Weekly review for the week of the 13th-18th February 2023.

Above is the chart for the dollar index weekly. From the previous weekly commentary, we
were anticipating an expansion higher for the weekly candle based off the idea of finding
support and displacement away from the monthly discount fair value gap. As long as that
monthly timeframe favours repricing higher, I am only entertained in taking long swing
trade ideas on the dollar and favouring weekly expansions higher for the dollar. The weekly
commentary following this type up will entail my thoughts going forward with the dollar
index.

Economic outlook for the week

For this week we had the bulk of news events in the middle of the week. Monday had no
significant driver for the USD, EUR, GBP however Tuesday had CPI for the USD and the
claimant count for GBP (the claimant count is a measure of unemployment for the UK, it
measures the reported unemployment benefit claims like job seekers allowance etc).
Wednesday followed with GBP CPI and USD retail sales and Thursday with USD PPI. Why is
knowing the economic outlook for the week important? It is your roadmap for the likely
weekly profile at hand. Is Monday likely to make the opposing end of the range? No, if
Tuesday follows with a significant driver, then Tuesday is going to experience manipulation
and is most likely to place in the opposing end of the range. Now you may be reading up till
this point and be thinking well what about Wednesday? Wednesday had big economic
drivers to and you are right however once we break down each day in this weekly report
you will see why Tuesday favoured the low of the week over Wednesday.

Monday 13th February 2023

Before we dive into the individual days of the week that played out lets consider the
possible protractions to expect in the week. The turquoise box is showing the old bearish
FVG. Once traded through old FVGS they can be reclaimed and act as new
support/resistance. Underneath is a weekly FVG. This is important as we go into Monday
and Tuesday for this type up.
As we can see the Monday traded down lower offering protraction to the weekly candle and
this is what we wait and see and this is why we leave out the Monday and let it build our
weekly profile. As stated in the economic outlook portion of this type up we know because
of the roadmap the economic calendar provided that Monday is most likely not the opposite
end of the range and that Tuesday-Wednesday would be due to the economic drivers in
those days allowing for greater manipulation. Now seeing Monday trade down lower we can
anticipate Tuesday to continue the protraction as it is the main driver for the USD being the
CPI.

Tuesday the 14th February 2023

Now on Tuesday the day of USD CPI we see that the daily candle wicks into the FVG and has
a strong move away from it (that wick away is a strong displacement on the hourly
timeframe). Now this day was the most pinnacle day of the week for your weekly profile,
and I advised every single one of you do not entertain anything before CPI. The time to
entertain CPI is after the drop of the news, the initial drop is catastrophic and is made to
make us lose hence why we avoid it. The London close of CPI is where you want to hunt
small scalp moves after the fog of CPI clears up and price action is predictable again.

This is the hourly chart of Tuesday. The dashed vertical line delineates midnight for Tuesday
and the horizontal line showing midnight opening price (MNOP). The CPI event takes place
at 8:30 EST which tells you when the manipulation for that day is going to occur. Now this is
where you dial in and focus on what I’m going to say. Notice the London session for this day,
the arrow between the two down closed candles is labelled “favour the weekly FVG”. From
the weekly commentary we favoured higher expansion therefore that translates into
protraction downwards. Now we had two areas of protraction visible on the weekly
timeframe being the reclaimed FVG and the actual bullish FVG. We know the tendency for
Monday to place in the opposing end of the range is slim due to the manipulative evets in
the mid-week. When Tuesday begins and you see displacement lower it automatically
favours the protraction to the weekly FVG as the CPI event is still on the cards and that
discount array is now in reach to reprice to (the horizontal lines show the weekly FVG). We
do not trade the entire hourly candle that contains CPI his is the 8am-9am EST candle on the
chart. Look at that candle and how it eliminates both sides, it is unclear where the repricing
is to. Seeing the dip into the weekly FVG and move away makes me lean towards being long,
I would wait for displacement on the lower timeframe 15-5m to have confidence in a bullish
repricing.

This is a 5m chart of the beginning of the London close kill zone which I was taking your
guy’s attention to on the group chat in real time. For the people up to date with content we
could have favoured an OLHC London close give CPI traded into the weekly FVG and
displaced away. What I like to see is this (bullish scenario) when we retraced into the weekly
FVG and displaced away I am waiting for the retracement back to or under midnight
opening price which is the middle horizonal line across my chart. As I am favouring bullish
expansion after the CPI traded into the weekly FVG I am waiting for price to get me close
there or under it to hunt for a trade setup and I’m favouring expansion higher away from
midnight opening price, if I can align myself around this price with a safe stoploss then I can
ride the expansion away from midnight opening price it is so simple. Now around midnight
opening price retracement was offered OTE of the LOTD that CPI put in inside of the weekly
FVG. I am waiting for displacement away here, just one candle can be displacement. This
shows the intent of repricing for me to begin the “hunt”. See the FVG I outlined (the lower
one under midnight opening price) I want to see displacement through that FVG showing
intent to reprice higher. the disrespect of a FVG that opposes your bias is a good tell tale
sign of repricing to begin to favour your bias. I also mentioned to you guys to consider the
move from here to the premium FVG outlined and then perhaps leave something for the
BSL above the high. This is all you need. Midnight price, understanding the likely way the
day is going to offer expansion, wait for price to judas above/beneath midnight opening
price to offer a trade setup and ride the expansion to an opposing PDA or liquidity pool.
Every retracement to or above/under MNOP is an opportunity to get in. hunt FVG entries to
get in with a reasonable stoploss and risk to reward and you can rely on just this. This is my
framework for intraday.

Omor’s heatmap theory

In the start of this type up I mentioned to you why Tuesday was the suspected low of the
week for dollar and not Wednesday even though both of them were manipulative in terms
of having high impact drivers.
When we see Tuesday trade down into the weekly FVG whilst sweeping the previous weeks
low and having a strong move away from it all inside of a bullish monthly expansion for
February what are the chances for Wednesday to take Tuesdays low vs the chance for
Wednesday to expand away higher? this is what it boils down to everyday. What is the
chances of it favouring bearish expansion vs bullish expansion and if one side is not favoured
then remain on your hands. Tuesday having a bullish IOFED tips the scale for Wednesday to
favour bullish expansion. Now the heading for this portion of the type up is my heatmap
theory for high and lows of the day/week/month, its fractal. Essentially, I created a
methodology for myself in my years of developing as a trader to aid in knowing which high
and lows to trust as my high and low of days/weeks etc. just some background of where the
inspiration came from to adopt this and create this for my trading: there was a famous
detective who was also a mathematician and had great success in finding serial killers and
he used his mathematic skills by creating a heatmap for the likely areas where the serial
killer would live. Off of general statistics he knew that the serial killer rarely ever lived in the
area where the killings took place and that they would live an hour journey away from the
area, this automatically gave a general heatmap for where the killer is likely to be and where
they aren’t likely to be as the area where the killings happen are cold colours like peach and
low probability and the areas on the outskirts are more probable and would be orange in
terms of heat. Now this is the important part. Every added piece of data increases and
decreases the heat of areas on heatmaps. For example, another killing or the failed search
of an area. If they searched an area and found nothing suspicious that are of the map
becomes eliminated off the heatmap and the probability for the other areas automatically
increased as if the killer is not here then they are most likely in one the other areas. Ill break
it down even easier for you guys. Say you and I are playing hide and seek in a house with 4
rooms. I am seeking and you are hiding. The chances of you being in any of the rooms is
25%. As I search a room and don’t find you the chances of you being in the remaining rooms
increase to 33%. Then when 2 rooms are left it increases to a 50% chance and ultimately left
with a guaranteed 100% when one room remains. Now how did I apply this to trading? The
economic calendar tells you where the manipulation is for the week ahead. And you also
have the PDA to work with for areas to protract into. Now you know already specific days
are more probable to place in the high or low as they have economic drivers, Monday of this
week that passed would have been low probability as Tuesday had the driver and so did
Wednesday. But how about choosing between Wednesday and Tuesday? When Tuesday
London session moved lower the probability for the weekly FVG o be LOTW on dollar
increases and the reclaimed FVG decreases. Now once we moved into the weekly FVG with
CPI and away from it this becomes hot. Notice it’s the move AWAY from the key level that
makes it hot for my heatmap methodology. As we continue to move away from the weekly
FVG it only gets more and more hot. Apply this idea to your trading intra week and intraday.
The same can be said on a daily level. You have your measures such as CBDR and the PDA
matrix for possible high and low of the days already now as the day begins and more
candles print (more data collected that’s what is happening as candles print) now you’re
watching the protraction into each area, as each is disrespected the chances for the others
increase. once one is met and displacement away from it is achieved coupled with a market
structure shift that swing point becomes very hot meaning it is your likely high/low of the
day. And you are focussing your energy in finding an entry to ride the expansion now using
what I taught you, midnight opening price measures displacement and retracements to
PDA. If you can program yourself to think like this… gold mine. A very systematic approach
to consider. This is mine, not stolen from anywhere just creativity and applying what that
detective did to track killers to trading to track high/low of days/weeks etc. pretty cool
right?

Wednesday the 15th February 2023

When Tuesday’s trading was coming to an end around 3pm EST I asked you guys to separate
your days on the hourly chart like this and outline Sundays opening price. Notice how we
made a distinct low on Tuesday inside the weekly FVG and displaced higher and how we are
underneath Sunday opening price (SOP). I asked the question to you guys which was “where
do you think the expansion is towards now?” you can see that Tuesday offset the expansion
higher for what we expected to be a bullish week. We can see price is now expanding back
to its weekly opening price and is more than likely to trade higher than the opening price to
offer that bullish expansion we expect. This sets you up a clear narrative for Wednesday,
attack longs on dollar. I want you to envision the actual printing of the candle. It opens ad
trades lower into a discount FVG and wicks away now. The candle is then likely to expand
higher and create a body that’s up closed right? That’s the expansion you hunt. This is what
that chart shows, the expansion that is likely to unfold.
And as you can see Wednesday did offer the expansionary move. And you can expect this
strong expansionary day as the daily candle before swept sellside liquidity beneath the PWL
and into a FVG. Note: IOFED is followed by expansion, knowing this you can really align
yourself with some explosive moves.

This is a 5m chart for EURUSD. If dollar is expected bullish then we seek lower prices in the
EURUSD pair. Midnight opening price and protraction above it waiting for displacement and
essentially a market maker sell model. The area outlined is a FVG+MB and is a very
repetitive setup that occurs that I have pointed your attention to before. When the SMR
with displacement happens and the first retracement higher and move lower happens it
leaves a mitigation block always as it’s a failed swig high and move lower. You can wait for
the retracement back to FVG+MB to be short here. For the more advanced guys with more
developed anticipatory skills of future failed swing highs (you will all get to this stage in
development if you wait long enough and put the work in) you could have placed a sell stop
at the close anticipated bearish MB as u see a retracement higher is being offered as you are
assuming it is going to be a failed swing high and distribute lower. Now to address the thing
you lot are all thinking in terms of this example yes this formed in the London lunch period.
Given Tuesdays trading we were favouring move lower on EURUSD majorly. In saying that if
the end of London offers strong displacement and SMR creating a distinct opposite end of
the daily range and the lunch period offers a trade setup do not be scared to entertain it
only in this condition of a clear daily narrative and clear London high make sure your stop
loss is always safe and understand you may sit in the trade a little longer as the lunch period
is a little slower.

Thursday the 16th February 2023

Above are the charts for the dollar and EURUSD respectively. Notice Wednesday expanding
lower, when this happens a common fallacy new traders fall victim to is “if we moved down
today we should move higher tomorrow” and then the judas swing murders them the next
day. When you are in this situation ask yourself has an opposing PDA been met? If not then
still favour the expansion till an opposing PDA is met. Here we can see before the run on the
low there is a discount FVG+OB we have yet traded into therefore we can expect Thursday
to continue the move there which Thursday did end up trading lower towards.

The same thing again: we have a side to favour daily expansion towards so we wait for
protraction the opposite way to our bias and hunt trade setups close or above MNOP to be
short. London session created a distinct high and have a displacement causing market
structure shift. The FVG it left behind was a trade many of you capitalised on and I applaud
you, absolutely textbook. Look how many times price came to and above MNOP, always
have it marked out and understand you are using this as a measure of entering as you can
literally see expansion and protraction happening by just having this line. When that high
was put in and displaced away you can see this as the high wick of a bearish candle and the
expansion now to take place, any entry with a safe stop loss is viable. The heatmap I
mentioned earlier replicates this perfectly, having your bias and waiting for protraction.
When that market structure shift happened and the FVG hit and moved away that should
scream high of the day to you.

Friday the 17th February 2023

Now Friday was a day some of you got tripped up and its because you lost track of the
higher timeframe PDA. Notice there was short and long opportunity on Friday for EURUSD.
You could have squeezed a scalp into the FVV+OB but some of you lost sight of the higher
timeframe PDA and got caught shorting when inside of discount. Remember chapter 3
lesson 2 of the weekly profile? If Thursday/Friday meets a higher timeframe PD then expect
Friday to reverse back into the range. Always remember this. You always sit on your hands
when a discount PDA is met on the higher timeframe and see the willingness to reprice
here.

You see how we had a mid day reversal in NYOKZ? Once the discount array is met we saw
clear retracement back into the range. There were FVG retracements that could have been
capitalised on however the take away from Fridays price action is if a higher timeframe PDA
is met you wait at these price levels to see where the repricing is likely to be towards. You
could see clear market structure shift in NYOKZ which could set up LCKZ long scalps back
into Thursdays range. Always remember its higher timeframe PDA we wait at and let the
market tip its hand in where its repricing to from there.

This concludes this week’s weekly review, one message I want to leave you guys with is that
do not be frustrated and disheartened if your specific trade setup loses a few trades. One
thing is guaranteed and it’s a loss in any system. One loss doesn’t mean anything is wrong,
take that same trade 50-100 times and then complain if its losing. With a decent risk to
reward of 2-4:1 after 50-1oo trades you will see the few losses you are complaining over is
nothing. You are new and developing perhaps you are yet to do it 50-100 times, im here to
tell you when you get to that stage of your development you will see exactly what I mean.
And this is the part nobody can cheat in their development. All of our time passes at the
same rate. 3 months for me is the same 3 months for you your time doesn’t happen faster
than mineand this is why it takes time to become a trader or even good at anything
becomes it just takes time alongside your learning to see things enough times to understand
it. This is why I detest the people online promising fairy tales of becoming a trader in a few
weeks or even a few months. I will see you in the weekly commentary following this upload,
enjoy your weekend, unwind and find that fire in your heart to go hard next week – Omor.