EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILITY

Classroom Rules
1. Listen to the teacher.
2. Follow directions.
3. Participate to activities.
4. Cooperate with your group
mates.
5. Raise your hand if you want to
answer or ask questions.
THE GOLDEN RULE!!!!
• Do not hesitate to ask
questions if you do not
understand the lesson.
(I am very much willing to help
you out.)
 DRILL:
• Tell whether the following is
sure to happen, likely to
happen, or impossible to
happen.
The baby cooks for the family.
Impossible to happen
The lost cellular phone was found.
Likely to happen
The teacher the pupils.
Sure to happen
The man collapses during the rally.
Likely to happen
The cat drives the car.
Impossible to happen.
 1. What was the heat index in
Metro Manila on April 15 in
2010? 2011?
2. Did the temperature increase
on April 8 in 2010 and 2011?
I will let you watch a video of the
song KAPALIGIRAN.
Later, we will discuss the message
of the song.
Are you ready?
Silence Please……
 Unlocking…….
Probability- is the likelihood or
chance of an event occurring.
Experimental Probability - the ratio
of the number of times an event
occurs to the total number of trials
or times the activity is performed.
 The number cube
1. If you roll a 0-5 number cube, what is
the probability that you will roll 7?

2. If you roll a 0-5 number cube, what is

the probability that you will roll a
number less than 7?
3. If you roll a 0-5 number cube, what is
the probability that you will roll an even
number?

4. If you roll a 0-5 number cube, what is

the probability that you will roll an odd
number?
Another video will be shown to you,
please write down important details
while watching the video.

Then, prepare for a group activity.

What have you learned from the
video?

How can we describe an

experimental probability?
Group Activity: (Card picking)
Group 1: (1 red card, 4 black cards)
Group 2: (2 red cards, 3 black cards)
Group 3: (3 red cards, 2 black cards)
Group 4: (4 red cards, 1 black card)
You should come up with a total of
10 outcomes.
Present your output….
1. How did you find the activity?
2. How did you perform the simple
probability experiment?
3. How did you express the
outcomes of your probability?
A probability tells us how likely
something is to happen.
We use fractions to describe probability.
For example, if you flip a coin it has an
equal chance to land on either of its two
faces. The probability that the coin will
land heads up is 1 result out of two
possible outcome, or ½ . Since it is likely
that the coin will land tails up, that
probability is also ½.
 Even though we might imagine the coin
landing on its edge, this event is so
unlikely that we don’t usually consider it.
We expect a coin to land heads up half
of the time and tails up the other half.
Nothing else is likely to happen.
If something cannot possibly happen,
the probability is 0. If something is
certain to happen, the probability is 1.
Another example:
Andre and Emma are rolling a 0-5
number cube. When the cube shows
0, 1, 2 Andre will win. When it shows
3, 4, 5 Emma wins.
Questions to answer:
1. What is the probability that Emma
will win?
2. What is the probability that Andre
will win?
Suppose they play games 120 times.
Questions to answer:
1. About how many times would you
expect Emma win?
2. About how many times would you
expect Andre to win?
3. Would you be surprised if Emma
did not win exactly 60 times?
Describe three instances where the
probability is 0.

Example: A man giving birth to a child

A probability tells us how likely
something is to happen. If
something cannot possibly
happen, the probability is 0. If
something is certain to happen,
the probability is 1.
Evaluation: (1/2 cw)
Jimmy and Naomi are rolling a
regular 0-5 number cube. Jimmy
wins if 0 is rolled. Naomi wins if
1,2,3,4 or 5 is rolled.
1. Who do you think will win
more often?
2. What fraction of the time do
you think Jimmy will win?
3. What is Naomi’s probability of
winning?
4. If they roll the cube 6 times,
how many times would you expect
Jimmy to win? What is 1/6 of 6?
5. Should you be surprised if
Jimmy did not win exavtly 1 time
out of 6 tries?
Homework:
Write 0 for impossible to happen, ½
for equally likely to happen and 1 for
certain to happen.
1. From class of 30 boys and 30 girls,
what is the probability that a girl is
chosen as a leader.
2. Without looking, what is the
probability that a green pen is drawn
from a box of green pen?
3. What is the probability that a
tomato is drawn from a box of apples
and oranges.
4. From tossing a coin, what is the
probability that the head shows up?