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Paragraphs / July 18-19, 2023
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1040am Tuesday morning


Air Temperatures – The following high
temperatures (F) were recorded across the
state of Hawaii Monday…along with these low
temperatures Tuesday morning:
88 – 80 Lihue AP, Kauai
89 – 78 Honolulu AP, Oahu
87 – 74 Molokai AP
90 – 76 Kahului AP, Maui – Record is 93
87 – 76 Kona AP, Hawaii
86 – 75 Hilo AP, Hawaii
Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals
(inches) for each of the islands as of Tuesday
morning:
0.53 Mount Waialeale, Kauai
0.23 Nuuanu Upper, Oahu
0.16 Kamalo, Molokai
0.01 Lanai City, Lanai
0.36 West Wailuaiki, Maui
0.47 Kawainui Stream, Big Island
The following numbers represent the strongest
wind gusts (mph) Tuesday morning:
27 Lihue, Kauai
37 Oahu Forest NWR, Oahu
30 Makapulapai, Molokai
42 Lanai 1, Lanai
31 Maalaea Bay, Maui
51 Kealakomo, Big Island
Hawaii’s Mountains – Here’s a link to the live
webcam on the summit of our tallest mountain
Mauna Kea (~13,800 feet high) on the Big Island
of Hawaii. Here’s the webcam for the (~10,023 feet
high) Haleakala Crater on Maui. These webcams
are available during the daylight hours here in the
islands, and at night whenever there’s a big moon
shining down. Also, at night you will be able to see
the stars, and the sunrise and sunset too…
depending upon weather conditions.

Big Blue…click twice for largest version

Tropical Storm 03E (Calvin)…east of Hilo


(click for larger version).

Low clouds arriving on the trade wind flow…


Tropical Storm Calvin coming into view east

Variable clouds across the island chain

Very few passing showers

Kauai and Oahu (Satellite)

Kauai and Oahu (Radar)

Oahu and Maui County (Satellite)

Oahu and Maui County (Radar)

Maui, Kahoolawe, Lanai, and the Big Island


(Satellite)

Maui County and the Big Island (Radar)

Big Island (Radar)

Model showing precipitation through 8-days


(you can slow this animation down)

Please open this link…to see current Watches,


Warnings and Advisories noted above

~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~

Glenn’s Tuesday comments: I’m here at home in


upper Kula, Maui, Hawaii
Good morning everyone, I hope you have a great
Tuesday wherever you happen to be spending it!
It’s mostly clear to partly cloudy this morning here
in Maui County. At my Kula weather tower the low
temperature this morning was 51 degrees.
845am, I guess we could call this the calm before
the storm, at least here in upper Kula. Interestingly
enough, I can hear strong winds blowing up the
mountain from here! It was clear early, then it got
cloudy, and now again it’s mostly clear.
1232pm today is what’s called Lahaina Noon:
Twice a year, in May and July, the Sun passes
directly overhead for locations on Earth in the
tropics. On these two days, around local noon, the
Sun will be exactly overhead, at a 90o angle, and an
upright object such as a flagpole will have no
shadow. This phenomenon only occurs in the
tropics; the Sun is never directly overhead in any
other part of the planet. The word Lahaina may be
translated into English as “cruel sun,” but effectively
makes reference to severe droughts experienced in
that part of the island of Maui.

Hawaii’s Broad Brush Weather Overview: Wind


speeds will increase rapidly today through
Wednesday, as Tropical Storm Calvin produces
strong and gusty winds as it passes near the Big
Island and just south of Maui County, Oahu, and
Kauai County. Damaging wind speeds are possible
across most of the state as Calvin approaches and
passes by each island.
Heavy showers and flooding conditions are
expected, due to deep unstable tropical moisture
forced up the windward mountain slopes of islands
in Maui and Hawaii Counties. Calvin will likely
weaken into a Tropical Depression Wednesday, and
maintain a westward track moving away from the
islands Wednesday night. Expect improving weather
and wind conditions statewide Thursday as we
transition back to breezy trade wind pattern.
Hawaii’s Weather Details: A high pressure ridge
north of the region will drive Tropical Storm Calvin
westward into Hawaiian waters later tonight.
Weather conditions will change rapidly today
through Wednesday as Calvin, currently around 450
miles east-southeast of Hilo Hawaii, continues to
quickly move towards the Big Island. The rapid east
to west motion of Calvin will tend to limit Tropical
Storm impacts to roughly a 12 to 18 hour time
period over any one island.
Wind Impacts: Calvin remains on a westerly track,
with the ridge north of the islands providing the
main steering flow. This storm will continue to
weaken as it approaches the Big Island, due to
cooler water temperatures, the ingest of stable dry
air, and some vertical wind shear. However, Tropical
Storm Force winds remain in the forecast as the
center of the system passes near the south side of
the Big Island tonight through early Wednesday
morning.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the
Big Island and surrounding waters due to the
island’s proximity to the Tropical Storm Force wind
speeds surrounding the storm. Wind speeds will also
increase statewide today through Wednesday, as
the storm remains on a track passing south of the
smaller Hawaiian Islands. These winds will
strengthen due to the increasing pressure gradient
between the ridge to the north and the low pressure
center associated with Calvin passing to the south.
This means that wind speeds over the islands in
Maui County will at least reach Wind Advisory
thresholds and may exceed High Wind Warning
criteria in some areas, even as Calvin weakens and
passes to the south. Wind speeds will accelerate
over and downwind of mountain slopes with
stronger gusts expected. A Wind Advisory remains
in effect today for all islands in Maui County, A High
Wind Watch was also issued for Maui County
starting tonight for stronger winds expected on
Wednesday.
Additional Wind Advisory and High Wind Watch or
Warning products may need to be extended to Oahu
on Wednesday as Calvin passes to the south. For
the moment, Kauai County will see less wind
impacts from Calvin based on the latest storm track
and intensity.
Rainfall Impacts: Deep unstable tropical moisture
surrounding Calvin will be driven up mountain
slopes, due to the strong wind forcing as the
Tropical Storm passes each island. This means the
potential for flash flooding remains elevated even for
islands not directly in the path of the Tropical Storm.
How far north these heavy rainfall impacts will occur
is the forecast challenge with this event.
The highest potential for heavy rain and flooding are
expected along the windward slopes of the Big
Island and windward slopes of the eastern half of
Maui. Storm total rainfall amounts in the 4 to 8 inch
range should be expected for the eastern slopes of
the Big Island from North Kohala to the Hamakua
Coast to Hilo to South Point, with 1 to 2 inches of
rain forecast over the Kona side of the island. Maui
may see between 2 to 6 inches of storm total rainfall

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