Scribd Logo
Upload

Welcome to Scribd!

  • Lecturemodule 4

    Uploaded by

    api-300762638
    55 views24 pages
    This document discusses psychological biases like hindsight bias and overconfidence that can lead people to think they know more than they actually do. It also talks about how people tend to perceive patterns in random events due to wanting to make sense of the world. Finally, it promotes having a scientific attitude of being curious, skeptical and humble, and engaging in critical thinking by examining assumptions and evidence rather than relying on intuition, which can be misleading due to these biases.

    Original Description:

    Original Title

    lecturemodule4

    Copyright

    © © All Rights Reserved

    Available Formats

    PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Did you find this document useful?

    Is this content inappropriate?

    Report this Document
    This document discusses psychological biases like hindsight bias and overconfidence that can lead people to think they know more than they actually do. It also talks about how people tend to perceive patterns in random events due to wanting to make sense of the world. Finally, it promotes having a scientific attitude of being curious, skeptical and humble, and engaging in critical thinking by examining assumptions and evidence rather than relying on intuition, which can be misleading due to these biases.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    55 views24 pages

    Lecturemodule 4

    Uploaded by

    api-300762638
    This document discusses psychological biases like hindsight bias and overconfidence that can lead people to think they know more than they actually do. It also talks about how people tend to perceive patterns in random events due to wanting to make sense of the world. Finally, it promotes having a scientific attitude of being curious, skeptical and humble, and engaging in critical thinking by examining assumptions and evidence rather than relying on intuition, which can be misleading due to these biases.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 24

    Module 04:

    The Need for Psychological Science


    Did We Know It All Along?
    Hindsight Bias
    Did We Know It All Along?
    Hindsight Bias
    Hindsight Bias
    I knew it all along
    Overconfidence
    Overconfidence

    Overconfidence
    We tend to think we know more
    than we do
    Richard Goranson Study
    WREAT ---------- WATER
    ETRYN------------ ENTRY
    GRABE------------ BARGE
    Perceiving Order in Random
    Events
    Perceiving Order in Random
    Events
    Comes from our need to make
    sense out of the world
    Coin flip
    Poker hand
    The Scientific Attitude:
    Curious, Skeptical and Humble
    The Scientific Attitude:
    Curious, Skeptical and Humble
    Three main components
    Curious eagerness
    Skeptically scrutinize competing ideas
    Open-minded humility before nature
    Hindsight bias, overconfidence and our
    tendency to perceive patters in random
    events often lead us to overestimate our
    intuition.
    Critical Thinking
    Critical Thinking

    Critical Thinking
    Smart thinking
    Elements
    Examines assumptions
    Assesses the source
    Discerns hidden values
    Confirms evidence
    Assesses conclusions

    You might also like