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Recall
Option
A right to buy (or sell) an underlying asset.
Strike price: E
Maturity date: T
Price of the underlying asset: S0 or ST
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American Vs. European Option
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Price of Option at Maturity
C1 Max( ST E,0)
P1 Max( E ST ,0)
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Asset Pricing Principle
How to calculate the price of asset today?
Your Answer is
PV of future cash flow!
Call price should be the PV of C1
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Recall Time value of money
Today
C1 or P1 (future value)
Discounted to today
Price of Call/Put
(Present Value)
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Binomial Option Pricing Model
(BOPM)
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Assumption of BOPM
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One Period BOPM
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One Period BOPM
Assume the following:
– Stock XYZ currently sells for Rs100 per share
– Time to maturity is one year.
– There are two possible stock prices in one year
and either will increase by 10% or down by 10%.
– Risk free rate is 8% p.a.
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The Binomial Option Pricing
Model (cont’d)
Possible states of the world:
Su = Rs110
S0=100
Sd = Rs90
0 1
One Period
Today One year Later
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Important !
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Probability Determination
1 r d
p
ud
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Insert in same graph before
Su =110
p =0.90
S0=100
Sd= 90
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Exercised value of call at maturity
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Possible states of the world:
Su= 110
p =0.90
Cu= 10
S0 =100
C0 =? Sd= 90
Cd = 0
Today One year Later
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Call Price (C0) is
p Cu (1 p ) Cd
C0 (1 r )1
0.9 10 0.10 0
1 0.08
C 0 Rs 8.33
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Quiz
Chapter 9:
Question no. 6.
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Put price (P0)?
p Pu (1 p ) Pd
P0
(1 r )1
Pu = Max (E – Su, 0)
Pd = Max (E – Sd, 0)
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Quiz
Q. No. 10
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Important!
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Two Periods BOPM
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Example 1
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Working process:
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Extension to Two Periods (cont’d)
Suu =Rs121
Cuu = Max (Suu – E, 0)
= 21
17.5 Sud =99
S0 =Rs100 Cud =Max (Sud – E, 0)
0 =0
C0 = 14.58
Sd= 90 Sdd =Rs81
Cdd =Max (Sdd–E, 0)
Today 1 Year Later =0
2 Year Later
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Cu and Cd?
Cuu * p Cud * (1 p )
Cu
1 r 1
Cud * p Cdd * (1 p )
Cd
1 r 1
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Quiz
Chapter 9
Q. No. 17
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American Call valuation
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American Call valuation (cont’d)
CuA * p CdA * (1 p )
C0 A
1 r 1
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Fair price American Call?
Thus,
C0A = Rs14.58
If it is exercised immediately, Value is
= Max (S0 – E, 0) = 0
Therefore, Fair Price of American call is
C0A = Rs14.58
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Quiz
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Synthetic Instrument
Portfolio of security that duplicates the cash flow of other original
security.
Creation of synthetic instrument requires understanding of put call
parity model:
P0 + S0 = C0 + E (1+r)-T
Key of model
Where: P0 = Put price E = exercise price of call and put
S0 = current stock price Left hand side = right hand side
C0 = call price Assume E = Face value of zero coupon
E = Exercise price bond (M)
r = risk free rate Then E (1+r)-T = bond price today (B0)
T = time to maturity
Lets learn to create synthetic put
P0 + S0 = C0 + E (1+r)-T
Positive sign means buy and negative sign means sell
Take all items to right hand side and let put only in left
hand side to create synthetic put
P0 = C0 + E (1+r)-T - S0
Thus,
Buying put is equivalent to :
Buying call, buying zero coupon bond and short selling
the stock today.
Right hand side will give payoff as buying put does.
Therefore right hand side is called synthetic put!
Example
Put and call option are available on stock with an exercise
price of Rs80. Maturity period of option is one year and risk
free interest rate is 10% p.a. Both options are at the money
position. Stock price will rang from Rs80 to 100 interval of
Rs5 at expiry.
Required:
Can you create synthetic put?
Yes, we can do by buying call, buying zero coupon
bond and short selling the stock today.
Prepare table showing that synthetic put gives same
value as actual put does at the end of one year.
Actual put and synthetic put table
Can you create synthetic call?
We have
C0 = P0+ E (1+r)-T - S0
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When to exercise American
Option?
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Example
Sd = 80
Less D =8
= 72 Sdd =57.60
Cd = 0
Cdd =0
CuA = 0
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Fair price American Call?
Thus,
C0A = Rs14.02
If it is exercised immediately, Value is
= Max (S0 – E, 0) = 0
Therefore, Fair Price of American call is
C0A = Rs14.02
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Try Q. No. 27
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Hedge Portfolio
We can construct a portfolio of stock and
options such that the portfolio has the
same value regardless of the stock price in
future.
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Call and Stock Combination
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Cond.
Note: Vd = Vu
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Contd.
Vu or Vd
V0
(1 r )1
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Example
Question no. 21
c. Rs2.84
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e. Calculation of rate of return if call price is
Rs3.50 instead of 2.84.
New V0 = h*S0 – C0 = Rs9
New V0 = Vu or Vd
(1+r)1
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Arbitrage Illustration
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g. If price of call is Rs4, it is overpriced.
Strategies
Sell the call +Rs4
Buy h number of shares @S0 - Rs12.5
Net Cash flow -Rs8.50
Borrow Rs8.50 today @10 for one period.
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Result at expiry
1. If stock price is Su = Rs28.75
Exercise the call (short call payoff) -3.75
Pay loan -Rs9.35
Sell h number of shares @Su and refund +Rs14.375
Arbitrage profit Rs1.275
2. Try for Sd price.
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Hedge with stock and Put
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Cond.
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Contd.
Vu or Vd
V0
(1 r )1
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Try Q. No. 22
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The Black-Scholes-Merton Model
(Ch 10)
ln( S0 / E ) ( r .5σ 2 )T
d1
T
d 2 d1 T
rT
C0 S0 N(d1 ) Ee N(d2 )
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The Black-Scholes Model
E = Exercise price
T = Time to maturity in year
r= risk free rate p.a.
σ = standard deviation
S0 = current stock price
In = natural log
e = base of natural log
C0 = call price
d1 and d2 = indicators of cumulative probability
N(d1) & N(d2) = Normal cumulative probabilities
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The Black-Scholes Model
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The Black-Scholes Model
Let’s try our hand at using the model. If you have a
calculator handy, follow along.
First calculate d1 and d2
ln( S0 / E ) ( r .5σ 2 )T
d1
T
ln( 160 / 150) (.05 .5(0.30)2 ).5
d1 0.5280
0.30 .5
Then,
d 2 d1 T 0.5280 0.30 .5 0.3158
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Calculation of call Price
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Calculation of put price
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Note it
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Test your knowledge
Variance is 64
How do you calculate fraction of variance 64?
SD = 8% 8/100 = 0.08
Thus, = 64/10000 = 0.0064
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Calculation of adjusted stock price
Q. No. 24
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Note
Q. No. 25
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Currency Swap
rfT
ln( S0 * e / E ) ( r .5σ )T
2
d1
T
d 2 d1 T
rfT rT
C0 S0 * e N(d1 ) Ee N(d 2 )
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Option on foreign currency:
rf = foreign risk free rate
r = domestic risk free rate p.a.
S0 = current spot rate per unit of foreign currency
Foreign currency is stated in one unit.
Rs100 = $1
$2 = £1
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Put Price?
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Concept Check
Q. No. 40
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Useful Websites
www.jeresearch.com (information on option formulas)
www.option-price.com (for a free option price calculator)
www.numa.com (for “everything about options”)
www.wsj.com/free (option price quotes)
www.ino.com (Web Center for Futures and Options)
www.pmpublishing.com (free daily volatility summaries)
www.ivolatility.com (for applications of implied volatility)
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THANK YOU
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