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Part 1: Theories and realities of Vietnam


1. International Monetary System

Introduction

The International Monetary System (IMS) is a set of rules and institutions that govern the
exchange of currencies between countries. It is important for Vietnam to understand the IMS
because it plays a key role in the country's economic development.

Theories of the International Monetary System

There are two main theories of the IMS: the Bretton Woods system and the flexible exchange
rate system.

 The Bretton Woods system was established in 1944 and was based on the US dollar
as the world's reserve currency. Under this system, all other currencies were pegged to
the US dollar, which was in turn pegged to gold. This system helped to stabilize
exchange rates and promote global trade.
 The flexible exchange rate system was adopted in 1971 and allows currencies to
fluctuate freely in response to market forces. This system is more flexible than the
Bretton Woods system, but it can also be more volatile.

Realities of the Vietnam-International Monetary System

Vietnam has adopted a flexible exchange rate system with a managed float. This means that
the government intervenes in the foreign exchange market to prevent sharp fluctuations in the
Vietnamese dong. The government's goal is to maintain a stable exchange rate that is
conducive to economic growth.

Challenges and Opportunities

Vietnam faces a number of challenges in its relationship with the IMS. One challenge is the
country's reliance on foreign trade. This makes Vietnam vulnerable to fluctuations in global
demand and exchange rates. Another challenge is the country's large foreign debt. This debt
makes Vietnam vulnerable to financial crises.

However, Vietnam also has a number of opportunities in its relationship with the IMS. The
country is experiencing rapid economic growth and is becoming increasingly integrated into
the global economy. This presents Vietnam with opportunities to attract foreign investment
and expand its export markets.

Recommendations

Vietnam can take a number of steps to strengthen its relationship with the IMS. These steps
include:

 Promoting economic growth and diversification: Vietnam should continue to


pursue policies that promote economic growth and diversification. This will help to
reduce the country's reliance on foreign trade and make it more resilient to external
shocks.

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 Managing foreign debt: Vietnam should continue to manage its foreign debt
prudently. This will help to reduce the country's vulnerability to financial crises.
 Strengthening financial institutions: Vietnam should continue to strengthen its
financial institutions. This will make the country's financial system more stable and
resilient.
 Participating in international financial institutions: Vietnam should continue to
participate in international financial institutions. This will help the country to
influence the development of the IMS and promote its own interests.

Conclusion

Vietnam is a dynamic and developing economy that is increasingly integrated into the global
economy. The IMS plays a key role in Vietnam's economic development. By understanding
the theories and realities of the IMS, Vietnam can take steps to strengthen its relationship
with the IMS and promote its own economic interests.

2. Foreign Exchange Rate

Introduction

The foreign exchange rate is the price of one currency expressed in terms of another
currency. It is a key determinant of a country's international competitiveness and trade flows.
Vietnam's foreign exchange rate policy is an important component of the country's
macroeconomic policy framework.

Theories of Foreign Exchange Rate Determination

There are two main theories of foreign exchange rate determination: the purchasing power
parity (PPP) theory and the uncovered interest parity (UIP) theory.

 The PPP theory states that exchange rates should adjust over time to equalize the
prices of goods and services in different countries. According to this theory, changes
in the exchange rate should reflect changes in relative inflation rates between
countries.
 The UIP theory states that the expected return on an investment in a foreign currency
should be equal to the expected return on an investment in the domestic currency.
According to this theory, the difference between interest rates in two countries should
be equal to the expected change in the exchange rate between the two currencies.

Realities of Vietnam's Foreign Exchange Rate Regime

Vietnam has adopted a flexible exchange rate regime with a managed float. This means that
the government intervenes in the foreign exchange market to prevent sharp fluctuations in the
Vietnamese dong. The government's goal is to maintain a stable exchange rate that is
conducive to economic growth.

Vietnam's Foreign Exchange Rate Policy

The State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) is responsible for formulating and implementing
Vietnam's foreign exchange rate policy. The SBV uses a variety of tools to manage the
exchange rate, including:

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 Open market operations: The SBV buys and sells foreign exchange in the open
market to influence the supply and demand of foreign currency.
 Intervention in the foreign exchange market: The SBV can directly intervene in the
foreign exchange market to buy or sell foreign currency.
 Foreign exchange reserve management: The SBV manages the country's foreign
exchange reserves, which can be used to intervene in the foreign exchange market.

Challenges and Opportunities

Vietnam faces a number of challenges in managing its foreign exchange rate. One challenge
is the country's reliance on foreign trade. This makes Vietnam vulnerable to fluctuations in
global demand and exchange rates. Another challenge is the country's large foreign debt. This
debt makes Vietnam vulnerable to financial crises.

However, Vietnam also has a number of opportunities in managing its foreign exchange rate.
The country is experiencing rapid economic growth and is becoming increasingly integrated
into the global economy. This presents Vietnam with opportunities to attract foreign
investment and expand its export markets.

Recommendations

Vietnam can take a number of steps to strengthen its foreign exchange rate management.
These steps include:

 Promoting economic growth and diversification: Vietnam should continue to


pursue policies that promote economic growth and diversification. This will help to
reduce the country's reliance on foreign trade and make it more resilient to external
shocks.
 Managing foreign debt: Vietnam should continue to manage its foreign debt
prudently. This will help to reduce the country's vulnerability to financial crises.
 Strengthening financial institutions: Vietnam should continue to strengthen its
financial institutions. This will make the country's financial system more stable and
resilient.
 Developing a robust foreign exchange market: Vietnam should continue to develop
its foreign exchange market. This will make it easier for businesses and investors to
hedge against exchange rate risk.

Conclusion

The foreign exchange rate is an important determinant of Vietnam's economic performance.


By understanding the theories and realities of the foreign exchange rate, Vietnam can take
steps to manage its exchange rate effectively and promote economic growth.

3. Foreign exchange market and development of foreign exchange market:

The Foreign Exchange Market in Vietnam

The foreign exchange market (forex market) is a decentralized global marketplace where
currencies are traded. It is the most liquid market in the world, with an estimated daily trading
volume of over $5 trillion. The forex market plays a vital role in facilitating international
trade and investment flows.

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Vietnam's Foreign Exchange Market

Vietnam's foreign exchange market is a relatively young and developing market. However, it
has grown rapidly in recent years, driven by the country's rapid economic growth and
integration into the global economy. The forex market in Vietnam is primarily over-the-
counter (OTC), meaning that trades are conducted directly between counterparties. There is
also a small interbank market, where banks trade currencies with each other.

Theories of Foreign Exchange Market

There are two main theories of foreign exchange market: the efficient market hypothesis
(EMH) and the behavioral finance theory (BFT).

 The EMH states that exchange rates are rational and reflect all available information.
This means that it is impossible to consistently beat the market by trading on
fundamental analysis or technical analysis.
 The BFT states that exchange rates are not always rational and can be influenced by
psychological factors, such as herd behavior and overconfidence. This means that it
may be possible to beat the market by trading on behavioral biases.

Development of Vietnam's Foreign Exchange Market

The development of Vietnam's foreign exchange market has been supported by a number of
factors, including:

 Economic reforms: Vietnam has implemented a number of economic reforms in


recent years, which have helped to liberalize the foreign exchange market.
 Increased foreign investment: Vietnam has attracted a significant amount of foreign
investment in recent years, which has increased demand for Vietnamese dong (VND).
 Development of financial infrastructure: Vietnam has developed its financial
infrastructure, including the establishment of a securities exchange and a derivatives
market.

Challenges and Opportunities

Vietnam's foreign exchange market faces a number of challenges, including:

 Market liquidity: The forex market in Vietnam is still relatively illiquid, which can
make it difficult to execute large trades.
 Exchange rate volatility: The VND is a volatile currency, which can make it difficult
for businesses to hedge against exchange rate risk.
 Regulation: The forex market in Vietnam is still heavily regulated, which can make it
difficult for foreign banks to operate in the market.

Despite these challenges, there are also a number of opportunities for the development of
Vietnam's foreign exchange market. These opportunities include:

 Growth of the Vietnamese economy: The Vietnamese economy is expected to


continue to grow in the coming years, which will increase demand for VND.
 Increased integration into the global economy: Vietnam is becoming increasingly
integrated into the global economy, which will increase demand for VND.

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 Development of new financial products: The development of new financial


products, such as foreign exchange options and futures, will make it easier for
businesses to hedge against exchange rate risk.

Recommendations

Vietnam can take a number of steps to further develop its foreign exchange market,
including:

 Continue to liberalize the foreign exchange market: Vietnam should continue to


liberalize the foreign exchange market to make it more open and transparent.
 Develop the financial infrastructure: Vietnam should continue to develop its
financial infrastructure, including the establishment of a central counterparty
clearinghouse.
 Promote the use of foreign exchange derivatives: Vietnam should promote the use
of foreign exchange derivatives to help businesses hedge against exchange rate risk.
 Strengthen regulatory oversight: Vietnam should strengthen regulatory oversight of
the foreign exchange market to ensure that it is well-functioning and stable.

Conclusion

The foreign exchange market plays a vital role in the Vietnamese economy. By continuing to
develop its foreign exchange market, Vietnam can further integrate into the global economy
and promote economic growth.

4. Impact of foreign exchange rate on activities:

Impact of Foreign Exchange Rate on Vietnam's Activities

The foreign exchange rate (FX rate) plays a significant role in influencing various economic
activities in Vietnam. Changes in the FX rate can have both positive and negative
consequences for businesses, individuals, and the overall economy.

Impact on Businesses

 Exporting: A depreciating Vietnamese dong (VND) benefits exporters by making


their products more competitive in international markets. This can lead to increased
export volumes and revenue.
 Importing: An appreciating VND makes imports cheaper, which can reduce
production costs for businesses that rely on imported inputs. However, it can also
make domestic products less competitive against imported goods.
 Borrowing in Foreign Currency: Businesses that borrow in foreign currency face
increased costs if the VND depreciates, as they need to pay more VND to repay the
debt.
 Investment: A stable FX rate provides a more predictable environment for foreign
investment, encouraging businesses to invest in Vietnam.

Impact on Individuals

 Tourism: A depreciating VND makes Vietnam more affordable for foreign tourists,
potentially boosting tourism revenue.

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 Remittances: Vietnamese workers abroad send remittances back home in foreign


currency. A depreciating VND increases the value of these remittances in VND terms.
 Travel and Education: A depreciating VND makes travel and education abroad
more expensive for Vietnamese individuals.

Impact on the Economy

 Economic Growth: A stable and competitive FX rate supports economic growth by


facilitating trade and investment.
 Inflation: FX rate fluctuations can contribute to inflation, especially if the VND
depreciates significantly.
 External Debt: Vietnam has a significant amount of external debt denominated in
foreign currency. A depreciating VND increases the debt burden in VND terms.

Managing the Impact of FX Rate Fluctuations

The Vietnamese government and businesses can adopt various strategies to manage the
impact of FX rate fluctuations:

 Hedging: Businesses can use financial instruments like derivatives to hedge against
FX risk.
 Diversification: Businesses can diversify their export markets to reduce reliance on a
single currency.
 Risk Management: Businesses can develop robust risk management strategies to
proactively address FX-related risks.
 Policy Interventions: The government can implement monetary and fiscal policies to
stabilize the FX rate.

Conclusion

The FX rate plays a crucial role in shaping Vietnam's economic landscape. Understanding the
impact of FX rate fluctuations on businesses, individuals, and the overall economy is
essential for effective decision-making and risk mitigation strategies. By managing FX risk
effectively, Vietnam can foster a more resilient and competitive economy.

1 . Analyze the factors that impact on the trade balance . Current status of the trade
balance in Vietnam .

Bản giải 1:

1.Inflation: Inflation increases prices and costs. As prices and costs in any country rise
rapidly, domestically produced goods soon become more expensive than similar goods
produced abroad. This reduces exports, increases imports. Thereby affecting the balance of
trade.

2.Commodity prices: When the prices of domestic goods are high relative to foreign goods,
the demand for imports will increase, which affect the balance of trade

3. Productivity : An increase in domestic productivity will lead to more competition for


domestic goods than for imports, thereby increasing the demand for domestic goods and
reducing the demand for imported goods. Thereby affecting the balance of trade.

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4. Exchange rate: An appreciation of the domestic currency significantly increases the cost
of exported goods, so the quantity of exports will decrease and affect the trade balance.

5. Trade policy: Trade barriers or supportive policies also affect a country's balance of
exports and imports. For example, when there is an export subsidy, a country will export
more and affect the balance of trade.

6. Income : Increased income increases the demand for goods, including imported goods.
This causes a country to import more and affects the balance of trade.

Current trade balance in Vietnam:

In the context that the fourth wave of the Covid-19 pandemic continues to develop
complicatedly in Viet Nam, it has had a negative impact on the production and business
activities of our country. Some provinces and cities with large industrial scale such as Ho Chi
Minh City, Binh Duong, Ha Noi, Bac Ninh and Bac Giang have had a high number of cases,
many industrial parks have to close, many factories have to suspend production. Production
and export activities of some enterprises in industrial zones were affected. However, in the
first 6 months of 2021, Viet Nam’s import and export still achieved some encouraging
results: Total export and import turnover in the first 6 months reached 316.73 billion USD,
rose by 32.2% over the same period in 2020; in which, import turnover continued to maintain
at a fairly high growth rate of 36.1%, reaching 159.1 billion USD. Import turnover from
major markets increased sharply over the same period in 2020: China increased by 53%;
Korea increased by 21.1%; ASEAN increased by 47.7%; EU increased by 16.3%.

Import value of many items increased sharply over the same period in 2020, of which
automobiles increased by 78.4%; other basic metals increased by 59.9%; plastics rose by
54.9%; phones all of kinds and their parts increased by 48.7%; iron and steel rose by 40.8%;
machinery, instrument, accessory increased by 37.3%; chemical products went up by 34.5%;
auxiliary materials for textile, footwear increased by 34.2%; fabric increased by 32.3%;
electronics, computers and their parts increased by 22.9%; plastic products increased by 22%.

One of the reasons for the sharp increase in the import value of items is that the import price
index in the first 6 months of 2021 increased by 2.24% over the same period last year (in the
second quarter of 2021, it increased by 3.28%). In which, import prices of some important
products for processing and production increased: Other basic metals increased by 12.8%;
iron and steel increased by 7.65%; fabric increased by 1.65%;

electronics, computers and their parts rose by 1.62%; machinery, instrument, accessory
increased by 0.56%.

Import turnover in 6 months grew higher than export turnover (import increased by 36.1%;
exports increased by 28.4%) brought the trade balance in the first 6 months of the year to a
trade deficit of 1.47 billion USD (in the same period in 2020, the trade surplus was 5.86
billion USD). However, considering the structure of imported goods, the group of input
materials accounted for 93.9% of the total turnover, a rise of 0.4 percentage points over the
same period last year; import of input materials reached USD 149.32 billion, rose up by
36.7%; in which the group of machinery, equipment, accessory, means of transport and
components reached USD 71.97 billion, increased by 33% and accounting for 45.2% (went
down 1 percentage point); fuel and raw materials reached 77.35 billion USD, went up 40.2%
and accounting for 48.6% (went up 1.4 percentage point). Consumer goods group was

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estimated at 9.78 billion USD, rose by 28% and accounted for 6.1% (a drop of 0.4 percentage
points). Import of input materials has a high growth rate, especially the group of goods for
production, which is the group of fuel and raw materials, increased by 40.2% (the proportion
increased by 1.4 percentage points), showing that signs of production recovery have made
good progress and are positive.

However, if there is no solution to limit the trade deficit, the long-term trade deficit and
especially the trade deficit of consumer goods will partly cause negative impacts in the
economy. The high import of consumer goods, especially luxury consumer goods, will
reduce the competitiveness of domestic goods, causing difficulties for domestic production
activities.

Viet Nam’s economic forecast for the last 6 months of 2021 will continue to face many
difficulties, the effective implementation of “dual goals” is a big challenge, requiring the joint
effort and consensus of the Government, businesses and people , focusing on a number of
contents related to import and export activities as follows: Protecting the health of workers in
enterprises and industrial parks; continue to focus on removing difficulties for production and
business enterprises, recovering the economy,

supporting the business community in finding markets to import raw materials, fuel,
materials, spare parts and replacement components; control and take timely measures to
ensure the supply and prices of imported raw materials, fuels and input materials for domestic
production; use appropriate tax policies in favor of importing raw materials and exporting
finished products; effectively carry out trade promotion activities, promote products and
categories, seek to expand export markets.

Bản 2:

Factors impacting Vietnam's trade balance:

Global factors:

 Economic growth of trading partners: A strong global economy boosts demand for
Vietnamese exports, leading to a trade surplus. Conversely, a weak global economy
dampens demand and creates a trade deficit.
 Commodity prices: Fluctuations in global commodity prices, especially for Vietnam's
key exports like oil and gas, can significantly impact the trade balance.
 Exchange rates: A weaker Vietnamese dong (VND) makes exports cheaper and
imports more expensive, potentially improving the trade balance. Conversely, a
stronger VND has the opposite effect.
 Trade policies: Trade agreements and protectionist measures by other countries can
affect Vietnam's export competitiveness and impact the trade balance.

Domestic factors:

 Domestic production capacity: Strong domestic production of goods for export can
lead to a trade surplus. Conversely, reliance on imports creates a trade deficit.
 Foreign direct investment (FDI): FDI inflows can boost export capacity and
technology transfer, leading to a trade surplus. However, FDI can also increase
imports of machinery and equipment, contributing to a deficit.

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 Government policies: Government policies like export subsidies, import tariffs, and
infrastructure development can influence the trade balance.
 Consumer preferences: A preference for imported goods over domestic alternatives
can widen the trade deficit.

Current status of Vietnam's trade balance:

 Trade deficit: As of October 2023, Vietnam has a trade deficit. This is due to faster
import growth (around 10%) compared to export growth (around 5%).
 High import of input materials: Imports of raw materials, machinery, and equipment
for production are growing rapidly, indicating economic recovery and export
potential.
 Concerns about consumer goods: While imports of consumer goods are rising,
policymakers are concerned about potential harm to domestic production
competitiveness.

Overall, Vietnam's trade balance is a complex interplay of global and domestic factors. While
the current deficit raises concerns, the strong growth in imports for production suggests
potential future export gains. The government needs to address the consumer goods import
issue and implement policies to support domestic production and export competitiveness.

Bản 3:

Factors impacting Vietnam's trade balance:

Internal factors:

 Economic growth: Higher economic growth leads to greater demand for imports,
potentially causing a trade deficit.
 Domestic production: Insufficient domestic production capacity for certain goods
increases reliance on imports.
 Domestic consumption: High demand for imported consumer goods can tilt the
balance towards a trade deficit.
 Exchange rate: A weak Vietnamese dong (VND) makes imports more expensive and
exports cheaper, potentially improving the trade balance.
 Government policies: Tax incentives or trade restrictions can influence the flow of
imports and exports.

External factors:

 Global economic trends: Booming international markets increase demand for


Vietnamese exports, contributing to a trade surplus.
 Commodity prices: Fluctuations in global commodity prices can impact the cost of
imported raw materials and finished goods.
 Trading partner dynamics: The economic health of major import and export partners
impacts Vietnam's trade balance.
 Global trade agreements: Free trade agreements can increase trade volume, impacting
the balance depending on the type of goods traded.

Current status of the trade balance in Vietnam:

 As of June 2023: Vietnam had a trade deficit of $4.75 billion.

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 Trend: In 2021, Vietnam transitioned from a trade surplus to a trade deficit for the
first time in several years.
 Concerns: The growing trade deficit, especially for consumer goods, raises concerns
about long-term economic impacts.
 Government response: The government is focusing on supporting domestic
production, diversifying exports, and attracting foreign investment to address the trade
imbalance.

Conclusion:

Vietnam's trade balance is influenced by complex interactions between internal and external
factors. While a temporary trade deficit may not be alarming, prolonged imbalances can
negatively impact the economy. The government is proactively addressing the issue, but
continuous efforts are needed to achieve a sustainable trade balance.

2. Analyzing the structure of the current account balance of an open market economy.
The significance of the research problem for Vietnam in the current period.

The current account balance is a critical component of a country's balance of payments,


providing a snapshot of its economic interactions with the rest of the world. It encompasses
the trade in goods and services, income flows, and current transfers between a nation and its
global counterparts. Deciphering the structure of the current account balance involves delving
into its various subcomponents:

1. Trade in Goods: This component comprises exports and imports of tangible goods. A
current account surplus in trade in goods indicates that a country is exporting more than it
imports, while a deficit suggests the opposite.

2. Trade in Services: This encompasses the exchange of intangible services, such as tourism,
transportation, and financial services. A surplus in this category implies that a country is a net
exporter of services.

3. Income from Abroad: This component captures income earned by residents of a country
from their investments and work abroad, as well as income earned by foreign residents within
the country. A surplus in this category suggests that a country is earning more from its
foreign investments than it is paying out.

4. Current Transfers: This involves unilateral transfers of money or goods between


countries, such as remittances from overseas workers or foreign aid. A surplus indicates that a
country is receiving more transfers than it is sending.

Significance for Vietnam in the Current Period

Analyzing the structure of the current account balance holds immense significance for
Vietnam in the contemporary era due to several compelling reasons:

1. Trade Balance Dynamics: Vietnam has experienced both trade surpluses and deficits in
recent years. Understanding the structure of trade in goods and services is crucial for
assessing the competitiveness of its export sector and formulating effective trade policies.

2. Economic Stability Anchor: A well-balanced current account can play a pivotal role in
maintaining economic stability. Vietnam's ability to sustain a stable current account balance

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can significantly impact its overall economic stability and its attractiveness to foreign
investment.

3. Foreign Exchange Reserves Buffer: A surplus in the current account can lead to the
accumulation of foreign exchange reserves, which serve as a valuable buffer against currency
market volatility. These reserves can be utilized to stabilize the Vietnamese Dong (VND) in
times of economic turmoil.

4. Global Economic Interconnectedness: Given the interconnectedness of the global


economy, events such as the COVID-19 pandemic and global trade tensions can have a
profound impact on Vietnam's current account. Analyzing the structural components of the
current account can help assess these impacts and formulate appropriate policy responses.

5. Policy Implications for Sustainable Growth: The analysis of the current account balance
can guide policymakers in making informed decisions related to trade policy, exchange rate
management, and foreign investment strategies to maintain a balanced current account and
promote sustainable economic growth.

6. Assessing Sustainability for Long-term Stability: Assessing the sustainability of the


current account balance is essential to avoid excessive imbalances that may lead to economic
vulnerabilities. This analysis can help identify potential risks and formulate corrective
measures to ensure long-term economic stability.

In conclusion, analyzing the structure of the current account balance provides valuable
insights into the economic health and global interactions of a nation. For Vietnam,
understanding this intricate balance is crucial for maintaining trade competitiveness,
economic stability, foreign exchange reserves adequacy, and resilience in the face of global
economic fluctuations. By employing this analysis effectively, policymakers can make
informed decisions that promote sustainable economic growth and long-term prosperity for
Vietnam.

3. Analyzing the role and basic operations of the forex market, on that basis, please
comment on the current situation of the foreign exchange market in Vietnam.

Short version:

The forex market is the global marketplace for trading currencies. It facilitates the exchange
of one currency for another and is used by individuals, businesses, and governments engaged
in international trade and investment. The basic operations of the forex market include spot
transactions, forward contracts, and currency swaps. Spot transactions are the immediate
exchange of currencies at the current market rate. Forward contracts are agreements to
exchange currencies at a future date at a predetermined rate. Currency swaps are the
exchanging of one currency for another with a commitment to reverse the exchange at a later
date.

The current situation of the foreign exchange market in Vietnam is influenced by a number of
factors, including the exchange rate policy of the State Bank of Vietnam, recent exchange
rate movements, global events, foreign exchange reserves, foreign investment, economic
growth, government policies, and market modernization.

Long version:

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The Forex Market: A Comprehensive Overview

The foreign exchange market (forex market) is a global decentralized marketplace for trading
currencies, enabling individuals, businesses, and governments to engage in international trade
and investment. It is the largest and most liquid market in the world, with a daily trading
volume exceeding $6.6 trillion.

Role of the Forex Market

The primary role of the forex market is to facilitate the exchange of one currency for another.
This exchange is essential for international trade, as it allows businesses to pay and receive
payment for goods and services sold across borders. Additionally, investors use the forex
market to hedge against currency risk and speculate on future currency movements.

Basic Operations

The forex market is characterized by its over-the-counter (OTC) trading mechanism, meaning
that transactions occur directly between two parties without the need for an exchange. The
three main types of forex transactions are:

 Spot Transactions: These involve the immediate exchange of currencies at the


current market rate.
 Forward Contracts: These are agreements to exchange currencies at a predetermined
rate on a future date. This is used to hedge against currency risk.
 Currency Swaps: These involve exchanging one currency for another with a
commitment to reverse the exchange at a later date.

Market Participants

The forex market is a diverse and complex ecosystem with a wide range of participants,
including:

 Central Banks: These are responsible for setting monetary policy and regulating the
financial system. They use the forex market to intervene in the currency market and
manage their foreign exchange reserves.
 Commercial Banks: These are the primary providers of forex services to individuals
and businesses. They facilitate currency exchange, provide hedging instruments, and
offer margin trading.
 Corporations: These use the forex market to manage their foreign currency exposure
and facilitate international trade and investment.
 Investment Funds: These use the forex market to speculate on currency movements
and diversify their portfolios.
 Retail Traders: These are individuals who trade currencies in the hope of making a
profit.

Current Situation of the Foreign Exchange Market in Vietnam

The current situation of the foreign exchange market in Vietnam is influenced by various
factors, including:

 Exchange Rate Policy: Vietnam's State Bank (SBV) manages the exchange rate
through a managed float regime. The SBV allows the VND (Vietnamese Dong) to

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fluctuate within a controlled range, adjusting it as needed to support the country's


economic objectives.
 Recent Exchange Rate Movements: In recent years, Vietnam has experienced
relatively stable exchange rates, with gradual depreciation of the VND against the
USD. This stability has contributed to confidence in the currency.
 Impact of Global Events: Global events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic and trade
tensions, can affect Vietnam's foreign exchange market. For instance, the pandemic
disrupted supply chains and affected trade flows.
 Foreign Exchange Reserves: Vietnam has been accumulating foreign exchange
reserves, which provide a buffer against currency volatility and help stabilize the
VND.
 Foreign Investment: Foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows have a direct impact on
the foreign exchange market. Vietnam's attractiveness to foreign investors can
influence the demand for VND.
 Economic Growth: Vietnam's strong economic growth and export performance have
contributed to its foreign exchange market stability.
 Government Policies: Government policies related to trade, investment, and
currency management play a significant role in the foreign exchange market's current
situation.
 Market Modernization: Vietnam has witnessed the modernization of its foreign
exchange market, with increased use of digital platforms for forex trading and
transactions.

Conclusion

The forex market is a dynamic and complex global marketplace that plays a critical role in
international trade and investment. Understanding the role, operations, and current state of
the forex market is essential for businesses, investors, and policymakers operating in a
globalized economy.

Another ver :):

Role and Basic Operations of the Forex Market


Role of the Forex Market:
Facilitating Currency Exchange: The forex market is the global marketplace for trading
currencies. Its primary role is to facilitate the exchange of one currency for another, serving
individuals, businesses, and governments engaged in international trade and investment.

Basic Operations:
Spot Transactions: Immediate exchange of currencies at the current market rate. These
transactions occur "on the spot."
Forward Contracts: Agreements to exchange currencies at a future date at a predetermined
rate, which helps manage currency risk.
Currency Swaps: Exchanging one currency for another with a commitment to reverse the
exchange at a later date.
Market Participants: Include central banks, commercial banks, corporations, investment
funds, and retail traders. They engage in buying and selling currencies to meet various
objectives.

Current Situation of the Foreign Exchange Market in Vietnam

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The current situation of the foreign exchange market in Vietnam is influenced by various
factors:

Exchange Rate Policy: Vietnam's State Bank (SBV) manages the exchange rate through a
managed float regime. The SBV allows the VND (Vietnamese Dong) to fluctuate within a
controlled range, adjusting it as needed to support the country's economic objectives.
Recent Exchange Rate Movements: In recent years, Vietnam has experienced relatively
stable exchange rates, with gradual depreciation of the VND against the USD. This stability
has contributed to confidence in the currency.
Impact of Global Events: Global events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic and trade
tensions, can affect Vietnam's foreign exchange market. For instance, the pandemic disrupted
supply chains and affected trade flows.
Foreign Exchange Reserves: Vietnam has been accumulating foreign exchange reserves,
which provide a buffer against currency volatility and help stabilize the VND.
Foreign Investment: Foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows have a direct impact on the
foreign exchange market. Vietnam's attractiveness to foreign investors can influence the
demand for VND.
Economic Growth: Vietnam's strong economic growth and export performance have
contributed to its foreign exchange market stability.
Government Policies: Government policies related to trade, investment, and currency
management play a significant role in the foreign exchange market's current situation.
Market Modernization:Vietnam has witnessed the modernization of its foreign exchange
market, with increased use of digital platforms for forex trading and transactions.

4. Discuss your opinions about the market for foreign exchange and its role in the
development of the economy. Analyze the impact of the Vietnam foreign exchange
market on the development of Vietnam's economy in the last 5 years.

The Foreign Exchange Market: Engine of Growth or Double-Edged Sword?

The foreign exchange (FX) market, where currencies are traded, plays a critical role in the
global economy, acting as a facilitator of trade and investment. Its impact on individual
economies, like Vietnam, can be multifaceted, promoting growth while also introducing
potential risks.

Positive impacts:

 Trade and investment: A stable and efficient FX market allows businesses to import
and export goods and services smoothly, reducing transaction costs and facilitating
cross-border investment. This can boost export competitiveness, attract foreign
capital, and create jobs.
 Economic diversification: A vibrant FX market encourages diversification away
from overreliance on specific exports or trading partners. By hedging currency risks,
businesses can venture into new markets and products, fostering resilience.
 Financial stability: A well-regulated FX market fosters financial market
development and stability. This can attract foreign investors, improve access to credit,
and lower borrowing costs for businesses and individuals.
 Price discovery: The FX market acts as a barometer of economic health, reflecting
supply and demand for different currencies. This can inform investment decisions and
guide policymakers in formulating sound economic strategies.

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Negative impacts:

 Currency volatility: Excessive volatility in the FX market can disrupt trade,


discourage investment, and make economic planning challenging. Businesses may
face uncertainty in pricing and hedging, impacting profitability.
 Speculative activity: Short-term speculative trading can exacerbate currency swings,
amplifying existing economic vulnerabilities. This can lead to asset bubbles, capital
flight, and financial crises in extreme cases.
 Exchange rate manipulation: Governments attempting to manipulate exchange rates
for short-term export gains can distort market signals and harm long-term economic
efficiency. This can also lead to trade tensions and protectionist measures.

Vietnam's FX market in the last 5 years:

 Growth and liberalization: Vietnam's FX market has witnessed significant growth


and liberalization in the past five years. This has facilitated trade, attracted
investment, and boosted economic activity.
 Managed float: The central bank maintains a managed float regime, allowing some
flexibility while ensuring stability. This approach has helped mitigate excessive
volatility and maintain investor confidence.
 Increased exports and FDI: Vietnam's export-oriented economy has benefited from
a stable FX market, leading to strong export growth and foreign direct investment
inflows.
 Challenges remain: Currency volatility, particularly during global financial turmoil,
continues to pose a challenge for businesses and policymakers. Additionally,
managing speculative activity and ensuring fair market access for all participants
require ongoing vigilance.

Overall, Vietnam's FX market has played a crucial role in its economic development
over the past five years. However, navigating the potential pitfalls and ensuring a well-
functioning market remains an ongoing challenge.By striking a balance between
stability and flexibility, Vietnam can leverage the FX market for continued economic
growth and prosperity.

5. Discuss your opinions about the Balance of Payment. Based on your knowledge about
Vietnamese’s balance of Payment, analyze and indicate its role in the economy.

The Balance of Payment: A Window into Vietnam's Economic Health

The Balance of Payment (BoP) is a crucial indicator of a country's external financial position,
capturing all economic transactions between residents and non-residents over a given period.
It's like a detailed financial statement, revealing a nation's trade, investment, and borrowing
activities with the outside world. Analyzing Vietnam's BoP offers valuable insights into its
economic health and vulnerabilities.

Components of Vietnam's BoP:

 Current Account: This reflects the net trade in goods and services (exports minus
imports) and income flows from abroad (e.g., dividends, remittances). A surplus
indicates Vietnam is earning more from the world than it spends, while a deficit
shows the opposite.

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 Capital Account: This captures foreign investments into Vietnam (FDI, portfolio
investments) and Vietnamese investments abroad. A positive capital account signifies
an inflow of foreign funds, while a negative indicates an outflow.
 Financial Account: This covers short-term financial transactions like loans, credits,
and changes in reserve assets.

Role of Vietnam's BoP:

 Trade engine: Historically, Vietnam has enjoyed a trade surplus, driven by strong
exports of manufactured goods like garments and electronics. This surplus fuels
economic growth by creating jobs, generating foreign exchange, and attracting
investment.
 Investment magnet: Vietnam's capital account has also been positive, reflecting
significant foreign direct investments (FDI) inflows. This FDI boosts productivity,
technology transfer, and infrastructure development, further strengthening the
economy.
 Debt management: Responsible borrowing and prioritizing productive investments
in the capital account are crucial to avoid excessive external debt burdens that could
constrain future growth.
 Vulnerability to external shocks: Vietnam's dependence on trade and foreign
investment makes it vulnerable to external shocks like global trade slowdowns or
financial market turmoil. A sudden shift in the BoP can trigger currency depreciation,
capital flight, and economic instability.

Recent trends and concerns:

 Widening trade deficit: While Vietnam still enjoys a trade surplus overall, recent
years have seen a concerning trend of widening trade deficit. This is due to faster
import growth, particularly of raw materials and machinery for production, raising
concerns about dependence on imported inputs.
 Rising foreign debt: While FDI has contributed positively, excessive reliance on
foreign borrowing can lead to debt sustainability concerns. Balancing growth with
responsible debt management is crucial.

Policy implications:

 Boosting export competitiveness: Policies promoting domestic production


efficiency, technological advancement, and diversification can strengthen export
performance and narrow the trade deficit.
 Attracting high-quality FDI: Strategic FDI targeting high-tech sectors and export-
oriented industries can improve productivity and export potential while mitigating
debt risks.
 Developing the service sector: Enhancing Vietnam's service exports, like tourism
and financial services, can diversify the economy and contribute to a more balanced
BoP.
 Building resilience: Strengthening domestic financial markets, accumulating
reserves, and diversifying trading partners can help Vietnam weather external shocks
and maintain BoP stability.

Conclusion:

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Vietnam's BoP plays a pivotal role in its economic growth and development. While
historically favorable, recent trends demand attention. By addressing vulnerabilities,
implementing sound policies, and diversifying its external linkages, Vietnam can leverage its
BoP for continued economic prosperity and enhanced resilience in the face of global
challenges.

International Monetary System

Theories:
 Bretton Woods System:
 Vietnam, like many other countries, participates in the post-World War II
Bretton Woods system. This system established the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) and the World Bank, which play roles in maintaining global
economic stability and providing financial assistance to countries in need.
 Exchange Rate Management:
 Theories related to exchange rate management play a crucial role. Vietnam
may adopt different exchange rate regimes, including fixed, floating, or
managed floats, to stabilize its currency and promote economic growth.
 Open Economy Macroeconomics:
 Vietnam's engagement in the international monetary system involves
considerations of open economy macroeconomics. This includes
understanding the impact of international trade, capital flows, and exchange
rate movements on the country's economic performance.

Realities in Viet Nam


 Exchange Rate Policies:
 Vietnam has adopted a managed floating exchange rate system, where the
State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) intervenes in the foreign exchange market to
maintain stability. The exchange rate is influenced by market forces but
subject to government interventions.
 Trade Liberalization:
 Vietnam has actively participated in global trade agreements, such as the
Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership
(CPTPP) and the European Union-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement (EVFTA).
This reflects the country's commitment to trade liberalization and integration
into the global economy.
 Foreign Exchange Reserves:
 Vietnam maintains significant foreign exchange reserves, which serve as a
buffer against external economic shocks. These reserves provide stability to
the country's currency and facilitate international trade.
 IMF Engagement:
 Vietnam has engaged with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for policy
advice and financial support. The IMF has provided assistance to help
Vietnam address balance of payments challenges and implement economic
reforms.
 Global Economic Challenges:
 Like other nations, Vietnam faces challenges arising from global economic
uncertainties, including fluctuations in commodity prices, changes in global
demand, and financial market volatility. These challenges necessitate adaptive
policies and strategies.

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Challenges and Opportunities


Vietnam faces several challenges in its engagement with the IMS, including:

1. Managing external shocks: Vietnam is vulnerable to external shocks, such as changes


in global financial conditions or fluctuations in commodity prices. These shocks can
affect the country's exchange rate and economic stability.
2. Developing domestic financial markets: Vietnam's domestic financial markets are still
relatively underdeveloped. This can limit the country's ability to absorb external
shocks and manage its exchange rate effectively.

Despite these challenges, Vietnam also has several opportunities in its engagement with the
IMS, including:

1. Promoting regional financial cooperation: Vietnam can play a leading role in


promoting regional financial cooperation initiatives, such as the CMIM, which can
help to strengthen regional financial stability and crisis preparedness.
2. Developing domestic financial markets: Vietnam can continue to develop its domestic
financial markets, which will make the country more resilient to external shocks and
strengthen its ability to manage its exchange rate effectively.

Part 2: Multiple choice and questions:


1. Balance of Payment:

The knowledge system for multiple choice questions on the topic of Balance of Payment
includes the following content:

 Definition of Balance of Payment: The Balance of Payment (BoP) is a statement of


all economic transactions between residents and non-residents of a country over a
given period of time. It is a comprehensive record of a country's international
economic activity.
 Components of Balance of Payment: The BoP is divided into three main accounts:
o Current Account: This account records the net flows of goods, services,
income, and transfers between residents and non-residents.
o Capital Account: This account records the net flows of financial assets
between residents and non-residents.
o Financial Account: This account records the net flows of changes in official
reserves and other financial assets.
 Balance of Payment Imbalance: A BoP imbalance occurs when the value of a
country's exports is not equal to the value of its imports. A surplus occurs when
exports exceed imports, and a deficit occurs when imports exceed exports.
 Determinants of Balance of Payment Imbalances: There are many factors that can
contribute to a BoP imbalance, including:
o Economic growth: Economic growth can lead to an increase in imports as
consumers and businesses demand more goods and services from abroad.
o Exchange rates: Changes in exchange rates can affect the competitiveness of a
country's exports and imports.
o Government policies: Government policies, such as tariffs and subsidies, can
also affect the BoP.

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 Policy Implications of Balance of Payment Imbalances: BoP imbalances can have


a number of implications for a country's economy, including:
o Exchange rate volatility: BoP imbalances can lead to volatility in exchange
rates, which can make it difficult for businesses to plan for the future.
o Economic growth: BoP imbalances can have a negative impact on economic
growth, as they can lead to higher inflation and interest rates.
o Financial stability: BoP imbalances can increase the risk of financial
instability, as they can lead to a build-up of foreign debt.

Here are some examples of multiple choice questions on the topic of Balance of Payment:

 Question 1: The Balance of Payment is a statement of:


o All economic transactions between residents and non-residents of a
country over a given period of time.
o All financial transactions between residents and non-residents of a country
over a given period of time.
o All trade transactions between residents and non-residents of a country over a
given period of time.

The BoP encompasses not just trade, but also income flows, investments, and even
changes in official reserves.

 Question 2: A BoP surplus occurs when:


o Exports exceed imports.
o Imports exceed exports.
o Exports and imports are equal.

This defines a BoP surplus, meaning the country is earning more from the world than it
spends.

 Question 3: Which of the following factors can contribute to a BoP deficit?


o Economic growth
o Exchange rate depreciation
o Government subsidies for exports
o All of the above

All three options can contribute to a BoP deficit, though they impact it in different
ways:

 Economic growth: Increased demand for foreign goods and services can lead to
higher imports, pushing the BoP towards deficit.
 Exchange rate depreciation: A weaker currency makes imports cheaper and
exports more expensive, potentially widening the trade deficit.
 Government subsidies for exports: While intended to promote exports, subsidies
can artificially boost exports, masking underlying competitiveness issues and
potentially leading to future BoP challenges.

 Question 4: Which of the following is an implication of a BoP deficit?


o Exchange rate volatility
o Economic growth

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o Financial stability

Exchange rate volatility: BoP imbalances can trigger currency fluctuations, making
trade and investment uncertain for businesses.

Financial stability: Excessive deficits can lead to reliance on foreign borrowing,


increasing external debt and vulnerability to financial crises.

Remember, a BoP deficit doesn't necessarily mean doom and gloom. It's crucial to assess the
reasons behind the imbalance and implement appropriate policies to ensure long-term
sustainability and economic well-being.

2. Exchange rate and supply/demand of money

The knowledge system for multiple choice questions on the topic of Exchange Rate and
Supply/Demand of Money includes the following content:

 Exchange Rate
o Definition: The exchange rate is the price of one currency in terms of another
currency.
o Determinants: Exchange rates are determined by a number of factors,
including:
 Demand and supply: The demand for a currency is determined by the
desire to hold that currency for purposes such as trade, investment, or
speculation. The supply of a currency is determined by the amount of
that currency that is available in the market.
 Interest rates: Higher interest rates in a country make that country's
currency more attractive to investors, which can lead to an increase in
the demand for that currency and an appreciation of its value.
 Inflation: Inflation can lead to a depreciation of a country's currency,
as it makes that currency less valuable in terms of goods and services.
 Government policies: Government policies, such as exchange rate
intervention, can also affect exchange rates.
 Supply/Demand of Money
o Definition: The supply of money is the total amount of money in circulation in
an economy. The demand for money is the amount of money that people and
businesses want to hold.
o Determinants of the supply of money: The supply of money is determined by a
number of factors, including:
 Central bank policy: Central banks can control the supply of money
by buying or selling government bonds or other assets.
 Bank lending: Banks can create money by lending to businesses and
consumers.
 Currency in circulation: The amount of currency in circulation is
determined by the public's demand for cash.
o Determinants of the demand for money: The demand for money is determined
by a number of factors, including:
 Transactions demand: The transactions demand for money is the
amount of money that people and businesses need to hold to make
everyday purchases.

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 Precautionary demand: The precautionary demand for money is the


amount of money that people and businesses hold to guard against
unexpected expenses.
 Speculative demand: The speculative demand for money is the
amount of money that people and businesses hold to take advantage of
investment opportunities.
 Relationship between exchange rates and supply/demand of money
o In a floating exchange rate system, the exchange rate is determined by the
forces of supply and demand. When the demand for a currency increases, the
exchange rate will appreciate. When the supply of a currency increases, the
exchange rate will depreciate.
o In a fixed exchange rate system, the government intervenes in the foreign
exchange market to maintain the exchange rate at a predetermined level. The
government can do this by buying or selling its own currency.

Here are some examples of multiple choice questions on the topic of Exchange Rate and
Supply/Demand of Money:

 Question 1: Which of the following will lead to an appreciation of a currency?


o An increase in the demand for the currency
o A decrease in the supply of the currency
o Both an increase in the demand and a decrease in the supply of the
currency

An increase in demand for a currency means more people and businesses want to hold that
currency, leading to an appreciation. A decrease in supply means there is less of the currency
available, further pushing the price up.

 Question 2: Which of the following will lead to a depreciation of a currency?


o An increase in the supply of the currency
o A decrease in the demand for the currency
o Both an increase in the supply and a decrease in the demand for the
currency

An increase in supply makes the currency more readily available, putting downward
pressure on its value. Simultaneously, a decrease in demand means fewer people and
businesses want to hold the currency, further weakening its value.

 Question 3: Which of the following will lead to an increase in the demand for
money?
o An increase in the level of income
o An increase in the price level
o An increase in the interest rate

As people's incomes rise, they tend to hold more money to cover transactions and
unforeseen expenses, increasing the overall demand for money.

 Question 4: Which of the following will lead to a decrease in the demand for money?

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o A decrease in the level of income


o A decrease in the price level
o A decrease in the interest rate

When interest rates fall, holding money as a store of value becomes less attractive,
prompting people to convert their money into other assets, leading to a decrease in the
demand for money.

3. Foreign market

The knowledge system for multiple choice questions on the topic of Foreign Market includes
the following content:

 Definition of Foreign Market: A foreign market is any market that is located outside
of the home country of a company.
 Factors to Consider When Entering a Foreign Market: There are many factors to
consider when entering a foreign market, including:
o Cultural differences: Cultural differences can be a major challenge for
companies entering foreign markets. Companies need to be aware of the
cultural norms and expectations of the target market.
o Legal and regulatory environment: The legal and regulatory environment
can vary significantly from country to country. Companies need to understand
the laws and regulations that apply to their business in the target market.
o Economic conditions: The economic conditions of the target market can have
a significant impact on the success of a company. Companies need to assess
the economic situation of the target market before entering.
o Competition: The level of competition in the target market can be a major
challenge. Companies need to understand the competitive landscape before
entering.
 Entry Strategies: There are a number of different entry strategies that companies can
use to enter foreign markets, including:
o Exporting: Exporting is the process of selling goods or services to customers
in another country.
o Licensing: Licensing is the process of granting another company the right to
use a company's intellectual property, such as a trademark or patent, in
exchange for a fee.
o Franchising: Franchising is a business model in which a franchisor grants a
franchisee the right to use its business model, trademarks, and other
intellectual property in exchange for a fee.
o Direct investment: Direct investment is the process of investing in a company
in another country.
 Global Marketing Strategy: A global marketing strategy is a plan for how a
company will market its products or services to customers around the world.
 International Trade: International trade is the exchange of goods and services
between countries.

Here are some examples of multiple choice questions on the topic of Foreign Market:

 Question 1: Which of the following is NOT a factor to consider when entering a


foreign market?

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o Cultural differences
o Legal and regulatory environment
o Economic conditions
o Exchange rates

While exchange rates play a crucial role in international trade and foreign market
operations, they are not a primary factor to consider when initially assessing the
feasibility of entering a foreign market. Cultural differences, legal and regulatory
frameworks, economic conditions, and competition are more fundamental aspects to
evaluate before venturing into a new market landscape.

 Question 2: Which of the following is an example of exporting?


o A company in the United States sells its products to a company in Europe.
o A company in Japan licenses its technology to a company in China.
o A company in Brazil opens a retail store in Mexico.
o A company in India invests in a factory in Vietnam.

Exporting involves selling domestically produced goods or services to customers in


another country. In this case, the US company is exporting its products to a European
company, demonstrating the essence of cross-border trade.

 Question 3: Which of the following is a key element of a global marketing strategy?


o Standardization of products and services
o Localization of products and services
o Adaptation of products and services
o Customization of products and services

A global marketing strategy should consider tailoring products and services to suit the
preferences, cultural nuances, and regulatory requirements of each target market.
Localization involves adapting marketing messages, product features, and service
offerings to resonate with local consumers and comply with local regulations.

 Question 4: Which of the following is an example of international trade?


o A company in the United States buys oil from a company in Saudi Arabia.
o A company in Japan sells its cars to a company in Europe.
o A company in Brazil exports its coffee to a company in the United States.
o All of the above

International trade encompasses the exchange of goods and services across national
borders. The examples provided accurately represent instances of international trade:
oil importing from Saudi Arabia, car exports from Japan to Europe, and coffee
exportation from Brazil to the United States.

4. Period of Monetary system

The knowledge system for multiple choice questions on the topic of Monetary System Period
includes the following content:

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 Concept of money: Money is a special commodity used as a medium of exchange, a


means of payment, a store of value, and a unit of account in the economy.
 Types of money: Money can be classified according to different criteria, including:
o By form of existence: Money can exist in the form of metal money, paper
money, electronic money, etc.
o By value: Money can be divided into metal money with intrinsic value and
paper money with no intrinsic value.
o By function: Money can be divided into book money and physical money.
 History of money development: Money has undergone many stages of development,
from metal money, paper money, electronic money, to book money.
 Monetary systems: A monetary system is a set of regulations and mechanisms
related to the issuance, circulation, and use of money in a country. Monetary systems
can be classified according to different criteria, including:
o By ownership regime: Monetary systems can be divided into metallic
monetary systems, paper monetary systems, and book monetary systems.
o By exchange rate regime: Monetary systems can be divided into fixed
exchange rate systems, floating exchange rate systems, and managed exchange
rate systems.

Here are some examples of multiple choice questions on the topic of Monetary System
Period:

 Question 1: Money is:


o A special commodity
o A medium of exchange
o A means of payment
o All of the above

Money is a special commodity, with intrinsic or fiat value, that is used as a medium of
exchange, a means of payment, a store of value, and a unit of account in the economy.

 Question 2: Intrinsic value metal money is:


o Money made of gold or silver
o Money with its own use value
o Money that can be converted into goods or services

Metallic money has intrinsic value because it can be used directly in production or
consumption.

 Question 3: Metallic monetary system is:


o A monetary system based on metallic money as a measure of value
o A monetary system based on paper money as a measure of value
o A monetary system based on electronic money as a measure of value

A metallic monetary system is a monetary system in which metallic money is used as a


measure of value, meaning that metallic money has a value equal to the value of the
goods or services that it can purchase.

 Question 4: Fixed exchange rate system is:


o A system in which the value of a currency against another currency is
determined by the government

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o A system in which the value of a currency against another currency is


determined by the market
o A system in which the value of a currency against another currency is
determined by a central authority

A fixed exchange rate system is a system in which the value of a currency against
another currency is determined by the government and is maintained by government
intervention measures.

1. Singapore Company X 's foreign currency bonds issued to the U.S. market , worth $ 100
million. How is it reflected in the international balance of payments of Singapore?

a) Credited in the balance of long-term capital

b ) Debited in the balance of long-term capital


c ) Credited in the balance of short-term capital
d ) Debited in the balance of unilateral current transfers

-Issuing foreign currency bonds is for the purpose of raising capital, in this case
Singapore X company collects $100 million, which increases Singapore's foreign currency
resources and will credit

2. Suppose the rate of inflation in the U.S.is higher than in Vietnam , this will affect supply,
demand , exchange rate of the VND :

a) Supply of VND will fall , demand of VND will increase , and VND’s value will
increase

b ) Supply of VND will rise , demand of VND will decrease , and VND’s value will decrease

c ) Supply of VND will fall , demand of VND will increase , and VND’s value will decrease

d ) Supply of VND will rise , demand of VND will reduce , and VND’s value will increase

-The inflation rate in the US is higher than in Vietnam, causing the US dollar to
depreciate more than the VND. As a result, the demand for VND will increase, while the
central bank will also reduce the money supply. With the supply curve shifting to the left
and the demand curve shifting to the right, the value of VND increases.

3. The following factors will affect the inflow of direct investment into a country

a) The political issues of that country

b ) The political risk

c ) War , Civil War

d ) All of the above answers

–All three of these factors negatively affect a country's government, increasing investment
risks, so FDI investors will not invest in countries with wars or political problems.

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4. On the foreign exchange market

a) The market participants agree to buy or sell foreign currency in the future at an agreed
price today

b ) The market participants agree ( disagree) to sell foreign currencies in the future at an
agreed price today

c ) The members in the market pay today to receive a certain amount of foreign
currency in the future

d ) The market participants agree to buy and sell a fixed amount of foreign currency at spot
prices which will be announced in the future

-Answer c has the most common characteristics of the foreign market, while the other
answers are related to options. Answer a and d are spot options while answer b is forward
option.

5. To perform the balance of international payments balance, which is in deficit, The


government will implement the following measures:

a) Lower interest rates to encourage consumers


b ) Encourage to invest abroad
c ) Implement policies to reduce import duty of goods
d ) Perform adjustment to increase the exchange rate
-Because interventions are not necessary in a floating exchange rate. In a floating system,
an imbalance between supply and demand in the private Forex is relieved by a change in
the exchange rate. Thus there need never be an imbalance in the balance of payments in a
floating system.

6. United States , the European Community Union and some other countries against China
which maintained a policy of " weak CNY " , because :

a) Concerned China’s export power


b ) Concerned trade deficits , and unfair competition in exports to China
c ) Both answers are correct
d ) No answer is appropriate
-Devaluing your currency makes your products cheaper abroad. It also makes foreign
products more expensive inside your country. These increase your exports and lower your
imports. This puts the USA and other countries at a disadvantage by increasing its trade
deficit against China.

7. The direct intervention used to regulate the exchange rate is:

a) Regulating the supply and demand of imported and exported goods through

international trade policies;

b) Measures to manage buying, selling and intervening in foreign currency supply and
demand;

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c) Change of interest rate through regulation of money supply - demand;

d) Not the above measures;

 This is because direct intervention in the exchange rate involves central banks buying
or selling foreign currencies in the foreign exchange market to influence the exchange
rate.

8. The spot rate is defined as:

a) Exchange rate is applied and recorded in economic contracts;

b) Exchange rate is applied in the spot transactions;

c) The exchange rate is applied in the derivative transactions with a period of less than 3
months;

d) The exchange rate is determined by the interbank money market;

 This is because the spot rate is the exchange rate that is applied for immediate
delivery of the currency. In other words, if you agree to buy or sell a currency at the
spot rate, the transaction will take place immediately.

9. The adjustment of the central exchange rate between VND (VND) against the

US dollar (USD) of the State Bank of Vietnam since early 2020 due to the impact of Covid 19
epidemic may have impact on:

a) Increase the inflation rate in Vietnam in the last 6 months of 2020;

b) Increase net exports and improve Vietnam's current account deficit by 2020;

c) Reduce the deficit of international payment balance by 2020;

d) All of the above impacts;

e) None of the above impacts;

 The depreciation of VND against USD may lead to increased inflation, reduced net
exports, and a larger current account deficit.

10. Assuming that Vietnam continues to peg the exchange rate to the US dollar

(USD), when the trade war between the US and China continues to develop complicatedly,

the exchange rate between VND (VND) and USD (USD) from the second half of 2020 will

have fluctuations:

a) Increasing the price of VND and decreasing the price of USD;

b) Increase the price of USD, decrease the price of VND;

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c) Both currencies change, so the exchange rate fluctuates slightly;

d) There is no basis to determine;

 This is because a pegged exchange rate system attempts to maintain a fixed


exchange rate between two currencies, typically by buying or selling the pegged
currency in the foreign exchange market to offset any supply or demand
imbalances. However, even with a pegged exchange rate, fluctuations can still
occur due to various factors, such as changes in interest rates, political instability,
or economic shocks.

11. To improve the balance of international payments balance which is in deficit,

the government will implement the following measures:

a) Lower interest rate to encourage consumers

b) Encourage to invest abroad

c) Implement policies to reduce import duty of goods

d) Perform adjustment to increase the exchange rate.

 To improve a balance of payments deficit, the government can reduce import


duties, encourage exports, promote tourism, or depreciate the exchange rate.

12. Factor income

a. consists largely of interest, dividends, and other income on foreign investments

→ Factor income: the 3rd category of the current account, consists largely of payment
and receipts of interest, dividends, and other income on foreign investment that were
previously made. (p.65)

b. and is a theoretical construct of the factors of production, land, labor, capital, and
entrepreneurial ability.

c. is generally a very minor part of national income accounting, smaller than the statistical
discrepancy.

d. none of the above

13. To perform the balance of international payments balance which is in deficit. The
government will implement the following measures:

A. Lower interest rates to encourage consumers

→ On the one hand, lower interest rates encourage consumer spending; therefore there
will be a rise in spending on imports. On the other hand, lower interest rates should cause
a depreciation in the exchange rate. This makes exports more competitive, and if demand

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is relatively elastic, the impact of a lower exchange rate should cause an improvement in
the current account.

B. Encourage to invest abroad

→ Incorrect. The impact of investing abroad on the overall balance of payments depends
on the net effect of the current account and capital and financial account. If the increase in
exports and income from foreign investments outweighs the outflow of capital for
investing abroad, it can contribute to a surplus in the balance of payments. Conversely, if
the outflow of capital exceeds the gains from exports and income, it can result in a deficit.

C. Implement policies to reduce import duty on goods

→ Incorrect. Reducing import duty would lead to an increase in imports and hence would
lead to a higher current account deficit)

D. Perform adjustments to increase the exchange rate

→ Incorrect. Exchange appreciation means increase in the rate of exchange of domestic


currency in terms of foreign currency. When exchange appreciation happens, the
country's exports tend to fall and imports rise.

- Impact on exports: a higher exchange rate increases the prices of goods and
services in terms of foreign currencies, potentially making them less attractive to
foreign buyers. As a result, the quantity of exports may decrease, and the country's
export competitiveness may be reduced.

- Impact on imports: Domestic consumers may find it more attractive to purchase


imported goods due to their lower prices compared to domestically produced
alternatives. This can lead to an increase in imported goods as they become more
affordable.

14. When a country's currency depreciates against the currencies of major trading
partners,

A. the country's exports tend to fall and imports rise

B. the country's exports tend to rise and imports fall

C. the country's exports tend to rise and imports rise

D. the country's exports tend to fall and imports fall

→ America and India are trading partners. The initial exchange rate was, say 50 Rupees
(₹) for 1 Dollar ($). Later the Indian Rupees got depreciated to ₹100 per $1.

(a) In case of exports:

When the Indian currency gets depreciated to ₹ 100 for $1, America will be able to
purchase goods from India at a lower price than before, that is, for a product worth ₹200,
America used to pay $4 ($4 * ₹50 per $ = ₹200). However when Indian Rupees gets
depreciated, America will be able to buy the same product at $2 ($2 * ₹100 per $ =

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₹200). Therefore America will buy more goods from India than earlier and India’s
exports tend to rise.

(b) In case imports:

A product in America worth $5, India used to pay ₹250 ($5 * ₹50 per $ = ₹250).
However when the Indian Rupees gets depreciated, India has to pay ₹500 ($5 * ₹100 per
$ = ₹500) for the same product. Therefore India will have a tendency to purchase lower
quantities of that product, which is purchased at a lower price earlier for a higher price.
Thus the import falls.

*Note: The exchange rates used in this example is not actual.

15. In the long run, both exports and imports tend to be

A. unresponsive to changes in exchange rates.

B. responsive to changes in exchange rates.

C. both a and b

D. none of the above

→ When a country's exchange rate increases relative to another country's, the price of its
goods and services increases. Imports become cheaper. Ultimately, this can decrease that
country's exports and increase imports.

A weaker domestic currency stimulates exports and makes imports more expensive;
conversely, a strong domestic currency hampers exports and makes imports cheaper.

16. The capital account measures

A. the sum of U.S. sales of assets to foreigners and U.S. purchases of foreign assets.

B. the difference between U.S. sales of assets to foreigners and U.S. purchases of
foreign assets.

C. the difference between U.S. sales of manufactured goods to foreigners and U.S.
purchases of foreign products.

D. none of the above.

→ The capital account balance measures the difference between U.S. sales of assets to
foreigners and U.S. purchases of foreign assets. U.S. sales (or exports) of asset are
recorded as credits, as they result in capital inflow. On the other hand, U.S. purchases
(imports) of foreign assets are recorded as debits, as they lead to capital outflow. (p.66)

17. A depreciation will begin to improve the trade balance immediately if

A. imports and exports are responsive to exchange rate changes.

B. imports and exports are inelastic to the exchange rate changes.

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C. consumers exhibit brand loyalty and price inelasticity.

D. b and c.

→ A depreciation will begin to improve the trade balance immediately if imports and
exports are responsive to the exchange rate changes. This concept is rooted in economics
and pertains to the elasticity of import and export demand. When a country's currency
depreciates, its exports become cheaper and imports become more expensive. If importers
and exporters are responsive (elastic) to these exchange rate changes, they will adjust
their transactions accordingly. This implies that consumers will switch to cheaper
domestic goods or goods from the depreciating country, thereby reducing imports and
increasing exports. Consequently, this could improve the trade balance immediately.

18. International banks are different from domestic banks in what way (s)?

A. International banks can arrange trade financing

B. International banks can arrange for foreign exchange transactions

C. International banks can assist their clients in hedging exchange rate risk

D. All of the above

International banks typically offer a broader range of services compared to domestic


banks, including trade financing, foreign exchange transactions, and assisting clients in
hedging exchange rate risk.

19. Suppose the rate of inflation in the UK is higher than in Vietnam, this will affect the
supply, demand, and exchange rate of the VND:

A. Supply of VND will fall, the demand for VND will increase, and VND's value will
increase.

B. Supply of VND will rise, the demand for VND will decrease, and ND's value will
decrease.

C. Supply of VND will fall, the demand for VND will increase, and VND's value will
decrease.

D. Supply of VND will rise, the demand for VND will decrease, and VND's value will
increase.

20. On the foreign market

A. The market participants agree to buy or sell foreign currency in the future at an
agreed price today.

B. The market participants agree (disagree) to sell foreign currency in the future at an
agreed price today.

C. The members in the market pay today to receive a certain amount of foreign currency
in the future.

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D. The market participants agree to buy and sell a fixed amount of foreign currency at
spot prices which will be announced in the future.

This is the definition of a forwards contract in the foreign exchange market. Forwards
contracts are agreements between two parties to buy or sell a certain amount of foreign
currency at a predetermined price on a future date. The price of the foreign currency is
agreed upon today, and the exchange of currency takes place on the future date.

21. During the period of the classical gold standard (1875-1914) there were

A. highly volatile exchange rates.

B. volatile exchange rates.

C. Moderately volatile exchange rates.

D. stable exchange rates.

E. no exchange rates.

During the classical gold standard period, exchange rates between countries were stable
because the value of each currency was fixed to a certain amount of gold.

22. The first full-fledged gold standard

A. was not established until 1821 in Great Britain, when notes from the Bank of
England were made fully redeemable for gold.

B. was not established until 1780 in the United States, when notes from the Continental
Army were made fully redeemable for gold

C. was established in 986 during the Han dynasty in China.

D. none of the above

The first full-fledged gold standard was not established until 1821 in Great Britain
when notes from the Bank of England were made fully redeemable for gold.

23. Factor income

A. consists largely of interest, dividends, and other income on foreign investments

B. and is a theoretical construct of the factors of production, land, labor, capital, and
entrepreneurial ability.

C. is generally a very minor part of national income accounting, smaller than the
statistical discrepancy.

D. none of the above

Factor income often includes returns such as interest and dividends earned on foreign
investments.

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