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Curs 2 DEPI - Va - Slides - EN
Curs 2 DEPI - Va - Slides - EN
Random variables
The cumulative distribution function
The probability density function
March 1, 2021
Field of events
Events:
subsets A ⊂ Ω.
sole entities to which probability is given P(A).
Sometimes, Ω may contain many elements ωi (may be a
subinterval R).
The number of events A ⊂ Ω may be huge.
It is not practical to give probability to all events. ⇒ a
reduced set of events to which we allocate probabilities.
Field of events
Events:
subsets A ⊂ Ω.
sole entities to which probability is given P(A).
Sometimes, Ω may contain many elements ωi (may be a
subinterval R).
The number of events A ⊂ Ω may be huge.
It is not practical to give probability to all events. ⇒ a
reduced set of events to which we allocate probabilities.
Field of events
Events:
subsets A ⊂ Ω.
sole entities to which probability is given P(A).
Sometimes, Ω may contain many elements ωi (may be a
subinterval R).
The number of events A ⊂ Ω may be huge.
It is not practical to give probability to all events. ⇒ a
reduced set of events to which we allocate probabilities.
Field of events
Events:
subsets A ⊂ Ω.
sole entities to which probability is given P(A).
Sometimes, Ω may contain many elements ωi (may be a
subinterval R).
The number of events A ⊂ Ω may be huge.
It is not practical to give probability to all events. ⇒ a
reduced set of events to which we allocate probabilities.
Field of events
Events:
subsets A ⊂ Ω.
sole entities to which probability is given P(A).
Sometimes, Ω may contain many elements ωi (may be a
subinterval R).
The number of events A ⊂ Ω may be huge.
It is not practical to give probability to all events. ⇒ a
reduced set of events to which we allocate probabilities.
Field of events
Events:
subsets A ⊂ Ω.
sole entities to which probability is given P(A).
Sometimes, Ω may contain many elements ωi (may be a
subinterval R).
The number of events A ⊂ Ω may be huge.
It is not practical to give probability to all events. ⇒ a
reduced set of events to which we allocate probabilities.
Field of events
Events:
subsets A ⊂ Ω.
sole entities to which probability is given P(A).
Sometimes, Ω may contain many elements ωi (may be a
subinterval R).
The number of events A ⊂ Ω may be huge.
It is not practical to give probability to all events. ⇒ a
reduced set of events to which we allocate probabilities.
Field of events
Field of events
Field of events
A ⊂ Ω ⇒ A ∈ P(Ω)
A ⊂ Ω ⇒ A ∈ P(Ω)
A ⊂ Ω ⇒ A ∈ P(Ω)
A ⊂ Ω ⇒ A ∈ P(Ω)
A ⊂ Ω ⇒ A ∈ P(Ω)
not
If the experimental outcome is ωk , then ξ(ωk ) = ξ (k) is called
an instance of ξ.
not
If the experimental outcome is ωk , then ξ(ωk ) = ξ (k) is called
an instance of ξ.
not
If the experimental outcome is ωk , then ξ(ωk ) = ξ (k) is called
an instance of ξ.
not
If the experimental outcome is ωk , then ξ(ωk ) = ξ (k) is called
an instance of ξ.
ξ(si ) = CM(si )
ξ(si ) = CM(si )
ξ(si ) = CM(si )
ξ(si ) = CM(si )
ξ(si ) = CM(si )
ξ(si ) = CM(si )
ξ(si ) = CM(si )
ξ(si ) = CM(si )
For ξ(fi ) = i:
{ξ < 2, 5} = {f1 , f2 }
{2 ≤ ξ < 5} = {f2 , f3 , f4 }
{ξ < 1} = ∅
For ξ(fi ) = i:
{ξ < 2, 5} = {f1 , f2 }
{2 ≤ ξ < 5} = {f2 , f3 , f4 }
{ξ < 1} = ∅
For ξ(fi ) = i:
{ξ < 2, 5} = {f1 , f2 }
{2 ≤ ξ < 5} = {f2 , f3 , f4 }
{ξ < 1} = ∅
For ξ(fi ) = i:
{ξ < 2, 5} = {f1 , f2 }
{2 ≤ ξ < 5} = {f2 , f3 , f4 }
{ξ < 1} = ∅
For ξ(fi ) = i:
{ξ < 2, 5} = {f1 , f2 }
{2 ≤ ξ < 5} = {f2 , f3 , f4 }
{ξ < 1} = ∅
For ξ(fi ) = i:
{ξ < 2, 5} = {f1 , f2 }
{2 ≤ ξ < 5} = {f2 , f3 , f4 }
{ξ < 1} = ∅
∆
Fξ (x) = P(ξ ≤ x)
∆
Fξ (x) = P(ξ ≤ x)
∆
Fξ (x) = P(ξ ≤ x)
∆
Fξ (x) = P(ξ ≤ x)
∆
Fξ (x) = P(ξ ≤ x)
no. 4 shows that we can compute P(a < ξ < b) for ∀a, b
starting from the CDF!
no. 4 shows that we can compute P(a < ξ < b) for ∀a, b
starting from the CDF!
no. 4 shows that we can compute P(a < ξ < b) for ∀a, b
starting from the CDF!
no. 4 shows that we can compute P(a < ξ < b) for ∀a, b
starting from the CDF!
Legitimate questions:
Why do we name the derivative of the CDF “probability
density function”?
Why do we need a probability “density” function, instead of a
“probability” function?
Legitimate questions:
Why do we name the derivative of the CDF “probability
density function”?
Why do we need a probability “density” function, instead of a
“probability” function?
Legitimate questions:
Why do we name the derivative of the CDF “probability
density function”?
Why do we need a probability “density” function, instead of a
“probability” function?
Legitimate questions:
Why do we name the derivative of the CDF “probability
density function”?
Why do we need a probability “density” function, instead of a
“probability” function?
Legitimate questions:
Why do we name the derivative of the CDF “probability
density function”?
Why do we need a probability “density” function, instead of a
“probability” function?
Legitimate questions:
Why do we name the derivative of the CDF “probability
density function”?
Why do we need a probability “density” function, instead of a
“probability” function?
Hence:
wξ (x)∆x ≈ P(x < ξ ≤ x + ∆x)
∆x&&
Hence:
wξ (x)∆x ≈ P(x < ξ ≤ x + ∆x)
∆x&&
Hence:
wξ (x)∆x ≈ P(x < ξ ≤ x + ∆x)
∆x&&
Hence:
wξ (x)∆x ≈ P(x < ξ ≤ x + ∆x)
∆x&&
Hence:
wξ (x)∆x ≈ P(x < ξ ≤ x + ∆x)
∆x&&
Hence:
wξ (x)∆x ≈ P(x < ξ ≤ x + ∆x)
∆x&&
wξ(x)
w (x)∆x≈P(x<ξ≤x+∆x)
ξ
x x+∆ x
R∞
3 The normalisation condition: wξ (x)dx = 1
−∞
Proof:
We write property no. 2 for x1 = −∞ and x2 = ∞.
Ry
4 The CDF: Fξ (y ) = wξ (x)dx.
−∞
Proof:
We write property no. 2 for x1 = −∞ ’si x2 = y .
R∞
3 The normalisation condition: wξ (x)dx = 1
−∞
Proof:
We write property no. 2 for x1 = −∞ and x2 = ∞.
Ry
4 The CDF: Fξ (y ) = wξ (x)dx.
−∞
Proof:
We write property no. 2 for x1 = −∞ ’si x2 = y .
R∞
3 The normalisation condition: wξ (x)dx = 1
−∞
Proof:
We write property no. 2 for x1 = −∞ and x2 = ∞.
Ry
4 The CDF: Fξ (y ) = wξ (x)dx.
−∞
Proof:
We write property no. 2 for x1 = −∞ ’si x2 = y .
R∞
3 The normalisation condition: wξ (x)dx = 1
−∞
Proof:
We write property no. 2 for x1 = −∞ and x2 = ∞.
Ry
4 The CDF: Fξ (y ) = wξ (x)dx.
−∞
Proof:
We write property no. 2 for x1 = −∞ ’si x2 = y .
R∞
3 The normalisation condition: wξ (x)dx = 1
−∞
Proof:
We write property no. 2 for x1 = −∞ and x2 = ∞.
Ry
4 The CDF: Fξ (y ) = wξ (x)dx.
−∞
Proof:
We write property no. 2 for x1 = −∞ ’si x2 = y .
R∞
3 The normalisation condition: wξ (x)dx = 1
−∞
Proof:
We write property no. 2 for x1 = −∞ and x2 = ∞.
Ry
4 The CDF: Fξ (y ) = wξ (x)dx.
−∞
Proof:
We write property no. 2 for x1 = −∞ ’si x2 = y .
(x − m)2
1
wξ (x) = √ exp − , m ∈ R, σ > 0
σ 2π 2σ 2
1
b−a dac’a a ≤ x ≤ b
wξ (x) =
0 ’in rest.
(
x x2
σ2
exp − 2σ 2 dac’a x ≥ 0
wξ (x) =
0 ’in rest.