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ls with an individuals and families. Although it has been criticized for devoting Endemic Disease - Present at a continuous level
Test the Hypothesis · Collect Data and Observations · Evaluate Results · Determine if Hypothesis insufficient attention to prevention, clinical medicine is not inherently tied to curative, rather than preventive throughout a population/geographic area; constant
is true/modify – Do lab verification to prove hypothesis · Formulate Conclusions · Report Results approaches. In fact, in recent decades the time and resources devoted to preventing disease have greatly presence of an agent/health condition within a given
increased, especially in the realm of secondary prevention. Pediatrics has long emphasized primary prevention. geographic area/population; refers to the usual
Diagnostic inquiry is directed at the patient. The scope of inquiry is primarily the prevention and treatment of prevalence of an agent/condition.
medically recognized diseases. Epidemic - Large numbers of people over a wide
Public Health Approach: The public health approach deals with communities. The public health approach geographical area are affected.
emphasizes prevention, means preventing the occurrence of disease in individuals. The distinction between Pandemic - An epidemic occurring over several
prevention and cure may not be as clear. The scope of public health is much broader than that of the clinical countries or continents and affecting a
approach, because there is no framework of a clinical encounter to confine the time for diagnosis or large proportion of the population.
intervention, and the variety of people and their situations in a community multiply the range of factors that Index Case - First patient in an epidemiological study
can affect health. (also known as patient zero or primary case).
Latent Period - Time in between when a person comes
1. Oral briefing – inform local health officials or other need-to-know groups as soon as information is into contact with a pathogen and when they become
available infected.
2. Written report – usually done in scientific format for future reference, legal issues, and education
Chi-square test
Hill's Criteria for Causation:
Strength of Association - relationship is clear and risk estimate is high
Consistency - observation of association must be repeatable in
different populations at different times
Specificity - a single cause produces a specific effect
Alternative Explanations - consideration of multiple hypotheses before
making conclusions about whether an association is causal or not
Temporality - cause/exposure must precede the effect/outcome
Dose-Response Relationship - an increasing amount of exposure
increases the risk
Biological Plausibility - the association agrees with currently accepted
understanding of biological and pathological processes
Experimental Evidence - the condition can be altered, either
prevented or accelerated, by an appropriate experimental process
Coherence - the association should be compatible with existing theory
POINT SOURCE OUTBREAKS (EPIDEMICS) - involve a common source, such as contaminated food or a n and knowledge, including knowledge of past cases and epidemiological
infected food handler, and all the exposures tend to occur in a relatively brief period. Consequently, point studies
source outbreaks tend to have epidemic curves with a rapid increase in cases followed by a somewhat
slower decline, and all of the cases tend to fall within one incubation period. The graph above from a Five Step Process for Surveillance
hepatitis outbreak is an example of a point source epidemic. The incubation period for hepatitis ranges from -Identify, define, and measure the health problem of interest
15-50 days, with an average of about 28-30 days. In a point source epidemic of hepatitis A you would expec t -Collect and compile data about the problem (and if possible,
the rise and fall of new cases to occur within about a 30 day span of time, which is what is seen in the grap h factors that influence it)
below. -Analyze and interpret these data
A chi-square is a statistical measure used to determine the difference between an expected -Provide these data and their interpretation to those responsible
value and an observed value. In epidemiology, it can be used to compare information from for controlling the health problem
Continuous common source different groups (i.e. age) to a local or national average. -Monitor and periodically evaluate the usefulness and quality of
epidemics χ2=∑(O−E)2E surveillance to improve it for future use. Note that surveillance of
a problem does not include actions to control the problem
Sensitivity and specificity are ways to calculate the chance of having a specific disease given you do or do
not have a disease. Nosocomial Disease - An infection
that is acquired in a hospital.
Fomite - A physical object that
serves to transmit an infectious
Z-Test- Used to compare two means when the
agent from person to person.
Has Has no population variances are known and the sample size is
disease disease greater than 30
T-Test- Used to compare two means when sample size
is greater than 30 The process begins with the
Paired T-Test- Used to compare multiple sets of data appropriate exposure to or
Fischer's Exact Test-Fischer's test searches for non- accumulation of factors sufficient for
random associations between two categorical variables. the disease process to begin in a
People who McNemar's Test-The McNemar Test is similar to a Chi- susceptible host. For an infectious
a b Square, except that it uses matched paired data. disease, the exposure is a
test positive
Maentel Haenszel Test- The Cochran-Maentel- microorganism. For cancer, the
Haenszel Test aims to find the association between exposure may be a factor that
variables while controlling for confounding. initiates the process, such as
ANOVA- The analysis of variance test, or ANOVA, is a asbestos fibers or components in
statistical measure used to compare two or more tobacco smoke (for lung cancer), or
Continuous common source epidemics may also rise to a peak and then fall, but the cases do not all occur means. one that promotes the process, such
People who
within the span of a single incubation period. This implies that there is an ongoing source of contamination. c d as estrogen (for endometrial cancer).
test negative
The down slope of the curve may be very sharp if the common source is removed or gradual if the outbreak is
allowed to exhaust itself. The epidemic curve below is from the cholera outbreak in the Broad Street area of After the disease process has been
London in 1854 that was investigated by Dr. John Snow. Cholera has an incubation period of 1-3 days, and triggered, pathological changes then
even though residents began to flee when the outbreak erupted, you can see that this outbreak lasted for more occur without the individual being
than a single incubation period. This suggests an ongoing source of infection, in this case the Broad Street Sensitivity is the chance of testing positive if you do have the disease. The equation to use for sensitivity aware of them. This stage of
pump. is: (a)/(a+b) subclinical disease, extending from
the time of exposure to onset of
Specificity is the chance of testing negative if you do not have the disease. The equation to use for disease symptoms, is usually called
specificity is: (d)/(d+b) the incubation period for infectious
diseases, and the latency period for
chronic diseases. During this stage,
Food (F) – There are sufficient nutrients available that promote the growth of microorganisms. Protein-rich foods, such disease is said to be asymptomatic
as meat , milk, eggs, and fish are the most susceptible. (no symptoms) or inapparent. This
Acidity (A)- Foodborne pathogens require a slightly acidic pH level of 4.6-7.5, while they thrive in conditions with a pH period may be as brief as seconds for
of 6.6-7.5. The United States Food and Drug Administration's (FDA) regulations for acid/acidified foods require that the hypersensitivity and toxic reactions to
Propagated (or food is to be brought to pH 4.5 or below. as long as decades for certain
progressive source) Time (T) - Food should be removed from "the danger zone" (see below) within two-four hours, either by cooling or chronic diseases. Even for a single
heating. While most guidelines state two hours, a few indicate four hours is still safe disease, the characteristic incubation
epidemic.
Temperature (T) - Food-borne pathogens grow best in temperatures between 41 to 135 °F (5 to 57 °C), a range referred period has a range. For example, the
to as the temperature danger zone (TDZ). They thrive in temperatures that are between 70 to 104 °F (21 to 40 °C). typical incubation period for hepatitis
Oxygen (O) - Almost all foodborne pathogens are aerobic, that is requiring oxygen to grow. Some pathogens, such as A is as long as 7 weeks. The latency
Clostridium botulinum, the source of botulism, are anaerobic. period for leukemia to become
evident among survivors of the
Moisture (M) - Water is essential for the growth of foodborne pathogens, water activity (aw) is a measure of the water
atomic bomb blast in Hiroshima
available for use and is measured on a scale of 0 to 1.0. Foodborne pathogens grow best in foods that have aw between ranged from 2 to 12 years, peaking at
0.95 and 1.0. FDA regulations for canned foods require aw of 0.85 or below. 6–7 years.