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DOX 6E Montgomery 1
Spacing of Factor Levels in the
Unreplicated 2k Factorial Designs
DOX 6E Montgomery 3
Example of an Unreplicated 2k Design
DOX 6E Montgomery 4
The Resin Plant Experiment
DOX 6E Montgomery 5
The Resin Plant Experiment
DOX 6E Montgomery 6
Estimates of the Effects
DOX 6E Montgomery 7
The Normal Probability Plot of Effects
DOX 6E Montgomery 8
The Half-Normal Probability Plot of Effects
DOX 6E Montgomery 9
ANOVA Summary for the Model
DOX 6E Montgomery 10
The Regression Model
DOX 6E Montgomery 11
Model Residuals are Satisfactory
DOX 6E Montgomery 12
Model Interpretation – Main Effects
and Interactions
DOX 6E Montgomery 13
Model Interpretation – Response
Surface Plots
With concentration at either the low or high level, high temperature and
high stirring rate results in high filtration rates
DOX 6E Montgomery 14
The Drilling Experiment
Example 6-3, pg. 237
DOX 6E Montgomery 16
Residual Plots
1.44875
Res iduals
0.31125
-0.82625
-1.96375
Predicted
DOX 6E Montgomery 17
Residual Plots
• The residual plots indicate that there are problems
with the equality of variance assumption
• The usual approach to this problem is to employ a
transformation on the response
• Power family transformations are widely used
y y
*
DOX 6E Montgomery 18
Selecting a Transformation
• Empirical selection of lambda
• Prior (theoretical) knowledge or experience can
often suggest the form of a transformation
• Analytical selection of lambda…the Box-Cox
(1964) method (simultaneously estimates the
model parameters and the transformation
parameter lambda)
• Box-Cox method implemented in Design-Expert
DOX 6E Montgomery 19
The Box-Cox Method
DESIGN-EXPERT Plot Box-Cox Plot for Power Transforms
adv._rate
6.85 A log transformation is
Lambda
Current = 1 recommended
Best = -0.23
Low C.I. = -0.79
High C.I. = 0.32 5.40 The procedure provides a
Recommend transform: confidence interval on
Log
Ln(Res idualSS)
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Lam bda
DOX 6E Montgomery 20
Effect Estimates Following the
Log Transformation
DOX 6E Montgomery 21
ANOVA Following the Log Transformation
DOX 6E Montgomery 22
Following the Log Transformation
DOX 6E Montgomery 23
The Log Advance Rate Model
DOX 6E Montgomery 24
Other Examples of
Unreplicated 2k Designs
• The sidewall panel experiment (Example 6-4, pg. 239)
– Two factors affect the mean number of defects
– A third factor affects variability
– Residual plots were useful in identifying the dispersion
effect
• The oxidation furnace experiment (Example 6-5, pg.
242)
– Replicates versus repeat (or duplicate) observations?
– Modeling within-run variability
DOX 6E Montgomery 25
Other Analysis Methods for
Unreplicated 2k Designs
• Lenth’s method (see text, pg. 235)
– Analytical method for testing effects, uses an estimate
of error formed by pooling small contrasts
– Some adjustment to the critical values in the original
method can be helpful
– Probably most useful as a supplement to the normal
probability plot
• Conditional inference charts (pg. 236)
DOX 6E Montgomery 26
Addition of Center Points
to a 2k Designs
• Based on the idea of replicating some of the
runs in a factorial design
• Runs at the center provide an estimate of
error and allow the experimenter to
distinguish between two possible models:
k k k
First-order model (interaction) y 0 i xi ij xi x j
i 1 i 1 j i
k k k k
Second-order model y 0 i xi ij xi x j ii xi2
i 1 i 1 j i i 1
DOX 6E Montgomery 27
yF yC no "curvature"
The hypotheses are:
k
H 0 : ii 0
i 1
k
H1 : ii 0
i 1
nF nC ( yF yC )2
SSPure Quad
nF nC
DOX 6E Montgomery 28
Example 6-6, Pg. 248
Refer to the original experiment
shown in Table 6-10. Suppose that nC 4
four center points are added to this
experiment, and at the points x1=x2 Usually between 3
=x3=x4=0 the four observed and 6 center points
filtration rates were 73, 75, 66, and will work well
69. The average of these four center Design-Expert
points is 70.75, and the average of provides the analysis,
the 16 factorial runs is 70.06. including the F-test
Since are very similar, we suspect for pure quadratic
that there is no strong curvature curvature
present.
DOX 6E Montgomery 29
ANOVA for Example 6-6
DOX 6E Montgomery 30
If curvature is significant, augment the design with axial runs to
create a central composite design. The CCD is a very effective
design for fitting a second-order response surface model
DOX 6E Montgomery 31
Practical Use of Center Points (pg. 250)
• Use current operating conditions as the center
point
• Check for “abnormal” conditions during the
time the experiment was conducted
• Check for time trends
• Use center points as the first few runs when there
is little or no information available about the
magnitude of error
• Center points and qualitative factors?
DOX 6E Montgomery 32
Center Points and Qualitative Factors
DOX 6E Montgomery 33