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Gabby Tucker Block 1

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Gabby Tucker Block 1

We needed to find out the best strategy so we could have the best chance of predicting what s on the back of the cards. We have three cards; one is marked with an x on one side and an x on the other, one is marked with an o on one side and an o on the other, and the last one has an x on one side and an o on the other. You would put the three cards in in a bag, and pull one out. You would see one of the sides and guess if an x or an o was on the back. We needed to find four strategies and test them theoretically and experimentally to find out which one gave us the highest chance of guessing what was on the back correctly. The first strategy I tried was that you should always guess an o was on the back of the card. I found out that out of the 30 trials I did I had an o on the back 16 times, so that s about half of the time. For the theoretical probability I got 3/6 or half of the time this would work. Therefore you have about a fifty/fifty chance of guessing correctly for both of the probabilities, so it can be a good or bad strategy whichever way you look at it. You have six different sides of the cards, and o can show up three times out of the six when you go to flip it over, twice on the double o card and once on the x and o card. The next strategy I tried was that you should always guess and x was on the back of the card. The experimental probability I got was also 16 was out of 30 trials, and the theoretical probability is three out of six or one half. You have the six different sides of the card and you can get a x two times on the double X cards, and one x on the x and o card. You have about a fifty/fifty chance of guessing the correct side, and this can also be a good or bad strategy depending on how you look at it. The third strategy I tested was that you always wanted to guess the same thing you saw on the card. I got 18 out of 30 guesses correct for my experimental probability, and the theoretical probability was four out of six. My experimental probability was just about over half so I had a higher probability for another strategy I would use that one, but this was the highest experimental probability out of the four strategies I tested. Based on the theoretical probability I would use this strategy because it s the best out of the four. The only card that is ruled out of this strategy is the card with an x on one side and an o on the other. You have two ways to get an x on the double x card and two ways to get a o on the double o card making four possible ways. The last strategy I tested was that you should always guess the opposite of what you saw. The experimental probability for this situation was seven out of 30 and the theoretical probability was two out of six. I wouldn t pick this strategy due to the fact that both of the probabilities are low and you don t have a high chance of guessing correctly. The only card that would let you get the right guess would be the card with the x on one side and the o on the other. You rule out the other two cards and their 4 possibilities so you only have two out of the six left. This problem wasn t all that difficult because we had out prior knowledge to help us with it, but it would have been really difficult if we didn t have it. I thought this problem was a bit too easy and it was just like another problem we had to do in class. I wasn t too worried about this problem to start off with in the first place, and I had half of it done the first day I worked on it in class.

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Gabby Tucker Block 1