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Rebel Wisdom - Sensemaking Companion Sec1
Rebel Wisdom - Sensemaking Companion Sec1
The Mystery of Me
The first person perspective is the most
fundamental layer of sensemaking. While we can
talk of existential risks and headline trends till the
cows come home, the ‘Me’ is the only domain to
which we have immediate and constant access
for all our lives. And in groups - second and third
person settings - we always bring the baggage
and benefits of our individual perspectives. As Jon
Kabatt-Zinn puts it ‘Wherever you go, there you
are.’
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Cognition sits in a complex system between
However, our unconscious mind is processing individual and environment. A field of possibly
far more than what we’re aware of. The mind salient data is monitored and extracted. How we
seems to have a ‘mind of its own’. Its thoughts, select for that salience and relevance is a function
concepts and suggestions arise and emerge of our heuristics and cognitive concepts, which we
from unconscious processes we can glimpse only would ideally ‘frame and reframe’ to converge on
indirectly in our conscious minds. what is most meaningful for our goals. This makes
relevance realisation a recursive process - one that
So sensemaking isn’t just something we do is part and parcel of sensemaking.
consciously - it’s happening in every moment. Our
nervous systems and cognition have evolved to Doing so well is increasingly difficult, though,
enact over thousands of years to keep us alive by thanks to what Vervaeke calls the ‘combinatorial
effectively helping us to respond to what’s in our explosion’: how the internet has furnished an
environment. But that’s much more a process of explosion of possibly-salient information, which
leaving things out than it is looking at everything. builds on itself in exponential ways and dilutes
our ability to hone in on what’s most relevant. As
John Vervaeke’s Model of Cognition Vervaeke has explained in Sensemaking 101.
Heuristics belong especially to System-1 thinking, • The affect heuristic is also significant: when we
while System-2 thinking uses more conscious and make decisions based on how they seem to
manipulable ‘mental models’. make us feel emotionally. If something makes
us feel bad or distressed, it seems plausible
that the decision isn’t worth taking.
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Inquiry:
While useful guides, each of these heuristics has
clear flaws. When did you last ‘represent’ a population in
completely the wrong way? Can you recall a
For example with the availability heuristic, why time when your ‘prototypes’ were way-off?
would what comes to mind easily at any moment
be necessarily the most useful information to And because representativeness overlaps
satisfy our goals? Why would that be a reliable significantly with statistics and probability, it
guide for relevance realisation? doesn’t help that human cognition generally
finds numerical reasoning counter-intuitive.
What is easy-to-retrieve, and feels meaningful at One reasoning approach with which humans
that moment, might not be. The pioneering work struggle is Bayesian logic, which makes
of Sarah Lichtenstein, for example, found that estimates of how probable an event will
the information people recall is heavily shaped be based on the probabilities of certain
by their media exposure, which itself is biased conditional facts.
towards sensationalist and attention-grabbing
headlines.
Lichtenstein found that test subjects were prone As an example, Kahneman and Tversky - the
to over-estimating the commonality of violent two cognitive psychologists mentioned earlier -
crimes - events which, while extremely rare, asked graduate students to guess what degree a
prompt disproportionate media coverage, and composite character called ‘Tom W.’ was taking at
therefore a greater information sample for people their university.
to draw upon with their availability heuristic.
• Tom was presented above all else as shy
And more generally, there is no necessary link and uncomfortable in social situations - a
between ease-of-retrieval and the real, most stereotype linked, for what it’s worth, with
plausible step - when information and examples STEM subjects.
do not come easily, this may, in fact, better
suggest the complexity of the question at hand, • 95% of the students estimated that Tom would
and the need to perform further research. more likely be taking computer science over
education or humanities - something that
may seem reasonable, if a high proportion of
computer science students are really more shy
Inquiry: and uncomfortable in this way.
Can you think of an example where you fell prey • What did the graduate students miss out?
to the availability trap? Can you remember the While they accounted for one likelihood - that
thought process you went through that led you Tom would be shy if he were a computer
there? science student - they overlooked the other
probability: that he’s a computer science
Another heuristic that can lead us to foolishness student at all.
is the representativeness heuristic. Why do
we believe our ability to abstract and form − This is the base rate, and it turns out
prototypes is necessarily reliable? that there were far more students taking
education and humanities students than
However many people we may have encountered, computer science. So, however awkward
our sample size - and the way we gather it - is our Tom W. was, he’s still far more likely
unlikely to be enough to ground any generalising to be taking history.
judgement.
• Lastly, consider now the affect heuristic.
If you think people from the opposite town are Why would the way we feel at that moment
‘annoying’, ‘inconsiderate’ - or even awesome - necessarily be the best way to work towards
ask yourself: how many of them have you really our goals - or to provide estimates of things
met and spent time with? happening or not?
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Like the availability heuristic, our assessment of At Rebel Wisdom we call this the paradox of
real-world events is shaped significantly by our sensemaking. The very tools we rely on to make
most recent experiences, and the surrounding sense - our heuristics and inbuilt cognitive
context of our emotional states. categories - are prone systematically to error
and bias: something defined technically as a
As an example, two children could provide wildly- disproportionate weight assigned towards an
inaccurate estimates of the risk of a particular element of a data set, and without good reason
game, based on how fun (or not fun) it was or has and proper warrant according to our goals.
been in their experiences. The child who had a
great time with the game has their mood boosted, In Vervaeke’s terms, the concepts that allow for
which makes them more likely to rationalise wisdom can, in the wrong hands and environment,
playing it through undershooting its risks and program us for foolishness.
overshooting its benefits in the next iteration - and
vice versa. The work of the Center for Applied Rationality
(CFAR) has been especially influential in this area.
CFAR is one of the central institutions of the Bay
Area Rationalist Movement, a loose coalition of
in-person and online gathering places (including
LessWrong, Farnham Street and Scott Alexander’s
AstralCodexTen, AKA SlateStarCodex) that seeks
to expose the biases common to our cognition.
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Inquiry:
• Omission Bias
Can you recall an experience when you were
− The omission bias refers to our subject to one of these biases?
tendency to judge harmful actions as
worse than harmful inactions, even if
they result in similar consequences. In
the famous moral framework of the
‘trolley experiment’, not pulling the
How Does Rationality Really Work?
lever can result in as much (or more)
All of us have experienced these cognitive biases.
death as pulling it, yet we consider
And becoming aware of them - spotting when
the latter generally more morally
they arise in our experience - makes us less likely
objectionable.
to fall for them. One great way of tracking our
biases is the use of a Surprise Journal, or a record
• The Sunk Cost Fallacy
of when you’ve been surprised each day. Surprise
is valuable because it shows the ‘edge’ at which
− The Sunk Cost Fallacy describes our
our heuristics are operating, outside of which
tendency to follow through on an
there is new information and value to be gleaned.
endeavor if we have already invested
time, effort or money into it, whether
But rationality is not simply a matter of pure
or not the current costs outweigh the
‘thinking’, and learning a list of biases. We
benefits; ‘We’ve gone this far, so we
may assume, too, that System-2 - the more
might as well carry on.’
deliberative, logical side of our thinking - is to
be prioritised over the more intuitive System-1,
• Confirmation Bias
but as Julia Galef, a key figure in the rationalist
community explained in this Rebel Wisdom film
− The basic tendency to seek evidence
and reasons to support our existing
beliefs, even when our beliefs may
Each ‘system’ is complex, made up of a
be somehow false or harmful.
variety of parts, and neither is perfect.
Confirmation bias therefore involves a
Our knee-jerk, automatic processes
degree of ‘motivated reasoning’, when
are prone to making the wrong
we’re drawn to beliefs beyond their
connections—if a new acquaintance
merits.
resembles an old enemy, you may find
yourself feeling anxious or cold without
• Framing Effect
really knowing why. Our deliberate,
explicit processes can fail by leaving out
− When the same set of information
information—if you can’t put a fleeting
is ‘framed’ in a different way, we act
feeling of unease into words, you may be
differently. For example, a product
tempted to disregard it, and exclude it
listing itself as ‘20% fat’, while identical
from your calculations..But turning off or
to a product ‘80% fat free’, will be
ignoring large parts of your brain is rarely
selected less because of its less
helpful, and applied rationality is about
favourable framing.
using every tool in your possession.
− This is taken advantage of by
marketers, advertisers, brand
Indeed, one of the great cognitive mistakes of our
specialists, politicians and actors
culture has been to downgrade systematically the
across society. While rooted in a
value of intuition. Intuition may conjure images of
number of biases - often including loss
psychics, mediums and the New Age, but it’s really
aversion and the affect and availability
a capacity stewed in our unconscious, long-term
heuristics - understanding how to
data processing.
‘frame’ information in favourable ways
can be an effective way to encourage
It’s with intuition that we have our ‘Aha!’ moments,
change.
in which a problem is suddenly solved and
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answers glimpsed. Intuition occurs using what But if you start a job tomorrow as a physicist at
CFAR calls ‘tacit knowledge’, which is knowledge CERN with zero training in physics, you probably
that’s hard to put into words and arises intuitively. shouldn’t ‘follow your heart’ because you feel like
Tacit knowledge is the source of our hypotheses, pushing that big red button.
and the glue that ties together our conscious
linguistic concepts: the bread-and-butter of Intuition is subject to bias and direction just like
System-1 thinking. thinking altogether. But it’s also a capacity that
can be trained and harnessed over time. As a
Intuition is the reason why we may feel a strong domain for skilfulness, intuition is something we
calling to speak to, or avoid, someone without feel rather than something we think. And this is
exactly knowing why. It’s because our unconscious important - because true rationality isn’t just about
has drawn connections too complex for our our thoughts.
current immediate conscious mind to grasp.
We may have seen this person before and not Mind and Body
remembered, or perhaps they trigger certain
evolutionary pathways for threat detection. The ‘red pill’ on
rationality is realising
Other times, we may feel an intuitive draw to a that ‘mind’ and ‘body’
certain topic that seems irrelevant. As Julia Galef are not really separate.
pointed out: Cognitive science, and
research into enactivism
and embodied cognition
When we feel driven toward or curious in particular, are
about something, it’s often because finding increasingly
our System 1 has a model of the world how interconnected
that makes that course of action look the two are. You
fruitful—it’s triggering a positive rating can detect this as a
on our progress meter for some goal or matter of experience,
another. using introspective
techniques like
“...If we ignore a particular curiosity mindfulness meditation:
because we don’t see the point of it, or if including interoception
we think our efforts are better directed (awareness of the body)
elsewhere and use System-2 to override and proprioception
the impulse, we’re essentially pitting (awareness of thoughts,
willpower against motivation… consider or meta-cognition).
the possibility that your System 1 might
be on to something, even if you can’t The better your introspective capacity, the
articulate exactly what. Consider going more you’ll notice how certain thoughts and
along for the ride–more often than not, it experiences, and especially feelings and intuitions,
will be fruitful in one way or another. have a strong physiological dimension. Taking
rationality as a whole mind-body system, you see
that they aren’t separated.
Intuition isn’t always to be trusted, though. As This is part of a broader approach of systems,
former poker pro Liv Boeree explained in this not parts. Being ‘rational’ about rationality means
Rebel Wisdom film, top poker players don’t act taking your cognition as an interconnected whole.
on intuition specifically because hard statistics are Nora Bateson’s concept of Warm Data is another
more reliable. She suggests that intuition is a great useful frame: when we break things into parts of
tool for something you’ve done a lot, but not great ‘Cold Data’, we overlook core information about
for a task or situation you’re new to. For example, the ways they’re interrelated.
you’ve met and related to many people in your life,
so your ‘gut feeling’ about someone is probably
something to pay attention to.
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This isn’t your fault. The separation of mind and This means that the body-mind shuts down
body is a longstanding phenomenon of history or disassociates from the parts that were
and the English language - in particular, the work overwhelmed. It’s a protective response from
of Descartes, a steady ‘disembodiment’ through evolution, albeit one that runs amok if it is not
engagements with technology and informational processed and integrated.
tools, and our longstanding tendency to separate
nouns, verbs and subjects.
The clear signs of traumatic response are:
On the latter point, think of how we say ‘I do’
or ‘I am’: this suggests there is some ‘essence’ • Numbing: To protect our bodies and minds
to the ‘I’ that is separate from the activities of from the stress, trauma lessens our sensitivity
‘being’ and ‘doing’. What could this be? Consider, to experience overall. This can manifest in
too, how we act as if our bodies ‘belong’ to us, feelings of disconnection, dissociation, lack of
with claims of ‘my arm’ or ‘my head’: yet these emotional response
aren’t attached to an immaterial ‘mind’ or ‘self’.
Rather, they are us in a continual process. This is • Hyperactivity: Aggressive, reactive behaviour,
something both Brenda Dervin and Karl Weick, especially in response to events and people
two highly influential sensemaking theorists, that provoke conscious or unconscious
realised: effective sensemaking across the board triggers of the original trauma
will take a reformulation of language and the way
we conceive of ourselves as subjects. • Avoidance: Isolating from other people and
parts of the outside world, in order to avoid re-
The Role of Trauma triggering the trauma
As well as incomplete,
the ‘Spock’ view
of rationality fails Our degree of attachment to certain beliefs - and
to account for the the beliefs we hold at all - will be affected by
irrational and highly trauma. We may feel ‘triggered’ by particular facts
emotional ways in of our experience, causing our cognition to deploy
which our cognition a traumatic response and skew us away from our
operates. Indeed, goals. With traumatic triggering, we are hijacked
the reason why and far more likely to sink into reactive modes of
certain biases may be thinking.
operative is because
they fulfill deep- The work of Gabor Maté also suggests that
rooted psychological traumatic scars are a primary factor behind
and emotional needs, addictive and compulsive behaviours. Don’t look
usually furnished through traumatic experiences. so far from yourself in that regard, either: through
the addictive properties of social media and
Trauma is the response of an individual’s body- technology, many of us exhibit behaviours we’d
mind - and sometimes larger groups of individuals otherwise project on alcoholics, drug addicts
and collectives - to overwhelming stress. What and gambling-dependants. And while social
makes trauma different from basic stress, is media algorithms are actively programmed to
that traumatic stress exceeds one’s capacity to be addictive, they leverage tendencies that were
stay related to the experience - both in terms already laid by our traumatic moulds.
of physiology and the response of the nervous
system, and psychology and the disruptions to a One approach to trauma, which we’ve covered
person’s sense of meaning. before on the channel, is Peter Levine’s model
of Somatic Experiencing. This aims to release
the energy stored in the body-mind since a
trauma through careful bodily exercises, centred
around interoception (the internal organs) and
proprioception and kinesthesis (the musculo-
skeletal system).
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Focusing A 2014 meta-analysis showed that meditators’
brains tend to be enlarged in a range of regions,
Let’s return to our decision-making and rationality. including the insula (involved in emotional self-
One way to take advantage of mind, body and awareness), parts of the cingulate cortex and
emotion is Focusing, a technique developed in the orbitofrontal cortex (involved in self-regulation),
1950s by Eugene Gendlin. and parts of the prefrontal cortex (involved in
attention).
It deals with two main kinds of responses:
In one study, people who’d only been meditating
for just one week (twenty minutes a day) showed
a decreased amygdala response to upsetting
• ‘Felt senses’: The physiological responses images. One fMRI study showed that in very
we experience in certain situations, such experienced practitioners, compassion meditation
as butterflies in the stomach, bodily actually triggers activity in the brain’s motor
tension, jarred vision, and sweaty palms centers, preparing their bodies to physically move
in order to help whomever is suffering, even as
• ‘Handles’: The System-2 ways in which they’re still lying in the brain scanner.
we channel and describe these ‘felt
senses’, such as a word, a sentence, an Meditation therefore encourages an attitude of
image, a conclusion, that makes sense in a Presence in our lives. We face up to and process
deliberate linguistic way the reality of each moment in its full breadth
and depth: ensuring a full map for the process of
relevance realisation and effective sensemaking.
With the Focusing technique, the subject is This stands in contrast to the auto-pilot in which
asked to play with different handles - switching many of us spend much of our time - something
assumptions, changing narratives, updating that isn’t helped by the attention-scattering effects
perspectives - in an iterative, exploratory process, of technology and social media, whose ‘infinite
to see which makes their felt senses feel ‘at home’. scroll’ and algorithmic hacks encourage us to lean
in more and more to easy, ‘fast food’ information.
This is when some intuitive discomfort and
uncertainty are resolved, suggesting that both We’d like to cover three basic kinds of meditation.
Systems-1 and -2 are in alignment. We listen to the The first is a more general framework developed
unconscious signals transmitted through the body by Shauna Shapiro called the IAA (Intention,
rather than ignoring them. Attention, and Attitude) Model.
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To learn more about Focusing, please see the introduction here:
https://www.focusing.org.uk/an-introduction-to-focusing
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The IAA Model Cognitive Flexibility and the
• First, we set an intention to meditate. We
De-Centering Move
also cultivate a particular attitude - self-
Together with
compassionate, curious and open. We use
Attention and
our ability to focus and concentrate to
Presence,
pay attention to our experience right now.
mindfulness
meditation is
• Each of these elements is ever present,
core to two
and it may help your practice to
other ingredients
consciously move between them. For
of effective
example, as we pay attention we will
sensemaking.
inevitably become distracted by our
thoughts, physical sensations, sounds or
First, cognitive
any other sensory information.
flexibility that
we mentioned
• When we do, we can come back to our
earlier: or our
intention with a healthy attitude. This
ability to adapt
means not beating ourselves up, or
our thinking to change to our environment.
striving to ‘get it right’. It simply means
Second, cognitive flexibility encodes for a related
staying curious (‘how interesting I
capacity called complexity tolerance, which
became distracted’) and coming back to
describes how well we can make sound decisions
our intention (‘I’m sitting to meditate’)
and perform good sensemaking in situations of
and paying Attention.
complexity: when we face blurry boundaries,
lots of incoming sense data, and where many
• Whether you’ve been practising
hypotheses for action may be mutually exclusive
mindfulness for 5 minutes or 50 years,
but simultaneously plausible.
you are practising in this way. What
changes is how skilfully you practice these
Popularised by the trauma professional and
3 elements, and the gap between when
facilitator David Treleaven and explored in this
you’re aware that you’re aware and on
episode of our Wisdom Gym, complexity tolerance
autopilot shifts – and even blurs entirely.
is a more intense matter of the ‘framing and
reframing’ seen in Vervaeke’s relevance realisation
schema. A skill we need to harness for all of the
This leads us to a bespoke technique called above, though, is de-centering, which is a core
the Salience Meditation, which we’ve designed skill trained and described in Mindfulness-Based
specifically for the course based on the work of Cognitive Therapy (or MBCT).
John Vervaeke and others. You can find a guided
audio for it in the same section you found this De-centering is a mind-body move in which we
workbook. ‘step outside’ of and observe the contents of
immediate experience. We cease to identify with,
Warning: Vervaeke emphasises that any single and stop believing ourselves identical to, our
meditative practice, however effective, must be thoughts and narratives, emotions, or somatic
accommodated within an ‘ecology of practices’, to sensations. And with this distance, we can pay
encourage the ‘framing and reframing’ necessary closer attention to how these contents arise,
for good sensemaking. This may include staging including in relation to particular triggering stimuli
different forms of meditation. The ‘open inquiry’ and the shaping of beliefs, which makes us less
method, or perhaps a metta (loving-kindness) liable to ‘hijacking’ by temporary events: a cause
practice, can enlarge one’s frames to the of both ineffective sensemaking and much of our
immediate data of experience - and parallel to this, everyday suffering.
the IAA method and forms of vipassana (body-
scanning and deep insight on the workings of
experience) can enclose on experience.
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In Kross et al. (2009), a course of meditation
produced a less self-referential, emotional, and
visceral state among patients asked to reflect
on negative autobiographical memories. Papies
(2015) found that decentering is most helpful
when processing events that are the most
emotionally and personally affecting for us. Other
researchers found that decentering reduces the
Linguistic Intergroup Bias, in which you expect ‘in-
group’ members to behave more positively than
out-group members and it shapes your choice
of language. Similarly, der Schans (2019) found
that decentering decreases hostile attribution, or
the likelihood of projecting negative attributes to This is visible, for example, through the ‘cocktail
other people. party effect’, in which attention may be re-directed
involuntarily to the mention of one’s own name
By de-centering from our beliefs in particular, in a context of diffuse background noise. This
we allow for greater cognitive flexibility, which in is generalised to special triggers of all kinds.
turn programs for greater trait resilience. In fact, Alcoholics have been observed to find alcohol-
evidence suggests that conditions like PTSD and related colour-words (‘beer’) more cognitively
clinical depression can be modelled as states of challenging on the Stroop Test, which is a way
extreme cognitive inflexibility, in which we reify of testing our attention. Compulsive acts of all
negative, maladaptive thought patterns as actual kinds - such as a reactive opposition to ‘out-group’
features of reality. A 2005 meta-analysis showed members, or a visceral response to an exchange
that cognitive flexibility, among other related on social media - will be affected by the same
factors, accounts for 16–29% of the variance in phenomenon.
mental illness and emotional ill-health.
Here’s where meditation steps in. As well as
One study found that mindfulness-mediated facilitating de-centering, research suggests that
decentering results in experiences of self- meditation helps with compulsive behaviour
transcendence, and cognitive flexibility is known by causing us to pay closer attention to the
as a mediator of flow experiences: psychologist local stimuli of a trigger. This helps us to see the
Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi’s term for mental states trigger as a mere set of sensations, and not the
in which we feel ‘in the zone’, and our cognitive compulsive hook that demands our response.
machinery is uniquely well-directed for converging Research also suggests that simply telling addicts
on our goals and finding meaning in each cycle of not to pay attention to addictive stimuli - and not
sensemaking. ‘give in’, in general - is typically ineffective.
According to Kavanagh and May’s ‘elaborated It’s with the power of de-centering - and
intrusion theory’, de-centering also relieves the mindfulness meditation more generally - that we
‘cognitive elaboration’ that deepens craving and can engage in four crucial other kinds of ‘framing
compulsive habits - something, you’ll recall, that’s and reframing’ vital for complexity tolerance. In
worsened by our traumatic scars, which often- The Age of Breach, Alexander Beiner proposed a
underwrite such behaviours. When we invest heuristic for sensemaking in uncertain times called
our normal depth to the ephemeral contents Grounding, Flipping, Blending, Holding as a way to
of experience, they become more encoded in quickly sort these capacities.
working memory, which creates the kind of
‘reciprocal narrowing’ described by Vervaeke.
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Grounding: Reconnecting with foundations in Conclusions
the body. As well as tapping into the intuitive,
System-1 signals of somatic intelligence, This workbook and the practises you’ll find within
connecting with the body brings us necessarily the Sensemaking Companion are designed
to the present. There’s no ‘wrong answer’ here, to help you make sense more effectively. But
either: sensations of all kinds, including warmth,ultimately they’re just guides; it’s up to you to
cold, pleasure, pain, even numbness and the apply them where you see fit, embodying the
‘absence’ of sensation are acceptable loci for same kind of cognitive flexibility in how you
paying attention. approach them that you’re trying to train. If that
isn’t meta enough for you, also consider that
Holding: Complex phenomena are liable to slip while you’re improving your own sensemaking,
out of the grip of our mental models, but with you aren’t doing it in isolation. We’re all trying
enough mindful attention - and a comprehensive to make sense together of things we’d never be
mental model - we can ‘hold’ onto complexity and able to figure out alone, and we’re doing that in
its contradictions. We can allow one and zero to the context of the wider world. If you’re intrigued
occupy the same space simultaneously. by these second and third person modes of
sensemaking, explore the other two sections of
Flipping: We don’t run on a single ‘operating the Companion.
system’. As Nora Bateson points out, rules of
engagement change across different contexts,
and relationships are governed by different
‘social contracts’. To that extent, we’re already
unconsciously ‘flipping’ - or switching between
different mental models - all the time. Conscious
flipping, though, is when we can toggle between
different worldviews fluidly and with skill as a
core foundation of cognitive flexibility.
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