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ISBN: 978-0-12-823816-5
For all the Black, Brown, and White women and men, youth and adults working
day and night to make the world a more just and sustainable place
Contents
vii
viii Contents
Role of regional institutions such as the African A broad definition of overfishing 213
Development Bank 189 Climate change impacts on fish and ocean life 215
Conclusion 189 How ending overfishing can increase fish stock
References 190 resilience under climate change 216
End overfishing, increase fish abundance of
15. Climate change is a huge challenge to commercial stocks 216
Infinity Fish 193 End overfishing, protect the integrity of marine
food webs 217
Introduction 193 End overfishing, avoid marine habitat
Biophysical impacts on fisheries 194 degradation 217
Changes in the productivity of fish stocks 196 End overfishing, decrease CO2 emissions by the
Shifts in fish-stock distribution 196 fishing sector 217
Changes in ecosystem productivity 197 End overfishing, increase fish biomass and CO2
Projecting fisheries impacts into the future 198 sequestration by marine life 218
Economic impacts on fisheries 200 Policies and actions to end overfishing 219
Impact on prices and ex-vessel revenues 200 Concluding remarks 221
Impact on fishing costs 201 References 221
Impact on resource rent and other indicators 201
Adapting fisheries for the future 203
Conclusion 206 17. Epilogue—knowing the cost of
References 207 everything but the value of nothing 225
References 229
16. Overfishing, climate change, and the
chance of achieving Infinity Fish 213 Appendices 231
Introduction 213 Index 259
List of figures
Figure 2.1 Percentage of studies published in nine leading environmental and natural resource 11
economics journals from 1994 to 2003, which mentioned market and nonmarket values,
respectively.
Figure 2.2 Percentage of studies published in nine leading environmental and natural resource journals 12
in the first and second 5-year periods within the last decade that mentioned nonmarket
values.
Figure 2.3 Sum of normalized market, option and existence values (of commercial species in the sea as 13
a function of market value).
Figure 4.1 Profile of catches of (A) Namibian pilchard and (B) Northern cod off Newfoundland. 29
Figure 4.2 Biomass distributions for high-trophic level fishes in the North Atlantic in (A) 1900 and 31
(B) 1999.
Figure 4.3 A steady erosion of coastal and oceanic fisheries worldwide as represented in FAO’s global 32
fisheries catch data set (1951 to 1998).
Figure 4.4 Current value (full line) and present value of a constant unit flow of benefits. 33
Figure 4.5 Profile of catches under the status quo and restoration management options. 40
Figure 4.6 Net discounted benefits obtained under the status quo and restoration management options 41
using the conventional cost benefit analysis model (CM).
Figure 4.7 Net discounted benefits obtained under the status quo and restoration management options 41
using the intergenerational cost benefit analysis model (IGM).
Figure 4.8 Total net present value of benefits over 100 years using the conventional cost benefit 42
analysis model (CM) and the intergenerational model (IGM).
Figure 4.9 Sensitivity analysis on the effect of discount rates on the performance of the status quo and 42
restoration management options.
Figure 4.10 Net discounted benefits as seen by each of year class of people. 43
Figure 5.1 Present value of a constant annual flow of $1 over a period of 100 years for the different 52
approached to discounting.
Figure 6.1 Stability analysis of dynamic ecosystem model, showing mean variance of biomass change 59
per species group over a 16-year simulation. There is a nonlinear increase in the directional
responsiveness of biomass change with increasing predator prey vulnerabilities (Ecosim’s
primary user-controlled variable). Black bars show simulations optimized for
intergenerational benefit (δ = δfg); white bars show conventional discounting optima (@=10%).
A global vulnerability setting of 0.3 for all species groups should provide a stable dynamic
response, though perhaps conservative in magnitude; model dynamics become less
stable when vulnerabilities exceed 0.5.
xi
xii List of figures
Figure 6.2 Real price of cod based on entire harvest from Atlantic Canada. Trend line (dotted) shows 61
linear price projection used in the analysis based on data from 1972 to 1992. The price
increase after 1992 may have been influenced by the cod collapse, whereas optimal solutions
would have averted the collapse.
Figure 6.3 Cod biomass profiles from virtual population analysis time series (solid line), 63
intergenerational optimum (δ = δfg; open circles), and conventional optimum (δ = 10%; closed
circles). Difference between end biomasses: (A) represents depletion that may be blamed on
the application of conventional discounting and (B) represents depletion that may be blamed
on environment factors or ineffective management. Error bars show 6 1 SD around the
mean from a Monte Carlo procedure varying basic Ecopath parameters (biomass, production
and consumption) for all species groups (n = 20; CV = 0.2).
Figure 6.4 Optimal end-state biomasses after 16 years of harvest under various discounting methods. 64
Under harvest profiles optimized for net present value, the conventional discounting
method (conv.) leaves a small standing biomass at @ = 10% (right). Intergenerational optima
(@ . @fg, @ = @fg, and @ , @fg) leave larger standing biomasses, especially at low
intergenerational discount rates (left) (@fg = 5%, 10%, and 15%, respectively). Real-world
biomass in 2001 is 0.116 t/km2 (not shown).
Figure 6.5 Optimal end-state catches after 16 years of harvest under various discounting methods. 64
Under harvest profiles optimized for net present value, the conventional discounting
method (conv.) depletes the system early, leaving only small catches by end-time (right),
while intergenerational optima (@ . @fg, @ = @fg, and @ , @fg) maintain larger harvests to
simulation’s end (@fg = 5%, 10%, and 15%, respectively). Real-world catch in 2001 is
0.013 t/km2 (not shown).
Figure 6.6 Annual net present value of 40-year harvest profile based on real-world dataset (black bars) 65
and optimum solutions (white bars) under four discounting methods. Under
intergenerational discounting, the conservative optimal solutions outperform the depletory
real-world harvest profile. However, under conventional valuation, early benefits make the
real-world pillage more valuable than an optimal (long-term) solution.
Figure 6.7 Generational share of catch after 40 years for three harvest profiles. Black bars show catch 65
taken by first generation; white bars show catch taken by second generation (generation
time = 20 years). The harvest profile optimized under intergenerational discounting
(IG; @ = @fg; @fg = 10%) leaves almost an even split to each generation, while the conventional
discounting optimum (conv.; @ = 10%) and the real-world harvest profile (actual) grant most
catch to the first generation. Actual harvest profile includes projected catch to 2025 at
current levels.
Figure 6.8 Sensitivity analysis showing the effect of discount rate on the optimal end-state biomass for 66
conventional (closed circles) and intergenerational (@ = @fg; open circles) discounting
procedures. Large discount rates leave less standing biomass in the ecosystem, but the
intergenerational solution maintains the stock at higher levels than the conventional
solution. The conventional solution advocates stock collapse at discount rates greater than @
15%.
Figure 7.1 Schematic summarizing the algorithm developed to calculate the bioeconomic vulnerability 75
index in each 0.5 latitude 3 0.5 longitude cell of the world ocean. Thickness of arrows
represents the weight of a fish taxon (1, 2, 3, etc.) caught by a country (A, B, C etc.) with the
respective discount rate δ (δA, δB, δC, etc.) while r (r1, r2, r3, etc.) is the estimated intrinsic
rate of population increase of a fish population.
Figure 7.2 Bioeconomic vulnerability index (BVI) of all exploited fishes calculated based on (A) 76
country-level and (B) private discount rates.
List of figures xiii
Figure 7.3 Bioeconomic vulnerability index (BVI) for pelagic (A, B) and demersal (C, D) fishes 77
calculated based on (A, C) country-level and (B, D) private discount rates.
Figure 7.4 Parameters that were used to calculate the bioeconomic vulnerability index: (A) average 78
intrinsic growth rate of the exploited stocks, (B) country-level discount rate, and (C) private
discount rates of the fishing countries in each 0.5 3 0.5 cell.
Figure 9.1 A map of global illegal fishing incidence, 1986 to 2003. 104
Figure 10.1 End-state cod biomass (year 2000) resulting from optimal catch strategies, maximizing the 112
net present value at various discount rates. Modeling was performed using the Ecopath
software suite (http://www.ecopath.org). A Monte Carlo procedure was used to vary basic
Ecopath parameters (biomass, production, and consumption) for all species groups (n = 20,
coefficient of variation (CV) = 0.2). Error bars indicate 6 1 standard deviation around the
mean. The broken line shows the real-world cod biomass in 2000, as estimated by virtual
population analysis.
Figure 10.2 Atlantic cod biomass profile calculated from a virtual population analysis (solid line) and 113
optimal biomass profiles calculated by maximizing net present values at discount rates of
0% (solid circles) and 20% (open circles). Modeling was performed using the Ecopath
software suite (http://www.ecopath.org). A Monte Carlo procedure was used to vary basic
Ecopath parameters (biomass, production, and consumption) for all species groups (n = 20,
coefficient of variation (CV) = 0.2). Error bars indicate 6 1 standard deviation around the
mean.
Figure 11.1 Global fisheries subsidy amounts by category and grouped by (A) low and high Human 129
Development Index (HDI) country groups and (B) developed and developing, for 2018
(constant USD).
Figure 11.2 Composition of 2018 fisheries subsidies amount by type and grouped by (A) Human 131
Development Index (HDI0 low and HDI high) and (B) developed and developing country
groups, for 2018 (constant USD).
Figure 11.3 Subsidy amounts by major region for 2018 (constant USD), showing China separately. 132
SCAC = South, Central America and Caribbean.
Figure 11.4 Subsidy amounts by major fishing countries and political entities in 2018 (constant USD). 134
Figure 11.5 Comparison of fishery subsidy amounts by region between 2009 and 2018. All data are 135
presented in 2018 constant USD, previous subsidy data adjusted using Consumer Price
Index (CPI). SCAC = South, Central America and Caribbean.
Figure 12.1 Summary of resource rent (adjusted for subsidies) from current fisheries. We see that several 141
countries are in red once the full cost of fishing, including harmful subsidies are taken into
account.
Figure 12.2 Summary of resource rent (adjusted for subsidies) from rebuilt fisheries (rent in all maritime 142
countries increase after rebuilding).
Figure 12.3 Transition time path of key rebuilding global fisheries variables. 143
Figure 12.4 Histograms of pretax profit share of total sales for a sample of 1000 global fishing 144
companies.
Figure 12.5 The Schaeffer surplus-production model. 146
Figure 12.6 Trade-offs between reductions in cost of fishing effort and total fishing effort (in terms of 147
number of fishers) reduced as the weight of effort cuts on large-scale fishing varies.
xiv List of figures
Figure 12.7 Lost catch potential due to overfishing for the six FAO regions of the world (top) and 148
worldwide (bottom).
Figure 12.8 Correlation between reported subsidies and landed value. 154
Figure 13.1 Spatial distribution of the annual average landed value of the total commercial fisheries 164
catch in the US Exclusive Economic Zone in the Gulf of Mexico (averaged for the 2000 2005
period). The area closed to commercial fishing (as of July 22, 2010) includes both federal
waters and portions of western Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana state waters.
Figure 14.1 Percentage of exploited stocks in the five status categories within the Exclusive Economic 182
Zones of African countries.
Figure 15.1 Schematic diagram indicating the biophysical and socioeconomic impacts of climate change 194
at different levels of organizations, from individual organisms to the society.
Figure 15.2 Sea surface temperature changes, global fish catch, and the number of publications on the 195
relationship between climate change and fisheries. (A) Sea surface temperature (SST)
changes between the 1960s (average 1950 69) and 2000s (average 1988 2007). Data taken
from Rayner et al. (2003). (B) Estimated global catches (average 2000 07). Data taken from
Sea Around Us Project. (C) Number of publications reporting observed biological and
ecological changes that are considered to be related to climate change and may have direct
implications for fisheries (bars) and the change in sea surface temperature (circles), between
1982 and 2006 by geographic regions. Changes that are not directly related to fisheries (e.g.,
changes in zooplankton distribution) are not included.
Figure 15.3 Summary of the approach and key results of a modeling study that assesses the impacts of 199
climate change on potential catches from global fisheries. (A) First, by applying a spatial
dynamic model (dynamic bioclimate envelope model) to 1066 species of exploited fishes and
invertebrates, future distributions of species under climate change are projected. Second, by
combining these projections with projected primary productivity through an empirical
model and fisheries economic data, changes in future maximum potential catch and their
economic implications are projected. (B) Projected changes in maximum potential catch
under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s A1B scenario.
Figure 16.1 Overfishing truncates the food web and simulates the same effects of “fishing down food 214
webs.”
Figure 16.2 Climate change impacts on marine ecosystems and goods and services provided to human 215
society.
Figure 16.3 Ending overfishing requires positive feedback between people and the ocean. 218
Figure 16.4 Subsidies that stimulate overcapacity in large-scale industrial fisheries can lead to 220
overfishing.
List of tables
Table 3.1 Reports the biomass and harvest from the past and present ecosystems. 22
2
Table 3.2 Summary results: annual profits in thousand C$/km of the ecosystem. 23
Table 3.3 Restoration versus status quo annual profit in thousand C$/km2 of the ecosystem: 20-year 23
horizon; discount rate = 4.23%; 0.1 degradation/year in status quo.
Table 4.1 Partitioning of the Icelandic marine ecosystem model into 25 functional groups, their 38
respective estimated prices for the analyses with sources indicated, and types of fleet
targeting the respective functional groups.
xv
xvi List of tables
Table 13.6 Predicted present value loss in economic indicators for the US Gulf states’ recreational 169
fisheries.
Table 13.7 Predicted present value losses in economic indicators for US Gulf mariculture. 170
Table 13.8 Predicted (midpoint) present value losses in economic indicators for all affected US Gulf 170
states for commercial and recreational fisheries and mariculture sectors combined.
Table 14.1 Major fish species that enter the illicit trade in marine resources of Africa. 178
Table 14.2 Reported and unreported catch and value from African waters by fishing sector. 179
Table 14.3 Economic losses to Africa from illicit trade in marine resources. 180
Table 14.4 Impacts of illicit trade in Africa’s marine resources on the formal economy. 184
Table 15.1 Summary of potential impacts of climate change on the economics of fisheries based on 204
information from published literature.
Preface
I present in this book ideas, models, and quest to achieve what R. Buckminster
analyses on the subject of values and valua- Fuller captured so eloquently in the follow-
tion of fishery resources using a series of ing: “With our minds alone we can dis-
my published articles. My ultimate goal is cover those principles we need to employ
to reach a much broader audience than typ- to convert all humanity to success in a new,
ical readers of scholarly articles because I harmonious relationship with the
believe this topic is too important to be left universe.”
on the pages of journals alone. I describe The primary audiences for this book are
the way we currently value our marine liv- scholars and students of environmental
ing resources and how this is turning them and natural resource economics. It can be
from “renewable” to “nonrenewable” used as course material for senior under-
resources, making commercial industrial graduates and graduate students of oceans,
fishing more like extractive “mining opera- and fisheries economics and management
tions.” The consequences of this is the and serve as a guiding approach for fisher-
undermining of global fish stocks, hamper- ies and ocean policymakers and managers
ing the ability of not only future genera- worldwide. There is something in the book
tions but also current generations to meet for the interested public, ocean enthusiasts,
their fish protein, micronutrient, and liveli- NGOs, and civil society in general. Funders
hood needs. of ocean conservation and fisheries sustain-
The main goal of this book is to present ability would also find the book useful as it
new intuitive and interdisciplinary eco- highlights the kind of interdisciplinary and
nomic approaches and concepts and apply integrated economics needed to help
them to ocean conservation in ways that ensure we achieve long-term conservation
are understandable and readable to non- of our vital ocean resources, and thereby
specialist. This book is, therefore, both a achieve Infinity fish.
narrative about conservation and policy, Ussif Rashid Sumaila
and about how economics can be deployed Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries and
in the service of achieving societal goals School of Public Policy and Global Affairs,
relating to fishery resources. In other University of British Columbia, Vancouver,
words, I present ideas that can make a BC, Canada
(small) positive contribution to humanity’s
xvii
Acknowledgments
These days I call myself an interdisciplin- valuation of benefits from restored ecosystems
ary ocean and fisheries economist. This is needed for Infinity Fish); Carl Walters
because I see the value of working with col- (Chapter 5, Making future generations count
leagues from different disciplines: ecologists, via discounting to ensure Infinity Fish: A
mathematicians, other social scientists, dynamic model); Cameroon Ainsworth
media scholars, lawyers, etc. I also see the (Chapter 6, Making future generations count
value of working with nonacademics: indig- via discounting to ensure Infinity Fish: An
enous and coastal communities, policy- example); William Cheung (Chapter 7, An
makers, civil society advocates, fishing ecological-economic model for spatial manage-
enterprises, environmental NGOs, journal- ment in support of Infinity Fish); Marcos
ists, etc. Moreover, I do my work at multiple Domı́nguez-Torreiro (Chapter 8, The perfor-
scales: local, regional, national, and global. It mance of different fisheries management sys-
is a broad perspective of economics as it tems in relation to Infinity Fish); Naazia
relates to the conservation and sustainable Ebrahim, Anna Schuhbauer, Daniel
use of the ocean and the life it holds that Skerritt, Yang Li, Hong Sik Kim, Tabitha
allowed me to develop the ideas in this Grace Mallory, Vicky WL Lam, Daniel
book. I, therefore, want to express my pro- Pauly (Chapter 11, Fisheries subsidies are an
found gratitude to the numerous indivi- obstacle to achieving Infinity Fish); William
duals, institutions, private enterprises, Cheung, Andrew Dyck, Kamal Gueye, Ling
funding bodies (too many to mention all but Huang, Vicky Lam, Daniel Pauly, Thara
a few key ones are the Social Sciences and Srinivasan, Wilf Swartz, Reginald Watson,
Humanities Research Council of Canada, Dirk Zeller (Chapter 12, Rebuild depleted fish
Natural Sciences Research Council of stocks to ensure Infinity Fish); Andrés M.
Canada, the Pew Charitable Trusts, Oceana, Cisneros-Montemayor, Andrew Dyck, Ling
First Nations Fisheries Council of British Huang, William Cheung, Jennifer Jacquet,
Columbia, the United Nations, Sablefish Kristin Kleisner, Vicky Lam, Ashley
Association of British Columbia, and the McCrea-Strub, Wilf Swartz, Reg Watson,
High Level Panel for a Sustainable Ocean Dirk Zeller, Daniel Pauly (Chapter 13,
Economy) that I have interacted with in Avoid oil spills to support Infinity Fish);
every continent of the world except William W.L. Cheung, Vicky W.Y. Lam,
Antarctica. Without your engagement and Daniel Pauly Samuel Herrick (Chapter 15,
collaboration, this book would not have Climate change is a huge challenge to Infinity
been possible. Fish); and Travis Tai (Chapter 16,
I would like to thank the coauthors of Overfishing, climate change, and the chance of
the papers that form the basis of this book, achieving Infinity Fish). Interacting and
for helping me to crystallize the ideas pre- working with you have made the content
sented: Tony Pitcher, Nigel Hagan and of this book stronger and richer—I am very
Russ Jones (Chapter 3, Comprehensive grateful for your collaborations.
xix
xx Acknowledgments
Next, I would like to thank my students, and getting me to give a talk at the White
postdocs, research associates, and members House, respectively, on the intergenera-
of the Fisheries Economics Research Unit tional discounting approach. It was during
(FERU), the OceanCanada Partnership, Sea my talk at Stanford that the idea to conduct
Around Us, Changing Oceans Research the study reported in Chapter 6, Making
Units, in particular, and members of the future generations count via discounting to
Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries and ensure Infinity Fish: An example: was planted
the School of Public Policy and Global in my mind by the Nobel Prize-winning
Affairs, in general. I would also like to economist, Kenneth Arrow. Professor
thank my close collaborators at UBC, espe- Arrow suggested that I conduct a study
cially Daniel Pauly and William Cheung, that addresses the question “What is to
for contributing in various ways to blame more for the collapse of a fish stock:
the development of the ideas presented in mismanagement or the use of conventional
this book. Ivar Ekeland of UBC Math discounting?”, and this is the question
Department showed a lot of interest in the addressed in Chapter 6. I also want to take
intergenerational discounting ideas pre- this opportunity to thank the publishers of
sented in this book, which resulted in a the original articles that granted me copy-
number of co-authored papers. In particu- rights so I could republish figures that first
lar, I must mention Allison Cutting, the last appeared in their journals.
graduate research assistant to work on the Finally, I would like to thank my family,
book with me, for her interest in the subject Mariam, Aliyu, and Haske for their moral
matter of the book and her excellent sup- support. They are usually the first people
port in helping me navigate both big and I get to bounce ideas with.
small issues related to the practical publica- Ussif Rashid Sumaila
tion of the book. Another lab member that Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries and
needs special mention is Duncan Burnside, School of Public Policy and Global Affairs,
the OceanCanada/FERU Tech Manager, University of British Columbia,
for his support and creativity in developing Vancouver, BC, Canada
a beautiful website for the book (https://
oceancan.mywhc.ca/infinityfish/).
Mention is due to Rosamond Naylor and
Matthew Rand for inviting me to Stanford
C H A P T E R
1
Introduction
When we look around us, we see the decline of renewable natural resources, such as
fish stocks and forests; the pollution of the environment, for example, marine plastic pollu-
tion; and the warming, acidification, and deoxygenation of the ocean, and we wonder
why? Well, in this book, I argue that these depletions and destructions of nature are partly
due to the way we value the environment (including our ocean and the marine life it
holds) and how we value or do not value all the amazing services it provides us. The lack
of proper valuation of the goods and services derived from the environment is a funda-
mental reason why we have so far failed to take good care of the ocean (and the environ-
ment at large). It is essential that we get these valuations right, so that the ocean can, in
turn, continue to take care of both current and future generations. Below I present a story
that may help explain what I mean.
In 2012, I was invited to give a talk on how to sustain Africa’s marine fisheries in
Namibia in the presence of three African Ministers of Fisheries (of Namibia, Sierra Leone,
and the Seychelles) and other high-level African fisheries policy makers, managers, and
members of the fisheries and diamond-mining sectors of the country. A key point I made
during my talk was that, “Fish is more valuable than diamond.” This assertion shocked
both the advocates of fisheries and those of the diamond-mining sector—the former pleas-
antly shocked while the latter was dismayed because I was turning the belief of both sec-
tors, that diamond is more valuable than fish, on its head.
I provided the following reasons to support my assertion. First, wild fish stocks are
renewable resources; that is, if they are used wisely, they will continue to provide food
and livelihoods to tens of millions of people worldwide, forever. Mathematically, anything
that gives a positive net benefit forever, no matter how small, the net benefits over time
will sum to infinity. This then was the inspiration for the title of this book Infinity fish. On
the other hand, diamond is nonrenewable; it is therefore “not forever”, as popular par-
lance would have us believe: once you deplete a diamond deposit, it is gone forever. One
might argue that we can invest the proceeds from mining diamonds to obtain a stream of
net benefits forever. Well, experience shows that societies are not that good in using wind-
falls from natural resources. History is replete with examples of countries wasting their
windfalls—the so-called “Dutch Disease,” a term coined to capture the adverse effects on
the Dutch economy after the discovery of huge natural gas deposits in the 1960s (Corden,
1984).
Infinity Fish
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-823816-5.00019-9 1 © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
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is past, the temperature falls very rapidly, and one sees no more of
these insects.
On February 4 we started to complete the circuit of the lake and
reach Delgi by way of the Zegi peninsula. Our road lay across flat
land, bordered by marshes and full of swamps and quagmires.
Sometimes the marshes stretch a long way into the land, and long
detours had to be made to avoid them. I saw yams for the first time
in Abyssinia growing just above the swampy tracts in this region. We
had to cross three rivers with rocky beds, which were made rougher
and more slippery by loose stones. To add to our difficulties, our
guide twice led us out of the right path, and once to a ford which was
impassable for the donkeys. In this way we lost nearly three hours.
At lunch time we sent the baggage-train on ahead of us. The latter
part of the journey was over a beaten track, and gave us no trouble.
We overtook the baggage animals and their escort just as they
entered the undulating ground which forms the approach to the
peninsula of Zegi. We pitched our camp near the shore of a little bay
of which this promontory was the further boundary.
While we were on the road I received a scribbled note from
Crawley, who told me that one of his soldiers was ill, had lain down
and refused to move. I rode back at his request, and found the
invalid under a tree. He said, “Leave me alone. I want to die.” It was
evident at a glance that he was suffering from ague. The only
remedy which we had at hand was chartreuse. I gave him a big “nip”
of the cordial, and it had an excellent effect upon him. He was able
to ride to the end of the journey, and was none the worse for the
effort. I venture to commend this incident to the consideration of
strict teetotalers.
The village near which we were encamped is that which is marked
as Furje on Stecker’s map. The district affords a curious example of
feudal tenure in Abyssinia. We had quitted Tecla Haimanot’s
dominions, and the land on which our camp stood was under the
control of a certain chief called Fituari[97] Ali, a feudatory of Ras
Mangousha. He dwelt close to the town of Zegi, but had no
jurisdiction within its boundary, though his lordship was valid in a
region extending beyond the town to the Abai.
The chieftain had gone to attend the marriage of Ras
Mangousha’s daughter, and had left his son in authority. So we sent
a messenger with an escort to carry the news of our arrival to this
young Habash with due formality. He brought back an uncivil reply to
the effect that the Fituari’s son was absent, and if we wanted
anything we had better go and find him. This was sent by his
majordomo. While we were waiting for tea to be served, Johannes
reported that the young Habash was approaching, and we saw him
at a little distance attended by a band of followers, some of whom
carried guns. Our interpreter asked what he should say to this
truculent young man, and we bade him explain that we only asked
leave to pass through the land, and should require nothing unless it
were to purchase a little grain for our animals. We always sought to
avoid trouble with the natives, and therefore impressed upon
Johannes that he should show we wished to be friendly, and say we
hoped the Fituari’s son would come and have a drink with us.
Johannes departed with his message, and presently we heard a
great hubbub—many Habashes talking at once at the top of their
high-pitched voices. We wondered what gave rise to so much
excitement. Presently Johannes emerged from the crowd and
approached us slowly. The young man’s answer was that he would
speak with us when he had seen the King’s letter. Now, this permit
and all our credentials had been dispatched on February 1 from
Bahardar Georgis to Ras Mangousha that we might obtain his leave
to travel through his territories beyond the Abai, and we did not
expect our messenger to return until late on the following day.
It was an uncomfortable situation. The Ras’s reply might be
unfavourable. In that case we should be confronted by the necessity
of retracing our steps over the whole of the toilsome journey by the
lake side. We all longed to kick the tiresome coxcomb who was in
our way, and went to dinner in a glum mood.
We were obliged to spend the following day (Feb. 5) in inaction
awaiting the return of our messenger with Ras Mangousha’s answer.
I busied myself with the camera, having every reason to believe that
no photographs of this tract of country had ever been taken.
During the morning we received a visit from the head man of Zegi.
We thought it a favourable sign that he gave us a very pleasant and
courteous welcome. This young man, Hyli by name, was about
nineteen years of age. I learned afterwards that he was studying the
ancient Geez language under the tuition of the priests of Zegi, and
presume that he intended to “go into the Church.” These candidates
for orders are not permitted to smoke or drink strong liquor while
they are in statu pupillari. A similar restriction would scarcely be
popular in our own ancient universities.
Hyli, we found, had a large consignment of coffee to send to the
market at Gallabat. It is his business to collect the dues payable on
this produce before it leaves the village, and the revenue so obtained
is handed to Ras Mangousha. Hyli had now come to request that his
caravan might join ours during the journey through the “rain-
country”—that borderland between Abyssinia and the Soudan,
which, as I have said, is infested by bandits. We had every reason to
win friends where we could, and every wish to please the young
Habash, so we consented willingly. He told us that the coffee was
already at Delgi, and that he had been informed of the date of our
arrival at that village, at Korata and at Woreb, and had been looking
forward to our coming for a month past. In the evening he sent us a
present of flour and fowls.
After this visit, I walked to the township of Zegi. It is surrounded by
a thick hedge of incense-bush, and this forms the boundary between
the Fituari’s jurisdiction and Hyli’s. Zegi very closely resembles
Korata. It consists of groups of tokhuls scattered among small,
square enclosures where the coffee bushes grow apparently
untended. These plantations, with the cottages and churches among
them, cover the whole promontory. I should estimate the population,
when I saw the place, at about three thousand souls.
Dr. Stecker’s account of his visit to the town is brief and
interesting, and I quote it. I saw nothing of the stone dwellings which
he describes, and think they must have been replaced by straw
tokhuls since 1881. He wrote:—
“On June 7 I made a tankoa-journey to the peninsula of Zegi, and
climbed to the highest peak, Tekla Haimanot (2074 metres above
sea-level, according to barometrical measurement), which afforded
extremely important survey-bearings.” The traveller then mentions
his visit to Livlivo, Adina, and the island of Dek, and adds, “The Zegi
peninsula is especially famed for its coffee plantations. Some coffee-
trees are as much as a metre in girth. The coffee is mostly exported
to Metemmeh” (Gallabat), “less goes to Massowah, but it is not
considered so good as that of Korata. Besides coffee the Ensete
banana flourishes here conspicuously, and also the edible species
(Musa Ensete edulis); but, unfortunately, in recent years these
charming plantations have been almost entirely destroyed by a
species of pig called Assama (potamochoerus penicillatus),[98] which
is found here in hundreds. This remarkable animal feeds almost
entirely on the roots of these fine bananas. What struck me here
particularly was the neatness of the tokhuls, which are chiefly of
stone, and in general all villages on Lake Tsana have a much
cleanlier and more pleasant appearance than those inland. There is
no lack of clergy on the Zegi Peninsula: there are here no fewer than
seven churches with twelve hundred priests and defterers.”[99] I am
bound to say that I saw no indication during my brief stay that the
population was deplorably priest-ridden!
I was returning to camp about four o’clock in the afternoon, and
was still at some distance from it when I met a Habash, who made
me understand by signs that our messenger had brought the Ras’s
letter, and as I hastened on I noticed that the news was already
public property. Upon reaching camp I saw our man, grimy and
travel-stained. He and a companion, with one mule to ride, had
covered about a hundred and thirty miles in four days over very
rough country, and they had waited while the Ras attended to our
business; so they had not let the grass grow under their feet. I felt
sorry for the mule. Walda Mariam had had charge of this business.
We had given him one day’s rest at Bahardar Georgis after his return
with Tecla Haimanot’s message, and then dispatched him on this
second journey. It is expected of these runners, when they are in
charge of a missive from the Negus or a great chief, that they shall
not sleep till they have delivered it. The man bowed low, and handed
the Ras’s letters to me in a manner which showed that he now made
me responsible for their custody. I then learned, by the aid of an Arab
interpreter, that the chief’s reply was of the most favourable kind, and
that he had sent mandates to all concerned to give us every
furtherance on our way round the lake. He also inquired very
courteously about our health and our progress, and had sent a
soldier from his own guard as a special escort for the party. The Ras,
moreover, had even furnished us with letters to chiefs through whose
lands we should not pass on the road to Delgi, to be used in case we
wished to turn aside from the way and visit the hinterland of the lake
district. And, best of all, there was a communication addressed to
Fituari Ali’s son, enjoining upon him that he should show us every
civility. Johannes, who had been absent from camp when the
messenger arrived, had returned by the time my companions came
back from an excursion. The despatches were then interpreted to
them in French, and we enjoyed the prospect of our enemy’s
discomfiture. It was resolved that the mandate to him should be
delivered on the following morning. I noticed that the Habashes did
not appear to make common cause with Ali’s son, but seemed
pleased at our success. Among the Ras’s letters was one to Hyli,
which we sent to him immediately, though it was scarcely required in
his case. Zody was the bearer of it.
CHAPTER XI