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Article MIT
Participation
Author(s): Tiago V. de V. Cavalcanti and José Tavares
Source: The Review of Economics and Statistics , Feb., 2008, Vol. 90, No. 1 (Feb., 2008),
pp. 81-88
Published by: The MIT Press
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Review of Economics and Statistics
important.3
Abstract - The secular rise in female labor force participation, The
highlighted marked decrease in fertility rates, b
in the recent macroeconomics literature on growth and structural change,
cause and result of the increase in female labor supply, is
has been associated with the declining price and wider availability of
important
home appliances. This paper uses a new and unique country factor.4
data set on the Less obvious candidates have been p
price of home appliances to test its impact on female forward as well.5
labor supply. We Economic factors also play a role. T
assess the role of the price of appliances in raisingincrease
participation by
in average real wages over time that accompa
comparing it to other structural determinants such as average male
economic growth has led to a rise in the opportunity cost
income. A decrease in the relative price of appliances - the ratio of the
price of appliances to the consumer price index - leads tostaying at home
a substantial and and encouraged labor force participation,
suggested In
statistically significant increase in female labor force participation. by several studies.6 However, as Blau (19
the
United Kingdom, for instance, the decline in the relative price of
argues, homeis a substantial portion of the increase
there
appliances alone accounts for about 10% to 15% of the increase in female
female labor supply that is not explained by variables t
labor force participation from 1975 to 1999. This result is robust to the
are conventionally
inclusion of additional controls, such as country dummies, time trend, used in the empirical analysis. This pap
government spending, and the growth rate of real GDP. investigates the role of technological progress in househol
To assess causal-
ity, we test for exogeneity and use the manufactured price index and
appliances in the
the increase in female labor force partic
terms of trade adjustment as instrumental variables confirming that lower
tion. As stated in Greenwood and Seshadri (2005), "It se
appliance prices lead to increased female participation.
unlikely that the small rise in the relative income of a fem
worker could explain the dramatic rise in labor force p
I. Introduction ticipation. It is more likely that the rise in overall r
wages, in conjunction with the introduction of labor-savi
time, economies tend to experience an increase in
household appliances, explains the rise in female labo
women's participation in the labor force. Female labor
force participation." We use a new and unique country dat
force participation has risen from 34% to 41%set
inthat
the allows
last us to assess the evolution of the relative p
two decades alone in OECD countries.1 This comes after
of appliances and relate it to women's participation in
substantial increases in female labor supply in the immedi-
market.
ate postwar era, in countries where female labor Theforce
rise in female labor force participation should r
participation was already relatively high compared withto
spond thethe availability and relative price of househ
situation in developing countries.2 Several factors have been A simple model of household production a
appliances.
pointed to as the root cause of increased female participa-
Becker (1965) suggests that a rational response to
tion, and cultural and social changes are certainly very
3 Jaumotte (2003) surveys the determinants of female labo
ticipation in OECD countries and finds that cultural attitude
to for
Received for publication June 14, 2004. Revision accepted general labor market conditions, female education, and the
publica-
tion December 20, 2006. and subsidy policies, all affect participation. Cavalcanti
(2007)
* Cavalcanti: Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. consider cultural factors as a possible restriction of
Tavares:
Faculdade de Economia, Universidade Nova de Lisboa. force participation and provide a macroeconomic estimate
cost associated
This paper has benefited from the financial support of £gide and Nova with discrimination. These authors uncover a s
Forum at Universidade Nova as well as Fundac.ao para a Ciencia
effect e
of discrimination on output per capita, both directly t
Tecnologia and POCTI through FEDER and Couselho Nacional participation
de Des- as well as, indirectly, through increased fertilit
4 See Goldin
envolvimento Cientifico Technologico (CNPq-Brazil). We thank and Katz (2002). Olivetti (2001) tor instance argues, "In
an anon-
ymous referee for helpful comments. We are also indebted thetopast, married women of childbearing age tended to specialize in
Francesco
Caselli, Chrissy Giannitsarou, Jeremy Greenwood, Aryechildrearing
Hillman, andJosehome production activities at the expense of engaging in
Ferreira Machado, Marco Percoco, Michele Ruta, Guillaume Vanden-
market work. Now, they do not curb the hours worked in the market."
5 As an example,
broucke, and Jaume Ventura for helpful suggestions and comments. We Fernandez, Fogli, and Olivetti (2004) argue that the
have also benefited from comments by audiences at theevolution
European of male
Uni-preferences plays an important role in the dramatic
increase in female
versity Institute in Florence, University of Cambridge, Universidade Nova education and work decisions.
6 Goldin (1995)
de Lisboa, Universidade do Minho, Universidade Catolica Portuguese theshows that female labor force participation of married
Asset Annual Conference in Spain 2004, the Europeanwomen Public tends to decrease and then increase as national income rises. This
Choice
decline is due An-
Society Annual Meeting 2004, the European Economic Association to a strong initial income effect that is later dominated by
a substitution
nual Meeting 2004, the Latin American Econometric Society effect. Goldin (1995) also suggests that when women have
Annual
Meeting 2004, and the Annual Conference of the Europeanpoor human capital
Association of and their wage in the market is connected only with
manualDavid
Labor Economists, 2006. We thank Daniel Santos and Paulo work,for
social stigma adds further resistance to female labor
access to data used in the paper. participation; as women become educated this stigma disappears. Blau
'World Bank (2001). (1998) shows that the more educated the woman, the more she tends to
participate
2 Goldin (1995), in a historical overview of female labor market in the labor market: those with more than sixteen years of
partic-
education
ipation in the United States, shows a rise from 3. 1 % to around 50%have an 83% participation rate compared with 47% for those
of the
with fewer than
labor force between 1900 and 1980. As reported by Killingsworth andtwelve years. Acemoglu, Autor, and Lyle (2004) find that
Heckman (1987), most of this increase in female labor force after the increase in female labor force participation in the wake of World
participation
Warof
in the past century is attributable to increased participation II, married
women were closer substitutes for male high-school graduates than
women. lower skilled males.
Figure 1. - Female Labor Force Participation and the Relative Price of Home Appliances
Panel A: Relative price of home appliances, female and male labor force participation rates (1975= 1). Average of OECD countries from 1975 to 1999. Panel B: Changes in female labor
versus changes in the home appliance price index (HAP1). In panel (B) we used only countries with data available for the 1970s.
We now present the empirical results on the impact of16 The data points correspond to the availability of our key variable, the
home appliances on female labor force participation. The
yearly price index for home appliances, which is used to construct our
data are available for seventeen OECD countries - includ- relative price of home appliances. The countries in the sample are Austria,
Belgium. Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland,
ing all the largest European economies and the United
Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Great
States - between the years 1975 and 1999, totalingBritain,
311 and the United States.
Table 2. - Determinants of Female Labor Force Participation - Ordinary Least Squares Estima
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10)
Home appliance price -39.83** -36.94** -5.60** -4.21** -3.87** -3.15** -3.42** -7.11** -3.42** -0.30
index (-4.45) (-16.58) (-3.74) (-2.96) (-2.66) (-2.03) (-2.17) (2.63) (-3.07) (-0.23)
-0.00007** -0.00008** -0.00008** -0.00009** 0.0003** -0.00002 0.00004
Average male income (-8.11) (-8.65) (-7.84) (-7.81) (5.33) (-0.70) (1.18)
0.09** 0.07** 0.06* 0.001 0.02 0.03
GDP growth rate (2.48) (2.04) (1.72) (0.02) (1.45) (1.22)
-0.10 -0.13 0.07 -0.05 -0.12**
Government spend./GDP (-1.50) (-1.59) (0.58) (-0.99) (-2.20)
0.02 -0.02 0.79** 0.72**
Urban population (1.39) (-0.63) (3.44) (3.16)
Country dummies NO YES YES YES YES YES YES NO YES YES
Year dummies NO NO YES YES YES YES YES NO NO YES
Country time trends NO NO NO NO NO NO NO YES YES YES
N. ofobserv. 311 311 311 311 311 311 311 311 311 311
R2 0.07 0.93 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.94 0.99 0.99
All specifications include a constant, not reported, /-statistics are presented in
confidence level. The source, unit, and definition for each variable are presente
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10)
Home appliance price -85.70** -62.20** -27.29** -26.18** -25.40** -31.55** -32.86** -28.01** -16.93* -24.08
index (-4.61) (-12.11) (-2.96) (-3.65) (-3.51) (-3.32) (-3.79) (-4.05) (-1.84) (-1.62)
Average male income -0.00004** -0.00004** -0.00003 -0.00005** 0.0001** 0.00006** 0.00005
(-2.60) (-2.73) (-1.55) (-2.70) (3.24) (2.40) (1.10)
GDP growth rate 0.05 0.06 0.03 0.08 0.02 0.02
(1.12) (1.14) (0.49) (1.19) (0.67) (0.65)
Government spend./GDP 0.09 -0.02 0.36 -0.11 -0.13
(0.83) (-0.24) (2.70) (-1.25) (-1.37)
Urban population 0.10** -0.03 1.52** 0.74**
(2.62) (-0.94) (7.26) (2.47)
Country dummies NO YES YES YES YES YES YES NO YES YES
Year dummies NO NO YES YES YES YES YES NO NO YES
Country time trends NO NO NO NO NO NO NO YES YES YES
N. of observ. 306 306 306 306 306 306 306 306 306 306
R2 0.07 0.91 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.92 0.99 0.99
All specifications include a constant, not reported, /-statistics are presented in
confidence level. The source, unit, and definition for each variable are presente
inflation did not seem to have any direct effect on female labor forceIII. Conclusion
participation. According to Bassi, changes in social norms, contraceptive
methods, and labor-saving devices in the home were the This paper
main conducts an empirical investigation of t
determi-
nants of changes in female labor force participation between 1983 and
2002. of the availability of home appliance technology
26 Only in regressions 1 and 8, we reject the validity of our instruments labor market participation of women. Our conjecture
at the 95% confidence level. However, notice that in these regressions we with Greenwood, Seshadri, and Yorukoglu (2005),
do not control for country effects or time dummies.
wider availability and lower cost of home applianc
27 Even in the last regression, when we control for country dummies,
time dummies, and country-specific time trends, the coefficient on the
relative price of home appliances is statistically significant at the 80% 28 Here we used regressions with year dummies or country-specific time
confidence level. trends (columns 3-10).
Goldin,by
itates the participation in the labor market C, and L. Katz, "The Power
decreasing theof the Pill: Oral Contraceptives and
Women's Career and Marriage Decisions," Journal of Political
amount of time necessary to perform household chores.
Economy 110 (2002), 730-770.
Since an unequal share of these chores
Greenwood, J., and A. Seshadri,on
tends to fall "Technological Progress and Economic
Transformation,"should
women's shoulders, female labor force participation in Philippe Aghion and Steven Durlauf (Eds.),
Handbook of Economic Growth, vol. IB (Amsterdam: North-
increase in response. We have assembled Holland,
a unique 2005).
new data
set on yearly price changes of a composite of home appli-
Greenwood, J., A. Seshadri, and G. Vandenbroucke, "The Baby Boom and
Baby Bust,"
ances that are related to household chores and American Economic
computed the Review 5 (2005), 183-207.
Greenwood, J., A. Seshadri, and M. Yorukoglu, "Engines of Liberaliza-
relative price of appliances as the ratio of the home appli-
tion," Review of Economic Studies 72 (2005), 109-133.
ance index to the general price index. In the last
Jaumotte, two
F., Female and
Labour a Participation: Past Trends and Main
Force
half decades, there has been a marked decrease in the Determinants in OECD Countries," OECD working paper no. 376,
Economics Department (2003).
relative price of appliances - between 7% and 28% - ac-
Jones, L., R. E. Manuelli, and E. R. McGrattan, "Why Are Married
companied by increases in female labor force participation. Women Working So Much?" Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Male labor force participation has remained virtually un- staff report (2003).
Killingsworth, M., and J. Heckman, "Technological Progress and Eco-
changed.
nomic Transformation," in O. Ashenfelter and R. Layard (Eds.),
We estimate the relationship between the price of appli- Female Labor Supply: A Survey, vol. 1 (Amsterdam: North-
ances and participation after controlling for a host of mac- Holland, 1987).
Klenow, P., and A. Rodriguez-Clare, "Externalities and Growth," in
roeconomic factors, structural and cyclical. We uncover a
Philippe Aghion and Steven Durlauf (Eds.). Handbook of Eco-
robust negative relationship between the relative price of nomic Growth, vol. 1A (Amsterdam: North-Holland, 2005).
appliances and female participation, with a sizable quanti- Landsburg, S., "Microwave Oven Liberation," Slate Magazine (January 1,
2003).
tative effect. For the United Kingdom, for instance, our
Olivetti, C, "Changes in Women's Hour of Market Work: The Effect of
estimates suggest that the decline in the relative price of Changing Returns to Experience," Boston University mimeograph
home appliances accounts alone for about 10% to 15% of (2001).
Schmookler, J., Invention and Economic Growth (Cambridge, MA: Har-
the increase in female labor force participation from 1975 to
vard University Press, 1966).
1999, a sizable effect to be acknowledged in future research. Weichselbaumer, D., and R. Winter-Ebmer, "A Meta- Analysis of the
We see this paper as complementary to the microeco- International Gender Wage-Gap," CEPR discussion paper no. 4127
(2003).
nomic literature on the determinants of female participation
World Bank, World Development Indicators (Washington, DC: World
in the labor market. The new macroeconomic data set Bank, 2001).
exploited here delivers new results and suggests new ave-
nues for future research.
APPENDIX A
REFERENCES
Acemoglu. D., "Why Do New Technologies Complement Skills? Directed Data Appendix
Technical Change and Wage Inequality," Quarterly Journal of
Economics 113 (1998), 1055-1089. Female labor force participation - Description: Female labor for
Acemoglu. D., D. Autor, and D. Lyle, "Women, War andactivity rate, percentage of female population ages 15 to 64. Un
Wages: The
Effect of Female Labor Supply on the Wage StructurePercentage
of Mid- points. Source: World Bank (2001).
Household appliance price index - Description: Ratio of price index of
Century," Journal of Political Economy 112 (2004), 497-551.
Bassi. M., "Do Wages Really Matter? Understanding Femalehousehold appliances to consumer price index. Unit: Ratio with firs
Labor Force
available year taking value 1 . Source: Eurostat (2003).
Participation," UCLA. Department of Economics mimeograph
(2003). Male labor force participation - Description: Male labor force activity
rate,
Becker, G. S., "A Theory of the Allocation of Time," Economic percentage
Journal 75 of female population ages 15 to 64. Unit: Percentag
(1965), 493-512. points. Source: World Bank (2001).
Blau, F, "Trends in the Well-Being of American Women, 1970-1995," Average male income - Description: Gross domestic product divid
Journal of Economic Literature 36:1 (1998), 112-165. by the male population. Unit: Constant 1995 US dollars. Source: Wor
Case, A., and C. Paxson, "Mothers and Others: Who Invests in Children's Bank (2001).
Health?" NBER working paper no. 7691 (2000). Real GDP growth - Description: Growth in real per capita gro
Cavalcanti, T. V., and J. Tavares, Women Prerer Larger Governments: domestic product. Unit: Yearly growth rate in percentage points. Sourc
Growth. Structural Transformation and Government Size." Univer-World Bank (2001).
sidade Nova de Lisboa working paper (2006). Government size - Description: General government final consumpti
expenditure, in percentage of GDP. Unit: Percentage points. Sour
Macroeconomic Estimate," Mimeo, World Bank (2001).
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
working paper (2007). Urban population - Description: Urban population as percentage o
Eurostat, "New Chronos Database," Office total. Unit:
for Percentage
Official points. Source: Worldof
Publications Bank (2001).
the
European Communities, Luxembourg Manufacturing
(2003).price index - Description: Ratio of price index of man
Fernandez, R., A. Fogli, and C. Olivetti, ufacturing products toand
"Mothers consumer
Sons:price Preference
index. Unit: Ratio with first ava
Formation and Female Labor Force able year taking value
Dynamics," 1. Unit: 1995
Quarterly = 1. Source: World Bank (2001).
Journal
of Economics 119, (2004), 1249-1299. Terms of trade adjustments - Description: The terms of trade effe
Goldin, C, "Investment in Women s Human Capital and hconomic equals capacity to import (the value of exports divided by an import pri
Development," in T. Paul Schultz (Ed.), Investment in Women'sindex) less exports of goods and services in constant prices. A positi
Human Capital and Economic Development (Chicago: Chicagovalue corresponds to greater capacity to import or a positive terms of trad
University Press, 1995). shock. Data are in constant 1987 US dollars. Source: World Bank (2001).
APPENDIX B
First-Stage Regressions
Pane
Manufacturing price 0.14** 0.25** -0.02 -0.06** -0.06** -0.03 0.005 0.20** 0.03 0.02
index (6.52) (10.80) (-0.77) (-2.46) (-2.56) (-1.12) (0.17) (6.68) (1.07) (0.77)
Terms of trade -9.58e-14 1.34e-13 7.41e-13** 9.51e-13** 9.26e-13** 8.31e-13** 9.32e-13** 2.74e-13 7.69e-13** 4.74e-13*
(-0.59) (0.38) (2.78) (3.60) (3.50) (3.15) (3.56) (0.85) (3.02) (1.75)
Average male 2.18e-06** 2.43e-06** 2.33e-06** 1.37e-O6** -5.52e- -1.47e-06 9.84e-07
income (4.06) (4.26) (4.14)
(1.60) (0.79) (2.15) 06**
(-5.94)
GDP growth rate -0.001 -0.0006 -0.001 0.002* -0.0001 0.00002
(-1.28) (-0.46) (-0.93) (1.70) (-0.16) (0.02)
Gover. spendVGDP 0.005** 0.002 0.006** -0.005** -0.0001
(2.72) (1.05) (3.02) (-2.36) (-0.07)
Urban population 0.003** 0.004 -0.02** 0.006
(3.09) (3.78) (-3.64) (0.85)
Country dummies NO YES YES YES YES YES YES NO YES YES
Year dummies NO NO YES YES YES YES YES NO NO YES
Country time trends NO NO NO NO NO NO NO YES YES YES
N. of observ. 306 306 306 306 306 306 306 306 306 306
R2 0.12 0.42 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.79 0.53 0.84 0.87
/>-value (c/»- 0.00 0.12 0.10 0.05 0.06 0.13 0.94 0.01 0.06 0.09
squared test)
AH specifications include a constant, not reported, /-statistics are presented in parentheses, using heter
confidence level.