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Chapter 5 & 6

Time Value of Money


Discounted cash flow

 PhD, Phan Hong Mai


 School of Banking and Finance
 National Economics University
 hongmaik@neu.edu.vn
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Chapter Outline

5.1 Time Value of Money


5.2 Future Value
5.3 Present Value
5.4 Stated rates and EAR
5.5 Types of Loans

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5.1 Time Value of Money

 Time value of money is the concept


that the value of $1 to be received in
future is less than the value of $1 on
hand today.
 In other words, time value of money
principle says that the value of given sum
of money to be received on a particular
date is more than same sum of money
to be received on a later date.
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5.1 Time Value of Money

 1rst reason is that money received today


can be invested thus generating more
money.
 2nd reason is that when a person decides
to receive a sum of money in future rather
than today (for example, by lending his
money), there are risks involved in lending
(such as default risk and inflation). That
makes the value of money in future is less
than today.
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5.1 Time Value of Money

 Time lines: A horizontal line that is used


to represent time, with the past towards
the left and the future towards the right.
 Show the timing of cash flows.

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5.1 Time Value of Money

0 1 2 3
r%

CF0 CF1 CF2 CF3


Cash flow
received/invested
Cash flows received/invested in future
today

 Tick marks occur at the end of periods, so


Time 0 is today; Time 1 is the end of the first
period or the beginning of the second period.
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5.1 Time Value of Money

$100 lump sum due in 2 years


0 1 2
r%

100
3 year $100 ordinary annuity
0 1 2 3
r%

100 100 100


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5.1 Time Value of Money

Uneven cash flow stream


0 1 2 3
r%

-50 100 75 50

Cash
Outflow 5-8
5.2 Future value

 Future value: The amount of money that


an investment will grow to over some period
of times at the given interest rate.
 What cash flows are worth in the future.
 Later money on a time line.

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5.2 Future value

a single cash
amount multiple
FV cash flows
of finite ordinary
cash flows annuity annuity
cash cash flows
flows
annuity
due cash
flows
5.2.1 FV of a single cash amount invested
at r % per period for t periods

 Suppose you invest $1,000 for one year at


5% per year.
 What is the future value in one year?

0 1
r = 5%

$1,000
FV = ?

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5.2.1 FV of a single cash amount invested
at r % per period for t periods

 Interest = $1,000 x 5% = $50


 Value in one year = principal + interest
= $1,000 + 50
= $1,050
 Future Value (FV) = $1,000 x (1 + 5%)
= $1,050

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5.2.1 FV of a single cash amount invested
at r % per period for t periods

 Suppose you leave the money in for another


year. How much will you have two years
from now?

0 1 2
r = 5%

$1,000
$1,050
FV = ?
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5.2.1 FV of a single cash amount invested
at r % per period for t periods

 Interest = $1,050 x 5% = $52.5


 Value in one next year = $1,050 + 52.5
= $1,102.5
 FV = $1,000 x (1 + 5%) x (1 + 5%)
= $1,000 x (1 + 5%)2
= $1,102.5

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5.2.1 FV of a single cash amount invested
at r % per period for t periods

 FV = $1,000 x (1 + 5%) x (1 + 5%)


= $1,000 x (1 + 5%)2 = $1,102.5

a cash
r %/period t periods
amount

-> The process of accumulating interest over time


(to earn more money) is called “Compounding”
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5.2.1 FV of a single cash amount invested
at r % per period for t periods

FV = C x (1 + r)t
 FV: future value
 C : cash amount
 r : period interest rate, expressed as a decimal
(“exchange rate” between earlier money and
later money, can be also called as Discount rate,
Cost of capital, Opportunity cost of capital,
Required return)
 t : number of periods
-> (1 + r)t : Future value interest factor, FVIF(r,t)
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5.2.1 FV of a single cash amount invested
at r % per period for t periods

 Example 5.1
 Suppose you locate a two-year investment that
pays 14 percent per year. If you invest $300, how
much will you have at the end of the two years?
How much of this is simple interest? How much
is compound interest?

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5.2.2 FV of multiple cash flows invested
at r % per period for t periods

 Multiple cash flows: a series of different cash


flows that occur each period for some fixed
periods.
 Suppose you invest $1,000; $1,250 and $2,324
from now for two years at 5% per year.
 How much will you have for two years ?
0 1 2
r = 5%

$1,000 $1,250 $2,324


FV = ? 5-18
5.2.2 FV of multiple cash flows invested
at r % per period for t periods

 Firstly, calculate the FV of each cash flow


 Then, add them up.

0 1 2
r = 5%

$1,000 $1,250 $2,324


$1,102.5
$ 1,312.5
$ 4,739
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5.2.2 FV of multiple cash flows invested
at r % per period for t periods

 Example 5.2
 Suppose you deposit $150, $200, $320 at the
end of each year for three years, assume a 7
percent interest rate throughout.
 Showing the cash flows on the time line? How
much will you have in three years? How much
will you have in five years if you don’t add
additional amounts?

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5.2.3 FV of annuity cash flows
invested at r % per period for t periods

 Annuity cash flows: a series of constant or


level cash flows that occur each period for some
fixed periods.
 Ordinary annuity: an annuity for which the
cash flows occur at the end of the period.
 Annuity due: an annuity for which the cash
flows occur at the beginning of the period.

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5.2.3 FV of annuity cash flows
invested at r % per period for t periods

 Suppose you invest $1,000 at the end of each


year for three years at 5% per year.
 How much will you have for three years ?

0 1 2 3
r = 5%

$1,000 $1,000 $1,000


FV = ?
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5.2.3 FV of annuity cash flows
invested at r % per period for t periods

0 1 2 3
r = 5%

$1,000 $1,000 $1,000


$1,102.5
$ 1,050
$ 3,152.5

FV = $3,152.5 = $1,000 x {[(1 + 5%)3–1]/ 5%}


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5.2.3 FV of annuity cash flows
invested at r % per period for t periods

FV of ordinary annuity cash flows:

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5.2.3 FV of annuity cash flows
invested at r % per period for t periods

 Suppose you invest $1,000 at the beginning


of each year for three years at 5% per year.
 How much will you have for three years ?

0 1 2 3
r = 5%

$1,000 $1,000 $1,000


FV = ?
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5.2.3 FV of annuity cash flows
invested at r % per period for t periods

0 1 2 3
r = 5%

$1,000 $1,000 $1,000


$1,050.0
$ 1,102.5
$ 1,157.625
$ 3,310.152
FV = $1,000 x {[(1 + 5%)3–1]/ 5%} x (1 + 5%)
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5.2.3 FV of annuity cash flows
invested at r % per period for t periods

FV of annuity due cash flows:

-> FV of annuity due cash flows = FV of same


ordinary cash flows x (1 + r)
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5.3 Present value

 Present value: the current value of future


cash flows discounted at the appropriate
discount rate.
 What future cash flows are worth today.
 Earlier money on a time line.

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5.3 Present value
multiple
cash flows
a single cash
amount annuity
cash flows

PV growing
of finite annuity cash
flows
cash flows
perpetuity
cash flows
infinite
cash flows growing
perpetuity
cash flows
5.3.1 PV of a single cash amount to be
received in t periods at r % per period

 Suppose you need to have $1,050 in one


years, and you can earn 5% on your money.
 How much do you have to invest today to
reach your goal?

0 1
r = 5%

$ 1,050
PV = ?
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5.3.1 PV of a single cash amount to be
received in t periods at r % per period

 Based on your knowledge of FV, you know


the amount invest must grow to $1,050 over
one year.
 $1,050 = C x (1 + 5%)1
C = $1,050 / (1 + 5%)1
C = $1,000

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5.3.1 PV of a single cash amount to be
received in t periods at r % per period

 Suppose you need $1,102.5 in two years.


You can earn 5% on your money.
 How much do you have to invest today?

0 1 2
r = 5%

$ 1,102.5
PV = ?
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5.3.1 PV of a single cash amount to be
received in t periods at r % per period

 $1,102.5 = C x (1 + 5%)2
C = $1,102.5 / (1 + 5%)2 = $1,000

a cash
r %/period t periods
amount

-> The process of calculating the present value of a


future cash flow (to determine its value today) is
called “Discounting”

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5.3.1 PV of a single cash amount to be
received in t periods at r % per period

PV = C / (1 + r)t
 PV: present value
 C : cash amount
 r : period interest rate, expressed as a decimal
(“exchange rate” between earlier money and
later money, also can be called as Discount rate,
Cost of capital, Opportunity cost of capital,
Required return)
 t : number of periods
-> 1/(1 + r)t : Present value interest factor, PVIF(r,t)
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5.3.2 PV of multiple cash flows to be
received in t periods at r % per period

 Suppose you need $1,050 in one year and


$1,102.5 more in two years.
 If you can earn 5% on your money. How much
do you have to put up today to exactly cover
these amounts in the future?
0 1 2
r = 5%

PV = ? $1,050 $1,102.5

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5.3.2 PV of multiple cash flows to be
received in t periods at r % per period

 Firstly, calculate the PV of each cash flow


 Then, add them up.

0 1 2
r = 5%

$1,050 $1,102.5
$1,000
$1,000

$ 2,000
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5.3.2 PV of multiple cash flows to be
received in t periods at r % per period

 Example 5.3
 You are offered an investment that will pay
you $210 in the first year, $400 the next year,
$630 the next year, and $700 at the end of
the fourth year. You can earn 12 percent on
very similar investments.
 Showing the cash flows on the time line?
What is the most you should pay for this one?

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5.3.3 PV of annuity cash flows to be
received in t periods at r % per period

 Suppose we are examining an asset that


promised to pay $500 at the end of each of the
next three years.
 If we want to earn 5% on our money, how much
would we offer for this annuity?

0 r = 5% 1 2 3

PV = ? $500 $500 $500

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5.3.3 PV of annuity cash flows to be
received in t period at r % per period

0 1 2 3
r = 5%

$500 $500 $500


$476.19
$453.51
$431.92
$1,361.62

PV = $1,361.62 = $500 x {[1 – 1/(1 + 5%)3]/ 5%}


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5.3.3 PV of annuity cash flows to be
received in t period at r % per period

 PV of ordinary annuity cash flows:

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5.3.3 PV of annuity cash flows to be
received in t period at r % per period

 Example 5.4
 You are offered an investment that will make
three $300 payments. The first payment will
occur four years from today. The second will
occur in five years, and the third will follow in
six years. You can earn 11 percent on very
similar investments.
 Showing the cash flows on the time line?
what is the most this investment is worth
today? (solve in 2 ways)
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5.3.4 PV of growing annuity cash flows to be
received in t periods at r % per period

 A growing annuity is an annuity where the


payments grow at a particular rate.
 Suppose we are looking at a lottery payout a 4-year
period. The first payment, made one year from now,
will be $500. Every year thereafter, the payment will
grow by 10%.
 What is the present value if the discount rate is 5%?

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5.3.4 PV of growing annuity cash flows to be
received in t periods at r % per period

0 1 2 3 4
r = 5%

PV = ? $500

$500 x (1 + 10%)

$500 x (1 + 10%) x (1 + 10%)

$500 x (1 + 10%) x (1 + 10%) x (1 + 10%)


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5.3.4 PV of growing annuity cash flows to be
received in t periods at r % per period

0 1 2 3 4
r = 5%

PV = ? $500
$500 x (1 + 10%)1

$500 x (1 + 10%)2

$500 x (1 + 10%)3

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5.3.4 PV of growing annuity cash flows to be
received in t periods at r % per period

0 r = 5% 1 2 3 4

$500 $550 $605 $665.5


$476.19
$498.87
$522.62
$547.51

$2,045.19 5-45
5.3.4 PV of growing annuity cash flows to be
received in t periods at r % per period

  1  10%  4 
1 -   
  1  5%  
PV  $2,045.19  $500 x
 5%  10% 
 
 

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5.3.4 PV of growing annuity cash flows to be
received in t periods at r % per period

 1 g  t

1 -   
  1  r  
PV  C x
 rg 
 
 
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5.3.5 PV of perpetuity cash flows to be
received at r % per period

 Perpetuity is an important case of an annuity


arises when the level stream of cash flows
continues forever.
 Because a perpetuity has an infinite number of
cash flows, we can’t compute its value by
discounting each one. However, PV of a perpetuity
is simple: PV = C/r
 Preferred stock is an important example of a
perpetuity. The preferred stockholders are
promised a fixed dividend every period forever.
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5.3.5 PV of perpetuity cash flows to be
received at r % per period

 Example 5.5
 Suppose the Dewey Co. wants to sell preferred
stock and promises to pay preferred dividend of
$12 per share of stock. A similar issue of preferred
stock already outstanding has a price of $150 and
offers a dividend of $10.5 every year.
 What price should Dewey offer today if the
preferred stock is sold?

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5.3.6 PV of growing perpetuity cash flows to be
received at r % per period

 A growing perpetuity is an perpetuity where


the payments grow at a particular rate.
 Based on the formula for PV of growing annuity, we
can compute PV of growing perpetuity.
PV = C/(r – g)

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5.3.6 PV of growing perpetuity cash flows to be
received at r % per period

 Example 5.6
 Suppose the Bilbo Co. wants to sell preferred
stock and promises to pay preferred dividend of
$12 per share of stock at the end of first year.
Every year thereafter, the payment will grow by
3%.
 If the required return rate for preferred stock is
7%, what price should Bilbo offer today?

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5.4 Stated rates and EAR

 Stated rate (quoted rate) is the interest rate


expressed in terms of the interest payment made
each period (daily, monthly, quarterly or annually…).
Stated rate is stated in contracts, e.g. 8% annually,
2% quarterly, 0.6% monthly or 0.02% daily
interest.
 Sometimes, Stated rate is also expressed in term of
annual term but note the number of compounding
period per year, e.g. 1% compounded weekly, 5%
compounded monthly, 6% compounded quarterly.
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5.4 Stated rates and EAR

 Effective annual rate (EAR) is the interest rate


expressed as if it were compounded once per
year. It is actually the rate that you will earn.
 To compare different investments of interest
rates, we will need to convert to EAR.

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5.4 Stated rates and EAR

 How much will we earn from $1 for one year


at the interest rate of 5% per year but
compounded daily, monthly, quarterly and
annually?
 What is EAR of each stated rate?

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5.4 Stated rates and EAR

Accumulated interest for 365 days principal

 FV at interest rate of 5% compounded daily:


FV = $1 x (1 + 5%/365)365 = $1.05127
EAR = ($1.05127 – 1) / 1 = 0.05127 = 5.127%
 FV at interest rate of 5% compounded monthly:
FV = $1 x (1 + 5%/12)12 = $1.05116
EAR = ($1.05116 – 1)/1 = 0.05116 = 5.116%

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5.4 Stated rates and EAR

 FV at interest rate of 5% compounded quarterly:


FV = $1 x (1 + 5%/4)4 = $1.05095
EAR = ($1.05095 – 1)/1 = 0.05095 = 5.095%
 FV at interest rate of 5% compounded annually:
FV = $1 x (1 + 5%/1)1 = $1.05
EAR = ($1.05 – 1)/1 = 0.05 = 5%

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5.4 Stated rates and EAR

Stated rate Number of EAR


compounding times
5% 365 5.127%
5% 12 5.116%
5% 4 5.095%
5% 1 5.000%

 EAR = (1 + Stated rate/m)m – 1


 m: number of compounding periods per year.
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5.4 Stated rates and EAR

 First, the highest quoted rate is not


necessarily the best.
 Second, compounding during the year can
lead to a significant difference between
the quoted rate and the effective rate.

-> Remember that the EAR is what you


actually get or what you pay.

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5.5 Types of Loans

The borrower receives money today but he can:


 Pure discount loan: repay a single lump
sum at some time in the future.

0 1
5%

Borrows $10 Repays $10.05

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5.5 Types of Loans

 Interest-only loan: pay interest each


period but repay the principal at some
point in the future.

0 5% 1 2

Borrows Interest paid Interest paid $0.5


$10 $0.5 Principal repaid $10

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5.5 Types of Loans

 Amortized loan:
- pay equal payments (including interest
paid and principal repaid)
- repay equal principals, interest paid
depends on the beginning balance of each
period.

-> Use amortization tables to compute annual


payments
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5.5 Types of Loans

 Suppose a business takes out a $5,000, five-


year loan at 9% per year. The loan agreement
calls for the borrower to make a single, fixed
payment every year.
 How will the amortization schedule look?

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5.5 Types of Loans

 Step 1: Find the required annual payment


Dxr
Annual payment 
1
1-
(1  r) n

D: the loan amount PV of annuity CFs

Required annual payment =


($5,000 x 9%) / [1 – 1/(1+9%)5]= $1,285.46
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5.5 Types of Loans

 Step 2: Find the interest paid in year 1 by


multiplying the beginning balance by the
interest rate.
Interest paid in Y1 = $5,000 x 9% = $450
 Step 3: Find the principal in year 1 by
subtracting the interest paid from the annual
payment.
Principal repaid in Y1 = $1,285.46 – 450
= $835.46
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5.5 Types of Loans

 Step 4: Find the balance at the end of year


1 by subtracting the amount paid toward
principal from the beginning balance.

Ending balance in Y1 = $5,000 – 835.46


= $4,164.54

-> The ending balance in year 1 is also the


beginning balance in year 2
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5.5 Types of Loans

 Step 5: Construct the amortization schedule


by repeating steps 1-4 until end of loan.

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5.5 Types of Loans

 Example 5.7
 Suppose a business takes out a $5,000, five-
year loan at 9% percent. The loan agreement
calls for the borrower to pay the interest on
the loan balance each year and to reduce the
loan balance each year by $1,000.
 Construct the amortization schedule?

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SUMMARY and CONCLUSIONS

 Time value of money is the concept that the value


$1 on hand today is more than the value of $1 in
future.
 Four components of the basic present value
equation are: PV, FV, r, t.
 Interest rates can be quoted in a various ways.
For financial decisions, it is important to convert
to EAR.
 The process of providing for a loan to be paid
off gradually is called amortizing loan.
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HOMEWORKS

Concepts review:
Chapter 5: 1, 2, 3, 4.
Chapter 6: 1, 2, 3, 11.

Question and Problems:


Chapter 5: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 16.
Chapter 6: 1, 2, 3, 4, 10, 11, 12, 13, 16, 17,
37, 55, 56.
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