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Dokumen - Pub Options Trading in Bear Mkts 0070152721 9780070152724
Dokumen - Pub Options Trading in Bear Mkts 0070152721 9780070152724
Sasidharan K
Director
Derivative Research Forum
Centre for Resource
Development and Research
Kochi, Kerala
Alex K Mathews
HeadResearch
Geojit PNB Paribas Financial Services Ltd.
Kochi, Kerala
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Ltd will not be responsible for the authenticity/mistake in the interpretation of the
information and readers may refer to the original information given on the website.
Typeset at Script Makers, 19, A1-B, DDA Market, Paschim Vihar, New Delhi 110 063, and
printed at Rashtriya Printers, M-135, Panchsheel Garden, Naveen Shahdara, Delhi 110 032
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Cover Design: Kapil Gupta, New Delhi
RZZCRRBFRQBLA
To
Late Smt. Sreedevi
and
Late Smt. Anse K. Mathews
PREFACE
Capital market in India has been witnessing high volatility since the last
quarter of 2007. The global financial market meltdown has adversely affected
the Indian capital market with the two stock market indices BSE Sensex and
NSE Nifty touching multi-year lows. Though the fall in the market was sharp,
many investors hoped for recovery and hence held on to their stocks.
Unfortunately, adding fuel to fire, the US sub-prime crisis and the consequent
fall in the American stock indices played a significant role in bringing down
almost all the major stock indices across the world and India could not escape
from this tragedy. For over six months bears have ruled the Indian capital
market smashing the hopes of many investors.
We hear losses of investors in bear markets, but seldom have we heard
stories of gains, whereas investors are buoyant when the markets are bullish
and gains are lucrative. Hence, people are afraid of and hesitant to venture
into a bear market. This prompted us to think of strategies which would enable
an investor to make reasonable profit even in weak bear markets. From our
market experience, we identified options as the best hedging tools in weak
bear market conditions and certain strategies that would help the investors to
reap gains even in weak bear market conditions. This book on option trading
specifically spells out these strategies.
Before writing this book, we extensively researched the availability of books
on this theme. Although books like Trade Options Like a Professional by James
Bittmann (Powell’s Books), Bear Market Investing Strategies by Harry D. Shultz
(Wiley Trading, Wiley), etc., are available in the international market we did
not come across any book dealing exclusively with the weak bear market
strategies suitable for all Indian market conditions. The books available in
India on derivatives are specifically on futures and options and even those are
more generic in nature and not market trend-specific. Hence, we felt the need
for a reference book that can be used by traders, stock market professionals,
FIIs arbitrageurs, hedgers and investors to protect their investments from the
vagaries of a falling market.
Since the book is structured around market conditions in India, all the
data and trading information have been collected from the option trading
platform of NSE which has the highest volume in the F&O segment in the
viii Preface
Indian stock market. Even the example of pricing has been worked out using
data from the F&O segment of Indian stock market. Similarly, the examples of
market quotations have been culled out from Indian newspapers.
The book is divided into 14 chapters. The first chapter, presents the history
of derivative trading in India and the structure of Indian derivative market.
The second chapter provides the basic understanding of options and option
terminology. Basics of option trading, contract structure, trading mechanism,
etc., prevalent in the Indian market are covered in the third chapter. The fourth
chapter deals with price indices, construction of indices and components of
stock indices in the Indian stock market. The fifth chapter covers the Black
Scholes and Binomial Models of option pricing based on prices in the Indian
derivative market.
The sixth chapter on strategic option trading tools extensively deals with
put/call relationship, put/call ratio and its use in option trading, open
interest and volume analysis, impact cost, rollover, etc. The seventh chapter is
exclusively devoted to volatility, covers both historical and implied volatility
and explains the use of volatility in option trading. Another important factor
in option trading is the use of Greeks which have been explained in the eighth
chapter. The most important chapter is the ninth one in which 21 option
trading strategies are explained with diagrammatic presentation and two real-
life examples of losses in derivative trading, viz., Barings Bank and the Fall of
Amaranth Advisors LLC. Besides, this chapter explains the concepts of
backwardation, contango and spread, citing the Ranbaxy–Daiichi deal as
example of backwardation. It also throws light on the use of probability in
framing option trading strategies.
The tenth chapter details the sources from which market information can be
drawn. Though derivatives are risk management tools, they themselves bring
in various risks. The potential risks in derivative transactions and the method
of hedging them are covered in the eleventh chapter. The twelfth chapter deals
with the accounting and taxation of derivative transactions and answers some
of the commonly raised questions about option trading in the FAQ section—
questions raised in course of various seminars conducted by us at different
centres on trading in futures and options. The book concludes with a glossary
of derivative terms.
The book is unique in its complete coverage of all aspects of option trading
specific to the Indian stock market. The book will be immensely useful for
traders, investors and option dealers. The students pursuing advanced
courses in behavioral finance, capital markets and derivatives will also find
this book as an excellent reference material. That the book is written from the
real experiences of option trader gives it another edge. We hope the readers
will find this book highly useful. We encourage suggestions for further
improvement.
SASIDHARAN K.
ALEX K. MATHEWS
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
SASIDHARAN K.
ALEX K. MATHEWS
x Contents
CONTENTS
Preface vii
Acknowledgements ix
1 INTRODUCTION 1
1.1 Objectives 1
1.2 Indian Derivatives Market: An Overview 1
1.3 What are Derivatives? 3
1.4 Evolution of Derivative Trading in India 3
1.5 Participants in Derivatives Market 4
1.6 Types of Derivatives 5
Summary 8
Keywords 8
2. UNDERSTANDING OPTIONS 9
2.1 Objectives 9
2.2 Introduction 9
2.3 Options: An Overview 9
2.4 Types of Options 10
2.5 Advantages of Options 11
2.6 Terminologies in Options 12
2.7 Trading System 16
2.8 Procedure for Margin Collection 18
2.9 Types of Orders 21
2.10 Settlement Schedule for Option Contracts 22
2.11 Settlement Mechanism 22
2.12 Writing of Options 23
Summary 23
Keywords 23
3. OPTION TRADING 25
3.1 Objectives 25
3.2 Introduction 25
3.3 Market-wide Limits 25
Summary 39
Keywords 39
xii Contents
4. PRICE INDEX 41
4.1 Objectives 41
4.2 Introduction 41
4.3 What is an Index? 41
4.4 Eligibility Criteria of Indices 42
4.5 Construction of Index 42
4.6 Desirable Attributes of an Index 43
Summary 87
Keywords 88
5. PRICING OF OPTIONS 89
5.1 Objectives 89
5.2 Introduction 89
5.3 Black–Scholes Option Pricing Model 89
5.4 Pricing of Equity Options 94
5.5 Pricing of Options on Dividend Paying Scrips 95
5.6 Binomial Model of Option Pricing 96
5.7 Pricing of Binomial Put Option 98
5.8 Binomial Multiple Period Model 99
Summary 101
Keywords 101
Appendix 101
6. STRATEGIC DERIVATIVE TOOLS 103
6.1 Objectives 103
6.2 Introduction 103
6.3 Put–call Parity 103
6.4 PC Ratio 109
6.5 Weighted PC Ratio 110
6.6 Volume PC Ratio 111
6.7 Tools to Measure Market Sentiment 112
Summary 120
Keywords 121
7. VOLATILITY 123
7.1 Objectives 123
7.2 Introduction 123
7.3 Types of Volatility 124
7.4 Estimating Volatility 125
7.5 Estimating Historical Volatility 125
7.6 Factors Affecting the Computation of Historical Volatility 128
7.7 Implied Volatility 130
7.8 Volatility Smile 130
Contents xiii
INTRODUCTION
1.1 OBJECTIVES
The objective of this chapter is to familiarize the readers with the concept of
derivatives, Indian derivative market and the different types of derivatives
available in the market.
in options’ lot size; for example the Nifty lot size has been reduced from 200 to
100. Later, in 2007 it was again reduced to 50 (Fig. 1.1).
450000000
400000000
350000000
300000000
150000000
100000000
50000000
0
1
9
–0
–0
–0
–0
–0
–0
–0
–0
–0
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
1400000
1200000
1000000
Now options or
800000 Stock options or
600000
400000
200000
0
20 01
20 02
20 03
20 –04
20 –05
20 –06
20 –07
20 –08
9
–0
–
–
00
01
04
06
02
03
05
07
08
20
The NSE had launched interest rate futures in 2003, but there has been little
trading in these interest rate futures when compared to the equity derivatives.
The main reason for less interest in these instruments was faults in the
contracts’ specifications, leading to deviation of the underlying interest rate
from the reference rate used by the investor.
One another less active derivative counter was foreign exchange derivatives
which were less active than IRDs when introduced. But, the whole scenario
changed with the foreign exchange derivatives becoming the active derivative
instrument rather than interest rate derivative. In foreign exchange derivatives,
the most popular ones are currency forwards and swaps. In a currency swap,
banks and corporations may swap its rupee-denominated debt into another
currency or vice versa.
Exchange-traded commodity derivatives have been traded only since 2000,
and we have seen a significant growth in this market. The number of
commodities eligible for futures trading increased from 8 in 2000 to 80 in 2004
with the trading value clocking almost four times.
The users of derivatives in India include many financial institutions such
as banks that have assets and liabilities of different maturities and that too in
different currencies which are exposed to different risks. The IRDs and the
foreign exchange derivatives help them in managing their credit risk.
Transactions between banks dominate the market for IRDs but the state-owned
banks contribute only a small part. The corporations on the other hand are
active in the currency forwards and swaps markets, buying these instruments
from banks.
Swaps A swap is a contract entered between two parties for exchange of cash
flows with identical maturities for the purpose of taking advantage of
comparative advantage enjoyed by either one or both. The swap can be an
interest rate swap or a currency swap. In the case of an interest rate swap, the
contracting parties exchange a floating rate with a fixed rate, a fixed rate with
a fixed one or a floating rate with floating. The currency swaps enables the
contracting parties to exchange the cash flows in two different currencies for
taking advantage of the interest rate differentials as well as the exchange rate
differentials. The principal under swap contracts are notional and only the
interest rate differentials are exchanged by the contracting parties. Unlike
options or futures, the swaps can be liquidated only on maturity. Therefore,
swaps are illiquid. The swaps can be equity swaps, commodity swaps,
currency swaps or compound swaps like swaptions.
Forward rate agreements A forward rate agreement (FRA) is a derivative
contract, which protects the buyer of FRA from changes in interest rate.
Normally, FRAs are long-term contracts, say for 3 years, 5 years etc., with
intermittent reset dates. For example, an FRA with maturity of 3 years can have
interest rate reset dates at the end of every 6 months. An FRA by a company,
which has decided to avail a loan from a bank for a period of 6 months on a
date 3 months from then, ensures an interest rate which is mutually agreed
upon by the FRA buyer and the seller. In this contract, the FRA seller, normally
a bank, agrees to pay the interest rate differential in case the interest rate
prevailing at the time of availing the loan as well as on the reset dates are more
than the agreed rate. If the interest rate happens to be less than the agreed rate,
the buyer has to pay the differential to the seller. A typical FRA transaction is
given in Fig. 1.3.
6 Months
Caps, floors and collars Caps and floors are set of option contracts entered
into to hedge the risk arising out of movement of interest rates. When there is
more than one cap or floor, it is known as caplets or floorlets. The caps protect
the cap buyer from an upward movement of interest rate. The cap differs from
FRA because in the case of cap the buyer can abandon the contract if the rate
moves downwards, in which case his maximum loss is the upfront premium
paid by him. However in the case of FRA, the FRA buyer cannot abandon the
contract, but has to pay the difference.
A floor is an option contract, which protects the floor buyer from
downward movement of interest rate. In the event of a fall in the interest
rate, the FRA seller will pay the difference to the FRA buyer, whereas if the
rate moves upwards the buyer need not pay anything to the seller. His
maximum loss is the upfront premium paid by him to the seller at the time of
writing the option.
A collar is a combination of caps and floors. The collar helps the investor
to hedge against both upward and downward movement of interest rates.
In India, the major transactions take place in futures and options segment
of the capital market, commodity market and currency market . In this book,
we will focus on option especially on option strategies which are meant for a
bearish stock market. The options and their features, various strategies in a
bear market, accounting and taxation will be discussed in detail in the
subsequent chapters.
Summary
In this chapter we have broadly discussed the concept of derivatives, evolution
and structure of derivative markets in India, market participants and different
types of derivatives. This will remain as a basic platform on which we have
built up the remaining chapters.
Keywords
Derivatives National Stock Exchange Bombay Stock Exchange
Dealers Hedgers Commodity exchanges
Speculators Arbitrageurs Forwards
Options Futures Swaps
FRA Caps Collars
CHAPTER 02
UNDERSTANDING
OPTIONS
2.1 OBJECTIVES
Having understood the concept of derivatives and their varieties, we shall
now move on to the specific area of derivative products. One of the most
common derivative products is options. In this chapter, we will discuss the
basic concepts of options and the option terminologies.
2.2 INTRODUCTION
Options are generally classified into call options and put options. These are
traded based on their premiums. American options can be exercised during
the lifetime of the contract whereas the European options can be exercised on
the day of expiry. The risk of option buyers is limited to the extent of the
premium that they have paid for while purchasing the same. But option writers
undertake high risk and, therefore, high margins are required for writing
options.
discussed in the previous chapter: ‘An option buyer has the right to buy/
sell an underlying at a fixed price (strike) on a future date. The seller
has the obligation to deliver/buy the underlying if the buyer desires to
exercise the option. Purchasing an option requires an upfront payment,
while it costs nothing to enter into a futures and forwards contract (Tables
2.1 and 2.2).
Futures Forwards
Futures contracts are traded on an Forward contracts are OTC
organized exchange. (over-the-counter) in nature.
Futures contracts are standardized Forward contracts are customized.
contracts.
Futures contracts are more liquid. Forward contract is less liquid.
Futures require margin payment. No margin payment is needed
for Forward contracts.
Futures contracts are settled on Forward contracts are settled
a daily basis. only at the end of a period.
No counterparty risk. Counterparty risk may happen.
Options Forwards
Options are traded on an organized Forward contracts are OTC (over-
exchange or OTC. the-counter) only in nature.
Option contracts are standardized Forward contracts are customized.
contracts.
Option contracts are more liquid. Forward contract is less liquid.
Exchange traded options require No margin payment needed for
margin payment. forward contracts.
Option contracts are settled on a Forward contract settlement is only
daily basis (American options). at the end of a period.
No counterparty risk. Counterparty risk may happen.
PUT OPTION
OPTIONS
CALL OPTION
PUT OPTION
2. You bought the Rs. 2000 put option at a premium of Rs. 50. The
maximum loss is limited to Rs. 50 ´ 75 = Rs. 3750.
3. The investor will get a protection below Rs. 1950 (2000 – 50).
4. If the stock does not fall below Rs. 2000, then your investments are safe,
but you will lose the premium of Rs. 3750.
An investor who is bearish on the market will buy put options. Investors
with bearish view on Nifty (market) will buy Nifty put options. Assume that
Nifty is trading at 5000 and you are expecting Nifty to test 4500 in the month of
October. So you buy 100 Nifty put October options at Rs. 100. Premium can be
the maximum loss. If Nifty falls below 5000, then you start making profits
(5000 –100), and if it is assumed to close at 4000 then you may earn
Rs. 99,900 ((1000 ´ 100) –100). Here, the premium is the maximum loss.
Low margin requirement: Another distinct advantage of options is the low
margin requirement. The purchase of call and put option attracts only the
premium for the options. In other words, the margin is limited to the premium
of the options. The seller of the call option and put options has the obligation
to pay higher margin because of the unlimited risk exposure. The margins are
calculated using VaR model (value at risk) by the National Stock Exchange.
In order to cover a short position in call having some special features such
as underlying asset, strike price, exercise date, etc., one should select a call
option having the same characteristics. For example, one sold Nifty 2500 call
option expiring on March 2009, if s/he wants to close out the short, s/he has
to buy 2500 call option expiring on March 2009. Note that a call option cannot
be closed out by a put option or vice versa.
Though both the options should fundamentally be the same, the premium
on which they are bought and sold may be different since this is determined by
the market forces from time to time. It gives an opportunity to the trader to make
gains from buying and selling of option contracts.
Closing sell (sell close): Closing sell means a sale transaction, which offsets
a long position either wholly or partly. For example, the buyer of a put or call
can eliminate his long position by effecting a sale in the same type of contract,
and this is similar to squaring up of long positions in the equity market.
As stated earlier, the difference in premium, if any, is the profit/loss of the
trader.
Option class: A set of options that are identical with respect to type and
underlying asset.
Option series: An option series consists of all the listed option contracts of a
given class that have the same strike price and expiry date.
Open interest: Open interest on a contract refers to the total number of such
contracts outstanding at any point of time. Open interest increases when a
fresh contract of the same variety is bought or sold in the market and decreases
as an existing contract is extinguished by squaring up/settlement by the
buyers and sellers.
Strike price: It is the price at which an underlying stock can be purchased or
sold. Alternatively, it is the price at which a specific derivative contract can be
exercised. Strike prices are mostly used to describe stock and index options, in
which strike prices are fixed in the contract. For call options, the strike price is
the price at which the security can be bought (up to the expiration date), while
for put options the strike price is the price at which shares can be sold.
Expiration date: It is the date on which the contract expires and the holder of
an option can opt to exercise the option or can allow it to expire worthless. In
India, expiration date for option contract is fixed as the last Thursday of the
month. In case of holiday on Thursday, expiration will happen on the previous
trading session. Let us assume that we had taken a long position in August
2008 put option at Rs. 35. The August 2008 series will expire on the last
14 Option Trading
Thursday of August 2008, which is 28th. If you want to carry over the purchase
put option to September 2008 on or before 28 August, you should sell August
put option and you have to buy a new contract expiring on 25 September (last
Thursday of September). Purchase or sale position of put option or call option
can be kept till the expiry of that particular series or one can trade on
premium. Say, for example, you bought a call option for Rs. 105
September 2008 series and you can sell call position when the call
premium increased to Rs. 120. Therefore, you will make a profit of Rs.
15 per share.
Premium: It is the price that the option buyer pays to the option seller. The
option buyer and seller determine option premium. Option premium consists
of intrinsic value and time value. The premium will change according to the
demand and supply of the option. If the market is bearish, there will be more
demand for the put option thereby causing an increase in premium. If the
market is bullish, then the call buyer will pay more premium for the call
options. Many investors are calculating option premium using various
methods like Black Scholes formula, binomial trees and trinomial trees. In
India, investors normally track Black Scholes formula for finding out the
theoretical option prices. The Black Scholes formula is commonly used by
investors to find out the theoretical price of the Nifty options. Pricing of options
using Black Scholes formula is discussed in Chapter 5.
Intrinsic value: In options, intrinsic value is the amount of in the money
portion in the premium value. This means the real value for both call and put
option, with respect to their different strike prices against respective spot
prices. For a call option, intrinsic value is the difference between the
underlying asset’s spot price and strike price. But, for a put option, intrinsic
value is the difference between strike price and the underlying asset’s spot
price. For example, a 170 call option of RPL trading at a premium of Rs. 17,
with spot price of Rs. 180; will have an intrinsic value of Rs. 10 (180 - 170). And
a put option of 200 RPL put trading at a premium of Rs. 25 will have an
intrinsic value of Rs. 20 (200-180).
Time value: It is the difference between the premium and intrinsic value of an
option. It is the real demand for the stock by investors on their expectation
towards stock price. It is also referred to as the value that an option has in
addition to its intrinsic value. In the above example of call option of RPL, Rs. 7
(17-10) is the time value of RPL 170 call, whereas, for put option, it has a time
value of Rs. 5 (25-20). An option is said to have time value, if it is at the money or
out of the money. At the money option has the maximum time value as the
intrinsic value will be zero when both the strike and spot prices are same.
Understanding Options 15
Table 2.4
Source: www.nseindia.com
16 Option Trading
*
Source: www.nseindia.com
Understanding Options 17
to the difference between strike price and spot price multiplied by the number
of options. Often, the buyer of an option, in the case of both call and put options
need to pay only the premium amount as margin, whereas the seller of an
option (call or put) has to pay short option minimum charge towards the
exchange. The seller of an option has the obligation to buy or sell the
underlying on the discretion of the buyer and so the loss for the seller of the
option is unlimited. Hence, the seller has to pay an initial margin to the
exchange, because of probability of unlimited losses that can occur for a day,
as default from the seller may cause settlement issues in option contract. This
initial margin will be refunded to the seller upon the expiry of the contract after
netting the losses and gains on each day, which is same as that in futures
contracts, as it is mark-to-market on a daily basis. That means any loss at the
end of a day’s trade is netted against the initial margin from seller’s account
according to the positions taken in call and put options in both index and
stock options.
Futures contracts. The open positions (gross against clients and net of
proprietary/self trading) in the futures contracts for each member are marked
to market to the daily settlement price of the futures contracts at the end of each
trading day. The daily settlement price at the end of each day is the weighted
average price of the last half an hour of the futures contract. The profits/losses
arising from the difference between the trading price and the settlement price are
collected by/given to all the clearing members.
Option contracts. The marked to market for option contracts is computed
and collected as part of the SPAN margin in the form of net option value. The
SPAN margin is collected on an online real time basis based on the data feeds
given to the system at discrete time intervals.
The Initial Margin is the higher of (Worst Scenario Loss + Calendar Spread
Charges)
Or
short option minimum charge.
falls below 7.5%, then a minimum of 7.5% should be charged. This could be
achieved by adjusting the price scan range.
The probable change in the volatility of the underlying, i.e., ‘volatility scan
range’ is fixed at 4% for Index options and is fixed at 10% for options on
individual stocks. The volatility scan range is applicable only for option
products.
Calendar spreads are offsetting positions in two contracts in the same
underlying across different expiry. In a portfolio-based margining approach,
all calendar-spread positions automatically get a margin offset. However, risk
arising due to difference in cost of carry or the ‘basis risk’ needs to be
addressed. It is, therefore, specified that a calendar spread charge would be
added to the worst scenario loss for arriving at the initial margin. For
computing calendar spread charge, the system first identifies spread positions
and then the spread charge, which is 0.5% per month on the far leg of the
spread with a minimum of 1% and maximum of 3%. Presently, calendar spread
position on exchange-traded equity derivatives has been granted calendar
spread treatment till the expiry of the near month contract.
In a portfolio of futures and options, the non-linear nature of options makes
short option positions most risky. Especially, short deep out of the money
options, which are highly susceptible to, changes in prices of the underlying.
Therefore, a short option minimum charge has been specified. The short option
minimum charge is 3% and 7.5% of the notional value of all short Index option
and stock option contracts, respectively. The short option minimum charge is
the initial margin if the sum of the worst-scenario loss and calendar spread
charge is lower than the short option minimum charge.
To calculate volatility estimates, the exchanges are required to use the
methodology specified in the Prof. J.R. Varma Committee Report on Risk
Containment Measures for Index Futures. Further, to calculate the option value
the exchanges can use standard option pricing models—Black-Scholes,
binomial, Merton, Adesi-Whaley.
The initial margin is required to be computed on a real-time basis and has
two components:
· The first is the creation of risk arrays taking prices at discreet times
taking latest prices and volatility estimates at the discreet times, which
have been specified.
· The second is the application of the risk arrays on the actual portfolio
positions to compute the portfolio values and the initial margin on a
real-time basis.
The initial margin so computed is deducted from the available liquid net
worth on a real time basis.
Understanding Options 21
1
Trigger price is the price at which an order gets triggered from the stop loss book.
2
Limit price is the price of the orders after triggering from the stop loss book.
22 Option Trading
series. Exercise style is European for index option contracts and is American
style for individual securities. The CMs will assign and allocate those
option contracts, which have been exercised at the client level. Exercise
settlement is cash settled and is debited or credited to the relevant
CM’s clearing accounts with the respective clearing bank. Final
settlement loss or profit amount for option contracts on index and
individual securities are credited or debited to the relevant CM’s
clearing bank account on the T+1 working day, where T is the day of
expiry. After the expiration day, open positions in option contracts do
not exist. The pay-in and pay-out of funds for a CM on a day is the net
amount across settlements of all TMs and clients.
Summary
In this chapter, we have discussed the basics of option contracts and various
terminologies used in option-related transactions. We have also discussed the
trading systems, margins and settlement for investors and TMs in a brief
manner. These will be revisited at appropriate places in the remaining
chapters.
Keywords
Call option Put option Strike price In the money
Deep in the money At the money Deep out of the
Out of the money money
Time value Intrinsic value premium Volatility
Long position Short position Opening sell
Open interest
Opening buy Close out Closing buy Closing sell
Margin Short option minimum charge Settlement
American option European option
CHAPTER 03
OPTION TRADING
3.1 OBJECTIVES
In the last chapter we explained the concept of options, features of option
contracts, how options are different from forwards and futures, option
terminologies, margins and settlement mechanism. In this chapter we will
discuss the art of writing put options.
3.2 INTRODUCTION
Trading in options involve buying or selling options. Selling of options is
called writing of options. An investor can write an option by paying the
initial margin, which is the same as in the case of buying options, and also
the mark-to-market margin calculated by the NSE at the end of every day.
The investor should be aware of the trading mechanism, contract cycle and
charges other than the margin amount. This chapter will help the reader to
gain knowledge in these fields.
Trading Member-Wise Position Limits*: The position limits set for the
equity index options shall be higher of about 15% of the total open interest in
the market in all equity index options. The limit will be applicable on all option
contracts open positions in a particular underlying index.
Client Level Position Limits*: The total open position held by a client in all
the derivative contracts on any underlying index should not exceed the
following:
(1) 1% of the free float market capitalization.
(2) 5% of the open interest in all derivative contracts in the same underlying
stock. (whichever is higher in the above two cases)
Collateral Limits for Trading Members*: The clearing members who are
clearing and settling for trading members can specifically mention the
maximum collateral limit towards initial margin for each and every trading
member. These limits can be set through the facility provided on the trading
system at any time till the close of trading hours by the clearing member. The
limits thus set are applicable to the trading members and other participants for
that particular day unless otherwise modified by the clearing member.
contracts: first is the November contract which should expire on the last
Thursday of November, second one is the December contract which expires on
the last Thursday of December and the last one is the January contract expiring
on the last Thursday of January. But on the other hand, option contracts
available for Nifty has now been extended to three years from three months.
That means on November 2008, option contracts available for Nifty options
are those ranging from Nov 2008 to Dec 2011.
Table 3.3
Up to 1500 Nifty level, the strike interval will be 10 and should have one at the money strike
price, three out of money and three in the money strike prices.
Table 3.4
* Source: www.nseindia.com.
Option Trading 29
3.3.4 Charges*
In the F&O segment, the maximum brokerage chargeable by a trading member
fixed by NSE is at 2.5% of the contract value in the case of Index and Stock
Futures. (Contract Value = Futures price * Market Lot). For Index and Stock
options, it is 2.5% of the product of notional value of premium and quantity,
exclusive of statutory levies. Trading members are advised to charge brokerage
from the clients only on the Premium price, rather than Strike price.
3.3.5.3 Adjustment
Adjustments may entail modifications to positions and/or contract
specifications as listed below, such that the basic premise of adjustment laid
down above is satisfied:
(a) Strike Price
(b) Position
(c) Market Lot/Multiplier
* Source: www.nseindia.com.
30 Option Trading
The adjustments would be carried out on any or all of the above, based on
the nature of the corporate action. The adjustments for corporate actions
would be carried out on all open, exercised as well as assigned positions.
E.
The relevant authority may, on a case by case basis, carry out
adjustments for other corporate actions in conformity with the above
guidelines, including compulsory closing out, where it deems
necessary.
32 Option Trading
Source: www.nseindia.com.
Option Trading 33
*Source: www.nseindia.com.
34 Option Trading
* Source: www.nseindia.com.
Option Trading 35
4. From the order snapshots (taken four times a day from NSE’s Capital
Market Segment order book) the average of best buy price and best sell
price is computed which is called the average price.
5. The quarter sigma is then multiplied with the average price to arrive at
quarter sigma price. The following example explains the same :
Security XYZ
Best Buy (in Rs.) 306.45
Best Sell (in Rs.) 306.90
Average Price 306.70
One Sigma 0.009
Quarter sigma 0.00225
Quarter sigma price (Rs.) (Average Price *Quarter sigma) 0.70
6. Based on the order snapshot, the value of the order (order size in Rs.),
which will move the price of the security by quarter sigma price in buy
and sell side is computed. The value of such order size is called
Quarter Sigma order size. (Based on the above example, it will be
required to compute the value of the order (Rs.) to move the stock price
to Rs. 306.00 in the buy side and Rs. 307.40 on the sell side. That is Buy
side = average price – quarter sigma price and Sell side = average price
+ quarter sigma price). Such an exercise is carried out for four order
snapshots per day for all stocks for the previous six months period.
7. From the above determined quarter sigma order size (Rs.) for each
order book snap shot for each security, the median of the order sizes
(Rs.) for buy side and sell side separately, are computed for all the
order snapshots taken together for the last six months.
8. The average of the median order sizes for buy and sell side are taken as
the median quarter sigma order size for the security.
9. The securities whose median quarter sigma order size is equal to or
greater than Rs. 0.1 million (Rs. 1 Lakh) qualify for inclusion in the F&O
segment.
Futures & Options contracts may be introduced on new securities which
meet the above mentioned eligibility criteria, subject to approval by SEBI.
New securities being introduced in the F&O segment are based on the
eligibility criteria which take into consideration average daily market
capitalization, average daily traded value, the market wide position limit in
the security, the quarter sigma values and as approved by SEBI. The average
daily market capitalisation and the average daily traded value would be
computed on the 15th of each month, on a rolling basis, to arrive at the list of
top 500 securities. Similarly, the quarter sigma order size in a stock would
also be calculated on the 15th of each month, on a rolling basis, considering
the order book snapshots of securities in the previous six months and the
market wide position limit (number of shares) shall be valued taking the
* Source: www.nseindia.com.
36 Option Trading
closing prices of stocks in the underlying cash market on the date of expiry of
contract in the month. The number of eligible securities may vary from month
to month depending upon the changes in quarter sigma order sizes, average
daily market capitalisation and average daily traded value calculated every
month on a rolling basis for the past six months and the market wide position
limit in that security. Consequently, the procedure for introducing and
dropping securities on which option and future contracts are traded will be as
stipulated by SEBI in its circular no. SEBI/DNPD/Cir-26/2004/07/16 dated
July 16, 2004.
3.3.9 Selection Criteria for Mini Derivative Contracts*
Mini derivative contracts (Futures and options) shall be made available for
trading on such indices/securities as specified by SEBI from time to time.
3.3.10 Eli.gibility Criteria for Long Term Option
Contracts*
Vide its circular no. SEBI/DNPD/Cir-34/2008 dated January 11, 2008 SEBI
has specifically permitted introduction of option contracts with longer tenure
on S&P CNX Nifty index.
3.3.11 Selection Criteria for Unlisted Companies*
For unlisted companies coming out with initial public offering, if the net public
offer is Rs. 500 crore. or more, then the Exchange may consider introducing
stock options and stock futures on such stocks at the time of its’ listing in the
cash market.
Source: www.nseindia.com.
* Source: www.nseindia.com.
Option Trading 37
* These are stocks that are excluded from the F&O segment from March 2009
onwards.
Summary
In this chapter we have explained the market-wide limits and the trading
mechanism that exists in the option market which the investors should keep in
mind. More details regarding the contract cycle, charges involved and
collateral margins are also given in this chapter. Finally, we have explained
the criteria for including stock in the F&O segment, detailed the scrips
included in the F&O segment and discussed the calculation of quarter sigma.
In the next chapter we present the price indices and how they are constructed,
their uses etc.
Keywords
Market-wide limits Contract cycle Collateral for margins
Quarter sigma Bonus Stock split
Dividend Mergers Rights
40 Option Trading
CHAPTER 04
PRICE INDEX
4.1 OBJECTIVES
In the previous chapter, we discussed about the basics of options as well as the
process of writing options together with some of the market practices. We have
also explained some of the basic practices followed in option trading. Apart
from individual stock options there are index options also. In this chapter, we
will explain the concept of price index, construction of index and the scrips
included in the index.
4.2 INTRODUCTION
Market sentiment is expressed through index. We can say that traders are the
barometer of a stock market. Various sectors have different indices such as the
IT index, which relates to the information and technology stocks. Nifty is the
most preferred index in India. Fifty stocks constitute Nifty.
Floating Stock
Companies eligible for inclusion in S&P CNX Nifty should have atleast 10%
floating stock. For this purpose, floating stock means stocks which are not held
by the promoters and associated entities (where identifiable) of such
companies.
Others
(a) A company which comes out with a IPO will be eligible for inclusion in
the index, if it fulfills the normal eligibility criteria for the index like
impact cost, market capitalization and floating stock, for a 3 month
period instead of a 6 month period.
(b) Replacement of Stock from the Index:
A stock may be replaced from an index for the following reasons:
(i) Compulsory changes like corporate actions, delisting etc. In such a
scenario, the stock having largest market capitalization and satisfying
other requirements related to liquidity, turnover and free float will be
considered for inclusion.
(ii) When a better candidate is available in the replacement pool, which can
replace the index stock, i.e., the stock with the highest market
capitalization in the replacement pool has at least twice the market
capitalization of the index stock with the lowest market capitalization.
With respect to (2) above, a maximum of 10% of the index size (number of
stocks in the index) may be changed in a calendar year. Changes carried out
for (2) above are irrespective of changes, if any, carried out for (1) above.
indices will always be disjoint sets, i.e., a stock will never appear in both
indices at the same time. Hence, it is always meaningful to pool the S&P CNX
Nifty and the CNX Nifty Junior into a composite 100 stock index or portfolio.
· CNX Nifty Junior represents about 9.62 % of the total market capitaliz-
ation as on Jan 30, 2009.
· The average traded value for the last six months of all Junior Nifty stocks
is approximately 16.86% of the traded value of all stocks on the NSE
· Impact cost for CNX Nifty Junior for a portfolio size of Rs. 50 lakh is
0.23%.
Criteria for Selection of Constituent Stocks
The constituents and the criteria for the selection judge the effectiveness of the
index. Selection of the index set is based on the following criteria:
Liquidity (Impact Cost)
For inclusion in the index, the security should have traded at an average
impact cost of 0.5% or less during the last six months for 90% of the
observations for a basket size of Rs. 50 lakh.
Floating Stock
Companies eligible for inclusion in the CNX Nifty Junior should have atleast
10% floating stock. For this purpose, floating stock means stocks which are not
held by the promoters and associated entities (where identifiable) of such
companies.
Others
A company which comes out with a IPO will be eligible for inclusion in the
index, if it fulfills the normal eligiblity criteria for the index like impact cost,
market capitalization and floating stock, for a 3 month period instead of a 6
months period
Replacement of Stock from the Index:
A stock may be replaced from an index for the following reasons:
(i) Compulsory changes like corporate actions, delisting etc. In such a
scenario, the stock having largest market capitalization and satisfying
other requirements related to liquidity, turnover and free float will be
considered for inclusion.
(ii) When a better candidate is available in the replacement pool, which can
replace the index stock, i.e., the stock with the highest market
capitalization in the replacement pool has at least twice the market
capitalization of the index stock with the lowest market capitalization.
However where a stock is replaced due to a stock being transferred to
S&P CNX Nifty then the stock coming into CNX Nifty Junior need not
have twice the market capitalization of the stock which is being
transferred to S&P CNX Nifty.
With respect to (ii) above, a maximum of 10% of the index size (number of
stocks in the index) may be changed in a calendar year. Changes carried out
for (ii) above are irrespective of changes, if any, carried out for (i) above.
48 Option Trading
* Source: www.nseindia.com
Price Index 51
* Source: www.nseindia.com
52 Option Trading
The average total traded value for the last six months of all the CNX Bank
Index constituents is approximately 7% of the traded value of all stocks on the
NSE. CNX Bank Index constituents represent about 7% of the total market
capitalization as on May 31, 2008.
Methodology
The index is a market capitalization-weighted index with base date of 1
January, 2000, indexed to a base value of 1000.
Selection Criteria
Selection of the index set is based on the following criteria:
1. Company’s market capitalization rank in the universe should be less
than 500.
2. Company’s turnover rank in the universe should be less than 500.
3. Company’s trading frequency should be at least 90% in the last six
months.
4. Company should have a positive networth.
5. A company which comes out with a IPO will be eligible for inclusion
in the index, if it fulfills the normal eligiblity criteria for the index for
three months instead of a six month.
CNX 100 is owned and managed by India Index Services & Products Ltd.
(IISL), which is a joint venture between CRISIL & NSE. IISL is India’s first
specialized company focused upon the index as a core products. IISL has a
licensing and marketing agreement with Standard & Poor’s (S&P), who are
leaders in index services.
· CNX 100 represents about 73.60% of the total market capitalization as
on Jan 30, 2009.
· The average traded value for the last six months of all CNX100 stocks is
approximately 79.31 % of the traded value of all stocks on the NSE
· Impact cost for CNX 100 for a portfolio size of Rs. 3 crore is 0.18%.
Method of Computation
CNX 100 is computed using market capitalization weighted method, wherein
the level of the index reflects the total market value of all the stocks in the index
relative to a particular base period. The method also takes into account
constituent changes in the index and importantly corporate actions such as
stock splits, rights, etc., without affecting the index value.
Base Date and Value
The CNX 100 Index has a base date of Jan 1, 2003 and a base value of 1000.
Criteria for Selection of Constituent Stocks
CNX 100 index would comprise of the securities, which are constituents of
S&P CNX Nifty, and CNX Nifty Junior. In other words this index is a
combination of the S&P CNX Nifty and CNX Nifty Junior. Any changes i.e.
inclusion and exclusion of securities in S&P CNX Nifty and CNX Nifty Junior
would be automatically mirrored in this new index.
the index relative to a particular base period. The method also takes into
account constituent changes in the index and importantly corporate actions
such as stock splits, rights, etc without affecting the index value.
Market Capitalization
A company’s rank on market capitalization is an important consideration for
its inclusion in the Index.
Industry Representation
S&P CNX 500 Equity Index reflects the market as closely as possible. In order
to ensure that this is accomplished, industry weightages in the index mirror
the industry weightages in the universe. Consequently, companies to be
included in the index are selected from the industries which are under
represented in the index
S&P CNX 500 Equity Index currently contains 72 industries, including one
category of diversified companies and one category of miscellaneous. The
number of industries in the Index and the number of companies within each
industry have been kept flexible, in order to ensure that the index retains its
objective of being an dynamic market indicator.
Trading Interest
S&P CNX 500 Equity Index includes those companies which have a minimum
listing record of six months on the Exchange. In addition these companies
must have demonstrated high turnover and trading frequency.
Financial Performance
S&P CNX 500 Equity Index includes companies that have a minimum record
of three years with a positive networth.
Others
A company which comes out with a IPO will be eligible for inclusion in the
index, if it fulfills the normal eligiblity criteria for the index for a three-month
period instead of a six-month period.
Price Index 59
CNX Midcap*
The medium capitalized segment of the stock market is being increasingly
perceived as an attractive investment segment with high growth potential.
The primary objective of the CNX Midcap Index is to capture the movement
and be a benchmark of the midcap segment of the market.
Method of Computation
CNX Midcap is computed using market capitalization weighted method,
wherein the level of the index reflects the total market value of all the stocks
in the index relative to a particular base period. The method also takes into
account constituent changes in the index and importantly corporate actions
such as stock splits, rights, etc., without affecting the index value.
Others
A company which comes out with a IPO will be eligible for inclusion in the
index, if it fulfills the normal eligibility criteria for the index for a three-month
period instead of a six-month period.
Method of Computation
Nifty Midcap 50 is computed using market capitalization weighted method,
wherein the level of the index reflects the total market value of all the stocks in
the index relative to a particular base period. The method also takes into
account constituent changes in the index and importantly corporate actions
such as stock splits, rights, etc without affecting the index value
Other Statistics
· Nifty Midcap 50 stocks represent about 3.78 % of the total market
capitalization as on January 30, 2009.
· The average traded volume for the last six months of all Nifty Midcap 50
stocks is approximately 6.27 % of the traded volume of all stocks on the
NSE.
Source: www.nseindia.com
Price Index 85
Summary
An index represents the value of items included in a basket of items such as
share prices, wholesale prices etc. The movement of index represents the
movement in prices of items included in the basket. Stock market indices are
* Source: www.nseindia.com
88 Option Trading
used to measure the price movements in the market. In the F&O segment, index-
based derivatives are used as a hedging tool. Futures and options are available
with index as the underlying asset. The two important indices traded in the
F&O segment of the Indian Capital Market are S&P CNX Nifty of NSE and
Sensex of BSE. These indices have sub-indices representing major sectors. As
an underlying asset, indices also form one of the factors in option pricing. The
mechanism of option pricing is discussed in detail in the next chapter.
Keywords
Index Nifty Sensex Impact cost
Futures CNX IT index CNX Bank Index CNX 100 Index
CNX 500 CNX Midcap Nifty Midcap 50 CNX Defty
CHAPTER 05
PRICING OF OPTIONS
5.1 OBJECTIVES
In the second chapter, we found that an option trader has to pay an upfront fee
as premium or price for buying an option. The option price may change
according to various reasons like time decay, change in implied volatility,
change in underlying asset price and change in interest rate. The readers
would be now interested to know how the options are priced. In this chapter,
we shall discuss the option pricing technique. Though there are numerous
methods of calculating option prices, we are discussing only Black-Scholes
formula and Binomial Model.
5.2 INTRODUCTION
Option premiums are classified into two: intrinsic value and time value.
Intrinsic value is the difference between the strike price of the option and the
spot price, while the time value is the difference between the option value
and the intrinsic value. Assume a stock is trading at Rs. 100 and its 100-strike
price call option is trading at Rs. 3, then Rs. 3 is the time value. The stock K
trading at Rs. 100 and its 80-strike price call option trading at Rs. 22 indicates
Rs. 20 as intrinsic value and Rs. 2 as its time value. At-the-money, out-of-the-
money call options and put options do not carry any intrinsic value but have
time value. In-the-money and deep-in-the money options have lower time
value.
= d1 – [s * (T – t) ]
C – Price of call option
P – Price of put option
S – Underlying asset price
X – Option strike price
r – Rate of interest
(T– t) – Time to expiry
s – Volatility of underlying
N – Normal distribution
e – Exponential function
ln – Logarithmic function
Fig. 5.1 BlackSholes Option Pricing Model
1. F. Black and M. Scholes, The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities, Strategic Issues
in Finance, (Ed.) Keith Ward. Butterworth-Heinemann, 1994, pp. 288-289.
Pricing of Options 91
2
(r + s /2)*(T – t) = (0.0750+0.1679)*1.00 = 0.2429
s Ö(T – t) = 0.5796* Ö1.00 = 0.5796
d 1 = ln(S/X) +(r+s 2/2)*(T – t)/s Ö(T – t)
= (0.1214 + 0.2429)/0.5796
= 0.6285
d 2 = d1– [s Ö(T– t)]
= 0.6285 – 0.5796
= 0.0489
Pricing of Options 93
In order to find out the value of N(d1) and N(d2), the value of d1 and d2 should
be multiplied by the standardized normal distribution factor. These factors are
given in the appendix.
N(d1) = 0.7357 (Value to be selected from the appendix table)
N(d2) = 0.5199 (Value to be selected from the appendix table)
N(–d1) = 1– N(d1) = 1 – 0.7357 = 0.2643
N(–d2) = 1 – N(d2) = 1 – 0.5199 = 0.4801
X * e-r (T-t) *N(–d2) =2875.87 * 0.4801
=1380.705 (2)
S* N(–d1) = 3500 * 0.2643
= 925.05 (3)
Substituting (2) and (3) in (1), we get
Put premium, P = 1380.705 -925.05 = 455.65
The put premium is 455.65
Example 3: Calculation of Call Premium where the Stock is purchased
1 month prior to Maturity
In the previous example, let us assume that a July option is purchased on 28 June.
Asset price (S) 3500
Exercise price (X) 3600
Annual volatility (s) 57.96%
Risk-free interest rate (r) 7.50%
Time to maturity 1 month (0.08)
Call premium = [S *N(d1)] – [X * e – r (T – t) N(d2)] (1)
d1 = [ln(S/X) +(r+ (s2/2) (T – t)] / [s Ö(T – t)]
= [(ln (3500/3600) + (0.0750 + (0.57962/2)*0.08)] /[0.5796*
Ö0.08]
= – 0.0532
N(d1) = (1– 0.5199) = 0.4801 (* Value to be selected from the
appendix table)
SN (d1) = 3500*0.4801 = 1680.35 (2)
d2 = d1 – s * Ö(T – t)
= – 0.0532 – (0.5796* Ö0.08)
= – 0.2171
N(d2) = 1 – 0.5871 = 0.4129 (* Value to be selected from the
appendix table)
Xe – r (T-t) N(d2) = (3600 * e– 0.0750*0.08)* 0.4129 = 1477.55 (3)
By substituting (2) and (3) in (1), we get
Call premium = 1680.35 – 1477.55 = 202.80
94 Option Trading
option pay off under Binomial Model is the difference between the strike price
and the spot price. The binomial price represents the present value of the future
pay off calculated using the risk-free interest rate. The following parameters
are used for calculating the binomial price:
S = Spot price at the beginning, u = the upper movement in percentage terms
and Su = the upper level of the future spot price, d = the downward movement
of the price in percentage terms and Sd = the lower level future spot price of the
asset, X = the strike price, R = the risk-free interest r, (T – t) is the time to
maturity, N = the number of options, c = call options and p = put options. The
Binomial Model also requires that d < R < u because if d and u are less than the
risk-free interest rate, the risk-free asset would always show higher return
than the risky asset. If d and u are greater than the risk-free interest rate, the
risky asset would show higher return than the risk-free asset.
In binomial calculation a tree is created having two nodes, one upper and
the other lower, each node converging at the current spot price and the other
end resting at the upper and lower prices. The binomial tree can be calculated
covering more than one period, say four quarters in a year. In such cases, there
will be 20 nodes (10 sets). The first one is known as one period binomial tree
and the second one is known as multi-period binomial tree. The option price
using the Binomial Model can be calculated on the basis of the following
assumptions:
Calculation of Call Premium, One Period
Example 4
Price of Infosys shares as on July 27, 2003 (S) Rs. 3500
Strike price (X) Rs. 3100
Risk-free interest rate (r) 7.50%
Daily volatility (s ) 57.96%
Time to expiry (20 June 2002 to 19 June 2003) 1 year
An investor holds one Infosys share with the spot price (S) = Rs. 3500. He
buys a call option with a strike price (X) of Rs. 3600. The annual volatility (s)of
Infosys shares is 20%. Risk-free interest rate (r) is 7.5 %.
The formula used for calculating the values in the Binomial Model is:
c = {cu [(R – d)/ (u – d)/(u – d )] + cd [(u – R)/(u – d)]}/R
The value of all parameters except R is available in the diagram. The value
of R = 1.08% (continuously compounded risk-free interest rate).
By substituting the values in the formula:
c = {600 [( 1.08 – 0.80)/ (1.20 – 0.80 )] + 0 [(1.20 – 1.08 / 1.20 – 0.80 )]}/1.08
= [600 (0.28/0.40) + 0)]/1.08
= [600*0.69 + 0]/1.08 = 388.88
98 Option Trading
Su = 4200
u= (Pay off (Cu) = 0, Su – X )
+1.20% = (0, 4200 – 3600) = 600
S = 3500
d = – 0.80% Sd = 2800
(Pay off (Cd) = 0, X – Sd )
S = 3500
d = – 0.80% Sd = 2800
(Pay off (Pu) = 0, X – Sd )
Pricing of Options 99
p = Ppu + (Ppd(1-p))/R
= {500 [(1.08 – 0.80)/(1.20 – 0.80)]+ 0 [(1.20 – 1.08)/1.20 – 0.80)]}/1.08
= (500*0.70+0)/1.08 = 324.07
Put Call
STAGE 1 814.84 1387.66
STAGE 2 668.48 489.00
STAGE 3 737.86 982.20
STAGE 4 373.63 273.31
STAGE 5 570.27 664.45
STAGE 6 208.83 152.76
STAGE 7 406.96 435.91
It can be observed from Tables 5.1 and 5.2 that the multi-period binomial
tree approach in option pricing is a more refined process. However, Black–
Scholes is more widely used for calculation of equity-related option prices.
Summary
In this chapter, we have explained two models of option pricing. The Black–
Scholes model is based more on mathematical derivation model, whereas the
Binomial model is more of an arithmetical process. In India we use Black–
Scholes model for index-related option pricing. Due to complexity of Black–
Scholes, investors often use Binomial method, put call party etc. They also use
strategies like PC ratio, rollover etc. to find market sentiments. These strategies
are covered in the next chapter.
Keywords
Black–Scholes Binomial Call premium
Put premium Dividend Lognormal distribution
Appendix
0 0.5000 0.5040 0.5080 0.5120 0.5160 0.5199 0.5239 0.5279 0.5279 0.5359
0.1 0.5398 0.5438 0.5478 0.5517 0.5557 0.5596 0.5636 0.5675 0.5675 0.5753
0.2 0.5793 0.5832 0.5871 0.5910 0.5948 0.5987 0.6026 0.6064 0.6064 0.6141
0.3 0.6179 0.6217 0.6255 0.6293 0.6331 0.6368 0.6406 0.6443 0.6443 0.6517
0.4 0.6554 0.6591 0.6628 0.6664 0.6700 0.6736 0.6772 0.6808 0.6808 0.6879
0.5 0.6915 0.6950 0.6985 0.7019 0.7054 0.7088 0.7123 0.7157 0.7157 0.7224
0.6 0.7257 0.7291 0.7324 0.7357 0.7389 0.7422 0.7454 0.7486 0.7486 0.7549
0.7 0.7580 0.7611 0.7642 0.7673 0.7704 0.7734 0.7764 0.7794 0.7794 0.7852
0.8 0.7881 0.7910 0.7939 0.7967 0.7995 0.8023 0.8051 0.8078 0.8078 0.8133
0.9 0.8159 0.8186 0.8212 0.8238 0.8264 0.8289 0.8315 0.8340 0.8340 0.8389
1 0.8413 0.8438 0.8461 0.8485 0.8508 0.8531 0.8554 0.8577 0.8577 0.8621
1.1 0.8643 0.8665 0.8686 0.8708 0.8729 0.8749 0.8770 0.8790 0.8810 0.8830
1.2 0.8849 0.8869 0.8888 0.8907 0.8925 0.8944 0.8962 0.8980 0.8997 0.9015
1.3 0.9032 0.9049 0.9066 0.9082 0.9099 0.9115 0.9131 0.9147 0.9162 0.9177
1.4 0.9192 0.9207 0.9222 0.9236 0.9251 0.9265 0.9279 0.9292 0.9306 0.9319
1.5 0.9332 0.9345 0.9357 0.9370 0.9382 0.9394 0.9406 0.9418 0.9429 0.9441
1.6 0.9452 0.9463 0.9474 0.9484 0.9495 0.9505 0.9515 0.9525 0.9535 0.9545
1.7 0.9554 0.9564 0.9573 0.9582 0.9591 0.9599 0.9608 0.9616 0.9625 0.9633
1.8 0.9641 0.9649 0.9656 0.9664 0.9671 0.9678 0.9686 0.9693 0.9699 0.9706
1.9 0.9713 0.9719 0.9726 0.9732 0.9738 0.9744 0.9750 0.9756 0.9761 0.9767
2 0.9772 0.9778 0.9783 0.9788 0.9793 0.9798 0.9803 0.9808 0.9812 0.9817
2.1 0.9821 0.9826 0.9830 0.9834 0.9838 0.9842 0.9846 0.9850 0.9854 0.9857
2.3 0.9893 0.9896 0.9898 0.9901 0.9904 0.9906 0.9909 0.9911 0.9913 0.9916
2.4 0.9918 0.9920 0.9922 0.9925 0.9927 0.9929 0.9931 0.9932 0.9934 0.9936
2.5 0.9938 0.9940 0.9941 0.9943 0.9945 0.9946 0.9948 0.9949 0.9951 0.9952
2.6 0.9953 0.9955 0.9956 0.9957 0.9959 0.9960 0.9961 0.9962 0.9963 0.9964
2.7 0.9965 0.9966 0.9967 0.9968 0.9969 0.9970 0.9971 0.9972 0.9973 0.9974
2.8 0.9974 0.9975 0.9976 0.9977 0.9977 0.9978 0.9979 0.9979 0.9980 0.9981
2.9 0.9981 0.9982 0.9982 0.9983 0.9984 0.9984 0.9985 0.9985 0.9986 0.9986
3 0.9987 0.9987 0.9987 0.9988 0.9988 0.9989 0.9989 0.9989 0.9990 0.9990
CHAPTER 06
STRATEGIC DERIVATIVE
TOOLS
6.1 OBJECTIVES
In the last chapter, we found that the option prices can be calculated using
Black-Scholes Model and Binomial Model. However, in practice, the dealers
may not get the time to apply the formula and arrive at the call price or put
price. Therefore, they work out the put price from the call price and vice versa
on the basis of put–call parity. In this chapter, we will explain the concept of
put–call parity and how the PC ratio is used in option trading.
6.2 INTRODUCTION
Strategic derivative tools are generally used to find market outlook. Put–call
parity is a strong indicator for determining market outlook. An arbitrage
opportunity due to high call price or put price due to good demand is an
indicator of market sentiment. With put–call parity, one can find out the put–
call premiums. Arbitrageurs always monitor put–call parity. There are other
technical indicators in the option segment such as open interest PC ratio,
weighted PC ratio, volume PC ratio etc.
can be done only with advanced technology. If the market looses its
equilibrium, then mispricing of options will occur. In a bear market, investors
pay more money to buy put options and they will offer less money to buy call
options and vice versa. This is an early indication of a market trend. Last but
not least is the lack of awareness among market participants.
Common examples of arbitrage opportunities are put–call parity, cash and
carry and reverse cash and carry, early exercise of American options, price
differentials in calendar spreads, mispricing between exchanges etc.
Let us examine the put-call parity: Most put–call parity propositions apply to
European put and call or American options wherein stocks pay no dividends
before the options expire.
PUT CALL PARITY: C P = S K (1 + r)(t)
where C = call premium, P = put premium,
S = spot price, K = strike price,
R = rate of interest, T = time to expiry
This proposition states that the difference between the price of a call and the
price of a put on the same stock/index with the same strike price and time to
expiration equals the price of the underlying asset minus the present value of
the strike price. If it is not equal, there is a mispricing.
Let us assume that the Nifty futures are trading at 1114.10 on 1 January,
2005. The 1080 calls are trading at a premium of Rs. 49.30 and 1080 puts are
trading at a premium of Rs. 12.75. Here, an arbitrageur can exploit the
mispricing by buying the discounted Nifty futures at 1114.10 and 1080 put at
12.75; at the same time he will write the 1080 call for Rs. 49.30 and wait for
automatic expiration. In this case, s/he will make an arbitrage profit of Rs. 490
(without considering transactions cost, cost of borrowing funds etc).
On the other hand, if Nifty futures are at a premium, s/he can sell Nifty
futures, buy calls and sell puts and wait till the expiration day. For example,
Nifty futures are trading at 1085.85 on 10 February , while 1090 call premium
is at Rs. 11.30 and the 1080 puts are available for Rs. 15.90. The arbitrageur
will buy the 1080 calls for 11.30 and sell the 1080 puts for Rs. 15.90; s/he will
also sell the Nifty futures at 1085.85. On expiry, he will make a net profit of Rs. 90.
When the price of the same asset is different in two markets, there will be
operators who will buy in the market where it is cheaper and sell in the market
where it is costly. This activity is termed as arbitrage. This buying cheap and
selling expensive activity continues till the prices in the two markets reach
equilibrium. Hence, arbitrage activities facilitate to equalize prices and to
restore market efficiency. A commonly used arbitrage strategy in India is the
reverse cash and carry model/lend stock to the markets.
In this strategy if the future price of an underlying asset is trading at a
discount to the spot; an arbitrageur can deliver the stocks in hand to the spot
market and at the same time buy the discounted futures. On the day of expiry,
both futures and spot will converge (both prices will become the same). On the
day of expiry, s/he has to reverse his/her positions by selling futures and
buying back his/her sold shares.
Strategic Derivative Tools 105
Generally, stock futures are traded at a premium to the spot price due to the
cost of carry. But there are times when futures of an underlying asset trade at
the discount to spot due to dividend announcement, demand–supply
constraints and future price projections.
We shall now examine how an arbitrageur can make riskless profit by
lending stocks to the market. For example, on 1 May, Reliance Industries was
trading at Rs. 670 in the spot market, but the May future was trading at a
discount at Rs. 663 due to future price projections. Here, an arbitrageur could
earn riskless profit by lending his Reliance stock to the market for Rs. 670 and
at the same time buying the discounted futures at Rs. 663. On the day of expiry
of May contract, the trader has to reverse his positions. Let us assume that on
the day of expiry Reliance spot and futures were trading at Rs. 665. S/he had
to buy back the stocks at Rs. 665, which s/he sold at Rs. 670. At the same time,
he should sell the futures at Rs. 665, which s/he bought at Rs. 663. Thereby s/he
could earn a profit of Rs. 7, without considering brokerage, commission etc.
One question arises here whether this arbitrage opportunity is more
frequently available in India. The answer is yes. If we examine spot Nifty and
Nifty futures from April 2004 to April 2005, it has been noted that on 188 out of
272 business days, Nifty futures were trading at a discount to spot Nifty,
whereas for 84 days Nifty futures were at a premium. This clearly indicates
that stock futures are trading more frequently at a discount to spot price. Even
if we consider the dividends and other corporate announcements, the
opportunity for arbitrageurs is very high with returns ranging from 4% to
114% per annum available in the Indian derivatives market (Table 6.1).
PUT CALL PARITY: C – P = S – K (1 + r)(–t)
STRIKE 920
FUTURE 934.05
(Contd.)
106 Option Trading
STRIKE 920
CALL OPTION
PREMIUM 16.6
PUT OPTION
PREMIUM 2.2
PAYOFF TABLE
BUY PAY
SPOT SELL CALL BUY PUT FUTURE TOTAL OFF
INDEX PAY OFF PAY OFF PAY OFF PAY OFF INRs
(Contd.)
Strategic Derivative Tools 107
NET
RESULT NO PARITY
STRIKE 125
BUY CALL
PREMIUM 9.5
SELL PUT 4.25
6.4 PC RATIO
PC ratio is the sum of all put options’ open interest of an underlying asset
divided by the sum of all call options’ open interest at various strike prices of
the same underlying on same maturity date. It is used to find out over-
bought and over-sold situation of a stock. If the PC ratio of Nifty is above 1.2
and is steadily increasing, then market outlook is over-bought, that is,
investors are expecting a fall in indices and thereby they are buying the Nifty
put options. On the other hand, if the Nifty PC ratio suddenly declines
then one can assume that the market is over-sold and a recovery is
expected (Fig. 6.1).
But, there are investors who use this tool as a contrarian; when the PC ratio
steadily declines then they may buy put options than call options. On the
other hand, if the PC ratio inches above 1.2 and steadily moves up, then one
has to buy calls than put options.
The other important factor which gives a market direction is the Nifty
options’ implied volatility. If both call options and put options are expensive
(buying calls and puts of the Nifty at the same expiry and same strike), then
one can assume the market is poised for a correction. If long straddles of
Nifty (buying long call and long puts of the Nifty at the same strike and same
expiry) are less expensive, then assume that the market may trade firm. The
rationale behind this is simple. The seller of the call asks for money when
implied volatility trades higher. In the same way, the seller of the put option
also will ask for more premiums in a highly volatile market because of the
uncertainty of the market. In a less volatile market, option writers will write
options at lower premiums.
In a bull market, the volatility will always remain low; on the other hand,
if the volatility is high, then one has to assume that there can be uncertainties
in the markets.
In a typical bear market, there will not be many sellers for Nifty put
options, but at the same time the call writers will ask huge premiums. In
other words, the impact cost of Nifty options will increase faster.
In a falling market, open interest of Nifty call options (out of the money)
tend to remain low. On the other hand, the out-of-the-money put options
may witness high open interest.
Nifty support and resistance can be gauged through the open interest
built-up of Nifty put options and call options. If the out-of-the-money puts
(3500 Nifty put) attract high volume and high open interest in a falling
market, then one can assume 3500 is the key Support for Nifty. On the other
hand, a firm buying in-out-of-the-money call with high open interest
suggests major resistance for Nifty.
Strategic Derivative Tools 113
Other reliable indicators for market analysis are activities in both out-of-
the-money calls and puts. For example, if ONGC PC ratio goes above 1.2 with
rise in prices and if rise in open interest is bullish, a knowledgeable option
analyst will find out-of-the-money (OTM) options activity. After examination,
it is found that 920 and 950 strikes are actively traded. The number of contracts
traded are almost equal or even more than the ATM options. It clearly indicates
that there are people who anticipate that the stock may test 920 or even higher.
Hence, new long positions on ONGC can be created.
On the other hand, TISCO is weak and the current price is Rs. 370. PC ratio
and the open interest too confirms the weak trends in TISCO. While examining
the most active OTM put options of TISCO, below 360 put options were not
traded actively but activity was very high in 360 put options. This sends a
clear message to the option trader that the stock will get support at Rs. 360.
Any activity in call options above the current price indicates the underlying
trends. One should take care of the number of OTM contracts traded. Volume is
the key factor that determines the fate of a stock.
There are times when both OTM calls and puts are equally traded. It sends
a clear message that the stock will not show higher volatility during the expiry.
So, it is advisable not to trade in that stock.
Sometimes, stocks like HDFC have lower liquidity in the options segment.
This indicates that the stock normally shows abnormal moves in either
direction and that investors are afraid to trade in options.
Another simple indicator that can be used for option trading is implied
volatility of an option. If the price of an option seems excessively priced (above
the theoretical premium), it is better to avoid that option for buying purposes.
On the other hand, if the options are under-priced, one can think of buying it,
provided that all other indicators show a buy signal.
114 Option Trading
* Source: www.nseindia.com
116 Option Trading
Table 6.3 Impact Cost Change on Nifty During the Two Market Crashes
in 2004 and 2008*
* Source: www.nseindia.com
Strategic Derivative Tools 117
0.18
0.16
Impact cost 0.14
0.12
0.1 Series1
0.08 Series2
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
ay
L
ov
ar
G
EC
B
R
P
N
N
N
T
JU
FE
SE
AP
AU
C
JU
JU
JU
M
M
N
O
Months (2003–2008)
6.7.4 Rollover
Rollover simply means that open positions in the current month’s expiry has
been rolled over to the next month contract by squaring off the existing
position, whether it is of long or short positions and then taking the same
position for the next month contract. Usually, they begin a week before the
current month’s expiry or sometimes much earlier. There can be long and short
rollovers. Long rollover happens when long positions in the existing contracts
have been squared off in the current month, by simultaneously taking long
positions in the next month contract. Likewise, short rollover refers to squaring
of short positions in the current month, along with opening a new short
position in the next month contract.
Rollover for futures contract is calculated by dividing the open interest in
the middle month of the available series by the sum of open interests of current,
middle and distant months. It is expressed in percentage terms. Open interest
taken for the calculation purpose is the open interest at the end of the day or at
the moment of calculation (Fig. 6.5).
The above method is the most common method for calculating the rollover
of equity index future contracts.
118 Option Trading
the positive side. On the other hand, if the rollover figure is lower, the market
may encounter selling pressure.
How can we calculate rollover position? Compare the near month’s total
open interest with the far month’s open interest; the net change will give the
rollover figure. Open interest is nothing but the total of all unsquared positions
on that particular stock/index future. (Open interest data is available on the
NSE terminal and most newspapers.) For a smooth settlement, at least 50%
open interest positions should be rolled over ahead of expiry. If the figure is
more than 80%, the market will remain positive during the days of expiry. But
if the rollover positions are lower than 25%, then one can expect a sharp drop
in prices.
One should always correlate rollover positions with market conditions for
better prediction of the market trend during expiry.
far month contract. It will give higher holding period for the investor.
Generally speaking, the rollover figures do not have any impact on the spot
market.
Summary
In this chapter we have discussed the use of put–call parity in option trading.
We have seen how PC ratio is calculated and how this is applied in practical
terms. We have also discussed arbitrage opportunities on account of PC parity
issues and also the impact cost on account of put–call parity. Besides, we have
also discussed about open interest and its impact on volume. Another
important factor in option trading is volatility because an option trader’s
strategy depends mainly on the volatility of the market. The concept of
volatility, its computation and its application are discussed in the next
chapter. The majority of the strategies discussed in this chapter are our
Strategic Derivative Tools 121
experiences based on the market conditions at that point of time. Readers who
take positions based on these experiences should make their own analysis
drawing the spirit from our experiences and using their wisdom while making
investments in the F&O segment.
Keywords
Put–call parity PC ratio Market sentiment Impact cost
Volume analysis Open interest Riskless profit Weighted PC
ratio Rollover
CHAPTER 07
VOLATILITY
7.1 OBJECTIVES
In the previous two chapters, we used the term volatility several times. We
used volatility for calculating the option prices. In this chapter, we will discuss
the concept of volatility, types of volatility, measuring volatility, impact of
events on volatility etc. The objective of this chapter is to provide a better idea
about volatility and its uses to the readers.
7.2 INTRODUCTION
While calculating option prices, we normally come across the term volatility.
What is volatility? Volatility is a term associated with liquids. The
characteristic of a liquid is that it is highly volatile. The dictionary meaning of
the word 'volatile' is 'moving lightly and rapidly about' (Chambers Twentieth
Century Dictionary). Another meaning for the same is 'evaporating'. In the
context of stock market, the term volatility is used to describe the uncertainty of
the future price of the scrip or index. The frequent movement of the stock prices
up and down makes it really difficult for one to predict the future price (Fig.
7.1). Consequently, the investor has the chance of gaining as well as losing in
a volatile market. It depends on how he reads the market sentiments and fine-
tunes his investments, which in turn decides his profit or loss. Volatility is an
important factor in determining the option prices. Volatility is measured in
terms of annualized standard deviation (represented by the symbol s) of the
continuously compounded returns of the asset. Usually, it is used to quantify
the risk involved while trading in an instrument over a particular time period.
s SD
s =
P
0.01
s = = 0.1587
1/252
The monthly volatility (i.e. T = 1/12 of a year) would be
implied volatility changes every time the option price changes consequent to
the demand-supply factors. Realized volatility is the movement of the price of
the underlying asset over the time period between the day the option is traded
and its expiry. Precisely, this also represents a trade that has already taken
place; hence, it can be considered as another form of historical volatility with a
difference that the realized volatility is calculated for traded options.
Black–Scholes model of option pricing assumes that volatility will remain
constant throughout the life of the option. In practice, this never happens.
Option prices change in response to the new information received by the
market. Thus, we cannot really observe volatility. We can only estimate the
volatility from the data provided by the market.
information arrived at the market can change the underlying asset prices.
Consequently, the volatility also changes, thereby making the assumption that
the volatility is constant an illogical one. These controversies normally raise
the following questions:
1. What should be the frequency of data? Should it be daily, intra-day,
weekly or any other period?
2. What should be the sampling period? Should it be opening, closing,
high, low, average etc.?
3. What should be the period to be covered by the historical return data, i.e.
annual, half-yearly etc.? (Normally, volatility is quoted as annualized
percentage)
4. Which days are to be included? Is it the calendar days, trading days etc.?
The following example will try to find answers to these questions.
As already explained, historical volatility is measured by the annualized
simple standard deviation of the continuously compounded return on the
underlying asset. Accordingly, if we are using daily data, we will get daily
historical volatility, whereas weekly data will provide weekly historical data.
The following formula is used for calculating historical volatility.
æ 1 ö n
÷ * å (ri - m )
2
s = ç
è (n - 1) ø i =1
where
s = Volatility
n = Number of price observations
ri = Individual continuously compounded return
µ = Arithmetic mean of returns
The result of this equation is the daily volatility. In order to get the
annualized volatility, multiply the above equation by the square root of the
number of data observation days per year, say number of trading days. Table
7.1 shows the price movement for a period of one month.
Table 7.1
(Contd.)
Volatility 127
n
å (ri – m )2 = 0.000849572
i =1
æ 1 ö
ç ÷ * (0.000849572 * 250) = 0.8558 (8.56% )
è ( 30 - 1) ø
Strike price
For example, for volatility smile using Reliance Industries call option and its
implied volatility, see Table 7.2 and Fig. 7.3.*
Volatility smile
70
60
50
Implied volatility
40
30
20
10
0
50
10
70
60
20
80
00
00
19
20
20
21
22
22
24
26
1/Ö(T-t) 2.01
Value of Õ 3.141593
SQRT 2Õ/(S+xe -rt) 0.008417
c-(S-xe -rt)/2 10.99176
c-(S+xe -rt)/2)2 120.8189
(S - xe -rt)2/Õ 1.544604
In this example, we have used 365 days for the purpose of calculation.
s = 2.01[(0.008417*10.99176) + Ö(120.8189 –1.544604)] = 22.18%
It can be observed from the above calculation that the implied volatility
used for calculating the premium for the same option was 37.20% whereas the
implied volatility extracted works out at 22.18% only.
The Black–Scholes formula is used to calculate the implied volatility; we
can't invert the formula to arrive at the implied volatility with a given option
price. What we can do is to use the Newton–Raphson method to arrive at the
implied volatility quickly. We may use the option's Vega* to arrive at the true
implied volatility after making a guess on the option's implied volatility.
In this method, the volatility parameter is changed keeping the other
parameters fixed so as to make the difference between the modelled price and
the market price zero. Here, the option price calculated using the option
pricing model and the actual price prevailing in the market is considered for
arriving at the implied volatility. Since this calculation is beyond the scope of
this book, we are not giving the formula and calculation here.
*
Refer to Chapter 8 in this book.
Volatility 133
7.9 GARCH
Volatility can also be calculated using GARCH Model that is based on the
assumption that stock returns are heteroskedastic, which means the returns
are not scattered evenly or homogenously during the observed period. The
model was initially developed as autoregressive conditional heteros-
kedasticity (GARCH). Traditionally, we presumed that the mean of the
expected value outcomes of the random variable is unconditional.
Alternatively, the unconditional mean is the weighted mean of the expected
outcomes of the random variable. Consequently, the unconditional variance of
a random variable represents the difference between the expected outcome
and the unconditional mean. However, practically this is not true because the
outcome of the random variable is highly responsive to the new information
received at the market, which makes it conditional. The difference between the
conditional mean and the random variable constitutes the conditional
variance, which is better known as function of the squared residuals of the
conditional mean equation. The process of ARCH is the modeling of the
conditional mean using autoregressive model through the autoregressive
process of the squared residuals. Subsequently, the process was more refined
by taking into consideration some value of the previous conditional variance
as well. Thus, the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity
(GARCH) came into existence. GARCH is a constant as the current value of the
conditional variance, some value of the squared residuals from the conditional
mean equation (conditional variance) plus some value of the previous
conditional variance. GARCH is now used for estimation of implied volatility
not only in stock market, but also in currency market as well.
Beta
Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility in relation to the market. Beta can be referred
to as a measure assets sensitivity of the asset's returns to market returns. Beta value
of stocks give much idea on how much a stock is related to the market movement.
The Beta of S&P CNX Nifty comprising of 50 stocks is 1.
Beta of a stock = Covariance of stock return with respect to market return/
Variance of market return
Increase Your Portfolio Betas: Beta is a measure of risk. In a bullish
market, high beta stocks give high returns and while markets are on the
downtrend, high beta stocks tend to fall more than that of low beta stocks.
Let us assume that the beta of stock ACC is 1.2. It indicates that if Nifty has
given a return of 10%, then the investments in ACC can give a return of 12%.
Stocks with high beta are good for investment in a bullish market, but if the
markets are on the downturn then these stocks will give you higher losses.
Generally, we can call stocks which are having beta less than one as old
economy stocks, which may move very slowly and returns will also be very
low. On the other hand, stocks having more than one beta are known as
134 Option Trading
aggressive stocks because their performance on the bourses will be far better
than the indices. Stocks of sectors such as capital goods, wind energy,
electricity, infrastructure etc. come under aggressive stocks, whereas steel,
cement, automobiles, etc., normally fall under the category of below 1 beta,
because these are cyclical stocks, which may move occasionally.
A combination of leveraged positions and investments can give higher
returns on the stock markets. Punters and fund managers are using various
combinations. Creating a portfolio with high beta stocks will fetch you higher
returns. Some aggressive fund managers are even creating portfolios having
beta of 1.75. It means that if Nifty has given a 20% return; these fund managers
will make a windfall profit of 35%. There are fund managers who try to reduce
beta to one. These fund managers are looking at decent returns, but do not
want to take high risk. Traditional fund managers are not very keen on beta;
they may select midcap stocks with good fundamentals and buy the stocks
continuously, which itself will push up the prices. The danger in this old
method is that once the market falls there will not be many takers for these
stocks because midcap stocks will have liquidity problems.
Modern researchers are using the support of technical analysis to create high
beta portfolios. For example, when the stock is above 200, 100, 50 and 10 day
simple moving averages, they create highly leveraged positions in order to get
more beta for the portfolios. If the stock falls below 10, 50, 100 and 200 day
simple moving averages, then they reduce the portfolio beta to 1 or even below 1.
Portfolio Beta: Portfolio beta is defined as the weighted sum of individual
asset betas according to the weightage of each asset's investment in the
portfolio, that is, portfolio beta is the aggregate of each asset's beta times
proportion of each asset's proportion (amount) in the portfolio.
It is the relative volatility of returns earned from holding specific portfolio
of securities. Portfolio having higher beta is more vulnerable to the Nifty
movements. To understand portfolio beta is important for portfolio hedging by
the investors in the derivatives segment.
For example, consider a portfolio of three securities, A, B and C included in
Nifty with stock beta of 0.80, 1.50 and 1.2 respectively, each having an
investment of Rs. 50,000, Rs. 25,000 and Rs. 100,000 totaling Rs. 175,000.
Portfolio beta = 0.80 (50000/175000) + 1.5 (25000/175000) + 1.2
(100000/175000)
= 0.23 + 0.21 + 0.69
= 1.13
So, if Nifty moves up by 2%, the above portfolio is expected to move up by
2.26% (i.e. 1.13 ´ 2%).
Let us take another example on a real-time basis to find out portfolio beta.
The total portfolio is worth Rs. 50 lakhs. Stocks included in the portfolio in
Table 7.3 are given in the order of their proportion in the portfolio. They are
taken from S&P CNX Nifty, which include the most liquid stocks with least
impact cost in terms of market capitalization.
Volatility 135
No change in price
No change in price
No change in price ¾ ¯
No change in price ¯ ¯¯
Strike price 80
Share price 82
Time to expiry 30
Volatility 35
Annual interest rate 9.5
CALL PUT
OPTION
VALUE 4.703 2.082
Strike price 80
Share price 82
Time to expiry 30
Volatility 50
Annual interest rate 9.5
CALL PUT
OPTION
VALUE 6.033 3.412
Fig. 7.5 Option premium of the same stocks with increase in volatility from
35% to 50%
Volatility is related to, but not exactly the same as, risk. Risk is associated
with an undesirable outcome, whereas volatility as a strict measure of
uncertainty could be due to a positive outcome.
The first volatility index (VIX) was introduced by the CBOE in 1993. It was
the weighted measure of the implied volatilities of S&P 500 ATM put and call
options. There are different volatility indices in the US. VIX tracks the S&P 500,
the VXN tracks the NASDAQ 100 and the VXD tracks the Dow Jones industrial
average.
India VIX is a volatility index based on the Nifty 50 index options price.
From the best bid-ask price of Nifty 50 options contracts, a volatility figure
(%) is calculated, which indicates the expected market volatility over the next
30 calendar days.
Volatility index is a good indicator of investors' confidence in the market in
the near term. If the volatility index rises considerably, then it is an early
indication of an uncertain market. If it is steadily decreasing then it is an
indication of an impending uptrend in the market.
If the volatility index is below 15-20 levels, then buying of call options is
advised. If the volatility index is above 30, then one has to reduce naked
positions or engage in portfolio hedging. If the volatility index is above 40,
then investors should take utmost care, and they have to reduce portfolio size
and accumulate index put options because they can expect uncertain market
movements.
It was interesting to note that on 1 January 2008 the volatility index of NSE
was at 25.38, moved towards 31.17 on 16 January and even tested a high of
54.41 on 29 January. We witnessed massive sell off in Indian equities market
during that period.
It is very interesting to note that both Nifty index and volatility index of
Nifty are inversely correlated. Whenever Nifty rises, volatility falls and vice versa.
If the international volatility indices are on the higher side (above 30) and
the NSE volatility is also rising, it is an early indication of a fall in index in
India due to global factors. On the other hand, if the international volatility
indices are lower than 20 and the Indian volatility index is rising steadily, it
is an indication of a fall in the market due to domestic issues.
The regular monitoring of NSE VIX will help investors to be aware of the
market uncertainties. Traders who create high leverage positions must track
the NSE VIX on a daily basis. The volatility index study will also help the
option traders in a great way because option premiums are fully dependent
on volatility.
as investors behaved on 17 May, pre- and post-17 May? This will give an
insight into how such distress can be tackled efficiently and what necessary
steps should be taken.
Implied volatility and its behavior at the time of distress: During the time of
distress it is interesting to note that mispricing of call options starts a few
days before the event, but when market declines further, mispricing becomes
nil. Consequently, after the event, mispricing starts again. When IV increases
generally above 25% in a bear phase, mispricing reduces, but during the fall
of IV, mispricing of call options starts again. When volatility increases,
investor's expectation about anticipated volatility is revised upwards, giving
rise to higher risk premium. As a result, discount rate increases and Nifty
index falls. Arbitrage opportunities in call options arise during a bear phase
few days prior to the event and a few days after the day of the event.
Mispricing of put options: During a bear phase, the mispricing of call and put
options will decrease substantially but the volatility will increases.
Relationship between risk premium and implied volatility: During a bear rally,
Risk premium exhibits a positive relationship with put option's implied
volatility and a negative relationship with call option's implied volatility.
Option premium of put options increases with the increase in implied
volatility just prior to and after the event day (14 and 18 May) but not on the
event day (17 May).
The event taken for the study was the period preceding and following the
general elections in May 2004. The unprecedented fluctuation in the market on
17 May was taken as a basic distressful event for the study.
Put options during a bear phase: In a bear phase, implied volatility rises, but
volume traded drops. Post the event, IV declines but options trading volume
increases. It can be summarized that there exists an inverse relationship
between implied volatility and liquidity for put options during a distress. In
the pre-event phase, as IV increases the open interest increases, but the
relationship ceases on the event day and post-event.
Call option during a bear phase: Pre-event, ATM call option is most actively
traded, while during the event, OTM call is traded most actively, and post-
event, in-the-money (ITM) call options are traded most. During a market
distress, open interest is always more in deep-out-of-money (DOTM) calls
compared to other calls. At the time of distress, there exists an inverse
relationship between the implied volatility and the Volumes traded.
Comparison: The implied volatility curve exhibits the same pattern for both
calls and puts. But the interesting thing to be noted is that the IV of calls is
less than the IV of puts. The correlation between IV of calls and IV of puts
during an event is 0.89 signifying that if IV of put option increases by 1, then
IV of call option increases by 0.89. Liquidation of call option is more than that
of put option just prior to the event, while at the time of the event and post-
event liquidation of put option is more than that of call option.
Volatility 141
Nifty's relevant data during the interim budget on 8 July 2004 was taken for
analysis. The volatility of the call and put prices during the pre-budget, post
budget period and the event day were taken for analysis. The event taken is
the budget presented in July 2004. Volatility is measured for different options.
The analysis showed that the volatility peaked during the event and then
came down gradually. The correlations were measured for the period before
the event (the budget) and post-event (after 8 July 2004) to establish the relation
between the call's implied volatility and the call price, put's implied volatility
and put price. In the case of ATM options, the call's implied volatility has more
correlation with the price rather than the put Implied volatility and price. The
call is more sensitive to change in the implied volatility than the put.
In general, six to seven days before the event, the Nifty's IV starts to
gradually rise. The day before the event, the IV peaks, then starts to fall on
the event day and then after four to five days, the IV slightly rises. The same
pattern is observed in all the five cases that are ATM options, ITM options,
out-of-the money options, DITM options and DOTM options. In all the cases
mentioned above, post-event, the IV falls to a level lower than the IV level pre-
event. The rise and fall of IV are common for both call and put options. The
correlation analysis found that the call IV and call price have higher degree of
direct correlation than the put options. The post-event correlation is higher
than the pre-event correlation.
The analysis indicates that the call price tends to rise a week before the
event, attains the peak a day before the event and then gradually comes
down. In the case of Nifty, volatility trading will fetch better returns in the
case of call options rather than that in the put options. Pre-event correlation
of puts suggests that in most of the cases, though there was a positive
correlation the relationship was weak. The best available option for volatility
trading can be ATM options in the case of post-event. In the case of calls, ITM
options can be used for trading in volatility both in the case of whole period
and before the event.
Infosys: Infosys showed a distinct pattern in the case of volatility. The IV of
ATM calls and puts showed 14% and 40% increases respectively during the
pre-event phase and around 50% fall in the post-event. The magnitude of
rise and fall in the IV was approximately same in all the five categories of
options taken for the test. DOTM options did not show such a drastic rise or
fall in the IV either pre-event or post-event. To put it in other words, DOTM
options in the case of Infosys are less receptive to events like Q2 results.
There was high degree of positive correlation in all the five categories of
options. ATM call options and ITM put options had the highest amount of
direct correlation. The pre-event correlation for puts in all the categories was
comparatively less. It can be inferred that the put options behave in the
direction of IV more frequently in the post-event than in the pre-event. In
case of calls, the DOTM options showed a negative correlation in the post-
event.
Volatility 143
Volatility trading will be effective for both calls and puts in the case of post-
event if OTM options are chosen. On the whole, if an investor wants to take
advantage of the volatility during an event, his best choice would be ITM
options. The unique feature with Infosys was that the DOTM option showed
very high correlation in the case of puts for post-event and negative correlation
in the case of calls for the same post-event.
TCS: In case of TCS, ATM call and put IV gained around 10 points in the pre-
event period. They peaked just two days before the result and started to decline
in the post-event phase. In the post-event the call IV lost around 15 points and
the put IV lost around 6 points. Except in the case of ATM options, the put IV
showed a slight rise in the post-event phase. This may be due to the fact that
the actual Q2 results were lower than the anticipated results. ATM calls, ITM
calls and OTM calls showed high correlation between call IV and call price.
The correlation was very less in the case of DITM and DOTM calls.
In the case of puts except ITM options, the correlation was very less. DOTM
options in the post-event showed inverse relationship in the case of calls and
highly positive relationship in the case of puts.
Satyam: Satyam announced its quarterly result on 20 October 2004. ATM calls
peaked much before the event day (8 October 2004) and came down to a lower
level by 15 October. From there the call IV gained just 2.38 points till the day
before the event. The event day saw the IV declining. But the IV again gained 14
points by the second day after the event. ATM puts gained 5 points before the
event day, but the drop in the IV after the event day was more significant in
puts rather than in calls.
The general pattern of rising IV in the pre-event period and falling IV in the
post-event period was seen, though with less degree of precision. The same
trend was also seen in the other scenarios of ITM, OTM, DITM and DOTM
options.
SBI: SBI declared its Q2 results on the 30 October 2004. The set pattern of rising
volatility in the pre-event phase and falling volatility in the post-event phase
was followed with higher degree of precision in the case, SBI in general and
call IV of SBI in particular. ATM calls of SBI gained 9 points in its call IV and 6
points in its put IV in the pre-event phase. The gain in the ITM options was
higher in the case of calls. Post-event, the ATM calls saw a fall of about 10
points while the put options in the same category fell by around 3 points. The
relationship between call IV and call price was high only in the case of DITM
options. Otherwise there was a positive moderate relationship in most of the
other categories.
Negative correlation between options price and IV was observed in around
five cases. Thus, it can be inferred that the pre-event volatility trading should
be approached with care. Post-event, ITM puts and DITM puts can be ideal for
volatility trading. Pre-event OTM calls can be a better choice.
144 Option Trading
ICICI Bank: The Q2 result was declared on 20 October 2004. Both call and put
showed a rising trend in the pre-event phase and a fall in IV in the post-event
phase. The IV rose from a lower level in all the cases of calls and puts for all
categories and then showed wave patterns suggesting volatile movements.
The relationship was generally positive both in the calls and puts. The call
and put prices generally followed the direction of IV. The IV and option price
relationship was less in the case of ITM options.
Maruti Udyog Ltd: Maruti declared Q2 results on 27 October 2004. The IV of
Maruti showed a wave pattern during the event. The call IV and put IV gained
around 10 points in the pre-event phase. The post-event phase was not
calculated as the contract ended on 28 October while the event day was 27. A
distinct volatile wave pattern of high rise and falls was witnessed in the puts
in all the five categories. DOTM call can be best described as not having any
impact for the event. There existed a high degree of direct relationship between
the IV and option prices in all the categories.
Tata Motors: The event was declaration of Q2 results by Tata Motors on 29
October 2004. In this case, the set pattern was distinct in DITM and DOTM
options. In both these cases, the IV gained around 6 points in the pre-event
phase. In the other entire category, the IV rose but its magnitude was varied.
High degree of correlation existed in the pre-event phase and for the whole
period. Post-event, the results were mixed. The relationship exhibited was
weak to inverse. This can be because of the fact that the November month
contract after the expiry of October month contract was traded more heavily
and this was the post-event period. Regardless of the volatility, the option
prices increased due to the higher demand.
Reliance Industries: The established pattern of pre-event rises, peaking of IV
and decline in the post-event was not established with high degree of volatility
change. In all the cases, the put IV showed a rise with varying magnitude
immediately after the event day. In the case of call options except in the case of
DITM call, the IV declined after the event. On the whole, it can be generalized
that a significant pattern of IV was not established for Reliance.
This can be justified by the varying degree of correlation for different
scenarios, which does not suggest a pattern.
ONGC: The oil major ONGC announced its Q2 results on 29October 2004. The
pre-event rise of IV in the call option was not very distinct. The ATM call
gained 2 points while the puts did not show any significant rise. Significant
rise was seen in ITM call and DITM calls. Except in the case of deep-in-the
money and DOTM options, there existed a post-event slide in IV of both calls
and puts.
High positive correlation was seen between the IV and volatility in all the
five categories for the whole event. Post-event relation in the case of DITM and
deep-out-of-he money puts did not signify that the IV factor was not taken into
account in these categories. Pre-OTM correlation was high in all the five
categories.
Volatility 145
50
40
30
20
10
0
t
e
s
EN
Pr
Pr
Pr
Pr
Pr
Pr
Pr
Po
Po
Po
Po
Po
EV
Average Average
IT Put IV Nifty Put
40
35
30
25
Average IT IV
20
Average Nifty IV
15
10
5
0
e
e
T
Pr
Pr
Pr
Pr
Pr
Pr
Pr
Pr
Pr
Pr
Pr
Pr
EN
Fig. 7.7 EV IT and Nifty ATM calls
The charts indicate that the index has similar pattern during the event. The
index peaks during an event and falls after the event. The same relation is seen
in IT stocks. The relationship between index and IT stocks can be termed as
positive. The ATM calls and puts carry higher degree of positive relationship.
Pre-event of the Nifty generally remains dominant and does not respond to the
volatile movements, but in the post-event, Nifty's volatility also falls along
with the IT stocks volatility.
Chi square test was done to find out whether there is significant relation
between call option with respect to its sensitivity towards IV.
Correlation
Below 0.5 Above 0.5
Call 66 83 149
Put 83 78 161
149 161 310
X2 = 0.40698
P [ (X2) (r – 1) (c – 1)] @ 950 degree freedom = 0.00393
The test shows that there is no significant relation between calls and puts in
regard to correlation. In other words, it can be said that both call and put prices
respect implied volatility and there is no significant relation between call and
put and their reaction to implied volatility.
The study reveals that most of the option prices have a tendency to move
towards the direction of option volatility, which moves in a set pattern during
an event. The IV rises in the pre-event phase, peaks a day or two before the
event, and then falls to lower levels. In most of the cases, the IV falls to a level
lower than the IV level in the pre-event phase.
Table 7.7 Correlation
148
Call Put
ATM ITM OTM DITM DOTM ATM ITM OTM DITM DOTM
Whole 0.87101 0.69649 0.87462 0.51500 0.50051 0.66469 0.73898 0.70745 0.59632
0.29525
Option Trading
The best strategy that can be adopted is to enter long straddles seven or
eight days before the event (quarterly numbers, budget, dividend declaration,
bonus declaration) and liquidate the long straddle a day or two before the
event or atleast before the announcement of the event. Alternatively, short
straddles can be created one day before the event and can be liquidated on the
same day after the announcement of the event.
CALL
1500 strike 1560 1620 1770 1860 1920
120
100
1500 strike
80
1560
1620
60
1770
40 1860
1920
20
0
4 7 8 9 10 11 14 15 16 17 18
PUT
1500 1560 1620 1770 1860 1920
4 0 0 0 63.06 3.18 5.16
7 0 0 0 46.44 1.66 3.42
8 0 0 0 70.93 3.91 5.73
9 0 0 0 0 73.14 2.8
10 0 0 0 73.6 80.62 3.51
11 0 0 0 126.45 129.03 8.72
14 0 59 65.59 245.59 169.48 13.42
15 20.69 76.05 102.92 289.58 182.54 15.88
16 0 60.73 131.03 293.98 184.12 15.2
17 0 31.49 116.4 295.4 184.09 13.9
18 0 59.06 120.81 324.44 230.41 17
350
300
250 1500
1560
200 1620
150 1770
1860
100 1920
50
0
4 7 8 9 10 11 14 15 16 17 18
A residual analysis technique was used to find out the returns of the future
price before and after 30 days surrounding the event day. The results indicate
the stock returns were highly volatile before and after the event day. It was
observed that 10 days prior to the event, the returns were negative indicating
the market expectation of forthcoming results was not satisfactory. But, soon
after the quarterly results, the CAAR of stocks were found to be rising. (The
stock prices had a net change in price of 50%.)
If we analyse this phenomenon we can come to a conclusion that future
price of stocks track the cash segment. The CAAR in both cases (cash segment
and futures segment) are high because Indian capital markets are still
inefficient and fall under the category of weak form according to the EMH. The
main reason for the inefficiency is primarily due to the lack of information
available to all the investors at the same time. This is subjected to the frequency
in which it ultimately reaches out to the investor. Moreover, in the present
scenario, the market is highly volatile. It is very difficult to judge the future of a
firm that why large standardized unexpected earnings result is abnormal.
Implied volatility
Skew
Strike
For example, Fig. 7.11 shows a volatility skew using the Reliance Industries
put option and its implied volatility (IV) on the basis of data in Table 7.10.
A B C D
Strike Put IV Call IV (B-C)
1950 53.55 53.01 0.54
1980 53.09 54.05 -0.96
2010 60 48.03 11.97
2040 65 42.5 22.5
2070 73 39.045 33.955
2100 80 35.23 44.77
2130 109.04 32 77.04
2160 93.33 34.58 58.75
2190 120.33 36.6 83.73
2220 147.25 39.47 107.78
2250 174.11 41.15 132.96
Volatility skew
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
–20
50
80
10
40
70
00
30
60
90
20
50
19
19
20
20
20
21
21
21
21
22
22
Reliance put/call option strike SKEW
by the changes in the price level of the underlying. However, these models
cannot explain the long-observed features of the implied volatility surface
such as volatility smile and skew, which indicate that implied volatility does
tend to vary with respect to strike price and expiration.
The larger the volatility, the larger the chance for the spot price moving into
the ITM zone and at the same time the value of the option will be great.
The impact of volatility on the option's value is expressed as:
Vega = Change in premium or volatility
If suppose the value of Vega is 0.5 and the volatility changes from 20% to
25%, then the value of the option will increase by 0.5(0.25-0.20) = 0.025. This
means an increase in volatility will normally lead to an increase in option
value. One thing to keep in mind is that the forecast volatility done on the basis
of historical data may not always be correct because of the changes in the spot
rate are influenced by a number of economic and non-economic factors that
may or may not occur in the future.
Summary
In this chapter we discussed about the concept of volatility and found that
volatility can be either historical or implied. We also discussed ways of
measuring historical volatility, and factors affecting historical volatility.
Further, we discussed about stock beta and portfolio beta and analysed some
of the study results connected with volatility, impact of events on volatility etc.
Concepts like volatility smile, volatility skew, stochastic volatility and
volatility arbitrage were also explained. While discussing about volatility we
have presented the Vega which is the impact of volatility on the option price.
Vega is otherwise known as Greek in option-trading parlance. There are other
option Greeks also which will explain in detail in the next chapter.
Keywords
Volatility Historical volatility Implied volatility
Volatility smile Volatility skew Volatility arbitrage
Volatility change GARCH Volatility
CHAPTER 08
OPTION GREEKS
8.1 OBJECTIVES
While discussing volatility in the previous chapter, we found that Option
Greeks form a part of volatility. This chapter is aimed at familiarizing the
readers with the Option Greeks used in option trading. We are explaining
only the important ones: delta, gamma, theta, vega and rho.
8.2 INTRODUCTION
The Greeks quantifies the sensitivities of derivatives market, which include
options. They actually calculate the various aspects of risk in an option
position and at the same time show a parameter on which the value of an
option is dependent. They can be used to measure the risk in owning an
option, and the portfolio can be adjusted to achieve the desired exposure.
Each risk variable is the result of a faulty assumption or is due to the
sophisticated hedging strategies which are used to neutralize the risk effect.
In order to neutralize the effect of the risk variable, we require good amount
of buying and selling, which involves high transaction cost. There are five
kinds of Greeks commonly used, which are explained in the following
sections.
8.3 DELTA
It measures the sensitivity to changes in the price of the underlying asset.
The delta of a call option ranges from 0 to 1 and that of a put option ranges
from 0 to -1. We can add, subtract and multiply deltas to calculate the delta
of a position of options and stock. The position delta is a way to see the risk/
reward characteristics of your positions in terms of shares. Delta is sensitive
to changes in volatility and time to expiration. The delta of an option mainly
depends on the price of the stock in relation to the strike price.
For example, if we talk in respect to a call option, a delta value of 0.7
means that for every Rs. 10 increase in the underlying stock, the option value
increases by Rs. 7.
156 Option Trading
Figure 8.1 shows the movement of delta and call premium in relation to
the underlying asset price.
25 1
20 0.8
Premium
Premium
DELTA
15 0.6
DELTA
10 0.4
5 0.2
0 0
100 105 110 115 120 125 130
Underlying asset price
From the graph we can see that both delta and premium of the call option
increases when the underlying asset price increases. When the underlying
asset price increase from 100 to 105 the delta increases from 0.5478 to 0.7291
and it becomes 0.9906 when the underlying asset price is 125. Delta reaches
close to one when the call option is deep in the money.
The delta values of put option will be negative.
2.5
Premium
0.03 Premium
2 DELTA
1.5 0.02
1
0.01
0.5
0 0
100 105 110 115 120 125 130
Underlying asset price
Fig. 8.2 Impact of movement of underlying asset price on Delta and put
option premiums
The graph shows the movement of delta and premium of put option in
relation to the underlying asset price. From the graph we can see that delta of
the put option increases when the underlying asset price increases while the
Option Greeks 157
premium of the put option decreases. When the underlying asset price
increases from 100 to 105 the delta increases from -0.4522 to -0.2709 and it
becomes -0.0094 when the underlying asset price is Rs.125. Delta reaches
close to zero when the put option is deep out the money.
short position on Nifty, the trader can buy a call option of Nifty at the strike
price close to the price at which he had sold Nifty futures. So even if the
script bounces back the next day, the long call will act as a buffer to the losses
incurred on Nifty's futures. A trader can use this strategy to reduce the risk
involved in selling naked futures and in the meantime he can make profits if
Nifty moves down. Here the trader starts making profit if Nifty moves below
the value of the premium paid for the long call. Any loss arising due to any
upside move in the index prices by holding the naked futures is limited by
the long call. Thereby, the trader can just reduce his risk of holding a naked
short futures position with a protective call.
Sometimes investors convert this strategy to a delta neutral by buying
equal delta call options. For example, Mr. Thomas is bearish on markets and
sells 100 March 2009 Nifty futures at 3000, and he buys two 3000 strike Nifty
call options with 0.5 deltas. Selling Nifty futures will give him –100 deltas.
Buying call options of two lots with 0.5 deltas will give him +100 deltas.
Here, the net delta position becomes 0. Delta-neutral strategies are
extensively used one or two days prior to the expiry.
8.4 GAMMA
It measures the rate of change in delta and shows how the price will react to
a significant change in the price. A large gamma value shows that your delta
can change significantly when there is a small move in the stock price.
Suppose the delta of a call option is 0.45 and the delta of a put option is –
0.55 when the price of the underlying asset is Rs. 99 and the gamma value for
both call and put options is 0.07. If the underlying asset moves up from Rs. 1
to Rs. 100, then the delta value of the call option is 0.52 [0.42 + (Rs. 1 × 0.07)],
and the delta value of the put option is – 0.48 [– 0.55 + (Rs. 1 × 0.07)]. When
the price of Changes in Delta the underlying asset comes down to Rs. 1, then
the delta value of call option becomes 0.38 and that of put option becomes –
0.62.
So, here the gamma value shows the rate of change of delta value when
there is a change in the underlying asset price. For an option trader, a
position with a positive gamma is much safer because it gives deltas from an
upward or a downward move in the stock price. At the same time, a position
with a negative gamma can be equally dangerous.
Gamma
0.03
15 Premium
10 0.02 Gamma
5 0.01
0 0
100 105 110 115 120 125 130
Underlying asset price
Fig. 8.3 Impact of movement of underlying asset price on Gamma and call
option premiums
160 Option Trading
The graph shows the movement of Gamma and premium of call option in
relation to the underlying asset price. From the graph we can see that Gamma
of the call option decreases when the underlying asset price increases while
the premium of the call option increases. When the underlying asset price
increase from 100 to 105 the Gamma decreases from 0.0395 to 0.0314 and it
becomes 0.0020 when the underlying asset price is 125. Gamma reaches close
to 0 when the call option is deep in the money.
3 0.035
0.03
Premium
Gamma
2.5
0.025 Premium
2 Gamma
0.02
1.5
0.015
1 0.01
0.5 0.005
0 0
100 105 110 115 120 125 130
Underlying asset price
The graph shows the movement of gamma and premium of put option in
relation to the underlying asset price. From the graph we can see that both
Gamma and premium of the put option decreases when the underlying asset
price increases. When the underlying asset price increase from 100 to 105 the
Gamma decreases from 0.0395 to 0.0314 and it becomes 0.0020 when the
underlying asset price is 125. Gamma reaches close to zero when the put
option is deep out of the money.
where
d1 = [ln(S/X) + (r + s 2/2) × t]/[s × Ö (T – t)]
d1 = [ln(3500/3600) + (0.075 + 0.5796 2/2 × 1]/[0.5796 × 1]
= [ln(0.9722) + 0.075 + 0.1679]/0.5796
= (– 0.0282 + 0.075 + 0.1679)/0.5796
= 0.2147/0.5796
= 0.3704
So, gamma for a call and put = N(0.3704)/3500 × (0.5796 × Ö 1)
= 0.6443/2028.60
= 0.0003176
8.5 VEGA
Vega shows the sensitiveness to volatility. It is the estimate of how much the
theoretical value of an option changes when the change in volatility is 1.00%.
Higher volatility means higher option prices. Positive vega means that the
value of an option increases when volatility increases and vice versa.
Suppose the value of a call option is Rs. 20 and the vega of the
option is 0.2 with volatility at 30%. If the volatility of the option
increases from 30% to 31%, then the value of the option rises to Rs. 22.
On the other hand, when the volatility falls from 30% to 29%, the value
of the call also falls to Rs. 18.
VEGA
15 0.06 Premium
0.04 Vega
10
5 0.02
0 0
100 105 110 115 120 125 130
Underlying asset price
The graph shows the movement of Vega and premium of call option in
relation to the underlying asset price. From the graph we can see that Vega of
the call option decreases when the underlying asset price increases along
with the call option premium. When the underlying asset price increases
162 Option Trading
from 100 to 105 the Vega decreases from 0.1135 to 0.0997 and it becomes
0.0091 when the underlying asset price is 125. Vega reaches close to zero
when the call option is deep in the money.
Premium
Vega
2 0.06
Vega
1.5 0.04
1
0.5 0.02
0 0
100 105 110 115 120 125 130
Underlying asset price
The graph shows the movement of Vega and premium of put option in
relation to the underlying asset price. From the graph we can see that both
Vega and premium of the put option decreases when the underlying asset
price increases. When the underlying asset price increase from 100 to 105 the
Vega decreases from 0.1135 to 0.0997 and it becomes 0.0091 when the
underlying asset price is 125. Vega reaches close to zero when the put option
is deep out of the money.
where
d1 = [ln(S/X) + (r + s 2/2) × t]/[s × Ö (T – t)]
– d1 = [ln(3500/3600) + (0.075 + 0.57962/2 × 1]/[0.5796 × 1]
= [ln(0.9722) + 0.075 + 0.1679]/0.5796
= (– 0.0282 + 0.075 + 0.1679)/0.5796
= 0.2147/0.5796
= 0.3704
Vega = S × N(d1) × Ö (T – t)
= 3500 × N(0.3704) × Ö 1
= 3500 × 0.6443
= 2255.05
8.6 THETA
It measures the sensitiveness to the passage of time or the option time value.
Theta is represented by the symbol ' È ' and is the negative of the derivative
of the option value with respect to the amount of time to expiry of the option
instrument. It is an estimate of how much the theoretical value of an option
decreases when a day passes and there is no movement in either the stock
price or the volatility.
250
200
Put/call premium
50
0
y
y
y
11 y
y
14 y
17 y
20 ay
26 y
23 y
da
da
da
da
da
da
da
da
da
d
2
5
8
29
Expiration
Theta value for a call option and a put option would not be the same at the
same strike and same expiration period. Theta values of call and put options
also depend on the cost of carry for the underlying stock.
From Fig. 8.7, we can understand that when the days to expiration is more,
then the theoretical value of the put option would be higher, but when the
expiry comes near, the put option will lose its value.
Option Greeks 165
Table 8.1 shows the changes of 3500 strike call and put options premiums
of an underlying stock with 57% IV, 9% interest rate and Rs. 3500 stock price
from the first day of the contract month till the last day of expiry, on the
assumption that the stock price and IV remain same during this period (Figs.
8.5 and 8.7). The intensity of the time decay is very high when options are
close to expiry.
20
18
Put/call premium change
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
27 ys
23 s
21 s
19 ys
17 s
15 ys
13 s
11 s
9 s
ys
ys
ys
ys
ys
y
y
da
da
da
da
da
da
da
da
da
da
da
da
da
da
29
25
3
Expiration
250
200
Put/call premium
50
0
23 s
20 s
17 s
14 s
11 s
ys
s
ys
ay
ay
ay
y
y
da
da
da
da
da
da
da
8d
5d
2d
26
29
Expiration
S = 3500
X = 3600
T – t = 1 (June 20 to June 19 next year = 1 year)
r = 0.075 (7.5%)
s = 0.5796 (57.96%)
d1 = 0.3704
d2 = d1 – [s × Ö (T – t)]
= 0.3704 – (0.5796 × 1)
= –0.2090
Theta for call = – {[S × N(d1) × s]/[2 × Ö (T – t)]} – [r × X × e–r(T–t) × N(d2)]
= – {[3500 × N(0.3704) × 0.5796]/2 × Ö 1} – [0.075 ×
3600 × e –0.075×1 × N(–0.2090)]
= –[(3500 × 0.6443 × 0.5796)/2] – (0.075 × 3600 × 0.9277 ×
0.4168)
= – 653.51 – 104.39
= –757.90
Theta for a put = [–S × N(d1) × s] + [r × X × e–r(T–t) × N(d2)]
2 × Ö (T – t)
= –[3500 × N(0.3704) × 0.5796] + [0.075 × 3600 × e–0.075×1 × N(0.2090)
2 × Ö1
= –[3500 × 0.6443 × 0.5796] + [0.0750 × 3600 × 0.9277 × 0.5832]
2
= – 653.51 + 146.08
= –507.43
8.7 RHO
It measures the sensitiveness to the applicable interest rate. Rho is the least
used Greeks. In an economy when the interest rates are stable, the chance of
option value changing dramatically because of a rise in interest rates is low.
For example, suppose we expect stock A to rise; we could either buy 100
shares of A for Rs. 5000 or buy two call options of the same stock A for Rs.
500. Here we need to spend 10 times the money that we spend on the stock.
It means that we would need to borrow money out of the interest bearing
account to buy the stock. This interest cost is built into the call option's value.
An increase in interest rates increases the value of calls and decreases the
value of puts and vice versa.
168 Option Trading
Suppose the value of call option is Rs. 20 and a rho of 0.02, with value of
share A at Rs. 50 and interest rates at 5%. If the interest rate increases to 6%,
the value of the stock's call option would increase to Rs. 20.2, and if the
interest rate decreases to 4%, then the value of the stock option would
decrease to Rs. 21.98.
0.045
0.0445
0.044
0.0435
0.043 Call
0.0425
0.042
0.0415
0.041
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Interest rate
If the interest rate increases the value of the Rho of both call option and
put option will increase.
Interest rate
–0.038
–0.0385
–0.039
–0.0395
–0.04
–0.0405
Put
The basic principle is that when the underlying price of the asset increases,
the rho value also rises alongside, and when the underlying price comes
down, the rho value also follows suit. One more thing to keep in mind is that
when the number of days to expiration is more, then the rho value will also
be more.
Summary
Option Greeks form a part of volatility and assumes great importance in
formulating trading strategies. The major Option Greeks which are discussed
in this chapter are delta, gamma, theta, vega and rho. The other Greeks are
Itto's lemma, lambda, kappa, epsilon and so on, which are not discussed in
this chapter because they are not widely used in India. We have also found
how these Greeks are used in option trading. We will move to the most
interesting part of option trading strategies in the next chapter.
Keywords
Greeks Delta Gamma Vega Theta Rho
170 Option Trading
Appendix
Standardized Normal Distribution Table
0 0.5000 0.5040 0.5080 0.5120 0.5160 0.5199 0.5239 0.5279 0.5279 0.5359
0.1 0.5398 0.5438 0.5478 0.5517 0.5557 0.5596 0.5636 0.5675 0.5675 0.5753
0.2 0.5793 0.5832 0.5871 0.5910 0.5948 0.5987 0.6026 0.6064 0.6064 0.6141
0.3 0.6179 0.6217 0.6255 0.6293 0.6331 0.6368 0.6406 0.6443 0.6443 0.6517
0.4 0.6554 0.6591 0.6628 0.6664 0.6700 0.6736 0.6772 0.6808 0.6808 0.6879
0.5 0.6915 0.6950 0.6985 0.7019 0.7054 0.7088 0.7123 0.7157 0.7157 0.7224
0.6 0.7257 0.7291 0.7324 0.7357 0.7389 0.7422 0.7454 0.7486 0.7486 0.7549
0.7 0.7580 0.7611 0.7642 0.7673 0.7704 0.7734 0.7764 0.7794 0.7794 0.7852
0.8 0.7881 0.7910 0.7939 0.7967 0.7995 0.8023 0.8051 0.8078 0.8078 0.8133
0.9 0.8159 0.8186 0.8212 0.8238 0.8264 0.8289 0.8315 0.8340 0.8340 0.8389
1 0.8413 0.8438 0.8461 0.8485 0.8508 0.8531 0.8554 0.8577 0.8577 0.8621
1.1 0.8643 0.8665 0.8686 0.8708 0.8729 0.8749 0.8770 0.8790 0.8810 0.8830
1.2 0.8849 0.8869 0.8888 0.8907 0.8925 0.8944 0.8962 0.8980 0.8997 0.9015
1.3 0.9032 0.9049 0.9066 0.9082 0.9099 0.9115 0.9131 0.9147 0.9162 0.9177
1.4 0.9192 0.9207 0.9222 0.9236 0.9251 0.9265 0.9279 0.9292 0.9306 0.9319
1.5 0.9332 0.9345 0.9357 0.9370 0.9382 0.9394 0.9406 0.9418 0.9429 0.9441
1.6 0.9452 0.9463 0.9474 0.9484 0.9495 0.9505 0.9515 0.9525 0.9535 0.9545
1.7 0.9554 0.9564 0.9573 0.9582 0.9591 0.9599 0.9608 0.9616 0.9625 0.9633
1.8 0.9641 0.9649 0.9656 0.9664 0.9671 0.9678 0.9686 0.9693 0.9699 0.9706
1.9 0.9713 0.9719 0.9726 0.9732 0.9738 0.9744 0.9750 0.9756 0.9761 0.9767
2 0.9772 0.9778 0.9783 0.9788 0.9793 0.9798 0.9803 0.9808 0.9812 0.9817
2.1 0.9821 0.9826 0.9830 0.9834 0.9838 0.9842 0.9846 0.9850 0.9854 0.9857
2.3 0.9893 0.9896 0.9898 0.9901 0.9904 0.9906 0.9909 0.9911 0.9913 0.9916
2.4 0.9918 0.9920 0.9922 0.9925 0.9927 0.9929 0.9931 0.9932 0.9934 0.9936
2.5 0.9938 0.9940 0.9941 0.9943 0.9945 0.9946 0.9948 0.9949 0.9951 0.9952
2.6 0.9953 0.9955 0.9956 0.9957 0.9959 0.9960 0.9961 0.9962 0.9963 0.9964
2.7 0.9965 0.9966 0.9967 0.9968 0.9969 0.9970 0.9971 0.9972 0.9973 0.9974
2.8 0.9974 0.9975 0.9976 0.9977 0.9977 0.9978 0.9979 0.9979 0.9980 0.9981
2.9 0.9981 0.9982 0.9982 0.9983 0.9984 0.9984 0.9985 0.9985 0.9986 0.9986
3 0.9987 0.9987 0.9987 0.9988 0.9988 0.9989 0.9989 0.9989 0.9990 0.9990
CHAPTER 09
OPTION TRADING
STRATEGIES
9.1 OBJECTIVES
In Chapter 2, we discussed about writing options, and in the previous two
chapters, we discussed about volatility and Greek letters which are used in
option trading. Having understood these essential aspects of trading in
options, we are now taking the readers to the most important and interesting
part of this book, that is option trading strategies. These strategies have been
found to be highly effective from our trading experiences. The objective of
this chapter is to introduce various strategies to the readers so that they will
be enthused to develop their own strategies.
9.2 INTRODUCTION
Simple trading strategies can be created by option purchases or by option
sales. Purchases and sales of different options at different strikes and
different maturities enable us to create complex strategies. Strategies help us
to predict the future profits and losses. It also helps to convert from one
strategy to other strategies according to different market conditions. For
example, buying a call option can be riskier because of time-sensitive nature of option
and that can be partially eliminated by selling a call option of the same underlying
asset at a higher strike price.
The major issues confronted in the purchase of put options are high
volatility, time decay and liquidity. Sometimes, in-the-money put options
are fairly illiquid due to higher premiums. In a highly volatile market,
premiums of put options tend to remain very high, thereby causing
illiquidity.
Option Trading Strategies 173
Long put
200
150
Profit 100
50
1060
1080
1100
1120
1140
0 980
1000
1020
1040
–50
–100
Loss
–150
Long put
Strike Premium
3700 471
3800 360
3900 312
4000 240
4050 199
4100 175
4150 146
4200 119
4250 95
4300 74
4350 58
4400 42
4450 22
4500 18
174 Option Trading
Assume that you are bearish on Nifty and according to your estimate,
Nifty may find support only at the 3700 level. In this case, instead of buying
the put option, you can sell 3700 call options at Rs. 471. If Nifty falls below
3700, you don’t gain more than the premium of Rs. 471. There is unlimited
risk above 4171 (3700 + 471) (Table 9.3; Fig. 9.2).
0
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
–200
–400
–600
–800
Nifty
Fig. 9.2
Option Trading Strategies 175
Strike Premium
Long put 4000 122.00
Written put 3800 83.00
250.00
200.00
150.00
100.00
50.00
0.00
3600 3700 3800 3900 4000 4100 4200 4300
–50.00
–100.00
–150.00
Sell Put Net Pay off Buy Put
After creating the bear spread with put strategy, your maximum loss has
decreased from Rs. 122 to Rs. 39. Again, you are attaining the BEP at 3961.
On the other hand, if you are holding the single put, then you may attain the
breakeven only below 4000 – 122 = 3878.
Strike Premium
Sell put 250 12.86
Buy two puts 230 5.35
80
60
40
20
Pay off
0
190
195
200
205
210
215
220
225
230
235
245
250
255
260
265
270
575
280
285
–20
–40
–60
Strike Premium
Sell call 260 8
Sell call 240 20
(Contd.)
Option Trading Strategies 179
50
40
30
LOSS & PROFIT
20
10
0
1010
1020
1030
1040
1050
1060
1070
1080
1090
1100
1120
1130
1110
-10
-20
-30
-40
-50
Long 1080 Call Short 1070 Pay off
falls at least by the premium. On the other hand, writing a call at the same
strike and same maturity allows the trader to get an early breakeven through
getting premium of the written call. Both buying puts and selling calls
generate negative deltas. Investors will select various strike prices according
to their risk appetite (Table 9.7; Fig. 9.6).
Table 9.7
Strike Premium
Buy put 980 7.2
Sell call 980 9.45
80
60
Profit
40
20
0
680
480
530
580
630
730
780
830
880
930
980
1080
1130
1030
– 20
Loss
– 40
– 60
Strike Premium
Buy put 1510 11.7
Buy put 1520 14.8
Sell put 1530 17.4
10
0
1450
1460
1470
1480
1490
1500
1510
1520
1530
1550
–10
–20
–30
–40
–50
–60
–70
Buy put 1510 Buy put 1520 Sell put Payoff
Strike Premium
Sell call 1100 30.75
Buy put 11080 11.00
60 Sell call
50 Buy put
Net cash flow
40
30
20
10
0
1050
1060
1070
1080
1090
1100
1120
1130
1140
1150
1110
–10
–20
–30
–40
Generally, investors create a delta hedge strategy with long call Christmas
tree. Buying an in-the-money call option (0.75 delta) and selling two lots of
out-of-the-money call (0.25 × 2), the net delta position can be positive (0.25).
This type of reduction in deltas is normally risk-free up to a certain extent,
but one should be very careful about the net gamma positions.
Buy one lot of call at 1030 for Rs. 27.30 and sell 1040 calls at Rs. 21.65 and
sell 1050 calls at Rs. 16.65 (Table 9.10; Fig. 9.9).
Table 9.10
Strike Premium
Buzy call 1030 27.3
Sell call 1040 21.65
Sell call 1050 16.65
50
40
30
20
Loss & Profit
10
0
1000
1010
1020
1030
1040
1050
1060
1070
1080
1090
1100
1120
1130
1140
1110
960
970
980
990
–10
–20
–30
–40
–50
Strike Premium
Sell put 1150 1.20
Buy put 1160 2.95
Buy put 1180 9.05
Sell put 1190 16.05
Spot at Sell put Buy put Buy put Sell put Net
expiration (1150) (1160) (1180) (1190) pay off
1100 – 48.8 57.05 70.95 –73.95 5.25
1105 – 43.8 52.05 65.95 –68.95 5.25
1110 – 38.8 47.05 60.95 –63.95 5.25
1115 – 33.8 42.05 55.95 –58.95 5.25
1120 – 28.8 37.05 50.95 – 53.95 5.25
186 Option Trading
Spot at Sell put Buy put Buy put Sell put Net
expiration (1150) (1160) (1180) (1190) pay off
1125 – 23.8 32.05 45.95 – 48.95 5.25
1130 – 18.8 27.05 40.95 – 43.95 5.25
1135 – 13.8 22.05 35.95 – 38.95 5.25
1140 – 8.8 17.05 30.95 – 33.95 5.25
1145 – 3.8 12.05 25.95 – 28.95 5.25
1150 1.2 7.05 20.95 – 23.95 5.25
1155 1.2 2.05 15.95 – 18.95 0.25
1160 1.2 – 2.95 10.95 – 13.95 – 4.75
1165 1.2 – 2.95 5.95 – 8.95 – 4.75
1170 1.2 – 2.95 0.95 – 3.95 – 4.75
1175 1.2 – 2.95 – 4.05 1.05 – 4.75
1180 1.2 – 2.95 – 9.05 6.05 – 4.75
1185 1.2 – 2.95 – 9.05 11.05 0.25
1190 1.2 – 2.95 – 9.05 16.05 5.25
1195 1.2 – 2.95 – 9.05 16.05 5.25
1200 1.2 – 2.95 – 9.05 16.05 5.25
1205 1.2 – 2.95 – 9.05 16.05 5.25
1210 1.2 – 2.95 – 9.05 16.05 5.25
60
40
20
Payoff
–40
–60
Sell put 1150 Buy put 1160 Buy put 1180
Sell put 1190 Net pay off
Table 9.12
Strike Premium
Sell call 220 26.65
Sell put 220 6.92
Buy put 200 2.75
400
300
200
100
0
Pay off
130
80
30
20
70
120
170
220
270
370
420
470
520
570
620
–100
–200
–300
–400
–500
Table 9.13
Strike Premium
Sell call 200 41.5
Sell call 210 32.25
Sell call 220 24.55
(Contd.)
Option Trading Strategies 189
150
100
50
0
140
150
160
170
180
190
200
210
220
230
240
250
260
270
280
290
300
Payoff
–50
–100
–150
–200
Sell call 200 Sell call 220
Sell call 210 Total pay off
Table 9.14
Strike Premium
Buy call 220 22.1
Buy put 240 16.85
50
40
30
20
Pay off
10
0
180
280
185
190
195
200
205
210
215
220
225
230
235
240
245
250
255
260
265
270
275
–10
–20
–30
Buy call 220 Buy put 240 Total pay off
Table 9.15
Strike Premium
Sell call 1080 4.05
Sell call 1070 6.25
Buy call 1060 10.15
40
30
20
10
Loss/Profit
0
1050
1055
1060
1065
1070
1070
1075
1080
1085
1090
1095
1105
1120
1110
1115
–10
–20
–30
–40
Sell call 1080 Sell call 1070 Buy call 1060 Pay off
Table 9.16
Strike Premium
Short put 1040 14.00
Long call 1050 18.65
Long put 1050 17.05
Short call 1060 15.00
Spot at Long call Long put Short put Short call Net
expiration (1050) (1050) (1040) (1060) pay off
970 – 18.65 62.95 –56.00 15 3.30
980 – 18.65 52.95 –46.00 15 3.30
990 – 18.65 42.95 –36.00 15 3.30
1000 – 18.65 32.95 –26.00 15 3.30
1010 – 18.65 22.95 –16.00 15 3.30
1020 – 18.65 12.95 –6.00 15 3.30
1030 – 18.65 2.95 4.00 15 3.30
1040 – 18.65 – 7.05 14.00 15 3.30
1050 – 18.65 – 17.05 14.00 15 – 6.70
1060 – 8.65 – 17.05 14.00 15 3.30
1070 1.35 – 17.05 14.00 5 3.30
1080 11.35 – 17.05 14.00 –5 3.30
(Contd.)
Option Trading Strategies 193
Spot at Long call Long put Short put Short call Net
expiration (1050) (1050) (1040) (1060) pay off
1090 21.35 – 17.05 14.00 – 15 3.30
1100 31.35 – 17.05 14.00 – 25 3.30
1110 41.35 – 17.05 14.00 – 35 3.30
1120 51.35 – 17.05 14.00 – 45 3.30
1130 61.35 – 17.05 14.00 – 55 3.30
1140 71.35 – 17.05 14.00 – 65 3.30
80
60
40
20
Loss & Profit
0
970
980
990
1000
1010
1020
1030
1040
1060
1070
1080
1090
1100
1110
1120
1130
1140
–20
–40
–60
–80
Long call Long put Short put Short call Net pay off
Table 9.17
Strike Premium
Buy put 240 11.83
Sell put 230 8.03
Sell call 250 14.57
40
30
20
10
Pay off
0
200
205
210
215
220
225
230
235
240
245
250
255
260
265
270
275
–10
–20
Table 9.18
Strike Premium
Buy call 1050 20
Buy put 1000 21
60
40
20
Pay off
0
950.00
960.00
970.00
980.00
990.00
1 000.00
1 010.00
1 020.00
1 030.00
1 040.00
050.00
1 060.00
1 070.00
1 080.00
1 090.00
1 100.00
1 110.00
120.00
–20
–40
–60
Buy call = Buy put = Net pay off
Strike Premium
Short call 4500 50
Short put 4400 10
100
50
0
4200 4300 4400 4500 4600 4700 4800 4900
Profit & Loss
–50
–100
–150
–200
–250
–300
Strike price
which he himself held. His bosses back in London viewed with glee the
millions of profits brought to the bank by Leeson by betting on future direction
of the Nikkei 225 Index. Leeson and his wife Liza enjoyed their exotic life with
a fat salary of £50,000, bonuses up to £150,000, a smart flat, frequent parties
and weekends in exotic places—all gracefully given to him by his employer.
Leeson started by buying and selling the simplest kind of derivatives
futures pegged to Nikkei 225, the Japanese equivalent of UK’s FTSE 100. At
the time the trader only had to put down a small percentage of the amount
that was being traded; it was therefore easily possible for the money on the
table to exceed the losses by many times. However, to Bearings chief
executives, Leeson seemed to be infallible. By the end of 1993, he had made
more than £10 million—about 10% of total profit that year.
Leeson took advantage of the overconfidence reposed by his superiors in
him and opened a secret account 88888, better known as ‘five-eights account’
to hide his losses. This account was initially opened to cover up a mistake
made by an inexperienced team member, which led to a loss of £20,000. He
also succeeded in making his bosses believe that he was executing purchase
orders on behalf of a client. By December 1994, the balance in the account
88888 swelled to $512 million. Leeson never thought that the Nikkei Index
would fall below 19,000 points, and he continued to buy Nikkei Index
Futures against SIMEX. His strategy was to arbitrage between Osaka Stock
Exchange (OSE) and SIMEX to take advantage of the temporary price
difference between the two exchanges.
Leeson continued to build up substantial positions in Japanese equities,
interest rates, Nikkei 225, government bonds (JGB) and Euroyen contracts.
On 17 January 1995, Japan was shocked by the devastating earthquake
measuring 7.2 on the Richter scale in Kobe City. Consequently, Nikkei 225
crashed by 7% in a week. Before the earthquake, Nikkei was trading within a
range of 19,000-19,500. In order to cover up the losses, Leeson requested for
additional funds to Bearings headquarters, and the bosses pumped funds to
Singapore without asking a second question. Leeson was hopeful of a
rebound of Nikkei and expected that it would stabilize at 19,000. Before the
earthquake, he had a long position of approximately 3000 contracts on the
OSE. And the equivalent number of contracts on SIMEX was 6000 because
the SIMEX contracts were half the size of OSE. The aggressive buying to
which he resorted to move the market took Leeson’s position over 20,000
futures contracts worth $180,000 each. But his efforts proved to be futile as
the market did not move as expected. Figure 9.19 explains the movement of
the Nikkei Index and Leeson’s position before and after the earthquake.
OSE publishes the trading positions weekly for public information, and
Leeson’s position at OSE reflected only half of his sanctioned trades. In
principle, Leeson had to go short by twice the number of contracts on SIMEX
if he was on OSE for long, because his official trading strategy was to take
advantage of temporary price differences between OSE Nikkei 225 contracts
Option Trading Strategies 199
18 800
18 600 Bearing’s net long
10 futures positions
18 400
18 200
18 000 5
17 800
17 600
17 400 0
6 13 20 27 3 10 17 24
January February
1995
Fig. 9.19
Source: Data Stream and Osaka Securities Exchange
Futures
Nikkei 30,112 2809 Long 7000 49% of March 1995
225 61,039 contract and 24% of
(Amount June 1995 contract.
7000)
JGB 15,940 8980 Short 19,650 85% of March 1995
28,034 contract and 88% of
June 1995 contract.
Euroyen 601 26.5 Short 350 5% of June 1995
6845 contract, 1% of
September 1995
contract and 1% of
December 1995
contract
Options
Nikkei Nil Calls 3580
225 37,925
Puts
32,967 3100
1. Leeson's reported futures positions were supposedly matched because they were part of
Bearings' switching activity, that is the number of contracts on the OSE or the SIMEX or
the TSE.
2. Actual positions refer to those unauthorized trades held in the error account 88888.
3. Open interest figures for each contract month of each listed contract. For Nikkei 225, JGB
and Euroyen contracts, the contract months are March, June, September and December.
4. Expressed in terms of SIMEX contract sizes, which are half the size of those of the OSE
and the TSE. For Euroyen, SIMEX and TIFFE contracts are of similar size.
5. Expressed in terms of SIMEX contract sizes which are half the size of those of the OSE
and the TSE. For Euroyen, SIMEX and TIFFE contracts are of similar size.
Source: The Report of the Board of Banking Supervision Inquiry into the Circumstances of
the Collapse of Bearings, Ordered by the House of Commons, Her Majestys Stationery
Office, 1995.
Option Trading Strategies 201
Short Straddle
If an investor believes that the market will remain in a tight range, then the
most suitable strategy can be Short Straddles. Short Straddle position can
be created by selling both call options and put options of the same expiry
and same strake price. For example, if the trader has taken short on both
call and put options at the strike rate of 100,for a call premium of Rs. 3 and
put premium of Rs. 2.10. If the market/stock remains in the range of Rs.
105.10-Rs. 94.90, the investor will make profit. On the other hand, above
and below the prescribed range, the trader may incur unlimited loss. The
maximum profit for this strategy is limited and the maximum loss for this
strategy is unlimited. The maximum profit the investor can gain is Rs. 5.10
if the market/stock closes at Rs. 100.
10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
Loss & Profit
2.00
0.00
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
–2.00
–4.00
–6.00
–8.00
–10.00
Strike price
The strike prices of most of Leeson’s straddle positions ranged from 18,500
to 20,000. He thus needed Nikkei 225 to continue to trade in its pre-Kobe
earthquake range of 19,000-19,500 if he was to make money on his option
202 Option Trading
The bottom line of all these cross trades was that Bearings was
counterparty to many of its own trades. Leeson bought from one hand and
sold to the other, and in so doing did not lay off any of the firm’s market risk.
Bearings was thus not arbitraging between SIMEX and the Japanese
exchanges, but taking open (and very substantial) positions, which were
buried in account ‘88888’. It was the profit and loss statement of this account
which correctly represented the revenue earned (or not earned) by Leeson.
Details of this account were never transmitted to the treasury or risk control
offices in London, an omission which ultimately had catastrophic
consequences for Bearings’ shareholders and bondholders. Table 9.22 shows
how Leeson manipulated the accounts.
The size of Nikkei 225 cross-trades on the floor of SIMEX for the dates shown,
with the other side being in account ‘92000’
Source: The Report of the Board of Banking Supervision Inquiry into the
Circumstances of the Collapse of Bearings, Ordered by the House of
Commons, Her Majesty’s Stationery Office, 1995.
The BoBS in its report to the House of Commons identified five major
areas of failures on the part of Bearings’ management. These areas are as
follows: (a) segregation of front and back offices, (b) senior management
involvement, (c) adequacy of capital, (d) poor control procedures and (e)
lack of supervision.
Peter Bearing remembered having told the BoBS that he found the
earnings ‘pleasantly surprising’. He did not even know the breakdown.
Andrew Tuckey, ex-deputy chairman, when asked whether there had ever
been any discussion about the long-term sustainability of the business, told
about the same investigation, ‘Yes ... in very general terms. We seemed to be
making money out of this business and if we can do it, can’t somebody else
do it? How can we protect our position? ....’ Senior management naively
accepted that this business was a goldmine with little risk.
Ron Baker (head of the Financial Products Group) and Mary Walz (global
head of Equity Financial Products), two of Bearings’ most senior derivatives
staff and Leeson’s bosses, got the following adverse remarks by BoBS:
‘Neither were familiar with the operations of the SIMEX floor. Both claim
that they thought that the significant and large profits were possible from a
competitive advantage that BFS had arising out of its good inter-office
communications and its large client order flow. As the exchanges were open
and competitive markets, this suggests a lack of understanding of the nature
of the business and the risks (including compliance risks) inherent in
combining agency and proprietary trading’.
Given the huge amounts of cash that Bearings had to borrow to meet the
margin demands of SIMEX, senior managers were almost negligent in their
duties when they did not press Leeson for more details of his positions or/
and the credit department for client details. Members of the Asset and
Liability Committee (ALCO), which monitored the bank’s market risk,
expressed concern at the size of the position, but took comfort in the thought
that the firm’s exposure to directional moves in Nikkei was negligible since
they were arbitrage (and hedged) positions. This same misplaced belief led
management to ignore market concerns about Bearings’ large positions, even
when queries came from high-level and reputable sources, including a query
on 27 January 1995 from the Bank for International Settlements in Basle.
The bank was haemorrhaging cash and still London took no steps to
investigate Singapore’s requests for fundspartly because senior
management assumed that a proportion of these funds represented advances
to clients. Even then the complacency is still baffling. BFS had only one third-
party client of its ownBanque Nationale de Paris in Tokyo. The rest were
clients of the London and Tokyo offices. Either London’s or Tokyo’s existing
customers had suddenly become very active or Leeson had recently gone out
and won some very lucrative accounts or Tokyo or London had a new
supersalesman who had brought new business with him. Yet no enquiries
were made on this front, which displays a blasé attitude to a potentially
important source of revenue.
9.20.4.1 Funding
The London office was automatically remitting to Leeson the sum of money
he asked for, without asking for justification of such demands. Some of the
operating staff even expressed their apprehensions about the accuracy of the
data which was not considered while making these remittances. In fact, the
London office could have calculated the margins using Standard Portfolio
Analysis of Risk (SPAN) margining programme and could have cross-
checked Leeson’s demands, which would have revealed that the money
Leeson was requesting was substantially higher than that called for under
SIMEX margining rules. The cumulative funding by Bearings London and
Tokyo at the end of December 1994 amounted to US$354 million, and in the
first 2 months of 1995, this figure went up by US$835 million to US$1.2
billion. The BoBS inquiry team made the following observations in their
report to HM:
We described ... how [Tony] Railton [futures and option settlements
senior clerk] discovered in February 1995 that the breakdown of the total US
Dollar request was meaningless, and that the BFS clerk knew the total
funding requirement for that day and made up the individual figures in the
breakdown to add up to the required total.
From November 1994, BFS usually requested a round sum number split
equally between US dollars for client accounts and proprietary positions.
Tony Hawes [group treasurer] confirmed that he identified this feature of
the requests: ‘That was one of the main reasons why during February 1995 I
paid two visits to Singapore.’ If the US Dollar requests had been in relation to
genuine positions taken by clients and house [Bearings itself], on any one
day we consider it unlikely for the margin requests for these two sets of
positions to be identical; as for having the requests split 50:50 most days, this
is in our view beyond all possibility. Tony Hawes appears to agree with this
208 Option Trading
view. He told us that: ‘It was just one of the factors that made me distrust this
information ... It was quite too much of a coincidence. ... Throughout I put it
down to poor book-keeping and sloppy treasury management in Bearings
Futures [BFS].
David Hughes [treasury department manager] also told us that the 50:50
split: ‘was a cause for concern ... we said, this cannot be right.’ He explained
that: ‘I do not think we could have house positions and client positions
running totally in tandem.’ [Brenda] Granger [manager, futures and options
settlements] confirmed that she would have spoken to Hughes about the
split. She added: ‘We would joke about Singapore. Why don’t we send
somebody’s mother [anyone] out there to run the department since Nick is
so busy now?
Staff in London could not reconcile funds remitted to Singapore to both
proprietary in-house and individual client positions. Had it been done, they
would have discovered that it was sending out far too much money just to
cover the margin calls of clients.
operational heads in London. Simon Jones did not press Leeson for an
explanation; indeed, he dealt with the matter by allowing Leeson to draft
Bearings’ response to SIMEX.
The second incident did come to the attention of London, but again was
dealt with unsatisfactorily, perhaps because Bearings’ personnel themselves
were unsure about what really happened. At the beginning of February 1995,
Coopers & Lybrand brought to the attention of London and Simon Jones the
fact that US$83 million apparently due from Spear, Leeds & Kellogg (SLK), a
US investment group, had not been received. No one is sure how this multi-
million dollar receivable came about. One version of events is that BFS,
through Leeson, had traded or broked an over-the-counter deal between SLK
and BNP, Tokyo. The transaction involved 20,050,000 call options, resulting
in a premium of 7.778 billion (US$83 million). The second version was that
an ‘operational error’ had occurred; that is a payment had been made to a
wrong third party in December 1994. Both versions had very serious control
implications for Bearings. If Leeson had sold or broked an OTC option, it
should have been considered as an unauthorized activity. Yet he was not
admonished for doing so; nor is there any record of Bearings’ management
taking any steps to ensure that it did not happen again. If the SLK receivable
was an operational error, Bearings had to tighten up its back-office
procedures.*
Table 9.23
Strike Premium
Sell call 100 3
Sell put 100 2.10
(Contd.)
*Source: Financial Services and System, Dr. Sasidharan and Alex K Mathews.
Option Trading Strategies 211
10.00
8.00
Profit
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
–2.00
–4.00
Loss
–6.00
–8.00
–10.00 Strike price
10.00
8.00
Profit
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
–2.00
–4.00
Loss
–6.00
–8.00
–10.00
Table 9.24
Strike Premium
Long call 970 20.80
Long put 970 15.50
60.00
45.00
Profit
30.00
15.00
0.00
910
920
930
940
950
960
970
980
990
1000
1010
1020
1030
(Contd.)
Option Trading Strategies 213
60.00
45.00
Profit 30.00
15.00
0.00
910
930
950
970
990
1010
1030
–15.00
Loss
Long put
–30.00
Net pay off
–45.00 Long call
–60.00
In the second scenario, if the stock stays flat during the lifetime of the
option, Mr. A can pocket the whole premium of Rs. 9900, and he may sell his
stock at Rs. 165.
In the third situation, if the stock starts trading below Rs. 162, then Mr. A
can liquidate the stocks in the spot market and cover the short position in the
option market, which will be less than his sold premium. Buying high-
dividend-yielding stocks and writing its calls is an attractive cash
management tool.
The disadvantage of the covered call strategy is that if the call is exercised,
delivery of the stock will not take place because now in India it is settled in
cash. If the holder exercises his option, the writer of the option will come to
know the obligation only on the next day morning, when the stock can open
even at a lower side gap.
9.24 PROBABILITY
Probability, in simple terms, is the chance of occurrence of an event.
Statisticians generally quote throwing a dice as an example. Dice is used in
gambling where we throw the dice to get a specific number. The dice has six
sides, and the player throws the dice to get the specific number he desires.
The number required by the player is only on one side of the dice. By using
probability, we can find out the pattern of occurrences. For example, if we
want to find the probability of getting an even number, how many times
should we throw the dice?
The numbers marked on the sides of the dice are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6, and the
even numbers are 2, 4 and 6. This means, out of six numbers, three are even
and the other three are odd. Hence, the probability of getting an even number
can be 3/6 or ½. So, we can assume that there is a probability of getting an
even number on every second throw.
Option Trading Strategies 215
æ ln(Q/P ) ö
P (below Q) = N ç
è s T – t ÷ø
æ ln(1100/1150) ö
P (below 1100)= N ç
è 0.56 ´ 0.2867 ÷ø
æ ln(0.9565) ö
= Nç
è 0.1605 ÷ø
= N (– 0.2771)
= 1– N (0.2771)
= 1 – 0.6064
= 0.3936
= 39.36%
This indicates that there is 39.36% probability of the price of the
underlying asset moving down to 1100.
P (above Q) = 1 – P (below Q)
æ ln(Q/P ) ö
P (above Q) =1 – N ç
è s T - t ÷ø
where
P (above Q) = Probability of asset price going above Q on expiry
Q = Price level of the upside protection (strike price +
premium)
ln = Natural logarithm
P = Current asset price
s = Volatility of the asset for the period of the option
N = Cumulative normal distribution
(T – t)/365 = Life of option expressed in the decimal of the year
Example
Asset price Rs. 100, strike price Rs. 110, option premium Rs. 5, implied
volatility of the asset 35%, contract period from 27 January 2008 to 27 March
2008. The breakeven level of the trader in this case is Rs. 115 (strike price Rs.
110 + option premium Rs. 5). Any amount above this level would be his
profit. The probability of the price going above this level can be verified by
applying the above formula as follows:
Q = 115 (110 + 5)
P = 100
s = 0.35 (35%)
Ö(T – t)/365 = 0.4054
æ ln(115/100) ö
P (above 115) = 1 – N ç
è 0.35 ´ 0.4054 ÷ø
æ -0.1398 ö
= 1 – Nç
è -0.1419 ÷ø
= 1 – N(0.9844)
= 1 – 0.8340
= 0.1660
= 16.60 %
The result indicates that given the present conditions, the probability of
the asset price moving up above the breakeven level of Rs. 115 is 16.60%.
another expiry. In India, natural rubber output remains very high in the
month of December, January and February, whereas shortage is expected in
August and September. A spread trader exploits this situation and sells the
December/January/February natural rubber futures and buys the August/
September futures. The major attraction is the low margins and low risks.
There are traders who exploit inter-exchange arbitrage by buying an
underlying stock in one exchange and selling a far-month contract in another
exchange of the same commodity and vice versa.
the far-month contract remained weak, and the fall was comparatively low.
The lowest risky trading strategy gave a whopping $6 billion dollar loss to
the firm.
Analysts estimate that in order to fund his positions, Hunter borrowed $8
for every $1 of Amaranth’s own funds. When the bets went in his favour, he
could pay back the debt and keep the rest of the profit for Amaranth.
However, the inverse happened. The bets went against him, and his
borrowing amplified his losses.
To quote The Wall Street Journal, ‘Much of the blame is being put on a single
trader, Brian Hunter, 32, a Canadian. Hunter’s bold bets and deep
understanding of the natural gas market had propelled him through Wall
Street and into Amaranth, which is based in Connecticut. Such was his
success in trading natural gas futures, or bets on the future price of the
commodity, that Amaranth allowed him to work from his home in Calgary,
where he drove a Ferrari in summer and a Bentley in winter’. Traders in the
natural gas market referred to Mr. Hunter of Amaranth as a ‘bully’, in
reference to not his personality but his ability to move the price of natural
gas artificially, because of the huge positions he was taking.
Energy trading has its own distinct qualities. ‘Energy trades a bit
differently from most other commodities, in that the volatilities are quite
high and liquidity can be varied and or poor’, said Michael Denton, an
energy risk expert at Towers Perrin Risk Capital. Both issues present ‘risk
control challenges’, Mr. Denton added, which can be managed by limiting
concentration and providing adequate capital to support trading. Still,
energy trading will always entail ‘significant risk’, he said, ‘because storage
and transportation are limited and demand is stochastic and highly
inelastic’.
‘In addition, data used to build quantitative models to control risk are also
more difficult to obtain or of poorer quality in the energy markets’, Denton
added. Most people investing in commodities are ‘investing on the
sustainability of the cycle, on things going higher’, said Louis Gargour, a
former RAB Capital fund manager who recently founded his own fund, LNG
Capital. Because so many people are buying and not selling, the short-term
volatility has increased, which can particularly hurt people who are highly
leveraged, as commodity traders are. ‘When the market retreats, it is vicious’,
Mr. Gargour said.
He added, ‘No one listens to the risk managers until it is too late’.
Especially the younger traders, said fund managers and long-time traders.
They say the commodity markets are full of Brian Hunters, traders in their
late 20s or early 30s, who have never traded through severe conditions like
220 Option Trading
the plummet in crude oil prices in the 1980s. Instead, they have watched as
natural gas prices, as well as prices of many other commodities, rose since
2001—unevenly, but with clear annual gains. (The trading desk Mr. Hunter
ran at Deutsche Bank suffered losses in 2003, but he contended in a lawsuit
that he personally made money for the firm that year.)
Where more experienced traders in commodities have pulled out of the
market in recent months, or have made long-term bets that these historically
cyclic investments would fall, younger traders may have been convinced the
market could keep going up, for example their peers. Emerging-market
demand for commodities and fears about petroleum supplies have created
what traders refer to as a supercycle, one that has driven prices higher, for
longer, than ever.
In a bid to stem losses, Amaranth gave up its energy trades to Citadel
Investment Group LLC, a $12 billion hedge fund in Chicago, and to New
York-based bank JPMorgan Chase & Co. The market speculated that
Citigroup Inc., the largest US bank by assets, may buy a stake in Amaranth.
Amaranth has managed money for Wall Street banks Morgan Stanley, Credit
Suisse Group, Deutsche Bank AG and Bank of New York Co., according to
US Securities and Exchange Commission filings. A $2.3 billion Morgan
Stanley pool that invests in other hedge funds had about $126 million in
Amaranth as of 30 June, according to regulatory filings. Bank of New York
allocated $10 million of a $165 million fund to the firm.
MotherRock LP, a $400 million fund run by former Nymex President
Robert ‘Bo’ Collins, shut down last August after unsuccessful bets on the
direction of natural gas. Both funds attempted to profit from spreads, or
discrepancies in price, between different gas futures contracts. Amaranth
used loans to expand its bets, increasing its losses. Hedge fund investors
should take Amaranth as a warning to do better homework before trusting
money with a fund.
Table 9.26
Table 9.27
Table 9.28 Nifty Call and Put Option Premium on July 14th
impact on the short-term maturities. A spread trader should take utmost care
of implied volatility changes, which is the one and only main risk associated
with spreading.
200 negative deltas, either by selling 200 shares in stock futures market or the
Infosys call or by buying the Infosys put option.
If you have decided to hedge the risks in Infosys by selling the at-the-
money call option with 0.50 delta, you have to sell 400 call options (two lots
of Infosys calls). If you want to write the out-of-the-money call options (0.25
deltas), then you have to write eight lots of Infosys calls. Writing the deep in-
the-money call of Infosys is not advisable, because a deep in the call options
can attract early exercise. Buying Infosys put options in the money (0.75
delta) is not advisable, because the position may be either over-hedged or
under-hedged. So, deep in-the-money put (1 delta) or at-the-money put (0.5
delta) is advisable. In order to create a delta neutral position, out-of-the-
money calls and puts are used.
9.31 SCALPING
If a trader can buy a commodity or futures or even an option at bid price and
can sell the same underlying contract at ask price, then the investor may
make a small profit risklessly. A scalper here looks into the theoretical price,
but always traders on bid ask differentials. In an illiquid counter, the scalpers
will take the advantage of this kind.
Summary
In the foregoing paragraphs, we have discussed extensively about various
option strategies. These strategies were mainly aimed at a bear market. We
also discussed about the traditional strategies like straddles and strangles
and how the Bearings Bank lost in option trading due to the speculative
trading done by its dealer Nick Leeson. We have explained the concept of
spread trading with examples from the Indian capital market, quoting the
cases of Ranbaxy–Daiichi Deal, and have presented the case of Amaranth as
an example of how spread trading can lead to losses also. The option
strategies discussed here are developed considering the Indian market
conditions. However, the investors, traders and professionals using these
strategies are advised to analyse the market and examine the suitability of
these strategies for their portfolio. The market analysis has to be done from
drawing data from various sources. Readers may have a doubt as to where
the reliable data can be obtained. In the next chapter, we present some of the
sources of data.
228 Option Trading
Keywords
Long put Short call Portfolio hedging
Delta hedge Bear spread Put ratio spread
Synthetic short Synthetic index futures Long combo
Long call Christmas trees Albatross Short straddle
Short strip Long guts Long call ladder
Long strangles Long straddles Covered call
Spread trading Contango Backwardation
CHAPTER 10
MARKET INFORMATION
10.1 OBJECTIVES
Having understood the basics of options, techniques of writing options and
option strategies, readers may raise a question about the source of the price
information. In this chapter we have provided information about the sources
of data relating to stock prices and indices.
10.2 INTRODUCTION
For analysis and interpretation, we need current and historical data.
Historical data can be collected from newspapers and from NSE website
(www.nseindia.com). Current and historical data for Index options, Stock
options and for Index futures and Stock futures and spot markets are
available in NSE website.
Some of the typical news paper quotes taken from www.economictimes.
com.
Figures 10.1–10.5 show some of the typical newspaper quotes taken from
www.economictimes.com.
230 Option Trading
Fig. 10.1
Market Information 231
Fig. 10.2
232 Option Trading
Fig. 10.3
Market Information 233
Fig. 10.4
234 Option Trading
Fig. 10.5
Market Information 235
Fig. 10.6
Market Today: Trade statistics for the day, with number of contracts,
turnover and PC ratio of Index & Stock Options, with aggregate of F&O can
be obtained from this page. Cumulative FII positions on the derivative
segment as a percentage of total gross market position is also obtained from
this page.
236 Option Trading
Fig. 10.7
Source: www.economictimes.com
Fig. 10.8
Market Information 237
Fig. 10.9
To find out the spot interest rates, we use N-S (Nielson-Siegel) parameters
using the traded bonds. From this page, you will get the N-S parameters for
the day, along with historical data of all trades and trades up to 3:00 pm.
Next in the Market Today is the Bhavcopy of Derivatives daily that gives
you the information on Futures and Options price, Net Change, % Change,
Open Interest at the end of the day, Traded Quantity, Traded number of
Contracts and Traded Value.
Fig. 10.10
Also, Archives of derivatives data can be obtained for various dates and
its print screen is Daily Settlement prices are obtained from the Market
Today by downloading from the page. Next to that, in the Daily Volatility
link, we can obtain volatility of underlying and futures in terms of daily and
annualized, with respect to applicable daily volatility and applicable
annualized volatility. Archives can also be obtained for daily volatility of
futures segment. Client wise position limits in the derivatives segment on a
daily basis, along with Archives, is published by NSE and is obtained from
the Market Today page. Base prices for illiquid contracts of stock options are
released on a daily basis.
238 Option Trading
Fig. 10.11
Fig. 10.12
Market Information 239
Fig. 10.13
200000000
Amount
2
6
4
5
7
-0
-0
-0
-0
-0
-0
-0
-0
02
08
07
01
05
03
04
06
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
Years
Summary
In this chapter we have seen how to gather information pertaining to markets
from the daily business news papers, where to get different information, how
to interpret the information available from the NSE website and put
ourselves in a position to check the positions of the stocks in our portfolio.
The option trading is aimed at managing risks in the portfolio of investments.
It would be interesting to know what are the risks in option trading. We are
throwing light on this aspect in the next chapter.
Keywords
Market Today Get Quote Historical Data
Archives Bhavcopy
CHAPTER 11
RISK IN DERIVATIVES
11.1 OBJECTIVES
Derivatives are tools for managing risk. In the previous few chapters we
discussed how derivatives can be used for risk management. But derivatives
themselves can be risky. In this chapter we have explained various types of
risks to which trading in option market is exposed.
11.2 INTRODUCTION
Warren Buffett, the financial Guru, says that ‘derivatives are like hell… easy
to enter and it is almost impossible to exit’. According to him, derivatives
pose dangerous incentives for false accounting, profits and losses from
derivative deals are booked straight away, even though no actual money
changes hands. In many cases the real costs hit companies only many years
later.
can be very high, but in a trending market, the risk in writing an option is
low. Secondly, the time decay factor always supports the writers of the
option than the buyers of the option. Many knowledgeable option writers
are using various ways and strategies to protect their risks associated with
writing of both call and put options. A knowledgeable call option writer
should always have a long position in the cash market or in the futures
market. A put option buyer is always ready to buy the underlying assets
which he might have sold at a higher rate previously, or he should always
calculate the probability of the underlying asset falling below a certain level.
This has been explained in the previous chapters.
Liquidity risk: Liquidity risk arises when one party wants to trade in an asset
but cannot do it because of the reason that there are no perspective takers for
that particular offer. Liquidity risk becomes particularly important to parties
who are about to hold or currently hold an asset, since it affects their ability
to trade. In the case of index options, once the liquidity dries up (deep-in-
the-money call and put option becomes illiquid), option traders particularly
find it difficult to exit from the trade. Due to the high premiums, demand for
deep-in-the-money calls and puts will fall making them illiquid. Also, as the
index options are European options, the holders of options can’t exercise
their option until the expiry.
Market risk: Market risk is the risk that the value of an investment will
decrease due to movements in market factors. The Reserve Bank of India has
defined market risk as ‘the possibility of loss to a bank caused by changes in
the market variables’. According to the Bank for International Settlement
(BIS), market risk is ‘the risk that the value of ‘on’ or ‘off’ balance sheet
positions will be adversely affected by movements in equity and interest rate
markets, currency exchange rates and commodity prices’. Market risk is
typically measured using a value-at-risk methodology. The price of a stock
depends on fundamental values, but sometimes the prices can fluctuate due
to various other reasons like interest rate variations, inflation, geo-political
tensions etc. For example, an investor is expecting very strong quarterly
numbers from Infosys, which is expected to announce the quarterly number
on 13 April 2007, and expecting 10% price appreciation from the current
levels. So s/he bought 100 shares of Infosys at a price of Rs. 2000 on 10 April
2007. As expected, the company came with strong quarterly numbers on 13
April 2007, but due to RBI’s decision to hike the CRR on the same day, the
stock market (the Nifty) crashed by 150 points. Even though the quarterly
numbers of Infosys were good, the stock closed at Rs. 1920 due to Infy’s beta
relationship with Nifty. The four standard market risks are equity risk,
interest rate risk, currency risk and commodity risk.
*
Sasidharan K and Alex K Mathews, Financial Services and System.
Risk in Derivatives 243
Financial analysts are using various methods to reduce the market risk of
a security or an underlying. The most preferred method is known as hedging.
Holding the financial asset and selling the indices or selling an underlying
which has highest correlation with the underlying asset held by you, that is
holding SBI stocks in hand (SBI is an index heavy weight) and selling PNB
(PNB is also a heavy weight but has low weightage comparing with SBI.)
Futures and options are said to be the best products to hedge the market risks.
rate has gone up from 13% to 18%. In this case, Mr. A may not borrow funds
because it is less rewarding to him. It means that higher the interest rate,
lower the demand for stocks.
When the interest rate moves up, the call option premium will move up
and the premium of put option will come down (Figs. 11.1 and 11.2).
TIME TO EXPIRY 23
VOLATILITY% 47
ANNUAL INTEREST
RATE 6.5
CALL PUT
OPTION
VALUE 20.75 0.334
TIME TO EXPIRY 23
VOLATILITY% 47
ANNUAL INTEREST
RATE 11
CALL PUT
OPTION
VALUE 20.89 0.20
Model risk: Different models are used in financial operations for valuation
of assets, pricing of products, measuring risk, etc. The risk associated is very
high with complex derivatives models, due to wrong values. For example,
LTCM suffered substantial losses due to the failure of the model they
selected.
Volatility risk: One of the key factors affecting option premium is implied
volatility. If volatility increases, the implied volatility also increases
alongside. Option writing is very dangerous if the volatility is on the rise.
Even if the underlying asset price remains the same, the option premium can
rise if the implied volatility increases.
Figures 11.3 and 11.4 show that when the implied volatility of the option
increases, even if the underlying asset price remains the same, the option
premium will also rise. In Fig. 11.3, we can see that the strike price and the
share price are at Rs. 200. The volatility is 25, the time to expiry is 17 days and
the annual interest rate is 7%. The option premium that we see in the first
diagram is Rs. 7.49 for the call option and Rs. 6.4 for the put option. In Fig.
11.4, we can see that the strike price, the share price and the interest rate
remain the same. The things that have changed are the volatility, which is at
40, and the expiration day, which has reduced to 13. Now, we can see that
both the call option premium and the put premium have come down to
Rs. 5.82 and 5.33 respectively.
TIME TO EXPIRY 17
VOLATILITY% 25
ANNUAL INTEREST
RATE 7
CALL PUT
OPTION
VALUE 7.49 6.4
13
VOLATILITY% 40
ANNUAL INTEREST
RATE 7
CALL PUT
OPTION
VALUE 5.82 5.33
Time risk: One of the key risks associated with option trading is the decay of
time value. As the time passes, the time value of an option quickly decreases.
So, switching from one expiry to another is the easiest way of protecting the
time value. Another way of protection can be availed by selling lower strike
options in the case of a put option and higher strike call in the case of a call
option. Sometimes, changing the option’s strike price also protects the time
value to a certain extent. Instead of selling the existing out-of-the-money put
(the time value will be eroded in out-of-the-money option very fast) which
we bought earlier, we can buy a new put option at at-the-money strike price
(where time value will be high). Time decay is the only major reason why
traders are constructing spreads. Buying at-the-money call and selling an
out-of-the-money call is a spread. In the same way, one can create spread
position by buying at-the-money put and selling an out-of-the-money put
option.
Summary
We have seen that though derivatives are tools for managing risks, they
themselves are exposed to different types of risks. These risks can be liquidity
risk, interest rate risk, model risk, volatility risk and time risk. The list is
exhaustive. As time passes, the market may bring in more complex risks
Risk in Derivatives 247
Keywords
Risk Interest rate risk Liquidity risk
Model risk Volatility risk Risk of time
CHAPTER 12
ACCOUNTING AND
TAXATION OF OPTION
TRADING
12.1 OBJECTIVES
Having discussed about trading in F&O segment and the risk associated with
the F&O transactions, one should know the accounting treatment of these
transactions and the taxation issues involved. We will explain these two vital
issues in this chapter.
12.2 INTRODUCTION
Guidance notes on accounting of equity and stock index and on equity and
stock options have been issued by the Institute of Chartered Accountants of
India (ICAI) for the buyers and sellers in the F&O segment. Accounting
norms at various stages of positions right from the inception to the final
settlement for equity index and stock options are given in the following
sections.
shares for the strike price at which put option was entered into and must
debit relevant equity shares account and debit cash. Also, premium paid or
received is transferred to the profit and loss account with accounting entries
as same as those in cash settled options.
Summary
We have seen that the ICAI has issued extensive guidelines regarding
accounting of option transactions, and how these liabilities under these
heads are to be shown in the balance sheet. We have also discussed the
taxation issues and found that ambiguity still prevails with regard to carry
forward of losses and set off of losses on derivative trading. Before we
conclude this chapter, two other important areas to be covered are the
technical terms used in F&O operations and clarifying some of the general
doubts on F&O trading. We will cover these areas in the next two chapters.
Keywords
Securities transaction tax Brokerage charges Educational cess
Income tax Carry forward Set off
CHAPTER 13
FAQs ON OPTIONS
13.1 OBJECTIVES
In this chapter, we will clarify some of the doubts on F&O transactions raised
by various people at different points.
Under option trading, who is in a relatively safe position: the buyer or the
seller?
In the world of options, the buyers are in a better position than the sellers as
far as risk and rewards are concerned. As mentioned earlier, the buyer enjoys
only the right either to buy (call option) or sell (put option) and he is no way
obliged to exercise his right. If the situation is not favorable to the buyer, he
can simply walk out of the contract and the maximum loss he has to incur is
the premium paid for buying the contract. Thus, the risk or loss is certain as
well as limited in the case of an option buyer.
On the other side, the return to the buyer may be fairly large and no limit
can be placed in advance. In the case of a call option buyer, profit emerges
when the market value of the contracted asset exceeds the strike price, and it
goes on increasing so long as the price of the asset is moving up. Similarly, a
put option holder makes profit when the market value of the asset in
question decreases below the strike price, and every fall in the value of the
asset will add up to his profit.
From the option seller’s point of view, the profit is fixed while the risk or
loss is unlimited. This is due to the fact that the seller is obliged to honour the
rights of the option buyer. Take the case of a call option writer. If the price of
the asset is going up and surpassing the strike price, the option buyer will
exercise his/her right to buy and the option seller may have to buy the
security from the market at a higher price in order to honour his/her
commitment. No limit can be placed to such losses in advance. On the other
hand, his/her income from this deal is limited to the premium he/she
received earlier.
The case of a put option writer too is not different in case the value of the
contracted asset is falling. As the market price of the asset falls below the
strike price, the put option buyer will exercise his/her right to sell, and this
254 Option Trading
right has to be honoured by the option writer by purchasing the asset at the
strike price. The loss will continue to widen with every fall in the value of the
asset in relation to the strike price. On the other hand, the maximum income
to the option seller is limited to the extent of the premium received.
Is there a way out to minimise losses of option sellers?
Yes. As in the case of option buyers, option writers too have the freedom to
square up their positions by entering into an opposite transaction. For
example, a call option seller can square up his sale position by purchasing a
call option on the same asset. Similarly, a sale position on a put contract can
be settled by purchasing a put option on the same asset. In both the cases,
care should be taken to ensure that the options bought are identical to the
options sold in all respects like strike price, expiry date etc.
Needless to say, options are bought or sold on the basis of the expectation
of the trader regarding the probable price movements of the underlying asset
in future. For example, a call option is bought when the buyer expects an
increase in the price of the asset before the contract expires, and he/she
hopes to make a profit by executing his/her right (purchase at the strike
price) and then selling the asset at the market price which is expected to be
higher than the strike price. On the other hand, the seller of the call expects
that an upward movement in the price of the asset is quite unlikely and hence
the contract buyer would not come forward to exercise his/her right.
Similarly, a put option is bought on the anticipation that the price of the
asset would fall, whereas the put option is written on the expectation that the
asset price may go up or remain steady during the tenure of the contract.
When any of these expectations is belied, the person (buyer or seller) who is
likely to be affected will square up his/her position by entering into an
opposite transaction instead of waiting for the expiry day of the contract.
What is meant by European and American options?
In the European model of options, contract buyers are allowed to exercise
their right to buy or sell (the asset) on the settlement day alone, which may
probably be the expiry day of the contract. However, buying and selling
positions could be squared up at any time in the market by entering into a
reverse transaction.
In American model of options, call or put option holders can settle their
claims by exercising the right to buy or sell on any day that falls between the
date of entry and the date of expiry.
At what price are the options settled?
All outstanding contracts on the settlement day or the date of expiry are
settled at the settlement price. The settlement price is arrived at on the basis
of the market value of the underlying asset on the settlement/expiry day.
FAQs on Options 255
used as a hedge to protect ones equity portfolio from a decline in the market.
Hence, by paying a relatively small premium, an investor knows that no
matter how far the stock drops, it can be sold at the strike price of the put
anytime until the put expires.
How can the option be put to use?
When an investor hopes the price of an underlying to rise or fall in near
future, the investor can get hold of an option which gives him/her the right
to buy or sell the stock at a pre-determined price. If the investor expects the
underlying asset to rise, then s/he can go for a call option, but if his
expectation is a fall in the price of the stock, then s/he may go for a put
option which will earn him profit if the stock price falls.
How does the settlement of an option take place?
The settlement of an option takes place in two ways: one in which the
investor can sell an option of the same series which the investor is currently
holding and close the position in that option any time before expiration; the
other way is to exercise the option on or before the expiration.
Who would use index options?
Index options are effective enough to a broad spectrum of users, from
conservative investors to more aggressive stock market traders. Individual
investors may use index options to have an upper hand on market opinions
by acting on their views of the broad market or any of its sectors. The more
sophisticated market participants may find variety of index option contracts
as excellent tools for enhancing market timing decisions and adjusting asset
mixes for asset allocation. To market participants, managing the risk
involved in large equity positions may mean using index options to mitigate
their exposed risk or to increase market exposure.
What is SPAN?
Standard portfolio analysis (SPAN) of risk is a globally acknowledged risk
management system developed by Chicago Mercantile Exchange. It is a
portfolio-based margin calculating system adopted by all major derivatives
exchanges. It identifies overall risk in a complete portfolio of futures and
options, and at the same time recognizes the unique exposures associated
with both inter-month and inter-commodity risk relationships. It determines
the largest loss that a portfolio might suffer within the period specified by
the exchange.
What are KYC norms?
Know your customer (KYC) norms are mandatory details of customers
required by banks and financial institutions before opening of customer’s
account. These norms were issued by RBI and came into effect from the
260 Option Trading
second half of 2002. This was an attempt to prevent identity theft, identity
fraud, money laundering, terrorist financing, etc. from the customer’s side.
Mandatory details include proof of identity and residence. Quite often,
passport, voter’s ID card, PAN card, driving licence, ration card, electricity
or telephone bill, organization letter etc. are proofs of identity. It’s main
objective is to restrict money laundering and terrorist financing. The
objectives of the KYC framework are of two–fold: (i) to ensure appropriate
customer identification and (ii) to monitor transactions of a suspicious
nature.
What are the account opening procedures with a broker/sub-broker?
After selecting a SEBI-approved broker/sub-broker, the first step is to open
a trading account with the sub-broker. Firstly, clients have to fill in a client
registration form with the broker/sub-broker. Every client should read and
understand the Risk Disclosure document, which is issued by the stock
exchange, before trading in equities or derivatives segment. The trading
member will obtain a signed copy of the same from all clients. Secondly,
every client needs to enter into the broker/sub-broker agreement and he/
she has to read carefully the terms and conditions of the agreement, before
executing them on a valid stamp paper. The client or his/her authorized
signatory should sign on all pages of the agreement. The agreement has also
to be signed by the witnesses along with their names and addresses. The
client has to give in details such as name, address, copy of client’s PAN card,
photo identity documents, details of bank account, proof of residence etc.
What is the maximum brokerage chargeable by a broker/sub-broker?
The maximum brokerage that can be charged by a broker/sub-broker is 2.5%
of the contract price, and there is no stipulation on minimum brokerage that
can be charged to the clients. The trade price should be shown separately
from the brokerage charged. The maximum brokerage that can be charged is
Rs. 0.25 per share/debenture or 2.5% of the contract price per share/
debenture, whichever is higher. Any additional charges that the trading
member can charge are securities transaction tax, service tax on brokerage,
stamp duty etc. as may be applicable from time to time. The brokerage and
service tax are required to be indicated separately in the contract note.
What are the different taxes to be paid by the customer?
The different taxes payable by the customer includes:
· Service tax (charged as 12% of the brokerage)
· Education cess on service tax (3% including secondary and higher
educational cess at 1% of service tax from May 11, 2007)
· Security transaction tax (STT), which is charged based on the volume
traded by the client
- for cash delivery it is 0.125%
- for cash speculation it is 0.025% (sell side only)
- for F&O, it is 0.017% (sell side only)
FAQs on Options 261
Summary
We have answered frequently asked queries raised by our clients as well as
investors. We will answer the questions from investors on a continuous basis
through our website www.derivativeforum.com.
262 Option Trading
Keywords
Covered and Naked calls Synthetic Put option SPAN Intrinsic Value
Time value KYC Securities Transaction
Tax Education Cess Service Tax Exchange
Levy Stamp Duty Contract Note
Trade confirmation
CHAPTER 14
DERIVATIVE GLOSSARY
14.1 OBJECTIVES
The objective of this chapter is to familiarize the investors and practitioners
with the terminologies used in options and futures trading.
Alpha
The amount an investment’s average rate of return exceeds the riskless rate,
adjusted for the inherent systematic risk is known as Alpha. One way to
compute alpha is to regress an investment’s excess rate of return against the
market portfolio’s excess rate of return. The intercept in this regression is an
estimate of the risk-adjusted excess rate of return.
American Depository Receipt (ADR)
A receipt showing a claim on certain number of shares in a foreign
corporation that a depository bank holds for the U.S. investors.
Arbitrage
The art of taking advantage of the price differential of two markets.
Arbitrageur
A person who engages in arbitrage activity.
Atlantic Spread
Option strategy in which a trader holds long (or short) on an American
option and short (or long) on the otherwise identical European option—
hence, long (short) on the value of early exercise.
Asset Class
A broadly defined generic group of financial assets which includes stocks or
bonds.
Ask (Asked)
The price at which a dealer is ready to sell. Ordinarily, the ask exceeds the
bid and the bid–ask spread is what the dealer stands to make by quickly
turning around one unit of product. It is also known as offer, offered or
offering price.
264 Option Trading
Bid
The price at which a dealer (market maker) is ready to buy. Ordinarily, the
bid is less than the ask (q.v.), and the bid–ask spread is what the dealer stands
to make by quickly turning around one unit of product.
BidAsk Spread
The difference between the price that a market-maker is willing to pay for a
security and the price at which the market-maker is willing to sell the same
security.
Bidder
In the context of a corporate takeover, the firm making a tender offer to the
target firm.
Bid Price
The price at which a market-maker is willing to purchase a specified quantity
of a particular security.
Bet Option
A binary option.
Binary Option
An option with a pay off function that has two levels, such as zero dollars or
one million dollars.
Binary Call (Put) Option
Typically, a binary call (put) option (q.v.) that pays off nothing if the
underlying risk factor is below (above) the strike, and a constant amount if
the risk factor exceeds (is below) the strike.
BOBL Futures Option
An American option that settles into a BOBL futures (q.v.) contract. Payment
of the option premium is ‘futures-style’, which means none of it occurs
immediately, and a piece of it occurs with each daily mark-to-market. An
implication of this is that the ‘buyer’ (really, the ‘long’) may pay no premium
and the ‘seller’ (really, the ‘short’) may pay all the premium!
Book Value of Equity
The sum of the cumulative retained earnings and other balance sheet entries
classified under stockholder’s equity, such as common stock and capital
contributed in excess of par value.
Bowie Bond
A specific, $55-million issue of 10-year asset-backed bonds (q.v.) that British
rock star David Bowie issued and Prudential Insurance Co. bought. The
specific collateral consists of royalties from 25 of Mr. Bowie’s albums that he
recorded before 1990.
266 Option Trading
Bullet Bond
A bond that amortizes fully on a single date. Its cash flows consist of regular
coupon payments of interest and a final repayment of principal.
BUND Futures
The DTB futures contract on a notional long-term debt security of the
German Federal Government or the Treuhandanstalt, with a notional
interest rate of 6%. The BUND (q.v.) and other instruments qualify.
Bundle
A strip of consecutive, quarterly Eurodollar or Euroyen futures contracts.
Markets, such as Simex, offer a bundle as a convenient package of futures
contracts, without the execution risk inherent in building up the strip,
contract by contract. A trader can use bundles and packs to implement bets
on the change in shape of the forwards curve.
Buy-Write
An investment strategy that consists of buying an asset and selling a call on
it. Thus, the investor sells upside potential to elevate the rest of his/her pay
off function.
Callable Bond
A (no callable) bullet bond, minus a call option on the bond. The call price as
a function of calendar time is the call schedule.
Call Option
The right, but not the obligation, to buy the underlying asset at the
previously agreed-upon price on (European) or anytime through (American)
the expiration date.
Call Market
A security market in which trading is allowed only at certain specified times.
At those times, persons interested in trading a particular security are
physically brought together and a market clearing is established.
Call Money Rate
The interest paid by brokerage firms to banks on loans used to finance
margin purchases by the brokerage firm’s customers.
Capital Gain (Loss)
The difference between the current market value of an asset and the original
cost of an asset, with the cost adjusted for any improvement or depreciation
in the asset.
Catastrophe Bond
A bond that promises a coupon that starts out high, but drops after a suitable
catastrophe occurs. A suitable catastrophe might be an earthquake or
hurricane of sufficient magnitude and within a particular region.
Clean Price
The quoted bond price without the accrued interest.
Derivative Glossary 267
Clearing House
A cooperative venture among banks, brokerage firms and other financial
intermediaries that maintains records of transactions made by member firms
during a trading day. At the end of the trading day, the clearing house
calculates net amounts of securities and cash to be delivered among the
members, permitting each member to settle once with the clearing house.
Commission
The fee an investor pays to a brokerage firm for services rendered in the
trading of securities.
Common Factor
A factor that affects the return on virtually all securities to a certain extent.
Constant Growth Model
A type of dividend discount model in which dividends are assumed to
exhibit a constant growth rate.
Constant Price Index
A cost of living index representative of the goods and services purchased by
U.S. consumers.
Contrarian
An investor who has opinions opposite to most other investors, leading to
actions such as buying recent losers and selling recent winners.
Cost of Carry
The differential between the futures and spot prices of a particular asset. It
equals the interest foregone less the benefits plus the costs of ownership.
Common Share
A sort of call option on the assets of the corporation, because the common
shareholder get those assets if he pays off everyone else with a claim against
the assets. The common share represents a fractional ownership interest in
the corporation; it has voting rights and may receive a dividend.
Concentration Risk
According to ‘Risk Concentrations Principles’, which the BIS released in 12/
99, risk concentrations in financial conglomerates come in seven categories
of exposures to: individual counterparties, groups of individual
counterparties, counterparties in specified geographical locations,
counterparties in industries, counterparties in products, key business
services (such as back-office services), and natural disasters.
Contract for Difference
An OTC currency forward contract that settles for a cash amount, perhaps in
a third currency, without requiring the exchange of the two underlying
currencies.
268 Option Trading
Costless Collar
A collar in which the proceeds of the sale of the short call option exactly
finance the purchase of the long put option.
Coupon Payments
The periodic payment of interest on a bond.
Coupon Rate
The annual coupon payments in dollar terms made by a bond expressed as a
percentage of the bond’s par value.
Covariance
A statistical measure of the relationship between two random variables. It
measures the extent of mutual variation between two random variables.
Credit Default Swap
A swap in which B pays C the periodic fee, and C pays B the floating
payment that depends on whether a pre-defined credit has occurred or not.
The fee might be quarterly, semiannual or annual. The floating payment
would likely occur only once, and might be proportional to the discount of
the reference loan below par.
Credit Option on Brady Bonds (COBRA)
A credit spread option with a payoff that depends on the yield spread
between a Brady bond and another bond—usually, a comparable maturity
Treasury.
Currency Swap
The exchange of specified amounts of currencies on one (nearby) date,
exchange of specified amounts of currencies in opposite directions on a
future date, and (possibly) exchange of specified coupons in between. A
currency swap is like the exchange of bills, notes or bonds in different
currencies.
Defensive Stocks
Stocks that have betas-less than one.
Dirty Price
The dirty price of a bond represents the value of a bond, exclusive of any
commissions or fees. The dirty price is also called the ‘full price’.
Dividends
Cash payments made to stockholders by the corporation.
Efficient Market
A market for securities in which every security’s price equals its investment
value at all times, implying that a specified set of information is fully and
immediately reflected in market prices.
Derivative Glossary 269
Forward Contract**
A contract to exchange (buy or sell) an underlying instrument for a fixed
forward price at a specific future delivery date. In certain cases—but not
always—the forward price exceeds the spot price by the cost of carrying the
underlying asset from the spot delivery date to the forward delivery date.
The cost of carry is an increasing function of the rate of interest and storage
costs, and a decreasing function of the rate of dividends, interest or other
cash flows from the underlying instrument (cf. Futures Contract).
Futures Option
A listed option that settles into a futures contract.
Greenshoe Option
A greenshoe option can provide additional price stability to a security issue
because the underwriter has the ability to increase supply and smooth out
price fluctuations if demand surges. Greenshoe options typically allow
underwriters to sell up to 15% more shares than the original number set by
the issuer, if demand conditions warrant such action.
Hedging
To offset the potential risks and returns of one position by taking out an
opposing position to create an outcome of greater certainty.
Hedge Ratio
A ratio comprising the value of a position protected via hedge with the size
of the entire position itself.
Indexation
A method of linking the payments associated with a bond to the price level
in order to provide a certain real return on the bond.
Index Arbitrage
An investment strategy that involves buying a stock index futures contract
and selling the individual stocks in the index, or selling a stock index futures
contract and buying the individual stocks in the index. The strategy is
designed to take advantage of a mispricing between the stock index futures
contract and the underlying.
Inflation Hedge
An asset that preserves the value of its purchasing power over time despite
changes in the price level.
Interest Rate Risk
The uncertainty in the return on a fixed income security caused by
unanticipated fluctuations in the value of the asset owing to changes in
interest rates.
Derivative Glossary 271
Liquidity
The ability of investors to convert securities to cash at a price similar to the
price of the previous trade in the security, assuming that no significant new
information has arrived since the previous trade; in other words, the ability
to sell an asset quickly without having to make a substantial price concession.
Margin Account
An account maintained by an investor with a brokerage firm in which
securities may be purchased by borrowing a portion of the purchase price
from the brokerage firm, or may be sold short by borrowing the securities
from the brokerage firm.
Margin Call
A demand upon an investor by a brokerage firm to increase the equity in the
investor’s margin account. The margin call is initiated when the investor’s
actual margin falls below the maintenance margin requirement.
Market Risk
The risk of loss from being on the wrong side of a bet about a market move.
Modified Duration
A measure of the sensitivity of a financial instrument’s value to a change in
its yield.
Mark-to-market
The process of determining the present market value of a security or
derivative position (cf. market contingent credit derivative, mark-to-market
swap, mark-to-market cap, swap guarantee).
Money market rates
Interest rates on short-term instruments, including bankers’ acceptances,
commercial paper, LIBOR and U.S. Treasury bills. The accrual rate to
maturity equals the quoted rate times a day count fraction that has 360 in the
denominator. The days in the numerator might be actual days or days
according to a 30/360 calendar.
Naked Call Writing
The process of writing a call option on a stock that the option writer does not
own.
Naked Put Writing
The process of writing a put option on a stock when the writer does not have
sufficient cash (or securities) in his or her brokerage account to purchase the
stock.
National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD)
NASD operates an automated nationwide communications network that
connects dealers and brokers in the over-the-counter market. Nasdaq
provides current market-maker bid–asked price quotes to market
participants.
Derivative Glossary 273
No Deliverable Forward
A cash-settled forward contract, typically on a non-convertible or thinly
traded foreign currency (probably from an emerging or submerging (q.v.)
market) or two such currencies, that settles into a convertible currency
(typically the USD). The cash value is a function of the contract’s reference
rate(s) on the fixing date, typically two business days before the value date.
Its main attraction is avoiding currency controls.
Normal Backwardation
A relationship between the futures price of an asset and the expected spot
price of the asset on the delivery date of the contract. It states that the futures
price will be greater than the expected spot price.
Normal Contango
A relationship between the futures price of an asset and the expected spot
price of the asset on the delivery date of the contract. Normal contango states
that the futures price will be greater than the expected spot price.
Notional Amount
Am stated amount in a derivatives contract on which the derivative
payments depend. The notional amount is most analogous to the principal
amount of a bond.
One-Touch Option
An option that pays off as soon as the trigger price touches the barrier. Often,
it is a binary option (q.v.).
Option
The right, but not the obligation, to buy (call, q.v.) or sell (put, q.v.) an
underlying asset at a pre-determined and fixed price, to enter into a long or
short futures position, or to receive a payoff that simulates a purchase or a
sale.
Par Value
The nominal value of shares of common stock as legally carried onto the
books of a corporation.
PCS Options
The CBOT’s option contracts with the underlying Property Claims Service
(PCS) index. Apparently, they operate more or less as a call option on the
underlying index, which could be any one of the nine indexes.
Put Option
The right, but not the obligation, to sell the underlying asset at the strike
price (cf. Call Option).
Rainbow Option
An option that has several risk factors of the same type, for example two
stock prices or three exchange rates.
274 Option Trading
Strap
A straddle plus another one of the call options.
Strip
A straddle plus another one of the put options.
Structured Product
Essentially a portfolio of securities and other (often, Vanilla) derivative
products, although the dealer that creates it hopes the customer doesn’t
realize this.
Up-and-in Option
An option that pays off nothing unless the underlying price rises to an upper
barrier (cf. Up-and-out Option).
Up-and-out Option
An option that pays off as the corresponding ordinary option unless the
underlying price rises to an upper barrier.
Vega
It measures the risk exposure to changes in implied volatility and tells option
traders how much will an option’s price will increase or decrease as the
volatility of the option varies.
Value At Risk (VaR)
A measure of the maximum potential change in the value of a portfolio of
financial instruments with a given probability over a specified time period.
Vol-Vol
The volatility of volatility. This presupposes that volatility is a random
market risk factor, which is a lot more reasonable than the original
assumption of the incredibly robust Black-Scholes model that it is known
and constant.
Volatility
The annualized standard deviation of the percentage change in a risk factor.
Warrant
A warrant is a call option issued by the company whose securities
Weather Derivatives
Derivative products whose values depend on risky weather variables, such
as temperature, precipitation or dollar damage from extreme weather.
Summary
Though we have discussed many terms, the list not exhaustive. As the
market develops further, newer terms will be used in derivative trades.
276 Option Trading
Keywords
Alpha ADR Arbitrage
Arbitrageur Atlantic spread Asset Class
Ask (asked) Asset-Backed Security
Asset Swap Average Price Call/
Put Option
At-the-money forward At-the-money Basis
Basis point Basis Risk Back Mont
Benchmark Portfolio Best-of-Two Option Benchmark notes
Big dogs Bid Bid-Ask Spread
Bidder Bid Price Bet Option
Binary Option Binary Call /Put Option
BOBL Futures Option Book Value of Equity Bowie Bond
Bullet Bond BUND Futures Bundle
Option Buy-Write Callable Bond
Call Market Call Money Rate
Call Option
Capital Gain (Loss) Catastrophe Bond Clean price
Clearing House Commission Common Factor
Constant Growth Model Constant Price Index Contrarian
Cost of Carry
Common Share Contract for
Concentration risk Difference
Covariance Coupon Payments Coupon Rate
“Costless” Collar Credit Default Swap
Credit Option on
Brady Bonds
Currency swap DAXFutures Option
Defensive Stocks Dirty price
Dividends
Efficient Market Equal – Weighted
Market Index
Equity Swap Eurobond Euro LIBOR
Exotic Option Expiration Date Financial Leverage
Forward Rate Flex Option Forward Contract
Futures Option Green Shoe option Hedging
Hedge Ratio Indexation Index Arbitrage
Inflation Hedge Interest Rate Risk
Intrinsic Value of an option Jamming Knock in Option
Knock out Option Ladder Option Lambda
LEAPS Limit Order Limit Price
Liquidity
Derivative Glossary 277
ALEX K. MATHEWS
Alex K. Mathews is currently the Research
Head at Geojit BNP Paribas Financial
Services Ltd, one of the leading brokerage
houses in India based in Kochi, Kerala. As
a renowned financial analyst with over two
decades of industry experience, Mathews is
an empanelled analyst for channels like
ETnow, UTVi, CNBC, CNBC Awaz, ZEE
News, Manorama News and Doordarshan.
He has written several articles in leading
newspapers and magazines like Business
Line, Business Standard and The Economic
Times among others. His views on financial
markets and economics have been cited by many international news agencies
like Reuters, Bloomberg and Dow Jones. He has co-authored a book titled
Financial Services and System published by Tata McGraw Hill Education
(2008) and presented many research papers in international conferences. He
is a life member and an Academic Council Member of the Centre for
Resource Development and Research, and Honorary member of the Deriva-
tive Research Forum, Aluva, Kerala.