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Regresi Data Panel

The document presents an analysis of investment models using multivariate analysis and qualitative data with a focus on Fixed Effect Models (FEM) and Common OLS. It concludes that the FEM model, particularly the Cross Section variant, outperforms the Common OLS and Time Series models based on various statistical indicators such as F-statistics and Adjusted R-squared values. The analysis further supports the superiority of the FEM model through redundant fixed effects tests.

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Arfi Sambora
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
27 views7 pages

Regresi Data Panel

The document presents an analysis of investment models using multivariate analysis and qualitative data with a focus on Fixed Effect Models (FEM) and Common OLS. It concludes that the FEM model, particularly the Cross Section variant, outperforms the Common OLS and Time Series models based on various statistical indicators such as F-statistics and Adjusted R-squared values. The analysis further supports the superiority of the FEM model through redundant fixed effects tests.

Uploaded by

Arfi Sambora
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

YOSSY OKTAFIANI

NIM. 12030123420063
Magister Akuntansi – 50 JS Korporat

ANALISIS MULTIVARIAT DAN DATA KUALITATIF


Model Regresi – Data Panel

(Menggunakan Eviews 13)

Estimasi model investasi dengan kemungkinan :

1. Model dengan Semua Koefisien Konstan terhadap Waktu dan Individu / Hasil Pengujian
Model Common OLS
Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 05/31/25 Time: 09:21
Sample: 1935 1954
Periods included: 20
Cross-sections included: 4
Total panel (balanced) observations: 80

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C -63.30413550194308 29.61419711818381 -2.137627950854452 0.03572018203088216


X2 0.1100955417790149 0.01372966327515696 8.018808587842532 9.357464975721184e-12
X3 0.3033931606716923 0.04929572896520603 6.154552677085546 3.150330229736511e-08
R-squared 0.7565282514316188 Mean dependent var 290.915375
Adjusted R-squared 0.750204309910362 S.D. dependent var 284.8527723070233
S.E. of regression 142.3681760137959 Akaike info criterion 12.79148883549441
Sum squared resid 1560689.710695129 Schwarz criterion 12.88081483429468
Log likelihood -508.6595534197765 Hannan-Quinn criter. 12.82730218444604
F-statistic 119.6292294747984 Durbin-Watson stat 0.2187168808464705
Prob(F-statistic) 2.389296951748727e-24

2. Koefisien Slope Konstan tetapi Intersep Bervariasi Antarindividu / Hasil Pengujian


Model FEM – Crosssection
Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 05/31/25 Time: 09:32
Sample: 1935 1954
Periods included: 20
Cross-sections included: 4
Total panel (balanced) observations: 80

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C -73.84947314340614 37.52291276010508 -1.968116750838278 0.05280133854940603


X2 0.1079480824133018 0.01750892078028392 6.16531902610798 3.380125830526221e-08
X3 0.3461616820700251 0.02666448665041029 12.98212437420762 9.27486418804599e-21

Effects Specification

Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)

R-squared 0.9345626673914004 Mean dependent var 290.915375


Adjusted R-squared 0.9301412259989276 S.D. dependent var 284.8527723070233
S.E. of regression 75.28889625436908 Akaike info criterion 11.55258085260203
Sum squared resid 419462.9245408851 Schwarz criterion 11.73123285020257
Log likelihood -456.1032341040811 Hannan-Quinn criter. 11.6242075505053
F-statistic 211.3705881033271 Durbin-Watson stat 0.8071576773886469
Prob(F-statistic) 2.471422191225802e-42
YOSSY OKTAFIANI
NIM. 12030123420063
Magister Akuntansi – 50 JS Korporat

Hasil Pengujian Redundant FEM – Cross Section :


Redundant Fixed Effects Tests

Equation: EQ02

Test cross-section fixed effects

Effects Test Statistic d.f. Prob.

Cross-section F 67.11024760042698 (3,74) 4.59177986209308e-21

Cross-section Chi-square 105.1126386313906 3 1.235726503566921e-22

Cross-section fixed effects test equation:

Dependent Variable: Y

Method: Panel Least Squares

Date: 05/31/25 Time: 09:48

Sample: 1935 1954

Periods included: 20

Cross-sections included: 4

Total panel (balanced) observations: 80

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C -63.30413550194308 29.61419711818381 -2.137627950854452 0.03572018203088216

X2 0.1100955417790149 0.01372966327515696 8.018808587842532 9.357464975721184e-12

X3 0.3033931606716923 0.04929572896520603 6.154552677085546 3.150330229736511e-08

R-squared 0.7565282514316188 Mean dependent var 290.915375

Adjusted R-squared 0.750204309910362 S.D. dependent var 284.8527723070233

S.E. of regression 142.3681760137959 Akaike info criterion 12.79148883549441

Sum squared resid 1560689.710695129 Schwarz criterion 12.88081483429468

Log likelihood -508.6595534197765 Hannan-Quinn criter. 12.82730218444604

F-statistic 119.6292294747984 Durbin-Watson stat 0.2187168808464705

Prob(F-statistic) 2.389296951748727e-24

Hasil Sementara 1 ( Perbandingan ) :


YOSSY OKTAFIANI
NIM. 12030123420063
Magister Akuntansi – 50 JS Korporat

Berdasarkan analisis statistik, model Fixed Effect Model (FEM) menunjukkan kinerja yang
lebih baik dibandingkan dengan model Common OLS. Hal ini terlihat dari nilai F Statistik dan
Adjusted R-Squared FEM Cross Section yang lebih tinggi, serta nilai Akaike Info Criterion
(AIC) pada Common OLS yang lebih besar daripada FEM Cross Section. Lebih lanjut, hasil
Pengujian Redundant FEM – Cross Section memperkuat kesimpulan ini dengan nilai F-Cross
Section sebesar 67.11 yang signifikan. Oleh karena itu, dapat disimpulkan bahwa model FEM –
Cross Section lebih tepat untuk digunakan dalam analisis ini.

3. Koefisien Slope Konstan tetapi Intersep Bervariasi Antar Waktu / Hasil Pengujian Model
FEM – Time Series
Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 05/31/25 Time: 09:43
Sample: 1935 1954
Periods included: 20
Cross-sections included: 4
Total panel (balanced) observations: 80

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C -64.18962052702812 34.16507440567604 -1.878808158438078 0.0652990509345647


X2 0.1159173999857497 0.01816998990768495 6.379607285126932 3.200571930253161e-08
X3 0.2696593017497366 0.08334111643779685 3.235609423963041 0.00200703761696093
Effects Specification

Period fixed (dummy variables)

R-squared 0.7704437951560938 Mean dependent var 290.915375


Adjusted R-squared 0.6873286175401966 S.D. dependent var 284.8527723070233
S.E. of regression 159.2811994636208 Akaike info criterion 13.20763582280713
Sum squared resid 1471489.029149045 Schwarz criterion 13.86269314734245
Log likelihood -506.3054329122853 Hannan-Quinn criter. 13.47026704845246
F-statistic 9.269592116094259 Durbin-Watson stat 0.1677594070874952
Prob(F-statistic) 8.790974492310084e-12

Hasil Pengujian Redundant FEM – Time Series :


Redundant Fixed Effects Tests

Equation: EQ02REDUDANT

Test period fixed effects

Effects Test Statistic d.f. Prob.

Period F 0.18504848623212 (19,58) 0.9999129370579259

Period Chi-square 4.708241014982378 19 0.9996343662605612

Period fixed effects test equation:

Dependent Variable: Y

Method: Panel Least Squares


YOSSY OKTAFIANI
NIM. 12030123420063
Magister Akuntansi – 50 JS Korporat

Date: 05/31/25 Time: 10:13

Sample: 1935 1954

Periods included: 20

Cross-sections included: 4

Total panel (balanced) observations: 80

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C -63.30413550194308 29.61419711818381 -2.1376279508544520.03572018203088216

X2 0.1100955417790149 0.01372966327515696 8.018808587842532 9.357464975721184e-12

X3 0.3033931606716923 0.04929572896520603 6.154552677085546 3.150330229736511e-08

R-squared 0.7565282514316188 Mean dependent var 290.915375

Adjusted R-squared 0.750204309910362 S.D. dependent var 284.8527723070233

S.E. of regression 142.3681760137959 Akaike info criterion 12.79148883549441

Sum squared resid 1560689.710695129 Schwarz criterion 12.88081483429468

Log likelihood -508.6595534197765 Hannan-Quinn criter. 12.82730218444604

F-statistic 119.6292294747984 Durbin-Watson stat 0.2187168808464705

Prob(F-statistic) 2.389296951748727e-24

Hasil Sementara 2 ( Perbandingan ) :


Analisis menunjukkan bahwa Model Fixed Effect Model (FEM) – Cross Section lebih unggul
dibandingkan dengan FEM – Time Series. Ini didasarkan pada beberapa indikator: nilai F dan Adjusted
R-Square dari FEM – Time Series lebih kecil daripada FEM – Cross Section, dan nilai Akaike Info
Criterion (AIC) dari FEM – Time Series juga lebih besar. ebih lanjut, hasil Pengujian Redundant
FEM – Cross Section mendukung kesimpulan ini. Nilai F-Cross Section sebesar 0.18 dan tidak
signifikan (nilai p > 0.05) menunjukkan bahwa model cross-section lebih tepat. Dengan demikian, dapat
disimpulkan sementara bahwa Model FEM – Cross Section adalah pilihan yang lebih baik untuk
analisis ini.
4. Koefisien Slope Konstan, Intersep Bervariasi Antarindividu dan Antarperiode

Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 05/31/25 Time: 10:47
Sample: 1935 1954
Periods included: 20
Cross-sections included: 4
Total panel (balanced) observations: 80

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C -129.0276630316718 58.8641473577503 -2.191956714288217 0.03263369468752032


X2 0.1293069669546005 0.02742368901238818 4.715155823718258 1.692138068195492e-05
X3 0.3672492537488329 0.04165912840621102 8.81557698874178 4.173310919219572e-12
Effects Specification
YOSSY OKTAFIANI
NIM. 12030123420063
Magister Akuntansi – 50 JS Korporat

Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)


Period fixed (dummy variables)

R-squared 0.9489248920477834 Mean dependent var 290.915375


Adjusted R-squared 0.926637572214089 S.D. dependent var 284.8527723070233
S.E. of regression 77.15379593997632 Akaike info criterion 11.77978517631266
Sum squared resid 327398.9525371129 Schwarz criterion 12.52416849964825
Log likelihood -446.1914070525064 Hannan-Quinn criter. 12.07822975090962
F-statistic 42.57689570251405 Durbin-Watson stat 0.7652702558228075
Prob(F-statistic) 2.439390660084894e-27

Hasil Pengujian Redundant FEM – Cross Section x Time Series :


Redundant Fixed Effects Tests

Equation: Untitled

Test cross-section and period fixed effects

Effects Test Statistic d.f. Prob.

Cross-section F 64.06552182083652 (3,55) 5.981305307621744e-18

Cross-section Chi-square 120.2280517195577 3 6.891622536702368e-26

Period F 0.8139945761117158 (19,55) 0.681591919573137

Period Chi-square 19.82365410314947 19 0.405258999316358

Cross-Section/Period F 9.417338911753346 (22,55) 9.475630869061936e-12

Cross-Section/Period Chi-square 124.9362927345401 22 2.195363995413496e-16

Hasil Sementara 3 ( Perbandingan ) :

Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa Model Fixed Effect Model (FEM) – Cross
Section lebih unggul dibandingkan dengan FEM – Cross Section x Time Series.
Indikator-indikator ini menguatkan kesimpulan tersebut: nilai F dan Adjusted R-Square
dari FEM – Cross Section x Time Series lebih kecil daripada FEM – Cross Section, dan
nilai Akaike Info Criterion (AIC) dari FEM – Cross Section x Time Series juga lebih
besar. Lebih lanjut, Pengujian Redundant FEM – Cross Section x Time Series
mendukung kesimpulan ini. Nilai F-Cross Section sebesar 64.06 yang signifikan, dan nilai
F Period sebesar 0.81 yang tidak signifikan (nilai P < 0.05), semuanya mengarah pada
satu kesimpulan. Oleh karena itu, dapat disimpulkan bahwa Model FEM – Cross Section
adalah pilihan yang lebih tepat untuk analisis ini.

5. Hasil Pengujian Model Random Effect Model (REM) – Cross Section

Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Panel EGLS (Cross-section random effects)
Date: 05/31/25 Time: 11:03
Sample: 1935 1954
Periods included: 20
Cross-sections included: 4
Total panel (balanced) observations: 80
Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances
YOSSY OKTAFIANI
NIM. 12030123420063
Magister Akuntansi – 50 JS Korporat

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C -73.03530688009101 84.23768771728588 -0.8670146208809564 0.3886278475365429


X2 0.1076554652136177 0.01687463183817429 6.379722310152946 1.210306717152802e-08
X3 0.3457103768585496 0.02663620810035493 12.97896365563922 4.493953171129994e-21

Effects Specification
S.D. Rho

Cross-section random 152.1582265029338 0.8033202308684471


Idiosyncratic random 75.28889625436908 0.1966797691315528

Weighted Statistics
R-squared 0.8049617464350815 Mean dependent var 31.99227038927597
Adjusted R-squared 0.7998958177710576 S.D. dependent var 167.73159808359
S.E. of regression 75.03138576888595 Sum squared resid 433487.5814807524
F-statistic 158.8971736123307 Durbin-Watson stat 0.7803835928074731
Prob(F-statistic) 4.673177531652555e-28

Unweighted Statistics

R-squared 0.753715751115989 Mean dependent var 290.915375


Sum squared resid 1578718.251294768 Durbin-Watson stat 0.2142792711719965

6. Hasil Pengujian Model Random Effect Model (REM) – Time Series


Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Panel EGLS (Period random effects)
Date: 05/31/25 Time: 11:07
Sample: 1935 1954
Periods included: 20
Cross-sections included: 4
Total panel (balanced) observations: 80
Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C -63.30413550194308 33.13229803322991 -1.910647291608099 0.05977262118295568


X2 0.1100955417790149 0.01536071681136598 7.167344019880051 4.001368760241011e-10
X3 0.3033931606716923 0.0551519521978753 5.501041188590607 4.751614147719323e-07

Effects Specification
S.D. Rho
Period random 0 0
Idiosyncratic random 159.2811994636208 1

Weighted Statistics

R-squared 0.7565282514316188 Mean dependent var 290.915375


Adjusted R-squared 0.750204309910362 S.D. dependent var 284.8527723070233
S.E. of regression 142.3681760137959 Sum squared resid 1560689.710695129
F-statistic 119.6292294747984 Durbin-Watson stat 0.2187168808464705
Prob(F-statistic) 2.389296951748727e-24
Unweighted Statistics

R-squared 0.7565282514316188 Mean dependent var 290.915375


Sum squared resid 1560689.710695129 Durbin-Watson stat 0.2187168808464705
YOSSY OKTAFIANI
NIM. 12030123420063
Magister Akuntansi – 50 JS Korporat

7. Hasil Pengujian Model Random Effect Model (REM) – Cross Section x Time Series
Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Panel EGLS (Two-way random effects)
Date: 05/31/25 Time: 11:14
Sample: 1935 1954
Periods included: 20
Cross-sections included: 4
Total panel (balanced) observations: 80
Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C -72.99760935731416 82.3165392228279 -0.8867915250872278 0.3779525491365219


X2 0.1076422522653695 0.01680072732528467 6.406999541226445 1.07718432033332e-08
X3 0.345687392248368 0.02656530440507532 13.01273973665907 3.913739266243257e-21

Effects Specification
S.D. Rho
Cross-section random 152.1115096765553 0.7953736184043598
Period random 0 0
Idiosyncratic random 77.15379593997632 0.2046263815956403

Weighted Statistics

R-squared 0.8048711139977244 Mean dependent var 32.78471626056683


Adjusted R-squared 0.7998028312444185 S.D. dependent var 167.8285833501851
S.E. of regression 75.09221143691631 Sum squared resid 434190.696823464
F-statistic 158.8054876126901 Durbin-Watson stat 0.7790902433657556
Prob(F-statistic) 4.757516010022876e-28

Unweighted Statistics

R-squared 0.753722004371343 Mean dependent var 290.915375


Sum squared resid 1578678.167008411 Durbin-Watson stat 0.2142765654993298

8. Hasil Pengujian Hausman test

Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test


Equation: EQ05
Test cross-section random effects

Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.

Cross-section random 1.474174838424771 2 0.478505574019987

Hasil Sementara 4 ( Perbandingan ) :

Penting untuk diperhatikan bahwa koefisien variabel pada model Random Effect
Model (REM), baik untuk cross section, time series, maupun cross section x time series,
menunjukkan arah yang serupa dan tingkat signifikansi yang tidak jauh berbeda (semua p-value <
0.05) jika dibandingkan dengan Fixed Effect Model (FEM). Namun, Pengujian Hausman Test
menunjukkan hasil yang tidak signifikan (p-value > 0.05) dengan nilai Chi-Square sebesar 1.47. Ini
mengindikasikan bahwa hipotesis nol (Ho) yang menyatakan bahwa nilai model REM sama dengan
nilai model FEM tidak dapat ditolak. Meskipun demikian, berdasarkan poin-poin sebelumnya yang
menunjukkan kinerja superior FEM, peneliti dapat memilih untuk tetap menggunakan Model FEM,
khususnya FEM – Cross Section, sebagai model yang paling tepat untuk analisis.

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