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INTRODUCTION
This chapter consists of background of the study, statement of the problem, purpose
of the study, research questions, and significance of the study, limitation, delimitation
Chance also called probability according to the Oxford Advance Learners Dictionary
means how likely something is to happen. According to the 1981 edition of the world
book encyclopedia, when we say one event has a higher chance or is more probable
than another, we mean that,, that event is more likely to happen. The branch of
the form. An event ‘A’ is more or less probable the event ‘B’.
If a person tosses a coin for example, there are only two ways it can fall-head or tail.
It is as likely to fall on the head or tail. So we say that the probability of falling on the
head is ½. There are mathematical statements for all situation of this kind. For
example, let ‘m’ stand for any number of event that are equally likely to happen and
‘n’ for the number of those events that would be favorable. Then the chance that a
favorable event will happen is “n/m” but the chance that unfavorable events will
common in Junior High School level and it’s important that is taught well at this level.
It is very important in many life situations and it is applicable in many work fields of
works and human endeavor. For example, life insurance companies chance rules.
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When people take insurance policies, the company must be able to estimate how long
Each group has a different chance called ‘life expectancy’. Scientist uses the rule of
chance in interpreting statistical and estimating true values from experimental data.
Knowledge of chance reduces the risk of taking chances. It helps people to expect and
also give considering to all possible outcome of event. Chance also assist people to
reasonable and hold themselves accountable for whatever that comes out from their
own actions without attributing blame to others or spiritual forces. Chance has its root
form grumbling and it is useful for prediction sales, planning political campaigns and
others.
The relevance of the concept is however, being underplayed by most of our primary
school teachers. An average child of basic school six could be asked what chance of
his or her school team is winning a match in the inter-school sports competition or
what will be a chance that a coin will show up ‘coat of arms’ when it is tossed and
these pupils are not able to answer. As a mathematics teacher and researcher and for
the that matter, I have had several experience of asking these and many more
questions but sadly enough responses to these questions turned out to be ridiculous if
the pupils attempt to answer. This informed my decision to take up this topic and
undertake a thorough research into it. This research was carried out in the researcher’s
own school at Amonie Anglican Primary School where the researcher teaches in the
Western Region in Ghana, where residents of the area are predominantly traders,
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Statement of the problem
Mathematics is one of the few but major subjects at all levels of our educational
system. At the basic school level it is at all levels. Chance in the primary school in
particular, is to enable pupils to reason, explore, guess and communicate and solve
problem. It is for this reason that need attention should be given to improve the
learning of the concept at primary six (6) for pupils to develop interest in it.
The purpose of the study is to identify the problem in teaching and learning of chance
in primary six and suggest effective and efficient methods of teaching the concept.
Research Questions
In a determined effort to achieve the aims of the research, the researcher sought
1. How could the use of materials with relevant practical activities help pupils of
It is my great expectation that solution and recommendation to the study will bring a
tremendous change in the attitude of teachers in their choice of method for teaching
the concept. The results will help primary school teachers to understand chance with
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ease and will be more efficient in understanding the use of new and simply strategies
in teaching chance. Interestingly, the study will also help teachers who will read and
apply the suggestions to effectively teach chance to primary six (6) pupils with
practical examples for pupils to enjoy the lesson and develop concept. Pupils will be
able to understand how the prediction they hear around about football matches,
weather forecast, lottery and others are based on probability. The result will also serve
teachers. It could also be used at the college of Education level to teach newly trained
teachers. Lastly, it woo provide the needed information for solving a lot of other
mathematics.
Limitation
I got confronted with some petty problems in the course of the research. At a point I
was not getting the right number of the target population and so, had to get a
replacement. Again, the instrument used for collecting data were sometimes giving
some unexpected results, but I was able to minimize the errors by using the
instruments side by side to ensure that these errors were not significant enough to
Delimitation
The intention of the study was to identify some of the problems with chance at
Amonie Anglican Primary School and effective method of teaching the concept at that
level. The study covered Amonie Anglican basic six pupil and three teachers
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Definition of terms
Chance: It is how something is likely to happen. The numeral value assigned to the
Outcome: The possible result of an experiment. For example, the outcome of tossing a
A Certain Event: It is an event that is sure to happen and has a chance of one (1)
The study is made up of five chapters. The first chapter covers the introductory aspect
of the study. It discusses the background to the study, statement of the problem,
delimitations, definition of terms used in the study and ends with organization of the
study.
Chapter two deals with the review of the related literature of the study. The ideas and
findings of some authorities on chance are reviewed in the study. The third chapter,
which is the methodology, it embodies the population used for the study. It explains
the sample and sampling procedure, the research design, instruments and the
The forth chapter touches on the findings of the study. It provides an overview of
statistical procedures used in analyzing the findings. Chapter five and of course the
interpret the findings and recommendations and suggestions for future research.
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CHAPTER TWO
LITERATURE REVIEW
Mathematics has importance in our daily applicants. A topic like chance makes
mathematics practical and interesting. This chapter deals with the review of related
literature. The idea, views and findings of some authors of chance are brought to light
in the study. Different mathematics authors have defined chance in various ways but
all point to the same fact. According to Brillstein (1993), chances are ratios expressed
of experiments. James, B (1967) stated that chances are the measure of strength of an
expectation of future events. This implies that if we are sure that and event is going to
improbable and if we are inclined we may express our expectation in the form of a
Juhan Coolidge (1958) writes that an event can be happen on a certain numbers of
ways which these is classified as favorable. The ratio of the number of favorable ways
to the total number is called the chance that the event turns out favorable. This
definition seems to be more detailed and has immediate application in many real life
situations. The study of chance according to Richman (1900) was first to inspired by
the need to calculate betting strategies in games of choice. Some examples of uses of
chance in our everyday life conversation include the following; What is the chance
that Ghana will win the Sudan 2011 CHAN tournament. There is a 50% chance of
raining today. It is less probable for teachers to get the single spine salary this month,
etc. in theory; chance deals with and shows how to measure risk and uncertainties.
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Things we do often have certain outcomes. When we roll a dice we know it will fall
with it face showing up one of these; 1, 2,3,4,5, or 6 but we do not know in advance
which particular number will show up. Similarly, for a toss of a coin, we cannot know
before we toss of a coin, we cannot know before we toss whether it will show up
cocoa coat of arms. Our world is full of uncertainty and risk. Chance as a theory and
practice has developed in our present world. Almost every household uses and apply
This has actually made the teaching of probability in our schools highly indispensible.
The knowledge of chance is needed in every aspect of our life today. A lot of people
enjoy some of the events associated with chance itself. This might accounts for the
large number of people who enjoy gambling at stadia, lotteries of all sorts.
young at six years of age. He believes that children at this age are for more likely to
talk about certainty in terms that relate specially to themselves. For example, a six
year old child might offer as certain “I will wake up tomorrow morning”. Children at
this level are supposed to know the following; to recognize outcome of simple
random events such as realizing that, a new born baby will either be a “boy” or a
“girl”. They should also recognized that there is a degree of uncertainty about the
outcome of some events and other events can be either certain that it will get dark
tonight but it is impossible that they (the children) will be twenty years tomorrow.
In any case chance is used consciously and unconsciously by everyone making all
primary six ought to be well educated to behave rationally and should have some
knowledge about chance. The idea of chance will increase pupils learning experience
by enabling them to explore their environment and to critically assess situation before
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giving judgment. To achieve this objective the basic concept of chance must be taught
truly to the pupils using the appropriate methodology suitable to their age level.
According to Chautein (1991), the help of concrete material (maps, and chats) may be
The teacher can use mathematical games and simulation in elementary classes for
chance and their application in variety of life situations, Brillstein (1993), again states
the if conceptual understandings are linked with procedures, children will not perceive
mathematics as an arbitrary set rules, will not need to learn or memorize many
procedures and will have the foundation to apply, recreate and invent new one when
needed. Hence, the teaching of chance in our primary school should be based on many
activities to make the concept more practical and interesting for pupils to learn and
enjoy it effectively.
In summary, the various authors though with different definitions underscore the
importance of chance in our daily lives and the need to use the appropriate and
efficient method. Such as games, simulations etc. to make the concept seem real and
also the use of concrete materials like dice, coin and bottle tops to perform activities
Matins (1994) point out to the facts that, chances should be introduces to children as
young as six years of age. He also pointed out two important facts of chance that
simple random events and recognizing that there is a degree of uncertainty about the
outcome of some events and other events are either certain or impossible.
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CHAPTER THREE
METHODOLOGY
Introduction
This chapter discusses the methodology or set of methods and principles used in
conducting the research. It describes the population of the study, sample and sampling
procedures and the types of design used. It also describes the data collection
instruments and their administration as well as how data was collected and analyzed.
Research Design
through the application of practical method with teaching and learning materials to the
teaching and learning of chance. And observational case study was preferred to other
design as it seeks to find out the methods teachers use at the primary six (6) to
produce JHS,SHS and other tertiary student who fear chance and find a lasting
solution to it.
The target population consists of all pupils and teachers in Nkwanta D/A Primary but
for the sake of the type of design, I used Amonie Anglican Primary Six pupils where I
am teaching. My choice was informed by the fact that I am a teacher in the school
Primary teachers of Catholic, Methodist and Amonie Anglican primary school were
also included in the sample. The sample size of the accessible population is composed
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of three teachers and thirty pupils. The composition and size of population are in the
table below.
Methodist Primary - - 1 -
Amonie Anglican 18 21 1 -
Primary
In the class of 51 pupils, 30 pupils were selected randomly using cluster sampling of
done and also to obtain information that is representative of the whole target
population.
Instruments
interview. Due to the limitations, sometimes inherent in these instruments, they were
used side by side to complement each other and thereby providing greater reliability
mainly focused. The interviewed teachers were also just a stone thrown away. This
made it easier for the require information to be sought from the teachers and the
pupils. The researcher used the first week for the pre-test where he sought to find out
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the results of the old method of teaching chance. The pupils’ behavior and skills were
also taken within the period. Three weeks were used for the interventions, all in
mathematics periods and one day was used for the post-intervention and a week for
the interview.
Pre-Intervention
The old method of teaching chance was used by the researcher to teach the pupils,
who is teaching in abstract where no concrete materials are used or engaging pupils in
any relevant and related activities. After that, 15 chance questions were set, structure
into two sections, section one A and B with a time limit of 30 minutes. Section A was
made up of multiple choice item where require to choose from four options. Section B
was made up of essay type questions where pupils were demanded to supply their
own answer is meant to find out how pupil grasp the concept when the old method is
used. The test was later collected, score and graded. During the testing it was noticed
that, most of the pupils unable to answer or solve the problems. An intervention was
therefore needed to address the problem. But then pupil’s behavior and skills were
Intervention
It was meant to teach the pupils the concept chance to address the difficulties pupils
faced during the intervention, the concept was taught using activities such as throwing
a coin, rolling a dice, sorting bottle tops from a box and picking labeled cards from a
box, concrete materials like dice, coins, bottle tops and labeled cards were used during
the activities. Pupils were put in sic groups of five and were engaged in various
activities using these concrete materials. The activities were attended among the
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groups. Again, during the intervention, a lot of varied activities which involve the use
Post Intervention
After the intervention, the 15 questions which was given to the pupils during the pre-
test were again given to the pupils to answers under the same condition as the pre-
test. The test was also scored and graded. The performance of both test (pre-test and
post-test) were compared and it evidently showed that the performance I the post –test
This resulted from the interventional strategies put in place. The questions for the pre-
test and the post – test are found in the appendix of the study.
Data obtained from the pre-test and post-test were analyzed quantitatively. The results
of two tests were also compared. In chapter four the data collected will be presented
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CHAPTER FOUR
This chapter deal with data presentation, analysis of the data received and the
statistical procedure adopted to organize and analyze the data. The various data
Good 6 20
Average 10 33.3
Below Average 12 40
Total 30 100
The data that 2 (6.7%) of the pupils were very good. 6 (20%) were good, 10 (33.3%)
performed averagely and 12 (40%) of the pupils performance was below average.
This shows that, before the intervention most of the pupils had little knowledge in
chance.
The table below shows the behavior of pupils towards chance before the intervention.
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Table 2: Behavior of pupils towards chance
Uncooperative 15 50
Participating 5 16.7
Co-operative 4 13.3
Friendly 1 3.3
Tolerant 5 16.7
Total 30 100
It is evident from the table that, 15 (50%) of the pupils exhibited uncooperative
attitude towards the chance, 5(16.7%) were participatory, 4(13.3%) were cooperative.
Only 1 (3.3%) showed friendly attitude towards the concept, and those who were
tolerant were 5(16.7%) be inferred from the table that before the intervention, 50%
that is half of the class was uncooperative towards the lesson. This can be trace to the
fact that pupils have limited knowledge in the concept and did not actively take part in
the lesson. The numbers of pupil, that is 1 (3.3%) and (5 (16.7%) who were
respectively friendly and tolerant is a clear indication that the pupils were not engaged
Table 3 contains data on the skills of the pupils before the invention.
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Table 3: Skills of pupils before the intervention
Leadership 5 16.7
Observation 6 20
Investigation 1 3.3
Report Writing 15 50
Questioning 1 10
Total 30 100
It can be deduced from the data that 5(16.7% of the pupils showed leadership skill, 6
exhibited the skills of report writing and questioning was 3(10%). It can be seen from
the data before the investigations that pupils did not have skills of investigations and
questioning in chance.
Table 4 gives information about pupils after the intervention that is during the post-
test
Very Good 21 70
Good 6 20
Average 2 6.7
Total 30 100
The result above shows that 21(70) of the pupils have very good, 6(20%) of them has
good, 2(6.7%) had average and 1 (3.3%) had below average. When we compare in the
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table 4 and table 1, it can be deduced that, in table 4 the majority of the pupils
performed excellently well. It indicates that, the intervention used include the use of a
lot of activities, practical and materials fostered remembrance in the pupils and it help
them to perform better. Also, pupils’ participation during the intervention helped them
Tolerance 3 10
Cooperative 18 60
Friendly 3 10
Participating 6 20
Total 30 100
It is evident from the table that 3(10%) of the pupils were tolerant, 18 (60%) were
cooperative, 3 (10%) were friendly and those who were participating were 6(20%),
when we compare the behavior of the pupils after the intervention with pupils
behavior before intervention, it can be deduced from the data that, pupils desirable
attitude towards the teaching and learning of chance. The pupils developed the
participatory and cooperative attitude from the practical nature of the intervention
lesson.
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Communication 7 23.3
Observation 7 23.3
Investigation 7 23.3
Questioning 8 26.7
Total 30 100
The date in table 6 indicates that 7 (23.3%) of the pupils developed communication
skills. Another 7 (23.3%) developed observation skills, 8 (26.7%) forming the chunk
exhibited by pupils in table 6 with that of table 3, it can be inferred from the data in
table 6 that the pupils developed different skills with questioning forming the chunk.
This goes to prove that when pupils are taken the through practical work they are
given the opportunity to explore, which results in investigation. As pupils explore and
investigate, they are challenge to ask question hence the impressive percentage of the
The observation skill that the pupils acquired was due to different material which was
included in the intervention lesson and fact that they were made available for pupils to
view and manipulated them. It was therefore not just coincidence when farrant (1984)
states that pupils should be trained in a careful observation by giving the things to
look for pictures. Pictures as learning aids are for simulation interest, creating
impressions and bringing lessons to live. The use of good methods like simulation and
games to teach a practical concept like chance together with activities from life
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and skill. This is in response to the second research question which sought to find out
the effective methods of teaching a practical concept like chance. In attempt to seek
answer to the question of why teachers teach a practical concept like chance in
abstract, which is research question 3, some responses from the teachers I interviewed
buttress the fact that there are no teaching and learning materials in their schools. The
researcher was therefore not mistaking when his research question four wanted to find
out if the problem had got to do with lack of teaching and learning materials. In
response to this problem, raised by some of the teachers, they were made to
understand that materials to teach chance are readily available without cost. Teachers
The research could infer from another version of the teacher’s response that, most
teachers do the abstract teaching because of laziness and ignorance of the relevant
materials and how to use them in teaching. But it can be confirmed from the skills and
behavior of pupils after the intervention that teachers are extremely relieved of the
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CHAPTER FIVE
Introduction
This chapter is of three sections. The first section deals with the summary of the study
and its findings. The second section present the research questions and the third
Summary
The study was aimed at identifying the problems in the teaching and learning of the
teaching the concept. The accessible population consisted of 30 class.Six pupils from
Amonie Anglican Primary and three teachers from Catholic, Methodist and Amonie
The data collection instrument used were test, questionnaire and interview and the
main data for analysis consisted of the scores of the pupils in questionnaire, teachers’
response to the questionnaire of the interview, skills and behavior of pupils. The data
was quantitatively analyzed using percentage. It was seen that pupils in Amonie
Anglican Primary Six can understand the concept and use it in solving a variety of
daily problems if teachers use practical approach and concrete teaching and also use
examples from day to day activities of pupils. The researcher find out that, teachers
often leave out some topics in the mathematics syllabus untaught with the complaint
of out-loaded syllabus. The left out topics include the concept of this study, chance.
This makes the pupils progress to the next level naïve of the concept.
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Lastly, it was found so fully participate in the lesson. Children like playing and can
easily arouse their interest. Just the sight of these dice, coin etc. In classroom is
Conclusion This study has at least identified two major problems, why pupils at
Amonie Anglican primary Six (6) cannot answer simple chance question and tend fear
2. Those who try it do so in abstract. It has revealed in this study that pupils in
Amonie Anglican Primary Six can answer almost all questions on chance and
even use the concept in solving other related problems if practical teaching
level especially.
Chance could be simple and interesting to learn if the practical and method are
Recommendation
The following based on the findings of the study could help effective teaching and
sensitive and challenging mathematical concepts like chance so that they could
the concept and methodologies to teach trainers in a manner in which they will
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be expected to handle them in the Primary using concrete materials in a lot of
designed activities.
hence teachers should use teaching methods that lead pupils to discover
freely and actively with the materials for self-discovering on the concept.
effectively.
Suggestions
1. It will be important to look at how the teacher handles chance at the primary
level
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REFERENCES
Wintson Inc.
Michigan.
C.R.D.D (1986), Ghana Mathematics Series, Pupils Books Six. Accra. Publishing
Corporation
C.R.D.D (1986). Ghana Mathematics Series Teachers’ hand book Six, Accra.
Publishing
Corporation
C.R.D.D (2000), Ghana Mathematics Series, Pupils Book six. Accra. Publishing
Corporation.
Unimare Publishing.
Inc.
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APPENDIX
Section A
If a dice is thrown
4. What is the chance of getting an even number? a) 9/12 b)3/6 c)4/6 d)2/6
5. How many ways are for them to kick out the same leg? a)3/5 b)1/4 c)1/2 d)1/4
6. How many ways are there for the children to kick different legs? a)3/4 b)1/4
c)4/4 d)1.2
A bag contains 4 green bottle tops. 8 yellow bottle tops and 12 red bottle tops
8. If Kwesi takes 1 bottles top out of the bag, how many different colours could it
9. What is the chance of it being a red bottle? a)6/24 b)1/2 c)1/24 d)2/24
10. What is the chance of it being a green bottle top? a) 24 b)1 c)0
d)16
Section B
1. What is the chance of picking a card with a month beginning with letter “J” ?
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3. What is the chance of picking a card with a month that has exactly four
letters?
5. From your table, list the pair of numbers on two dice for which the sum is;
i. 5
iii. At least 10
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