Q.1) Calculate 4 year exponential moving average.

YEAR 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
SALES 20 21 23 22 25 24 27 26
#N/A 20 20.4 21.44 21.664 22.9984 23.39904 24.839424
Q.2) Let's assume a simple company budget with three factors: Revenue, Cost of goods sold (COGS), and Operating expense
Analyse three different scenerios in our budget, such as , a best-case scenerio, a worst-case scenerio and a most-likely scen
BEST-SCENERIO CASE Best 2023 budget
Revenue increases by 20%. REVENUE 1,200,000
COGS decreases by 10%. COGS 540,000
Operating expenses stay the same. OPERATING EXP 200,000
WORST CASE SCENERIO NET PROFIT 460,000
Revenue decreases by 20%.
COGS increases by 10%.
Operating expenses increasesby 5%.
MOST-LIKELY SCENERIO
Revenue increases by 5%.
COGS stay the same.
Operating expenses increasesby 2%.

Q.3) The following table shows the actual demand observed over the last 11 years:
YEAR 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
DEMAND 8 8 4 10 13 7 13 14
Using the 3-years weighted moving average with weights 0.10, 0.35, and 0.55, using 0.55 for the most recent period, provid

Q.4) Calculate the covariance and correlation between below two columns A nad B.
A B
25 52 471.8571
35 10 0.585604
21 5
67 98
98 52
27 36
64 69
 0.4
9 10
28 30
25.30365 26.38219
40
Exponential Smooth
OGS), and Operating expenses and from there, calculate the Net profit.
nerio and a most-likely scenerio. 20

Value
MOST LIKELY 0
REVENUE 1,050,000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
COGS 600,000 Data Point
OP EXPENSES 240,000
NET PROFIT 210,000

WORST
REVENUE 800,000
COGS 660,000
OP EXPENSES 210,000
NET PROFIT -70,000

9 10 11
8 11 7
e most recent period, provide the forecast from perods 4 through 12.

YEAR A.D
0.1 1 8 5.8
0.35 2 8 7.7
0.55 3 4 11.05
4 10 9.4
5 13 10.9
6 7 12.95
7 13 10.6
8 14 10.25
9 8 8.5
10 11 3.55
11 7 0.7
12 0
nential Smoothing
Actual
Forecast

4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Data Point