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Facultad de Administración y Negocios

Carrera de Administración de Empresas

Trabajo de investigacion

Curso: Investigacion operativa

Docente: Jose Luis Ernesto Rojas Lopez

Grupo 4
Erika Marisabel Mallqui Carrion U22244591
July Margot Salazar Pérez U21314640
Julio Josue David Berrospi Osorio U19312974
Amalia Briyid Sandoval Chumacero U22215147
James Gilbert Mosquito Echevarria U22243578
TreePlan Student License

0.77
Informe Favorable
3
0 18.26

CON I. M.

0 15.9347

0.23
Informe Desfavorable
2

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0 8.15

1
15.9347

PEQUEÑO

0 7.8

SIN I. M. MEDIANO
3
0 14.2 0 12.2

GRANDE

0 14.2

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0.94 For Education Only
Fuerte
0 V.E
PEQUEÑO 0 8

0 7.94 0.06
Debil
0
0 7

0.94
Fuerte
0 V.E
MEDIANO 0 14

0 13.46 0.06
Debil
0
0 5

0.94
Fuerte
0 V.E
GRANDE 0 20

0 18.26 0.06
Debil
0
0 -9

0.35
Fuerte
0 V.E
PEQUEÑO 0 8

0 7.35 0.65
Debil
0
0 7

0.35
Fuerte
0 V.E
MEDIANO 0 14

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0 8.15 0.65
Debil
0
0 5

0.35
Fuerte
0 V.E
GRANDE 0 20

0 1.15 0.65
Debil
0
0 -9

0.8
Fuerte
0 V.E
0 8

0.2
Debil
0
0 7

0.8
Fuerte
0 V.E
0 14

0.2
Debil
0
0 5

0.8
Fuerte
0 V.E
0 20

0.2
Debil
0
0 -9

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7.94 PESIMISTA

13.46 CONSERVADOR

18.26 OPTIMISTA

7.35 PESIMISTA

8.15 PESIMISTA

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1.15 PESIMISTA

7.8 PESIMISTA

12.2 CONSERVADOR

14.2 CONSERVADOR

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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ID Name Value Prob Pred Kind NS S1
0 TreePlan 0 0 0D 2 1
1 0 0E 2 3
2 0 0D 3 23
3 1D 3 5
4 1D 3 14
5 0 3E 2 8
6 0 3E 2 10
7 0 3E 2 12

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8 5T 0 0
9 5T 0 0
10 6T 0 0
11 6T 0 0
12 7T 0 0
13 7T 0 0
14 0 4E 2 17
15 0 4E 2 19
16 0 4E 2 21
17 14 T 0 0
18 14 T 0 0
19 15 T 0 0
20 15 T 0 0
21 16 T 0 0
22 16 T 0 0
23 0 2E 2 26
24 0 2E 2 28
25 0 2E 2 30
26 23 T 0 0
27 23 T 0 0
28 24 T 0 0
29 24 T 0 0
30 25 T 0 0
31 25 T 0 0

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S2 S3 S4 S5 Row Col Mark
2 0 0 0 51 1 TRUE
4 0 0 0 29 5 TRUE
24 25 0 0 74 5 TRUE
6 7 0 0 14 9 TRUE
15 16 0 0 44 9 TRUE
9 0 0 0 4 13 TRUE
11 0 0 0 14 13 TRUE
13 0 0 0 24 13 TRUE

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0 0 0 0 2 17 TRUE
0 0 0 0 7 17 TRUE
0 0 0 0 12 17 TRUE
0 0 0 0 17 17 TRUE
0 0 0 0 22 17 TRUE
0 0 0 0 27 17 TRUE
18 0 0 0 34 13 TRUE
20 0 0 0 44 13 TRUE
22 0 0 0 54 13 TRUE
0 0 0 0 32 17 TRUE
0 0 0 0 37 17 TRUE
0 0 0 0 42 17 TRUE
0 0 0 0 47 17 TRUE
0 0 0 0 52 17 TRUE
0 0 0 0 57 17 TRUE
27 0 0 0 64 9 TRUE
29 0 0 0 74 9 TRUE
31 0 0 0 84 9 TRUE
0 0 0 0 62 13 TRUE
0 0 0 0 67 13 TRUE
0 0 0 0 72 13 TRUE
0 0 0 0 77 13 TRUE
0 0 0 0 82 13 TRUE
0 0 0 0 87 13 TRUE

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


www.TreePlan.com
TreePlan Student License 0.33333333 For Education Only
PEQUEÑO
0
0 250

0.33333333
INFORME FAVORABLE MEDIANO
0
0 125 0 100

0.33333333
GRANDE
0
0 25
1
125 0.33333333
PEQUEÑO
0
0 100

0.33333333
INFORME DESFAVORABLE MEDIANO
0
0 91.6666667 0 100

0.33333333
GRANDE
0
0 75

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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V.E 125 OPTIMISTA

V.E 91.6666667 CONSERVADOR

MEJOR DECISION CRITERIO OPTIMISTA: D1, ESPERANZADO EN 125 DE UTILIDAD

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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DE UTILIDAD

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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ID Name Value Prob Pred Kind
0 TreePlan 0 0 0D
1 0 0E
2 0 0E
3 1T
4 1T
5 1T
6 2T
7 2T

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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8 2T

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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NS S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 Row Col
2 1 2 0 0 0 14 1
3 3 4 5 0 0 7 5
3 6 7 8 0 0 22 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 2 9
0 0 0 0 0 0 7 9
0 0 0 0 0 0 12 9
0 0 0 0 0 0 17 9
0 0 0 0 0 0 22 9

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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0 0 0 0 0 0 27 9

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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Mark
TRUE
TRUE
TRUE
TRUE
TRUE
TRUE
TRUE
TRUE

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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TRUE

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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TreePlan Student License 0.65 For Education Only
PEQUEÑO
0
0 250

0.15
INFORME FAVORABLE MEDIANO
0
0 182.5 0 100

0.2
GRANDE
0
0 25
1
182.5 0.65
PEQUEÑO
0
0 100

0.15
INFORME DESFAVORABLE MEDIANO
0
0 95 0 100

0.2
GRANDE
0
0 75

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V.E 182.5 OPTIMISTA

V.E 95 ARREPENTIMIENTO

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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ID Name Value Prob Pred Kind
0 TreePlan 0 0 0D
1 0 0E
2 0 0E
3 1T
4 1T
5 1T
6 2T
7 2T

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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8 2T

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NS S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 Row Col
2 1 2 0 0 0 14 1
3 3 4 5 0 0 7 5
3 6 7 8 0 0 22 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 2 9
0 0 0 0 0 0 7 9
0 0 0 0 0 0 12 9
0 0 0 0 0 0 17 9
0 0 0 0 0 0 22 9

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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0 0 0 0 0 0 27 9

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


www.TreePlan.com
Mark
TRUE
TRUE
TRUE
TRUE
TRUE
TRUE
TRUE
TRUE

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


www.TreePlan.com
TRUE

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


www.TreePlan.com
TreePlan Student License 0.2 For Education Only
MEJORA
0
0 10

0.5
COMPUTO ESTABLE
0
0 1.8 0 2

0.3
DECLIVE
0
0 -4

0.2
MEJORA
0
0 8

0.5
FINANCIERO ESTABLE
0
0 3.2 0 5

0.3
DECLIVE
0
0 -3
4
3.4 0.2
MEJORA
0
0 6

0.5
MANUFACTURA ESTABLE
0
0 2.6 0 4

0.3
DECLIVE
0
0 -2

0.2
MEJORA
0

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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0 6

0.5
FARMACEUTICO ESTABLE

0
0 3.4 0 5

0.3
DECLIVE
0
0 -1

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V.E 1.8

V.E 3.2

V.E 2.6

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V.E 3.4

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EL SEGMENTO DEL MERCADO PREFERIBLE ES FARMAUCETICO CON UN
PORCENTAJE DE 3.4%

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ID Name Value Prob Pred
0 TreePlan 0 0 0
1 0 0
2 0 0
3 1
4 1
5 1
6 2

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7 2
8 2
9 0 0
10 0 0
11 9
12 9
13 9
14 10
15 10
16 10

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Kind NS S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 Row
D 4 1 2 9 10 0 29
E 3 3 4 5 0 0 7
E 3 6 7 8 0 0 22
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 17

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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T 0 0 0 0 0 0 22
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 27
E 3 11 12 13 0 0 37
E 3 14 15 16 0 0 52
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 32
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 37
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 42
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 47
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 52
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 57

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Col Mark
1 TRUE
5 TRUE
5 TRUE
9 TRUE
9 TRUE
9 TRUE
9 TRUE

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9 TRUE
9 TRUE
5 TRUE
5 TRUE
9 TRUE
9 TRUE
9 TRUE
9 TRUE
9 TRUE
9 TRUE

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


www.TreePlan.com
TreePlan Student License 0.4 For Education Only
MEJORA
0
0 10

0.4
COMPUTO ESTABLE
0
0 4 0 2

0.2
DECLIVE
0
0 -4

0.4
MEJORA
0
0 8

0.4
FINANCIERO ESTABLE

0
0 4.6 0 5

0.2
DECLIVE
0
0 -3
2
4.6 0.4
MEJORA
0
0 6

0.4
MANUFACTURA ESTABLE
0
0 3.6 0 4

0.2
DECLIVE
0
0 -2

0.4
MEJORA

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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0
0 6

0.4
FARMACEUTICO ESTABLE
0
0 4.2 0 5

0.2
DECLIVE
0
0 -1

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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V.E 4.00

V.E 4.60

V.E 3.60

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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V.E 4.20

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EL SEGMENTO DEL MERCADO PREFERIBLE ES EL FINANCIERO CON UN
PORCENTAJE DE 4.6%

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ID Name Value Prob Pred
0 TreePlan 0 0 0
1 0 0
2 0 0
3 1
4 1
5 1
6 2

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7 2
8 2
9 0 0
10 0 0
11 9
12 9
13 9
14 10
15 10
16 10

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Kind NS S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 Row
D 4 1 2 9 10 0 29
E 3 3 4 5 0 0 7
E 3 6 7 8 0 0 22
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 17

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T 0 0 0 0 0 0 22
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 27
E 3 11 12 13 0 0 37
E 3 14 15 16 0 0 52
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 32
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 37
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 42
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 47
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 52
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 57

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Col Mark
1 TRUE
5 TRUE
5 TRUE
9 TRUE
9 TRUE
9 TRUE
9 TRUE

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9 TRUE
9 TRUE
5 TRUE
5 TRUE
9 TRUE
9 TRUE
9 TRUE
9 TRUE
9 TRUE
9 TRUE

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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11. Para el problema de Pittsburgh Development Corporation de la sección 4.3, se encontró que la alternati
de condominios grande era óptima utilizando el método del valor esperado. En la sección 4.4 realizamos un
resultados asociados con esta alternativa de decisión. Encontramos que el complejo grande seguía siendo ó
la demanda fuerte fuera mayor o igual que $17.5 millones y siempre y cuando el resultado para la demand
millones.

a. Considere la decisión del complejo mediano. ¿Cuánto podría aumentar el resultado bajo una demanda fue
d3 como la solución óptima?

b. Considere la decisión del complejo pequeño. ¿Cuánto podría aumentar el resultado bajo una demanda fue
d3 como la solución óptima?

TreePlan Student License

COMPLEJO PEQUEÑO

0 14.20

COMPLEJO MEDIANO
1
14.2 0 14.20

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COMPLEJO GRANDE

0 14.20

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, se encontró que la alternativa de decisión para construir el complejo
n la sección 4.4 realizamos un análisis de sensibilidad para los
mplejo grande seguía siendo óptimo siempre y cuando el resultado de
el resultado para la demanda débil fuera mayor o igual que - $19

ultado bajo una demanda fuerte manteniendo la alternativa de decisión

ultado bajo una demanda fuerte manteniendo la alternativa de decisión

14*0.8+5*0.2=12.2 0.8X+5*0.2=14.2
20*0.8+(-9)*0.2=14.2 0.8X+1=14.2
16.5

0.8 For Education Only


FUERTE
0
0 16
. V.E 14.20
0.2
DEBIL
0
0 7

0.8
FUERTE
0
0 16.5
V.E 14.20
0.2
DEBIL
0
0 5

0.8
FUERTE

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0
0 20 OPTIMO

0.2 V.E 14.20


DEBIL
0
0 -9

TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx


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El complejo pequeño en una fuerte demanda sigues siendo
menor o igual a $ 16 millones, por lo que, el complejo grande
sigue siendo la solucion optima

El complejo mediano en una fuerte demanda sigues siendo


menor o igual a $ 16.5 millones, por lo que, el complejo grande
sigue siendo la solucion optima

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TreePlan Student License, For Education Onlyfile:///conversion/tmp/activity_task_scratch/747053787.xlsx
www.TreePlan.com
ID Name
0 TreePlan
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

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Value Prob Pred Kind NS S1 S2 S3
0 0 0D 3 1 2 3
0 0E 2 4 5 0
0 0E 2 6 7 0
0 0E 2 8 9 0
1T 0 0 0 0
1T 0 0 0 0
2T 0 0 0 0
2T 0 0 0 0
3T 0 0 0 0
3T 0 0 0 0

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S4 S5 Row Col Mark
0 0 14 1 TRUE
0 0 4 5 TRUE
0 0 14 5 TRUE
0 0 24 5 TRUE
0 0 2 9 TRUE
0 0 7 9 TRUE
0 0 12 9 TRUE
0 0 17 9 TRUE
0 0 22 9 TRUE
0 0 27 9 TRUE

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