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Fundamentals of Design of Experiments For Automotive Engineering Volume I 1St Edition Young J Chiang Online Ebook Texxtbook Full Chapter PDF
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Fundamentals of Design
of Experiments for
Automotive Engineering
Volume I
Fundamentals of Design
of Experiments for
Automotive Engineering
Volume I
No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form Publisher
or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior Sherry Dickinson Nigam
written permission of SAE International. For permission and licensing requests, contact SAE Permissions,
400 Commonwealth Drive, Warrendale, PA 15096-0001 USA; e-mail: copyright@sae.org; phone: Product Manager
724-772-4028 Amanda Zeidan
ISBN-Print 978-1-4686-0602-7
ISBN-PDF 978-1-4686-0603-4
ISBN-epub 978-1-4686-0604-1
E-mail: CustomerService@sae.org
Phone: 877-606-7323 (inside USA and Canada)
724-776-4970 (outside USA)
Fax: 724-776-0790
I am thrilled to introduce our groundbreaking series Design of Experiments for Product Reliability Growth with
Automotive Applications which is divided into four distinct volumes. The first installment, Fundamentals of Design of
Experiments for Automotive Engineering, marks the beginning of our exploration of this critical subject.
We are publishing each volume separately to ensure in-depth coverage of each topic, allowing readers to focus on
specific aspects of the subject matter for a deeper understanding. After careful consideration of how our readers will
be using the content, we opted to continue to the page numbering system throughout the volumes for continuity.
Thank you for joining us on this journey. We look forward to your continued support and engagement with the
upcoming volumes in the series.
Sincerely,
Sherry Nigam
Publisher, SAE Books
Contents
Prefacexv
Acronymsxvi
Nomenclaturexxvii
Introductionxxx
CHAPTER 1
Reliability Deployment 1
1.1. Product Reliability Realization 1
1.1.1. Product Quality, Robustness, and Reliability 2
1.1.2. Realization Process of Product Reliability 2
1.1.3. T
ools for Reliability Realization 3
1.1.4. A
dvanced Reliability Planning 4
1.1.5. R
eliability Lauded in VOC 6
1.1.6. Product Reliability Growth 7
1.2. Uncertainty of Measurement 7
1.2.1. A
ccuracy: Precision and Trueness 7
1.2.2. Essential Elements of Measurement 9
1.3. Unreliability 10
1.3.1. Physical and Functional Failures 10
1.3.2. Probability of Product Failure 11
1.3.3. F
ailure Measured by Time 11
1.4. Design for Reliability 12
1.4.1. R
eference Model and Simulation for System Identification 13
1.4.2. Boundary Diagram 13
1.4.3. P
arameter Diagram (P-Diagram) 14
1.4.4. Fishbone Diagram 17
1.4.5. Variation Modes and Effect Analysis 18
1.5. Classification of DOE 19
1.5.1. B
asic Types of DOE 19
1.5.2. A
cceptance Sampling and Test Plans 20
1.5.3. Statistical Tolerance Design 20
1.5.4. Manufacturing Reliability 21
CHAPTER 2
References72
Problems73
CHAPTER 3
3.5.2. 2
III15-11 Example: Case Study on Angular Rigidity of Automotive
Side Door Hinges 97
3.5.3. 2III 16-11
Example: Case Study on Sealing Tire Air 102
References110
Problems111
CHAPTER 4
CHAPTER 5
CHAPTER 6
This is a book about product design for reliability and sustainability via the design of experiments. It is an
application-oriented text with an emphasis on deploying the design of experiments for product reliability
growth throughout an enterprise as a “statistical thinking” tool, instead of focusing on a specific statistical
approach to designing experiments. Emphasis is laid on how to grow product reliability using the design of
experiments. Product reliability growth via process improvements and system optimizations is demonstrated
using real-world examples, mostly extracted from common practices in automotive engineering. Theoretical
concepts that are important to the understanding of the design of experiments are rephrased in
practical exercises.
Product development efforts are concurrently focused on a product configuration at the lowest feasible
cost by means of a thorough understanding of its functionality, reliability and sustainability, while today’s
central theme for proactive improvement calls for building high reliability into products. It is imperative to
avoid field failures during a product’s estimated lifetime in service, which consequently leads to delighted
customers and elimination of the high expense of repairing failed goods and fixing underlying causes. Henry
Ford said, “Failure is simply the opportunity to begin again, this time more intelligently.” Product reliability
growth is in a perpetual motion, but intellectual vitality rolls with us in light of the design of experiments.
Much of the challenge and opportunity in engineering design comes from stochastic material properties
and manufacturing processes in nature. “A large safety factor does not necessarily translate into a reliable
product. Instead, it often leads to an overdesigned product with reliability problems,” as addressed in the
article “Failure Analysis Beats Murphy’s Law,” Mechanical Engineering (September 1993). On problem solving,
a thinker is encouraged to poise oneself on the understanding of physics of failure that is related to exploiting
distinguished product properties and characterizing specific identifiable variables and attributes. Drawing
on their extensive product development experience, the authors present a comprehensive process for ensuring
product performance and reliability over the entire lifecycle.
We hope this will be a comprehensive textbook of applied design of experiments for product reliability
growth and a reference manual for practicing engineers in various functional areas of product-oriented
business, including research, design, testing, manufacturing, operation, supplier quality assurance, marketing,
and warranty analysis. While lessons hereby learned from the book can be appropriated for product develop-
ment in the real world, comments and suggestions are motivated for further improvements.
A, B, C, … Design factors
a, b, c, … Coded variables
C Confidence level
Cb Battery capacity
Cp Process capability index, usually for symmetric distribution;
two-sided
Cpk Process capability index, usually for skewed distribution;
one-sided
CPm Process capability index, a departure of mean μ away from
process target
[C] Conference matrix
[D] Design matrix
Dc Depth of charge
E (GPa) Modulus of elasticity or Young’s modulus (Mechanics)
E11, E22, E33 (GPa) Moduli of elasticity, namely Young’s moduli, for
orthotropic materials
ET (GPa) Tensile modulus of elasticity
E[ ] Expected value
F F distribution
F (N) Force (Newton)
f( ) Function of ( )
G (GPa) Shear modulus of elasticity
G23, G31, G12 (GPa) Shear moduli of elasticity for orthotropic materials
H, h, hr Hour
HV (kgf/mm2, GPa) Vickers hardness: rectangular pyramidal indenter
Izod (kJ/m2 or J/m2) Izod notched impact strength at 23 °C (ISO 180/1A)
[I] Information matrix or Fisher information matrix
L( ) Likelihood
Lln( ) Likelihood of natural-Log transformed data
Ln( ) or ln( ) Natural-Logarithmic transformation of ( )
Log( ) or log( ) Logarithmic transformation of ( )
LR Likelihood ratio
xxvii
xxviii Nomenclature
Pp Process performance
Ppk Process performance index for a stable process
R Reliability
R Resistance, electric
R Model correlation, e.g., regression model
Radj Adjusted model correlation
Rpred Predictive correlation, based on predicted values
Ra (μm) Surface roughness- average
Rrms (μm) Surface roughness- root Mean Squared (rms)
R z (μm) Surface roughness- maximum
Sh State of health
SS Sum of squares
T (°C), Temp (°C) Temperature in °C
Tk (°K) Temperature in °K
T (Ton) Mass for mm-sec-ton system
t t-distribution (Student t-distribution)
t (sec) Time
S Sample standard deviation or sample error
Sc State of charge
S2 Sample variance
u, v, w (m; mm) Displacements in x, y, and z directions, respectively
V Volts
(X, Y, Z), (x, y, z) Cartesian coordinate system
Y Response or objective function
Yp Predicted value for Y
α p-value
α (μm/m/°C) Coefficient of linear thermal expansion; ⊥ and // to mold or casting flow
α x, αy, αz (μm/m/°C) Coefficients of linear thermal expansion in x-, y-, and z-directions
α1, α2, α 3 (μm/m/°C) Coefficients of linear thermal expansion in 1-, 2-, and 3-directions
β Coefficients of linear moisture expansion
βx, βy, βz Coefficients of linear moisture expansion in x-, y-, and z-directions
β1, β2, β3 Coefficients of linear moisture expansion in 1-, 2-, and 3-directions
ε Residual
ε Strain
εCreep Creep rupture strain
εe & εe Elastic strain
εp & εp Plastic strain
εeq Equivalent strain
εeqp Equivalent plastic strain
Nomenclature xxix
Design of experiment (DOE) is the most promising tool to identify influential factors (e.g., dimensions,
parameters, and concepts) and consequentially implement corrective actions for product reliability growth.
In the process of product development, puzzling occasions that lead to good opportunities for applying the
design of experiments include:
(a) The relationship between the desired objective and design/process factors are not clear
(b) A good number of factors that need to be narrowed down to a few
(c) Product performance or product reliability is not meeting the functional requirement
(d) How to deal with an incomplete design when there is a lack of time and/or resources
(e) How to deal with multiple objective functions
The fundamental design of experiments presented in the first six chapters of the book (Volume I) is
intended to meet these needs.
Chapter 1: Basic prerequisites for deploying design of experiments, such as product reliability realization
process, uncertainty of measurement, unreliability and failure, concept of design for reliability, classification
of design of experiments, and commercial design of experiments software are presented. The technical skills
introduced in this chapter are intended to answer the following question: “How to identify the potential
design/process parameters for a given objective function amid a blaze of design of experiments?”
Chapter 2: Full factorial design 2K is often used in experimentation as a system identification tool to relate
an objective function to potential factors, especially for exploring an unfamiliar phenomenon. Both main
and interactive effects can be exploited using factorial design 2K. How to conduct a design of experiments
and a conceptual recognition of statistical significance based on t-distribution are introduced. The general-
ized procedure for conducting a study based on full factorial design 2K was demonstrated using the real-world
examples. As a screen design, full factorial design 2K is intended to answer the following question: “What are
the influential design/process factors when given a large number of potential factors that need to be narrowed
down to a few?”
Chapter 3: Fractional factorial design 2R K-P is often used in experimentation as an economical way to
relate an objective function to influential factors. It is frequently used as a screening design to identify signifi-
cant main effects and 2-factor interactions in a reduced number of experimental tests. As a screen design
with a great number of factors, fractional factorial design 2R K-P is intended to answer the question: “What is
the potential relationship between the objective function and design/process parameters?”
Chapter 4: General fractional factorial design LK-P based on F-distribution, is a statistical technique that
systematically determines which inputs have a significant impact on the output, when multiple design levels
are required to explore the nonlinear behavior. It is one of the response surface methods based on the fit of a
nonlinear polynomial equation to the experimental data. The concept of analysis of variance (ANOVA) and
its related formulations are deployed. Fractional factorial design LK-P is intended to answer two questions:
“What is the relationship between the objective function and design/process factors?” and subsequentially
“What is the optimal design configuration?”
Introduction xxxi
Chapter 5: Composite designs are the most widely used experimental design as a response surface method
because the additional star points (e.g., center points) can clear the main effects of aliasing with two-factor
interactions in a nonlinear model and unravel quadratic terms. These designs are particularly useful for
design optimization that contains only a few (3–5) factors for finalizing the decision. In a concise factorial
design, a composite design is intended to answer the following two questions: “What is the relationship
between the objective function and design/process factors?” and “What is the optimal design configuration?”
Chapter 6: Traditional balanced orthogonal experimental designs, i.e., design matrices presented in
Chapters 2–5, may not be available for every practical problem. For example, some treatments in a balanced
orthogonal design are not feasible. A “short” design of experiments, which is defined as the design with less
treatments required for meeting the conditions of a traditional balanced orthogonal one, may be applied
instead. In such a situation, an incomplete design matrix with a preferred approximating scheme via mini-
mizing the variance-covariance or predictive error, such as D-optimality, A-optimality, I-optimality (i.e.,
V-optimality), and G-optimality, can be applied. In such a handicap game, optimal designs are deployed to
answer three questions: “What is the relationship between the objective function and design/process factors
based on an incomplete design matrix?”, “What is the optimal design configuration?”, and “What would
be the optimal design configuration with multiple objective functions?”
1
Reliability Deployment
D
esign of experiments (DOE) is a disciplined application of statistical methods based on inferential
mechanisms (e.g., natural laws and polynomials) in pursuit of the desired reliability at a comfortable
confidence level. Design for reliability and sustainability is intrinsic to product development while
dependent on the choice of product architecture and robustness of execution in the process. The challenge
moving forward in the manufacturing industry is not who first provides the ultimate technology but who
best timely realizes that technology in a robust manner over time. Product reliability deployment throughout
an organization shall be planned as early as possible.
develop a plan exhibiting how requirements are to be met. Both qualitative and quantitative analysis methods
and tools would be used to verify and validate if requirements are met in the long run [Safie 2010]. A design
for reliability (DFR) plan is a high-level plan that calls all the reliability tests, including design verification
tests, highly accelerated life tests, reliability demonstration tests, accelerated life tests, and ongoing
reliability tests.
Globalization, individualization, digitalization, and increasing competition are changing the face of
product reliability. The evolution, referred to as Industry 4.0 or the Fourth Industrial Revolution, challenges
product teams to react quickly and make behavioral predictions based on an enormous amount of feedback
information, especially in response to warranty data. Reliability calls for a firm system of total product life-
cycle management. Think on the global and act on the local. Modern development processes should be able
to convert local requirements into a global product definition, which is then rolled out locally again potentially
with part of the work being done in local affiliates.
1. Reliability is science.
2. Reliability deployment starts at the stage of early conceptual design.
3. Reliability practice is integrated into the product development cycle.
4. How to meet functional requirements and achieve the reliability goal act hand in hand.
One reliability realization process is exhibited in Figure 1.1.1. Statistics and physics of failure run concur-
rently because a large safety factor does not necessarily translate into a reliable product. Instead, a design
with a large safety factor often leads to an overdesigned product with reliability problems. The overall plan
for product reliability, including the design, materials, product specifications, manufacturing plans, proce-
dures for manufacture and testing, quality assurance requirements, and labeling, shall bear record to the
product development, often called the reliability “Master Record.”
CHAPTER 1 Reliability Deployment 3
Activities in these fields prompt product reliability growth. Complementary tools available for growing
product reliability include the following analytical techniques:
1. Voice of the customer (VOC) [Griffin and Hauser 1993].
2. Flow-down analysis [Dick and Jones 2012].
3. Quality function deployment [Hauser and Clausing 1988, Morrell 1987].
4. Failure modes and effect analysis (FMEA) [AIAG 2011].
5. Design for assembly and manufacture (DFAM) [Boothroyd et al. 2010].
6. Product variability, process capability, and gauge reliability and reproducibility (R&R) [AIAG 2008].
7. Test and control plans [Grant and Leavenworth 2004].
8. Measurement system analysis (MSA) [AIAG 2010].
9. Inferential mechanisms including physical laws of failure [Chiang 2019].
As supported by these tools, DOE summarizes the overall product performance against potential failure
modes and has the final say about product reliability growth in the real world [Fisher 1925]. Experiments can
be based on physical tests [Thomke 2003] and/or virtual simulations [Chiang and Tang 1995, Santner
et al. 2018].
where C is a constant that is greater than 1. Given that C = 10, a change after the product is introduced
into the market because of unreliability may cost as high as 1,000 times as much as a preventive change
at the research and development (R&D) stage.
(d) Preserving Profits: DFR helps products get to the market fast, preventing erosion of sales and market
share and securing the brand name.
An automotive product development process can be divided into eight stages as exhibited in Table 1.1.1.
An advanced product reliability goal must be built in the concurrent engineering—concurrently developing
products and related manufacturing and marketing processes.
FIGURE 1.1.2 Numbers of design and manufacturing changes with and without advanced planning.
© SAE International.
Concurrent engineering hinges on contributions from multifunctional project teams in the product
development process. For example, the “Design Readiness and Development Plan” review at Stage 4 (Table
1.1.1) includes the completion of the following activities:
Work tasks deployed in these activities rely very much on DOE. The goal is to simultaneously optimize
the product design against holistic reliability (Chapter 16, Volume IV), involving design factors, manufac-
turing variations, and latent variations in operation that may arise in the service environment. All these rely
on the early flow-down analysis, including determining parameters that are statistically significant, the
decomposition of system requirements of the product into requirements of subsystems and parts in an attempt
to identify resources in need, and assigning resources to meet the need [Dick and Jones 2012].
1.1.6. P
roduct Reliability Growth
Why do analysis and testing? The purpose is to examine a product to assure that it functions correctly and
exhibits the properties and capabilities that meet its functional requirements. Areas of unreliability are
exposed and corrective actions are made subsequently; thus, the product reliability will grow. A decrease in
unreliability due to corrective actions is called the effectiveness factor (EF) which varies from one failure
mode to another. As a measure of reliability growth, an EF of 80% means that a corrective action for a failure
mode removes approximately 80% of the failure intensity, but 20% remains in the system.
Product reliability growth is the process of collecting, modeling, analyzing, and synthesizing data from
reliability growth tests in the laboratory and analyses from the field. It aims at the improvement in product
reliability over time owing to continuous improvements, originating from the design and manufacturing
stages up to customers’ feedback. The important factors for an effective reliability growth program are
(a) Develop a strategic management plan of potential failure modes.
(b) Study the effectiveness of corrective actions to be taken.
(c) Do testing and analysis that provide opportunities to identify problems.
(d) Check if the root causes of problems are verified.
(e) Implement corrections and check if functional requirements are validated.
(f) Listen to the customer’s feedback (voice of the customer).
Testing and analysis to grow the product reliability are vital activities in the life cycle of a product. A
latent failure mode is a type of failure that may not occur until the system has operated in the field for a
certain period of time. For example, if the specifications for alignments, imbalances, electric motor circuit
phase impedances, lubricant and coolant conditions and cleanliness, and vibrations and noises are not justi-
fied at the design stage, the electric vehicle sold will have a significant number of latent defects in the customer’s
hands. Because it is difficult to predict latent failures, product developers are urged to do the reliability growth
management, starting from the R&D stage up to system maintenance and warranty services [Jin et al. 2010].
Nevertheless, it is now widely accepted that using designed experiments is the most effective way to grow
product reliability. The situation leads to the question “What is an effective strategy for implementing this
powerful tool?”
be categorized by the following: characteristic (e.g., length), magnitude (e.g., 3.14156), unit (e.g., mm), and
uncertainty (e.g., ±1.2). A measurement system is generally characterized by its precision and trueness, thus
the resultant accuracy:
(a) Precision is the alias of dispersion, which indicates the “wide spread out” of the measured data, as
shown in Figure 1.2.1. The wider the spread out the worse the precision.
(b) Trueness refers to the difference between the measured average and the reference mean, which is the
deviation of the measured average relative to the theoretical value, as shown in Figure 1.2.1. Bias is
calculated in reference to trueness as:
(1.2.1)
Accuracy is the combined effect of precision and trueness. The accuracy is high if its corresponding bias
is zero and spread out is small.
FIGURE 1.2.1 Statistical meanings of accuracy, including spread out (precision) and bias (alias of trueness).
© SAE International.
The precision, including trueness and accuracy, of a measurement system is illustrated graphically in
Figure 1.2.2 . This is described in ISO 5725 which outlines the general principles to comply with regarding the
accuracy (trueness and precision) of measuring equipment. It is concerned exclusively with measurement
methods that work on a continuous scale and yield a single value as the test result. An accuracy of 100%
means that the measured value is exactly the same as the theoretical value. To determine if it is adequate for
the intended work tasks, a measurement system shall be assessed as follows:
(a) The measurement system must have discriminating readability and effective resolution over the
range of measurement and can endure environmental factors.
(b) The measurement system sensitivity, i.e., the smallest input signal can result in a discernable output
signal and must be guaranteed.
(c) The variability of the measurement system must be smaller than the production process variability
with an acceptable statistical significance level (e.g., reliability = 90% and confidence = 90%).
(d) The variability of the measurement system must also be smaller than the specification limits with an
acceptable statistical significance level.
If the statistical significance level is not available, one-tenth of the smaller of either the production process
variability or the specification limits shall be the maximum allowable variability of the measurement system.
CHAPTER 1 Reliability Deployment 9
A measurement system is anticipated to stay in a statistically stable condition, i.e., the variation of the
measurement system is merely subject to perceived common causes only. Common causes of defects should
be eliminated to improve product reliability. Any special causes, which are not quantifiable or previously
observed, shall be excluded, or corrected. The stability of a measurement system can be checked out using
statistical process control (SPC) charts.
1.3. Unreliability
Product unreliability is the state of not meeting the intended objective or expectations of customers. It refers
to the condition of being not reliable, untrustworthy, or undependable. Conventional wisdom has it that
unreliability (i.e., failure) rather than reliability is dealt with in reliability engineering. Statistically, unreli-
ability is a cumulative distribution function, and it can be expressed as:
of which R(t) is the reliability. Because the occurrence of a failure often appears stochastic, it is necessary to
conduct designed experimental tests to determine if there is a statistically significant trend. A failure mecha-
nism refers to the related physical or other process that leads to the failure. How to define a failure scientifically
is intrinsic to the product of interest.
(a) Physical Failure: The product has been physically damaged. For example, a part of the product
breaks. Parts are made of materials that are expected to work under the thermomechanical state in
their service environment [Chiang 2022]. Any fracture of a part is considered a failure by default. If a
broken part has no influence on the system functionality as designed, it should be spared from the
ordeal of appearing in the system.
(b) Functional Failure: The product fails to meet the functional requirement. Functional failure is the
inability of a system to meet a specified performance standard or to function at the level of
performance that has been specified as required. A failure mode is simply any event that causes a
functional failure. Note that each product (e.g., equipment for measuring the temperature and
relative humidity) often has multiple functions.
(c) Out of Specification: The product performance deviates from its normal state. When an operation
deviates from its normal state, process operators should start to check instruments and analyze the
process to find out the causes of the deviation. Thresholds are used to compare the sampled data of
an attribute with predefined values. When a measured value gets lower (or higher) than the threshold
value, it is considered a failure. This is typically applied in SPC.
CHAPTER 1 Reliability Deployment 11
One fundamental reason for the difficulties to deal with a potential failure mode of a large engineering
product, such as an electric vehicle, is its inherent complexity. Complexity implies that different parts of the
system are intercorrelated so that changes in one part may have effects on other parts. Complexity is gener-
ally a latent characteristic of large engineering products. More than one failure mechanism may be essentially
the cause behind a failure mode.
It is important to distinguish between repairable and nonrepairable items when carrying out
DFR activities.
Both instantaneous failure rate h(t) and conditional failure intensity λ(t) may be decreasing, increasing,
or constant over the life of the product. Consequently, probabilistic engineering analysis is utilized to under-
stand the uncertainty of the design, to identify high-risk areas for further improvement, to perform sensitivity
analysis, and finally to conduct studies on reliability optimization.
1. MTTF (Mean Time to Failure): It is a metric that measures the average amount of time a
nonrepairable system operates before it fails. It is often used to measure the average life expectancy
of an automotive component. A short MTTF means longer frequent downtime as the failing items
need to be replaced.
2. MTBF (Mean Time between Failures): It is the expected time duration between two consecutive
failures, i.e., the failure inter-arrival time, for a repairable system. The MTBF is a maintenance
metric that reflects how long the facility (e.g., equipment) can operate without being disrupted. The
ROCOF is often used to model the trend of failure, which can be constant, increasing, or decreasing,
for the purpose of increasing the failure inter-arrival time.
3. MTTR (Mean Time to Repair): The expected time span ranging from a failure (or shutdown) to the
repair (or maintenance completion) as defined for repairable systems. It refers to the amount of time
required to repair a system and restore it to full functionality.
Because failures are important in managing downtime and its potential to harm people, it is essential to
have a productive maintenance process in place to track all assets and equipment that are prone to failures.
Reliability is the probability that a product meets the intended functional requirements for a specified
duration under expected operating conditions over time, while durability is defined as a product that has
acceptable useful life without significant deterioration. A reliability goal based on survivability shall be set
forth for each product at the early design stage. The reliability goal is statistically bound by a confidence level
as the number of test specimens is always limited. For a component or system design, the norm in the auto-
motive industry is 90% reliability with a 90% confidence level (R = 90% and C = 90%) over 10 years or 240,000
km, or so.
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