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OFFICE SNAPSHOT
BALTIMORE, MD
A Cushman & Wakefield Research Publication
Q1 2012
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
Despite the recent uptick in private sector employment, the market remained cautiously optimistic due to rising gasoline costs and recent concerns over the sustainability of the improving labor market. According to the latest February 2012 ADP National Employment Report, the serviceproducing sector from January to February 2012 created a total of 170,000 jobs. The national unemployment rate in February 2012, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, was 8.3%. Maryland continued to experience a stronger labor market than the rest of the nation, as its preliminary January 2012 unemployment rate was 6.5%.
OUTLOOK
The Baltimore office markets vacancy rates are expected to increase in 2012 due to a lack of prelease activity in 2012 construction deliveries. Expected second quarter 2012 construction deliveries, which total 416,979 sf, include: 6514 Meadowridge Road, 8160 Maple Lawn, 650 McHenry Road, 3401 Box Hill Corporate Center Drive and 801 Long Drive. These construction deliveries will have the largest impact in Harford County as its overall vacancy rate, at 26.2%, will tick up significantly as the 120,000-sf 801 Long Drive and the 95,200-sf 650 McHenry Road and are expected to deliver fully vacant. STATS ON THE GO
1Q11 Overall Vacancy Direct Asking Rents (psf/yr) YTD Leasing Activity (sf) 13.5% $24.26 377,614 1Q12 14.3% $23.43 355,366 Y-O-Y 12 MONTH CHANGE FORECAST 0.8pp -3.4% -5.9%
OVERALL ACTIVITY
3.0 2.3 msf
2.4 2.4 2.9 2.4 0.5
1.5
1.7
0.8 0.0
1.6
1.7
0.4
2008
2009
2010
2011
SALES ACTIVITY
2012 YTD
LEASING ACTIVITY
The market terms and definitions in this report are based on NAIOP standards. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. 2012 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved.
0.2
BALTIMORE, MD
SUBMARKET INVENTORY OVERALL VACANCY RATE 16.9% 15.3% 12.0% DIRECT VACANCY RATE 16.1% 15.2% 11.5% 61,952 0 35,070 0 0 0 YTD LEASING ACTIVITY UNDER CONSTRUCTION YTD CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS 0 0 0 YTD DIRECT NET ABSORPTION (23,156) (118,912) 113,922 YTD OVERALL OVERALL WTD. AVG NET ALL CLASSES GROSS ABSORPTION RENTAL RATE* (11,278) (122,364) 113,922 $ 20.99 $ 19.71 $ 29.29 DIRECT WTD. AVG. CLASS A GROSS RENTAL RATE* $ 23.42 $ 25.25 $ 35.35
Baltimore City
Howard County North Howard County South Downtown Columbia
22,203,339
1,742,933 7,650,538 2,078,844
15.6%
6.0% 13.9% 17.5%
15.0%
5.4% 13.4% 17.4%
97,022
8,110 49,114 0
0
68,779 105,000 0
0
0 0 0
(28,146)
31,874 3,685 (9,703)
(19,720)
27,630 4,739 (12,015)
$ 21.83
$ 23.71 $ 27.84 $ 23.70
$ 25.60
$ 24.46 $ 29.30 $ 24.69
Howard County
Fort Meade District BWI District Anne Arundel County East Anne Arundel County South/Annapolis
11,472,315
4,598,926 3,616,543 755,512 2,308,268
13.3%
16.0% 18.2% 8.4% 6.6%
12.9%
15.5% 18.0% 8.4% 5.7%
57,224
52,692 0 0 5,750
173,779
171,300 87,830 0 0
0
0 0 0 0
25,856
(29,689) (39,158) 4,454 (1,351)
20,354
(26,689) (39,158) 4,454 (16,828)
$ 26.47
$ 25.38 $ 24.19 $ 21.21 $ 25.80
$ 27.76
$ 27.20 $ 25.85 $ 22.52 $ 30.93
11,279,249
868,351 9,390,997 4,422,650 3,055,760
14.3%
16.0% 11.5% 15.3% 10.8%
13.9%
11.9% 11.1% 15.3% 10.7%
58,442
0 74,822 2,397 60,191
259,130
0 126,460 0 0
0
0 0 0 0
(65,744)
(3,397) 67,546 35,967 11,867
(78,221)
(4,558) 70,954 35,967 11,867
$ 24.70
$ 18.97 $ 21.23 $ 21.40 $ 19.92
$ 26.80
$ 23.81 $ 22.88 $ 21.61 $ 23.08
Baltimore County
Harford
17,737,758
1,316,717
12.5%
26.2%
12.1%
25.1%
137,410
5,268
126,460
318,200
0
0
111,983
5,002
114,230
(7,975)
$ 20.87
$ 32.21
$ 22.50
$ 32.56
1,316,717 50,627,602
26.2% 13.6%
25.1% 13.2%
0 0 0
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
Significant 1Q12 Lease Transactions
410 National Business Parkway 1710-1722 Gwynn Oak Avenue 849 Fairmount Avenue SUBMARKET Fort Meade District Baltimore County West Baltimore County North SUBMARKET TENANT Lockheed Martin Corp Trail Blazers International Christian Center Roadnet Technologies, Inc BUYER BUILDING CLASS SQUARE FEET 52,692 30,023 27,892 SQUARE FEET
A
B A PURCHASE PRICE / $PSF
Baltimore City North/West St. John Properties, Inc Fort Meade District SUBMARKET TECORE MAJOR TENANT
N/A
$3,910,400/ $81.47 psf COMPLETION DATE
100,000
48,000 SQUARE FEET
Cushman & Wakefield of Maryland, Inc. 500 East Pratt Street, Suite 500 Baltimore, MD 21202 www.cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge
The market terms and definitions in this report are based on NAIOP standards. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. 2012 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved.