Año X=PERIODO Y=PRODUCCION LOGX LOGY (LOG X)^2

2011 1 324 - 2.5105 -

2012 2 639 0.3010 2.8055 0.0906
2013 3 682 0.4771 2.8338 0.2276
2014 4 958 0.6021 2.9814 0.3625
2015 5 1338 0.6990 3.1265 0.4886
2016 6 986 0.7782 2.9939 0.6055
2017 7 1202 0.8451 3.0799 0.7142
2018 8 1496 0.9031 3.1749 0.8156
2019 9 1779 0.9542 3.2502 0.9106
S 9404 5.5598 26.7565 4.2152

6.1944 -37447 80000000

x3 x2 x
-49920037441 6.1944 -37447 80000000
-49840149738 49.5552 -149788 160000000
-49760336856 167.2488 -337023 240000000
-49680598756 396.4416 -599152 320000000
-49600935401 774.3 -936175 400000000
-49521346754 1337.9904 -1348092 480000000
-49441832778 2124.6792 -1834903 560000000
-49362393436 3171.5328 -2396608 640000000
b= ("9*17,0781 " −"5,5598 " ∗"26,7565 "

-0.0007776702
2000
Chart Title
1800 f(x) = 2.78273663665748E-151 exp( 0.175440388184997 x
R² = 0.840566907860372
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
Remplazando
los resultados 0
en la 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
ecuación 1.
 (LOG Y)^2 LOG X*LOG Y
6.3028 -
7.8708 0.8445
8.0303 1.3521
8.8885 1.7950
9.7747 2.1853
8.9633 2.3297
9.4858 2.6028
10.0802 2.8672
10.5636 3.1015
79.9602 17.0781

-50000000000

-5.00E+10 -316462.35
-5.00E+10 -316304.7
-5.00E+10 -316147.05 157,65x - 316620
-5.00E+10 -315989.4
-5.00E+10 -315831.75 6,1944x3 - 37447x2 + 8E+07x - 5E+10
-5.00E+10 -315674.1
-5.00E+10 -315516.45
-5.00E+10 -315358.8
" −"5,5598 " ∗"26,7565 " )/("9*4,2152 " −( 〖 "5,5598" ) 〗 ^2 )=

hart Title 60000000

151 exp( 0.175440388184997 x )

3 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

2.00E+11 3.00E+14 200000000000000000 70000000000000000000
X=PERIODOY=PRODUCCION xi x^2 x^3
1 324 1 1 1
2 639 2 4 8
3 682 3 9 27
4 958 4 16 64
5 1338 5 25 125
6 986 6 36 216
7 1202 7 49 343
8 1496 8 64 512
9 1779 9 81 729
S 9404 45 285 2025

y=a0+a1x+a2x2

9 45 285 2025 9404

45 285 2025 15333 56479
285 2025 15333 120825 392033
2025 15333 120825 978405 2940517

a0 -173.05 235.79
a1 560.51 169.02 Ax=B
a2 -94.05 -1.1374 X=A-1*B
a3 6.19

Chart Title
2000
1800
1600 f(x) = 6.19444444444444 x³ − 94.0541125541125 x² + 560.513347763347 x − 173.04
R² = 0.920340991654527
1400
1200
Axis Title

1000
800
600
400
200
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Axis Title
X=PERIODOY=PRODUCCION xi x^2 x^3
1 700 1 1 1
2 450 2 4 8
3 850 3 9 27
4 1000 4 16 64
5 1127 5 25 125
6 1438 6 36 216
S 5565 21 91 441

y=a0+a1x+a2x2

6 21 91 441 2275 5565

21 91 441 2275 12201 22413
91 441 2275 12201 67171 106093
441 2275 12201 67171 376761 542733
2275 12201 67171 376761 2142595 2900773

a0 2671.17 235.79

a0 3390.1 169.02 Ax=B

a0 1729.5 -1.1374 X=A-1*B

a0 338.14

a0 23.062
 x^4 x^5 x^6 yi xi*yi xi^2*yi xi^3*yi
1 1 1 324 324 324 324
16 32 64 639 1278 2556 5112
81 243 729 682 2046 6138 18414
256 1024 4096 958 3832 15328 61312
625 3125 15625 1338 6690 33450 167250
1296 7776 46656 986 5916 35496 212976
2401 16807 117649 1202 8414 58898 412286
4096 32768 262144 1496 11968 95744 765952
6561 59049 531441 1779 16011 144099 1296891
15333 120825 978405 9404 56479 392033 2940517

Chart Title
2000

1800
f(x) = 6.19444444444444 x³ − 94.0541125541125 x² + 560.513347763347 x − 173.047619047618
1600 R² = 0.920340991654527
le
1400

1200
41125 x² + 560.513347763347 x − 173.047619047618
1000

800

600

400

200

0
5 6 7 8 9 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
tle
x^4 x^5 x^6 x^7 x^8 yi xi*yi xi^2*yi
1 1 1 1 1 700 700 700
16 32 64 128 256 450 900 1800
81 243 729 2187 6561 850 2550 7650
256 1024 4096 16384 65536 1000 4000 16000
625 3125 15625 78125 390625 1127 5635 28175
1296 7776 46656 279936 1679616 1438 8628 51768
2275 12201 67171 376761 2142595 5565 22413 106093
7763347 x − 173.047619047618

7 8 9 10
xi^3*yi xi^4*yi
700 700
3600 7200
22950 68850
64000 256000
140875 704375
310608 1863648
542733 2900773
X=PERIODO Año Y=PRODUCCION
1 2011 324
2 2012 639
3 2013 682
4 2014 958
5 2015 1338
6 2016 986
7 2017 1202
8 2018 1496
9 2019 1779
PROYECCIONES
11 2021 2851
12 2022 3706
13 2023 4819
14 2024 6226
15 2025 7965
16 2026 10073
17 2027 12587
18 2028 15544
19 2029 18982
20 2030 22937
21 2031 27447

X=PERIODO Año Y=PRODUCCION

1 2014 700
2 2015 450
3 2016 850
4 2017 1000
5 2018 1127 1600

6 2019 1438 1400 f(x) = 23.0625 x⁴ − 338.1435185 x³ + 1729.506944 x

R² = 0.991172882529167
1200

PROYECCIONES DE OFERTA 1000

7 2021 3076
8 2022 7573 800

9 2023 17056 600

10 2024 34200
11 2025 62236 400

12 2026 104946 200

13 2027 166666
14 2028 0
252285
0 1 2 3 4
15 2029 367248
16 2030 517551
 Chart Title
2000
1800
f(x) = 6.1944444444444 x³ − 94.054112554113 x² + 560.51334776335 x − 173.04761904762
1600
R² = 0.920340991654527
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
capasidad
200
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

38.1435185 x³ + 1729.506944 x² − 3390.14418 x + 2671.166667

9167

2 3 4 5 6 7