market fav Market unfav

70% 30%
Large section 15000 -20000
Small section 5000 -10000

70.0% 70.0%
Fav
15000 15000
#NAME? Market
Build large section
0 4500
30.0% 30.0%
Unfav
-20000 -20000
Decision
Musa decision
4500
70.0% 0.0%
Fav
5000 5000
#NAME? Market
Build small section
0 500
30.0% 0.0%
Unfav
-10000 -10000

#NAME?
Large
0

50.0% Decision
Fav
-3000 8500

#NAME?
small
0

#NAME?
Do nothing
0
#NAME? Info
gather info
0 2750
 #NAME?
Large
0

50.0% Decision
Unfav
-3000 -3000

#NAME?
small
0

#NAME?
Do nothing
0
#NAME? 0.0%
Do nothing
0 0
 Market info Market info fav
Fav Unfav Market fav market unfav
50% 50% 90% 10%

Market info cost -3000 Market info Unfav

Market fav market unfav
40% 60%

90.0% 0.0%
Fav
15000 12000
Market
8500
10.0% 0.0%
Unfav
-20000 -23000

90.0% 0.0%
Fav
5000 2000
Market
500
10.0% 0.0%
Unfav
-10000 -13000
0.0%
-3000

40.0% 0.0%
Fav
15000 12000
 Market
-9000
60.0% 0.0%
Unfav
-20000 -23000

40.0% 0.0%
Fav
5000 2000
Market
-7000
60.0% 0.0%
Unfav
-10000 -13000
0.0%
-3000
 Market performance
Fav Unfav
70% 30%
Large section 15000 -20000
Small section 5000 -10000

Market info cost

70.0% 70.0%
Fav
15000 15000
#NAME? Market condition
Large section
0 4500
30.0% 30.0%
Unfav
-20000 -20000
Decision
Musa's problem
4500
70.0% 0.0%
Fav
5000 5000
#NAME? Market condition
Small section
0 500
30.0% 0.0%
Unfav
-10000 -10000

#NAME?
Build large
0

50.0% Decision
Fav
0 8500

#NAME?
Build small
0

#NAME?
Do nothing
0
#NAME? Market info outcome
Market info
-3000 2750
50.0% 0.0%
Unfav
0 -3000
#NAME? 0.0%
Do nothing
0 0
 Market survey (info) Market info fav
Fav Unfav Market fav market unfav
50% 50% 90% 10%

Market info Unfav

Market fav market unfav
-3000 40% 60%

90.0% 0.0%
Fav
15000 12000
Market condition
8500
10.0% 0.0%
Unfav
-20000 -23000

90.0% 0.0%
Fav
5000 2000
Market condition
500
10.0% 0.0%
Unfav
-10000 -13000
0.0%
-3000
PrecisionTree Sensitivity Analysis - Strategy Region (2-Way)
Performed By: Sheikh Attique Ur Rehman
Date: Tuesday, February 27, 2024 12:15:02 AM
Node: 'Decision' (B22)
Input #1: Branch Value 'Fav' of Node 'Market' (C16)
Input #2: Branch Value 'Fav' of Node 'Info' (C36)

Strategy Region for Node 'Decision'

-1500

-2000

-2500
Branch Value 'Fav' of Node 'Info' (C36)

-3000
PrecisionTree Course Version Build large section
gather info
L UMS

-3500

-4000

-4500
6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

20000

22000

24000

Branch Value 'Fav' of Node 'Market' (C16)

Strategy Region Chart Data

Build large section gather info
Branch Value 'Fav' of Branch Value 'Fav' of Branch Value 'Fav' of Branch Value 'Fav' of
Node 'Market' (C16) Node 'Info' (C36) Node 'Market' (C16) Node 'Info' (C36)
12000 -4500 7500 -4500
12000 -4200 7500 -4200
12000 -3900 7500 -3900
13500 -4500 7500 -3600
13500 -4200 7500 -3300
13500 -3900 7500 -3000
13500 -3600 7500 -2700
13500 -3300 7500 -2400
13500 -3000 7500 -2100
13500 -2700 7500 -1800
13500 -2400 7500 -1500
13500 -2100 9000 -4500
13500 -1800 9000 -4200
15000 -4500 9000 -3900
15000 -4200 9000 -3600
15000 -3900 9000 -3300
15000 -3600 9000 -3000
15000 -3300 9000 -2700
15000 -3000 9000 -2400
15000 -2700 9000 -2100
15000 -2400 9000 -1800
15000 -2100 9000 -1500
15000 -1800 10500 -4500
15000 -1500 10500 -4200
16500 -4500 10500 -3900
16500 -4200 10500 -3600
16500 -3900 10500 -3300
16500 -3600 10500 -3000
16500 -3300 10500 -2700
16500 -3000 10500 -2400
16500 -2700 10500 -2100
16500 -2400 10500 -1800
16500 -2100 10500 -1500
16500 -1800 12000 -3600
16500 -1500 12000 -3300
18000 -4500 12000 -3000
18000 -4200 12000 -2700
18000 -3900 12000 -2400
18000 -3600 12000 -2100
18000 -3300 12000 -1800
18000 -3000 12000 -1500
18000 -2700 13500 -1500
18000 -2400
18000 -2100
18000 -1800
18000 -1500
19500 -4500
19500 -4200
19500 -3900
19500 -3600
19500 -3300
19500 -3000
19500 -2700
19500 -2400
19500 -2100
19500 -1800
19500 -1500
21000 -4500
21000 -4200
21000 -3900
21000 -3600
21000 -3300
21000 -3000
21000 -2700
21000 -2400
21000 -2100
21000 -1800
21000 -1500
22500 -4500
22500 -4200
22500 -3900
22500 -3600
22500 -3300
22500 -3000
22500 -2700
22500 -2400
22500 -2100
22500 -1800
22500 -1500
PrecisionTree Sensitivity Analysis - Strategy Region (2-Way)
Performed By: Sheikh Attique Ur Rehman
Date: Tuesday, February 27, 2024 9:18:33 AM
Node: 'Decision' (B22)
Input #1: (D4)
Input #2: (D3)

Strategy Region for Node 'Decision'

-10000

-12000

-14000

-16000

-18000

-20000
PrecisionTree Course Version Build large section
(D3)

gather info
-22000
L UMS

-24000

-26000

-28000

-30000
-16000

-14000

-12000

-10000

-8000

-6000

-4000

(D4)

Strategy Region Chart Data

Build large section gather info
(D4) (D3) (D4) (D3)
-15000 -26000 -15000 -30000
-15000 -24000 -15000 -28000
-15000 -22000 -14000 -30000
-15000 -20000 -14000 -28000
-15000 -18000 -13000 -30000
-15000 -16000 -13000 -28000
-15000 -14000 -12000 -30000
-15000 -12000 -12000 -28000
-15000 -10000 -11000 -30000
-14000 -26000 -11000 -28000
-14000 -24000 -10000 -30000
-14000 -22000 -10000 -28000
-14000 -20000 -9000 -30000
-14000 -18000 -9000 -28000
-14000 -16000 -8000 -30000
-14000 -14000 -8000 -28000
-14000 -12000 -7000 -30000
-14000 -10000 -7000 -28000
-13000 -26000 -6000 -30000
-13000 -24000 -6000 -28000
-13000 -22000 -5000 -30000
-13000 -20000 -5000 -28000
-13000 -18000
-13000 -16000
-13000 -14000
-13000 -12000
-13000 -10000
-12000 -26000
-12000 -24000
-12000 -22000
-12000 -20000
-12000 -18000
-12000 -16000
-12000 -14000
-12000 -12000
-12000 -10000
-11000 -26000
-11000 -24000
-11000 -22000
-11000 -20000
-11000 -18000
-11000 -16000
-11000 -14000
-11000 -12000
-11000 -10000
-10000 -26000
-10000 -24000
-10000 -22000
-10000 -20000
-10000 -18000
-10000 -16000
-10000 -14000
-10000 -12000
-10000 -10000
-9000 -26000
-9000 -24000
-9000 -22000
-9000 -20000
-9000 -18000
-9000 -16000
-9000 -14000
-9000 -12000
-9000 -10000
-8000 -26000
-8000 -24000
-8000 -22000
-8000 -20000
-8000 -18000
-8000 -16000
-8000 -14000
-8000 -12000
-8000 -10000
-7000 -26000
-7000 -24000
-7000 -22000
-7000 -20000
-7000 -18000
-7000 -16000
-7000 -14000
-7000 -12000
-7000 -10000
-6000 -26000
-6000 -24000
-6000 -22000
-6000 -20000
-6000 -18000
-6000 -16000
-6000 -14000
-6000 -12000
-6000 -10000
-5000 -26000
-5000 -24000
-5000 -22000
-5000 -20000
-5000 -18000
-5000 -16000
-5000 -14000
-5000 -12000
-5000 -10000
PrecisionTree Sensitivity Analysis - Strategy Region
Performed By: Sheikh Attique Ur Rehman
Date: Tuesday, February 27, 2024 11:01:42 AM
Output: Decision Tree 'Musa decision' (Expected Value of Entire Model)
Input: (D3)

Strategy Region of Decision Tree 'Musa decision'

Expected Value of Node 'Decision' (B22)
With Variation of (D3)
8000

7000

6000

5000

4000 Build large section

Expected Value

PrecisionTree Course Version Build small section

3000 gather info
L UMS Do nothing
2000

1000

-1000
-35000

-30000

-25000

-20000

-15000

-10000

-5000

(D3)

Strategy Region Data

Input Build large section Build small section gather info Do nothing
Value Change (%) Value Change (%) Value Change (%) Value Change (%) Value Change (%)
#1 -30000 -50.00% 1500 -66.67% 500 -88.89% 2250 -50.00% 0 -100.00%
#2 -28000 -40.00% 2100 -53.33% 500 -88.89% 2350 -47.78% 0 -100.00%
#3 -26000 -30.00% 2700 -40.00% 500 -88.89% 2450 -45.56% 0 -100.00%
#4 -24000 -20.00% 3300 -26.67% 500 -88.89% 2550 -43.33% 0 -100.00%
#5 -22000 -10.00% 3900 -13.33% 500 -88.89% 2650 -41.11% 0 -100.00%
#6 -20000 0.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#7 -18000 10.00% 5100 13.33% 500 -88.89% 2850 -36.67% 0 -100.00%
#8 -16000 20.00% 5700 26.67% 500 -88.89% 2950 -34.44% 0 -100.00%
#9 -14000 30.00% 6300 40.00% 500 -88.89% 3050 -32.22% 0 -100.00%
#10 -12000 40.00% 6900 53.33% 500 -88.89% 3150 -30.00% 0 -100.00%
#11 -10000 50.00% 7500 66.67% 500 -88.89% 3250 -27.78% 0 -100.00%
PrecisionTree Sensitivity Analysis - Strategy Region
Performed By: Sheikh Attique Ur Rehman
Date: Tuesday, February 27, 2024 11:01:43 AM
Output: Decision Tree 'Musa decision' (Expected Value of Entire Model)
Input: Market info cost (F5)

Strategy Region of Decision Tree 'Musa decision'

Expected Value of Node 'Decision' (B22)
With Variation of Market info cost (F5)
5000

4500

4000

3500

3000
Build large section
Expected Value

2500
PrecisionTree Course Version Build small section
gather info
2000
L UMS Do nothing
1500

1000

500

-500
-5000

-4500

-4000

-3500

-3000

-2500

-2000

-1500

-1000

Market info cost (F5)

Strategy Region Data

Input Build large section Build small section gather info Do nothing
Value Change (%) Value Change (%) Value Change (%) Value Change (%) Value Change (%)
#1 -4500 -50.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 1250 -72.22% 0 -100.00%
#2 -4200 -40.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 1550 -65.56% 0 -100.00%
#3 -3900 -30.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 1850 -58.89% 0 -100.00%
#4 -3600 -20.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 2150 -52.22% 0 -100.00%
#5 -3300 -10.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 2450 -45.56% 0 -100.00%
#6 -3000 0.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#7 -2700 10.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 3050 -32.22% 0 -100.00%
#8 -2400 20.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 3350 -25.56% 0 -100.00%
#9 -2100 30.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 3650 -18.89% 0 -100.00%
#10 -1800 40.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 3950 -12.22% 0 -100.00%
#11 -1500 50.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 4250 -5.56% 0 -100.00%
PrecisionTree Sensitivity Analysis - Strategy Region
Performed By: Sheikh Attique Ur Rehman
Date: Tuesday, February 27, 2024 11:01:44 AM
Output: Decision Tree 'Musa decision' (Expected Value of Entire Model)
Input: (D4)

Strategy Region of Decision Tree 'Musa decision'

Expected Value of Node 'Decision' (B22)
With Variation of (D4)
5000

4000

3000

2000 Build large section

Expected Value

PrecisionTree Course Version Build small section

gather info
1000
L UMS Do nothing
0

-1000

-2000
-16000

-14000

-12000

-10000

-8000

-6000

-4000

(D4)

Strategy Region Data

Input Build large section Build small section gather info Do nothing
Value Change (%) Value Change (%) Value Change (%) Value Change (%) Value Change (%)
#1 -15000 -50.00% 4500 0.00% -1000 -122.22% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#2 -14000 -40.00% 4500 0.00% -700 -115.56% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#3 -13000 -30.00% 4500 0.00% -400 -108.89% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#4 -12000 -20.00% 4500 0.00% -100 -102.22% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#5 -11000 -10.00% 4500 0.00% 200 -95.56% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#6 -10000 0.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#7 -9000 10.00% 4500 0.00% 800 -82.22% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#8 -8000 20.00% 4500 0.00% 1100 -75.56% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#9 -7000 30.00% 4500 0.00% 1400 -68.89% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#10 -6000 40.00% 4500 0.00% 1700 -62.22% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#11 -5000 50.00% 4500 0.00% 2000 -55.56% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
PrecisionTree Sensitivity Analysis - Strategy Region
Performed By: Sheikh Attique Ur Rehman
Date: Tuesday, February 27, 2024 11:01:46 AM
Output: Decision Tree 'Musa decision' (Expected Value of Entire Model)
Input: Fav (E3)

Strategy Region of Decision Tree 'Musa decision'

Expected Value of Node 'Decision' (B22)
With Variation of Fav (E3)
5000

4500

4000

3500

3000
Build large section
Expected Value

2500 PrecisionTree Course Version Build small section

gather info
2000 L UMS Do nothing
1500

1000

500

-500
20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Fav (E3)

Strategy Region Data

Input Build large section Build small section gather info Do nothing
Value Change (%) Value Change (%) Value Change (%) Value Change (%) Value Change (%)
#1 25% -50.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#2 30% -40.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#3 35% -30.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#4 40% -20.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#5 45% -10.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#6 50% 0.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#7 55% 10.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#8 60% 20.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#9 65% 30.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#10 70% 40.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
#11 75% 50.00% 4500 0.00% 500 -88.89% 2750 -38.89% 0 -100.00%
PrecisionTree Sensitivity Analysis - Tornado Graph
Performed By: Sheikh Attique Ur Rehman
Date: Tuesday, February 27, 2024 11:01:47 AM
Output: Decision Tree 'Musa decision' (Expected Value of Entire Model)

Tornado Graph of Decision Tree 'Musa decision'

Expected Value of Entire Model

(D3)

Market info cost (F5)

(D4)

Fav (E3)

PrecisionTree Course Version

L UMS
2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000
Expected Value

Tornado Graph Data

Decision Tree 'Musa decision' (Expected Value of Entire Model)
Minimum Maximum
Output Input Output Input
Rank Input Name Cell Value Change (%) Value Value Change (%) Value
1 (D3) D3 2250 -50.00% -30000 7500 66.67% -10000
2 Market info cost (F5) F5 4500 0.00% -4500 4500 0.00% -4500
3 (D4) D4 4500 0.00% -15000 4500 0.00% -15000
4 Fav (E3) E3 4500 0.00% 0.25 4500 0.00% 0.25
PrecisionTree Sensitivity Analysis - Spider Graph
Performed By: Sheikh Attique Ur Rehman
Date: Tuesday, February 27, 2024 11:01:48 AM
Output: Decision Tree 'Musa decision' (Expected Value of Entire Model)

Spider Graph of Decision Tree 'Musa decision'

Expected Value of Entire Model
8000

7000

6000
Expected Value

(D3)
5000
PrecisionTree Course Version Market info cost (F5)
(D4)
L UMS Fav (E3)
4000

3000

2000
0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%
-60.0%

-40.0%

-20.0%

Change in Input (%)

Spider Graph Data

Decision Tree 'Musa decision' (Expected Value of Entire Model)
Input Variation Output Variation
Input Name Cell Step Value Change Change (%) Value Change Change (%)
(D3) D3 1 -30000 -10000 -50.00% 2250 -2250 -50.00%
2 -28000 -8000 -40.00% 2350 -2150 -47.78%
3 -26000 -6000 -30.00% 2700 -1800 -40.00%
4 -24000 -4000 -20.00% 3300 -1200 -26.67%
5 -22000 -2000 -10.00% 3900 -600 -13.33%
6 -20000 0 0.00% 4500 0 0.00%
7 -18000 2000 10.00% 5100 600 13.33%
8 -16000 4000 20.00% 5700 1200 26.67%
9 -14000 6000 30.00% 6300 1800 40.00%
10 -12000 8000 40.00% 6900 2400 53.33%
11 -10000 10000 50.00% 7500 3000 66.67%
Market info cost (F5) F5 1 -4500 -1500 -50.00% 4500 0 0.00%
2 -4200 -1200 -40.00% 4500 0 0.00%
3 -3900 -900 -30.00% 4500 0 0.00%
4 -3600 -600 -20.00% 4500 0 0.00%
5 -3300 -300 -10.00% 4500 0 0.00%
6 -3000 0 0.00% 4500 0 0.00%
 7 -2700 300 10.00% 4500 0 0.00%
8 -2400 600 20.00% 4500 0 0.00%
9 -2100 900 30.00% 4500 0 0.00%
10 -1800 1200 40.00% 4500 0 0.00%
11 -1500 1500 50.00% 4500 0 0.00%
(D4) D4 1 -15000 -5000 -50.00% 4500 0 0.00%
2 -14000 -4000 -40.00% 4500 0 0.00%
3 -13000 -3000 -30.00% 4500 0 0.00%
4 -12000 -2000 -20.00% 4500 0 0.00%
5 -11000 -1000 -10.00% 4500 0 0.00%
6 -10000 0 0.00% 4500 0 0.00%
7 -9000 1000 10.00% 4500 0 0.00%
8 -8000 2000 20.00% 4500 0 0.00%
9 -7000 3000 30.00% 4500 0 0.00%
10 -6000 4000 40.00% 4500 0 0.00%
11 -5000 5000 50.00% 4500 0 0.00%
Fav (E3) E3 1 0.25 -0.25 -50.00% 4500 0 0.00%
2 0.3 -0.2 -40.00% 4500 0 0.00%
3 0.35 -0.15 -30.00% 4500 0 0.00%
4 0.4 -0.1 -20.00% 4500 0 0.00%
5 0.45 -0.05 -10.00% 4500 0 0.00%
6 0.5 0 0.00% 4500 0 0.00%
7 0.55 0.05 10.00% 4500 0 0.00%
8 0.6 0.1 20.00% 4500 0 0.00%
9 0.65 0.15 30.00% 4500 0 0.00%
10 0.7 0.2 40.00% 4500 0 0.00%
11 0.75 0.25 50.00% 4500 0 0.00%