Professional Documents
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LEARNING COMPETENCIES
1. illustrates: (a) null hypothesis; (b) alternative hypothesis; (c) level of significance; (d) rejection region;
and (e) types of errors in hypothesis testing. (M11/12SP-IVa-1)
2. identifies the parameter to be tested given a reallife problem. (M11/12SP-IVa-3)
3. formulates the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses on a population mean. (M11/12SP-IVb-1)
4. identifies the appropriate form of the test-statistic when: (a) the population variance is assumed to be
known; (b) the population variance is assumed to be unknown; and (c) the Central Limit Theorem is
to be used. (M11/12SP-IVb-2)
5. given level of significance when: (a) the population variance is assumed to be known; (b) the population
variance is assumed to be unknown; and (c) the Central Limit Theorem is to be used. (M11/12SP-
IVc-1)
6. computes for the test-statistic value (population mean) ( M11/12SP-IVd-1)
7. draws conclusion about the population mean based on the test-statistic value and the rejection region.
(M11/12SP-IVd-2)
8. solves problems involving test of hypothesis on the population mean. (M11/12SP-IVe-1)
9. formulates the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses on a population proportion. (M11/12SP-
IVe-2)
10. identifies the appropriate form of the test-statistic when the Central Limit Theorem is to be used.
(M11/12SP-IVe-3)
A hypothesis test is a process that uses sample statistics to test a claim about the value of a population
parameter.
A statement about a population parameter is called a statistical hypothesis. To test a population pa-
rameter, you should carefully state a pair of hypotheses - one that represents the claim and the other, its
complement. When one of these hypotheses is false, the other must be true. Either hypothesis - the null
hypothesis or the alternative hypothesis - may represent the original claim.
Definition 9.1 1. A null hypothesis, H0 , is a statistical hypothesis that contains a statement of equality,
such as ≤, =, or ≥.
2. The alternative hypothesis, Ha , is the complement of the null hypothesis. It is a statement that must
6 , or <.
be true if H0 is false and it contains a statement of strict inequality, such as >, =
H0 is read as “H sub-zero” or “H naught” and Ha is read as “H sub-a” .
9-1
9-2 Lecture 9: Hypothesis Testing with One Sample
If the claim value is k and the population parameter is µ then some possible pairs of null and alternative
hypotheses are
Possible pair 1:
H0 : µ ≤ k
Ha : µ > k
Possible pair 2:
H0 : µ ≥ k
Ha : µ < k
Possible pair 3:
H0 : µ = k
Ha : µ 6= k
Example 9.2 Write the claim as a mathematical sentence. State the null and alternative hypotheses, and
identify which represents the claim.
1. A school publicizes that the proportion of its students who are involved in at least one extracurricular
activity is 61%.
2. A study on fishers’ fish catch in Philippine provinces, the study claimed that the mean fish catch in
municipal waters in an hour is less than 1.87 kilos.
3. A company advertises that the mean life of its product is more than 3 years.
Solution:
1. The claim “the proportion . . . is 61%” can be written as p = 0.61. Its complement is p 6= 0.61. Because
p = 0.61 contains the statement of equality, it becomes the null hypothesis. In this case, the null
hypothesis represents the claim.
H0 : p = 0.61 (Claim)
Ha : p 6= 0.61
2. The claim “the mean . . . is less than 1.87 kilos” can be written as µ < 1.87. Its complement is µ ≥ 1.87.
Because µ ≥ 1.87 contains the statement of equality, it becomes the null hypothesis. In this case, the
alternative hypothesis represents the claim.
H0 : µ ≥ 1.87
Ha : µ < 1.87 (Claim)
3. The claim “the mean . . . is more than 3 years” can be written as µ > 3. Its complement is µ ≤ 3.
Because µ ≤ 3 contains the statement of equality, it becomes the null hypothesis. In this case, the
alternative hypothesis represents the claim.
H0 : µ ≤ 3
Ha : µ > 3 (Claim)
Lecture 9: Hypothesis Testing with One Sample 9-3
No matter which hypothesis represents the claim, you always begin a hypothesis test by assuming that
the equality condition in the null hypothesis is true. So, when you perform a hypothesis test, you make one
of two decisions:
1. reject the null hypothesis or
2. fail to reject the null hypothesis.
Because your decision is based on a sample rather than the entire population, there is always the possibility
you will make the wrong decision.
Remember, the only way to be absolutely certain of whether H0 is true or false is to test the entire
population. Because your decision - to reject H0 - is based on a sample, you must accept the fact that your
decision might be incorrect. You might reject a null hypothesis when it is actually true. Or, you might fail
to reject a null hypothesis when it is actually false.
Definition 9.3 1. A type I error occurs if the null hypothesis is rejected when it is true.
2. A type II error occurs if the null hypothesis is not rejected when it is false.
Example 9.4 The USDA limit for salmonella contamination for chicken is 20%. A meat inspector reports
that the chicken produced by a company exceeds the USDA limit. You perform a hypothesis test to determine
whether the meat inspectors claim is true. When will a type I or type II error occur? Which is more serious?
Solution: Let p represent the proportion of the chicken that is contaminated. The meat inspectors claim
is “more than 20% is contaminated.” You can write the null and alternative hypotheses as follows.
A type I error will occur if the actual proportion of contaminated chicken is less than or equal to 0.2, but
you reject H0 . Type II error will occur if the actual proportion of contaminated chicken is greater than
0.2, but you do not reject H0 . With a type I error, you might create a health scare and hurt the sales of
chicken producers who were actually meeting the USDA limits. With a type II error, you could be allowing
chicken that exceeded the USDA contamination limit to be sold to consumers. A type II error is more serious
because it could result in sickness or even death.
In Symbols In Words
H0 : p = 0.61 The proportion of students who are involved in at least one extracurricular activity is 61%.
Ha : p 6= 0.61 The proportion of students who are involved in at least one extracurricular activity is not 61%.
Because Ha contains the < symbol, the test is a left-tailed hypothesis test.
3.
In Symbols In Words
H0 : µ ≤ 18 yr The mean life of the furnaces is less than or equal to 18 years.
Ha : µ > 18 yr TThe mean life of the furnaces is more than 18 years.
Because Ha contains the > symbol, the test is a right-tailed hypothesis test.
Example 9.10 Find the critical values and rejection regions for a two-tailed test with α = 0.05.
1
Solution: The graph shows a standard normal curve with shaded areas of α = 0.025 in each tail. The
2
1 1
area to the left of −z0 is α = 0.025, and the area to the left of z0 is 1 − α = 0.975. In the Standard
2 2
Normal Table, the z-scores that correspond to the areas 0.025 and 0.975 are −1.96 and 1.96, respectively.
So, the critical values are −z0 = −1.96 and z0 = 1.96. The rejection regions are to the left −1.96 and to the
right of 1.96.
Tail z
Left −1.645
Right 1.645
Two ±1.96
If α = 0.01, the following are the critical values
Tail z
Left −2.33
Right 2.33
Two ±2.575
5. Find the standardized test statistic and sketch the sampling distribution. Recall that
x−µ
z= √
σ/ n
or if n ≥ 30, use σ ≈ s.
6. If z is in the rejection region, reject H0 . Otherwise, fail to reject H0 .
7. Interpret the decision in the context of the original claim.
Example 9.11 According to NSCB statistic the life expectancy of Filipino women is 70.1 years. Suppose
that a random sample of 30 women in Town B, yields the following data below. Would you say that the life
expectancy of the women in Town B is greater than the national average? Use a 0.05 level of significance.
x−µ
z= √
σ/ n
72.5 − 70.1
=
4.76
√
30
2.4
≈
4.76
5.48
2.4
≈
0.869
≈ 2.76
Since 2.76 is greater than 1.96, then we reject the null hypothesis.
Step 6: There is enough evidence at the 5% level of significance to support the claim that the mean life
expectancy in Town B is greater than 70.1 years.
Lecture 9: Hypothesis Testing with One Sample 9-9
Example 9.12 The hemoglobin levels of children below 6 years old in a place where there is high level of
lead tend to be high also. In a certain city, a test was conducted to 50 children selected at random and it
was found out the average hemoglobin level of the 50 children is 11.1 g/100 ml and its standard deviation,
s = 5.01g/100 ml. If the tolerable level is 10.6 g/100 ml is there a reason to believe that the hemoglobin of
the children in this city is different from the normal level? Test at α = 0.05.
Solution: Step 1. H0 : µ = 10.6
Ha : µ 6= 10.6 years (Claim)
Step 2: Level of significance α = 0.05
Step 3: The test is two-tailed and with α = 0.05, the critical values are −z0 = −1.96 and z0 = 1.96.
Step 4: The critical regions are z < −1.96 and z > 1.96.
Step 5: Since n ≥ 30, the standardized test statistic to be used is:
x−µ
z= √
σ/ n
.
With x = 11.1, n = 50 and σ ≈ s = 5.01,
x−µ
z= √
σ/ n
11.1 − 10.6
=
5.01
√
50
≈ 0.706
Since 0.706 did not fall on the critical region, then we fail to reject the null hypothesis.
Step 6: There is not enough evidence at the 5% level of significance to support the claim that the
hemoglobin level of children below six years old in this city is different from 10.6 g/100 ml.
9-10 Lecture 9: Hypothesis Testing with One Sample
Definition 9.16 The t−test for a mean is a statistical test for a population mean. The t−test can be used
when the population is normal or nearly normal, σ is unknown, and n < 30. The test statistic is the sample
mean x and the standardized test statistic is
x−µ
t= √ .
s/ n
Would you say that the people in that place are prone to develop coronary heart disease? Use 0.05
level of significance.
(Recall: q = 1 − p)
9.4.3 References
Anticamara. J. & Go, K. T. B. (2016). Spatio-temporal Declines in Philippine fisheries and its implications to
coastal municipal fishers’ catch and income. Front. Mar. Sci.
Larson, R. & Farber, B. (2012). Elementary statistics: picturing the world. Pearson Education, Inc.
Malate, J. S. (2018). Statistics & probability for senior high school. Vicarish Publications and Trading, Inc.
Mamhot, M. & Mamhot A. (2016). Statistics and probability. Unlimited Books Library Services & Publishing,
Inc.
Triola, M. F. (11th ed.). Elementary statiscs. Addison-Wesley.
Williams, T. A., Sweeney, D. J., & Anderson, D. R. (2010). Modern business statistics. Cengage Learning.