Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Table 8 Table 9
Impact of hydrogen propulsion on airline operations (detail). Impact of hydrogen propulsion on airport operations (detail).
AIRLINE Number of TYPE OF IMPACT AIRPORT Number of TYPE OF IMPACT
OPERATIONS respondents OPERATIONS respondents
WHAT WHY WHAT WHY
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be performed either before or after the refueling operation (respondents evaluations for electric and hydrogen propulsion are significantly more
F, J, K, M, T, U). This is because, due to safety concerns, LH2 will varied. One reason for this difference may be the varying technology
necessitate a much wider Fuel Safety Zone (FSZ), that is expected to be readiness level. Specifically, while SAF has not yet been deployed on a
approximately 20 m for refueling hose connection/disconnection and wide commercial scale, it is an existing and currently used technology.
10 m for actual refueling – as a comparison, at present, the FSZ for a This facilitates expert predictions of the expected impacts associated
narrow-body kerosene-powered aircraft is 3 m in radius (IATA, 2020). A with its increased usage. Conversely, electric and hydrogen aircraft
slightly higher impact is expected on the luggage/cargo loa- propulsion are still in development. As a result, their potential impacts
ding/unloading operation since, apart from timing restrictions caused on the operating ecosystem can only be envisioned at this time, which
by refueling limitations, the proximity of the cargo compartment to LH2 leads to greater uncertainties.
tanks may require procedural changes and heightened caution (re- With regard to the generic impact on airline operations (Fig. 4a), our
spondents J, U). As already anticipated, a high impact is expected for findings show that deployment of SAF is not expected to lead to any
both refueling via trucks and the hydrant refueling system, as the refu- significant disruption (i.e., no impacts). This is totally in line with the
eling operation will need a complete redesigned due to the significantly existing literature that repeatedly remarks that, up to the blend limit, the
different handling characteristics and safety requirements of LH2 (re- use of SAF is not expected to have any effect on operations (ATAG, 2017;
spondents A, F, J, K, M, T, U). The extent of this impact was effectively ICAO, 2018). Our results, however, also show that the experts in the
summarized by interviewee D: field do not envision major difficulties even for richer SAF blends (once
these will be certified by the competent authorities) – this was never
“With hydrogen everything changes in the refueling operation, as
fully clarified by the literature. Electric propulsion is expected to have a
you will have completely different procedures and safety re-
low-to-medium impact in most areas. This is not surprising, as previous
quirements. And these will all be highly dependent on the actual
studies (e.g., Gnadt et al., 2019; Schäfer et al., 2019) already revealed
regulations.”
that, due to battery technology limitations, all-electric airliners are ex-
The maintenance operation is expected to be subject to an average pected to have poorer performance compared to existing aircraft.
medium impact due to a diverse set of factors, ranging from the necessity Nonetheless, our results provide a new level of detail, clearly showing
of conducting extra checks for hydrogen leaks during turnarounds to the how current airline procedures are anticipated to be affected in each
requirement of complying with new, rigorous safety standards (re- phase of flight. Hydrogen propulsion is expected to impact aircraft
spondents J, K, M, T, U). preparation and cruising procedures in particular. While it is true that
this could already be indirectly inferred from the reports produced by
4.3.3. Impact on airport infrastructure McKinsey (2020) and Postma-Kurlanc et al. (2022), our results make this
The impact of hydrogen propulsion on airport infrastructure is ex- explicit, and provide an assessment of the relative impact in both areas.
pected to be significant in several areas (Fig. 3c and Table 10). Five out In terms of airport operations (Fig. 4b), our study shows that if SAF is
of six interviewees (F, J, M, T, U) predicted no impact on runways. used in high percentages, it may have a potential impact on the main-
However, respondent K noted that hydrogen aircraft, being possibly tenance procedure, possibly requiring a more frequent inspection of
heavier at landing due to the extra weight of the LH2 tanks, might need certain parts. This can be considered an expansion of the literature,
slightly longer landing distances – this may cause some issues at smaller given that existing studies only hint at the possible negative effects of
airports with reduced runway lengths. An average medium impact is rich SAF blends on the fuel systems of older aircraft and the seals of older
expected on aprons and aircraft stands, that will necessitate a number of engines (CAAFI, 2021; Kramer et al., 2022). Electric propulsion is ex-
modifications primarily caused by safety concerns and regulatory re- pected to have a medium-to-high impact in multiple areas, including
strictions (respondents F, J, K, M, T, U). While four experts (J, K, M, U) refueling, maintenance, external power connection/disconnection, and
foresaw no impact on terminal buildings, interviewees F and T suggested luggage/cargo loading/unloading. While a few of these impacts were
that, due to safety concerns, it may be necessary to reinforce passenger already—partially and indirectly—mentioned by Schmidt et al. (2014)
terminals with blast walls and blast-resistant glazing. All experts agreed and WSDOT (2020), our results clarify the extent to which they affect
that a high impact is expected on the fuel depot since completely new ground turnaround operations and provide precise explanations for the
infrastructure will be required – the exact type of infrastructure and its reasons behind them. Hydrogen propulsion is expected to have a sig-
size will largely depend on the number of LH2 aircraft handled by the nificant impact on both refueling and maintenance. In principle, this is
airport. Specifically, as effectively explained by respondent T: in line with the studies produced by McKinsey (2020) and Mangold et al.
(2022), that highlight the existence of a certain impact in both areas.
“For as long as you have only a few [LH2] aircraft operating, the
Our results, however, further expand the understanding of this impact
changes [to the fuel depot] will be relatively limited. But as the
by providing an assessment of the degree to which these two operations
operations increase, you would need to have those circular refueling
are going to be affected.
storage areas like the ones you see at NASA at the moment.”
As for airport infrastructure (Fig. 4c), our results show that SAF is
A complete consensus was also recorded on the expected high impact expected to have a certain impact on both the fuel depot and the hydrant
on the hydrant refueling system, since the existing one is not compatible refueling system. This can be considered a new result, given that it was
with LH2 and will have to be completely redesigned. On average, a not previously reported in the literature. Electric propulsion is antici-
medium impact is expected on maintenance hangars, as they will have to pated to significantly affect a number of existing infrastructural assets,
be equipped with multiple hydrogen leak detectors (respondent T) and including the fuel depot, the hydrant refueling system, maintenance
an effective venting system to allow rapid gasified hydrogen dispersion hangars, and, to a lesser extent, aircraft stands. While WSDOT (2020)
(respondents F, J, K, T). and Connected Places Catapult (2022) indirectly implied the existence
of a certain impact in most of these areas, our results provide a new level
5. Discussion of detail. Hydrogen propulsion is instead expected to have a
medium-to-high impact on the fuel depot, the hydrant refueling system,
5.1. How emerging sustainable aircraft technologies will affect aviation maintenance hangars, aprons, and aircraft stands. This falls in agree-
operations and infrastructures: locus and expected impact ment with both Connected Places Catapult (2022) and Postma-Kurlanc
et al. (2022) who, in a less specific way, anticipated the very significant
The results section highlighted that the level of convergence among changes required in these areas.
interviewees’ impact assessments varies with the technology: while Finally, it is important to remark that, as highlighted by a number of
there is general agreement among experts regarding SAF, the impact interviewees, the timing and scale of the identified impacts are expected
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Fig. 4. Comparison of the average impact that the three technologies are expected to have on: (a) airline operations; (b) airport operations; and (c) airport infra-
structure. Values from 1 (min) to 4 (max) are the geometric means of the experts’ independent judgements.
to differ. For example, the widespread use of LH2 aircraft is unlikely to precedents and serves as a strategic model in various other industries.
occur for a decade or more, and even then, storage infrastructure may Examples from other sectors where multi-technology infrastructural
not need to be permanent for some time. Similarly, a significant pres- assets have proven effective include:
ence of all-electric aircraft at large airports in the short to medium term
is quite improbable, as this type of alternative propulsion is likely to 1. Multi-Fuel Vehicle Refueling Stations: Most modern gas stations are
have limited roles beyond very short journeys and niche applications designed to dispense various types of fuels (e.g., petrol, diesel,
(such as short regional flights and island hopping). Nonetheless, new methane, LPG) to a wide range of different vehicles (e.g., motorcy-
infrastructure development and operational adjustments require time, cles, cars, vans, buses, trucks), effectively showcasing that multiple
so it is important to carefully plan the transition process balancing the energy sources can be safely handled concurrently.
changing mix of technologies. 2. Intermodal Transportation Hubs: Intermodal transportation termi-
nals effectively accommodate the different safety and operating re-
5.2. Implications for the sustainable transition of the aviation sector quirements of multiple ground transportation modes, ranging from
electric trains and subways to fossil fuel-powered buses and cars.
Fig. 4 compares the average impact lines of the three technologies in 3. Substations in Energy Grids: Within the energy sector, multi-
all dimensions of analysis. The results show that SAF, even if used in technology substations integrate diverse sources of energy genera-
high percentages, is anticipated to have a marginal effect on the oper- tion, such as solar, wind, and traditional fossil fuels, into a unified
ating environment. In contrast, electric and hydrogen aircraft propul- distribution network. These substations manage energy flow and
sion are expected to be much more disruptive, significantly affecting ensure compatibility, making the grid adaptable to various energy
numerous of the existing procedures, operations, and infrastructural sources.
assets. In particular, as shown in Fig. 4b and c electric and hydrogen
propulsion are foreseen to have a similar medium-to-high impact on Drawing insights from these sectors, the aviation industry can adopt
many airport operations (refueling and maintenance) and parts of the the concept of multi-technology infrastructural assets and apply it to
airport infrastructure (fuel depot, hydrant refueling system, mainte- airports. Here, infrastructure could be designed to accommodate both
nance hangars, and aircraft stands). This is because electricity and LH2 traditional and alternative aircraft technologies simultaneously,
are very different from jet fuel and will require major changes in all ensuring flexibility and adaptability in the face of technological ad-
those processes and infrastructural assets related to their supply, dis- vancements. Practical implementations could involve:
tribution, and handling. However, since the nature of their impacts is
very diverse (as discussed in Section 4), the operational and infra- i. Adaptive Aircraft Stands: Designing new aircraft stands that are
structural requirements of these two technological options will be adequately long and wide (to accommodate larger LH2 aircraft),
significantly dissimilar. Institutions and policymakers should carefully sufficiently spaced from one another (to comply with the safety
take these differences into account when making long-term strategic and regulatory requirements of kerosene, electricity, and LH2),
decisions about infrastructure reconversion plans. This is because, to and positioned far enough from taxiways (to avoid possible
adapt the airport ecosystem to the new technological needs, consider- movement restrictions for taxing aircraft while parked LH2
able economic investment and time will be required. Consequently, once aircraft are refueling). Such stands could be equipped with
major infrastructural changes are implemented, the airport operating ground support equipment—such as jet bridges, stairs, power
environment will tend to remain unchanged in the long term. In light of supply systems, belt loaders, and tugs—that is versatile and
this, new design solutions should be explored, such as the development compatible with different aircraft propulsion technologies.
of ‘multi-technology infrastructural assets’. These can be defined as ii. Flexible Maintenance Hangars: Developing maintenance hangars
infrastructural assets that have the potential to simultaneously satisfy with adaptable configurations that conform to the traditional
the operational and safety requirements of multiple technologies. While standards of kerosene aircraft while also meeting evolving safety
this concept is relatively novel in the aviation sector, it has established standards for both electric and hydrogen aircraft. This could
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D. Babuder et al. Journal of Air Transport Management 115 (2024) 102524
involve redesigning the hangars to include, for example, higher impacts based on the developed framework of processes and airport
structural stability, new electric fire/hydrogen leak detection assets. Such an analysis not only complements the existing body of
systems, and venting chimneys (for rapid gasified hydrogen knowledge (by providing a precise summary of all the impacted areas)
dispersion). but also expands it (by adding new information about the specific type
iii. Integrated Fuel Depot: Establishing a unified fuel depot area and nature of the impacts). Second, this paper provides an estimate of
capable of securely housing a diverse range of energy sources, the expected magnitude of the impacts based on expert opinions. This is
including Jet A-1, SAF, electricity, and LH2. This adaptable, in- completely novel, as no previous study has ever produced such a result.
tegrated facility would serve as a central hub for energy distri- The added value of this type of information is that it quantifies the level
bution, ensuring efficient supply, storage, and transfer processes of disruption that each technology is anticipated to have in each area,
tailored to the distinct requirements of each fuel. hence clearly pointing out the operations and infrastructural assets that
will be most affected by changes. Third, this study indicates the areas of
Although the implementation of multi-technology airport infra- most uncertain impact. Again, this is something that the existing liter-
structural assets would require higher investments in infrastructure ature never addressed, but it is important because it permits to identify
renovation, it would allow the aviation industry to keep its options open the areas where further research is more urgently needed (in order to
and avoid the possible onset of technological lock-in effects. It could also reduce the existing levels of uncertainty). Finally, this work offers a
help overcome the “chicken and egg” dilemma currently affecting the comparative analysis of the technologies. This is because, unlike those of
sector. This is causing, on one side, airlines to be waiting for new previous studies, our results are presented in a standardized format
technological developments and the operating ecosystem to adapt which allows to directly compare the expected impact of the three
before committing themselves to one (or more) alternative aircraft technologies on every activity, operation, and infrastructural asset.
propulsion option(s). And, on the other side, aircraft manufacturers to Regarding the practical contribution, this paper provides insights for
be delaying the multi-billion-dollar investments required to develop policy and industrial decision-makers on how best to prepare for the
new aircraft technologies at an industrial scale until there will be a future implementation of the changes that will be required by the
strong business case for doing so. This industrial stall is currently deployment of new aircraft technologies. Specifically, this study pro-
causing institutions and policymakers to postpone crucial airport poses the development of multi-technology airport infrastructural assets
infrastructure reconversion decisions until there is a clearer picture of as a solution not only for the possible onset of lock-in effects but also for
which technological solutions will prevail in commercial aviation. The the chicken and egg dilemma currently affecting the sector. In terms of
implementation of multi-technology airport infrastructural assets, limitations, while the interviewed experts represent several key actors in
though less efficient in the short term, could help to get out of this the industry, not all stakeholders were engaged. Therefore, in future
impasse, and act as the main driver for a faster transition of the aviation studies, it would be valuable to reach out to a broader community
sector with higher environmental, social, and economic benefits in the through survey methodology, for example. This would allow to differ-
long term. entiate the expected impacts among distinct groups of stakeholders and
Nevertheless, as highlighted by the rather divergent experts’ judg- to establish interconnections and interdependencies between the im-
ments presented in the previous section, multiple uncertainties still exist pacts – both of these aspects fall outside the scope of this paper.
regarding what will be the exact impact of electric and hydrogen aircraft Furthermore, while this study provides a good overview of the nature
propulsion in a number of areas. Consequently, before being able to and causes of the operational and infrastructural impacts, further
concretely evaluate the feasibility of multi-technology airport infra- research is required to delve deeper into their timing, scale, and
structural assets and assess the related benefits, the aviation sector needs contextual nuances, which is of primary importance for effectively
to invest in coordinated and well-planned R&D initiatives aimed at designing and managing the aviation industry’s sustainability transition.
generating more evidence and reducing current uncertainties.
Disclaimer
6. Conclusions
Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed
Despite the fact that emerging sustainable aircraft technologies are in this publication are solely those of the authors, and do not necessarily
assigned a central role in the sustainability transition of the aviation represent those of their affiliated organizations.
industry, the exact level of disruption that they are expected to have on
the existing operating ecosystem is not yet clear. Specifically, at this CrediT author statement
time, industrial actors and policymakers do not seem to have an accurate
understanding of all the operational and infrastructural impacts asso- Diego Babuder: Conceptualization, Methodology, Formal analysis,
ciated with their deployment. This paper attempted to address this gap Investigation, Data curation, Writing – Original draft preparation,
by interviewing the most important and knowledgeable stakeholders in Visualization. Yulia Lapko: Conceptualization, Methodology, Valida-
the European and American aviation industries and asking them to tion, Writing – Reviewing and Editing, Supervision. Paolo Trucco:
provide detailed impact assessments. Conceptualization, Methodology, Validation, Writing – Reviewing and
Our results provide a clear and comprehensive picture of all the Editing, Supervision. Ray Taghavi: Resources, Writing – Reviewing and
impacts that the examined technologies are expected to have on the Editing, Supervision.
different activities, operations, and infrastructural assets that are
currently part of the commercial operating ecosystem. Compared to Declaration of competing interest
previous studies, our work presents four elements of novelty that pro-
vide original results and insights. First, it offers a more detailed and This research did not receive any specific grant from funding
systematic analysis of the expected operational and infrastructural agencies in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
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D. Babuder et al. Journal of Air Transport Management 115 (2024) 102524
Relying on the existing literature, we developed a ‘research framework’ that coherently integrates: (1) the key airline operations occurring during a
standard flight; (2) the key airport operations and processes occurring during the normal turnaround of a commercial airliner; and (3) the key airside
infrastructural assets that can be found at a typical commercial airport. Such a framework, which is the result of the integration of multiple literature
sources, is arranged into three combined lists of items (i.e., operations, activities, and infrastructural assets). Table A1 summarizes the main airline
operations and procedures that normally occur during a standard commercial flight (in the right column). These have been divided in accordance with
the flight phase in which they are performed (in the left column) – the classification of the different flight phases has been based on the studies
published by Midkiff et al. (2004), ICAO (2013), and IATA (2015).
Table A.1
Key airline operations occurring during a standard commercial
flight.
AIRLINE OPERATIONS
Table A.2
Key airport operations that can occur during the turnaround of a commercial airliner.
AIRPORT OPERATIONS
Finally, Table A3 provides a list of the main infrastructural assets that are generally part of the airside infrastructure at a typical commercial
airport. This summary list has been derived from the much more detailed airport infrastructure studies produced by Janić (2009), Bradley (2010),
Horonjeff et al. (2010), and EASA (2021).
Table A.3
Key airside airport infrastructure at a typical commercial airport.
Infrastructural asset
Runway(s)
Taxiways
Apron(s)
(continued on next page)
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D. Babuder et al. Journal of Air Transport Management 115 (2024) 102524
Infrastructural asset
Aircraft stands
De-icing/anti-icing pads
Terminal building(s)
Fuel depot
Hydrant refueling system (if present)
Maintenance hangars
Table B.2
Color-coded summary of all the impact assessments relating to airline operations that were included in the study after the coding process (only relevant columns are
shown).
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Table B.3
Color-coded summary of all the impact assessments relating to airport operations that were included in the study after the coding process (only relevant columns are
shown).
Table B.4
Color-coded summary of all the impact assessments relating to airside airport infrastructure that were included in the study after the coding process (only relevant
columns are shown).
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