Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Introduction.
2
Role of The Financial Manager
in Classic Finance
(2) (1)
Insiders
Firm's (managers / Financial
operations controlling (4a) markets
shareholders)
(3) (4b)
STOCKHOLDERS
FINANCIAL MARKETS
4 In traditional Miller & Modigliani world, the objective in decision making is to maximize
the value of the firm.
M&M Perfect World - Classic Finance
Wirecard AG is a German payment processor and financial services provider which is listed on the German
stock exchange. The company offers its customers electronic payment transaction services and risk
management, as well as the issuing and processing of physical and virtual cards. It offers the platform of
many other firms to offer full banking services across Europe. Clients include many FinTech names of note
including Revolut, Curve, Funding Circle and Pockit.
“….one of the highest valued financial firms in Europe and Germany.”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ivACzzW5wyA
Example
On June 18th 2020, Wirecard said auditor EY couldn’t find the cash balances, which
represent roughly a quarter of its balance sheet. $2.1 b supposedly deposited in Philippino
Banks. The banks denied knowing Wirecard.
Stock plummets over 85%
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NDEzsQjFpik
Example
The Financial Times had been conducting an investigation for over 2 years, …. Yet experts,
authorities and rating agencies did not believe it.
https://www.ft.com/content/284fb1ad-ddc0-45df-a075-
8
0709b36868db?segmentId=98cc4897-a740-285b-6541-6459c8ed665f
Example
1. Example 2. Course administration 3. Course overview
June 18th Wirecard’s auditor for 10 years (EY) said that it could not find $2.1bn, amounting to nearly ¼ of the firm’s
balance-sheet. Wirecard then withdrew its results for the last fiscal year and for Q1 2020.
June 19th Philippines denies having Wirecard’s money. CEO Markus Braun resigned.
June 22nd Wirecard admitted that the €1.9bn “probably does not exist”. Braun was arrested (fraudulent accounting
techniques to inflate reported revenues).
June 25th Wirecard began insolvency proceedings. 9
July 2 nd Wirecard administrator starts to dismantle it. Shares have plunged by about 98%, wiping out more than €12bn
Example
Wirecard had ticked the box in Corporate Governance legal requirements (i.e. its Boards of
Directors requirements, etc..).
It is subject to strict German regulation, including a two-tier board with a Supervisory
Board, that includes independent directors and members of the labor unions, and a
separate Management
It has also grown to be one of the top German stocks included in German indices and,
therefore, closely regarded and monitored by Rating Agencies, Financial Analysts,
Institutional Investors, and Financial Markets’ Regulators.
STOCKHOLDERS
FINANCIAL MARKETS
11 In traditional Miller & Modigliani world, the objective in decision making is to maximize
the value of the firm.
Incomplete Contracts and Moral Hazard.
Examples.
Insurance markets: where the presence of insurance
causes people to take more risk that they would otherwise
have taken.
“No curb is too high for my rental car.”
Once you pay a worker a fixed salary, she has an incentive
to “shirk” and not perform at full effort
Some faculty members!.
Once a bank has loaned $ to a nearly-bankrupt company
for a positive NPV project, the firm has an incentive to take
a more risky, and possibly negative NPV project (“bait-and-
switch”).
More generally, once the investor has given money to the
firm, managers may divert the money towards “private
benefits” (e.g., ranging from nice corporate headquarters
13
and empire building to outright theft).
The Impact of Agency Problems
M&M securities are akin to the slices of a pizza they carve out cash flows:
Debt receives coupon and principal.
Equity gets dividends.
No role for control/power/authority.
Something is missing.
Agency Hypothesis
Shareholders may not be best qualified to run the firm require specialized
knowledge shareholders (“principals”) hire a CEO (“agent”).
CEO may not have sufficient financial resources to own the firm / may want a
diversified portfolio.
The separation of ownership and control is beneficial.
14
The Impact of Agency Problems
15
Road Map
Introduction
16
Agency Conflicts / Tunneling
The term “tunneling” was first used to characterize the expropriation of minority
shareholders in Czech Republic—as in removing assets through an underground tunnel—
to describe the transfer of assets and profits out of firms for the benefit of those who
control them.
Reported incidents of tunneling are not restricted to the Czech Republic and did not start
after the “US Corporate Governance Crisis.” Some examples include:
19
Taking Property
Plane
20
Source: Clark, Corporate Law
Taking Property (2)
Buying a Lear jet costs $120 M and offers cost savings (in executive time plus airfares)
worth $20 M in present value.
21
Road Map
22
Self-Dealing
The insider in the diagram owns 25% of Public Corp and 100% of Private Corp.
In a deal among the two companies, the risk is that Public Corporation will get
cheated because the insider has a greater vested interest in ensuring the welfare of
Private Corp than in Public Corp.
For example, Public Corp may acquire assets/services from Private Corp at
23
inflated prices.
24
WeWork’s
Self-Dealing
WeWork’s
Self-Dealing
WeWork's co-founder and former CEO, Adam
Neumann, held a vast influence over the
company, with majority voting power.
He took advantage of the power by self-dealing
transactions:
Created the We trademark and then sold it to
the company for $6m, raising further concerns
regarding sound corporate governance.
From: Politicalhumor.about.com
27
Road Map
28
Czech Republic: TV Nova
(Asset Stripping)
100%
Central European
Vladimir Zelezny
Media Enterprises CME
(Controlling Shareholder)
(Controlling Shareholders)
Rival Operation
(TV Nova’s Competition)
60%
CET 21
License Holding Company
(TV Nova’s License)
TV Nova
(CEO Vladimir Zelezny)
29
Czech Republic: TV Nova
(Asset Stripping) (3)
CME’s shares, which are listed on Nasdaq, fell by around a third.
30
Spain & LA: Telefónica S.A.
(Asset Stripping)
Telefónica S.A.
(Spanish Parent Company)
100%
Telefónica International
(Holding Company)
53%* 100% 52% 44% 35%
Terra Networks
Telefónica de Argentina Telesp Participacoes Telefónica de Chile Telefónica del Peru
(Wholly-owned
(Argentinean subsidiary) (Brazilian subsidiary) (Chilean subsidiary) (Peruvian subsidiary)
internet subsidiary)
100% 100%
Advance Diversion of a corporate opportunity CTC Mundo 100%
(Wholly-owned through the acquisition of ZAZ (Wholly owned subsidiary)
internet subsidiary)
Shareholder-blocked sale 100%
of Advance Telefónica Servicios
Telefónica.Net
de Internet
(Internet subsidiary)
(Internet subsidiary)
Sale of Telefónica.Net for $48 million ($40m cash; $8m debt)
33
Spain and Latin America:
Adios Don Juan.
Juan Villalonga was the CEO of Telefónica
when the transaction took place.
34
Road Map
35
Tunneling (Executive Compensation)
37
Japan/France:
Updated Aug. 6, 2022
Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi
38
https://www.wsj.com/articles/carlos-ghosn-escape-japan-private-jet-box-hidden-11659733392
Germany: Deutsche Bank
(Excessive Executive Compensation)
The management of Deutsche Bank proposed to be granted a stock option plan which
would enrich senior management by an amount of approximately 100 million euros, if the
performance of the stock over the next ten years just equaled the return on German
government bonds.
With the support of proxy votes cast by the united German banking community, the plan
got the consent of 99% of the shares present in the stockholder meeting
39
Video
40
Executive Compensation
The average American CEO takes home 399 times the wage of a factory worker. More
than the previous peak in 2000. In 1965, that figure was 20. Is it too much?
41
42
Actions with Mixed Motives.
The Insider influences Public Corp to pay $50 M to buy the 20% of Public Corp
recently acquired by Raider (“greenmail”). Raider had recently announced plans to
gain control of Public Corp and change its business strategy.
Danger: Public Corp may be paying an unfairly high price to preserve private
benefits enjoyed by Insider (but not be minority shareholders).
43
Key problem: We can’t make bad investment decisions illegal.
Actions with Mixed Motives (2)
45
Going Private
46
Going Private (2)
Despite a large cash reserve, the company suspended dividends, delisted itself from the
Montreal Stock Exchange, and aggressively wrote down assets to slash earnings,
evidently to “buy out Velcro minority holders cheap”.
The share price dived and, tow years later, with dividends remaining at zero, the Cripps
offered to repurchase minority shares at slightly above the market price.
Minority shareholders sued in New York and a judge ruled that the U.S. was the proper
jurisdiction. The Cripps then decided to call off his offer rather that go under the light of
47
U.S. court of law. The company subsequently resumed its dividend payments.
Road Map
48
Tunneling. Dilution.
49
Yukos before Dilutive Operation.
Mikhail Khodorkovsky
(Menatep)
CEO and controlling
shareholder
Menatep 78%
OFF-SHORES YUKOS E&P MINORITY
Set up by Khodorkovsky (Holding Company) SHAREHOLDERS
First Act:
A bailiff opened Tomskneft EGM by locking out minority shareholders, claiming that the
register had not kept proper record of them.
Behind closed doors, Tomskneft agreed to increase the number of shares by 300%
and place these new shares with five offshore companies (which critics suspect are
secretly controlled by Khodorkovsky (Menatep)).
The offshore companies paid the equivalent of $40 mln with the subsidiary’s own debt
valued at close to par value, although it was trading at a big discount in the secondary
market.
Tomskneft agreed to sell oil to YUKOS E&P at RUR 250 per ton for the next three
years while the market price was roughly nine times larger. The agreement to sell oil
was made retroactive for a period of three years.
SecondAct:
Similar transactions take place at the EGMs of the other two YUKOS’ subsidiaries.
51
Grand Finale:
Yukos after Dilutive Operation.
Mikhail Khodorkovsky
CEO and controlling
shareholder
Third Act:
Tomskneft’s EGM was due to take place in Moscow.
Minority shareholders arrived to discovered a note on the wall, saying the meeting would
take place at Mosalsk (a 2-3 hour drive).
Fourth Act:
YUKOS released the ratios at which it proposed to swap its shares for those of its three
subsidiaries. YUKOS valued its shares at R6 ($0.25)
Inexplicably, an independent appraisal commissioned by minority shareholders produced very
different valuations
Valuations
YUKOS Independent Appraisal
YFGA $1.75 $11.25
SMNG $1 $10
TOMG $0.75 $8.5 53
Recap. How to Steal a Company
3. How to pay for the newly issued shares in the company’s subsidiaries?
Easy, with the subsidiaries’ own debt!!!!!
In all countries, courts have a difficult time restraining perks, actions with mixed
motives, and examining strategic decisions (e.g., mergers).
55
Road Map
Introduction.
56
Evidence on Agency Costs
The upshot is that mangers end up with significant control rights (discretion) over
how to allocate investor’s funds.
(You obviously need actions that do not convey other bad information)
57
Evidence from Investment Announcement
Negative returns for oil companies
Oil producers spent roughly $20 per barrel to explore in the mid-1980s rather than return
cash to shareholders or buy proven oil reserves that sold in the marketplace for $6 per
barrel (Jensen; McConnel and Muscarella).
60
Evidence on the Death of Founders
The sudden death—in plane crashes or from heart attacks—of founders is good news for shareholders perhaps
because benefits of control diminish after the death of powerful managers (Johnson et al.)
61
The Death of Founders
63
The Death of Entrenched CEOs
Salas (2010):
64
Evidence on Block Premia
65
Evidence on Voting Premia
66
Road Map
Introduction.
67
Agency Conflict and the Costs for Raising
Capital - Example.
If an entrepreneur devotes all of her effort to a venture, it will be worth $1 million.
Now imagine that the entrepreneur sells a 40% stake in the firm to an outside investor. The
entrepreneur is a workaholic but, unfortunately, the investor does not know that she is.
Instead, the investor believes she would reduce effort to the point where the venture is only
worth $600,000.
How might the parties use monitoring and bonding arrangements to change the deal? Any
mechanisms you can think of using?
How much money would the Entrepreneur be willing to spend monitoring the entrepreneur?
68
Road Map
Introduction.
69
A Simple Model of Tunneling (1).
In countries with low investor protection, insiders can use their control over corporate
decisions to divert resources of the firm for their own benefit (hurting outside investors).
Agency Theory around the World.
However, insiders will typically worry about getting caught (unless the country is completely
lawless).
Insiders will waste resources disguising transactions to create the impression that
outside investors are being treated fairly.
Example: The insider may buy useless widgets from his cousin at above-market
prices to get cash out of the firm.
Tunneling is inefficient. Outside investors will put a lower value on the assets of the
firm and insiders will bear the cost. As a result, insiders would like to find a way to
commit to abstain from tunneling.
70
A Simple Model of Tunneling (2).
The firm is controlled by a single shareholder who owns a fraction of the equity.
The entrepreneur can divert a fraction s of the profits from the firm to himself before he
distributes the rest as dividends (e.g., excessive compensation, transfer pricing, etc).
However, unless the entrepreneur can steal with impunity, she has to engage in costly
maneuvering c to divert profits (e.g., risking possible legal challenges).
71
A Simple Model of Tunneling (4).
73 (1- ) = Δc(k,s)/ Δs
A Simple Model of Tunneling (5).
In equilibrium,
insiders will adjust
s until: (Δc/Δs) =1-
0 s* 1 s
(Δc/Δs) =1-’
where ’ >
0 s*’ s* 1 s
Tunneling is low when:
1. is high. The insiders bears a large fraction of the costs of cutting
dividends.
75 2. Legal protection is strong (k ↑): Tunneling is less effective in such
countries (insiders need to sacrifice too much dividend income to loot).
A Simple Model of Tunneling (7).
Tunneling decreases the willingness of financiers to pay for assets inside the firm.
Tunneling is inefficient. The entrepreneur would prefer to find a way to avoid it. This is a
common problem in moral hazard (last lecture): if entrepreneurs could costlessly commit
76not to steal, they would.
Agency Conflicts and Corporate Governance
Introduction.
78
Why aren’t Agency Problems easily solved?
Why do shareholders do NOT bribe the CEO to leave if he is performs poorly according
to their interest?
Why is the Coasian renegotiation not feasible?
79
Solutions to the Agency Problem
Managerial discretion, reduces the amount of resources that investors are willing to
put ex-ante to finance the firm (Williamson, Grossman-Hart).
Corporate Governance deals with the constraints that insiders put on themselves,
or that investors put on insiders, to mitigate agency problems and, thus, induce
investors to provide more funds ex-ante.
If there is $ left on the table, there should be mechanisms to try to mitigate
agency costs.
80
Solutions to the Agency Problem
•Company law
•Bankruptcy law •Protect Shareholders &
•Securities law Creditors
•Takeover law
•Force timely disclosure of
•Courts &
accurate information
Regulators
83
The distribution of Legal Origin
Measures of Investor Protection
0.7
0.6 0.58
0.55
0.49
0.5
0.78 0.45
0.4
0.60
0.3 0.56
0.2 0.45
0.1
0
No Automatic Secured CreditorsRestrictions to Management Creditor
Stay on Assets Paid First Reorganization Does Not Stay Rights Index
87
Measures of Investor Protection: Creditors
0 20 40 60
2 2
GBR
FIN HKG
USA
Market Capitalization/GNP
SWE
NDL SGP
TAI
1 1
ZAF JPN
CAN
AUS
FRA
.5 GRC KOR CHL .5
BEL DEU ESP
KEN IRL DNK
INDPHL PRTMYS NOR NZL
IDNTUR THA
PEREGY ZWE ARG
BRA
MEX
ITA
COL
SRI NGA
VEN PAK AUT
0 UGY ECU 0
0 20 40 60
94
Rule of Law*Shareholders rights
Anti-Self-Dealing and
4
Ln Firms / Pop
Romania
Residual Ln(firms-to-population)
Bulgaria
Slovak Rep.
2
Jordan Iceland
Israel HongMalaysia
Kong
Egypt Latvia Sri Lanka Singapore
Luxembourg India
Pakistan Canada Australia
Jamaica
Spain Zimbabwe
Greece Lithuania
Korea (Rep.) New Zealand
South Africa
Croatia Chile
Ukraine Peru
Taiwan
Denmark Thailand
United Kingdom
0
Mexico
Uganda
-4
• Partial-regression leverage plot of Log listed firms per million people against the
index of anti-self-dealing, controlling for Log GDPpc and efficiency of the judiciary..
Anti-Self-Dealing and
IPOs/GDP
United Kingdom
Taiwan
6
Greece
Hong Kong
Australia
Canada
4
Malaysia
Residual IPOs-to-GDP
Switzerland
2
Sweden
Korea (Rep.) Italy
Philippines Ireland Singapore
Kenya Zimbabwe Indonesia
Egypt
India
Pakistan
UnitedNigeria
States
0
Sri Lanka
Turkey Finland Thailand
Ecuador Portugal
Jordan Spain Peru South Africa
Colombia
Germany
Netherlands
-2
Venezuela Belgium
Brazil France Chile
Mexico Japan Argentina
Uruguay
Norway
Austria
Denmark Israel
New Zealand
-4
0 10 20 30 40
1.5 1.5
JPN
DEU GBR
NDL
Debt Markets/GNP
1 FRA 1
THA ZAF NZL
USA MYS
AUS AUT
FIN ESP
CAN KOR
PRT CHL NOR ISR
SGP
ITA SWE
.5 MEX .5
IDN
BRA IRL BEL
DNK
PER PAK IND
GRC
COL ARG
TUR
PHL
0 0
0 10 20 30 40
97
Creditor Rights*Efficiency of Judiciary
Creditor Rights and
The Size of Credit Markets
Creditor Rights and Private Credit
Consequences of Investor Protection:
Lower Ownership Concentration
0 20 40 60
.8 .8
GRC
Ownership Concentration
MEX
COL EGY
.6 LKA TUR .6
IDN
ITA
PHL AUT
BRA
PER ZWE
BEL ARG MYS HKG
VEN ISR ZAF PRT ESP
DEUTHA SGP NZL
DNK CHL
.4 NGA CHE
IND CAN .4
NLD IRL
PAK FIN NOR
FRA
SWE AUS
KOR
.2 GBR USA .2
TWN JPN
0 20 40 60
Rule of Law*Shareholders Rights
99
Corporate Governance and
Firm Valuation (median)
Low Shareholder Rights
High Shareholder Rights
12
1,4
10
1,2
1 8
0,8 6
0,6
4
0,4
0,2 2
0 0
100 Tobins' Q (MV/BV) Price/CashFlow
Institutional Investors say they are
willing to pay for good CG
McKinsey &
Company
Investor Opinion
Survey
101
Solutions to the Agency Problem
Basic idea: Management would rather reinvest free cash flow than pay dividends
Some mature industries have fewer investment opportunities “cash-cows”.
Examples. Tobacco. High earnings but declining demand.
Jensen - Debt can be used to limit the availability of FCF to managers and commit them to
a repayment schedule.
103
Debt (2)
Hart
Liquidation is costly. Role for financial slack.
Optimal level of debt trades off the cost of wasting resources in NPV<0 against the
benefit of avoiding costly liquidation.
Senior long-term debt can be used to limit the ability of management to issue claims
against existing assets.
104
Debt and Free Cash Flows
ALLEQUITY firm expects cash-flows of $50M in each of the next two years.
In addition, next year an investment opportunity will be available to invest $50 M in Year 1 in
exchange for cash-flows in Year 2 of:
$60 M with probability 50%; or
$40 M with probability 50%.
Everyone knows whether the firm has a good or bad project BEFORE making the $50 M
investment. Investors are risk-neutral. The interest rate is zero.
Assume that LEVERED is identical to ALLEQUITY except that LEVERED has $50 M in debt
maturing in Year 1 and $50 M in senior debt due in Year 2.
How much is LEVERED worth with an “empire builder”?
1. How much is the firm worth if the empire builder with a bad project? Can he raise
finance?
2. How much is the firm worth if the empire builder has a good project?
108
Question: Can dividends try to solve the agency problem?
Dividend payout policy in the U.S.A.
109
Dividends as Bonding Device
Unless there is a large cost to cutting dividends, dividends are not as much a commitment
as debt.
Evidence:
Outcome Theory: Dividends are a result of good legal protections where investors
use the law to force managers to pay some cash.
Substitution Theory: Are dividends a mechanism that managers use to establish
reputations and then be able to access the market? In this case, we would expect to
see countries with poor legal protections paying more dividends.
110
Dividend payout policy in different countries
LLSV, JF
111
Solutions to the Agency Problem
Statistical evidence suggests they do not, and usually collude with the CEO.
Example: TWA during the Icahn takeover.
113
Boards of Directors Monitoring Managers
Outside directorship and turnover of managers (Weisbach).
114 Twist: Boards act when firm performance lags that of industry peers.
The prob of getting fired is low when all firms in an industry are doing poorly.
Large Shareholders & CEO Turnover
115
Boards of Directors Monitoring Managers
Is a CEO turnover good or bad news? (Kind & Schlapfer, 2011)
116
Boards of Directors Monitoring Managers
Statistical evidence suggests they do not, and usually collude with the CEO.
Example: TWA during the Icahn takeover.
International Evidence: They are likely to collude because the board looks like a
Christmas dinner (only family).
117 Example: Sweden, the owners are sitting in boards.
Boards of Directors Monitoring Management
Sweden, Board Seats of the Wallenbergs
Wallenberg , Associates Company / Position
Peter Wallenberg, Asea / Chairman
Vice Chairman of S-E-Banken Atlas Copco / Chairman
Ericson / Vice Chairman
Jacob Wallenberg, Atlas Copco / Member
Deputy chief operating officer of Enskilda Ericsson / Member
corporate division of S-E-Banken Stora / Vice Chairman
Marcus Wallenberg, Astra / Vice Chairman
Executive vice president of Investor SKF / Deputy Member
Claes Danlback, Asea / Vice Chairman
President of Investor Astra / Member
Electrolux / Member
Ericsson / Member
Incentive / Member
SKF / Member
Stora / Member
Source: Sven-Ivan Sundqvist,“Owners and Power in Sweden’s Listed Companies,” 1993.
Boards of Directors Monitoring Managers
The Wallenberg Family Tree
119
Boards of Directors Monitoring Managers
“Young, Educated and Almost Ready,”
120
Boards of Directors Monitoring Managers
“Young, Educated and Almost Ready,” (2010)
121
Boards of Directors Monitoring Managers
“Young, Educated and Almost Ready,” (2010)
122
Solutions to the Agency Problem
Intermediate %: Increasing
managerial ownership facilitates
1 entrenchment (Armand
Hammer)
Jensen and Murphy (HBS) for every $1,000 increase in shareholder value, CEO wealth
increases by $3.25.
Probably not sufficient to restrain the consumption of perks; but
May be enough to avoid NPV<0.
Pay-per-performance mitigates the incentives to undertake actions with mixed motives (eg,
bad acquisitions). It does little to avoid taking-of-property problems and conflicts of interest.
127
Executive Compensation and
Dividend Policy
Setup question 1: What happens to the price of a stock when the company pays out a
dividend?
________________________________________
Setup question 2: What happens to the price of the stock when the company buys
back shares?
________________________________________
Key Question: Assume that you are the CEO of the firm and that you own a large
number of options to buy shares at the price before the company decides if they should
pay out a dividend or buy back shares.
Would you prefer the firm to pay dividends or to repurchases shares? Why?
____________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
128
Incentive Contracts:
Problems:
Managers may be risk-averse (i.e., incentive contracts may be very costly).
Compensation is set by the Board of Directors. Who chooses its members?
Enormous opportunities for self-dealing. For example, Yermack presents evidence
that CEOs award themselves options when they know that good news are coming and
after bad news is released.
Managers are rewarded for luck (Sendhil).
CEOs who gave shareholders the least for their pay (Business Week):
Total Pay Shareholder
(millions) Return
1 CHARLES WANG Computer Associates $698.2 -63%
2 MICHAEL EISNER Walt Disney 699.1 -10
3 HENRY SILVERMAN Cendant 212.6 -72
4 PETER KARMANOS Compuware
129 112.6 -61
Incentive Contracts:
131 http://video.nytimes.com/video/2009/02/04/business/1231547065766/obama-and-geithner-on-executive-pay.html
"These People Are Idiots" Executive Compensation Bill Discussions
Sen Claire McCaskill
132
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yt90KUwCCoE
Caps on Executive Pay?
133
Banks’ CEO Executive Compensation
134 http://www.thedailyshow.com/video/index.jhtml?videoId=218378&title=american-grandstand-bank
http://www.indecisionforever.com/video/index.jhtml?videoId=218378
Solutions to the Agency Problem
136
Kaplan & Rehaus.
Labor Market (ex-post settling up)
137
Kaplan & Rehaus.
Solutions to the Agency Problem
Banks are important investors in some countries. The have the power: (1) to throw the firm
into bankruptcy; and (2) undertake short-term lending.
Key with shareholders concerted action is not necessary to throw a firm into
bankruptcy.
Initial Evidence
Japan: (Kaplan and Minton, 1994) Management turnover in response to poor
performance when the firm has a main bank.
Germany: (Gorton and Schmidt, 1996) Banks improve company performance more
than other blockholders in the 1970’s (although not in the 1980’s).
U.S.
(De Long, 1991) J.P. Morgan created value for the companies it invested in.
(Gilson, 1990) Banks play an important CG role in bankruptcies.
Recent Evidence
139 Japan: Suzuki & Cobham (2005)
Germany: Dittman, Maug, Schneider (2010)
Bank Monitoring
Suzuki and Cobham (2005):
140
Bank Monitoring
Suzuki and Cobham (2005):
141
Bank Monitoring
Frank and Mayer: Ownership of Banks in Germany
142
Bank Monitoring
Dittman, Maug, Schneider (2010): Ownership of Banks in Germany
143
Bank Monitoring
Dittman, Maug, Schneider (2010): Effect of Banks on bank debt
144
Bank Monitoring
Dittman, Maug, Schneider (2010): Effect of Banks on M&A advisory
145
Bank Monitoring
Dittman, Maug, Schneider (2010): Effect of Banks on Management Compensation
146
Bank Monitoring
Dittman, Maug, Schneider (2010): Effect of Banks on Tobin’s Q
147
Bank Monitoring
Dittman, Maug, Schneider (2010): Effect of Banks on ROA
148
Solutions to the Agency Problem
150
Institutional Investor Ownership; U.S. stock markets
Source: Gillian, S.L. & Starks, L. T. 2007.The evolution of shareholder activism in the United States, Working paper.
Institutional Investor Ownership; U.S. stock markets
Institutional Investor Ownership; World stock markets
Source: Gillian, S.L. & Starks, L. T. 2007.The evolution of shareholder activism in the United States, Working paper.
Corporate Governance proposals
by Institutional Investors:
Source: Gillian & Starks, The evolution of shareholder activism in the United States
Voting outcomes for Corporate Governance
proposals
Source: Gillian, S.L. & Starks, L. T. 2007.The evolution of shareholder activism in the United States, Working paper.
Mutual Fund Connections and Voting with Management
Source: Cvijanovic, Dasgupta and Zachariadis (2016)
Mutual Fund Connections and Voting with Management:
Effect of Business Ties on Voting with Management
Source: Cvijanovic, Dasgupta and Zachariadis (2016)
Mutual Fund Connections and Voting with Management:
Management, Shareholder & Contested Shareholder Proposals
Source: Cvijanovic, Dasgupta and Zachariadis (2016)
Large Shareholders: Activist Investors
In the 1980s activists were called corporate raiders. Today activism is mainstream and a
preoccupation of America’s boardrooms.
Since 2011 activists have:
helped depose the CEOs of Procter & Gamble and Microsoft,
fought for the break up of Motorola, eBay and Yahoo (its stake in Alibaba)
won board seats at PepsiCo and Bank of New York Mellon
Organized consolidation in the pharmaceutical industry, and taken on Dow Chemicals
and DuPont.
Age, status or systemic importance offers no protection. Activists have also:
Removed the management of the oldest firm on the NYSE: Sotheby’s.
Won a board seat on Bank of New York Mellon, a too-big-to-fail bank at the heart of
the global financial system.
Attacked the world’s most valuable company: Apple (now 2nd).
The chairman of one of Silicon Valley’s biggest firms admits, “We think about an attack all
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the time.”
Activists are growing THE ECONOMIST
163
Activists are growing
164
Activists are growing
165
Activists are growing,.. But not equally
166
Activists are growing
167
What do Activists ask for?
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Large Shareholders: Proxy Fights
169
Activists’ Success Rate
170
Activists’ Success in Getting Board Seats
171
Large Shareholders: Proxy Fights (Contests)
Definition: Shareholder meeting where an opposition candidate runs.
Success rates:
Proxy fight for full control: 40.4%;
Proxy fight for partial control: 77.3%.
Problems:
Incumbent board may delay the release of the firm’s list of shareholder names and addresses;
Incumbent uses firm’s money to pay for advertising against dissidents (who use their own
172
money).
Proxy Fights & Performance
173
Proxy Fights & Performance
174
Proxy Fights & Performance
175
Large Shareholders: Takeovers
Evidence:
Stock prices rise when a takeover is announced. Targets do, indeed, have low
valuations (on average, Tobin’s Q is 0.5 for targets and 1 for the market).
Companies with larger shareholders have higher Q ratios;
Management turnover is more sensitive to performance
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Large Shareholders & CEO Turnover
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Large Shareholders & CEO Turnover
178
Large Shareholders: Takeovers
Problems:
(1) Require a liquid capital market;
(2) Very expensive
(3) Politically vulnerable
(4) Acquisitions can actually increase agency costs
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Blocked Takeovers
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Large Shareholders: Takeovers
Problems:
(1) Require a liquid capital market;
(2) Very expensive
(3) Politically vulnerable
(4) Acquisitions can actually increase agency costs
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Agency Conflicts and Corporate Governance
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Large Shareholders: Costs
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The “Widely Held” Myth
Berle and Means (1932) US: the prevalence of widely held corporations in the ownership of capital
is dispersed between small shareholders, yet control is concentrated in the hands of managers.
c) In many countries, large corporations have large shareholders who are active in corporate
governance.
d) Families are the rule of the game outside the US and the UK.
Microsoft Corporation (USA)
Microsoft Corp.
Lee Kun-Hee Samsung Life Samsung Co Cheil Jedang Shinsegae Dept Stores Cheil Wool Textile Co Joong-ang Daily News Joong-ang Develop.
8.3% 8.7% 4.3% 3.2% 1.9% 1.6% 1.0% 0.6%
Lee Kun-Hee Lee Kun-Hee Samsung Life 49.3% Samsung Group 48.3% Joong-ang Daily New
49% Samsung G 48% Joang Ang
Lee Kun-Hee Cheil Jedang Lee Kun-Hee Samsung Life Lee Kun-Hee
9.1% Lee Kun-Hee 14%14.1%Chail
Cheil Wool
Wo.Textile C
15.0% 11.5% 9.2% 9% 14.1% 22.7% 6.9% 9.3%
Lee Kun-Hee Lee Kun-Hee Cheil Jedang Lee Kun-Hee Cheil Jedang
14.1% 15.0% 11.5% 15.0% 11.5%
Mkt Cap: 12,164 Mill
Business: Semiconductors/Home
Top # 2
Appliances, etc. 3674. Lee Kun-Hee Lee Kun-Hee
At 20%: Widely Held
Source: KIS. 14.1% 14.1%
Year Founded: 1973 At 10%: Lee Kun-Hee
Electrabel SA (Belgium)
Electrabel
Powerfin 16.2%C&V
26.34%C&V
27.5%C&V
Tractebel 4.28%
59.96%C&V
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Widely Held Family State W. H. Financial W. H. Corporation
Onwership Patterns Around the World
Control of Medium-Sized Publicly Trated Firms (20% control cutoff)
50%
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Widely Held Family State W. H. W. H.
Financial Corporation
Pattern of ownership around the world
Source: Holderness, C.G. 2009. The myth of diffuse ownership in the United States, Review of Financial Studies, 22 (4), pp. 1377.
Share of Controlled Firms around the World
Source: Aminadav & Papaioannou, 2020. Corporate Control Around the World, Journal of Finance.
Share of FAMILY Controlled Firms around the World
Source: Aminadav & Papaioannou, 2020. Corporate Control Around the World, Journal of Finance.
Share of GOVERNMENT Controlled Firms around the World
Source: Aminadav & Papaioannou, 2020. Corporate Control Around the World, Journal of Finance.
Pattern of ownership around the world
Source: Aminadav & Papaioannou, 2020. Corporate Control Around the World, Journal of Finance.
Who Manages Controlled Firms?
How are Firms Controlled? Pyramids
The Economist, April 2015:
Hutchison Whampoa Ltd
(Hong Kong)
Hutchison Whampoa
(Ch: Li Ka-shing)
(Vice Ch: Richard Li)
50%
Firm C
50%
Firm B
50%
Firm A
50%
Ultimate Owner
Suppose Ultimate Owner owns A owns B owns C owns D, each with a 50% equity stake.
Ultimate Owner controls all four firms.
If D had a great year and wanted to distribute a $100 dividend
How much will the Ultimate Owner get as dividends?
Is paying a Dividend good for the Ultimate Owner? What else could do?
Pyramids and Incentives.
50% Firm D
50% Firm C
50% Firm B
50% Firm A
Ultimate Owner
1. Group firms should under-react to shocks to their own profits. The controlling
shareholder will divert a fraction of the shock to increase private benefits.
For example, imagine that industry conditions improve justifying, in the absence
of tunneling, a $100 increase in the earnings of firm D.
If tunneling takes place, the earnings of firm D should increase by less than
$100.
Moreover, if there is tunneling, the earnings of firm C should also increase.
Finally, the earnings of firm D should not be affected by positive shocks to the
earnings of firm C.
2. Tunneling will be more extreme in lower down companies. The insider will divert
cash from those firms where she has a lower cash exposure.
Sensitivity to Own Shock
Group firms where director equity is higher are more sensitive to their own
industry shock.
Each one-percentage point increase in director equity increases the sensitivity to a
one-rupee industry shock by 0.03 rupee.
Conclusions
Large Shareholders may represent their own interest, so they engage in:
Expropriation from other investors, pay themselves special dividends, exploiting
209 business with their own firms, Pursue their own inefficient objectives, etc...
What Can Go Wrong?
STOCKHOLDERS