Professional Documents
Culture Documents
COMPANY NAME
Sales 100%
Raw material Expenses 76%
Change in Inventory (1%)
Power and Fuel Cost 1%
Other Mfr. Exp 2%
Employee Cost 6%
Selling and Admin Expenses 9%
Other Expenses 0%
Operating Profit Margin (OPM) % 8.1%
ncome Statement'!of V-GUARD INDUSTRIES LTD based on the financial numbers as follows:
18), 2566.44crores(FY19)", 2481.96crores(FY20), 2699crores(FY21), 3476.67crores(FY22), 4049.6crores(FY23)
crores(FY18), 219.7crores(FY19)", 254.01crores(FY20), 306.78crores(FY21), 334.82crores(FY22), 300.89crores(FY23)
es(FY18), 17.98crores(FY19)", 23.24crores(FY20), 20.81crores(FY21), 10.25crores(FY22), 14.84crores(FY23)
FY18), 237.68crores(FY19)", 277.25crores(FY20), 327.59crores(FY21), 345.07crores(FY22), 315.73crores(FY23)
8), 1.27crores(FY19)", 3.73crores(FY20), 5.6crores(FY21), 7.52crores(FY22), 15.92crores(FY23)
s(FY18), 21.82crores(FY19)", 28.09crores(FY20), 37.32crores(FY21), 47.5crores(FY22), 58.44crores(FY23)
8), 214.59crores(FY19)", 245.43crores(FY20), 284.67crores(FY21), 290.05crores(FY22), 241.37crores(FY23)
, 49.07crores(FY19)", 60.28crores(FY20), 85.69crores(FY21), 63.25crores(FY22), 62.04crores(FY23)
8), 165.52crores(FY19)", 185.15crores(FY20), 198.98crores(FY21), 226.8crores(FY22), 179.33crores(FY23)
on the financial health, trends and insight from the finncial numbers.
and if it continues in same tragedy, what is expected revenue and net profit in 2024 and 2025.
VERSION 8.100
TREND ANALYSIS
43.2
7.4% 7.8%
4.4% 4.5%
25.7%
31.3%
16.2x
4.1 11% 1% (4%)
60.3x
Mar-23
1.5154845155
100% 2.2966933167
69%
2%
0%
4%
7%
8%
1%
7.4%
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
FY17
FY18 Mar-18 FY18
FY19 Mar-19 FY19
Ratio Analysis
Operating Profit Margin (OPM) % 10.4%
Info-graphics & Charts Net Profit Margin (NPM) % 6.5%
Tax Payout % 28.4%
DCF Valuation Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 28.2x
Investment Decission
Stock Watchlist
Volatility ANALYSIS
LAST 3 MONTHS
TREND ANALYSIS
QoQ (Sequential) QoQ (Yearly)
1% 10%
6% 40%
(83%) (59%)
(7%) 32%
(10%) 27%
(10%) 30%
crores(3Q23), 1078.26crores(4Q23)
ores(3Q23), 85.23crores(4Q23)
Q23), 87.47crores(4Q23)
(3Q23), 8.92crores(4Q23)
, 61.68crores(4Q23)
), 46.62crores(4Q23)
Income Statement
(Quarterly) Fixed Assets (Net Block) 166
Balance Sheet Capital Work in Progress (CWIP) 3
Investments 0
Cash Flow Statement
Other Assets 509
Ratio Analysis Total Assets 679
TREND ANALYSIS
Mar-23 9 YEARS 5 YEARS 3 YEARS
43 40 43 43
1,545 885 1175 1356
501 82 131 211
626 435 542 609
2,715 1443 1891 2219
181 156
Mar-23
2%
57%
18%
23%
100%
16%
1%
31%
52%
100%
20%
25%
1%
Mar-17 FY17
Mar-18 FY18
Mar-19 FY19
Mar-20 FY20
Mar-21 FY21
Mar-22 FY22
Mar-23 FY23
Mar-18 FY18
Mar-19 FY19
Mar-20 FY20
Mar-21 FY21
Mar-22 FY22
Mar-23 FY23
COMPANY NAME
INR (in crores)
Cash from Operating Activity (CFO)
Cash from Investing Activity (CFI)
Cash from Financing Activity (CFF)
Multibagger List Net Cash Flow (CFO + CFI + CFF)
Income Statement (Yearly)
Cash & Equivalent at the end of year
Income Statement
Profit After Tax (PAT)
(Quarterly)
Balance Sheet
Cash from Operating Activity (CFO)
Cash Flow Statement
As a Equity Analyst, give me Cash Flow analysis of V-GUARD INDUSTRIES LTD based
here is the 6 Years Cash from Operating Activity numbers- 54.12crores(FY18), 153.42cror
here is the 6 Years Cash from Investing Activity numbers- -27.11crores(FY18), -49.79cror
here is the 6 Years Cash from Financing Activity numbers- -36.96crores(FY18), -24.07cro
here is the 6 Years Net Cash Flow numbers- -9.95crores(FY18), 79.56crores(FY19), -60.8
here is the 6 Years Cash & Equivalent numbers- 5.04crores(FY18), 84.65crores(FY19), 11
here is the 6 Capex numbers- 48.37crores(FY18), 34.99crores(FY19), 141.22crores(FY20)
here is the 6 Years Free Cash Flow numbers- 5.75crores(FY18), 118.43crores(FY19), -1.8
All figures are in Indian currency and numbers are in crores. Please comment on th
Also, give me the historical growth of the company, and if it continues in the same
Cash Flow Statement
3 2 8 15 5 85 112 281
9 13 34 48 35 141 76
79 118 96 6 118 (2) 145
TREND ANALYSIS
Mar-22 Mar-23 TOTAL 9 YEARS 5 YEARS 3 YEARS
(33) 416 1,412 19% 22% 23%
(133) (774) (1,236)
(61) 328 (164)
(227) (30) 12
54 24
91 104
(124) 312 749 16% 21% 29%
(276%) 25%
58%
Mar-17 FY17 Mar-17 FY17
Mar-18 FY18 Mar-18 FY18
Mar-19 FY19 Mar-19 FY19
Mar-20 FY20 Mar-20 FY20
Mar-21 FY21 Mar-21 FY21
Mar-22 FY22 Mar-22 FY22
Mar-23 FY23 Mar-23 FY23
COMPANY NAME
INR (in crores)
Operating Profit Margin (OPM) %
Net Profit Margin (NPM) %
Tax Payout %
Multibagger List Dividend Payout %
Interest Coverage Ratio (x)
Income Statement Earnings Per Share (EPS)
(Yearly) PE Ratio (x)
Income Statement
(Quarterly)
Net Fixed Asset Turnover
Balance Sheet Receivables Days
Inventory Turnover
Cash Flow
Debt To Equity
Statement
Return on average Equity (RoAE)
Ratio Analysis
Return on average Capital Employed
Info-graphics & Charts
CFO/PAT (atleast 80%)
DCF Valuation
Investment Decission
Stock Watchlist
Volatility ANALYSIS
LAST 3 MONTHS
AVG 5
ROCE 17.4%
ROE 22.7%
LTD
Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 TTM
11.4% 9.6% 7.4% 7.8%
7.4% 6.5% 4.4% 4.5%
30.1% 21.8% 25.7%
25.9% 24.7% 31.3%
51.8x 39.6x 16.2x
4.63 5.26 4.15
54.6x 41.1x 60.3x
7139(FY22), 0.0743011655472145(FY23)
9(FY22), 0.0442833860134334(FY23)
0.313350434976578(FY23)
FY22), 16.161432160804x(FY23)
46459972(FY23)
997044555x(FY23)
6x(FY22), 9.5627841076805x(FY23)
610060252864(FY23)
22), 5.26161242123043x(FY23)
78966132x(FY22), 0.315214105793451x(FY23)
1103(FY22), 0.11993312155158(FY23)
16977107919807(FY22), 0.144650180890029(FY23)
45061728395062(FY22), 2.31946690458931(FY23)
Mar-17 FY17 FY17
Mar-18 FY18 FY18 Mar-18 FY18
Mar-19 FY19 FY19 Mar-19 FY19
Mar-20 FY20 FY20 Mar-20 FY20
Mar-21 FY21 FY21 Mar-21 FY21
Mar-22 FY22 FY22 Mar-22 FY22
Mar-23 FY23 FY23 Mar-23 FY23
COMPANY NAME >>
5000
Multibagger List 4000
3000 14.99%
Income Statement (Yearly) 2000 6.57%
1000 1731 1845
Income Statement 1506
0
(Quarterly) Aug-13 Dec-14 May-16
Balance Sheet
11%
Operating
10% Margin (%)
8% 9%
7% 7%
6%
6%
36.7% 36.7%
28.0% 26.3% 2
20.3%
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE (QoQ)
1080 114
1050 1010 981 979
f Excel.
Expenses NOCF
k into a Volatility ANALYSIS
ak the chart. 1%
0%
0% LAST 3 MONTHS Mar-23 416
17%
DC
Mar-22
-33
OC
OI Mar-21 222
NOC
73% NI
Mar-20 139
Mar-19 153
11%
Operating
10% Margin (%) Net Profit Margin (%)
10% Debt to
7% 7% 7%
7%
4%
0.01x 0.01x
Mar-19 Mar-20
Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
4%
% 36.7%
ROCE
26.3% 26.2% 25.7% 25.9% 26.0% 25.5%
19.2% 20.0% 19.6% 18.1%
28.81% 0.35
0.3
0.25
16.48%
4050 0.2
3477 0.15
8.74%
2699 0.1
0.05
0
-0.05
-20 Oct-21 Mar-23 Jul-24
222
0.32x
0.05x 0.05x
0.01x
Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
ROCE Polynomial (ROCE)
25.5%
21.7%
9.6% 18.1% 17.4%
14.5%
12.0%
Particulars
REVENUE (YoY)
Revenue Growth (%)
Particulars
PRICE
Particulars
REVENUE (QoQ)
Particulars
Operating Margin (%)
Net Profit Margin (%)
Particulars
ROCE
ROE
COMPANY GRAPH
V-GUARD INDUSTRIES LT
1.5 2.5
Year Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.01x 0.01x 0.05x 0.05x
2.5
Mar-23
0.32x
73%
17%
0%
0%
1%
Mar-23
312
Mar-23
416
Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Sep-23 Dec-23
979 1080 1148 1072 1078
Balance Sheet
Ratio Analysis
DCF Valuation
Investment Decission
Stock Watchlist
DCF Valuat
COMPANY NAME
Initial Cash Flow (Rs Cr) ₹ 95
Estimated Growth Rate NO
Years 1-10
FCF Growth Rate 20.00%
Discount Rate 9.50%
Terminal Growth Rate 5.00%
MANUAL
EPS% DIVIDEND%
Investment return = 20.00% -0.04%
Total Investment return = 19.96%
FUNDAMENTAL 🧩 MANUAL
₹ 0.73 ₹ -2.22
Capital Gains + Dividends = ₹ 180,380 ₹ 174,824
Estimated 10th Year Market Cap = ₹ 24,977.88 ₹ 24,977.88
Discounted Estimated 10th Year Market Cap = ₹ 10,078.93 ₹ 10,078.93
Discounted Dividends = ₹ 16.61 ₹ -62.42
Discounted Value = ₹ 10,095.54 ₹ 10,016.51
Disounted Earnings Valuation = ₹ 232.54 ₹ 230.72
`
DCF Valuation
IES LTD
STOCK IS UNDERVALUED
C
STOCK IS OVERVALUED D
EXPECTED DIVIDEND INCOME ANALYSIS (FUNDAMENTAL GROWTH)
YEAR EPS DPR Dividends
CURRENT 4.1 31.3% 1.30
1 4.49 31.3% 1.41
2 4.86 31.3% 1.52
3 5.26 31.3% 1.65
4 5.69 31.3% 1.78
5 6.16 31.3% 1.93
6 6.63 40.1% 2.66
7 7.09 48.8% 3.46
8 7.54 57.5% 4.34
9 7.96 66.3% 5.28
10 8.36 75.0% 6.27
Expected Dividend Income From This Stock In Next The 10 Years 31.60
₹ 1.29
₹ 1.27
₹ 1.26
₹ 1.24
₹ 1.23
₹ 1.54
₹ 1.83
₹ 2.10
₹ 2.33
₹ 2.53
₹ 16.61
WTH)
Pr. Value
₹ -3.29
₹ -3.60
₹ -3.95
₹ -4.32
₹ -4.74
₹ -5.19
₹ -5.69
₹ -6.24
₹ -6.84
₹ -18.56
₹ -62.42
INVES
COMPANY NAME
Particulars
Multibagger List Net Profit (Rs Crore)
Net Profit Margin
Income Statement (Yearly) Return on Equity
20.00%
YOU CAN INVEST C
1,249
70.4
20.0
DON'T INVEST D
24,978 Investment Signal
D
10%
10,017
13,953
174,824
19.96%
-14.00%
6.00%
-0.04% Volatility ANALYSIS
5.95% LAST 3 MONTHS
VERSION 8.100
TD
Mar/22 Mar/23 CAGR (9-Yr) CAGR (5-Yr)
227 179 11% 2%
7% 4%
12% 0%
Warren B
V-G
B ES
ST
L
T
ECONOMIC MOAT
INDICATOR
Monopoly 0.9 Increasing
Oligopoly 0.7 Gradually Decreasing
Perfect Competition 0.2 Stable
Monopolistic Competition 0.6 Sudden Decrease
Monopsony 0.8
Oligopsony 0.6 Decreasing DC
Natural Monopoly 1.0 Decreasing OP
Decreasing DC & OP
Increasing DC
Narrow Network 0.3 Increasing OP
Wide Network 1.0 Increasing DC & OP
Moderate Network 0.6
Increasing R&D
Highly Leverage -1.0 Decreasing R&D
Low Leverage 1.0 Stable R&D
Moderately Leverage 0.7
No Leverage 0.8 Price Setter
Price Follower
Strong 1 Average
Moderate 0.7
Insignificant 0.4 Grater than 15%
Less than 15%
0% Worst 10% L
30% Bad 30% L
50% Average 50% K
75% Good 70% J
90% Best 90% J
Bad
30% 1% 169.00%
1 Strong 1 1 0.6
0.6 Moderate 0.7 2 0.6
0.8 Insignificant 0.4 3 1
-4 4 -4
5 1
0.7 Strongly Agree 1 6 0.4
0.8 Agree 0.6 7 1
1 Disgree -4 8 1
0.6 9 1
0.5 10 1
0.2 11 1
Score 4.6
1
0.4 42%
0.6
1
0.2
0.6
0.3
1
L
benjamin graham Formu
V-GUARD INDUSTRIES LTD
Here, EPS is the trailing 12-month EPS, 10x is the P/E ratio of a stock with a growth rate (g%) is the
aham Formula
DUSTRIES LTD
G)
ock with a growth rate (g%) is the growth rate for the next 7-10 years
*In case of
companies
earning
negative
FCF, where
this model
will not
Dhandho Intrinsic Value
work, you V-GUARD INDUSTRIES L
must use a
normalized
positive Dhandho - Lower Range
FCF as the Year FCF (Rs Cr) PV of FCF (Rs Cr)
starting
number. 0 Excess Cash (Latest) 24
This number 1 FY24 109 98
is your
2 FY25 126 100
assumption
of FCF the 3 FY26 145 103
business will 4 FY27 159 101
earn in a
normal year, 5 FY28 175 99
without 6 FY29 192 97
capex.
Check the 7 FY30 202 91
history of 8 FY31 212 86
this business
while 9 FY32 223 80
arriving at 10 FY33 234 75
your
10 2,338 753
assumption,
and use your Intrinsic Value 1,708
judgment Current Mkt. Cap. 13,953
wisely
without Premium/(Discount) to IV 717%
twisting the
model to fit
your version
of reality.
o Intrinsic Value Calculation
V-GUARD INDUSTRIES LTD
+
Current Assets
Mar-22 Mar-23
1,13,948 99,151
Accounts
Receivable -12.99%
Mar-22 Mar-23
12,246 8,257
-32.57%
+ Operating Income
Cash & Mar-22 Mar-23
Equivalents 63,490 32,300
Mar-22 Mar-23
-49.13%
15,899 13,357
-15.99% -
Non-Operating
Expenses
Mar-22 Mar-23
23,336 23,540
0.87%
Du-Point Analysis
V-GUARD INDUSTRIES LTD
D Assets Sales
Mar-23 Mar-22 Mar-23
÷
9.13%
Net Profit
ng Income Net Profit Margin
Mar-22
Mar-23 Mar-22 Mar-23
16.46%
32,300 40,154 8,760
-1286 bps
9.13% -78.18%
÷
Operating Sales
penses
Mar-23 Mar-22 Mar-23
.87% -0.25%
Assets Turnover
Mar-22 Mar-23
86.38% 85.27%
-111 bps RETURN ON
X INVESTMENT
Mar-22
14.22%
Mar-23
3.07%
Net Profit -1115 bps
Margin
Mar-22 Mar-23
16.46% 3.60%
-1286 bps
181 156
-13.69%
850 689
-18.88%
479 532
10.95%
54 24
-55.27%
2,082 2,715 -
30.38%
1,564 1,401
-10.39%
335 301
-10.13%
3,477 4,050
16.48%
227 179
-20.93%
166.96% 149.16%
-1780 bps
6.52% 4.43%
-210 bps
10.89% 6.60%
-429 bps
108 122
12.54%
Piotroski F-Score Cal
V-GUARD INDUSTRIES LTD
4
∆ ROA 0
ACCRUAL 1
Leverage, Liquidity, Source of Funds
∆ LEVERAGE 0
∆ LIQUID 0
EQ_OFFER 0
😓
Operating Efficiency
∆ MARGIN 0
∆ TURN 1
Total Score 4
Fscore 44% 56%
COMPANY NAME V-GUARD INDUSTRIES LTD
LATEST VERSION 2.10
CURRENT VERSION 2.10
PLEASE DO NOT
META
Number of shares 43.41
Face Value 1
Current Price 321.4
Market Capitalization 13953.45
Quarters
Report Date Sep-21 Dec-21 Mar-22 Jun-22
Sales 902.96 960.89 1050.27 1009.64
Expenses 809.41 876.31 939.45 927.75
Other Income 2.73 2.75 3.3 5.06
Depreciation 10.81 13.43 12.32 12.9
Interest 3.03 1.44 1.56 1.72
Profit before tax 82.44 72.46 100.24 72.33
Tax 23.38 19.95 9.63 18.3
Net profit 59.06 52.5 90.6 54.02
Operating Profit 93.55 84.58 110.82 81.89
BALANCE SHEET
Report Date Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17
Equity Share Capital 29.85 29.97 30.09 42.47
Reserves 288.59 347.76 440.69 591.9
Borrowings 108.35 67.77 10.39 5.66
Other Liabilities 251.87 279.42 235.34 294.24
Total 678.66 724.92 716.51 934.27
Net Block 166.2 162.37 161.02 168.65
Capital Work in Progress 3.46 1.21 0.08 10.42
Investments 19.39 88.87
Other Assets 509 561.34 536.02 666.33
Total 678.66 724.92 716.51 934.27
Receivables 212.1 243.71 279.24 312.12
Inventory 252.55 260.88 204.69 274.33
Cash & Bank 2.77 2.21 7.59 14.96
No. of Equity Shares 29847520 29973141 30085244 424654461
New Bonus Shares ###
Face value 10 10 10 1
CASH FLOW:
Report Date Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17
Cash from Operating Activity 110.8 88.72 131.07 129.85
Cash from Investing Activity -27.99 -16.88 -31.6 -105.54
Cash from Financing Activity -92.61 -72.38 -94.14 -16.09
Net Cash Flow -9.8 -0.55 5.33 8.23
PRICE: 33 65 63 173
DERIVED:
Adjusted Equity Shares in Cr 42 42 42 42
PLEASE DO NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THIS SHEET
OVERVIEW
1 1 1 1 1 1
43 43 43 43 43 43
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OVERVIEW
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Hybrid Investing Excel Analysis - Version 7.001
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Step 4 - Scroll back to the top of the page, and you will see a button "Export to Excel" on the right side. Click the button and
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IMPORTANT INSTRUCTIONS
1. Ensure that the company whose data you are downloading has numbers at least starting from FY08 (March 2008). This is
if, for instance, the company has financials starting from, say, FY10, you will see incorrect data for FY08 and FY09 (which w
Ambuja Cement on whose financials I have created this Analysis sheet format)
2. All financial data of your chosen company will be automatically updated in the sheet you download, except "Cash and Ba
(Balance Sheet sheet) and Capex (Cash Flow sheet) figures, which you must update manually from the company's annual re
Don’t forget to make these changes as these numbers are key inputs in a few Intrinsic Value calculations.
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4. DON’T touch any cell except the black ones, where you are required to update the numbers manually from Annual Repo
Cash and Capex numbers) or where you may change the growth assumptions etc.
4. I have added Comments and Instructions wherever necessary so as to explain the concepts. Read those carefully before w
on the sheet.
5. This sheet is not a replacement of the work required to read annual reports as part of the analysis process. So please do th
with working on this sheet. You may sometime find some discrepancy in numbers (though rare), but you will know this on
you read annual reports.
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