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Research in Transportation Business & Management 44 (2022) 100734

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Research in Transportation Business & Management


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/rtbm

A multi-criteria spatial approach for determination of the logistics center


locations in metropolitan areas
İsmail Önden a, *, Fahrettin Eldemir b
a
Mobility and Logistics Research Group, Turkish Management Science Institute, Kocaeli, Turkey
b
Department of Industrial Engineering, Jeddah University, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia

A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T

Keywords: Logistics centers are providing integrated services. Due to they are the central points of the logistics activities,
Logistics centers these facilities have considerable influence over logistic structure of the cities. Therefore, using spatial data is a
Multi-criteria spatial decision making way to use the power of the data science instead of considering limited parameters in determining their location.
Transportation
For a location decision, it is necessary to evaluate different decision parameters, especially spatial suitability. A
Location analysis
F-AHP
methodology that combines a complex problem structure, expert opinion, geographical characteristics and
GIS mathematical modeling approach that provides cost minimization is proposed in the study for multiple logistic
facility location analyzes. The proposed method combines different analysis methods under a systematic
approach including economic analysis of the centralization level. Results showed that the proposed methodology
is capable of dealing such problems with the given considerations.

1. Introduction centers where all logistics activities are carried out in a single point
where multiple logistics services are provided.
Logistics centers have very important effects on city logistics struc­ With the expansion of the literature, different mathematical ap­
ture. They collect and distribute the major portion of the total distri­ proaches and solutions with different considerations were studied. The
bution. Due to the their role, they effect the regulations and planning of current logistics center literature has been a subject to a location anal­
city logistics and transit logistics flows over the city. These centers do ysis (Dablanc & Ross, 2012; Elevli, 2014; Li, Liu, & Chen, 2011) or
not just plan logistics activities. At the same time, they have effects on compliance. Influencing parameters are also studied (Onden, Eldemir, &
logistic costs and service level. Therefore, the location of these facilities Canci, 2015). The existing studies focused on building a better logistics
will determine the planning of logistics activities and how the logistics network structure. The proposed new system provides cost advantages
costs will be shaped. Since the logistics costs are one of the most and ensure that users who use the center by bringing together logistics
important evaluation parameters of the business world, the strategic functions can perform all operations in different qualities such as
importance of this decision also arises. The emphasis on logistics center warehousing, customs operations, taxation, storage, transportation in
facilities attracted the attention of academics, as well as private sector one place. In addition, the fact that there are different logistics com­
professionals. panies in these centers and the interaction of firms with each other and
Logistics center concept is emerged in the literature firstly in 1950s, integrated service offerings should be possible. This integrated structure
and the study area has evolved from the first day with the effect of provided by the logistics centers should also provide a position advan­
growing trade volumes and the use of very large capacity facilities. tage. When these benefits are provided, it can be expected that these
Different approaches are created to similar study area with different facilities will offer many advantages in addition to the cost of the
names such as logistics center, regional warehouse, mega center, dis­ companies they host.
tribution center and freight / transport terminal (Rimiene & Grundey, Logistics is the connection between supply and demand. The dis­
2007). However, even if there are different naming schemes in general tances between supply and demand, geographical features and obsta­
terms, the logistics center name has been generally accepted and is now cles, road structure is based on location and they can be expressed as
being used to describe the concept. Logistics centers can be defined as spatial features. In order to be able to make an acceptable location

* Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: ismail.onden@tubitak.gov.tr (İ. Önden), eldemir@uj.edu.sa (F. Eldemir).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rtbm.2021.100734
Received 17 June 2020; Received in revised form 18 September 2021; Accepted 28 October 2021
Available online 4 November 2021
2210-5395/© 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
İ. Önden and F. Eldemir Research in Transportation Business & Management 44 (2022) 100734

decision, it is necessary to take into account spatial characteristics. literature survey was given and it was discussed which decision criteria
Otherwise, it would be a possibility to invest in a facility that the cus­ influenced logistic center decision and which methods were used for
tomers cannot reach and that the incoming goods cannot be distributed logistic center decision. Then, in the methodology section, the back­
to the customers. Therefore, as it is taken into consideration in every ground and steps of the solution method produced for the logistic center
location analysis, information related to the location should also be decision are included in the study. After the methodology, in the
considered in order to reflect the structure of the problem in the re­ application section, the steps of determining how the facility locations
searches related to the logistics centers. The combination of spatial are calculated are given. And which of the alternative locations are
analysis and decision theory has been used in the literature to solve this appropriate is given in detail. In addition, sensitivity analyzes for the
problem (Aljohani & Thompson, 2020; Jankowski & Richard, 1994; decision are given. In conclusion, findings obtained in the conclusion
Malczewski, 2004). The advantage of these analyzes is that they can section were evaluated and summarized with a brief discussion.
solve multi-criteria solution approaches by combining them with GIS
outputs rather than further complicating complex mathematical models 2. Literature review
that are already difficult to solve. It is possible for researchers to obtain a
solution in this regard. Instead of dealing with complex optimization Logistics centers and their effects have been discussed in the litera­
models, simpler models can be achieved by feeding on a GIS output. ture for a long time (Rimiene & Grundey, 2007). Within this long
In this article, a multiple facility location decision for logistics cen­ literature history, analysis of major logistics facilities under different
ters in a metropolitan area is studied with a comprehensive perspective. names has been carried out. As a result, the logistics center was accepted
The main motivation of the study is to propose a methodology which can for the expression of the concept (Meidute, 2005). In addition to dis­
deal the sophisticated problem structure. To that aim, a multi-step cussing the term that represents the concept, the definition of the clas­
methodology used and different analysis domains’ calculation strength sification of facilities and their properties has also been the subject of
is combined to model general structure of the decision analysis. The study (Meidute, 2005). This term is defined as centers that have different
model combines five domain’s approaches; (1) economic analysis, (2) logistics facilities, which are in transportation, logistics and distribution-
GIS/spatial analysis, (3) multi criteria decision analysis, (4) mathematic related conditions, support multiple modes of transportation,
modeling, (5) green consideration. geographical coverage and offer various services (Rimiene & Grundey,
GIS-based methodology considers location suitability and econom­ 2007).
ical centralization needs for a logistical center location. The methodol­ Drawing the general framework of logistics centers, discussing and
ogy has several steps but it can be clustered in two main parts excluding classifying their capabilities has been studied in the literature (Andreoli,
data preparation step. The first step is economic analysis where Goodchild, & Vitasek, 2010). In this context, classifications from the
centralization level of the logistics centers based on Return of Invest­ XXL terminal to the S terminal are determined by the amount of cargo
ment Analysis (ROI) is considered. The second analysis is determining handled (Andreoli et al., 2010). Meidute has discussed what services the
the locations of the determined number of the logistics facilities deter­ logistics centers should offer. In this context, international cargo trans­
mined in the previous step. portation pricing, reservations of vehicle capacity and storage areas,
The approach takes fuzzy decision-making capabilities and GIS’s customs clearance preparation of necessary documents, international
spatial and network analysis capabilities in one accounts. With this trade licenses, insurance, handling operations such as loading, unload­
method, an approach has been introduced to calculate the area of in­ ing, packaging, multimodal transport, managing payment transactions
fluence of each logistics center facility and to prevent this area from and customer relationships should be done in these facilities (Meidute,
intersecting with the domain of the other facility. The proposed meth­ 2005). In addition to defining the logistics centers, the criteria affecting
odology is not intended to extend the deep and extensive GIS literature. the decision of large warehouse and logistics center settlement were also
Instead, previously developed GIS methods used to produce geograph­ researched in the literature and a comprehensive definition of decision
ical information necessary for decision making. In the study, the liter­ making was made (Onden, Eldemir, & Canci, 2015). It is reported that a
ature contribution was obtained by a more comprehensive study of the total of 89 criteria were effective in the location decision under quan­
geographical dimension of the solution variants for the logistic center titative, qualitative and cost criteria (Onden, Eldemir, & Canci, 2015). In
decision and an economic analysis of the level of centralization. another study frequency of the used techniques and the decision criteria
GIS analysis methods are combined with fuzzy decision theory in the are summarized and AHP technique is found as the most used technique
study, and the generated approach has been able to produce a solution in the literature (Uyanik, Tuzkaya, & Oğuztimur, 2018). Strategic aspect
for complex problem structure. Using spatial analysis, spatial statistics, of the inland freight hub location is also discussed with definitions and
and network analysis techniques, the study was conducted to determine expert opinions and hub location criteria model is formulated (Long &
the distance analysis of geographical criteria on the impacts of the areas Grasman, 2012).
and the distance. The reclassification tool is used for these measure­ Logistics center problem is a study area of the location science. And,
ments. In the proposed iterative approach, iterative land suitability there are different optimization model alternatives. Logistics center
calculations were applied for the first time in the literature for logistic problems can be formulated as hub location analysis problems. Thus,
centers. In addition, a phased solution approach has been developed in these models can be used for one to many, many to many or p to many
solving the p-median model. In this view, a method proposal was location problems (Farahani, Hekmatfar, Arabani, & Nikbakhsh, 2013).
implemented that carried out the most centralized facility finalization P-median, P-center problem is also adequate to model logistics structure
and centered on this location and extracted the coverage map. This to define service locations in metropolitan areas due to its capability to
method, along with the coverage area of the candidate logistics center analyze network from supply to demand (Çakmak, Önden, Acar, &
facilities, also adds a suitability map calculation with the effects of Eldemir, 2021). Hub to serve the city, urban consolidation centers are
spatial decision criteria. The suitability map is iteratively updated via also related to this classifications. These problems are also discussed in
the approach when a new facility location is finalized among the loca­ the literature (van Heeswijk, Larsen, & Larsen, 2019).
tion alternatives. With this approach, a heuristic solution method for On the other hand, multi-criteria decision analyses are very popular
solving the p-median model has been proposed. The methodology covers in the literature and most of the solutions are provided by these tech­
different disciplinary capabilities. The facility number for the city lo­ niques for such location problems. There are different applications
gistics is uncertain in the study and ROI calculation is integrated with solved via different techniques such as AHP, ANP, TOPSIS, ELECTRE,
spatial decision making analysis. This approach brings a novelty to the DEMATEL BWM etc. with their fuzzy extensions (Farahani, SteadieSeifi,
spatial decision making literature. & Asgari, 2010). Similar to the general location problems, multi-criteria
The structure of the paper is formed as follows. First, the current decision making is also popular for logistics center decision making

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İ. Önden and F. Eldemir Research in Transportation Business & Management 44 (2022) 100734

studies (Li et al., 2011; Peker, Baki, Tanyas, & Murat Ar, 2016; Ulutaş, different analysis techniques would be the input of another analysis step.
Karakuş, & Topal, 2020; Żak & Węgliński, 2014). In this section, the purposes and methods of use of the proposed analyzes
When we look at the multi-criteria analyses, there are different use of for use in the methodology are given. It also provides an explanation of
fuzzy approaches. Fuzzy theory is found by Zadeh (Zadeh, 1965) and it the iterative solution approach.
is found very useful to normalize the point of views over decisions.
Zadeh’s fuzzy approach is commonly used by researches and in­ 3.1. Fuzzy analytical hierarchy process (F-AHP)
tegrations to MC techniques are developed. After Zadeh’s foundation of
a fuzzy set, some key developments have taken place (Yanase & Tri­ The Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) is a technique that reaches
antaphyllou, 2019). First Atasanov (1986) intuitionistic fuzzy sets the best decision-making criteria and candidates by comparing them
(Atanassov, 1986) and in addition to Zadeh’s traditional membership with each other after setting out the different parameters affecting the
value, also a non-membership value is assigned. Smarandache (1998) decisions. The technique proposed by Saaty (1980) provides for
introduced the concept of neutrosophic fuzzy sets and it can be seen how simplification of the complex decision environment and elimination of
hesitant a person (Smarandache, 1998; Yanase & Triantaphyllou, 2019). the risk of ignoring the criteria, rather than being directly determined by
The method covers uncertainty and also indeterminacy (Karaşan & the best candidates (Saaty, 1980). In the AHP technique, expert judg­
Kaya, 2019). Another extension to intuitionistic fuzzy sets is introduced ments are taken with pairwise comparisons of criteria rather than being
by Yager (Yager, 2013) as the Pythagorean fuzzy sets. taken directly. Fuzzy AHP (F-AHP) technique has emerged as a result of
Logistics center location analysis is studied with the mentioned ap­ the integration of fuzzy logic with AHP, which is capable of reflecting
proaches. Kayikci (2010) has developed an application based on f-AHP different point of views. Various approaches have been developed for F-
and artificial neural networks for multimodal transport (Kayikci, 2010). AHP (Buckley, 1985; Chang, 1996; van Laarhoven & Pedrycz, 1983),
Li et. Al (2011) used the axiomatic fuzzy set clustering method and and there are various discussions on techniques. There is a research
TOPSIS method to determine the logistics center location for 15 cities shows that Buckley’s method is the most appropriate and due to that
and 13 criteria (Li et al., 2011). Zak and Weglinsk (2014) developed a finding we used that method in the calculations (Önden, Acar, & Eld­
two stage methodology for a Poland case study. In the first step they emir, 2018).
evaluated macro-analysis for the potential regions and in the second The application of the F-AHP technique can be carried out in four
phase they used ELECTRE III/IV method for the problem of logistic stages. Since the formulations of these steps are given in several articles,
center location selection (Żak & Węgliński, 2014). Peker et al. (2016), a summary of the steps to be taken in the steps of the study are given. As
applied ANP technique under 13 Befenifts, Opooprtunitiesi Costs and the first step of the technique, the selection of the experts should be
Risks criteria consideration to determine the appropriate logistics center carried out to determine the affecting criteria. After this step, it is
location for Trabzon / Turkey (Peker et al., 2016). Özceylan et al. (2016) necessary to establish a comparison matrix expressing expert judgment
conducted a research for location analysis of a logistics center with GIS in order to be able to make the evaluation of the criteria. In the second
based solution approach under 13 criteria consideration for Ankara/ step, the created matrix will first express the comparison values (with
Turkey. They used ANP technique for criteria importance calculation linguistic or metric scale). The averages and weights of the values in this
and TOPSIS technique to make a decision with GIS inputs (Özceylan, comparison matrix with fuzzy values will be calculated and these values
Erbaş, Tolon, Kabak, & Durğut, 2016). Onden et al. (2018) has devel­ will represent what the criterial weights are as fuzzy values. In the fourth
oped an application that investigates the suitabilities of governmental stage, the fuzzy values obtained will be converted to crisp values, the
investment decisions for rail logistics villages of Turkey with f-AHP and values obtained will give the sought criteria weight or the success levels
GIS combined methodology (). Onden (2018) proposed a fuzzy multi­ of the alternatives. The total integration method was used in this step
criteria spatial decision analysis for a single logistics center location with (Liou & Wang, 1992).
an iterative approach (Önden, 2018). Cakmak et al. (2020) used Binary The F-AHP technique has been proposed in the context of the study in
Particle Swarm Optimization algorithm to solve a city logictics center order to determine the weighting of the decision criteria affecting the
problem which is also integrated GIS and multicriteria inputs (Çakmak probing. In this context, criteria weights determined by technique will
et al., 2021). Yazdani et al. (2020) used developed two stage analysis be entered into other decision stages. In this way, it is possible to reflect
methodology for location selection of logistics centers in the Spanish different effect levels of GIS outputs.
autonomous communities. In the first stage they used data envelopment
for evaluating five decision criteria and in the second stage model is 3.2. GIS
designed to evaluate the performance using rough full consistency (R-
FUCOM) and combined compromise solution (R-CoCoSo) methods. GIS is a popular data analysis tool and it also used in different
Analysis for a logistics center problem in Spain (Yazdani, Chatterjee, location selections studies. Taking into account these advantages of GIS,
Pamucar, & Chakraborty, 2020). The data envelopment analysis is it is integrated with the methodology to make complex problem struc­
convenient to evaluate the impact of the decision criteria. There are ture easier and to facilitate calculations. In this context, the use of GIS in
different studies for transportation planning (Musolino, Rindone, & the analysis of intensity and distance of geographical decision criteria is
Vitetta, 2017; Russo & Rindone, 2010). proposed. In addition, network analysis has been proposed to determine
It is seen that there is an increasing interest to logistics center loca­ the driving distances and to calculate the logistical intensities by spatial
tion problems. There are multiple factors effecting the decision statistical analysis.
including geographical characteristics of the cities, cost parameters, lead The GIS was used as a data source to perform the iterative method of
time considerations and also green aspects. To be able to evaluate these data feed operation proposed in the study. In this context, vector data­
criteria we need to use expert opinions, spatial analysis and also opti­ sets are analyzed to provide geographical information related to the
mization techniques with decision theory techniques. And these char­ logistic center. Within the scope of the method, three different GIS
acteristics make the problem suitable for multi-criteria decision making analysis approaches were used.
techniques which is widely analyzed with such techniques.
3.2.1. Spatial analysis
3. Methodology Spatial Analysis was used in the analysis of the distance and intensity
cases of the data sets belonging to the geographical decision criteria
In the scope of the study, a method proposal which can be called as a evaluated within the scope of the study. In this context, distance ana­
decision support system for the decision of the logistics center is real­ lyzes were run to calculate euclidean distance distances. This analysis
ized. For this method, the flow of analysis was created as the output of calculates the Euclidean distance value of any region on the plane of the

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data set being evaluated. The analysis was used in the analysis of of the applied models also calculates the economic gain obtained during
geographical decision criteria with limited amount of data and calcu­ the improvement. According to these values, the return period of the
lation of the distances on the plane. investment (ROI) is calculated and compared with this value. In this
The second spatial analysis used is point density analysis. The anal­ calculation, the cost of driving between points i and j, the number of
ysis is described by ESRI (ESRI, 2014) “Magnitude-per-unit area from driving and the cost of facility installation are also taken into account.
point of fall in a neighborhood around each cell” The analysis is sug­ The parameters and the model structure is given as follows;
gested to a a large data set is needed to be handled in the methodology. dij: distance between demand node i and candidate facility j,
hi: demand weight of demand node i,
3.2.2. Spatial statistical analysis Mj: setup cost of the facility j,
Within the context of the study, spatial statistics was used for the SC: setup cost
purpose of determining logistic densities. Hot Spot Analysis is capable of P: number of the considered facility number, centralization level
resulting clustered areas by considering neighborhoods. Therefore, Hot tij: number of transportation trips in the study area
Spot Analysis has been used to determine the density of logistics facil­ fcij: transportation cost of a transportation trip
ities. In order to use the clustering analysis, the character on the plane of ROI: return of investment values (annual)
the data set needs to be analyzed. The data set must be in a clustered Decision variables:
structure in order for the clustering analysis to be performed and the Yij: if customer i served by the candidate facility j 1, otherwise
density classes to be determined. Pattern analysis should be done to 0 {0,1}
measure the distributions on the plane. Moran’s I statistics which also Xj: if we locate at candidate site j 1, otherwise 0 {0,1}
considers spatial correlation is able to analyze the pattern of a dataset to The objective function of the mathematical model is given in Eq. (1).
evaluate the logistics clusters in the study area. After proving that the The model takes travelled distances and logistics activities into consid­
data set shows a clustered structure, mapping the clusters can be eration with setup costs of new facilities.
completed with a hot spot analysis based on Getis Ord Gi* methodology

1 ∑
n ∑
n
(Önden, Eldemir, & Çancı, 2014). As a result of this analysis, it is Min.Z. hi dij Yij + Mj Xj (1)
possible to calculate the amount of attraction generated by the logistics k j j=1
facilities located in the region taking into consideration the neighbor­
There are constraints are to represent the limits of the solution. The
hoods. These outputs are used to calculate the logistic densities of the
number of the facilities constraint which is p is given in Eq. (3). All fa­
evaluated regions.
cilities should be served by the established new service centers (Eq. (4)).
Eq. (4) expresses the constraint how the sited facility will serve the
3.2.3. Network analysis
demand nodes. Eqs. (5) and (6) show that the decision variables are
Network analysis is a method of analysis that allows the network
integers.
structure on the city to be edited and inferred. It is possible to make
relevant deductions with the cities thanks to the network analysis run on ∑
n

the GIS that has expanded its analysis capabilities over time and has the Yij = 1, ∀i (2)
j=1
ability to reflect the existing transport network. In this way it is possible
to simulate the city network and to operate discrete or continuous ∑
n
models. In calculation, line and point data can be used to reflect origin, Xj = P (3)
destination, and arcs between segments. In this case, the cost of each j=1

road segment can be obtained in the computer environment.


Yij − Xj ≤ 0, ∀i, j (4)
When analyzing the road usage related to the logistics mobility, the
distances between the n*n points evaluated by the shortest path algo­
Yij ∈ {0, 1}, ∀j (5)
rithm can be determined. The method that will form the basis for this
calculation is the Dijkstra algorithm (Dijkstra, 1959). Within the scope
Xj ∈ {0, 1}, ∀i, j (6)
of the study, network analysis was used to determine the distances be­
tween the candidate logistics facilities according to the Dijkstra algo­ The given model structure gives the results of centralization. How­
rithm and to calculate the costs and determine the changes according to ever, for new centralization and comparison with the existing system, it
these distances. As these scenarios take into account different scenarios, is necessary to calculate the total cost of the decentralized system. Thus
the network must be constructed for different situations and the road Eqs. (7) and (8) are given to express how these cost parameters can be
hierarchy must be constructed according to these changes. calculated; where tij is the total flow volumes. Eq. (7) represents the
special case for the decentralized system. Where the system is not
3.3. P-median based mathematical model approach centralized, all nodes are both demand and service nodes for logistics
activities. Therefore, the total amount of distances travelled is half of the
Within the study, p-median model is used to measure the effects of total values, and the formula refers to this special case. Eq. (8) refers to
the centralization and it is used as an important part of locating the other events that need to be taken into consideration for multiple in­
logistics facilities in the iterative solution approach. The model is an stallations for economic analysis.
example of the mini-sum models. The mathematical model searches for ( ) /
∑n ∑ n
( )
the minimum travelling distance in the evaluation of the n*n sized dij *tij 2 (7)
candidate facility evaluation. The model can be weighted or un­ j=1 i=1

weighted. Weight values in the weighted objective function are the ( )


result of logistic clustering analysis obtained from GIS. In another words, ∑
n ∑
n
( )
dij *tij (8)
the weight parameter hi is gathered by GIS. In the model, the distances j=1 i=1
travelled between the facilities which are dij are obtained from the
network analysis of GIS. Decision variables are Xj which establishment The results of the models give two outputs. The first decision is the
decision of facility j, and Yij which is trips between origin i to destination location decision and second is the total cost for the investment decision.
j. For another expression of the success, ROI value will be calculated to
Within the mathematical model, no assessment is made only with create an easier way to understand for the decision makers. Within that
truck driving distances. The cost calculation based on the model outputs calculation, ROI is calculated based on the reached cost advantage. The

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İ. Önden and F. Eldemir Research in Transportation Business & Management 44 (2022) 100734

expression of that calculation can be given as: of the finalized facility is then calculated. The coverage map is combined
with the suitability map as a penalty map so that this region is not
ROI = ((Marginal fuel cost advantage–Setup Cost))/(SetupCost )
preferred. The resulting map represents the new suitability map for the
For the fuel cost calculation Eq. (9) is given. next logistics facility location analysis. Then, the location selection
(( ) )/ process is continued until the p = m. These steps for locating other
∑n ∑ n ∑ P
Fuel Cost =
( )
dij *tij *fcij SC (9) alternative location analysis are to run the p-median model in accor­
j=1 i=1 p=1 dance with the suitability map and determine the most appropriate
point. The detected alternative is removed from the alternative set. The
After the expressions formulas, the ROI (∆X) calculation can be done
distance matrix and the suitability map are updated. This process is
with the Eq. (10) where xn, the total cost for establishment of the n
continued until the locations of all facilities are selected.
facilities.
Once all plant locations have been identified, sensitivity analyzes for
Xn+1 − Xn these plant sites must also be performed. In this context, what-if ques­
%∆X = (10)
Xn+1 tions will be analyzed to determine how the suitability values will
change, and to identify the conformity levels of the facilities to be
located as a result of possible different situations. Since the output of this
3.4. Proposed iterative solution approach step will be an assessment of the position decision that was reached prior
to the occurrence of the different situations, the feasible field solution
An iterative solution approach was developed by integrating the will be finalized as a result of the sensitivity analysis. The end result of
analysis methods given. The method continues from the expert selection this phase will be the result of the site selection analysis.
until all the locations of the plants have been determined. In addition,
after the location decision, it tests how the suitability values will emerge 4. Application
as a result of encountering alternative situations with sensitivity anal­
ysis. It would not be wrong to say that the methodology is a basis of a The implementation of the iterative solution approach described in
decision support system with the reasons for these qualities. the methodology for Istanbul was carried out in the application section.
Fig. 1 gives all the analysis steps for the proposed methodology. All of Within the scope of the chapter, firstly, a sub-chapter on the decision
the work to be performed by the figure is given in a flow. The analysis environment in which the work was carried out was given. Afterwards,
begins with a literature search and the taking of expert opinions, and the number of suitable facilities was determined in the economic anal­
ends with an assessment of location decisions. In the study, decision ysis for centralization decision. Then, these logistics facilities are located
criteria are firstly determined and interviews are carried out with the at the designated number. The procedures followed in determining the
experts of the subject by following the steps of the f-AHP technique. The plant location are given in the section. Decisions taken with sensitivity
results of pairwise comparisons from experts are used to determine the analyzes have also been tested.
weights of each criterion and sub-criteria.
After the decision criteria are determined, GIS analysis starts. The 4.1. Decision environment
datasets of the decision criteria to be analyzed at the geographical
dimension are created as vectors. These resulting vector datasets are Istanbul Metropolitan Planning Department (IMP) report (IMP,
kept in the geographic database and are ready for analysis. Geographical 2007) express that a new logistic center is a necessity in Istanbul for
analyzes are carried out under three analysis methods. Spatial analysis is improving the quality of logistics activities, decreasing the logistics
the type of analysis in which euclidean distance and point density an­ costs, and also benefiting the scale economy. After this report, following
alyzes are performed. Clustering of logistical densities is achieved studies (Oğuztimur, Çancı, & Oğuztimur, 2011; Özdemir, 2010) also
through spatial statistical analysis. With the network analysis, OD dis­ express that establishing a logistics center is a necessity for Istanbul and
tance matrix is calculated taking into consideration the roads on the city. may provide benefits. In addition to the logistics center requirement, the
GIS analyzes produce required outputs with spatial analysis. This structure of the logistics system in Istanbul is an example of decentral­
spatial suitability is a map and specifies the positional appropriateness ized system and the flows are taking place on road transportation
of the logistic center location. The results of spatial analysis and spatial network that is illustrated in Fig. 2. Istanbul is a demand center of
statistical analysis are used to generate the suitability map in layers. The Turkey and it has high traffic national and international cargo. To meet
reclassification method is used to bring these different types of maps to the service demand in Istanbul, a vast number of logistics companies are
the same scale. These maps on the same scale are then combined with in service and all of these firms are building independent supply chain
criterial weights measured by f-AHP analysis. This process is performed network similar to Turkey’s all cities. Due to the relevance of logistics
with the overlay tool of the GIS and a conformity map is obtained. On flows structure with focused problem’s network structure; Istanbul is
the other hand, the distances between the network analysis and the selected as study area for experimentations within the study. The aim is
candidate points were calculated. These distances represent distances to build a hub for logistics activities to serve the city. Due to this aim, the
between regions in the p-median model. The suitability map and the facility has to be able to handle different types of cargo types such as
weights in the p-median model regions indicate the superiorities of the industrial products, perishable products, earth products and so on.
facilities. The p-median model is run with the number of centralization Istanbul is the most populous metropolis in Europe with a population
levels to be evaluated. Cost changes that will occur according to the of over 14 million (TUIK - Turkish Statistical Institute, 2020). In addition
number of facilities to be located in this area will be determined to population density, the city is a popular tourist destination with its
empirically. With the optimization modeling solutions realized, truck cultural heritage and more than 10 million tourists visit the city annually
driving distances are obtained according to the number of facilities. (TUIK - Turkish Statistical Institute, 2013). While population size makes
Logistic costs can be calculated according to these distances. From these it one of the biggest demand centers in the urban area, traffic congestion
costs the return on investment can be calculated. Each ROI value is and environmental harmful gas emissions have become a big problem as
recorded and the optimal level of centralization is determined by taking the logistics infrastructure in road transport is land-based. In addition to
into account expert opinions. its high consumption level, the city is also the largest production and
Once the optimal number of facilities has been determined as the service center in the region. Moreover, the city is a natural crossing
result of the economic analysis, the most preferred alternative facility bridge between Asia and Europe, and most of the transportation is done
for ROI calculations is finalized. After the first facility is set, it is by motorway transport, which increases the complexity of intra-city
removed from the number of facilities to be installed. The coverage area logistics.

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İ. Önden and F. Eldemir Research in Transportation Business & Management 44 (2022) 100734

Start GIS/Network
Analysis

Defining Decision Data Collecon


Network data set
Criteria
creaon
Literature & Expert Judgements

Creang a GeoDB

Expert Selecon Dijkstra Algorithm

GIS Analysis
Calculaon OD
Fuzzy pairwise
distance matrix
comparison

Measuring the GIS/ Spaal GIS / Spaal Assign i=1..n


weights of the Analysis Stascs
decision criteria
Perform p-median
model

Density & Distance Spaal Cluster Mapping record ROI values


Mapping

i=n
no
Reclassificaton yes

Select the lowest ROI


Overlay
Define the best
centralizaon level
p=m where min(ROI)
Assign i=1

Locate the most


preferred alternave

m=m-1
Overlay
Update the network
dataset
New OD distance matrix
Calculate the coverage
map for assigned node
no

Perform p-median model

Set the new facility

İ=m Assign i=i+1


yes
All Facilies Assigned End
Sensivity Analysis

Legend
Flow in the Framework
Analysis Acvity
Decision
Calculaon in the Framework
Start/End Points

Fig. 1. Location analysis framework.

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İ. Önden and F. Eldemir Research in Transportation Business & Management 44 (2022) 100734

Fig. 2. Transportation infrastructure of the study area.

In Istanbul, the structure of the city logistics activities is an example Therefore, a comprehensive assessment is needed on how to create
of decentralized system, and the logistics activities are done mostly via centralized logistics in the city.
trucks. There are also railway and maritime transportation infrastruc­
ture; yet, these alternatives are not used for inner city logistics activities.
For example, there are railway logistics center alternatives are existed in 4.2. Analysis of the centralization level & number of the logistics centers
Turkey. These facilities are owned by government and can be rented for
operation. However the use of these facilities are limited due to the need In Istanbul, logistics facilities serve in a structure that is not
of speed for the operations. When we look at the city logistics opera­ centralized. Because of this structure, every company that needs trans­
tions, both supply and demand sources are scattered over the city. That portation needs to either deal with its own trucks, contract with the
causes higher transportation costs, traffic congestion, and unwilling transport company or use a 3PL company. In order to be able to evaluate
environmental impacts. According to the findings of the existing studies, a logistic network in this structure, it is necessary to be able to reflect the
centralization of the logistics facilities may decrease total cost factors. mobility in the city. It is a way to reflect the current system of selecting
The centralization proposal has been conceptually suggested by city the intersection points of the main artery and the intermediate arteries
planners and academics so that this benefit can be obtained and a better as the candidate points in the road network for the reason that the
logistical network structure can be built. However, a change in this transportation is carried out by large roads in the current situation. On
dimension will be critical, especially in a huge city of 15 million. this count, the actual highway participation zones were chosen as cen­
ters of mobility. Domestic regions are ignored if they arrive in these

Fig. 3. Candidate nodes.

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İ. Önden and F. Eldemir Research in Transportation Business & Management 44 (2022) 100734

regions. With this assumption, 43 alternative intersection regions have From these values, it is also possible to see the marginal changes ac­
been selected as both demand and supply nodes. The selected alternative cording to the profit obtained by increasing the number of facilities by 1.
areas is given in Fig. 3. Each demand node has been identified as a point As a result, it is observed that the ROI value is 1.97 years at best and the
of making the transportation services itself. The distance matrix created best number of facilities for the city is 5. The change graph of ROI value
by GIS analysis is used to show distances between nodes and these cir­ according to scenario is given in Fig. 4.
culation distances used. A mathematical model has been used to un­ As can be seen from the figure, when the level of centralization is
derstand how the centralization of facilities has changed the truck increased from 2 to 3, the marginal benefit is improving at a high rate.
travelling distances. Although improving continues up to 3 facilities, the marginal utility
In calculation Eq. (11) is used for current logistics environment and change is limited. The reason for this finding and the level of centrali­
Eq. (12) is used to find centralized system’s travelled distances where tij zation level has been identified as 3 facilities. The main factor in this
is total travel times and dij is distances between i and j nodes. The reason decision is that the number of logistics companies that are centralized in
of taking half of the total calculation for decentralized system is each fewer region is higher when centralized in 3 logistics centers. That will
supply node is also a demand node which decreases half of total trans­ lead the interaction between companies is higher.
portation cost.
During calculation of ROI, the fixed construction cost is accepted as
4.3. Decision parameters for logistics centers location decision in Istanbul
200 hundred million Turkish Liras (TL) for single facility, and for each
additional facility it is added 75 million TL to total construction cost
It is calculated within the scope of the economic analysis that ben­
parameter. Equation of 11 and 12 are taken the total travelled distances
efits the level of centralization. It has been determined that the optimal
in the network for the comparisons. Eq. (11) is used for decentralized
number of facilities should be 3 in this calculation. After the number of
system due to each origin point is also destination point. Eq. (12) is used
necessary facilities is determined, plant settlement analysis is started.
to determine the transportation cost based on the centralization level
Expert interviews were carried out in two stages; the first discussion of
which is determined by the parameter p.
the realization of decision criteria which have been identified in the
( ) /
∑43 ∑ 43
( ) literature is the pairwise weighting evaluation stage of the decision
dij *tij 2 (11) criteria which are considered to be suitable for other applications.
j=1 i=1
As a result of the first phase of the interviews, it was determined that
( ) the criteria list identified in Fig. 5 is suitable for the study area. Although

43 ∑
43
(
dij
)
*tij (12) decision criteria are used in different aspects in the literature, it has been
j=1 i=1 determined that expert interviews are the most classical parameters for
the logistic central decision of transportation, demand and supply
Three different network structures are considered during the anal­
criteria and should be used. Multi-billion investments have been pro­
ysis. These are mainly the restrictions on the existing network structure
posed for the city to be used to reflect areas where the use of space is to
for road transport. The second scenario is to evaluate that there are no
expand and to reflect future claims.
restrictions and that all roads are used for road haulage. And the third
Transportation refers to the transportation infrastructure in which
scenario analyzes the situation in which the new network structure that
logistics activities are to be carried out and all modes of transportation
is currently under construction is also taken into service.
are defined as sub-criteria of transportation. Demand is generally a
The analysis was run with weighted objective function (Eq. (1)) with
criterion reflecting the demand of the city. Supply shows the origins and
its constraints (Eqs. (2)–(6)). The analysis results expressed the total fuel
destinations of the city’s production and logistics movements. In addi­
cost spent according to the located logistics center count. The model was
tion, production centers and export and import centers, where a large
run 10 times and the total cost value determined empirically. According
portion of the trade has been realized, have also been identified as
to the number of logistics centers, the fuel saving data obtained from the
important sub-criteria. As multi-billion investments, three projects were
reduced travel distance is calculated. The marginal fuel saving rate and
undertaken in the city that would dramatically change the city’s use of
ROI values obtained by the number of logistics centers are also
space.
calculated.
Table 1 outlines the findings of scenarios I, II, and III.
Scenario I: If the current network was considered, 4.4. Weights of the decision criteria
Scenario II: If there were no constraints in the logistics network,
Scenario III: If the future transportation network was considered. Within the scope of the study, Buckley’s f-AHP method was used to
Table 1 presents the cost changes and ROI data from three different interview experts with a linguistic scale. 11 experts are invited to
scenarios as a result of the analysis. The number of facility (Nof) starts evaluate the decision criteria due to their expertise. City managers, lo­
with 0, which indicates the logistical costs incurred in the decentralized gistics and transportation managers, location data scientists were
system. Then, how logistics costs change from p = 1 to p = 10 is given. invited to individual interviews. During the interviews pairwise com­
parison based survey is done under supervision of the research group.

Table 1
Logistics cost calculation for existing logistics structure.
NoF Fuel cost (Annual) Establishing cost Fuel cost saved (Annual/Sc.II) Marginal change ROI Sc⋅I ROI Sc.II ROI Sc.III Selected facility alternatives

0 423.091.674 – – – – – – –
1 594.379.337 200.000.000 − 171.287.664 − 0,40 34
2 343.083.002 275.000.000 80.008.672 0,42 3,43 3,44 4,98 16;39
3 261.332.680 350.000.000 161.758.993 0,24 2,58 2,16 2,58 7;41;35
4 215.071.221 425.000.000 208.020.453 0,18 2,28 2,04 2,28 7;33;38;41
5 169.417.488 500.000.000 253.674.186 0,21 2,12 1,97 2,12 1;14;20;38;41
6 152.625.000 575.000.000 270.466.674 0,10 2,25 2,13 2,25 2;14;20;24;38;41
7 138.475.790 650.000.000 284.615.883 0,09 2,40 2,28 2,40 2;14;20;24;26;28;41
8 125.614.733 725.000.000 297.476.941 0,09 2,54 2,44 2,54 7;14;16;21;24;26;28;41
9 114.182.561 800.000.000 308.909.112 0,09 2,73 2,59 2,73 7;14;17;21;24;26;30;39;43
10 103.067.707 875.000.000 320.023.966 0,10 2,88 2,73 2,88 7;14;16;21;23;26;30;34;39;43

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İ. Önden and F. Eldemir Research in Transportation Business & Management 44 (2022) 100734

Fig. 4. ROI results of travelled distances in regard to facility number (ROI Year / facility number).

Decision Criteria

Transportation Demand Supply Multi-Billion


Investments

Highway Logistics 3rd Bridge


Warehouses
Railway 3rd Airport
Manufact.
Seaway Zones KanalIstanbul

Logistics
Airway
Facilities

Export and
Import
Centers

Fig. 5. Decision criteria.

Evaluations were carried out after clarifying how to evaluate the ex­ weight values of the main criteria, the importance ratings of each sub-
perts. Pairwise comparisons in the obtained linguistic measure were criterion were determined within the scope of the study and was given
converted to triangular fuzzy values and then f-AHP steps were applied in Table 2.
to determine the criterial weights. The criterion weights obtained as a
result of the evaluations are given in Table 2.
According to the analysis result, the most important main criterion 4.5. GIS analysis and suitability map calculation
was determined as transportation. This criterion was followed by sup­
ply, demand and multi-billion investment criteria. In addition to the After the selection of suitable criteria, geographical data sets of
determined decision criteria were created. The data related to trans­
portation from the data sets used in the study were obtained from the
Table 2 local authority. The data other than this data were produced within the
Criteria Weights of the decision criteria. scope of the study. Clear water resources and environment, forest areas
Main criteria Weights Sub-criteria Weights Global and high cost areas, which are not included in the decision criteria but
weights are limiting the work, are derived from the scope of the study as
Transportation (c1) 0,390 Highway (c11) 0,3054 0,119 constraint maps. The maps of the geographical decision criteria are
Railway (c12) 0,2978 0,116 given in Figs. 6 and 7. Fig. 6 gives the criteria maps for supply and de­
Seaway (c13) 0,3204 0,125 mand. Fig. 7 shows the transportation related criteria on the map.
Airway (c14) 0,0764 0,030 Some regions in metropolitan settlements have to be protected. The
Demand (c2) 0,238
Supply (c3) 0,304 Logistics 0,1759 0,053
main ones are forest areas and water basins. For this reason, these two
Warehouses (c31) areas have been removed from the focus areas due to environmental
Manufacturing 0,1724 0,052 conservation sensitivity. In addition, the areas already in use for other
Zones (c32) purposes are ineligible for logistics center installation. Areas with high
Logistics Facilities 0,0938 0,028
area cost are not suitable for logistic centers planned to offer competitive
(c33)
Free Trade Zones 0,5579 0,169 prices. Therefore, constraint maps are created in four different criteria
(c34) and the areas falling in these zones are kept outside the solution space.
Multi-Billion 0,068 3rd Bridge (c41) 0,3165 0,021 These areas are visualized on the map in Fig. 8.
Investments (c4) 3rd Airport (c42) 0,3374 0,023 In order to be able to form the suitability analysis, it is necessary to
Kanal Istanbul (c43) 0,3462 0,024
carry out the criterion evaluation analysis for the decision criteria and to

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İ. Önden and F. Eldemir Research in Transportation Business & Management 44 (2022) 100734

Fig. 6. Supply and demand nodes.

Fig. 7. Transportation infrastructure and multi-billion investments.

determine the criterial importance ratings and to complete the mapping spatial analysis / density analysis and line type data sets were analyzed
of the decision criteria. After these steps, the suitability map can be by spatial analysis euclidean distance analysis. Regional data within the
determined. Geographical analysis is required in order to create the polygon-type dataset are subjected to spatial statistical analysis to ac­
suitability map. Input data types differ from each other. Data size has count for spatial autocorrelation.
been taken into consideration in the data analysis performed. The types Fig. 9 is a map which obtained GIS/suitability analysis. The figure
of point type data with high number of features were evaluated by also reflects the analysis phases. It can be seen how the analysis output

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İ. Önden and F. Eldemir Research in Transportation Business & Management 44 (2022) 100734

Fig. 8. Constraint maps.

Analysis Maps
Transportation Demand Supply Multi-Billion Investments
Wi 0,39 0,238 0,304 0,068
Highway Railway Seaway Airway Log. WH Log. Facilities I.&E. Man. Z. 3rd Bridge 3rd Airport Kanalistanbul
Wi 0,119 0,116 0,125 0,03 0,053 0,052 0,028 0,169 0,021 0,023 0,024

+
Geographic Constraints
Forestry Fresh Water Landuse Land Values

¯ ¯
Legend
Legend Legend İstanbul

Orman Alanları Su Havzaları En Ucuz Değer

İstanbul İstanbul

0
0

0
00

00

00

00

00

00

00
00

00

00

00

00

00

00
,0

,0

,0

,0

,0

0,0
5,0
0 13.750 27.500 55.000 Meters 0 12.500 25.000 50.000 Meters

50

50

50

50

50
-2

50
-1

-2

-4

-7

-9

-1
0
00

1
00

00

00

00

00

1
00

00
00

00

00

00

00
2,0

00
,0

0,0

0,0

0,0

0,0

0,0
25

15

25

45

75

95
¯ 0 13.500 27.000 54.000 Meters

=
Suitability Map

Fig. 9. Suitability map calculation.

obtained from the GIS analysis and reclassified is combined with the After the first plant was identified, the areas served by this facility
geographic constraint maps. How the output map was obtained can also were identified by GIS / Network analysis. The boundaries of this
be seen. The results of the analysis were combined with the criteria coverage area are drawn based on the distance breakpoint values. The
weights determined by f-AHP in the overlay analysis to show where the highest penalty area closest to the plant, which is designed to map the
logistics center should be located within the city. most distant parts of the lowest form of penalty will be imposed. The
penalty map generated according to this coverage area is combined with
the suitability map to obtain the new suitability map. The region closest
4.6. Location decisions of the logistics centers to the facility produced the highest penalty value. The farthest area is
accepted as 100 km for a logistics facility and that the area has the
Within the scope of economic analysis, the p-median model was run minimum penalty value in the penalty map.
10 times. The suitability values obtained from the GIS analysis under New spatial suitability values constitute the suitability values for the
this model are taken into the model as the weights of the candidate fa­ second logistic facility decision. In the analysis of the new facility, the
cilities. The most frequently selected candidate facility in the model run first plant site is determined and the alternative is eliminated from the
in is considered as the first positioned facility.

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İ. Önden and F. Eldemir Research in Transportation Business & Management 44 (2022) 100734

existing facility alternatives. OD distance matrix is updated with GIS / scenarios produced in this context are as follows:
Network analysis. The remaining alternative regions are then analyzed Scenario I – What if the supply criteria were not considered and the
with the new data. The most suitable region is determined as the facility remained criteria has the equal priorities (c1 = 0.33; c2 = 0.33; c3 = 0;
site that gives the lowest cost in the model. The analysis stages for the c4 = 0.33).
second plant are also carried out for the third plant. In this context, the Scenario II – What if all decision criteria carry the same weight value
penalty map is produced for the second logistics center’s determined (c1 = 0.25; c2 = 0.25; c3 = 0.25; c4 = 0.25).
location. Suitability map with second logistics centers’ penalty map is Scenario III – What if only transportation and its sub-criteria were the
overlayed to obtain the new suitability map. P-median model is run solely considered criterion (c1 = 1; c2 = 0; c3 = 0; c4 = 0).
according to the new generated data and the location of the third plant Scenario IV – What if only transportation and supply criteria were
will be determined. The maps produced during the stage of site selection selected for location decisions (c1 = 0.5; c2 = 0; c3 = 0.5; c4 = 0).
are given in Fig. 10. Scenario V - What if only demand and supply criteria were selected as
decision parameters (c1 = 0; c2 = 0.5; c3 = 0.5; c4 = 0).
Different criteria weights were entered into the overlay tool for
4.7. Sensitivity analysis
sensitivity analysis. These criteria weights are the values of the five
scenarios forming the sensitivity analysis. As a result of these analyzes,
In the scope of the study, a method proposal was made to determine
suitability maps for alternative situations have been produced. Suit­
the locations of the logistics centers and the application for Istanbul was
ability map was produced by the stated steps are shown in Fig. 11.
carried out and appropriate facility locations were determined. How­
The sensitivity results are summarized in the Table 3. The results
ever, if different situations arise before a site selection decision is made,
show, under different scenarios selected alternatives has different per­
sensitivity analyzes should be carried out to determine how the site
formances. For example the best alternative has the best performance in
selection decision will change. In this context, a sensitivity analysis was
the first three scenarios. But in the last two scenarios, third best alter­
carried out and different situations were assessed with what-if questions.
native has a better performance than the best alternative. The reason of
Five different scenarios were developed within the scope of the
this result can be understood with the given Fig. 12. The Fig. 12 shows
evaluations. These scenarios have tested the dominance of a criterion
the 35; 50 and 65 km demand and supply coverages of the selected al­
weight for a changing decision environment, the fact that decision
ternatives. If we consider only transportation and supply or supply and
criteria in different criteria have similar weights and the two criteria are
demand criteria, one alternative might have a better performance.
predominant. In the scenario definitions, the main criteria are
However, in the study we want to optimize the system under four main
mentioned and sub-criteria are taken into account in the analysis. The

First Logistics Center's Service Area Updated Suitability Map for the Secondary Logistics Center

Second Logistics Center's Service Area Updated Suitability Map for the Tertiary Logistics Center

Selected Alternatives in Candidate Alternatives Set

Fig. 10. Location decision of the new logistics centers.

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İ. Önden and F. Eldemir Research in Transportation Business & Management 44 (2022) 100734

A35: 2 A35: 1 A35: 2


A41: 5 A41: 5 A41: 5
A8 : 3 A8 : 1 A8 : 3

A35: 5 A35: 4
A41: 7 A41: 8
A8 : 2 A8 : 1

Fig. 11. Sensitivity results.

Table 3
Criteria Weights of the decision criteria.
Selection order Scenario I Scenario II Scenario III Scenario IV Scenario V

Alternative 8 3 3 1 3 2 1
Alternative 35 1 2 1 2 5 4
Alternative 41 2 5 5 5 7 8

Fig. 12. Selected best alternatives’ coverage distances.

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İ. Önden and F. Eldemir Research in Transportation Business & Management 44 (2022) 100734

criteria. These results show the methodology is capable to take whole this implementation phase, the governance of the network will also be
decision criteria in account and overcome the difficulty of the sophis­ crucial and three main actors which are users (e.g. retailers); operators
ticated multi-criteria problems. (logistic providers) and public Administration (e.g. regional authorities)
The differentiation of suitability values against alternative situations will take their roles in the new business environment. For the future
is given in Fig. 11. According to values, it was seen that the first posi­ studies, in addition to the decision making and data analysis of the fa­
tioned plant achieved the highest suitability values. The third plant also cility location, management aspects should be considered.
achieved successful results. The second facility was found to have lower
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