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Desalination
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A R T I C LE I N FO A B S T R A C T
Keywords: This work explores the existing desalination data of over 6 decades (from 1960s to year 2020) to provide an in-
Desalination plants depth assessment, via statistical analysis, of the global spread of desalination, current industrial technologies,
Technologies and current economic indicators, in order to observe possible future expectations. It is observed that the global
Capacities installed desalination capacity has been increasing steadily at the rate of about 7% per annum since year 2010 to
Current status
the end of 2019. Extra-large plants are few but they supply most of the global desalination capacity. There is a
Global trends
sharp rise in the desalination capacities of regions that did not really embrace desalination in the past, including
Europe and Africa. The power industry remains the largest owner of installed capacity for industrial purposes.
Filtration and dissolved air flotation remains the most prominent pretreatment methods. Seawater and
Engineering-Procurement-Construction (EPC) model are the most frequently used feed water and plant delivery
method, accounting for 57% and 71.7% of global installed capacity, respectively. This assessment also reveals
that capital cost accounts for a larger share of the specific cost of water production. The understanding of the
trends is useful to make informed choices for the development of future desalination projects and research.
⁎
Corresponding author.
E-mail address: adewale.giwa@ku.ac.ae (A. Giwa).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2020.114633
Received 4 March 2020; Received in revised form 13 May 2020; Accepted 4 July 2020
0011-9164/ © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
J. Eke, et al. Desalination 495 (2020) 114633
20,971 projects included 16,876 installed plants. important corrosion control strategy is right material selection for the
Commercial desalination technologies are grouped into two cate- heat exchange surfaces, especially the condenser tubes [25]. For ex-
gories; membrane desalination, mainly RO [5], and thermal desalina- ample, the first plants constructed in the GCC used carbon steel as the
tion, mainly MED [6] and MSF [7]. Emerging desalination technologies, material of construction for evaporators but the experience garnered
that are still in the research and development stages, to a large extent, over the years, coupled with astute research and development in ma-
include membrane distillation (MD) [8], forward osmosis (FO) [9], terial science, has led to new plants being built with corrosion-resistant
capacitive deionization (CDI) [10], freezing [11], humidification de- alloys [21].
humidification (HDH) [12] and gas hydrate-based (GH) desalination The major technology challenge in MED also involves scale buildup
[13]. In addition, there are a number of supporting or pretreatment [26]. As a result, the current MED plants are built with a maximum of
technologies to increase desalination plant efficiency; these include 12 effects, operating at TBT of 65 °C. The low value of the temperature
ultrafiltration (UF) [14], nanofiltration (NF) [15] and ionic filtration limits the number of effects that can be incorporated to 12. To address
(IF) [16]. Apart from the major standalone desalination technologies, these challenges in thermal desalination technologies, most MSF and
blends of technologies including MSF-MED [17], MED-adsorption MED plants employ pretreatment options. The salinity of seawater can
(MED-AD) [18] and RO-MSF [19] are currently being considered to be reduced and hardness (Ca2+ and Mg2+) can be removed by pre-
increase desalination plant efficiency, by combining the strengths in treatment prior to application of either MSF or MED [27]. This allows
each technology such that the blend could overcome deficiencies in TBT to be increased without much penalty of scale buildup [28]. Cost of
each technology. desalinated water production is also strongly related to capital cost.
Salt removal from seawater consumes a relatively high amount of Capital cost contributes more to the specific cost of production than
energy; in terms of the electric energy required in membrane desali- operating cost.
nation to overcome the natural osmotic pressure of seawater, or in New trends in seawater desalination around the world are con-
terms of both electric and thermal energy required in thermal desali- stantly being studied due to the fast pace of research in desalination,
nation to vaporize or flash a portion of seawater into distillate. RO brought about by global demand for cost-effective clean water pro-
desalination technology, for example, is nearly 8–10 times more en- duction. In a recent article on application of renewable energy for
ergy-intensive than traditional surface-water (such as lakes and rivers) seawater desalination, Ahmed et al. [29] espoused the cost reduction
treatment technology [1]. The energy required to desalt seawater in prospects of using solar energy to provide power for RO, MD and other
thermal desalination is even higher than that required in RO [4], for desalination technologies. However, the global spread of desalination
plants that are not combined heat and power plants. The main reason technologies, which is needed to quantify the scale of solar power in-
for this disparity in energy consumption in these two dominant tech- stallations required for desalination plants across the world, was
nologies is the rapid advancement in membrane technology. RO ac- missing from the article. Another study by Lee et al. [30] was focused
counts for about 69% share of the installed desalination capacity and on beneficial use of RO brine but this study did not account for the
most of the new contracts are awarded with membrane desalination spread of RO desalination plants across the world in order to compute
technologies in mind. There are 14,365 existing (online) RO plants. the economies of scale of RO brine reuse. Although a recent article on
MSF and MED account for only 17% and 7%, respectively, of the cur- RO brine by Jones et al. [3] provided the missing information in Lee
rent installed desalination capacity worldwide. Meanwhile, despite (i) et al.'s work on the spread of RO desalination plants, the focus was too
huge resources expended on, (ii) research activities carried out on, and much on the brine and other factors such as current industrial tech-
(iii) fame associated with membrane technologies for water desalina- nologies, the upcoming technologies and current economic indicators
tion, the current specific energy required to desalt seawater via these were not significantly taken into account. Other recent studies on de-
techniques (especially RO) still hovers around 1.5–4 kWh/m3 (against salination [31–33] were specifically focused on individual technologies,
0.9 kWh/m3 thermodynamic requirement), depending on the salinity of rather than examining the current global spread, industrial technologies
the feed water and other external factors [20]. This range is still sig- and economic indicators. These are the most important factors cur-
nificantly higher than the energy consumption of non-saline surface rently missing in the literature for researchers working in the field to
water treatment technologies. adequately predict the future expectation of desalination.
Compared to thermal desalination methods, the Achilles heel of RO Research focus in membrane desalination technologies is mostly on
is membrane fouling. The most common fouling mechanisms are col- reduction of energy consumption through process optimization, novel
loidal and particulate, organic, inorganic and biofouling mechanisms. materials for desalination, plant location, and a host of other cost re-
Hence, pretreatment steps are required to maximize the efficiency of duction strategies. The scales of these studies are oftentimes too limited
RO as well as elongate the life span of RO membranes. Most times, (i.e. laboratory scales) and the scope is mostly not focused on practical
based on the quality of feed water, multiple pretreatment steps may be viability. It is, however, imperative to carry out a comprehensive ana-
required. MSF and MED are the two well-established or mature large- lysis of all important parameters that have direct/indirect impacts on
scale thermal desalination technologies in the world. They are both energy and cost on practical operating scales. A holistic assessment of
assessed based on widely accepted thermal energy performance factors important desalination parameters in installed and contracted plants
such as (1) gain output ratio (GOR) and/or (2) performance ratio (PR) worldwide has been carried out and discussed in this paper. This as-
[21]. These factors influence the water production cost. The maximum sessment explores existing desalination data to compute via statistical
operational efficiency, in terms of PR, recorded for an MSF plant is analysis: (i) the global spread of desalination, (ii) current industrial
8.6 kg/2326 kJ, having 24 stages with top brine temperature (TBT) of technologies, and (iii) current economic indicators, in order to give
112 °C [21], whereas the highest recorded PR for an MED plant is accurate projections of future expectations. Desalination statistics and
14.6 kg/2326 kJ with TBT of 70 °C and 16 effects. MSF as a desalination model prediction tools are important because these tools help policy-
technology has been around for more than 60 years. Research activities makers and researchers to understand the trends in key desalination
on this technology have always been focused on the control of two indices such as production capacity, plant location, feed water source,
major factors: corrosion and scale formation [22]. Buildup of scales on technology, energy requirement, cost, treatment efficiency, among
the process equipment limits heat transfer, which leads to high energy others. The understanding of these trends and indices help policy-
consumption. Although a number of research activities has been re- makers and researchers to make choices for the development of new
ported on antiscalants [23,24] to improve MSF operational efficiency, facilities and on the research areas to focus on, for maximum impact in
each antiscalant comes with additional challenges that have effects on the future [34]. Statistical assessment modeling integrates all aspects
the overall MSF plant efficiency. The second challenge associated with including technical, economic, environmental, social, and regulatory
MSF technology is corrosion buildup inside the stages. The most trends in order to achieve future planning and process improvement.
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J. Eke, et al. Desalination 495 (2020) 114633
This assessment is an eye-opener and it would assist desalination plant examined by computing the desalination capacities in world's regions,
managers, operators, and researchers to learn from the successes or and by evaluating the rising trend of desalination capacity in Africa and
failures of other plants. Statistical trends allow the user to interpret Europe, desalination capacities of industries across the globe, desali-
enormous amount of plant data and the resulting information can be nation capacities of industries by region, desalinated water capacities
used to make well-informed decisions. When the reason for such trends owned by government agencies worldwide, major lenders for desali-
are established, the trends could be useful for providing solutions to nation projects worldwide, procurement models for desalination pro-
challenges such as the need for more efficient operation in terms of jects and their contributions to global desalination capacity, and the
deployment of resources, optimal selection of plant location, and op- contributions of major desalination plant suppliers and membrane
timal selection of technology based on techno-economic and environ- manufacturers to global desalination capacity.
mental impact considerations. The current industrial desalination technologies are examined by
computing and analyzing the trends in the contributions of feed water
2. Methodology sources to global desalination capacity, major technologies employed in
desalination plants to treat different feed water sources, the contribu-
The data for desalination plants, including plant location (country, tions of major suppliers of MF/UF pretreatment membranes (for RO) to
region, state/province), location type (land-based, offshore or mobile), global desalination capacity, contributions of disinfection methods and
capacity, technology, membrane supplier, membrane type, pretreat- major suppliers of pretreatment units (for RO) to global desalination
ment type and supplier, feed water type, award and online dates, capacity, contributions of emerging industrial desalination technologies
consulting firm, industry type of plant user, plant supplier, plant pro- to global desalination capacity, energy recovery devices and mem-
curement model, water price, owner/client, and energy recovery branes employed in current desalination plants, membrane configura-
method in 20,971 installed and contracted desalination projects across tions used currently for desalination (of brackish water, brine, river
181 countries is obtained from Global Water Intelligence's Desaldata water, seawater, and wastewater), and the current major suppliers of
[35]. These desalination plants are located in 3 regions (Asia Pacific; membranes. The economic indicators are computed in terms of water
EMEA – Europe, Middle East, and Africa; and Americas) and 8 sub- price reported by current large-scale, medium-scale, small-scale, and XL
regions (Southern Asia, Eastern Europe/Central Asia, Middle East/ desalination plants. Small, medium, large, and XL plants are categor-
North Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America/Caribbean, East Asia/ ized based on the capacity ranges of < 1000, 1000-10,000, 10,000-
Pacific, Western Europe, and North America). The plants are land- 50,000, and > 50,000 m3/d, respectively. An economic sensitivity
based, offshore-based, or mobile plants in small, medium, large, and analysis is carried out to investigate the influence of technology type/
extra-large (XL) sizes. 10 main technologies are employed in the plants, specific energy consumption and plant location on the specific cost of
including RO, MSF, MED, electrodialysis (ED), NF (nanofiltration), NF water production, using Desaldata cost calculator.
and sulfate removal (NF(SO4)), electrodialysis reversal (EDR), vapor Without the analysis carried out in this study, even if data is
compression (VC) – as thermal design, forward osmosis (FO), and available, the following cannot be achieved.
membrane distillation (MD) to desalinate several feed water sources,
including brackish water or inland water (TDS 3000 ppm - The cumulative capacities across world's continents;
- below 20,000 ppm), seawater (TDS 20,000 ppm – 50,000 ppm), river - The year-on-year increase in cumulative capacities till the current
water or low concentrated saline water (TDS 500 ppm year;
- below 3000 ppm), wastewater, tap water (TDS < 500 ppm), and - The cumulative capacities by product water application and in-
brine or concentrated seawater (TDS > 50,000 ppm). Award dates for dustrial sector;
the construction of these desalination plants from 1944 to 2020 and - Contributions of government agencies to desalination capacity
online years from 1969 to 2020 are included in the data. Meanwhile, worldwide;
the data analysis in Section 3 is based only on the 16,876 plants that are - Major lenders to desalination projects;
already online. - Major and minor procurement models;
The data is analyzed statistically using Python 2.7 due to large vo- - Major and minor desalination plant suppliers and consultants;
lume of available data. Statistical analysis is carried out to observe the - Cost of desalinated water production based on plant size, feed water
current status of desalination globally by investigating three aspects of source, and technology;
desalination from the data: (i) global spread of desalination, (ii) current - Major technologies employed across the regions and based on plant
industrial technologies, and (iii) current economic indicators. A python size;
code is written to achieve these aspects. The python code is provided as - Major disinfection and pretreatment methods;
follows. - Major and minor energy recovery devices and membranes employed
import pandas as pd in desalination plants globally;
# it stores all data in df according to their features - Contribution of plant location and technology to desalination cost,
df = pd.read_excel(‘Desalination data and analysis.xlsx’, among others.
sheet_name = “Data”)
# feature represents all the important variables such as country, Although the data is available, the aspects listed above cannot be
region, online date, plant type etc. achieved without the assessment carried out in this study because the
data name = df.groupby([‘Feature 1’, ‘Feature 2’, ‘Feature 3’]) data available is for individual plants and the data for 20,971 projects
[‘Capacity (m3/d)’].sum() were processed collectively through this assessment.
# it sorts the indices in the data frame
data_name = data_name. reset_index () 3. Results and discussions
# coverts the extracted data to CSV file
data_industry.to_csv(‘data_industry.csv’) 3.1. Global spread of desalination
print (data_name)
Pandas is imported as pd. on the python interface. The data file is 3.1.1. Desalination capacity by region
read by the pd. function and stored in the python workspace. The trends There are approximately 16,876 operational desalination plants,
are extracted by using the group-by ([feature 1, feature 2, …]) [capa- 270 plants under construction, and 3825 offline plants in the world.
city]. sum (). Then, the extracted data are exported as CSV files for There are 14,360 operational RO plants, indicating that RO accounts for
better visualization and analysis. The global spread of desalination is 85% of existing operational plants. Also, there are 247 RO plants out of
3
J. Eke, et al. Desalination 495 (2020) 114633
Table 1
Contributions of land-based, offshore-based, and mobile desalination plants to
global desalination capacity.
Offshore (m3/d) Land-based (m3/d) Mobile (m3/d)
4
J. Eke, et al. Desalination 495 (2020) 114633
7 million
6 million
5 million
Capacity (m3/d)
4 million
3 million
2 million
1 million
Electronics
General
Metals
Mining
Textiles
Pulp & paper
Food & Beverage
Power
Refining/Chemicals
Asia Pacific EMEA Americas
5
J. Eke, et al. Desalination 495 (2020) 114633
6
J. Eke, et al. Desalination 495 (2020) 114633
GmbH and Deltares, contributing to about 2.25 million and 1.8 million (WWRO) is mainly used for irrigation and industrial purposes.
m3/d, respectively. The values reported here are based on available Between 1990 and 2020, there has been about 813% increment in
data only. the cumulative installed capacity of desalination plants, where seawater
is used as feed water globally (Fig. 9). The choice of feed water depends
on total dissolved solids (TDS) or salinity. Over the past three decades,
3.2. Current industrial desalination technologies the concentration of the seawater employed for desalination is between
20,000 ppm and 50,000 ppm; the concentration of brackish water
3.2.1. Feed water sources used in the desalination industry employed for desalination is between 3000 ppm and 20,000 ppm. Of all
The use of seawater as feed water continues to lead and it can be
feed water sources used globally by desalination plants, seawater ac-
inferred that seawater is still the major feed water source utilized by counts for about 57% whereas brackish water accounts for 20% and
desalination plants globally. Brackish water is the next feed water
other sources account for the remaining 23% [47]. Fig. 9 shows the
source used in large amounts in the desalination industry, followed by trends, in the last three decades, of global desalination capacity based
river water. Wastewater is the fourth in rank and brine is the least
on feed water sources. For river water and wastewater, desalination is
employed feed water source for desalination. River water and waste- mainly used as a polishing step, whereas for brine (with TDS exceeding
water are seldom used for extra-large-scale desalination but some large-
50,000 ppm), desalination is used for enhanced water recovery. RO,
scale desalination plants employ these water sources as feed water. For MED and FO are the major brine desalination technologies.
example, the largest desalination plants that use river water (with
Meanwhile, seawater and brackish water remain the most fre-
salinity of less than 3000 ppm) as the feed water are Taiwan's quently used feed water sources for desalination because these sources
Kaohsiung Kao-Tan Park plant (300,000 m3/d), Spain's Sant Joan Despí are available in exhaustible amounts in seas, oceans, and large inland
plant (206,064 m3/d), and United State of America's Glades Road water lakes. Most desalination plants focus on these sources, especially sea-
treatment plant (151,400 m3/d). RO and NF are the main technologies water, because they could achieve their installed capacity or large-scale
used for river water desalting. Meanwhile, while the desalinated water
requirement from these sources. The feed water used in a desalination
from river water reverse osmosis (RWRO) is mainly applied for muni- plant also depends on the water resource available in a particular
cipal purposes, the desalinated water from wastewater reverse osmosis
7
J. Eke, et al. Desalination 495 (2020) 114633
Fig. 7. Procurement models for desalination projects and their (a) overall contributions, and (b) contributions by region, to global (installed) desalination capacity.
The contributions of EPC to installed capacity in regions is shown as an inset in 7(b).
region or country. Seawater requires higher energy levels for salt re- not contained in the data and as such, cannot be analyzed.
jection due to its relatively high salt concentration. So, seawater desa- Interestingly, the maximum water prices globally are also reported
lination is costlier, relative to brackish water desalination. The trends in for RO plants, indicating that RO water desalination has a wider price
the cost of freshwater production using seawater and brackish water range, compared to MSF and MED. The global maximum water desa-
desalination, from 1990 to 2019, are shown in Fig. 10. The average of lination price of 2.46 $/m3 was reported for an XL-scale SWRO tech-
all cost values reported for different projects in each year was com- nology employed at the Tugun (Gold Coast) plant in Australia whereas
puted. The average cost of seawater desalination, from the cost values the global minimum water desalination price of 0.14 $/m3 was reported
reported by some plants, has been fluctuating. The peak and lowest for a S-scale RO technology located in Romania (Table 2). The global
average prices of 1.87 and 0.35 $/m3 were reported in 2012 and 2004, maximum water prices reported for MSF and MED technologies at the
respectively, for seawater desalination. These prices may have de- XL scale are 1.13 and 1.3 $/m3, respectively, as shown in Fig. 10(b).
pended on the salinity range of the seawater fed to most of the existing These values are lower than the global maximum values reported for
plants then. The average cost of desalinated water production from XL-, L-, and M-scale RO desalination as 2.46, 1.9, and 1.95 $/m3, re-
brackish water decreased from 1.53 to 0.4 $/m3 within the period 2002 spectively. It is observed from this analysis that the water prices are not
till 2007. After then, the average cost continued to increase and de- influenced by plant capacity. This analysis also shows that MSF is
crease until it reached 0.35 $/m3 in 2018. cheaper than MED at the XL level, based on the global minimum and
Between 1990 till date, the minimum water prices globally are re- maximum water prices reported for both technologies. The plants,
ported for RO plants, compared to MSF and MED plants (Fig. 10(b)). where these values are reported are shown in Table 2. This difference
The global minimum prices for S-, M-, L-, and XL-scale RO desalination may be due to technological advancements that have resulted in the
are all lower than the global minimum prices for XL-scale MSF and MED reduction of: scale, corrosion, and cost of energy (required to achieve
desalination. From the data analysis, the global minimum prices for S-, higher top brine temperature in MSF) in certain parts of the world over
M-, L-, and XL-scale RO desalination are 0.36, 0.298, 0.25, and 0.14 the years. A lower global minimum water price of 0.26 $/m3 has also
$/m3, respectively, whereas the global minimum prices for XL-scale been reported for XL-scale ED desalination (employed at the
MSF and MED desalination are 0.57 and 0.6 $/m3, respectively. Water 200,000 m3/d Abrera brackish water ED plant in Spain), compared to
prices reported by smaller-scale MSF and MED desalination plants are its RO, MSF, and MED counterparts.
8
J. Eke, et al. Desalination 495 (2020) 114633
Fig. 8. Desalination plant (a) suppliers, and (b) consultants, and their contributions to global desalination capacity.
9
J. Eke, et al. Desalination 495 (2020) 114633
Fig. 10. The price of desalinated water, as shown by the (a) trends in the average costs of seawater and brackish water desalination and (b) cost of water desalination,
based on technology and plant size.
compared to the energy required by other thermal desalination tech- proportions of the global installed capacities of MSF and MED plants,
nologies like MSF (10–16 kWh/m3) and MED (5.5–9 kWh/m3). There- representing 89% and 54%, respectively. The reason for this observa-
fore, it is possible to produce clean water at a cheaper rate with RO than tion is that seawater is the feed source in most of the plants that employ
with MSF or MED, if all other factors mentioned previously are favor- these dominant technologies. So, XL-scale plants were constructed to
able. justify the large capital cost required to take water out of the sea.
Another attractive feature of RO is the possibility to handle highly However, the global installed capacities of NF-based and ED-based
concentrated feed water like brine; RO accounts for a capacity of plants are mostly provided by L- and M-scale plants, respectively. L- and
129,336 m3/d from brine (re)desalination – an amount that is far higher M-scale plants account for 59% and 44% of the global installed capacity
than the combined contribution of all other desalination technologies to of NF-based and ED-based desalination, respectively. The reason for this
brine (re)desalination (Fig. 11(b)). However, while RO seems to have observation is that brackish water is the feed water source in most of
economic advantage than the distillation processes, it is still limited by the plants that employ NF-based and ED-based technologies so as to
the challenge of membrane fouling. Regions like the Middle East have avoid high feed osmotic pressure (in NF) and electrical energy re-
continued to rely on the use of thermal distillation desalination tech- quirement (in ED).
nologies for the production of about half of their total desalination So, the water fed to RO is pre-treated to avoid membrane fouling
production capacity. The reason is simply due to membrane fouling. and cost-related issues. The commonly used pre-treatment methods in
The Red Sea and Gulf Sea, in particular, have extremely high salinity. current RO desalination plants are UF, Dissolved Air Flotation (DAF),
Cost of replacing membranes will significantly affect the operating cost MF, and Dual Media Filter (DMF) filtration, based on available data
of any RO plant operating in this region (especially for fresh water (Table 3). MF, UF, DAF, and DMF, as pretreatment methods, are used to
recovery from brine) [47], although the recent and newly contracted provide higher RO desalination capacities globally, compared to their
plants in this region are mostly RO plants due to advances in RO counterparts. The Seaguard UF membranes are mostly used. Flat-sheet
membrane cleaning. ceramic replaced GE Zeeweed, HydraCap60 UF and Seaflex UF are also
As expected, XL-scale plants account for the largest proportions of common-place. Other notable pre-treatment membranes used in the
the global desalination capacity contributed by each of the dominant desalination industry include dizzer XL modules, ZW1000 UF mem-
technologies, i.e. RO, MSF, and MED (Fig. 11(c)). XL-scale plants ac- branes, Ceramic UF membranes replaced Memcor CMF-S, 672 Kristal
count for 39% of global installed RO capacity, whereas L-, M-, and S- UF modules, among others. DAF is employed to remove bio-foulants,
scale plants account for 33%, 24%, and 4% of global installed RO ca- including suspended solids and algae. DAF pretreatment units are
pacity, respectively. XL-scale plants account for even higher mainly supplied by Pentair X-flow, Hyflux and Suez. Meanwhile,
10
J. Eke, et al. Desalination 495 (2020) 114633
fine solids. The pretreatment approaches for MSF and MED technolo-
22,500 m3/d Zahedan BWRO 1–2, Iran
gies are not available in the data; therefore, they are not analyzed in
this study. In addition, the data available for the pretreatment tech-
nologies employed in RO plants is incomplete. The pretreatment tech-
nologies employed in most of the XL- and L-scale plants in Middle East
and North Africa are not available in the data.
Aside membrane filtration, DMF has been shown to be one of the
prominent pretreatment technologies for desalination in many recent
articles [48–50]. In fact, DMF was recognized to be the most widely
used and traditional pretreatment technology in seawater desalination
and these granules are mainly natural beds [49]. The year of in-
Plant
2009
2010
2008
0.25
0.14
0.57
0.26
0.6
N/A
used in EDR plants, and this appears to be due to its relatively better
Water prices for RO desalination technology
2011
2012
N/A
1.95
1.25
1.13
N/A
1.9
1.6
MD plants is only 2560 m3/d and these plants are located in Singapore
and Maldives, i.e. Singapore's Jurong Island and Senoko plants with
installed capacities of 2400 and 50 m3/d, respectively and Maldives'
Table 2
MED
MSF
M
L
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J. Eke, et al. Desalination 495 (2020) 114633
Fig. 11. Major technologies employed in desalination plants to treat different feed sources, including (a) conventional desalination feed sources (seawater and
brackish water), (b) unconventional feed sources, and (c) percentage contributions of plant size to the total installed capacity for each technology. Some bars are not
shown in Fig. 11(a) due to the scale used in the horizontal axis but the numbers represented are shown.
Table 3
Pretreatment methods employed in current RO desalination plants and cumulative capacities served by these methodsa.
Process Capacity (m3/d) Pretreatment system
UF 10,178,509 As standalone UF or combined with Coagulation-Flocculation, DAF, DMF, MF, Anti Scaling Inhibition, Single-stage Sand Filtration,
Acidification, Sedimentation, or Disinfection.
DAF 5,265,871 As standalone DAF or combined with Coagulation-Flocculation, DMF, UF, MF, Multi-media Filtration (MMF), or Single Stage Sand Filtration.
DMF 5,265,368 As standalone DMF or combined with Coagulation-Flocculation, Sedimentation, DAF, UF, MF, or Two Stage Sand Filtration, Acidification, or
Anti Scaling Inhibition.
MF 2,634,964 As standalone MF or combined with Coagulation-Flocculation, DAF, DMF, Anti Scaling Inhibition, Single-stage Sand Filtration, Acidification,
Sedimentation, or Disinfection.
Sand filtration 1,046,195 As standalone Single-stage or Two-stage Sand filtration or combined with Coagulation-Flocculation, Anti Scaling Inhibition, Sedimentation,
Acidification, DMF, UF, MF, MMF, or Disinfection.
a
The methods that account for the largest cumulative capacities only are shown.
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J. Eke, et al. Desalination 495 (2020) 114633
Table 4
Years of introduction of pretreatment technologies.
Current pretreatment technologies in RO plants Year of introduction Ref.
UV irradiation
60 Chlorine dioxide
40
20 13.4%
3.2%
RO Disinfection
Table 5
Fig. 14. Membrane types employed in desalination plants and their contribu-
Cumulative capacities of plants in m3/d contributed by emerging desalination
tions to annual desalination capacity.
technologies, based on feed water sources.
Feed water Cumulative capacity (m3/d)
The suitability of an energy recovery device depends on the type of
MD FO EDR Hybrid FR membrane used in a desalination process. Fig. 14 shows the commonly
employed membrane types in desalination technologies for the past one
Brackish water 0 0 16,320 16,320 0
and a half decade. The most commonly used membrane types are the
Wastewater 0 2014 9485 4900 5938
River water 0 0 25,430 0 0 spiral wound, hollow fiber, dual spiral wound/hollow fiber, dual spiral
Seawater 2560 150 1892 0 0 wound/flat, and tube types, among others. The spiral wound membrane
Brine 0 3600 0 0 0 type has been used to achieve 87% of global desalination capacity. The
hollow fiber type has been used to achieve about 10% whereas the
remaining 3% has been achieved using other membrane types. The
suitable for brine treatment and is currently been leveraged on due to spiral wound type is currently being deployed faster than the other
its potential to improve water recovery from other standalone desali- membrane types, with over 50% increase in the installed capacity
nation technologies such as RO [57]. The largest FO plant is located in achieved from its use in the last decade alone. However, the membrane
China and has a capacity of 2800 m3/d. FO plants have also been de- types used in only 7741 plants are provided in GWI data and this
veloped in Oman, India, and UAE. limited information is used to carry out the estimation shown in Fig. 14.
The actual capacities are expected to be higher than the ones shown in
Fig. 14.
3.2.3. Energy recovery devices and membranes used in current plants
It is not surprising that spiral wound is the most commonly used
These emerging technologies are also expected to complement the
membrane type because this type can be used for the desalination of all
energy recovery devices in conventional desalination plants, which are
categories of feed water sources, including seawater, brine, river water,
devices that are used to recover pressure energy from fluids such as
and wastewater, as shown in Fig. 15. Compared to other membrane
brine. The suppliers of energy recovery devices used in desalination
types, the spiral wound membrane configuration has contributed to a
plants and the cumulative capacities of plants, in which such devices
significantly higher desalination capacity worldwide, from all feed
are installed, are shown in Fig. 13. Pressure exchangers are still the
water sources, as evident in Fig. 15. Closely following the spiral wound
most commonly employed energy recovery devices, followed by turbo
type, in terms of desalination capacity, is the hollow fiber and dual
chargers. Other energy recovery devices installed in current desalina-
configurations. So, spiral wound and hollow fiber types are still the
tion plants include Pelton turbine, work exchangers, and Francis tur-
most preferred membrane types in desalination plants worldwide.
bine. The least utilized device among the popular ones is the wind-
Spiral wound or SWM is preferred because it offers large active area
powered device. The energy recovery devices including pressure ex-
density, physical durability or more resistance to wear due to pressure,
changes, turbo chargers, and Pelton turbine supplied by Energy Re-
and longer membrane life. Hollow fiber configuration is known to
covery Inc. (ERI) and its collaborators are currently being used to
provide high packing density.
achieve the largest desalination capacity globally. ERI devices are used
Membranes supplied by Toray Industries, Inc. contribute to the
in plants with a combined (installed) capacity of over 15.9 million m3/
largest share of desalination capacity worldwide. Membranes supplied
d. Meanwhile, the energy recovery devices in only 344 online plants are
by Toray Industries and its partners (Nitto Denko, Dupont, among
provided in GWI data and the estimation in Fig. 13 is based on this
others) are mainly used in RO, ED/EDI, and NF plants. Membranes
limited data.
13
J. Eke, et al. Desalination 495 (2020) 114633
observed that the energy cost depends strongly on the SEC value and
technology employed. The energy cost as a % of the total cost, using RO
technology, increases from 14% to 15%, 16%, and 19%, as the SEC is
changed from 3.5 kWh/m3 to 4.0, 4.5, and 5.0 kWh/m3, respectively
(Fig. 16(c)). Also, the energy cost increases to 18% and 21%, when the
technology is changed to MED and MSF with SEC values of 2.0 and 5.0
kWh/m3, respectively. The SEC values of MED and MSF, as provided
here, are the specific electrical energy consumption only.
Another sensitivity analysis is carried out to evaluate the effect of
changes in plant location on the energy cost. The plant location is
changed from UAE to countries in other regions across the world, in-
cluding USA, China, Spain, and Algeria. It is observed that plant loca-
tion influences the energy cost (Fig. 16(d)). This influence is due to
different electricity prices in these countries. The unit price of elec-
Fig. 15. Membrane types used for the desalination of various feed water
tricity in UAE, as provided in Desaldata database, is $0.025/kWh
sources, based on % contributions to total capacity.
whereas the unit price in each of USA, China, Spain, and Algeria is
$0.05/kWh. The energy cost, as a % of the total cost, increases from
supplied by Dow FilmTec, Hydranautics, and Pentair are also promi- 14% in the UAE to 18%, 25%, 21%, and 24%, in USA, China, Spain, and
nent membranes in current desalination plants, in terms of the capacity Algeria, respectively, under the same operating conditions. Meanwhile,
of desalination plants. the cost of water production estimated for UAE, China, and Algeria are
0.66, 0.68, and 0.70 $/m3, respectively, whereas the cost of water
3.3. Economic indicators in current desalination plants production estimated for USA and Spain are higher, i.e. 0.96 and 0.81
$/m3, respectively due to higher labor and overhead costs in these
The main economic indicator is the cost of water production. This countries.
cost varies with the size of desalination plants. Other economic con- So, being capital-intensive, large and XL desalination plants exhibit
siderations are return on investment and profitability. Currently, higher production costs, as shown in Fig. 16(a), due to higher con-
against the traditional norms of economies of scale, it is costlier to tribution of capital cost to their total production cost. As shown in
produce freshwater from large-scale plants than from small-scale plants. Fig. 16(b), capital cost accounts for 52% of the cost of water production
As shown in Fig. 16(a), from analysis of 2017 GWI data, the average by the hypothetical SWRO case in the UAE. This estimation is also
specific costs of producing freshwater (SCW) in small and medium-scale supported by a recent study, wherein the capital and operating costs in
seawater desalination plants are computed as US$0.55 and US$0.51, desalination plants across Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region
respectively. For large and extra-large (XL) seawater desalination were analyzed [58]. For each technology employed, the average capital
plants, the average costs of freshwater production are computed as US cost for desalination in the MENA region exceeded the average oper-
$1.0 and US$0.99, respectively. This trend may be due to the capital- ating cost, as shown in Table 6. This means that capital cost deserves
intensive nature of desalination and in today's desalination projects, more research attention than it gets currently, in order to reduce the
capital costs account for the significant chunk of the total cost. cost of water desalination. Most of the current research efforts have
The capital costs are mainly due to pretreatment, civil works, been focused disproportionately on how to reduce operating cost.
pumps, plant design, legal and professional services, installation ser- Future research efforts should be focused on the optimization of
vices, membranes, pressure vessels, high-grade alloy piping, intake/ both capital and operating costs, as this analysis has shown that both
outfall, and energy recovery devices. According to analysis computed cost components are important. Theoretically, SEC should reduce with
from the data obtained from Desaldata, capital cost would account for increasing plant capacity as previously supported by the work of Kim
52% of the total cost of desalination (Fig. 16(b)) for this following et al. [59]. This decline was mostly observed for plant capacity of less
particular case/scenario: RO desalination plant capacity of than or equal to 100,000 m3/day. Larger SWRO plants are not always
150,000 m3/d located in United Arab Emirates, typical intake/outfall, energy-efficient because the plants consist of several pump stations.
seawater salinity of 35,000 ppm, seawater minimum temperature of Efficiency of the pumps are strongly correlated to the capacity of pump
15 °C, seawater maximum temperature of 38 °C, difficult pretreatment, stations than to the SWRO system. Therefore, energy consumption in
25% second pass, re-mineralization, 95% utilization rate, energy con- this case can be increased due to limited capacity of pumps, leading to
sumption of 3.5 kWh/m3, electricity price of 0.025 $/kWh, 6% interest an increase in the number of pumps needed in the RO system. To make
rate, 12% equity yield, 20 years of loan repayment, and 75% debt- large SWRO plants become energy-efficient and reduce the SEC in these
equity split. The operating costs for this particular case accounts for plants, larger pump capacities are required because of their high effi-
48% of the total cost of freshwater production, i.e. the cost of spare ciency. In the light of this, pressure-centered design is emerging for
parts, chemicals, labor, membrane replacement, electrical energy, and large-capacity plants. This design involves the location of high-pressure
overheads. However, this value is not a generic value but it is sensitive pumps (HPP), booster pumps (BP) and energy recovery devices (ERD)
to certain conditions such as the country of plant location and specific in the middle trains of a RO system. The operation involves pressurizing
energy consumption (SEC) of the desalination process, even when other the feed with large pumps in the middle of the RO trains, thereby in-
conditions are kept constant. SEC is the energy consumed per unit of creasing the pump efficiency above that of a typical system. IDE tech-
water production and it is dependent on the technology employed. SEC nologies Ltd. have recently developed this system and it has been ap-
has a multiplier effect on the total energy requirement, i.e. depending plied in many large-scale SWRO plants in Israel namely: Ashkelon [60],
on the total volume of production. Plant location determines the unit Hadera [61] and Sorek [62].
cost of electricity, which also influences the total cost of electricity Meanwhile, for each plant size category, RO still accounts for the
consumed by the plant. most significant share of total production capacity. Globally, RO con-
Therefore, a sensitivity analysis is carried out to evaluate the effect tributes: 19 million m3/d to the overall capacity of XL plants, 17.3
of changes in SEC on the energy cost. The energy cost is re-calculated million m3/d to the overall capacity of large-scale plants, 12.1 million
for 5 more cases including: 3 more RO scenarios with different SEC m3/d to the overall capacity of medium-scale plants, and 2 million m3
values, i.e. 4.0, 4.5 and 5.0 kWh/m3; MED with an average SEC value of to the overall capacity of small-scale plants. MSF and MED are also two
2.0 kWh/m3; and MSF with an average SEC value of 5.0 kWh/m3. It is prominent technologies used in XL plants especially in the Middle East,
14
J. Eke, et al. Desalination 495 (2020) 114633
Fig. 16. (a) Cost of water desalination using different technologies in large-scale, medium-scale, small-scale, and extra-large desalination plants; (b) cost components,
showing the capital-intensive requirement of large-scale plants; and the influence of (c) SEC and (d) plant location on the energy cost (as % of total cost).
Table 6 aspects of this study. However, the results are still a reflection of the
Specific (average) capital and operating costs in the MENA region for desali- industry, as confirmed from other cited sources in the discussions.
nation using different technologies [58]. Future analysis should focus on the environmental impacts of desali-
Technology Average capital Average operating Total cost nation. Currently, data on greenhouse gas emissions and impacts of
cost ($/m3) cost ($/m3) ($/m3) reject brine from desalination plants are either scarce or unavailable.
Such data could be prepared in the future through the life cycle as-
SWRO Mediterranean Sea 0.63 0.35 0.98
sessments of the plants and analysis of overall impacts resulting from
Hybrid SWRO 0.68 0.35 1.03
Hybrid MSF/MED 0.92 0.23 1.15 desalination globally. Also, plants utilizing specific integrated tech-
SWRO Arabian Gulf 0.71 0.64 1.35 nologies (MSF + RO, MED + RO, RO + MD, etc.) could be included in
SWRO Red Sea 0.87 0.51 1.38 the data and analyzed. The analysis in this paper is based only on the
MED-TVC 1.25 0.14 1.39 identification of trends and their implications on desalination globally.
MSF 1.18 0.26 1.44
Non-linear data analysis and in-depth correlational analysis using hy-
brid statistical tools should be carried out in the future to observe the
accounting for 11.2 million and 3.3 million m3/d of the overall XL relationships between different desalination variables on practical
desalination capacity, respectively. NF with sulfate reduction (SR) are scales. An artificial intelligence (AI)-based model such as Artificial
used mainly in large-scale plants. ED-based plants are mainly large- Neural Network (ANN) model may be employed in the future for ad-
scale or medium-scale, whereas the emerging industrial technologies vanced multivariate analysis of the variables discussed in this paper.
(EDR, FO, and MD) are mainly utilized in small-scale and medium-scale
plants. Declaration of competing interest
4. Conclusions The authors declare that they have no known competing financial
interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influ-
From the statistical analysis carried out in this study, it can be ence the work reported in this paper.
concluded that global desalination capacity has been increasing steadily
at a rate of about 7% per annum since year 2010 to the end of 2019. In Acknowledgement
the least expected regions, i.e. Europe and Africa, there is a sharp rise in
desalination capacity, i.e. over 1600% and over 1700% increase in Authors would like to thank Khalifa University of Science and
Europe and Africa, respectively, over the last three decades. This points Technology, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates for GWI Desaldata's
to a growing need of freshwater caused by climate change challenges subscription.
and population growth. The power industry is the largest producer of
desalinated water (apart from municipal desalination plants), with a CRediT author statement
capacity of 4.6 million m3/d. Seawater is still the most important feed
water source in the desalination industry, in terms of its contribution to Joyner Eke: Investigation, Writing - original draft, Writing - review
the overall desalination capacity. Over the past three decades (year & editing. Ahmed Yusuf: Data curation, Methodology, Investigation,
1990 to 2019), the installed capacity of desalination plants utilizing Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing. Adewale Giwa:
seawater as feed increased by 813% globally. Currently, seawater ac- Conceptualization, Methodology, Investigation, Writing - original draft,
counts for about 57%, whereas brackish water accounts for 20% and Writing - review & editing, Supervision. Ahmed Sodiq: Investigation,
other sources account for the remaining 23% of the feed water em- Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing.
ployed in desalination plants, based on plant capacity. The cost of
seawater desalination ranged between 0.35 and 1.87 $/m3 whereas the References
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17