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ICELAND
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Background Summary
For a long time, Iceland was a distant, otherworldly place that few travelled to.
But in the last decade, the ‘Land of Fire and Ice’ has stridden rather than seeped into
the global consciousness. It’s now a familiar presence on our screens, in our
magazines, on our holiday itineraries, and the secret is out: it’s beautiful.
However, Iceland’s appeal goes beyond its beauty. It’s also a recognized,
respected leader in cultural, social and environmental sustainability. Through hard
work and considerate choices, Iceland now ranks highly on many indexes for
sustainability and standards of living, and its capital, Reykjavík, has gained numerous
plaudits too.
At the beginning of the 20th century, Iceland was one of Europe's poorest
countries, its people relying on a precarious and polluting mix of imported coal and
local peat for electricity.
But over the next century, the island nation would pull off one of the great
energy makeovers in history, casting off fossil fuels and embracing geothermal power.
Today, nearly 100 percent of Iceland's electricity comes from renewable sources, a
transformation that has helped make its 366,000 people some of the wealthiest in
Europe (OECD, 2021).
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Iceland has a very small, open economy, built on plentiful and cheap renewable
energy, the aluminum industry, tourism and fishing. Its people enjoy a high standard
of living and a good environment, with excellent water quality, low air pollution and
easy access to uncontaminated nature. The deep recession sparked by the 2008
financial crisis reduced some pressures on the environment, but also affected the
resources available for environmental programs and related infrastructure investment.
At the same time, it spurred interest in the transition towards a greener economy. The
natural environment is a key asset for Iceland’s recovery: it provides abundant hydro
and geothermal energy reserves, as well as the pristine wilderness and spectacular
landscapes that attract thousands of tourists every year.
Abundant and cheap renewable energy is one of Iceland’s key economic assets.
Power production capacity has expanded enormously to meet demand from new
energy-intensive industry, notably aluminum smelting. This has helped diversify the
economy, but also exerted pressures on the country’s unique landscape and fragile
ecosystems, and generated heated public debate. Iceland needs to fully address these
land-use conflicts if it is to succeed in developing its economy based on both power-
intensive industry and nature-based tourism. The recent energy master plan is a step
in the right direction. Reducing fossil fuel use in transport and fishing remains a
major challenge, given the relative lack of alternatives.
Economic growth will slow to 2.5% in 2023 and 2.3% in 2024. Private
consumption will weaken as wage growth moderates and dissaving comes to an end.
Business and housing investment are likely to decrease as financial conditions
continue to tighten, and public investment will also decline in 2023-24. Export growth
will remain strong thanks to robust growth of foreign tourism.
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