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Statistical
Methods
Descriptive Inferential
Statistics Statistics
Hypothesis
Estimation
Testing
Recall that…
STATISTICS
General <--- Specific
Population <--- Sample
Model <--- Data
Identifying and Estimating
the Target Parameter
Concepts of Estimation
An unknown population
mean
An unknown population
proportion p
Estimation Methods
Estimation
Point Interval
Estimation Estimation
Point Estimator
X
s
s
2 2
p
Point Estimator
^
Example: Estimating an unknown mean
x
Shortcoming of Point Estimates
Upper
Lower
Confidence Confidence
Point Estimate
Limit Limit
Width of
confidence interval
Interval Estimator
Sampling Distribution
n=4 n =16
x = 5 x = 2.5
x- = 50 x
Confidence Intervals for a Mean, σ
Unknown
Confidence Intervals for a Mean, σ Known
x sample mean
z z - value for a particular confidence level
σ the population standard deviation
n the number of observatio ns in the sample
1-0.025=0.975
Example
Student’s t-Statistic
Using the t-Distribution: Confidence Intervals
for a Mean, σ Unknown
It is, like the z distribution, a continuous distribution.
It is, like the z distribution, bell-shaped and symmetrical.
There is not one t distribution, but rather a family of t
distributions. All t distributions have a mean of 0, but their
standard deviations differ according to the sample size, n.
The t distribution is more spread out and flatter at the center
than the standard normal distribution.
As the sample size increases, however, the t distribution
approaches the standard normal distribution.
Comparing the z and t Distributions When n is
Small, 95% Confidence Level
Degrees of Freedom
Standard
Normal
Bell-Shaped
Symmetric t (df = 13)
‘Fatter’ Tails
t (df = 5)
z
t
0
Using the t-Distribution: Confidence Intervals
for a Mean, σ Unknown
x = 3.7
s = 0.38987
• n = 6, df = n – 1 = 6 – 1 = 5
• t.05 = 2.015
Summary