ingdoom of Saudi Arabia ‫المملكة العربية السعودية‬

King Saud University ‫جامعة الملك سعود‬

Deanship of Common First Year ‫عمادة السنة األولى المشتركة‬
Basic Sciences Department Second Semester 1445 ‫قسم العلوم األساسية‬
Section Number: ID: :‫االسم‬

The second paper homework for the course

Introduction to Probability and Statistics (101 Stat)
Remarks: 1 0
1- The homework will only be accepted if it is handwritten in blue pen.
2- Disciplined writing, good handwriting, and accuracy in drawing all have degrees. 591N 25
3- The deadline for submitting the paper homework is Thursday 21/03/ 2024.
as well IN
Question 1) We have three boxes B1 , B2 and B3 that are exactly the same, such that: Idl m
The box B1 contains 1 white, 2 red and 3 blue balls,
The box B2 contains 3 white, 1 red and 2 blue balls,
iffs
The box B3 contains 2 white, 3 red and 1 blue balls. mm 122.6
We suppose that all balls have the same chance at selecting. Then: 546236003 81 4
a) We choose a box randomly and withdraw three balls from it at once in a random manner, then:
i) What is the probability that the selected balls are white, red and blue ?
………………………………………………………………………………………………………..……………………
let Z Zz Zz are events that the balls from boxes
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………..…………………
B 9 Be B respectivally
……………………………………………………………………………………………..………………………………
let A the event that the selected balls are white red
……………………………………………………………………………………………..………………………………
and blue
………………………………………………………………………………………………..……………………………
P A ZPlz PA
………………………………………………………………………………………………..……………………………
181 34 3C 2 1 20 321 1 I
……………………………………………………………………………………………………..………………………
21 663
……………………………………………………………………………………………..……………………………… 51
I 0 3
ii) What is the probability that the selected balls are two white and one red ?
………………………………………………………………………………………………………..……………………
let B the event that the selected balls are two white autoner
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………..…………………

PB
……………………………………………………………………………………………..………………………………
P Zi P B Zi
……………………………………………………………………………………………..………………………………
0 3224 1 2 2 321
……………………………………………………………………………………………..………………………………
0.1
iii) What is the probability that the selected balls are white only ?
………………………………………………………………………………………………………..……………………
let D the event that the selected balls are white only
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………..…………………

P D P
……………………………………………………………………………………………..………………………………
Zi P D Zi
……………………………………………………………………………………………..………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………………..……………………………… 0.0167
-1-
 b) We choose a box randomly and we withdraw a ball from it in a random manner. Then:
i) What is the probability that the selected ball is blue ?
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
let E the event that the selected ball
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
is blue
PE Zi EP Zi P E
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

5 7 5
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
E 5 t
ii) If we found that the selected ball is blue. What is the probability that this ball from the box B3 ?

P A P E 173
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
P z E
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
P E
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

Question 2) We roll a fair die two times.

a. Determine the probability space of this random experiment.
………………………………………………………………………………………………………..……………………
w i j i j 1 2 3 4 5 6
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………..…………………
2 P A
……………………………………………………………………………………………..………………………………
1
1i A EA
b. Calculate the probability of the event {(i, j ) with j 5} .

let the event i j

………………………………………………………………………………………………………..……………………
A with it 5
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………..…………………
P A 11
……………………………………………………………………………………………..………………………………
c) Let X be a random variable defined on [ , A , P ] by the following equations:
X ((i, j ) )  max{i, j } ; i, j  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
i) Represent this random variable tabular and graphically.
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

iii n
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

I
EdFB
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
I4e
EEf
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
t.EE
É
IIIt If fff.is
ii) Determine the distribution function of this random variable and calculate P ( 2 X 3) .
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

If
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

P
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
2 3 513 F 62 0
-2-
 iii) Calculate E(X ) , E(X 2 ) and Var (X ) .

I 8 21 1 3 581 4156 51 6
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
E X ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
EX P X A 4.472
P A 11 1 2 321581 44 1 5 96 6
E X……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………21.97
varix
fi s 4
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
iv) Calculate E(X  3) . 1.973
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
E x 3 E x 3
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
4.472 3 1.472
v) Calculate Var  3X  4  .
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
var 13 41
1 9843
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
17.757
Question 3) Let [ , A , P ] be a probability space. We take A, B, C A with P (A) 0.35 , P (A \ B ) 0.27 ,
P (B C) 0.12 , P (B C) 0.70 , P (A C) 0.62 , P (B \ (A C )) 0.20 and P (A B C) 0.05 .
Then calculate the following probabilities:
a) P (A B ) = …………………………………………………………………………………………………..……...…
pepp.fi
ffII 5f'pbnj
pEnB
b) P (B) = …………………………………………………………………………………………………...……….……

P
20 0,08 0.12 0 05 0.35 9
BOC P BMC 0.70 0.35 0.12 0.47
PB
c) P (C ) = …………………………………………………………………………………………………..……………..

d) P (A B ) = …………………………………………………………………………………………..……………….
P A PCB P ADB 0.35 0.35 0.08 0.62
e) P ( BC ) = ……………………………………………………………………………………………..………………..
P BUC P BAC 0.70 0.12 0.58
f) P(A B C)
PCA PCBS PCC PCAMB PCANC P BAC PCANBAC
……………………………………………………………………………………………..………..
…………………………………………………………………………………………..…………………
0 35 0.35 0 47 0 08 0.2 0.12 0 82 0.05
P ATB
g) P (A B) ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………
P AUB 1 0.62 0.38
h) P(A B C) ……………………………………………………………………………………………………….
P AMBAC 1 PIANBAC 1 0.05 0.95
Question 4) We toss a coin. If you know that the probability of a head appearing is 0.80, then:
a) If we toss this coin 25 times, what is the probability that it will come up heads 20 times ?
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
we use binomial distribution with n 25 D 0.80
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
n k
P X K n Ck P
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
1 b
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
P X 20 25 20 0.842 0.20 0 196
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
b) If we were to continue tossing the coin until we get a tail for the first time, what is the probability that the
tail will appear for the first time on the fifth toss ?
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
let A the event that the tail will appear for the first time
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
on the fifth toss
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
P A 0.8074 0.20 0 08192
-3-
Question 5) If you know that accidents that occur at a traffic signal between 7 and 8 a.m. have a Poisson
distribution with an average of one accident per day, what is the probability that three accidents will occur at
this signal on a day between 7 and 8 a.m.?
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
3
P E
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
13
P 3
……………………….…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
0.061
Question 6) Consider a random variable X with the following density function:
c  x 2 for  1 / 2  x  1

f (x )  
0 otherwise
a) Calculate the value of the constant c.
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
x dx I tax 2x I ex J I
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
I 8
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
5
b) Determine the distribution function FX .
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
F X flu du
fluidu tu
EI
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

81
8 8 1
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… f 3
for C
83
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
for EX
1I
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
for
1 1
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
c) What is the value of P(X  0.25) ? Why ?

P
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
0.25 0
because the distribution function F is continuous
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
on R
Question 7) There are 80 fishes in a small lake, including 15 salmon fishes. A fisherman threw his net into the
lake and caught 15 fishes. If all fishes has the same chance at catch, what is the probability that he would
have 5 salmon fishes with the fishes he caught ?

let A the event that a fisherman would have 5 salmon

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
fishes with the fishes he caught
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
15 5 65610
P A
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
80 0.081
15
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

-4-
 i 1293
59 I 2
as L IN

1112
is It I
am I was
546236003 81