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  • Never Tell ME: THE Odds

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    Thomas Regala
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    This document discusses how probability and psychology are used in games to make them more interesting. It notes that uncertainty in games is good because it prevents games from being simple puzzles with only one optimal solution. However, too much randomness reduces meaningful decisions. Luck is described as probability going in someone's favor. The document also discusses how humans can be suboptimal when assessing probability due to cognitive biases, and that good games take advantage of this to add unpredictability and fun. In summary, it advocates using probability and human psychology to introduce controlled randomness into games.

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    This document discusses how probability and psychology are used in games to make them more interesting. It notes that uncertainty in games is good because it prevents games from being simple puzzles with only one optimal solution. However, too much randomness reduces meaningful decisions. Luck is described as probability going in someone's favor. The document also discusses how humans can be suboptimal when assessing probability due to cognitive biases, and that good games take advantage of this to add unpredictability and fun. In summary, it advocates using probability and human psychology to introduce controlled randomness into games.

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    14 views19 pages

    Never Tell ME: THE Odds

    Uploaded by

    Thomas Regala
    This document discusses how probability and psychology are used in games to make them more interesting. It notes that uncertainty in games is good because it prevents games from being simple puzzles with only one optimal solution. However, too much randomness reduces meaningful decisions. Luck is described as probability going in someone's favor. The document also discusses how humans can be suboptimal when assessing probability due to cognitive biases, and that good games take advantage of this to add unpredictability and fun. In summary, it advocates using probability and human psychology to introduce controlled randomness into games.

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    of 19

    TEGR Table Talks:

    HOW PROBABILITY
    NEVER TELL AND PSYCHOLOGY
    ME THE MAKE FOR
    BY THOMAS EVEERY
    INTERESTING
    REGALA
    WHO AM I?
    WHAT DO I DO?

    DISCLAIMER: I CURSE.
    LIKE, A *BLEEP* LOT
    MANDATORY ICEBREAKER:
    2 TRUTHS AND A LIE
    IDEAL: MAKE
    GAMES YOU AND I
    CAN PL AY

    PS. THIS ALSO ASSUMES YOU ALREADY KNOW BASIC


    STATISTICS. BECAUSE I SURE DON'T
    WHAT
    IS A
    GAME ?*
    WH Y AD D
    PROBABILITY
    IN A GAME ?

    *IS IT A
    MISERABLE
    A GAME IS
    A S E R I E S OF
    ME A N I N GFU L
    D E C I S I ON S

    -SID MEIER
    Are we not games to you?

    UNCERTAINTY IN GAMES IS GOOD,


    BECAUSE A GAME WITH ONLY ONE
    OPTIMAL WAY TO WIN IS NOT A GAME BUT
    A PUZZLE
    TO MAKE A GAME MORE CASUAL, ADD
    LUCK
    TO MAKE IT MORE HARDCORE, ADD SKILL
    However, too much uncertainty or randomness reduces the decisions made,
    making it less of a game
    BUT ISN'T
    LU C K JUS T
    PR OB AB IL IT Y
    G O I N G YO UR
    WAY ?
    HUMANS HAVE A GOOD SENSE OF
    ASSESSING PROBABILITY - IT'S
    CONNECTED TO OUR ABILITY TO DETECT
    PATTERNS
    JU ST LI KE H O W
    WE GE T
    F O O LE D BY
    O PTIC A L
    ILLU SIO NS, W E
    C A N BE ...
    SUBO PTIMA L
    W ITH
    PRO BA BILTY
    HERE'S ONE OF MANY FALLACIES
    GOOD GAMES TAKE ADVANTAGE OF HUMAN
    BEHAVIOR WHEN IT COMES TO PROBABILITY
    SO LET'S
    PLAY A
    GAM E

    HOW LUCKY
    DO YOU
    FEE L
    TODAY?
    THE OPTIMUM CHOICE?
    SWITCHING
    WOW, RIGHT?
    N AMIMIG AY AKO
    D E PE N D E S A
    MO OD

    (AND AMONG
    LOTS OF
    OTHER HUMAN
    FACTORS)
    THE HUMAN ELEMENT IS A GOOD WRENCH YOU
    THROW IN GAMES WITH PROBABILTY TO
    PROVIDE UNPREDICTABLE *FUN*
    A RECAP:

    PROBABILITY IS
    CONTROLLED SOMETHING YOU
    RANDOMNESS CAN FUDGE
    IS GOOD IN WITH IN GAMES
    GAMES TO MAKE IT
    INTERESTING
    SHAMELESS
    PLUGGING:

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