Contemporary Issues in Global Economics WIUT Date: October 23, 2017
Presenter: Murodullo Bazarov
Todays Topic Globalization: winners and losers Poverty and Global Inequality International Trade Issues Economic Integration International Labor Migration Climate Change Foreign Direct Investment Global Value Chains Global Financial Crisis Rise of State Capitalism: China, Russia and Brazil Lecture outline International flow of financial resources: types, reviews Welfare effects of International capital transfers Issues related to FDI International flow of financial resources International flow of financial resources is trans-boundary (international) movement of financial capital in the form of obligations, money for trade, and investments in other countries by legal entities. Forms of international flow of capital are: 1. Development assistance: 1. Foreign aids 2. Non-concessional loans 3. Etc. 2. Loans 3. Remittances 4. Investments: 1. Portfolio investment 2. Foreign direct investment Foreign aids / development assistance Foreign aid is a voluntary, and non-commercial (and often non-concessional) financial, technical assistance to one (usually developing) county by other (usually developed) country (countries). E.g. include: 1. Grants 2. Non-concessional (low rate) loans 3. Technical assistances 4. Humanitarian aid 5. Etc. Loans / credits Loans are the commercial transactions whereby the financial institutions of one country provide capital resources to businesses (companies) of another country. Remittances A remittance is a transfer of money by a foreign worker to an individual in his or her home country. Money sent home by migrants competes with international aid and FDI as one of the largest financial inflows to developing countries: workers' remittances are a significant part of international capital flows, especially with regard to labor-exporting countries Portfolio investment Portfolio investments are investments in the form of purchase of portfolio of securities, including transactions in equities (securities), such as common stock, and debt securities, such as bonds, obligations, etc. It is a PASSIVE form of investment (those who lend / provide money do not get involved in the business of the company who borrows money). E.g.: 1. USA based investment firm purchases the bonds of a Malaysian company in KL stock exchange 2. Japanese investment firm purchases the obligations of a Korean company in Seoul stock exchange Portfolio investment Motives: Higher returns in other (usually developing) countries To diversify risks: Portfolio theory tells us that by investing in securities with yields that are inversely related over time, a higher yield can be obtained for the same level of risk Varying resource endowment of different countries (Heckscher-Ohlin model) create different prices of capital in different countries (capital price is higher in countries with low capital-labor ratio) Foreign direct investment A foreign direct investment (FDI) is an investment in the form of a controlling ownership in a business in one country by an entity based in another country. E.g. 1. Peugeot is planning to open a car manufacturing plant in Uzbekistan. 2. Coca-Cola owns large network of plants manufacturing drinks across the world 3. McDonalds is planning to invest to Uzbekistan Foreign direct investment 1. Real investments in tangible assets such as factories, capital goods, land, and inventories where both capital and management are involved. It is usually undertaken by multinational corporations 2. By definition, FDI reflects a long term investment as it involves a stake of 10% or more in a host country enterprises, together with managerial control. FDI and portfolio investment compared BASIS FOR COMPARISON FDI PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT
Role of investor Active Passive
(participation in management )
Degree of control High Relatively low
Term (period of lending / Permanent or long term Short term
investment)
Investment form: Money / physical assets Money
Results in: Transfer of funds / technology Capital flow
/ other resources Foreign Direct Investment Foreign direct investment MOTIVES: FDI over exporting High transportation costs, trade barriers FDI over licensing or franchising Need to retain strategic control Need to protect technological know-how Capabilities not suitable for licensing/franchising Follow few main competitors Immediate strategic responses Capital transfers: welfare effect ICT: welfare effects Multinational Corporations (MNCs) and FDI
FDI is associated mainly with MNCs. Why?
Source of most of FDI is MNCs Why to invest in the form of FDI? Why not portfolio investment? a) Motives are the same as in Portfolio investment (capital is cheaper in developed countries, and other resources are cheaper in developing nations / countries). Hence, return on capital is higher in developing countries. b) On top of it, MNCs possess (have) unique knowledge, skills that can be profitably used in developing countries. Foreign direct investment Modes of Entry 1. Greenfield: investment from scratch as no local entity for sale 2. Merger and Acquisition: 100% acquisition or joint-venture Types of expansion 1. Horizontal same products produced abroad and domestically 2. Vertical either to produce inputs or to approach closer to end users 3. Diversification FDI: issues and opposing views The radical view: inbound FDI harmful; Are imperialist dominators Exploit host to the advantage of home country Extract profits from host country; give nothing back Keep LDCs backward and dependent for investment, technology and jobs The free market view: FDI should be encouraged Adam Smith, Ricardo, et al: international production should be distributed per national comparative advantage An MNC increases the world economy efficiency Adds to local economys comparative advantages FDI: issues and opposing views Benefits to host country: Growth through increasing the capital stock and through increasing the rate of technological change Resource -transfer Employment Balance-of-payment (BOP) Import substitution Source of export increase Costs to the host country: Adverse effects on the BOP Capital inflow followed by capital outflow + profits Production input importation Threat to national sovereignty and autonomy Loss of economic independence FDI: issues and opposing views Other benefits: Employee training usually comes with FDI contributing to increase level of human capital Technological spillovers (employees move from TNCs to domestic firms) Domestic firms observe the practice of MNCs Tax revenue to host government collecting from corporate tax FDI is believed to be more productive than domestic investment FDI: issues and opposing views PROBLEMS CREATED BY MNC / FDIS: MNCs dominate the host countries economies Driving out domestic entrepreneurs Resource transfer Creating technological dependence Transfer R&D funds to home country Transfer profits and natural resources to home country Lack of training of local labour Current account may worsen due to importation of capital goods and intermediate goods Overexploitation of natural resources Use of highly capital intensive technologies in appropriate for labour-abundant developing nations Minimizing the tax payments by using transfer pricing mechanisms FDI: issues and opposing views It is interesting to mention that most of empirical studies that show negative impact from FDI argue that FDI could generate positive spillovers when: FDI is entered in the form of joint venture FDI is promoted in parallel with free trade policy FDI is required to comply to local content policy The technological gap between home and host country is not too large The host country has a certain degree of human capital absorptive capacity Courtesy of UoW FDI: issues and opposing views Problems for the home country: Tax payment reduction Job loss for home country Thank you! And any questions? References 1. Salvatore, D. (2013), International Economics: Trade and Finance, 11th ed., Singapore: Wiley, pp. 353-367 2. Krugman, P.R., Obstfeld M., Melitz, M.J. (2014), International Economics: Theory and Policy, 10th edition, USA: pp. 222-230 3. http://www.globalization101.org/category/issues-in-depth/investment 4. http://www.scoop.it/t/insights-into-the-global-economy