-significant at the 5% level; multiple answers allowed.
determined using t-tests, U-tests for Likert scales and w2 for a
n ¼ 119.
dichotomous questions. The calculations of Pearson correla- b
n ¼ 305.
tion coefficients (PCCs) were used to examine relationships
between different thematic groups and questions. Only fully
completed questionnaires were considered within this study, Table 3. Farmer perceptions of negative effects of climatic
and each questionnaire was verified individually with regard changes on cereal production.
to coherence, quality and duplication.
Organic Conventional
Response farminga farmingb
Results and discussion Rank Consequence option (%) (%) w2

Perception of climate variations in cereal production 1 Yield Yes 66 69 0.521 (ns)


variability No 34 31
Climate change is one of the key drivers of agricultural 2 Incidence of Yes 56 52 0.696 (ns)
change and will continue to be in the near future (Wiebe illness No 44 48
et al., 2015). In particular, crop production is directly con- 3 Loss of yield Yes 45 46 0.037 (ns)
fronted with the impacts caused by these climatic varia- No 55 54
tions. In this study, farmers reported being aware that 4 Loss of quality Yes 45 39 1.082 (ns)
climatic variation had an effect on their cereal production. No 55 61
Thus, the majority of respondents’ perceptions matched 5 Frost damage Yes 19 18 0.053 (ns)
No 81 82
previous research (Part and Takeuchi, 2014). The results 6 Lodging Yes 5 11 3.735 (c)
from this study showed that 83% of organic and 86% of No 95 89
conventional farmers (Table 1) recognized that climatic
variations have effects on their cereal production. The two ns: non-significant at the 5% level.
a
n ¼ 119.
groups of farmers exhibited no significant differences in b
n ¼ 305.
recognizing these changes. The number of respondents who c
Significant at the 5% level.
observed no effects on cereal production due to climate
change amounted to only 17% and 14%, respectively.
The farmers in the sample assessed the impact of cli- incidence of plant disease was ranked second, followed by
matic changes on farming practices as follows: Both yield loss. For all three potential consequences, opinions
organic and conventional farmers attached major relevance among organic and conventional farmers were similar and
to the increased frequency of drought, mild winters, torren- consistent with results from the literature: The results of a
tial rain and periods of extremely high temperatures multi-model analysis indicates strong negative effects from
(Table 2). In contrast, soil erosion and late frost were climatic changes on cereal production and a decrease in
viewed as being less important by both farmer groups. yield, especially in conjunction with vulnerable site condi-
Relevant literature confirms the farmers’ impressions of tions (Rosenzweig et al., 2014). Moreover, rising tempera-
increasing weather variations in Germany (Pompe et al., tures will lead to an increase in potential evaporation. In
2008; Wiebe et al., 2015). For example, various climate combination with possible declines in precipitation, the yield
models predict that Germany will face rising temperatures, variability for both summer and winter crops is likely to be
more frequent mild winters and significant changes in rain- adversely affected (Eitzinger et al., 2009), highlighting agri-
fall patterns (Rannow et al., 2010). culture’s high degree of vulnerability to a changing climate.
Understanding farmer perceptions of the consequences
of climate change in practice is necessary for selecting
adapted varieties. The respondents assumed that yield
Importance of variety choice
variability would be the most serious consequence for cer- One of the main questions in this study was whether farm-
eal production due to climate change (Table 3). The ers believed adaption to the negative consequences of
Macholdt and Honermeier 181

Table 4. Farmer adaptation by variety choice to climate change showed a willingness to forego potentially higher yields
according to farming system. to achieve a more eco-stable variety performance (Asrat
et al., 2010). Finally, farmers’ high demand for varieties
Farming system Frequency Yes (%) No (%) w2
with resistance to lodging might be associated with the
Organic farming 119 80 20 0.378 (ns) increase in severe weather and torrential rain as the two
Conventional farming 305 83 17 main effects of climate change – but in this study, no sig-
ns: T-test non-significant at the 5% level.
nificant correlation between these variable could be
ascertained.

climate change could be achieved by, among a number of


options, variety choice (Table 4). The results from both Use of transgenic varieties
farmer groups showed that the majority of respondents Genetic engineering could improve grain yield, quality
believed this to be possible. Selection of an appropriate parameters as well as abiotic and biotic stress tolerance
variety is one important strategy for farmers adapting to of cereals (Fedoroff et al., 2010; Tester and Landgridge,
climate change. Farmers who predominantly perceived 2010) – especially as an adaptation to drought, heat and
frost damage (w2 ¼ 9.024), yield losses (w2 ¼ 5.564) and ultraviolet radiation. Especially with regard to climate
incidence of illness (w2 ¼ 8.557) as impacts of climate change, genetic engineering could help to improve the effi-
change (Table 3) confirmed that, above all, variety choice ciency and stability of cereal production systems too. In
was one possible adaptation strategy (Table 4). These three 2014, soybean, corn, cotton and canola were grown as
relationships (w2 analysis) were significant at p < 0.001. GM crops worldwide on around 1.8 billion hectares (James,
But no significant differences between the two groups of 2014). But the role of GM crops is the subject of public
farmers could be verified. Furthermore, it can be demon- controversy (Pray and Ledermann, 2016). In Germany,
strated that farmer perceptions of climate change (Table 1) growing GM varieties in farming practice is currently ille-
are significantly (p < 0.001) correlated with their assertion gal (German Genetic Engineering Act, Federal Ministry for
that variety choice is an adaptation strategy in cereal pro- the Environment, Nature Conservation, Building and
duction (Table 4). For organic farmers, the PCC was Nuclear Safety, 2016). At present, 76% of Germans support
approximately 0.315, and for farmers practising conven- the official ban (Federal Office for Nature Conservation,
tional farming, the PCC was approximately 0.324. This 2015). Furthermore, 67% of German consumers believe the
implies that farmers who recognized the effects of climate cultivation of transgenic crops leads to many negative eco-
change on their farming practices have also progressively logical consequences and that their consumption poses
adjusted their variety selection in response to these health risks (Federal Institute for Risk Assessment, 2015).
changes. Accordingly, other studies have also shown that This underlies farmers’ concerns in cultivating transgenic
farmers are very willing to implement appropriate mea- varieties (Pray and Ledermann, 2016).
sures for climate change adaptation (Menapace et al., Farmers were also asked if they would grow legal GM
2015; Turhan, 2016) such as changing crop rotation, crop varieties if advantages in improved climatic stress toler-
protection, fertilization, crop choice (Seo and Mendelsohn, ance could be expected (Table 6). The hypothetical legal
2008) and, in particular, variety selection (Eitzinger et al., use of GM varieties was reported to be acceptable for only a
2009; Macholdt and Honermeier, 2016). third (30%) of conventional farmers; in contrast, all (100%)
The importance of different varietal requirements of of farmers with organic farming systems were against this
cereals with regard to climatic changes was assessed by option. This indicated an ingrained aversion among the
farmers with organic or conventional practices (Table 5). majority of the respondents towards green genetic engi-
The eco-stability of a variety was deemed to be the most neering – in particular among those in organic farming.
important trait by both groups. This was followed by the The results corroborate with investigations conducted by
characteristics steadiness (lodging resistance), grain yield German authorities and with previous research (Macholdt
potential and tolerance to aridity. Once again, there were no and Honermeier, 2016), in which most of the respondents
discernible differences between the two farming systems also rejected the cultivation of transgenic varieties.
for all variety options. Farmers often choose the combina-
tion of heat and drought tolerance (PCC: 0.758 conven-
tional farming; PCC: 0.772 organic farming), the Demand for eco-stability
combination of eco-stability and resistance to lodging Farmers with organic farming systems perceived that
(PCC: 0.734 conventional farming; PCC: 0.740 organic hybrid varieties have a higher eco-stability in comparison
farming) and the combination of eco-stability and yield to other variety types, and in particular for wheat and rye
potential (PCC: 0.769 conventional farming; PCC: 0.812 (Table 7). They made similar assessments for barley and
organic farming). All correlations above were significant at triticale. For all four crops, the conventional farmers per-
p < 0.01. Corresponding research has shown similar results, ceived a higher eco-stability in comparison to other variety
with eco-stability ranked by farmers as the key criterion for types. Therefore, significant differences between the
variety choice in crop production and with yield potential assessments of farmers with organic and conventional
as being only a secondary concern (Asrat et al., 2010; farming systems could be seen for barley and triticale. A
Macholdt and Honermeier, 2016). Moreover, farmers higher eco-stability of hybrid crop varieties was also
182 Outlook on Agriculture 46(3)

Table 5. Farmer evaluations of relevance of varietal characteristics in terms of climatic changes.

Rank Response option Farming system Frequency 1a (%) 2 (%) 3 (%) 4 (%) 5b (%) U-Test

1 Eco-stability Organic 119 5 5 8 29 52 0.590 (ns)


Conventional 305 6 5 5 29 56
2 Resistance to lodging Organic 119 6 9 3 32 50 0.977 (ns)
Conventional 305 5 6 14 36 39
3 Yield potential Organic 119 5 4 12 39 39 0.060 (ns)
Conventional 305 5 5 12 38 40
4 Drought tolerance Organic 119 8 7 14 33 39 0.388 (ns)
Conventional 305 7 9 10 34 41
5 Winter hardiness Organic 119 5 13 21 29 32 0.492 (ns)
Conventional 305 4 10 15 47 24
6 Heat tolerance Organic 119 3 17 17 41 23 0.369 (ns)
Convention 305 7 12 15 37 29
7 Biotic stress tolerance Organic 119 5 8 21 48 18 0.837 (ns)
Conventional 305 2 9 21 44 23
8 Earliness Organic 119 13 13 33 23 18 0.657 (ns)
Conventional 305 11 11 30 31 17
ns: U-Test non-significant at the 5% level (df ¼ 422).
a
1: very low degree of relevance.
b
5: very high degree of relevance.

Table 6. Farmer perceptions if they would grow legal GM Table 8. Farmer demand for official appraisal of eco-stability of
varieties if advantages in improved climatic stress tolerance could varieties.
be expected.
Organic Conventional
Farming system Frequency Yes (%) No (%) w2 Response farminga farmingb
Rank Cereal option (%) (%) w2
Organic farming 119 0 100 32.712 (a)
Conventional farming 305 30 70 1 Wheat Yes 76 78 0.120 (ns)
No 24 22
GM: genetically modified. 2 Barley Yes 80 75 0.935 (ns)
a
Significant at the 5% level. No 20 25
3 Rye Yes 87 78 3.427 (c)
No 13 22
Table 7. Farmer assessment if hybrid varieties provide better
4 Triticale Yes 82 80 0.227 (ns)
eco-stability in comparison to line or population varieties.
No 18 20
Organic Conventional 5 Oat Yes 82 79 0.595 (ns)
Response farminga farmingb No 18 21
Rank Cereal option (%) (%) w2 6 Spelt Yes 85 80 1.513 (ns)
No 15 20
1 Wheat Yes 66 62 0.724 (ns)
ns: non-significant at the 5% level.
No 34 38 a
c n ¼ 119.
2 Barley Yes 53 64 5.893 ( ) b
n ¼ 305.
No 47 36 c
Significant at the 5% level.
3 Rye Yes 64 73 3.761 (ns)
No 36 27
4 Triticale Yes 51 61 6.896 (c)
No 49 39 Consequently, farmers should consider cultivating a greater
proportion of hybrids with expected higher eco-stability as
ns: non-significant at the 5% level. part of their variety choice strategy.
a
n ¼ 119.
b
n ¼ 305. At present, there is only very limited public information
c
Significant at the 5% level. regarding the eco-stability of varieties provided by German
authorities. However, more than 75% of farmers inter-
viewed in this study confirmed a high interest in such vari-
reported in other research. For wheat, barley and triticale, a ety assessments of eco-stability (Table 8). The requests of
significantly higher eco-stability of hybrids has been organic and conventional farmers were very similar; only
observed compared to lines (Mühleisen et al., 2014), as for rye was there a significantly lower interest among
well as for hybrid rye varieties on sandy sites in northeast- respondents with conventional farming practices (78%)
ern Germany (Macholdt et al., 2013). Hybrids often show compared to organic farming (87%). This demand for an
an enhanced eco-stability in comparison to other variety official appraisal of eco-stable varieties should be taken
types, which offers a significant breeding advance in vari- into account, especially by relevant authorities, agricultural
ety selection with regard to climate change adaptation. consulting institutions and breeding companies, such as the
Macholdt and Honermeier 183

initial approaches demonstrated by Macholdt et al. (2013) statistical certainty of web-based surveys (representative-
and Michel and Zenk (2010). However, the evaluation of ness: 1% of the total cereal production area in Germany).
eco-stabilities for crop varieties requires substantial effort Broader implications are therefore difficult to derive and
and represents a challenge. Despite the fact that there are must be interpreted with caution. One reason for the rela-
various biometric methods available for analysing eco- tively low representation could be that the study was con-
stability, precise calculation using a secure orthogonal ducted online and farmers were mostly invited using digital
database with results from multi-environmental variety methods (email, internet) – this excluded farmers who do
field trials is necessary. The practical implementation of not routinely work with computers, internet and email.
various variety field trials would be resource intensive and Unfortunately, a survey based on additional postal delivery
costly. If the resulting database was limited and/or showed was not possible, because the postal address lists for farm-
a high experimental error, it could lead to flawed conclu- ers are not disclosed to third parties by federal offices and
sions, and the estimation of the eco-stability of varieties farmers’ associations due to legal and data protection
might not be sufficiently robust (Mühleisen et al., 2014). restrictions. Direct face-to-face interviews might be a use-
ful alternative, but conducting 400 interviews with farmers
is not feasible in a short timeframe, and the usage of dif-
Broader implications ferent methods might have a distorting effect on the results
This and comparable studies highlight that cereal producers (Atteslander, 2010). However, contacting farmers via
are already being directly affected by climatic changes email and internet was possible and a significant number
(Menapace et al., 2015), underlining the importance of of completed questionnaires was attained. The benefits of
improved variety adaptation strategies. Although official web-based designs, for example, a high response rate and
variety assessments contain detailed information on yield reaching a wide target group, have to be offset against their
potential and resistance to lodging, they contain limited disadvantages, such as non-transparent testing environ-
information on eco-stability and drought tolerance. The ments and increased termination rates (Gosling et al.,
existing nationwide ‘planning, information and evaluation 2004).
system for field research’ (PIAF) provides data differen-
tiated according to cropped areas on variety performance
and locations from variety trials of the integrated test sys- Conclusions
tem for the areas of breeding, approval and regional coun-
selling (German Federal Plant Variety Office, 2000). One The hypotheses in this study – the awareness of farmers
way to complement the variety assessment would be the regarding climatic variation, its potentially negative effect
extension of the PIAF system to include parameters for on growing cereals and, against this background, adapted
eco-stability and drought tolerance, as shown in the con- variety choice – were all confirmed. With regard to climate
cepts by Macholdt et al. (2013) and Michel and Zenk change adaptation, the farmers surveyed attached great
(2010). These should be developed further and incorpo- importance to special varietal capacities – above all, eco-
rated into regional official variety recommendations in stability, grain yield performance, drought tolerance and
order to provide a sound basis for informing practical deci- steadiness. Furthermore, the respondents showed that they
sions on variety choice. The creation of a database combin- require variety types with high eco-stability, such as
ing weather data, site information and variety results from hybrids, to reduce climate change risks. Overall, very sim-
breeders, official value evaluations, state plant variety eva- ilar assessments were made by both organic and conven-
luations and other institutions would be desirable. This tional farmers. Crop improvement through variety breeding
would enable a comprehensive and regional evaluation of offers immense value relative to investment and brings an
eco-stability and drought tolerance at the variety level. effective approach to improving sustainable cereal produc-
Since exchanges between colleagues and the recommen- tion. Through the breeding and clear designation of eco-
dations of State Plant Varieties Offices are both of high stable and drought tolerant cereal varieties, the variety
significance to farmers (in addition to their personal experi- choice of farmers practising organic or conventional farm-
ence), an appropriate approach to the collection of data and ing could be considerably improved. This could make a
its publication should be considered. One approach that significant contribution to securing crop yields within the
could be beneficial is regional cooperation among institu- framework of sustainable agriculture, thereby reducing the
tional partnerships and special farmer networks with a focus negative effects of climatic changes on cereal production.
on developing locally adapted breeding programmes.
Thereby, relevant approaches for applied research could be Acknowledgement
provided due to an improved transfer of knowledge and data
We extend our sincere gratitude to the farmers who offered their
between farmers, plant breeders, authorities and advisors. time and knowledge for this research.

Methodological limitations Declaration of conflicting interests


Overall, it must be recognized that the results presented The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with
here should be viewed within the context of the study and respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this
cannot be generalized because of the relatively low article.
184 Outlook on Agriculture 46(3)

Funding Menapace L, Colson G and Raffaelli R (2015) Climate change


The author(s) received no financial support for the research, beliefs and perceptions of agricultural risks: an application of
authorship, and/or publication of this article. the exchangeability method. Global Environmental Change
35: 70–81.
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