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Airport-Sule Express Way - Revised
Airport-Sule Express Way - Revised
Time Interval PC Mini Bus Bus Light Truck Small Truck Heavy Truk Total
8:00-8:15am
433 4 6 9 20.25 14 14 19 19 0 0 492.25
8:15-8:30am
459 4 6 13 29.25 25 25 16 16 0 0 535.25
8:30-8:45am
386 12 18 15 33.75 34 34 13 13 0 0 484.75
8:45-9:00am
331 1 1.5 9 20.25 16 16 12 12 0 0 380.75
9:00-9:15am
367 1 1.5 9 20.25 20 20 11 11 0 0 419.75
9:15-9:30am
430 3 4.5 12 27 30 30 17 17 0 0 508.5
9:30-9:45am
408 1 1.5 12 27 28 28 22 22 0 0 486.5
9:45-10:00am
484 0 0 20 45 35 35 28 28 0 0 592
10:00-10:15am
425 1 1.5 13 29.25 28 28 32 32 0 0 515.75
10:15-10:30am
560 0 0 23 51.75 29 29 28 28 0 0 668.75
10:30-10:45am
321 0 0 11 24.75 32 32 16 16 0 0 393.75
10:45-11:00am
513 4 6 7 15.75 40 40 21 21 0 0 595.75
From Air Port-Sule Direction at Morning Peak Hour
Time Interval PC Mini Bus Bus Light Truck Small Truck Heavy Truk Total
8:00-8:15am
695 4 6 12 27 30 30 24 24 0 0 782
8:15-8:30am
611 6 9 20 45 26 26 15 15 0 0 706
8:30-8:45am
627 9 13.5 22 49.5 36 36 23 23 0 0 749
8:45-9:00am
601 2 3 13 29.25 38 38 17 17 0 0 688.25
9:00-9:15am
585 2 3 22 49.5 28 28 21 21 0 0 686.5
9:15-9:30am
516 0 0 15 33.75 31 31 27 27 0 0 607.75
9:30-9:45am
541 6 9 20 45 34 34 29 29 0 0 658
9:45-10:00am
552 0 0 12 27 52 52 22 22 0 0 653
10:00-10:15am
770 0 0 11 24.75 42 42 27 27 0 0 863.75
10:15-10:30am
612 2 3 16 36 61 61 28 28 0 0 740
10:30-10:45am
518 0 0 12 27 50 50 22 22 0 0 617
10:45-11:00am
589 1 1.5 9 20.25 48 48 29 29 0 0 687.75
From Sule-Airport Direction at Evening Peak Hour
Time Interval PC Mini Bus Bus Light Truck Small Truck Heavy Truk
Total Traffic Volume
(min) 1.50 2.25 1.00 1.00 3.00
3:30-3:45pm
291 0 0 6 13.5 28 28 27 27 0 0 359.5
3:45-4:00pm
496 1 1.5 12 27 33 33 23 23 0 0 580.5
4:00-4:15pm
425 1 1.5 15 33.75 40 40 15 15 0 0 515.25
4:15-4:30pm
434 1 1.5 10 22.5 36 36 25 25 0 0 519
4:30-4:45pm
510 1 1.5 11 24.75 41 41 28 28 0 0 605.25
4:45-5:00pm
491 0 0 16 36 28 28 33 33 0 0 588
5:00-5:15pm
527 3 4.5 15 33.75 55 55 5 5 0 0 625.25
5:15-5:30pm
398 2 3 11 24.75 37 37 14 14 0 0 476.75
5:30-5:45pm
483 5 7.5 11 24.75 37 37 12 12 0 0 564.25
5:45-6:00pm
452 5 7.5 15 33.75 32 32 14 14 0 0 539.25
6:00-6:15pm
474 6 9 7 15.75 35 35 15 15 0 0 548.75
6:15-6:30pm
451 1 1.5 10 22.5 41 41 6 6 0 0 522
From Airport-Sule Directin at Eveniing Peak Hour
Time Interval PC Mini Bus Bus Light Truck Small Truck Heavy Truk Total
3:30-3:45
324 0 0 6 13.5 24 24 21 21 0 0 382.5
3:45-4:00
422 1 1.5 11 24.75 32 32 13 13 0 0 493.25
4:00-4:15
519 4 6 10 22.5 35 35 21 21 0 0 603.5
4:15-4:30
452 0 0 7 15.75 30 30 29 29 0 0 526.75
4:30-4:45
461 2 3 9 20.25 32 32 34 34 0 0 550.25
4:45-5:00
416 5 7.5 13 29.25 26 26 14 14 0 0 492.75
5:00-5:15
446 12 18 14 31.5 40 40 13 13 0 0 548.5
5:15-5:30
558 4 6 10 22.5 42 42 7 7 0 0 635.5
5:30-5:45
447 0 0 8 18 39 39 5 5 0 0 509
5:45-6:00
472 1 1.5 12 27 29 29 3 3 0 0 532.5
6:00-6:15
609 1 1.5 13 29.25 43 43 0 0 0 0 682.75
6:15-6:30
552 3 4.5 15 33.75 26 26 8 8 0 0 624.25
From Sule-Air
Port Directin at
Morning Peak
Hour
1000 From Air Port-
SuleDirectin at
800 Morning Peak
Hour
600
400
200
0
From Air Port-SuleDirectin at Morning Peak Hour
From Sule-Air Port Directin at Morning Peak Hour
From Sule-Airport
700 Direction at Evening
600 Peak Hour
500
100
Lane 4 4 4 4 4
20.44800
Unit Cost(Lk/Lane-ft) 136 17.26669261 21.10449793 21.08488288 22.93844367
n 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
- 20.44800 42.18938 17.26669 22.93844
Project Cost 136 081 0 261 367 0
Rate 15%
NPV@2011
(lk/lane-ft) 70.96
FV@2018
(lk/lane-ft) (164.13)
Average
FV@2017
(lk/lane-ft) (32.83)
• We approach project cash flow analysis from economic point of
view, so that
IRR should be about 20%
Break-even point will come in around 15 year.
NPV for project life of 15yrs must be positive
• For those option, charge per vehicle will cost as per below
4 lanes 6 lanes 8 lanes
Rush hour % 80% 60% 40%
IRR 21% 20% 20%
NPV 1.45 1.39 2.19
Charge/Vehicle (Kyats) 3000 4000 5000
Maximum Full Demand for each option will reach in 4th operation year.
. .. . .
6.0
4.0
2.0
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 4 Lane
6 Lane
(2.0) 8 Lane
(4.0)
(6.0)
(8.0)
4.0
2.0
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
(2.0)
(4.0)
4 Lane
(6.0) 6 Lane
8 Lane
(8.0)
(10.0)
(12.0)
(14.0)
(16.0)
Express Way Length Basic Length 20km
Variation 5km
Variation 16.67%(10km/h)
NPV Result for 4 Lane
Sr NPV Frequency Cum-Freq Prpbability
0 -3.14 1.00 1.00 0%
1 -2.54 8.00 9.00 1%
2 -1.95 31.00 40.00 4%
3 -1.36 54.00 94.00 9%
4 -0.76 84.00 178.00 18%
5 -0.17 131.00 309.00 31%
6 0.43 159.00 468.00 47%
7 1.02 159.00 627.00 63%
8 1.62 146.00 773.00 77%
9 2.21 111.00 884.00 88%
10 2.81 72.00 956.00 96%
11 3.40 33.00 989.00 99%
12 4.00 11.00 1000.00 100%
NPV Result for 6 Lane
Sr NPV Frequency Cum-Freq Prpbability
0 -5.36 1.00 1.00 0%
1 -4.49 8.00 9.00 1%
2 -3.62 32.00 41.00 4%
3 -2.74 54.00 95.00 10%
4 -1.87 84.00 179.00 18%
5 -1.00 131.00 310.00 31%
6 -0.12 161.00 471.00 47%
7 0.75 153.00 624.00 62%
8 1.62 146.00 770.00 77%
9 2.50 118.00 888.00 89%
10 3.37 71.00 959.00 96%
11 4.24 30.00 989.00 99%
12 5.11 11.00 1000.00 100%
NPV Result for 8 Lane
Sr NPV Frequency Cum-Freq Prpbability
0 -6.87 1.00 1.00 0%
1 -5.70 8.00 9.00 1%
2 -4.52 31.00 40.00 4%
3 -3.35 55.00 95.00 10%
4 -2.18 83.00 178.00 18%
5 -1.01 132.00 310.00 31%
6 0.17 156.00 466.00 47%
7 1.34 159.00 625.00 63%
8 2.51 145.00 770.00 77%
9 3.68 115.00 885.00 89%
10 4.86 73.00 958.00 96%
11 6.03 31.00 989.00 99%
12 7.20 10.00 999.00 100%
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
4 lanes
50%
6 lanes
40% 8 lanes
30%
20%
10%
0%
-8.00 -6.00 -4.00 -2.00 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00
• As per result,
• % of NPV of 4 lane to be lower than zero is about 31%
• The result graph of 4 lane is steeper slope than others, meaning
narrowest variation & lowest risk in three options
• So 4 Lane is the best option to be chosen
• Better Line of Communication
• Reduce Traffic Congestion Problem of Yangon
• Profit from Reduced Fuel Consumption Cost, Reducing Delay of
Traffic Flow
• Better Productivity of the City, Faster Development
• Environment impact must be investigated, performing the
following procedure.
Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA)
Social Impact Assessment (SIA)
Environmental & Social Impact Assessment(ESIA)
Health Impact Assessment (HIA)
Heritage Impact Assessment (HIA)
Initial Environment Examination(IEE)
Environmental Management Plan (EMP)