Professional Documents
Culture Documents
MR= sum(MC)
Optimum level of output is P
OX. Revenue,cost(rs.) AR=D
E
MR
O
Units of output
Firms in the industry produce homogeneous
products and agree upon the share each firm
have.
D
AC
d
Revenue,cost(rs.)
P
D
E d
MR
O x
Units of output
Prisoners
Dilemma
Let us suppose that there are two persons, A and B,
who are partners in an illegal activity of match
fixing. The CBI arrests A and B, on suspicion of
their involvement in fixing cricket matches. They
are arrested and lodged in separate jails with no
possibility of communication between them.
They are being interrogated separately by the CBI officials
with following conditions disclosed to them in isolation.
(2) If you deny your involvement & your partners denied it too,
you will be set free for lack of evidence.
(3) If one of you confesses and turns approver, and the other
does not, then one who confesses gets 2-year imprisonment,
and one who does not confess gets 10 year imprisonment.
Given the conditions aforesaid, each suspect has two options open to him
:
(a) to confess
(b) not to confess
While taking decision, both have common objective i.e. to minimize the
period of imprisonment.
Given the above objective, both of them deny their involvement in match
fixing.
But, there is no certainty that if one denies his involvement, the other
will also deny – the other one may confess and turn approver. With this
uncertainty, the dilemma in making choice still remains.
The problem of their decision making can be depicted through
“Pay – off matrix” :
B’s option
Confess Deny
A’s option
A B A B
5 5 2 10
Confess
Deny 10 2 0 0
Given the conditions, it is most likely that both the suspects may opt for
confession, as both of them are unsure of each other conduct.
If both confess, each of them will get 5 year term jail. This is their 2nd
best option.
If they both confess, they would avoid 10 years imprisonment, the max.
possible jail sentence under the law. This is the best they could achieve
in given conditions.
The prisoners dilemma illustrates the nature of problems
oligopoly firms are confronted with in formulation of their
business strategy.