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Champions League
If you’ve already studied the basics of sports betting well enough, now
Europa League is the time to dig deeper into the most popular betting strategies. We
Europa Conference League explain to you how to successfully place sports bets with the right
World Cup 2022 strategy and what to look out for.
Bundesliga - German
When it comes to choosing the right strategy for sports betting,
Bundesliga - Austria
opinions differ. Is there even a right strategy for winning in sports
Division 1A - Belgian
betting or is the best strategy to just be flexible in choosing a respective
Eredivisie - Netherlands strategy? In any case, we present the best and most promising
La Liga - Spain strategies for increasing your betting profits over time.
Ligue 1 - France
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the betting company has a wide range of bets available. Customers who
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Many sports bettors are heavily focused on a certain type of bet. The
focus of the players is then mostly on a certain outcome of the game
that they are actively looking for. This can be, for example:
It’s similar to losing weight: it is always said that around 30% depends
on physical activity and 70% on the right diet. So, you could say that
good bankroll management is the “correct diet of betting”.
Only when you have built up a bankroll management system that works
for you can you begin to test the many resourceful betting strategies.
For example, you will find detailed information about the Fibonacci
betting system, specializing strategy in a league, systematic betting on
1X, strategies on home underdogs or betting on late goals.
If you are interested in these topics, you can now read on and find out
all about the most popular betting strategies.
This data can give you the ultimate advantage when betting live on
next goal, number of goals and even the outcome of the game!
Overlyzer Live Trends for England vs. Germany… England scored three goals when
they put Germany under strong pressure in the final 20 minutes of the game!
The blue line represents the pressure exerted by the home team, while
the red line represents the pressure exerted by the away team.
You can find a more detailed explanation of how these metrics work on
our YouTube account.
1 ➜ register at Overlyzer and get the ultimate advantage for Live
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You don’t even have to choose and analyze games that contain absolute
extremes and obvious class differences with this strategy. So, you don’t
necessarily have to bet against Barcelona, Bayern or Juventus as an
away team. Here, we would probably move away from the value bets.
Even if we opt for teams that are not big outsiders, but are still
outsiders according to the odds, we find highly interesting odds
between 1.60 and 2.50.
If you also accept lower odds, you can of course also use this 1X
strategy for games that have balanced odds.
1 3. All-in on odds at 1.20 strategy
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This betting strategy involves winning numerous bets one after the
other and always using the maximum offers the opportunity to earn
decent money. But it is also clear that all the money is gone if you lose a
bet. But if you manage to win 30, 35, maybe even 40 times in a row,
you’ll get big money!
We use odds around 1.20 for this – ideally you should look for the bets
you are playing live. As with the strategy of betting over 1.5 goals in
what is estimated to be typical “over” games, you can wait here until the
odds have reached the desired level. The over 0.5 bet is ideal here – i.e.
the bet that the game will not end 0-0. Usually, after goalless 30
minutes, you get a rate of 1.20 – depending on the match, this can of
course be lower, but sometimes even higher. Of course, it is a matter of
taste with which type of bet you want to monetize your betting
sequence, or money race‘ as it is also called.
It is important that you always play roughly the same odds. This is
certainly a test of patience and not particularly spectacular at first, but
there is no exact goal and you can stop at any time and have your
winnings paid out. For example, if you start such a series of bets with a
stake of 10 €, that’s all you can lose. So you now find a bet with odds
1.20, win it and immediately play the 12 € you won again on odds that
are around this amount. You win 14.40 € – which will be invested in the
next bet.
The profits will only become noticeable very slowly, but will increase
sharply over time, because of course the stake grows higher and higher.
If you actually manage to get 30 picks right in a row, your 10 € from the
beginning will already be a whopping 2,373.76 €. After 35 correct pick
we would already be at 5,906.68 € and after 40 correct picks at
14,697.71 €.
There are not many systems that are easier to understand than 1-3-2-
6 and its simplicity is very appealing to many players. There are also
a number of other benefits that contribute to its popularity.
Like many betting systems, the 1-3-2-6 was designed for bets that pay
out an even sum, like the red-black bets in roulette. In fact, it is widely
used on the roulette table and in other casino games such as baccarat,
dice games and blackjack. Basically, it doesn’t matter what you use it
for, provided you are playing with even sums.
If you win a bet, you adjust your stake according to the sequence 1-3-2-
6. So, if you win your first bet, the next time you increase your stake to €
30 (three betting units). If you win this too, you will place € 20 on your
next bet. If you win this too, the next time you wager € 60. And already
we have the 1-3-2-6 sequence.
If you win the fourth, consecutive bet then the sequence is completed
and you start all over again. Don’t forget, as soon as you lose, your
stake will also reset to a betting unit.
This is basically what the 1-3-2-6 betting system is all about. As long as
you keep the simple set of rules in mind, you shouldn’t have any
problems using this system successfully.
1 Possible outcomes of 1-3-2-6
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Since this system is only a short cycle, there are few possible
outcomes. These are the following:
So, as you can see, only two of the possible outcomes of a cycle
involve loss. A loss will only occur if the first or second bet is lost.
So, every time you win the first two bets, you cannot lose again in the
same cycle.
It may seem like the 1-3-2-6 system makes it more likely to make money
than to lose. But unfortunately, this is not true. Unfortunately, while the
system has some advantages, the guaranteed profit isn’t one.
The system does not come without its disadvantages; the most striking
is that there is nothing to beat the house edge that exists in any casino.
No betting system can do this. But it helps you to maintain discipline
with a set of rules to be followed, because ultimately you still have to
rely on your luck to win. If you get the wrong sequence of results, you
will lose.
The 1-3-2-6 isn’t a bad betting system compared to any of the other
systems available, provided you accept it for what it is. This system
doesn’t guarantee that you will win, but it can help you get the most
out of your luck.
1
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If you lose, you simply bet the next tie after a Fibonacci sequence. It
is a sequence of numbers in which the sum of two consecutive
numbers results in the next number, making the Fibonacci sequence
an infinite sequence of natural numbers. You can find more
information about the Fibonacci sequence on Wikipedia.
1
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So if you start betting with 1 € on the first draw with odds> 2.62 and
lose, then the next time you bet 1 € again, then 2 €, then 3 €, then 5 €,
then 8 €, then 13 € and so on.
Let’s take the example of the situation where you lose ten times in a row
and win your bet the eleventh time. In this case, you have already
gambled away 143 € and finally successfully placed the eleventh
number in the Fibonacci sequence, 144, on a bet. If we now assume that
the successful bet had odds of @ 2.80, you win 403.20 €. You have
wagered a total of 287 €, making your net profit 116.20 €.
Of course, this is no guarantee that you will always bet correctly and the
assessment of how likely the outcome of a game is, does still remain up
to you. But the Kelly formula can help you choose the size of your bet.
Now we can continue to calculate and find the best possible stake for
this bet. The formula used to choose a reasonable stake looks like this:
Now, of course, the use of this formula also depends heavily on your
assessment of the probability. And if you consider a game outcome to
be very likely and thus increase the value considerably, then it can
happen that you get 30% or even more of your bankroll as a result. Of
course, caution is advised here because your bankroll can slide down
very quickly this way.
It is also possible that you will get a negative result when calculating
the first value. This happens if you bet too low with an expected
probability of winning on an event with too low odds. The result is
that your value is negative, which means nothing else than: if you are
unsure about this, then this bet just doesn’t pay off …
Dutching is ideal for multi-outcome events where you think you can
break the possible outcomes down to two or three; but in theory, you
can bet on any number of selections. The fewer selections you make in
dutching, the fewer losers you support and the more profit you make
from them. However, by dutching fewer selections, you increase your
risk.
Example:
If you cover two selections, one with 5/1 and one with 8/1 and you want
to win 100 € regardless of the outcome:
Divide the odds in decimals (6.0 and 9.0) and divide the stake by the
decimal odds.
Alternatively, you might have an idea of how much you want to bet on an
event; in this case it’s around 30 €. You know that your stake on the 0.6
chance is around 20 €. To calculate how much you should bet on the
other selection:
The total stake would then be 33.33 € and if one of the two selections
wins you will receive 120 €
Example:
If you bet a total of 100 € and the return on a winning bet is 150 €, then
you cover all of your selections with combined odds of 1/2 or 1.5 as a
decimal number.
When placing your Dutch bet, you have already worked out your
stakes and total returns so that you can place the bet, with the same
1 return for each outcome. To get the decimal odds for your bet, you
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simply divide your total stake by your returns. Register
It may seem difficult to estimate the combined odds when the numbers
are a little more random, such as 279 € win for 82 € stake, but it is very
easy to figure out:
Advantages of dutching
Offers new possibilities
Just because you’re betting more than one outcome, this doesn’t mean
you won’t get any value from your bet. If you think a low-rated favourite
is very unlikely to win, then two or more high-rated selections in this
event could offer great value. If the added up returns from the combined
bet are greater than the chance that those outcomes will win, you will
generate value through dutching.
By dutching you reduce your overall odds, but increase your chances of
winning your bet. In theory, this should result in more winning bets and
therefore more frequent betting returns. This helps to protect your
betting account from dry spells and should also offer you some joy in
betting.
Disadvantages of dutching
Weakening of profit
The more selections you make in dutching, the more you reduce your
overall odds in each betting event. Whenever you decide to add new
selections, you have to take into account the fact that your betting rate
needs to improve, so that a certain level of profit can be maintained. If
you use dutching and don’t win very often, you will lose your money very
quickly.
1 Reverse dutching
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Reverse dutching sounds complicated, but it’s just dutching for trade.
The same principles apply; the more choices you make, the more likely
your bet will win, but the less money you will win. And on the contrary,
the fewer selections you make, the less likely it is to win and the more
profitable any winning bet is.
The early withdrawal option allows sports bettors to withdraw their bets
early, before they have been settled. So, you can either make a profit or
get a part of your stake back, depending on your selection at that time.
The feature is available as soon as you have placed your pre-match or
in-play bet and the payout amount will fluctuate based on the events
taking place in the game.
Before the game, the odds of an over 1.5 will be very low. In some
cases, it is no higher than 1.20. But while the game is running and the
goals are missing, this rate increases almost every minute and becomes
more and more lucrative. Now you have to be patient. Ideally – as with
any bet – you should watch the game live at the same time in order to
have the greatest possible advantage.
Now wait until the bet has odds between 1.50 and 2.00. The higher the
better, but of course the timing is important. If a goal is scored, the bet
is over before it has even started and you have to find a new game. This
strategy only works if it is 0-0 long enough. Usually, you will have to wait
until the 35th to 55th minute so that the odds on the over 1.5 are fair.
However, we recommend that you still bet in the first half – it is
important that the odds are 1.50 or higher.
You analyzed the game before kick-off and expected an over 2.5. If
you’re not completely wrong, goals will still be scored here. And we are
eagerly awaiting the first goal as soon as the bet is played.
If a goal is scored quite early after your bet, then you have – at least
with most bookmakers who allow this – a profitable exit strategy: The
odds for the over 1.5 will of course rattle off after the first goal. Now
1 you can have the bet paid out via cashout, you can virtually “sell” it. You
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definitely get out with a plus. Login Register
The riskier option is to wait for the second goal and win the bet anyway.
Here it is of course advisable to watch the game live. If there is a goal in
the air, you can still wait and let the bet stand. If the game is a tense
affair, then it may be better to sell the bet.
Betting on leagues that you do not know at all and have not analyzed
beforehand, almost falls into the category of “gambling”. It is not
about the well-founded occurrence of an event that is predicted on
the basis of knowledge, but rather about “hoping”. Specialize and
you will succeed!
The Money Race can be run with all possible types of bets. In most
cases, however, the focus is specifically on low odds and thus “safe
bets”, in order to win as many bets as possible in a row. In this case, the
Money Race is particularly interesting for sports bettors with a high
bankroll. If the Money Race is started with a rather high initial stake, you
will save yourself numerous necessary profits on the way to the self-
imposed goal. At the same time, however, the risk of loss is also
greater.
If you decide to start a Money Race with 20 € and always bet on events
with odds 1.20, you need 22 consecutive wins to get over 1,000 €.
However, if you start with a stake of 100 €, after 13 bets you have won
with odds of 1.20, you will exceed the 1,000 € mark. This is shown in
this calculation example:
20 € x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2
x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 =
1,104.12 €
1 100 € x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x
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1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 = 1,069.93 € Login Register
With the help of higher odds, a Money Race can of course also be
accelerated, but the risk of losing all winnings is significantly higher.
Usually you vary your bet a bit; after all, it is also very important with
the Money Race to avoid going wild, but to research well instead
despite the low odds. As with all bets, it is important to bet when you
are certain that the outcome is highly probable. Even if you are
strongly focused on an average odd, in our example the rate 1.20, it
is not a problem if there is a 1.40 or 1.50 in between. Here, too,
research and conviction is of outmost importance.
Betting on a draw
Try to find games where both teams will have a hard time defeating
each other. For example, look for teams from the better league
average that compete against top teams at home. The visiting team
1 has the quality to not lose, while at the same time they will have
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problems when it comes to actually bending theRegister this
favourite. In
situation, both teams are happy with a draw and that is often the
result.
Another quick and easy way to identify potential ties is to check the
Asian handicap odds.
Look for games in which the handicap was set to zero (0) or a draw.
This means that both teams have been rated more or less equally, and
the bookmakers do not want to give either team a head start. Games
like these tend to end in a draw more often than you might think.
It is also important to note that you only ever play single bets. With a
combination, no matter how temptingly high value it might have, your
chance of winning drops drastically.
But this is not the case everywhere either. Especially cup games, in
which various bookmakers set different commission rates, offer an
extensive comparison of odds. This in turn offers a good opportunity
to get to know a new bookie, perhaps to open a new account in order
to be able to use an even wider range of odds in the future.
1 15. Sports betting on live games
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In the age of smartphones and mobile apps, live
games are the icing on the cake for sports fans.
Live betting gives you the opportunity to bet on
games or events in real time. The entertainment
with live games is high and the whole thing can
even degenerate into a real challenge with
friends. But here as well you shouldn’t deviate
from your plan.
Live Betting
The most important thing about live betting is that you actually see
the game. Meanwhile, numerous betting providers offer live streams,
the rights of which they have acquired for enormous sums of money.
And they did that for good reason; because the live streams attract
users, generate massive traffic to the site – and also attract players
to bet in the heat of the moment. During a game, you don’t have the
time think too much, neither can you calculate the value of a bet live.
You just bet.
But that’s exactly what you should do: Treat live bets the same way you
would treat normal pre-bets. Here, the odds often change very quickly,
which is why it makes sense to analyze a certain range of odds and
calculate their value. If the odds are in a fair range during the game, you
can strike. You also have the advantage of being able to watch the
game – and even notice if something changes in the characteristics of
the game. Of course, performing the above during a live game requires
a relatively great effort and an ability to concentrate that has to be
learned first. But once you’ve got the hang of it and can quickly
calculate the value of a bet, there are a lot to be gained from live
betting.
To be on the safe side, you should only use “official streams” from
betting providers or TV broadcasts for live betting. The bookmaker is
usually a few seconds ahead of you when using a Russian stream to
watch the live game. And these seconds can sometimes make a huge
difference.
1 Also note, even if you can watch the game on a public TV channel or
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even live, the betting providers have planned Register
a delay
of a few
seconds when accepting bets; you can’t be faster than the
bookmakers, but you can better assess the game and the upcoming
game scenes.
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