Professional Documents
Culture Documents
FM7
FM7
黄晓霞
东凌经济管理学院
hxiaoxia@manage.ustb.edu.cn
Chapter Preview
We examine the markets where stocks trade, and
then review the underlying theories for stock
valuation. We learn
that stock valuations is quite difficult. Topics
include:
Investing in Stocks
Computing the Price of Common Stock
How the Market Sets Security Prices
Errors in Valuation
2
Chapter Preview (cont.)
Stock Market Indexes
Buying Foreign Stocks
Regulation of the Stock Market
3
Investing in Stocks
4. Right to vote for directors
1. Represents ownership and on certain issues
in a firm 5. Two types
2. Earn a return in Common stock
two ways Right to vote
Price of the stock rises Receive non fixed dividends
over time Preferred stock
Dividends are paid to Receive a fixed dividend
the stockholder Do not usually vote unless
3. Stockholders have the firm has failed to pay the
promised dividends
residual claim on all Has priority over the claims
assets of common shareholders
but after that of creditors
such as bondholders
4
Investing in Stocks
5
Investing in Stocks: How Stocks
are Sold
Organized exchanges
Account for over 72% of total dollar volume
Largest U.S. Exchange is the NYSE
Second largest U.S. Exchange is the American Stock Exchange
Others include Nikkei (Japan), LSE(England), DAX(Germany), etc.
Listing requirements exclude small firms
We will see some of the requirements in later slide.
Over-the-counter markets
Best example is NASDAQ (National Association of
Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System)
Dealers stand ready to make a market
6
Investing in Stocks: Organized
vs. OTC
Organized exchanges (e.g., NYSE) p191
Auction markets with floor specialists
25% of trades on the NYSE are filled directly by
specialist
Remaining trades are filled through SuperDOT
8
Investing in Stocks: ECNs
9
美国主要证券交易市场上市条件
Exchange NYSE Nasdaq- Nasdaq- AMEC OTC.BB
global Market capital market
最低发行市值 6000 万美元 800 万美元 500 万美元 300 万美元 否 N/A
要求
最低发行股数 110 万股 110 万股 100 万股 100 万股 否 N/A
要求
最低股东人数 2000 人 400 人 300 人 400 人 否 N/A
要求
做市商数量 4 3 3 3 3
10
Computing the Price of Common
Stock
Valuing common stock is, in theory, no different
from valuing debt securities: determine the
future cash flows and discount them to the
present at an appropriate discount rate.
11
Computing the Price of Common
Stock: The One-Period Valuation
Model
Simplest model. It assumes that you buy the stock, hold
12
Computing the Price of Common
Stock: The One-Period Valuation
Model
What is the price for a stock with an expected
dividend and price next year of $0.16 and
$60, respectively? Use a 12% discount rate
Answer:
Price =
0.16 60
53.71
(1 0.12) (1 0.12)
13
Computing the Price of Common
Stock: The Generalized Dividend
Valuation Model
The concept remains the same as one-period
14
Computing the Price of Common
Stock: The Gordon Growth Model
Generalized dividend value model requires we
compute the present value of an infinite stream of
dividends, which is a difficult process. To make the
model simple, we have the following assumptions:
Dividends grow at a constant rate forever.
The growth rate of dividends, g, is less than the
required return on the equity, ke.
15
Computing the Price of
Common Stock: The Gordon
Growth Model
16
Computing the Price of Common
Stock: The Price Earnings Valuation
Method
The price earnings ratio (PE, 市盈率 ) is a
widely watched measure of how much the
market is willing to pay for $1.00 of earnings
from the a firm.
PE Ratio = Price/Earning
17
Computing the Price of Common
Stock: The Price Earnings Valuation
Method
If the industry PE ratio for a firm is 16, what is
the current stock price for a firm with earnings
for $1.13 / share?
Answer:
18
Computing the Price of Common
Stock: The Price Earnings Valuation
Method
If the earning per share is expected to
increase to $2 next year, what is the
expected price if the PE remains the same?
Price = 16 x $2 = $32
19
How the Market Sets Security
Prices
What can you learn from the auto buying
example on page 197?
The price is set by the buyer willing to pay the
highest price.
The market price will be set by the buyer who
can make the best use of the asset.
Superior information can play an
important role.
20
How the Market Sets Security
Prices
Consider the following three valuations for a stock with
certain dividends but different perceived risk:
The point is that the players in the market, bidding against each
other, establish the market price.
When new information is released about a company, expectations
change, and with them, prices change.
21
Errors in Valuations
Although the pricing models are useful,
market participants frequently encounter
problems in using them. Any of these can
have a significant impact on price in the
Gordon model.
Problems with Estimating Growth
Problems with Estimating Risk
Problems with Forecasting Dividends
22
Stock Market Indexes
23
Buying Foreign Stocks
Buying foreign stocks is useful from a
diversification perspective. However, the purchase
may be complicated if the shares are not traded in
the U.S.
American depository receipts (ADRs) allow foreign
firms to trade on U.S. exchanges, facilitating their
purchase.
U.S. banks buy foreign shares and place in its
vault ( 保管库 ), and issue receipts against the
shares in U.S. markets.
24
Depository Receipts, DR & American Depository
Receipts, ADR
股票存托凭证与美国股票存托凭证
Foreign stocks often trade on U.S. exchanges as
ADRs.
外国股票通常以美国存托凭证的方式在美国交易。
It is a receipt that represents the number of foreign
shares that are deposited at a U.S. bank.
它( ADR )是一种代表一定数量外国股票存在美国
银行的数据凭证。
The bank serves as a transfer agent for the ADRs.
银行充当美国存托凭证的交易代理商。
Foreign listing and ADRs
In the United States, trading is in American Depositary Receipts
(ADRs). Under this arrangement foreign shares are deposited
with a U.S. bank, which in turn issues ADRs in the name of the
foreign company. To avoid unusual share prices, ADRs may
represent a combination of several foreign shares. Conversely,
some ADRs represent a fraction of the original share.
e.g.1 Japanese shares are often priced at only a few yen per
share. They are therefore combined into lots of 100 or more so
that their value is more like that of a typical U.S. share.
e.g.2 The NASDAQ ADR of LVMH, the French luxury-goods firm,
represents one-fifth of a French share.
American Depository
Receipts
Characteristics of trading ADRs as opposed to direct
investment in the company’s shares:
ADRs are denominated in U.S. dollars, trade on U.S.
are registered.
Unsponsored ADR and sponsored
ADR
Unsponsored ADR: An ADR program created without the
company’s involvement is usually called an unsponsored ADR.
Unsponsored ADR are over-the-counter (OTC) shares and are
traded through pink sheets, electronic bulletin boards, or an
electronic trading system called PORTAL.
无保荐的存托凭证其发行没有发行基础证券的外国公司的介入。无
保荐的存托凭证是场外市场股票,它通过粉单市场、电子公告板系
统或者 PORTAL 电子交易系统进行交易。
OTC ( 场外交易 / 柜台交易 )means trading does not take place in
a central marketplace where buyers and sellers congregate.
Sponsored ADR: An ADR program created with the assistance
of the foreign company is called a sponsored ADR. Sponsored
ADRs are classified at three levels: I, II, and III.
Sponsored ADR
Level I: The company does not comply with SEC registration and
reporting requirements, and can be traded only on the OTC
market.
Level II: The company registers with the SEC and complies with its
reporting requirements, and can be listed on an official U.S. stock
exchange (NYSE, ASE) or NASDAQ.
Level III: The company’s ADRs are traded on a U.S. stock
exchange or NASDAQ and the company may raise capital in the
United States through a public offering of the ADRs.
SEC, Securities and Exchange Commission
Note: Level I company can also raise capital in the United States,
but it must be done through a private placement. The retail sector
is excluded. Furthermore, liquidity of ADRs on the OTC market is
not good.
美国存托凭证
发行的程序 ADR 投资者
A1 A3
B1 B7
美国经纪人 托管人
A2 B6
B5
纽约股票交易 纳斯
OTC B2
所 / 美国证券交 达克
易所 B4
本地经纪人 托管银行
B3
本地交易所
Mechanism of
issuance of ADRs ADR investor
A1 A3
B1 B7
Broker in US Depository
A2 B6
B5
NYSE/AMex Nasdaq OTC B2
B4
Local borker Custodian bank
B3
Local exchange
Xiaoxia Huang
Univ. of Sci. & Tech.
Beijing
hxiaoxia@manage.ustb.e
du.cn
发行 ADRs 的程序
美国存托凭证购买和发行的程序:两种模式
已有的美国存托凭证
A1 :投资者在美国市场上向经纪人发出指令
A2 :美国的经纪人在相应的市场上购买美国存托凭证
A3 :美国存托凭证的结算和支付(用记账或记凭证的方式)
新的美国存托凭证
B1 :投资者给在美国的经纪人发出指令
B2 :在美国的经纪人给当地的经纪人(美国以外)发出等额股票的指令
B3 :当地的经纪人在当地市场上购买股票
B4 :当地的股票由托管银行托管
B5 :股票存放的托管人接收证明
B6 :托管人发行信贷美国存托凭证并支付给美国的经纪人
B7 :美国存托凭证的结算和支付(用记账或记凭证的方式)
ADR
Example
我国企业在美发行和上市 ADR 的方式有三种 : 将 H 股
转为 ADR 将 B 股转为 ADR; 直接发行 ADR(N 股 ) 。
Xiaoxia Huang
Univ. of Sci. & Tech.
Beijing
hxiaoxia@manage.ustb.e
du.cn
China and international equities
Financing options of Chinese enterprises in
international equity markets:
我国企业在国际股票市场上的筹资方式:
( 1 ) Via Depositary Reciept, DR
境外存托凭证
( 2 ) Via Back-door listing overseas.
境外借壳上市融资
( 3 ) Via investment funs
境外投资基金融资
International equities (发行)
国际股票
Cross-listing ( 境外上市 ) refers to a firm
having its equity shares listed (上市) on
one or more foreign exchanges, in addition to
the home country stock exchange.
Xiaoxia Huang
Univ. of Sci. & Tech.
Beijing
hxiaoxia@manage.ustb.e
du.cn
Regulation of the Stock Market
39
Regulation of the Stock Market:
Divisions of the SEC
Division of Corporate Finance: responsible
for collecting, reviewing, and making
available all of the documents corporations
and individuals are required to file
Division of Market Regulation: establishes
and maintains rules for orderly and
efficient markets.
40
Regulation of the Stock Market:
Divisions of the SEC
Division of Investment Management:
oversees and regulates the investment
management industry
Division of Enforcement: investigates
violations of the rules and regulations
established by the other divisions.
41
Chapter Summary
42
Chapter Summary (cont.)
43
Chapter Summary (cont.)
Stock Market Indexes: a way to track
changes in valuation for a broad group
of stocks
Buying Foreign Stocks: potential benefits for
diversifications, simplified by the use
of ADRs.
Regulation of the Stock Market:
the primary function of the Securities
and Exchange Commission
44
Chinese stock market
Please include the following points:
1) Types of stock markets
2) How the market sets the price
3) Main requirements for being listed
4) Indexes
5) Return fluctuation and risk sources
6) How foreign capital enter the stock markets and
how domestic capital in foreign stock markets
45