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15.5% | Sep 1996
Prime Lending Rate in %
15
14.5 % | Nov
1996
14 13.75% Aug 2008
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points lower than Sukhbir’s, although the mortgage principal and term
are the same as Sukhbir’s. Thus, for the same mortgage, Sukhbir ends up
paying higher cost than Meera. Would Sukhbir be locked in with his cur-
rent cost throughout the life of the mortgage?
In the case of home loans, balance transfer is a mechanism through
which a mortgagor may transfer the outstanding balance from one mort-
gage contract to another. Usually, the balance transfer takes place when
two different lenders are involved. Loan modification refers to changing
some elements of an existing mortgage contract with the same lender.
Balance transfer and loan modification are sometimes used synony-
mously in Indian home loans. They are more popularly known as refi-
nancing in the U.S. However, this should not be confused by what is
referred to as refinancing in the context of Indian monetary system which
we discuss in greater detail in another chapter (Chapter 9; see Secondary
Mortgage Market). It is easy to conclude that a mortgagor will opt for a
balance transfer or a loan modification when the interest rates fall in the
market. However, what could be the motivation for the lenders? By offer-
ing the loan modification, a bank tries to reduce the chances of default or
prepayment. Through balance transfer, the new bank may earn new
business.
Synposis
We learned earlier in this chapter that interest rates vary over time and as
a mortgagor you may want to benefit from an environment of lower inter-
est rates, especially if your existing mortgage contract is based on a higher
rate. That is exactly what the scenario just mentioned is about. Let us find
the answers to each question one-by-one.12 To solve these problems, you
can apply various mathematical formulas for annuities. You could also do
the same calculations using Excel or your financial calculator. It will be
clearer from the following discussions.
To calculate the balance at the end of sixth year, you could use either
the Excel, the calculator,13 or the mathematical formulas in one of the fol-
lowing calculations (both lead to the same loan balance).
12
You should be careful about the number of payments per year (m). In most
typical cases, m is 12 implying monthly amortization. Therefore, you could
simply arrive at your calculations by dividing the annual interest rate by m (I / m)
and multiplying the loan term by m (N × m).
13
You may also utilize the 2ND [AMORT] feature of the calculator. To calculate
the balance using the calculator: AMORT → P1 = 1 → P2 = 12 × 6 → Balance.
206 Real Estate Finance in India
Since the new contract rate (6 percent) is smaller than the breakeven
rate (6.42 percent), refinancing is a good idea.
14
Remaining payments will exclude the first six years from the overall 25
years, times 12 months per year.
Chapter 7: Interest Rates 207
as a borrower, you may want to benefit from the modification. For exam-
ple, you may ask the bank to make you some up front payment that
comes from the savings due to the modification. However, you will keep
making the payments in future as you had been making so far. How
much money will that be? Here is how to calculate that:
New loan:
I = 6% / 12, FV = 0, N = 228, PV = 278,994.26
→ PMT = –2,053.63
Monthly saving = 2,120.34 – 2,053.63 = 66.71
15
Note that the number calculated is not a whole number. If you round it down
(to 215) then the final payment (216th which will be smaller than the current
payment) must be included in the 215th payment. This will not only increase the
payment amount, but may also trigger some prepayment penalty, although very
small.
208 Real Estate Finance in India
Original loan:
PV = 300,000, I = 7% / 12, N =25 x 12, FV = 0
→ PMT = –2,120.34
New loan
PV = 278,994.26, FV = –226,676.49, N = 5 x 12, PMT = –2,120.34
→ Breakeven (annual) rate = 5.89%
The cost of the new loan (6 percent) is higher than the breakeven rate.
Therefore, refinancing is NOT a profitable proposition in this particular
case.
1+ 1 + 12
m m 12
hus, at the end of three years, Sukhbir owes a sum of `1,457,569.80
T
to the bank.
Prepayment penalty = 3% of `1,457,569.80 = `43,727.09
Sukhbir does not pay the penalty in cash. Rather, he adds this amount
to the principal of the new mortgage to be issued by the bank.
Therefore, pay off of existing loan
= remaining balance + prepayment penalty
= `1,457,569.80 + `43,727.09
= `1,501,296.89; this is the amount of balance transfer.
1+ 1 + 12
m m 12
The NPV of the savings made by the balance transfer (i.e., `315,023.85)
is substantially higher than the cost of refinancing (i.e., `87,064.84).
Therefore, yes, Sukhbir should accept the offer from Ashiana Finance.
Glossary
Opportunity Cost: The return on best alternate investment of the money.
Weighted Average Cost of Capital: The weighted mean of cost of equity
and cost of the debt capital.
Monetary Policy: Changes in interest rates and money supply controlled
by the RBI.
Fiscal Policy: Changes in the taxing and spending controlled by the cen-
tral government.
Treasury Bills: Short-term debt securities backed by the government.
Treasury Bonds: Long-term debt securities backed by the government.
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** Note that it is not necessary that the new (transferred) loan will assume the
same term (i.e., 204 months) . However, with the knowledge you have so far, you
should be able to run this analysis for whatever the term of the new loan is.
Chapter 7: Interest Rates 211
End-of-Chapter Questions
1. What is loanable funds theory? Explain the interest inelastic character-
istic of a government’s demand of funds.
2. Explain how the RBI controls the monetary policy.
3. How does the supply of loanable funds effect the interest rate? Explain
the theory of liquidity effect, income effect, and price anticipation.
4. Describe the cycle of capitalism.
5. Why was BPLR replaced by base rate?
6. How does balance transfer protect a borrower from interest risk?
7. Define following terms:
(a) WACC
(b) Fiscal borrowings
(c) Bank rate
(d) Repo rate
(e) Reverse repo rate
(f) Cash reserve ratio
(g) Open market operations
(h) Fisher equation
8. Compare and contrast:
(a) Macro versus microeconomics
(b) Monetary versus fiscal policies
212 Real Estate Finance in India