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GREEN BELT
COURSE MANUAL
MEASURE PHASE
DATA GATHERING
• What is Data ?
Data is a numerical expression of an activity.
TYPES OF DATA
CONTINUOUS DISCRETE
Measurable Subjective Assessment
e.g. :Length, Temperature e.g. :Score in a beauty
contest
Countable
e.g. :Number of defects
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FMEA
There are two primary flavors of FMEA:
Design FMEAs are used during process or product design and
development.
The primary objective is to uncover problems that will result
in potential failures within the new product or process.
Process FMEAs are used to uncover problems related to an
existing process.
These tend to concentrate on factors related to manpower,
systems, methods, measurements and the environment.
Although the objectives of design and process FMEAs may
appear different, both follow the same basic steps and the
approaches are often combined.
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FMEA
FMEA drives systematic thinking about a product or process by
asking and attempting to answer three basic questions:
What could go wrong (failure) with a process or system?
How bad can it get (risks), if something goes wrong
(fails)?
What can be done (corrective actions) to prevent things
from going wrong (failures)?
FMEA attempts to identify and prioritize potential process or
system failures. The failures are rated on three criteria:
The impact of a failure - severity of the effects.
The frequency of the causes of the failure - occurrence.
How easy is it to detect the causes of a failure -
detectability.
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FMEA
Notice that only the causes and effects are rated - failure
modes themselves are not directly rated in the FMEA
analysis.
FMEA is cause-and-effect analysis by another name – avoid
being hung up on the failure mode.
The failure mode simply provides a convenient model, which
allows us to link together multiple causes with multiple
effects.
It is easy to confuse failures, causes, and effects, especially since
causes and effects at one level can be failures at a lower level.
Effects are generally observable, and are the result of some
cause. Effects can be thought of as outputs.
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FMEA
Effects are usually events that occur downstream that affect
internal or external customers.
Root causes are the most basic causes within the process
owner’s control. Causes, and root causes, are in the
background; they are an input resulting in an effect.
Failures are what transform a cause to an effect; they are often
unobservable.
One can think of failures, effects, and causes in terms of the
following schematic:
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FMEA
Note that a failure mode can have numerous distinct effects, and
that each effect has its own system of root causes.
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FMEA
Keep in mind that a single failure mode can have several effects,
and that the cause-and-effect diagram on the previous slide
should be repeated for each effect of the failure!!!
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FMEA
Once the RPN values are assigned to each of the cause-and-
effect pairs identified by the team, the pairings are
prioritized.
The higher the RPN value, the higher the priority to work on
that specific cause-and-effect pair.
The measurement scale for the SOD values is typically a 5 or 10
point Likert scale (an ordinal rating scale).
The exact criteria associated with each level of each rating scale
is dependent upon either a company designed rating criteria
or a specified rating criteria from an industry specific
guideline.
We recommend the use of a 10 point Likert scale for each of the
three rating criteria: Severity, Occurrence, and Detection.
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FMEA
Note: The 10 point scale facilitates the ability of the team to
assign ratings in a timely fashion.
Too many levels can lead to a false sense of precision and a
lot of agonizing over the exact rating to be assigned for each
item.
The rating systems used should be developed to reflect the
specific situation of interest.
Recall the example of the completed FMEA presented earlier.
The FMEA was developed by a team studying OS/390 online
systems availability to end users.
On the following slides, we will see the ratings systems agreed
upon by the team.
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FMEA
The more critical the effect, the higher the severity rating.
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FMEA
Severity ratings for the online systems availability FMEA.
Severity Rank Criterion
None 1 No effect
Very Minor 2 No noticeable effect on production
Minor 3 Minor effect on production
Very Low 4 Very low effect on production
Low 5 Low effect on production
Moderate 6 Moderate effect on production
Significant 7 Noticeable effect on production
High 8 Production nearly halted
Very High 9 Production halted
Disaster 10 Implement Hotsite recovery
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FMEA
Occurrence, or frequency of occurrence, is a rating that
describes the chances that a given cause of failure will occur
over the life of product, design, or system.
Actual data from the process or design is the best method for
determining the rate of occurrence. If actual data is not
available, the team must estimate rates for the failure mode.
Examples:
The number of data entry errors per 1000 entries, or
The number of errors per 1000 calculations.
An occurrence value must be determined for every potential
cause of the failure listed in the FMEA form.
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FMEA
The higher the likelihood of occurrence, the higher the
occurrence value.
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FMEA
Occurrence guidelines for the system availability FMEA:
4 1 in 2000
6 1 in 80
7 1 in 20
High High number of occurrences of cause
8 1 in 8
9 1 in 3
Very High Very high number of occurrences of cause
10 1 in 2
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FMEA
The detection rating describes the likelihood that we will detect
a cause for a specific failure mode.
An assessment of process controls gives an indication of the
likelihood of detection.
Process controls are methods for ensuring that potential
causes are detected before failures take place.
For example, process controls can include:
• Required fields or limited fields in electronic forms,
• Process and/or system audits, and
• “Are you sure” dialog boxes in computer programs.
If there are no current controls, the detection rating will be high.
If there are controls, the detection rating will be low.
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FMEA
The higher a detection rating, the lower the likelihood we
will detect a specific cause if it were to occur.
Detection guidelines developed for the system availability FMEA:
Detection Rank Criterion
Low 6
Low likelihood of detection
Very Low 7
Very low likelihood of detection
Remote 8 Cause is hard to identif y
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FMEA
Conducting an FMEA: Basic Steps
1. Define the scope of the FMEA.
2. Develop a detailed understanding of the current process.
3. Brainstorm potential failure modes.
4. List potential effects of failures and causes of failures.
5. Assign severity, occurrence and detection ratings.
6. Calculate the risk priority number (RPN) for each cause.
7. Rank or prioritize causes.
8. Take action on high risk failure modes.
9. Recalculate RPN numbers.
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XXX
B X
X = Dirt
D = Dent
S = Scratch
B = Bubble
No. inspected: _____
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STRATIFICATION
• The method of grouping data by common points or
characteristics to better understand similarities and
characteristics of data is called stratification.
• Such classification helps in obtaining vital
information by distinguishing and comparing data
in different class or strata.
• It also identifies the key strata to concentrate on.
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STRATIFICATION
• The purpose of stratification is to ascertain the
difference between different categories and to
analyze the reasons behind abnormal distribution.
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STRATIFICATION-AREA OF APPLICATION
• Raw Material
Quantity supplied, Delivery time, Rejection % -
supplier wise and batch wise.
• Production
Rejection percentage with respect to machine,
shift, operator, raw material, tool, jig and so on.
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NO ACTION
Measurement /
Random Sampling Observation
POPULATION Sample Data
ACTION
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ISI, SQC UNIT, BANGALORE SS-MEASURE PHASE
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ISI, SQC UNIT, BANGALORE SS-MEASURE PHASE
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ISI, SQC UNIT, BANGALORE SS-MEASURE PHASE
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Frequency plot 50
(Histogram)
Pareto chart 50
Scatter plot 24
Control chart 24
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WHAT IS VARIATION ?
• No two things in nature are alike.
• This is also true for manufactured products.
• This dissimilarity between two products for the
same characteristic is called variation.
• The variation may be or can be made to be so
small so as to make the product SEEM similar.
• When we say that 2 things are similar we actually mean
that it is not possible to measure the variation present
within the accuracy of the existing measuring equipment.
• Variation between 2 products are compared for SIMILAR
features or characteristics.
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TYPES OF VARIATION
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THIS IS BECAUSE....
OF CERTAIN FACTORS WHICH
• Affect the time he takes
• He cannot control
• Vary randomly
e.g. The traffic you encounter under normal course of travel
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Maximum deviation
Inherent
Aimed value Variability
(white noise)
Minimum deviation
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GRAPHICAL DISPLAY OF
VARIABILITIES
CASE I T
O
Assignable (Black noise) Assignable T
Variability Variability A
L
Inherent
Variability Aimed Value V
A
R
I
A
Assignable Assignable B
Variability I
Variability L
I
CASE II CASE III T
Y
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Good
repeatability
2. Repeatability
if variation is
small * The same person taking a
measurement on the same unit gets
the same result.
Data from repeated
measurement of
same item
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Time 1 4. Stability
Observed Measurements taken by a
value
single person in the same
Time 2 way vary little over time.
Observed
value
Good stability
if difference is
Small*
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5. Adequate Resolution
There is enough resolution in the
X measurement device so that the
X product can have many different
X X values.
X X X
X X X X
X X X X X
5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5
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MINITAB OUTPUT
Gage name:
Date of study:
Gage R&R (ANOVA) for legibility s Reported by:
Tolerance:
Misc:
4 4 Joe
Averag e
X=3.531 Martha
3 3
2 -3.0SL=2.238
2
1 1
0 form 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1 3
R=0.6875
2
0 -3.0SL=0.000 1
0 reader Fred Joe Martha
50 3
0 1
Gage R&R Repeat Reprod Part-to-Part form 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
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MINITAB OUTPUT
Gage R&R
Source %Contribution %Study Var
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Objectives
After completing MSA, participants should be able to:
Describe the characteristics of a good
measurement system;
Undertake a formal MSA study, using variance
components analysis if the measure is continuous,
and both confidence intervals and kappa if the
measure is nominal;
Document the MSA for their project;
Explain the value of an MSA.
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Introduction
This section focuses on MSA for data that are nominal
or ordinal.
Nominal data classifies occurrences into unordered
categories, for example:
Color of Product is acceptable or not
A customer survey response on a satisfaction
questionnaire is either “yes” or “no”
A customer contact is considered acceptable or
not
Categories of idle time
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Introduction
Ordinal data classifies occurrences into ordered categories, for
example:
A customer survey response on a questionnaire is
“strongly disagree”, “moderately disagree”, “neutral”,
“moderately agree”, or “strongly agree”
A sales lead is considered “unlikely”, “likely”, or “very
promising”
An IT failure is classified as being of “low”, “medium”,
or “high” severity
A package to be delivered is categorized as acceptable,
Downgraded or Reject
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Introduction
As with continuous data, nominal and ordinal measurement
systems are evaluated in terms of stability, bias, repeatability
and reproducibility.
Note that the operational definition of the measurement is
critical.
Nominal and ordinal data often result from subjective
decisions by observers or raters.
This subjectivity frequently results in bias, repeatability,
and reproducibility problems.
The more one can remove subjectivity from the rating
process, the better.
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Introduction
In this section, we will focus on assessing bias, repeatability and
reproducibility for nominal measurement systems.
Note: We will only briefly introduce methods for studying
ordinal measurement systems.
Although we would like a method for studying both repeatability
and reproducibility in a single experiment, this is not currently
possible for nominal data.
For this reason, we will address the components of repeatability
and reproducibility in terms of intrarater and interrater
agreement.
We will rely on a tool called “kappa” to measure intra-rater and
inter-rater agreement.
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Assessing Bias
Studies of bias require knowledge of the true measure of an item
or occurrence.
Studies where rater responses are compared with those of an
expert are called expert re-evaluation studies.
An expert evaluates the items or occurrences that have been rated
by less experienced raters. The expert may be a person or a
reference measurement method.
The expert’s rating is considered to be the “gold standard”, and is
used to determine the percent of correct decisions by all raters.
Since this assumption is key, the performance of the expert
should be evaluated prior to performing the expert re-
evaluation.
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Assessing Bias
Example: Consider an example
dealing with security violations
(file SecurityAudit.jmp).
Two Auditors and one Expert Auditor
inspected 25 areas chosen from
many areas that could have been
inspected, and classified each as
P or F (pass or fail).
An attempt was made to include
areas with security violations as
well as without (there should be at
least 25% representation of each
group).
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Assessing Bias
Auditor 1 agrees with the Expert for 24 of the 25 areas.
Auditor 2 agrees with the Expert for 18 of the 25 areas.
The percent agreement is dependent upon the areas chosen; had
different areas been chosen, the sample percent agreement
would differ.
In other words, the percent agreement is a sample statistic and
is subject to sampling variation.
The sample percent agreement is an estimate of a population
parameter, the true percent agreement.
Thus it is useful to calculate a range of values that is likely to
contain the true percent agreement with some high probability.
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Assessing Bias
Recall that such a range of values is called a confidence
interval.
For each auditor, it is reasonable to assume that the number of
instances of agreement for the 25 areas follows a binomial
distribution where n = 25 and p = unknown probability of
agreement.
For each auditor, we are interested in estimating the parameter
p, the probability of agreement.
As seen earlier, JMP calculates confidence intervals for the
parameter p of a binomial distribution under Distribution.
It is important to define the agreement response as nominal.
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Assessing Bias
In the Distribution platform, select the agreement for Auditor 1,
Exp&Aud1 Agreement, as Y.
From the red arrow, select Confidence Interval, and choose 0.95
as the confidence level.
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Assessing Bias
The resulting output gives an interval which, with 95%
confidence, contains the true proportion of agreement.
Notice that, according to this interval, the true probability of
agreement could range from 0.805 to 0.993.
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Assessing Bias
The output for Auditor 2’s agreement with the Expert is given
below.
What do you conclude? Which actions might be appropriate at
this point?
Kappa
Nominal measurement studies that address repeatability and
reproducibility are often called concordance studies.
In such studies, intrarater agreement measures repeatability
(within rater), and interrater agreement measures the
combination of repeatability and reproducibility (between rater).
The probability of overall agreement among raters, or within a
rater, can be estimated using a confidence interval.
However, analysis using confidence intervals can be misleading,
as we shall see.
In this section, we will introduce a measure called “kappa”, which
is useful in measuring both intrarater and interrater rater
agreement for nominal data.
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Kappa
Suppose that a team is studying
customer complaint resolution.
Twenty-five occurrences of customer
complaints and their resolution are
presented, in random order, to each of
two raters, Lynn and Ted.
For each occurrence, each rater is asked
to determine whether the outcome
was acceptable or not, and to indicate
this with a “Yes” or “No” response.
The data are summarized in the data
table to the right (Lynn&Ted.jmp).
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Kappa
This data can be summarized in
tabular form as in the table below.
Such a table is called a contingency
table.
This table can be obtained under
Analyze/Fit Y by X, using Lynn
as Y and Ted as X.
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Kappa
Note that, in 20 of the 25 occurrences,
Lynn and Ted agreed on their
assessment of the complaint
resolutions.
A confidence interval for their probability
of agreement can be obtained.
An “Agreed” column is defined as shown
in the data table to the right.
A 95% level confidence interval is
obtained as shown earlier.
The probability of agreement is likely
somewhere between 0.61 and 0.91.
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Kappa
Suppose that, instead of the responses in Table A, the responses
in Table B had been obtained.
Does one table show more agreement than the other? If so,
which?
Table A Table B
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Kappa
As another example, consider the two tables below.
Which shows the greater degree of agreement?
Table A Table B
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Kappa
Consider Table A.
How often would you expect Rater1
and Rater 2 to agree based on
chance alone?
Kappa
Thus, all we are observing is what would be expected by chance
alone, given the raters’ marginal classifications.
Since we are interested in non-chance agreement, the question is:
“How much of the observed agreement between two raters (or
ratings) would not happen by chance alone?”
So, we need to develop a measure of non-chance agreement.
We do this by estimating the chance agreement, and subtracting it
from the overall agreement.
This gives us a measure of what the raters would agree upon
beyond what they would agree upon by chance alone.
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Kappa
Consider Table B.
The second entry in each cell of the
table represents chance, or
expected, agreement.
Kappa
Kappa is a measure of chance-
corrected agreement.
The number of occurrences where the
raters agree is 40 + 10 = 50.
The expected agreement by chance
alone is 36 + 6 = 42
The observed agreed count minus the expected agreed count is
(40 + 10) – (36 + 6) = 8.
We compare this to the number of observations minus expected
agreement: 100 – (36 + 6) = 58.
The ratio of these values is kappa: 8/58 = 0.138.
Kappa can be thought of as the rate of chance-corrected
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Kappa
Kappa is defined by:
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Kappa
For a given level of chance agreement, values of kappa range
from a negative value to 1.
Negative values reflect disagreement
A zero value reflects no agreement
Positive values reflect agreement
Kappa Strength of
Guidelines on strength of Agreement
agreement are given in the < 0.00 Poor or None
table. 0.00 – 0.20 Slight
A kappa of 0.60 or higher is 0.21 – 0.40 Fair
generally considered
0.41 – 0.60 Moderate
acceptable.
0.61 – 0.80 Substantial
77
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1.00 Almost perfect
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ISI-01/BB/MES/KAPPA/2007
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ISI-01/BB/MES/KAPPA/2007
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40
30
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Number of Days for Approval
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WHAT
WHAT IS
IS THE
THE MEASURE
MEASURE
OF
OF CENTRAL
CENTRAL TENDENCY
TENDENCY OF
OF A
A SET
SET OF
OF
NUMBERS?
NUMBERS?
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MEASURES
MEASURES OF
OF DISPERSION
DISPERSION
The extent of the spread of the values from the
mean value is called Dispersion.
Smooth curve
Center of the bar interconnecting the
center of each bar
Units of
Measure
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NORMAL DISTRIBUTION
• If the frequency distribution of a set of values is
such that :
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On the
On the shop
shop floor
floor this
this isis aa control
control chart…
chart…
In reality
In reality itit isis aa process
process behavior
behavior chart.
chart.
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IX Plot Points
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UCL=5.620
5
Concentration
Mean=4.45
LCL=3.280
3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Observation Number
Checking Both
Time Order and Distribution
In practice, if your data has a natural time order, you should
always do a control chart as well as a frequency plot. Both give
you different information.
In this case, there are no special causes that appear in the control
chart (according to the Tests for Special Causes already taught),
but the frequency plot clearly has a bimodal pattern and you’d
want to investigate why.
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•What is your interpretation now that you’ve seen both the time plot
and frequency plot? Which supplier would you recommend using?
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Answer
•In the frequency plot, Supplier B looks far superior to Supplier A, having a
much narrower distribution generally much nearer the target. In the time plot,
however, it looks like Supplier A is making rapid strides in improving its
ability to deliver on time. You would probably want to collect more data to
make sure that Supplier A can sustain its current level of performance.
1 2
1.5
0.5
1
0 0.5
-0.5 0
–0.5
Days from 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39
Target
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HISTOGRAM
HISTOGRAM FROM
FROM MINITAB
MINITAB
Make Sure the data window is active.
In X (or) Variables, enter the column containing the data, click OK (or)
choose GRAPHS > HISTOGRAM OF DATA > OK.
You can classify the source wise data to display the data in two different
dot plots.
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DOT
DOT PLOT
PLOT FROM
FROM MINITAB
MINITAB
If you have source wise data, put the source variable (either
Text or Numeric) in the next column. Click By Variable in
the Dot Plot Menu, select the source column, click ok.
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NIGHT
SHIFT
DAY
15 25 35 45 55 65 75 85 95 105
PRODUCTION
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PARETO DIAGRAM
• The Pareto Principle is generally used to prioritize
quality improvement projects to get most returns for the
resources invested.
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100
2000
80
Percent
60
Count
1000
40
20
0 0
Defect
Count 1115 430 145 140 120 120 115
Percent 51.0 19.7 6.6 6.4 5.5 5.5 5.3
Cum % 51.0 70.7 77.3 83.8 89.2 94.7 100.0
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PARETO ANALYSIS OF
PASSENGER COMPLAINTS AT AN AIRPORT
97 100
100
140 87
90
120 70
80
100 70
No. of complaints
Cum. percentage
50
60
80 50
60 40
26
40 30
20
20 10
0 0
Flight Baggage Service Refund Fares others
Problems
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160 75 80
140 70
60
No. of complaints
120 60
100 50
80 35 40
60 30
40 20
20 10
0 0
Late Missing or Fading Stains Creased Buttons Stretched
delivery wrong colours Missing or torn
items
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PARETO
PARETO DIAGRAM
DIAGRAM FROM
FROM MINITAB
MINITAB
Open MINITAB Worksheet.
-3s
- 3s +3s
+3
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USL - X
Cpu
3s
This gives us the positioning of the mean vis-a-vis the
USL and the relationship between the two.
X LSL
Cpl
3s
This gives us the positioning of the mean vis-a-vis the
LSL and the relationship between the two.
Cpk - Process Performance Index. This is important
+O
= Cpl ;for unilateral tolerance on lower side i.e..
X -Y
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LSL USL
SOME
SOME TYPES
TYPES LSL USL
TOLERANCE OR NEW
CENTERING RELATED PROBLEMS MACHINE DECISION
LSL USL LSL USL
LSL USL
LSL USL LSL USL
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A FEW TERMINOLOGIES
• Defect : Any non-conformity in a product or service
– e.g. Late delivery or no. of tubes rejected
• Units : The nos. checked or inspected
– 100 deliveries were monitored for being late, no. of units
are 100
– 1000 tubes were checked for oversize dia., no. of units
are 1000
• Opportunity : Anything that you measure or check for.
– Finished refrigerator is checked for 25 defects at final
inspection, the no. of opportunities is 25
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WHAT IS A DEFECT?
A defect is any variation of a required
characteristic of the product (or its parts) or
services which is far enough from its target value
to prevent the product from fulfilling the physical
and functional requirements of the customer, as
viewed through the eyes of your customer.
DEFINING AN UNIT
An 'unit' may be as diverse as
a:
Piece of equipment
Line of software
Order
Technical manual
Medical claim
Wire transfer
Hour of labour
Billable dollar
Customer contact
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TOP
TOP ==NO.
NO.OF
OFUNITS
UNITSCHECKED
CHECKEDxx
NO.
NO.OF
OFOPPORTUNITIES
OPPORTUNITIESOF
OFFALIURE
FALIURE
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DPO = DEFECTS
TOP
DPO = 25 = 0.01
2500
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100
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DPMO
DPMO = NO. OF DEFECTS x 106
NO. OF UNITS x OPP.
100 x 25
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DPMO==
DPMO DEFECTS
DEFECTS xx 10
6
106
TOPTOP
ATTRIBUTE DATA
EXAMPLE
EXAMPLE
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EXERCISE
• For a 100% inspection process, 10000 units are produced.
Each can be rejected for 8 different reasons. 100 were
rejected. What is the DPU, TOP, DPMO & DPO.
• For the above the next day 20 units were rejected such that
2 units had 3 defects & 1 unit had 2 defects rest all had 1
defect. Find the DPU,TOP, DPMO & hence DPO.
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CONTINUOUS DATA
Step 1: Ensure Gauge R&R (if the CTQ is measured using an
instrument) < 30%. Otherwise improve measurement
system
Step 2: Collect the data (Minimum of 50 readings) on the
CTQ’s as per the data collection plan.
Step 3: Check for trend or special cause using individual
control chart
Step 4: Plot Histogram (Follow MINITAB steps. GO TO: Stat
> Basic Statistics > Display Descriptive Statistics >Enter
Variables > ‘Click’ Graphs > ‘Tick’ Graphical
Summary>OK>OK
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CONTINUOUS DATA
Step 5: Read mean & standard deviation and interpret the
data as coming from Normal distribution if p > 0.05,
otherwise treat the data as non-normal.
Step 6: Do the process capability analysis as follows.
1. Stat > Quality Tools > Capability Analysis (Normal) > Enter Variable
> Sample Size = 1 > Enter Specification Limits ( L/ U/ or both) > Go to
Options>Remove the tick from Within subgroup analysis>OK>Stamp
> Use Variable (if the date/ Time/ Batch no. to be incorporated) > OK
> OK
2. Read Expected performance in PPM if the data is normal
3. Read Observed performance if the data is non-normal.
4. In either case go to PPM – Sigma conversion table and find the Sigma
rating.
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EXAMPLE (Normal)
Process Capability Analysis for Dia.
LSL USL
Process Data
USL 5.20000
Within
Target *
LSL 4.80000 Overall
Mean 4.96330
Sample N 50
StDev (Within) 1.06439
StDev (Overall) 1.04820
2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Cpm *
EXAMPLE (Non-Normal)
LSL
USL
Process Data
USL 4.10000
Target *
LSL 2.90000
Mean 3.92903
Sample N 50
StDev (Overall) 4.52914
Overall Capability
Pp 0.04
PPU 0.01
PPL 0.08
Ppk 0.01
-10 0 10 20 30
Cpm *
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